Thread watched CNOTES 2023-2024 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Cnotes53

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SATURDAY, MARCH 2

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ATL at BK03:00 PMBK +1.0
O 219.0
+500 +500
UTA at MIA05:00 PMUTA +7.5
O 223.5
+500 +500
POR at MEM08:00 PMPOR +2.5
U 208.5
+500 +500
DEN at LAL08:30 PMDEN -1.0
O 227.5
+500 +500
HOU at PHO09:00 PMPHO -9.5
O 233.5
+500 +500
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack: Major league leaders in RBI last year:
139— Matt Olson, Atl
118— Pete Alonso, NYM
112— Kyle Tucker, Hst
109— Ozzie Albies Atl/Juan Soto SD
107— Mookie Betts LAD/Adolis Garcia Tex
106— Nick Castellanos Cin/Ronald Acuna Atl

Quote of the Day
“Thankfully, perseverance is a great substitute for talent.”
Steve Martin

Sunday’s quiz
Which Division I college basketball coach was Lebron James’ high school coach?

Saturday’s quiz
Atlanta Braves have won the NL East six years in a row; Washington Nationals in 2017 were the last team other than the Braves to win the NL East.

Friday’s quiz
Butler Bulldogs lost the national title game two years in a row, when Brad Stevens was their coach. Butler was in the Horizon League back then (2010/2011).

***********************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a Saturday full of basketball…….

WCC
Gonzaga 70, Saint Mary’s 57

Zags sweep the USF/Saint Mary’s road trip; they’re off the bubble.
Gonzaga has won eight games in a row, seven of them by 13+ points.
Saint Mary’s loses for first time since December 23, when they were 8-6.

Santa Clara 69, San Francisco 62
Teams combined to shoot 9-40 on the arc.
USF lost three of its last four games; they’re #3 seed in WCC, Santa Clara is #4.

Big X
Baylor 82, Kansas 74

Both teams shot 62% inside the arc.
Kansas is 2-6 SU in Big X road games.
Baylor passes the Jayhawks, is now in 3rd place in Big X.

Iowa State 60, Central Florida 52
UCF led 50-49 with 3:31 left in the game.
Knights were 1-19 on the arc.
Iowa State won seven of last eight games, is in 2nd place in Big X.

Houston 87, Oklahoma 85
Houston hit an off-balance jumper at the buzzer for the win.
Cougars shot 10-19 on the arc, Oklahoma 12-25.
Houston led by 15 with 12:04 left in the game.
Bracketology has nine of 14 Big X teams getting in the NCAA’s.

Big 14
Minnesota 75, Penn State 70

Penn State led 41-18 late in first half.
Gophers were 24-27 on foul line, Penn State 9-11

Illinois 91, Wisconsin 83
Illini was 9-16 on arc, scored 1.30 points/possession.
Illinois starts four seniors; they’re #10 experience team.
Wisconsin is 2-7 in last nine games, after a 16-4 start.
Bracketology has six Big 14 teams in the tournament.

American
South Florida 76, Charlotte 61

Bulls have won 14 in a row; their last loss was January 7th.
USF has #35 eFG% defense in the country.
USF is #54 in experience, #281 in continuity; they used the portal very well.

Tex-San Antonio 77, SMU 73
Third straight loss for the Mustangs, who were favored by 17.5 points.
SMU led 21-8 early on.
11-19 Roadrunners have won 3 in a row; they were 12-28 on arc.
Bracketology has South Florida/FAU in the Field of 68, but barely.

SEC
Tennessee 81, Alabama 74

Vols were 12-40 on the arc, 12-26 inside the arc.
Alabama led by 6 with 9:15 left in the game.
Crimson Tide was 9-37 on the arc.

Kentucky 111, Arkansas 102

Kentucky won its last three games, scoring 106.3 ppg.
Seven Wildcats (seven!!!) scored in double figures.
Bracketology has seven SEC teams in the NCAA Tournament.

Pac-12
Forgot to mention this Friday, but UCLA coach Mick Cronin got a technical foul 20 seconds into the Bruins loss at Washington Thursday. Never heard of that before.

Washington State 77, UCLA 65
Coogs are going to the NCAA’s for the first time since 2008.
Wazzu was 24-33 on the foul line, UCLA was 9-11.
Bruins lost their last four games, are 9-9 in Pac-12.
Bracketology has Arizona/Washington State as the only Pac-12 teams in the NCAA’s.

Upsets of the Day:
Tex-San Antonio (+17.5) 77, SMU 73
Mercer (+9.5) 82, Furman 75
SE Missouri State (+7) 70, Southern Indiana 66
Western Michigan (+6.5) 78, Ball State 76
Minnesota (+6.5) 75, Penn State 70
Tulsa (+6.5) 72, Temple 67
Notre Dame (+6.5) 69, Clemson 62


Famous birthdays on March 3rd:
Eric Torkelson, 72
Herschel Walker, 62
Jessica Biel, 42
Jayson Tatum, 26
Wee Willie Keller was born on March 3, 1872.
Alexander Graham Bell was born on March 3, 1922

MAC
Western Michigan 78, Ball State 76
- Ball State tied game on a foul shot with 0:01.6 left; kid on WMU overthrows a teammate on a full-court pass, the ball bounces untouched to another teammate who lays the ball in at the buzzer for an unlikely win. Big kid on Ball State let the ball bounce right past him; no idea what he was thinking.
MAC is a one-bid league; neither one of these teams figures to win the MAC Tournament, but this was a hell of a way to win/lose a game.

Mountain West
Boise State 89, New Mexico 79

Broncos won their last five games, scoring 86.4 ppg.
New Mexico is 3-5 in last eight games, is probably beneath the bubble.

WAC
Grand Canyon 80, Stephen F Austin 58

Antelopes are tied for first with Tarleton State, with one game left.
Grand Canyon was 22-22 on the foul line.
Antelopes get 24.3% of their points on foul line (#9)

Tarleton State 88, Southern Utah 83
Texans are coached by Billy Gillispie, the old Kentucky coach.
Tarleton State has won 10 games in a row.

Atlantic 15
Richmond 79, VCU 76

VCU led by 7 with 13:32 left in this inner-city rivalry.
Spiders win their first-ever regular season title in the A-15.
Richmond won 17 of its last 19 games, after a 5-5 start.

Ivy
Princeton 79, Cornell 77

Cornell shot 69% inside arc, 9-32 on the arc.
Princeton is tied atop Ivy League with Yale, with one game to go.

Brown 89, Dartmouth 67
Bears clinched the 4th and final slot in the Ivy League tournament.

Southern
Samford 92, Citadel 80

Bulldogs win the SoCon by 3 games; they haven’t been in NCAA’s since 2000, when they won the TAAC (Trans-American Conference).
 

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DALLAS are 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games in the current season.

GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games in the current season.

ORLANDO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.

CHARLOTTE is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

INDIANA is 20-5 Over (14.5 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game - 2nd half of t...

NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA

Sunday, March 3


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ Dallas
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Dallas
Dallas is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia

LA Clippers @ Minnesota
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Clippers

Golden State @ Boston
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Charlotte @ Toronto
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte

Detroit @ Orlando
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Indiana @ San Antonio
Indiana
Indiana is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games at home
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

New York @ Cleveland
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing New York
Cleveland is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Phoenix
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
Phoenix is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home


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Udog

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NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 3


lXRT94T.png
 

Cnotes53

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SUNDAY, MARCH 3

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PHI at DAL01:00 PMPHI +7.5
U 237.0
+500 +500
LAC at MIN03:30 PMLAC +2.0
U 220.5
+500 +500
GS at BOS03:30 PMGS +11.0
U 230.0
+500 +500
DET at ORL06:00 PMORL -10.5
U 217.0
+500 +500
CHA at TOR06:00 PMTOR -7.5
U 223.0
+500 +500
IND at SA07:00 PMIND -6.5
U 243.0
+500 +500
NY at CLE07:00 PMCLE -6.5
U 211.5
+500 +500
OKC at PHO09:30 PMPHO +6.0
U 233.5
+500 +500
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
Some teams who get the highest %age of their points on 3’s:
41.1%— BYU (21-8)
41.1%— Chattanooga (20-11)
40.9%— NC-Greensboro (21-10)
40.2%— Hofstra (19-12)
40.2%— St Joe’s (18-11)
39.9%— Princeton (23-3)

Quote of the Day
“If they don’t take Caleb (Williams), they don’t want to keep their jobs.”
An AFC executive, talking about the Chicago Bears’ front office

Monday’s quiz
Chicago Bears split the two Super Bowls they played in; Jim McMahon played QB in the game they won. Who played QB in the Super Bowl they lost?

Sunday’s quiz
Duquesne coach Keith Dambrot was Lebron James’ high school coach.

Saturday’s quiz
Atlanta Braves have won the NL East six years in a row; Washington Nationals in 2017 were the last team other than the Braves to win the NL East.

*******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy weekend…….

— March Madness starts tonight, when the Atlantic Sun tournament tips off with a couple of games. Three other conferences start their tournaments Tuesday. One of the best times of the year; the next two weeks will be full of conference tournament games, with the Field of 68 announced March 17.

— March 2010, I’m at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas for the NCAA Tournament; excellent sportsbook there. I’m watching a second round game with Northern Iowa-Kansas; there were lot of Jayhawk fans around- they were a #1-seed, with high expectations.
Early in the game, before the second TV timeout, kid on Northern Iowa makes a basket, and three young guy sitting next to me start hugging each other. I ask one of them if the kid who scored the basket was their brother or something…….
“No, they got to 15 first!!! We had Northern Iowa to be the first team to 15!!!”
This was the first NCAA Tournament I had seen in Las Vegas, I had no idea you could bet on which team got to 15 points first. You learn something new every day.

— Memphis 106, UAB 87
UAB led this game 61-46…….at halftime.
Memphis was +9 in turnovers; they scored 1.39 points/possession.
Tigers have won seven of their last nine games.

— Indiana State 89, Murray State 77
Sycamores win MVC regular season title for first time since 2000.
Indiana State is shooting 62.1% inside arc, #2 in country.
Indiana State is #359 in bench minutes; could be tough for them in MVC tournament when they have to win three games in three days to win the title.

— Drake 74, Bradley 66
Darian DeVries has been Drake’s coach for six years; Bulldogs are 147-54 under DeVries, 79-33 in MVC games, with two NCAA appearances.
Drake’s best player is Tucker DeVries, the coach’s son, who is a junior; will he come back for his senior season, and if not, will his dad bolt for a job in a bigger conference?

— Indiana 83, Maryland 78
Hoosiers trailed 51-35 early in the second half.
Indiana shot 61.9% inside the arc.
Maryland lost seven of its last nine games.

Movie of the Day: The Client (1994)- A young boy who witnessed the suicide of a mafia lawyer hires an attorney to protect him when the District Attorney tries to use him to take down a mob family.
Great cast; Susan Sarandon becomes the boy’s lawyer, Tommy Lee Jones is the District Attorney, Anthony LaPaglia is a mobster.
William H Macy, Mary Louise Parker, JT Walsh Anthony Edwards and Bradley Whitford are all in this movie, adapted from one of John Grisham’s books.

— San Francisco Giants signed 3B Matt Chapman, for three years, $54M.

— Arizona Diamondbacks signed SS Elvis Andrus to a minor league deal; he hit .251 with six HRs, 44 RBIs for the White Sox last year. 35-year old Andrus has 2,091 career hits; Arizona will be his fourth MLB team.

— Saturday night, Lebron James became the first NBA player to score 40,000 career points; he scored 26 points in the Lakers’ 124-114 loss to Denver.

— Luka Doncic has 14 technical fouls this season, most in the NBA.

Famous birthdays on March 4th:
Patricia Heaton, 66
Steven Weber, 63
Draymond Green, 34
Nick Castellanos, 32

— There are murmurs that the NFL is going to go to an 18-game schedule when the next TV contract comes up, which would put the Super Bowl on Presidents’ Day weekend.

— San Francisco 49ers hired former Chargers’ coach coach Brandon Staley as assistant head coach; they also named Nick Sorensen their new defensive coordinator.

— Bill Vinovich was the referee at the Super Bowl February 11th in Las Vegas; two nights later, he worked a Colorado State-San Diego State basketball game. He’s worked six other basketball games since then, including another visit to Las Vegas Saturday, when the Rebels beat San Jose State.
Vinovich has worked 26 basketball games this season, in addition to his NFL games. Busy guy.

— RIP to ESPN reporter Chris Mortensen,, who passed away this week at age 72; the tributes he’s gotten tonight from friends/co-workers at ESPN tell you what a good guy he was.
Mortensen joined ESPN in 1991 and was a regular contributor to the network’s NFL shows for 30 years; in 2016, he received the Pro Football Writers of America’s Dick McCann Award and was honored during the Pro Football Hall of Fame’s enshrinement ceremony.

RIP, sir.
 

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BROOKLYN is 15-2 ATS (12.8 Units) in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 133-190 ATS (-76 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread since 1996.

UTAH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after 2+ road games in the current season.

CHICAGO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points in the current season.




NBA

Monday, March 4


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Memphis @ Brooklyn
Memphis
Memphis is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games at home

Portland @ Minnesota
Portland
Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Portland
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland

LA Clippers @ Milwaukee
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Washington @ Utah
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games
Utah is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Washington

Chicago @ Sacramento
Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home

Oklahoma City @ LA Lakers
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City


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NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, March 4


OGS7kpJ.png
 

Cnotes53

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MONDAY, MARCH 4

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MEM at BK07:30 PMMEM +10.0
U 206.0
+500 +500
LAC at MIL08:00 PMLAC +4.0
U 225.0
+500 +500
POR at MIN08:00 PMPOR +14.0
U 209.5
+500 +500
WAS at UTA09:00 PMWAS +5.0
U 241.0
+500 +500
CHI at SAC10:00 PMCHI +7.0
O 228.5
+500 +500
OKC at LAL10:30 PMLAL +1.5
O 238.0
+500 +500
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Teams who get the highest %age of their points on foul shots:
27.3%- Alabama A&M (9-20)
25.5%- Winthrop (17-14)
25.5%- High Point (24-7)
25.4%- Arkansas (14-15)
24.8%- Rio Grande Valley (6-23)
24.5%- Norfolk State (20-10)

Quote of the Day
“I’ll never forget Nick Foles having the game of his life on the biggest stage possible and the biggest (bleep) on the team, going up to Doug Pederson and asking for the Philly Special. And Doug Pederson having the biggest balls in the stadium, to say ‘Yeah, let’s do it.'”
Eagles center Jason Kelce, who retired Monday

Tuesday’s quiz
Russell Wilson played college football for which two schools?

Monday’s quiz
Chicago Bears split the two Super Bowls they played in; Jim McMahon played QB in the game they won. Rex Grossman played QB in the Super Bowl they lost.

Sunday’s quiz
Duquesne coach Keith Dambrot was Lebron James’ high school coach.

***************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— Denver Broncos are going to cut QB Russell Wilson next week, take an NFL-record $85M cap hit for next season. Denver signed Wilson to a 5-year, $242.6M contract two years ago, but the Broncos went 11-19 in his starts, and now they’re moving on without him.
Wilson has a career record of 124-79-1, 9-7 in playoff games, 1-1 in Super Bowls. Last three years however, Wilson was 17-27. He turns 36 in November.

— Five biggest salary cap hits in the NFL:
$85M- Russell Wilson, Den, 2024
$40.5M- Matt Ryan, Atl, 2022
$40.3M- Aaron Rodgers, GB, 2023
$35.1M- Tom Brady, TB, 2023
$33.8M- Carson Wentz, Phil, 2021

— Former NFL QB’s Matt/Tim Hasselbeck both used to work for ESPN; next fall, they’ll be coaching high school ball together at The Ensworth School in Nashville.

— Tampa Bay Bucs re-signed WR Mike Evans with a 2-year, $52M deal; $35M of that money is guaranteed. He’s had 1,000+ receiving yards in all ten of his seasons in the NFL.

— Philadelphia Phillies re-signed P Zack Wheeler with a 3-year, $126M deal; in four years with the Phillies, Wheeler is 43-25, 3.06 in 101 starts.

— Most starting pitchers used last season: A’s 24, Royals 23
Fewest starting pitchers used last season: Giants, Nationals, Blue Jays, all with 8.

Word of the Day: Discombobulate- to confuse or disorient someone.

When you’re filling out your brackets in two weeks, some things to think about:
Last six years, 18 of the 24 Final Four teams were in the top 35 in country in eFG%, either offense or defense. Making shots/forcing missed shots is very important.
One of the six teams that wasn’t in either top 35 was North Carolina in 2017, but they were #1 in country on the offensive boards; it helps to be great at something.

#1-seed won seven of last 10 NCAA Tournaments.
Five of the last six years, a #7-seed or lower made it to the Final Four.

Two stats that don’t appear to mean much:
1) Bench minutes- TV timeouts are longer in NCAA’s, depth seems less important. Two years ago, all four Final Four teams were outside the top 300 in bench minutes.

2) % of points scored on foul line- Last six years, only one of the 24 Final Four teams was ranked about #96 in this category, and they were a fluke-ish #7-seed.

— Pacific fired basketball coach Leonard Perry, who went 29-65 in three years with the Tigers, 10-36 in WCC games. Pacific has had one winning season the last 10 years; their last NCAA Tournament appearance was in 2013.

— Marquette G Tyler Kolek won’t play in the Golden Eagles’ last two regular season games; he has an oblique injury, and will be reevaluated before next week’s Big East tournament.

Famous birthdays on March 5th:
Rocky Bleier, 78
Rob Reiner, 77
Kent Tekulve, 77
Scott Skiles, 60
Michael Irvin, 58
Connie Britton, 57
Wally Szczerbiak, 47
Bo Bichette, 26
Justin Fields, 25

Atlantic Sun tournament:
— Jacksonville 92, Kennesaw State 86
Dolphins made an astounding 13-21 on the arc.
Kennesaw won A-Sun last year, but lost 10 of their last 12 games this year.

— Queens 69, Florida Gulf Coast 63
Queens was 18-22 on the foul line, FGCU 7-14.
Royals made 11-25 on arc; they’ve won four of last five games.
Both higher-seeded teams lost in the A-Sun Tournament games Monday.
Winners get to play again Tuesday night.

— Duke 79, NC State 64
NC State led 9-0; it was all downhill from there.
Duke shot 33% from floor in first half, 63% in second half.

— Baylor 93, Texas 85
Longhorns led 48-40 at halftime.
Baylor was 34-42 on foul line, Texas 16-21

— RIP to Ed Ott, the former major league catcher, who died at age 72. Ott played eight years in the majors, mostly for the Pirates- he was on their 1979 World Series championship team.

RIP to UL Washington, the former major league shortstop, who died at age 70. Washington played 11 years in the majors, mostly for Kansas City; he stole 40 bases for the Royals in 1983.
 

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ORLANDO is 7-0 Over (7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games in the current season.

CLEVELAND is 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in road games after 2+ road games in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 17-5 Over (11.5 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the current s...

BROOKLYN is 32-15 Over (15.5 Units) when the total is 210-219.5 in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.

DALLAS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite in the current season.

DENVER is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Tuesday, March 5


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Orlando @ Charlotte
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games
Orlando is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Orlando

New Orleans @ Toronto
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games on the road
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Toronto's last 13 games at home
Toronto is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Philadelphia @ Brooklyn
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

Boston @ Cleveland
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Boston

Detroit @ Miami
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
Miami
Miami is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Atlanta @ New York
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games at home

San Antonio @ Houston
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games

Indiana @ Dallas
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Phoenix @ Denver
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix


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Cnotes53

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TUESDAY, MARCH 5

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ORL at CHA07:00 PMCHA +8.5
O 208.0
+500 +500
ATL at NY07:30 PMATL +3.0
U 215.0
+500 +500
NO at TOR07:30 PMTOR +9.5
U 229.0
+500 +500
DET at MIA07:30 PMDET +11.5
U 217.5
+500 +500
BOS at CLE07:30 PMCLE +8.0
O 215.5
+500 +500
PHI at BK07:30 PMPHI +1.0
U 212.5
+500 +500
SA at HOU08:00 PMSA +7.5
O 227.5
+500 +500
IND at DAL08:30 PMDAL -5.0
U 246.5
+500 +500
PHO at DEN10:00 PMDEN -8.5
U 223.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
— Cavaliers 105, Celtics 104- Boston’s 11-game win streak comes to an end.
— Nets 112, 76ers 107- Nets were +29 in 30:00 with Walker on floor.
— Heat 118, Pistons 110- Butler had 26 points, eight assists.
— Pacers 137, Mavericks 120- Pacers outscored Dallas 32-18 in 3rd quarter.
— Rockets 114, Spurs 101- Houston was 22-60 LY; they’re 27-34 this year.
— Suns 117, Nuggets 107 OT- Grayson Allen was 8-12 on the arc.

Quote of the Day
“It’s imperative that we realize there was some luck involved last year and we got hot at the right time. I don’t want this to be a one-and-out type of thing.”
Diamondbacks’ pitching coach Brent Strom

Wednesday’s quiz
Who has scored the most points in Boston Celtics’ history?

Tuesday’s quiz
Russell Wilson played college football at NC State, Wisconsin.

Monday’s quiz
Chicago Bears split the two Super Bowls they played in; Jim McMahon played QB in the game they won. Rex Grossman played QB in the Super Bowl they lost.

**************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

Atlantic Sun tournament:
— Jacksonville 67, Eastern Kentucky 65
So this year, the first #1-seed to play in a conference tournament loses its first game, against a team that played last night. EKU was only 14-14 against Division I teams this season.

— Northern Alabama 77, Lipscomb 75
The first #3-seed to play in a conference tournament also loses its first game; chances are, the winner of this tournament is heading to Dayton for a play-in game.
Kid on Northern Alabama hit a 20-foot runner for the win at the buzzer, after Lipscomb had tied the game with a 3-pointer.

— Stetson 83, Queens 71- Hatters are the #2-seed in the A-Sun; now they’re the favorite to win this tournament, and get to the NCAA’s for the
first time. Stetson is one of 45 D-I teams that has never played in March Madness.

Horizon tournament:
— Higher seed won all three games; Detroit finishes its horrific season 1-31 with an 83-79 loss at Milwaukee.

Patriot League tournament:
— Holy Cross 84, Army 68- Back in the late 70’s, when the Big East was first being formed, Holy Cross was really good in basketball; they turned down a chance to join the original Big East.
Over the last 45 years, how much $$$ you think that cost their school/athletic department?

Sun Belt tournament:
— Texas State 92, Old Dominion 83 OT
Old Dominion led by 11 points in second half.
Texas State won its last four games, the last two in OT.
Elsewhere in the world……..

— Purdue 77, Illinois 71
Illinois led this game 40-34 at halftime.
Purdue shot 8-10 on the arc in the second half.

— Georgia Tech 70, Wake Forest 69
Georgia Tech’s big guy hit a jumper with 0:00.4 left for the win.
Tech led this game, 26-4.
Terrible loss for Wake Forest, which is squarely on the bubble.

— Oklahoma 74, Cincinnati 71 OT
Sooners were 28-34 on foul line, Cincinnati 9-11
Both teams shot under 40% from the floor.

— UNLV 62, San Diego State 58
UNLV has won 10 of its last 11 games.
San Diego State started game 2-27 from the floor.
Aztecs had beaten UNLV eight times in a row in Las Vegas.

— Nevada 76, Boise State 66
Wolf Pack won their last six games.
Boise’s loss puts Utah State in first place, for now.

Word of the Day: Imbecile— a stupid person.

— Gonzaga/Saint Mary’s domination of the WCC has cost lot of other coaches their jobs; this week Pepperdine fired basketball coach Lorenzo Romar, who went 75-112 the last six years, 29-64 in WCC games. He previously had gone 42-44 in three years at Pepperdine in the late 90’s, and also coached at Saint Louis/Washington.
Romar went 298-195 in 16 years at Washington, making three Sweet 16’s in the NCAA’s.

— Cardinals 5, Twins 4- Paul Goldschmidt hit a home run for the St Louis, the Cardinals’ first home run in nine exhibition games.

— NBA’s Milwaukee Bucks won their last six games, all of which stayed under the total.

— In the NHL, New Jersey Devils have trailed 1-0 in 45 of their 62 games; Devils are 30-32 this season, so they’ve bounced back well after usually falling behind early.

Famous birthdays on March 6th:
Sleepy Floyd, 63
Shaquille O’Neal, 52
Michael Finley, 49
Jake Arrieta, 38

— Stumbled across a station on Pluto that shows the old game show Hollywood Squares 24 hours a day; not the original Peter Marshall version, but one that ran from 1998-2004.
Martin Mull, Gabe Kaplan, Eartha Kitt, Brad Garrett, Rita Rudner, Jeffrey Tambor. Good stuff.
I’m a big game show fan; think that daytime TV these days would be better with more game shows and fewer contrived discussion/argument shows.

— Red Sox signed P Lucas Giolito for two years, $38.5M; now he has an elbow injury and might be out for the entire 2024 season.
Jeff Montgomery/Blake Snell are still out there on the free agent market.
 

Udog

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WASHINGTON is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the current season.

CLEVELAND is 38-67 ATS (-35.7 Units) in road games in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 since 1996.

MEMPHIS are 11-3 Under (7.7 Units) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games in the current season.

HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the current season.

UTAH is 14-2 ATS (11.8 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

MILWAUKEE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in road games as a road underdog in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons.
 
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