Thread watched CNOTES 2023-2024 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Cnotes53

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SATURDAY, MARCH 9

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CHI at LAC04:00 PMCHI +7.0
U 220.5
+500 +500
DAL at DET07:00 PMDET +7.5
U 234.0
+500 +500
BK at CHA07:00 PMBK -6.5
U 207.5
+500 +500
BOS at PHO08:30 PMPHO +5.5
U 226.5
+500 +500
SA at GS08:30 PMSA +10.5
U 227.5
+500 +500
UTA at DEN10:00 PMUTA +12.5
U 227.5
+500 +500
TOR at POR10:00 PMPOR +3.0
O 227.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Average home attendance in college hoop this year:
20,593— North Carolina
20,288— Syracuse
19,904— Kentucky
19,494— Tennessee
19,100— Arkansas
17,269— Creighton

Quote of the Day
“I just want to be good again.”
Dodgers pitcher Walker Buehler, recovering from his 2nd Tommy John surgery

Sunday’s quiz
What was the last team to lose the World Series in consecutive years?

Saturday’s quiz
Mark Jackson was coach of the Golden State Warriors before Steve Kerr.

Friday’s quiz
Over the last 35 years, only one college basketball team has lost twice as a #2-seed in the first round of the NCAA Tournament- Arizona.

***********************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a full day of basketball…….

Ohio Valley
Morehead State 69, Little Rock 55

#3-seed Eagles win OVC tourney, are first team in the Field of 68.

SEC
It was an upsetting day in the SEC…….
Kentucky 85, Tennessee 81
Sheppard was 7-11 on arc, scored 27 points in 33:00 off bench.
Tennessee’s 7-game win streak ends.

Vanderbilt 79, Florida 78
Vandy had 20 offensive rebounds.
Gators led by 12 late in first half.
Florida split its last six games.

South Carolina 93, Mississippi State 89 OT
Carolina is 13-5 in SEC; previous three years, they were 17-35.
Bubble team Bulldogs picked lousy time to lose four games in a row.
Tennessee won regular season title; four teams tied for 2nd.

ACC
North Carolina 84, Duke 79

Tar Heels jumped out to a 30-15 lead, then held on for dear life
UNC took 47 2-point shots, only 15 3-pointers, an old-school approach.
Cormac Ryan scored 31; he was 6-8 on the arc. He has an interesting history:
2018-19- Stanford
2020-23- Notre Dame
2023-24- North Carolina
Shooting is marketable.

Big X
Houston 76, Kansas 46

Not just an ugly loss; Kansas big man Dickinson hurt his shoulder.
Jayhawks are 4-5 in their last nine games.
Kansas is #333 in bench minutes, and they have injury issues.

Central Florida 79, TCU 77
Horned Frogs are 2-4 in last six games, are going to be close to the bubble.
Houston won its last nine games, won Big X by two games in its first year there.

Southern Conference
Furman 79, Western Carolina 76, OT

Pegues was 6-11 on arc, scored 29 points.
Paladins were +7 in turnovers (13-6)

East Tennessee State 73, NC-Greensboro 62
ETSU was 12-24 on arc; for year, they’re shooting 31.3% on arc (#308)
Semi-finals Sunday: Samford-Furman, ETSU-Chattanooga.

Mountain West
Utah State 87, New Mexico 85

Lobos are 4-6 in their last ten games, may be slipping off the bubble.

Nevada 75, UNLV 65
Wolf Pack has won seven games in a row.
UNLV is 10-2 in its last 12 games; they’re 19-11, but they’re going to have to win the Mountain West tournament to make the Field of 68.
Utah State is the #1-seed in the Mountain West tournament, Nevada is #2, Boise State #3.

Big East
Creighton 69, Villanova 67

Creighton led this game 32-8 early on.
Bluejays won seven of their last eight games.
There were a total of 7 foul shots in this game, the whole game.
Villanova is 17-14, 10-10 in Big East, 2-3 in last five games; they’re a bubble team. I’d much rather see the Drake-Indiana State loser make the NCAA’s instead of this mediocre team.

Pac-12
USC 78, Arizona 63

Just 2nd loss in last 12 games for Arizona, but I’m a skeptic on their NCAA chances.
USC won five of last seven games; they’re pretty good with Collier in lineup.

Upsets of the Day:
Saint Louis (+11.5) 73, St Bonaventure 65
Brown (+11.5) 84, Yale 81 OT
Vanderbilt (+9.5) 79, Florida 78
Central Florida (+8.5) 79, TCU 77
Kentucky (+7.5) 85, Tennessee 81
Rhode Island (+7.5) 58, Fordham 50
USC (+7.5) 78, Arizona 63
Texas State (+6.5) 74, Troy State 68
East Tennessee State (+6.5) 73, NC-Greensboro 62


Missouri Valley
Indiana State 94, Northern Iowa 72

Sycamores made 15-29 on arc, had stress-free win.
Indiana State won 15 of its last 17 games.

Drake 72, Bradley 67
Bradley led 23-9 early on; it was 38-38 at the half.
Drake made 11-24 shots on the arc.
Indiana State/Drake play for MVC title Sunday; it looks like it is winner-take-all. Bracketology doesn’t see the MVC getting two teams in the NCAA’s.

Big South
Longwood 80, High Point 79 OT

Top-seeded High Point loses, after leading by 15 with 12:28 left in game.
Longwood went 6-10 in Big South this year, but they play NC-Asheville in Sunday’s final.

Ivy League
Brown 84, Yale 81 OT

Yale led by 11 with 4:12 left in game.
Both teams shot 10-25 on the arc.
Brown has won six in a row; they don’t start any seniors, so they should be good again next year.

MAAC
Fairfield 96, Mt St Mary’s 92

Mt St Mary’s led 54-38 at halftime.
Stags won eight of last ten games; they’re #2-seed in the MAAC tournament.
Fairfield was 21-22 on foul line, Mt St Mary’s 7-11.

CAA
All four favorites won Saturday; William & Mary (+11.5) was only underdog that covered and they covered by half a point.

American
Tulsa 76, South Florida 70
Bulls had won 15 games in a row; their last loss was January 7 at UAB.
USF is 23-6, but Bracketology doesn’t have them in the Field of 68.
 

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LA CLIPPERS are 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better in the current season.

ORLANDO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.

HOUSTON is 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 35-63 ATS (-34.3 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games as a favorite of 10 or more over the last 2 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 8-20 ATS (-14 Units) when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) after a win by 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, March 10


85ERUyt.png
 

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NBA

Sunday, March 10


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Milwaukee @ LA Clippers
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 13 games on the road
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

New Orleans @ Atlanta
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Atlanta is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans

Houston @ Sacramento
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home

Indiana @ Orlando
Indiana
Indiana is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 8 games
Orlando is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Washington @ Miami
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

Memphis @ Oklahoma City
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

Philadelphia @ New York
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against New York
Philadelphia is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing New York
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games at home

Brooklyn @ Cleveland
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games on the road
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

Minnesota @ LA Lakers
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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SUNDAY, MARCH 10

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MIL at LAC03:00 PMLAC +5.5
O 222.5
+500 +500
NO at ATL06:00 PMNO -7.0
U 221.0
+500 +500
IND at ORL06:00 PMORL -2.0
U 224.0
+500 +500
WAS at MIA06:00 PMMIA -11.0
O 228.5
+500 +500
HOU at SAC06:00 PMHOU +6.5
O 234.0
+500 +500
MEM at OKC07:00 PMMEM +15.0
U 219.0
+500 +500
PHI at NY07:00 PMPHI +7.0
O 211.0
+500 +500
BK at CLE07:00 PMCLE -7.5
U 207.5
+500 +500
MIN at LAL09:30 PMMIN +1.0
O 222.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Monday’s 6-pack:
Six best teams in eFG% defense:
44.0%— Auburn (24-7)
44.5%— Houston (28-3)
44.7%— Saint Mary’s (24-7)
45.1%— UConn (28-3)
45.1%— Tennessee (24-7)
45.1%— Appalachian State (27-6)

Quote of the Day
“You suck at your job!!!”
Detroit Pistons fan, talking to Pistons GM Troy Weaver last week. Detroit is 70-229 in Weaver’s tenure as GM.

Monday’s quiz
When was last time the same team won the ACC Tournament two years in a row?

Sunday’s quiz
Dodgers (2017-18) are the last team to lose the World Series in consecutive years.

Saturday’s quiz
Mark Jackson was coach of the Golden State Warriors before Steve Kerr.

*************************************

Monday’s Den: Who’s Hot and Who’s Not with Champ Week here…..

This is just straight up wins/losses the last few weeks……

ACC
Hot:
North Carolina won its last six games.
Pitt 9-2 in last 11 games.
Duke 8-2 in last ten games.
Syracuse 4-1 in last five games.

Not:
Miami lost last nine games.
Louisville lost last seven games.
NC State lost last four games.

American
Hot:
South Florida 15-1 in last sixteen games.
FAU 13-3 in last sixteen games.
Memphis 4-1 in last five games.

Not:
East Carolina lost its last five games.
Rice lost its last four games.
Tulane lost seven of last eight games.
SMU lost three of last four games.

Atlantic 10
Hot:
Loyola won 10 of last 11 games.
Richmond won six of last seven games.
Duquesne won six of last seven games.
UMass won four of last five games.

Not:
Davidson lost its last five games.
VCU lost its last three games.
George Washington lost 13 of last 14 games.
Rhode Island lost seven of last eight games.
Fordham lost seven of last nine games.

Big East
Hot:
UConn won 18 of last 19 games.
Creighton won seven of last eight games.
St John’s won its last five games.

Not:
DePaul lost its last 19 games.
Georgetown lost 15 of last 16 games.
Xavier lost six of last eight games.
Providence lost three of last four games.

Big 14
Hot:
Purdue 14-1 last 15 games.
Indiana won its last four games.
Ohio State won its last four games.
Nebraska 6-1 last seven games.
Illinois 4-1 last five games.

Not:
Michigan lost its last eight games.
Maryland 2-8 last 10 games.
Wisconsin 3-7 last 10 games.
Rutgers 1-6 last seven games.
Michigan State 1-4 last five games.
Minnesota 1-4 last five games.

Big X
Hot:
Houston won its last nine games.
Iowa State 8-2 in last ten games.

Not:
Oklahoma State lost its last five games.
West Virginia lost nine of last ten games.
Kansas lost three of last four games.
Oklahoma lost five of last seven games.
TCU lost four of last six games.

Big West
Hot:
Cal-Irvine 6-1 in last seven games.
Cal-Davis 4-1 in last five games.
Hawai’i 7-2 in last nine games.
Cal-Riverside 7-2 in last nine games.

Not:
Long Beach State lost its last five games.
Cal-Santa Barbara 3-6 in last nine games.
Cal-Northridge 1-5 in last six games.

Conference USA
Hot:

Sam Houston won its last seven games.
Louisiana Tech 6-1 in last seven games.
Texas-El Paso won its last three games.

Not:
Western Kentucky lost its last four games.
Jacksonville State lost five of last seven games.

MAAC
Hot:
Rider won its last seven games.
Quinnipiac won its last four games.
Fairfield 8-2 in last ten games.

Not:
Niagara 1-4 in last five games.
Iona lost five of last seven games.
Mt St Mary’s lost five of last seven games.
Siena lost 14 of last 15 games.

MAC
Hot:
Ohio U won its last six games.
Toledo won its last three games.
Central Michigan 7-4 last 11 games (4 of 7 wins in OT)

Not:
Akron 3-5 in last eight games.
Ball State 3-6 in last nine games.

Mountain West
Hot:
Nevada won its last seven games.
Utah State won its last five games.
UNLV 10-2 in last 12 games.
Boise State 6-1 last seven games.

Not:
Fresno State lost last seven games.
San Jose State lost 13 of last 14 games.
Air Force lost 19 of last 21 games.
New Mexico 4-6 last 10 games.

Pac-12
Hot:
Colorado won its last six games.
Arizona 10-2 last 12 games.
Washington State 9-2 last 11 games.
USC 4-1 last five games.

Not:
UCLA 1-5 in last six games.
Utah 4-8 in last 12 games.
Stanford 1-6 in last seven games.
Arizona State 3-10 in last 13 games.
Oregon State 2-9 last 11 games.

SEC
Hot:
Tennessee 7-1 last eight games.
Kentucky 7-1 last eight games.
Auburn 4-1 last five games.
South Carolina 4-1 last five games.

Not:
Missouri went 0-18 in the SEC this year.
Mississippi State lost last four games.
Georgia 2-10 last 12 games.
Ole Miss 2-8 last 10 games.

WAC
Hot:
Texas-Arlington won its last six games.
Tarleton State 11-1 last 12 games.
Grand Canyon 10-2 last 12 games.
Utah Valley 7-1 last eight games.
Abilene Christian 7-1 last eight games.

Not:
Seattle lost its last three games.
Cal Baptist 1-8 last nine games.
 

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DETROIT is 51-30 Over (18 Units) after 2 straight games outrebounding opponent by 10 or more since 1996.

PHOENIX is 12-3 Under (8.7 Units) in the second half of the season in the current season.

DALLAS are 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games as a favorite in the current season.

SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the current season.




NBA

Monday, March 11


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Phoenix @ Cleveland
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 13 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Cleveland is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home

Golden State @ San Antonio
Golden State
Golden State is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Antonio's last 8 games at home
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Dallas @ Chicago
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

Toronto @ Denver
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Denver is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

Boston @ Portland
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing Portland
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games when playing at home against Boston


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, March 11


bMZIgZP.png
 

Cnotes53

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MONDAY, MARCH 11

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CHA at DET07:00 PMDET -4.0
U 217.0
+500 +500
PHO at CLE07:30 PMCLE +6.5
O 221.0
+500 +500
DAL at CHI08:00 PMDAL -4.0
O 233.0
+500 +500
GS at SA08:00 PMGS -4.5
O 227.5
+500 +500
TOR at DEN09:00 PMTOR +14.5
O 231.0
+500 +500
BOS at POR10:30 PMBOS -9.5
U 217.5
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
:
— Pistons 114, Hornets 97- Detroit shot 70.5% inside the arc.
— Suns 117, Cavaliers 111- Cleveland scored 70 in first half, 41 in second.
— Mavericks 127, Bulls 92- Doncic had yet another triple-double.
— Warriors 112, Spurs 102- Warriors outscored Spurs 32-18 in 3rd quarter.
— Nuggets 125, Raptors 119- Toronto led by 17 points at halftime.
— Celtics 121, Portland 99- Boston scored 121 points, had only 3 turnovers.

Quote of the Day
“I’m not going to sit here and tell you to never throw a sweeper or never throw a hard changeup. But at some point, you have to say, ‘OK, when we see a pitcher throwing that pitch more than 15% of the time, the likelihood of him having an injury to his shoulder or elbow goes (up), whatever, tenfold.’”
Dr. Keith Meister, who works for the Texas Rangers, talking about injuries to pitchers

Tuesday’s quiz
Which NFL team drafted Kirk Cousins?

Monday’s quiz
2010/2011 was last time the same team won the ACC Tournament two years in a row; Duke won both of those tournaments.

Sunday’s quiz
Dodgers (2017-18) are the last team to lose the World Series in consecutive years.

**********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……


— It is March 12 and the NFL is in the headlines, with free agency starting. NFL is genius at promoting their sport, unlike baseball, which does a terrible job giving their sport exposure.
Friday afternoon, Bronx-Toronto game is on MLB Network, but the game is blacked out on DirecTV, at the bar where I’m having lunch. Game must be on the YES Network, right?
Ummm…..no. Game couldn’t be found anywhere. Why?!?!?
1) baseball needs exposure, so people can see what a great game it is.
2) baseball needs to promote its stars (Judge, Guerrero, Soto, Bichette in this game)
3) There was nothing else good on TV Friday afternoon; you had a captive audience!!!
4) Stop with the blackouts; your sport needs exposure!!!
Oy.
An explanation I read Monday: the salary cap creates a buzz for signing earlier in the free agent process. Baseball has no salary cap, thus less urgency to get deals done early in the off-season.
Lot of stuff actually happened Monday; here are some highlights:

— Atlanta Falcons gave Kirk Cousins a 4-year, $180M contract; Cousins tore his achilles last year; he is 77-70 record as an NFL starter, 1-3 in playoff games.
Baltimore Ravens re-signed DL Justin Madubuike for four years, $98M.
Carolina Panthers traded DE Brian Burns to the Giants for 2nd/5th round picks; Giants then paid Burns $150M for five years.
New Jersey Jets gave K Greg Zuerlein a 2-year, $8.4M contract.
Philadelphia Eagles gave RB Saquon Barkley a 3-year, $37.75M contract.
Las Vegas Raiders gave DL Christian Wilkins $110M for four years.
Raiders also gave QB Gardner Minshew a 2-year, $25M contract.
Washington Commanders gave RB Austin Ekeler a 2-year, $11.4M deal.
Commanders also gave C Tyler Biadasz a 3-year, $30M contract.
Commanders gave K Brandon McManus a one-year, $3.6M deal.
Washington was $91.5M under the salary cap, so they’re going to be aggressive.
Green Bay Packers gave RB Josh Jacobs a 4-year, $48M deal.
Good day for offensive linemen:
LA Rams gave G Jonah Jackson a 3-year, $51M contract.
Carolina Panthers gave G Robert Hunt a 5-year, $100M deal.

Famous birthdays for March 12:
Jake Kupp, 83 (played OL for Saints; Cooper Kupp’s grandfather)
Liza Minelli, 78
James Taylor, 76
Mark Moseley, 76
Dale Murphy, 68
Darryl Strawberry, 62
Aaron Eckhart, 56

— Cy Young champ Gerrit Cole will have an MRI on his pitching elbow; he threw 39 pitches in a game March 1st, hasn’t appeared in game since.
Good news for fans of Blake Snell, Jordan Montgomery, two free agent pitchers who still don’t have a home for the coming season, which starts next week.
JD Martinez, Adam Duvall, Michael Lorenzen, Tommy Pham are also still available.

— San Francisco Giants signed 3B Matt Chapman last week, then they waived 3B JD Davis, after he beat the Giants last month in salary arbitration. Davis will get just over $1.1M in termination pay rather than a $6.9M salary. Whoops.

— 1B Joey Votto signed on with Toronto, after playing 17 years for the Reds. Votto was born and raised in Toronto.

— Red Sox gave P Brayan Bello a 6-year deal worth $55M.

Word of the Day: Shenanigans- secret, dishonest activity; mischief, trickery.

— Something to think about this week: over the last 12 NCAA Tournaments, the 48 teams who made the Final Four went 44-4 in their first conference tournament game, 33-11 in their second conference tournament game.
Overall, 22 of the last 48 Final Four teams won their conference tournament.

— Kansas Jayhawks’ two best players are banged up, won’t play in the Big X tournament this weekend in Kansas City.
Hunter Dickinson dislocated his shoulder over the weekend.
Kevin McCullar has a nagging bone bruise that has bothered him for weeks.

Sun Belt
James Madison 91, Arkansas State 71
Dukes have won 13 in a row; they get to the NCAAs for first time since 2013.
Playing for third night in a row, Dukes made 11-19 on the arc.

SoCon
Samford 76, East Tennessee State 69
Samford gets to the NCAA’s for first time since 2000.
Bulldogs are 29-5, playing tempo #14; they’re shooting 39.3% on arc (#7)

CAA
Charleston 61, Towson 56
Charleston had a 13-1 run over final 3:13 of the game.
Cougars won their last 11 games.
Stony Brook 63, Hofstra 59
#7-seed Seawolves were an 8.5-point underdog.
Their three games with local rival Hofstra (1-2) were decided by 6-1-4 points.

Horizon
Oakland 74, Cleveland State 71
Jack Gohlke was 7-14 on arc, scored 21 points off bench.
For season, Gohlke is 116-315 on 3-point shots, 4-8 on 2-point shots.
Milwaukee 82, Northern Kentucky 75
Northern Kentucky led by 15 points in first half.
Milwaukee out-rebounded the Norse, 50-28.
Panthers won their last six games.

Summit
South Dakota State 59, St Thomas 49
Only 59 possessions in this game; very slow pace.
Jackrabbits have won seven games in a row.
St Thomas finishes 20-13, in their 3rd season as a Division I team.
Denver 66, Omaha 63
Omaha led by 4 with 6:50 left in the game.
Pioneers survived going 8-17 on foul line.

Big Sky
Montana State 91, Weber State 82
MSU outscored Weber State 66-48 in second half.
Bobcats made 13-27 shots on the arc.
Bobcats were an 8.5-point underdog.
Montana 87, Portland State 81
Teams were tied with 14:33 left in the game.
Montana starts five seniors; they’ve got #34 eFG% in country.
Final Four of the Big Sky had the #’s 3-5-8-10 seeds.

WCC
Saint Mary’s 79, Santa Clara 65
Gaels shot 65.6% inside the arc.
Alex Ducas shot 7-11 on the arc for Saint Mary’s.
Gonzaga 89, San Francisco 77
Zags have won nine in a row, 14 of last 15 games.
Zags’ last seven wins were all by 12+ points.
For 12th time in last 16 years, WCC tournament final is Saint Mary’s-Gonzaga.
— Underdogs were 8-6 ATS in Monday’s tournament games; they have a 61-56 lead ATS in conference tournaments this month.
 

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Tom Thibodeau is 62-34 ATS (24.6 Units) after 2 straight games attempting 80 or less shots (All games)

MEMPHIS are 32-17 ATS (13.3 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-2 Over (9.8 Units) in home games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.

UTAH is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the current season.

LA CLIPPERS are 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) after 2+ home games in the current season.

SACRAMENTO is 22-2 ATS (19.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.
 

Udog

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NBA

Tuesday, March 12


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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ New York
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing New York
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 8 games at home

Washington @ Memphis
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Washington

Indiana @ Oklahoma City
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Indiana's last 21 games on the road
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Houston @ San Antonio
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games at home
San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Boston @ Utah
Boston
Boston is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Boston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

Milwaukee @ Sacramento
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Minnesota @ LA Clippers
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota


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Cnotes53

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TUESDAY, MARCH 12

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PHI at NY07:30 PMPHI +6.0
U 209.0
+500 +500
WAS at MEM08:00 PMMEM +2.5
U 220.0
+500 +500
IND at OKC08:00 PMOKC -6.5
U 240.5
+500 +500
HOU at SA08:30 PMHOU -4.0
U 222.5
+500 +500
BOS at UTA09:00 PMBOS -7.0
O 230.5
+500 +500
MIN at LAC10:00 PMLAC -6.5
U 215.0
+500 +500
MIL at SAC10:00 PMSAC +1.5
O 235.5
+500 +500
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Six of the best prospects for the Seattle Mariners
— Cole Young, SS
— Harry Ford, C
— Colt Emerson, SS
— Lazaro Montes, OF
— Gabriel Gonzalez, OF
— Tyler Locklear, 1B

Quote of the Day
“If we had some sort of revenue sharing proposition that did not make student-athletes employees … I think that may be the long-term solution.”
Nick Saban, talking about competitive balance issues in college sports

Wednesday’s quiz
In the history of the Seattle Mariners, who has scored the most runs?

Tuesday’s quiz
Washington Redskins drafted Kirk Cousins in the 4th round of the 2012 draft, the same year they drafted Robert Griffin III in the first round.

Monday’s quiz
2010/2011 was last time the same team won the ACC Tournament two years in a row; Duke won both of those tournaments.

****************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

WCC
Saint Mary’s 69, Gonzaga 60

Gaels win WCC tournament for first time since 2019.
How did Saint Mary’s do in NCAA’s, after winning WCC title?
2010- #10-seed, made Sweet 16, lost 72-49 to Baylor in Sweet 16.
2012- #7-seed, lost 72-69 (-2) to Purdue in first round.
2019- #11-seed, lost 61-57 (+4) in first round, to Villanova

Horizon
Oakland 83, Milwaukee 76

Grizzlies win Horizon title for first time.
Last time Oakland made NCAA’s was 2011; they were in Summit League then.

Oakland is 17-3 in its last 20 games, after a 6-8 start.
Summit
South Dakota State 76, Denver 68

Jackrabbits are in NCAA’s for 7th time in last 13 years.
South Dakota State has won eight games in a row.
Opponents get 40.8% of their points on 3’s, the most against anyone in country.

CAA
Charleston 82, Stony Brook 79 OT

Charleston has won 12 games in a row, 2 CAA titles in a row.
Cougars won, after blowing a 10-point second half lead.
Good shooting: Charleston was 13-30 on arc, Stony Brook 15-35.

NEC
Wagner 54, Merrimack 47

Seahawks win NEC title, after losing 4 of last 5 regular season games.
Wagner is in the NCAA’s for first time since 2003, when Dereck Whittenberg was coach.

Atlantic 15
Saint Louis 74, Rhode Island 71

URI led 64-59 with 5:47 left in the game.
Billikens advance to play Duquesne tomorrow.

Big X
Cincinnati 90, West Virginia 85

Bearcats trailed 64-48 with 11:45 left in game.
Cincinnati advances to play banged-up Kansas tomorrow.

Famous birthdays for March 13:
William H Macy, 74
Dana Delany, 68
Will Clark, 60
Johan Santana, 45
Trent Dilfer, 52
Caron Butler, 44
Coco Gauff, 20

— College basketball coaching carousel:
Coastal Carolina hired Western Carolina coach Justin Gray.
Hampton fired Edward Joyner; they went 17-48/8-28 in two years in the CAA
Louisville is going to fire Kenny Payne, after going 12-52 the last two years.
Missouri State fired Dana Ford; Bears were over .500 the last four years.

— One of Colgate’s subs is the son of former NBA coach PJ Carlesimo.

— Stetson coach Donnie Jones is in the NCAA’s for first time in his 14 years as a head coach, but Jones was an assistant at Florida when they won back-to-back national titles in 2006/2007.

Word of the Day: Enthusiasm- a feeling of excitement, passion for something.

NFL knowledge…….
— New England signed QB Jacoby Brissett to a 1-year deal, with base salary of $8M. This suggests that the Patriots will draft a QB, and Brissett will start the rookie is ready to roll.

— Minnesota signed QB Sam Darnold to a one-year deal; he’s already played for three teams in his first six NFL seasons. Vikings will be his 4th team. Darnold is 21-35 as an NFL starter.

Vikings also signed RB Aaron Jones for one year, $7M.

— Baltimore Ravens signed RB Derrick Henry to a 2-year, $16M deal.

— Bengals traded RB Joe Mixon to Houston, saving $6.1M on the salary cap.

— Cleveland Browns signed QB James Winston.

— Washington Commanders signed QB Marcus Mariota.

— Underdogs were 11-6 ATS in Tuesday’s college basketball tournament games; they have a 72-62 lead ATS in conference tournaments this month.
 

Udog

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TORONTO is 8-0 Over (8 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days in the current season.

ORLANDO is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game in the current sea...

INDIANA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) vs. division opponents in the current season.

DENVER is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 19-6 Over (12.4 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 12-38 ATS (-29.8 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home games after a win in the last 3 seasons.
 
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