Thread watched CNOTES 2023-2024 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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PORTLAND is 41-67 ATS (-32.7 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) after allowing 100 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 42-25 Under (14.5 Units) in road games as a road underdog in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 29-50 ATS (-26 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games in November games in the last 3 seasons.

INDIANA is 12-3 Over (8.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 301-234 Under (43.6 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1996.

MINNESOTA is 21-45 ATS (-28.5 Units) in home games after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher since 1996.

DALLAS are 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better in the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) off a loss against a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 80-51 Over (23.9 Units) off a home win against a division rival since 1996.
 
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NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, November 1

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NBA

Wednesday, November 1

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Trend Report
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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 1​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
POR at DET07:00 PMDET -3.0
O 216.5		+500 +500
MIL at TOR07:00 PMMIL -4.5
O 223.5		+500 +500
IND at BOS07:30 PMIND +11.5
O 236.0		+500 +500
BK at MIA07:30 PMBK +6.5
U 223.5		+500 +500
WAS at ATL07:30 PMATL -9.5
O 240.5		+500 +500
NO at OKC07:30 PMOKC -3.0
U 227.5		+500 +500
CLE at NY07:30 PMNY -6.0
U 209.5		+500 +500
DEN at MIN08:00 PMMIN +2.0
U 220.0		+500 +500
CHA at HOU08:00 PMCHA +3.0
U 223.0		+500 +500
CHI at DAL08:30 PMCHI +3.5
O 222.0		+500 +500
MEM at UTA09:00 PMMEM +1.5
O 225.5		+500 +500
SAC at GS10:00 PMSAC +7.0
U 227.5		+500 +500
LAC at LAL10:00 PMLAC +3.0
U 226.5		+500 +500
 
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NBA NOVEMBER BEST BETS !

11/01/2023...................................10 - 10 - 0.......................50.00%..........................- 5.00

TOTALS.........................................10 - 10 - 0.......................50.00%..........................- 5.00
 
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Thursday’s 6-pack:
NFL leaders in net punting yardage:
47.0— AJ Cole, LV
45.3— Michael Dickson, Sea
45.1— Bryan Anger, Dal
44.6— Mitch Wishnowsky, SF
44.2— Johnny Hekker, Caro
44.0— Logan Cooke, Jax

Quote of the Day
“I mean, obviously it sucks that we have to travel nine hours for a home game when Arrowhead is right down the street. But obviously we do have other fans that are all over the world, not just in the United States. So it gives them the opportunity to see some of their favorite players play.”
Chiefs WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling, on traveling to Germany for this week’s game

Thursday’s quiz
Who was the first manager of the Texas Rangers, in 1972?
Hint: I guarantee you’re heard of him, but as a player

Wednesday’s quiz
Raiders lost the Super Bowl after the 2002 season; since then, they’ve had 20 head coaches, not including interim coaches. Next year’s coach will be #21.

Tuesday’s quiz
On the old TV show Friends, Morgan Fairchild played Chandler’s mother.

*************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….​

— Rangers 5, Diamondbacks 0
Texas won despite not having a hit in the first six innings.
Eovaldi tossed six shutout innings for the Rangers.
Semien hit a two-run homer; Seager was Series MVP. .
Rangers get their first-ever World Series title.
— Fourth World Series ring as a manager for Bruce Bochy, who needs to be inducted into the Hall of Fame, like tomorrow. He has a career record of 20-10 in one-run games in the playoffs.

— Bowling Green 24, Ball State 21
Falcons kicked a 22-yard FG with 3:14 left for the win.
Bowling Green led 14-7 at halftime.
Ball State was 8-13 on 3rd down, Falcons were 4-13.
Bowling Green was +2 in turnovers.

— Akron 31, Kent State 27
1-8 Kent State led 26-10 after three quarters.
Zips drove 57 yards, scored 5-yard TD with 0:26 left for the win.
Kent State averaged 10 yards/pass attempt.
Akron QB Undercuffer was 23-39/298 passing, with 2 TD’s.

— Raiders are starting rookie QB Aiden O’Connell against the Giants Sunday, his 2nd NFL start. So, in the last 72 hours, Raiders have……….
Fired their coach
Fired their GM
Fired their offensive coordinator.
Benched their quarterback.
Somehow, they’re favored against the Giants this week.

— Since 2003, 35 NFL head coaches have been fired during the season; teams that fired the coach are 16-19 SU/19-16 ATS in their first game with the interim coach, but I’m guessing most of them were underdogs.

— Word of the Day: Integrity— being honest and having strong principles.

— Falcons have benched QB Desmond Ridder; Taylor Heinicke will start at home this week against the Vikings. Heinicke has a 12-12-1 record as an NFL starter.

— college football teams who have gone over the total the most this year:
8-0— LSU
8-1— USC, Vanderbilt
7-1— New Mexico
6-1-1— Boston College
7-2— UMass

— college football teams with best records ATS:
7-1— Arizona, UNLV
6-1-1— Oregon, Rutgers
4-2— Miami, OH

— Odds on the Clippers to win the NBA title dropped from 22-1 to 14-1 after they acquired James Harden this week.

— West Virginia’s new point guard, Kerr Kriisa, is suspended for the first nine games this season, after he admitted to accepting impermissible benefits at Arizona. Kriisa scored 9.9 ppg and dished out 5.1 assists/game for the Wildcats last year.

— I’m looking forward to voting next week, but not because of elections or politics or any of that nonsense; we have a new polling place this year, the grade school I graduated from 50 years ago, and it’ll fun to be in the old building again.
Plus, lot of times they have bake sales at polling places; bake sales are a good thing.

— From the “time flies” department: College basketball season starts Monday night, so things will get very busy at Armadillo World HQ. November is a fun time of year.
 
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TORONTO is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog since 1996.

NEW ORLEANS are 111-71 Over (32.9 Units) in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games since 1996.

Will Hardy is 22-7 ATS (14.3 Units) when the total is 22-229.5 (Coach of UTAH)

SAN ANTONIO is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, November 2

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NBA

Thursday, November 2

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Trend Report
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Toronto @ Philadelphia
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Detroit @ New Orleans
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
New Orleans is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Detroit

Orlando @ Utah
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Orlando

San Antonio @ Phoenix
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games at home


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THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 2​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
TOR at PHI07:00 PMTOR +8.0
O 214.5		+500 +500
DET at NO08:00 PMNO -5.0
U 215.0		+500 +500
ORL at UTA09:00 PMORL -1.5
U 220.5		+500 +500
SA at PHO10:00 PMSA +9.0
O 227.0		+500 +500
 
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NBA NOVEMBER BEST BETS !

11/02/2023.....................................4 - 4 - 0.......................50.00%..........................- 2.00
11/01/2023..................................10 - 10 - 0.......................50.00%..........................- 5.00

TOTALS........................................14 - 14 - 0.......................50.00%..........................- 7.00
 
Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack:
Some interesting college hoop games next week:
Monday— Georgia vs Oregon
Tuesday— Auburn vs Baylor
Wednesday— Mississippi State vs Arizona State
Friday— Wake Forest @ Georgia
Texas A&M @ Ohio State
Tennessee @ Wisconsin

Quote of the Day
“It’s not a celebration that we have a new coach and there’s been changes made. We, obviously, think it was time, one way or the other, it was time for some sort of change. Just to bring a little juice in and revitalize the team a little bit. So, I think that’s kind of the mindset we’re having, just trying to have fun and enjoy our time in this building because I think as we speak to each other, it’s been too much of, this has just been feeling like work too much and not having enough fun.”
Raiders WR Davante Adams

Friday’s quiz
Where did Patrick Mahomes play his college football?

Thursday’s quiz
Ted Williams was the first manager of the Texas Rangers, in 1972.

Wednesday’s quiz
Raiders lost the Super Bowl after the 2002 season; since then, they’ve had 20 head coaches, not including interim coaches. Next year’s coach will be #21.

******************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here………

— Steelers 20, Titans 16
Titans in first half: 37 plays, 220 yards, 13 points.
Titans in second half: 34 plays, 152 yards, 3 points.
Tennessee is 0-4 SU in true road games, losing by 1-24-7-4 points (1-3 ATS)
Titans scored 27-27-28 points in wins; they scored 15-3-16-16-16 in losses.

Steelers drove 92 yards, scored game-winning TD with 4:02 left.
Pitt is 30-16-1 ATS in last 47 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
Seven of eight Steeler games stayed under the total.
Last seven games, Steelers have a +9 turnover margin.

Under is 20-7 in NFL primetime games this season.

On bright side for Tennessee, rookie QB Levis looks like a keeper.

— Texas Tech 35, TCU 28
Red Raiders led 20-7 at halftime.
TCU QB Hoover threw for 352 yards, but also two INTs.
Tech RB Brooks ran 31 times for 146 yards and a TD.
Both teams are 4-5 now.

— Duke 24, Wake Forest 21
Duke kicked a 26-yard FG at the gun to win the game.
Deacons outgained Duke, 400-267.
Both teams turned ball over twice.
Duke is 6-3; they’re bowl eligible now.

— Troy 28, South Alabama 10
Troy WR Lewis caught four passes for 120 yards, 3 TD’s.
South Alabama was 0-10 on third down conversions.
Trojans are 7-2 this season.

— Spurs 132, Suns 121
San Antonio led 75-55 at halftime.
Rookie Wembanyama scored 38 points, was +21 for the Spurs.
San Antonio swept both games in their visit to Phoenix.

— Canucks 10, Sharks 1
San Jose is 0-9-1; they’ve been outscored 45-10.

— Movie of the Day: Major League (1989)— The new owner of a major league team puts together a purposely horrible team so they’ll lose and she can move the team and make more money. But when the plot is uncovered, they start winning just to spite her.

Tom Berenger is the team’s catcher, Charlie Sheen a reliever, Corbin Bernsen the 3B and best of all, Bob Uecker is the radio announcer.

— Max Scherzer gets a World Series ring this year; he also got:
$15M from Washington
$36.6M from the Mets
$6.7M from the Rangers

$58.3M and a World Series ring; pretty good year.

— Padres’ DH Nelson Cruz retired this week, he finishes with 464 home runs, 2,053 hits. He was MVP of the ALCS in 2011, the last time Texas made the World Series before this year.

— Over is 7-0 in LSU’s football games this fall.

— When was the last time Clemson/USC were home underdogs on the same day?

— Oklahoma plays Oklahoma State this week; with the Sooners bolting to the SEC, is this the last time these inter-state rivals will meet?

They’ve been playing since 1904, 117 times in all. Too bad $$$ intruded and ended one of the better rivalries in college football.

— Memphis Grizzlies are 0-5 this season; last time they were 0-5 was 2002.

— Lakers 130, Clippers 125 OT
Great game Wednesday night, kind of like a playoff game.
Lebron James scored 35 points, had 12 rebounds, 7 assists in 42:00.
Anthony Davis played 48:00, Kawhi Leonard 41:00; it was like real basketball.
 
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J.B. Bickerstaff is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games after a combined score of 185 points or less (Coach of CLEVELAND)

MILWAUKEE is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 25-10 ATS (14 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 102-70 Under (25 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) since 1996.

MIAMI is 20-8 ATS (11.2 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 231-172 ATS (41.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.

PORTLAND is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) as a home underdog in the last 3 seasons.
 
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NBA

Friday, November 3

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Trend Report
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Cleveland @ Indiana
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games
Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

New York @ Milwaukee
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 10 games on the road
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 11 games

Brooklyn @ Chicago
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Brooklyn's last 11 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 11 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

Golden State @ Oklahoma City
Golden State
Golden State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Oklahoma City's last 25 games when playing Golden State

Washington @ Miami
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

Dallas @ Denver
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home

Memphis @ Portland
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 9 games when playing Portland
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Portland's last 9 games when playing Memphis


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Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 3​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CLE at IND07:00 PMIND +2.0
O 229.0		+500 +500
NY at MIL07:30 PMNY +5.5
U 224.0		+500 +500
WAS at MIA08:00 PMWAS +8.5
O 225.0		+500 +500
BK at CHI08:00 PMCHI -3.5
U 222.0		+500 +500
GS at OKC08:00 PMGS -6.0
U 225.0		+500 +500
MEM at POR10:00 PMMEM -3.5
U 221.0		+500 +500
DAL at DEN10:00 PMDEN -6.0
O 228.0		+500 +500
 
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