Thread watched CNOTES 2023-2024 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Udog

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Saturday’s 6-pack:

Boston College 17, Syracuse 10- Eagles scored winning TD with 2:23 left.
Wyoming 24, Colorado State 15- 6-3 Cowboys ran ball for 194 yards.
Warriors 141, Thunder 139- Golden State subs were +25, starters minus-15.
Pacers 121, Cavaliers 116— Indiana led 70-53 at halftime.
Nuggets 125, Dallas 114— Jokic had 33 points, 14 boards, 9 assists.
Blazers 115, Grizzlies 113, OT— Memphis blew 10-point lead with 3:10 left.

Quote of the Day
“The secret of success is sincerity. Once you can fake that, you’ve got it made.”
Jean Giraudoux

Saturday’s quiz
Which NBA team drafted Shaquille O’Neal?

Friday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes played his college football at Texas Tech.

Thursday’s quiz
Ted Williams was the first manager of the Texas Rangers, in 1972.

************************************

Saturday’s Den: Shooting the breeze about a bunch of stuff……

— Brook Lopez plays for the Milwaukee Bucks; he is 35 years old, has been in the NBA for 16 years now. What makes him interesting is how he re-invented his skill set in the middle of his career.

In the first eight years of his career, the 7-foot tall Lopez stayed close to the basket- he was a combined 3 for 31 on 3-pointers.

I’ll repeat that: in years 1-8 of his career, he was 3-31 on the arc.

Then he decided to re-invent himself; since then, Lopez is 791-2,264 on the arc. This is truly remarkable, how an 8-year NBA veteran totally changed his game so he could stay in the NBA.

For his career, Lopez is averaging 16.3 ppg. Shooting is marketable; he is a 79.6% career shooter on the foul line, 34.6% on the arc, 53% inside the arc.

Lopez will earn $25M this year, $23M next year, which will put him over $221M in career earnings. He’s worked very hard to sharpen and increase his skill set. Good for him.

— Here’s a stat for you: NHL teams that have played consecutive nights on road:
6-5 the first night
3-8 the second night

— and another interesting stat: NBA road teams who played the night before are 2-8 ATS:
2-3 if they played on the road the previous night
0-5 if they played at home the previous night

— best NFL teams in the red zone:
5.50 points/drive- Ravens (34 drives)
5.46- Chargers (24 drives)
5.43- Rams (only 21 drives)
5.34- Bills (32 drives)
5.23- Bears (only 22 drives)

— worst NFL teams in the red zone:
2.81- Giants (gave up a TD on defense and a blocked FG TD)
3.78- Vikings (23 drives)
3.95- Jets (only 19 drives)
4.09- Titans (23 drives)
4.15- Jaguars (only 20 drives)

— most TD plays of 20+ yards:
13- Dolphins
10- Lions
8- Vikings, Jaguars
7- Colts
6- Eagles, Bears
5- Commanders

— fewest TD plays of 20+ yards:
0- Ravens, Falcons
1- Panthers, Bengals, Raiders, Giants, Seahawks
2- Browns, Packers, Patriots

— Word of the Day: gimmick— a trick or device intended to attract attention, business and/or publicity.

The NBA’s in-season tournament is most definitely a gimmick.

— Place I usually go to for lunch was closed Friday; they had fire in the kitchen or something like that, so I went somewhere else, a place I used to go to a lot 20 years ago, when I lived near there.

Walk in, and the waitress is arguing with a guy who was eating chicken wings with peanut butter on them. Turns out the guy also works there, but it was funny listening to them argue. She was actually yelling at him; it did look a little gross, but he said he liked it.

There was Harry Chapin music playing when I walked in, a pleasant surprise.

I passed on the chicken wings/peanut butter combo- not my thing.

— Sounds like Deshaun Watson will start at QB for Cleveland Sunday, while rookie Clayton Tune gets his first NFL start for the Cardinals.

Can’t remember an NFL season with this many unsettled QB situations; teams are playing young QB’s before they’re ready; several other QB’s have gotten hurt. Very difficult year for picking games; they’re all tough, but this season teams seem to be a lot more fragile than usual.

— Dodgers P Clayton Kershaw had shoulder surgery this week, hopes to pitch at some point in 2024, but he is a free agent. Will teams wait until next summer to pursue him? Kershaw is 35 years old; he signed one-year contracts the last two years.

— College basketball starts Monday; how will Purdue bounce back from being only the second #1-seed to lose a first round NCAA Tournament game?

In 2018, Virginia was 31-2, a #1-seed when they got upset 74-54 by UMBC in the first round; not only were they the first #1 seed to lose, they lost by 20. It was stunning, but the Cavaliers came back the next season and won the national title, also as a #1-seed.

Purdue big man Zach Edey is surprisingly still in college, so the Boilermakers should be really good again this year. Maybe this time, his teammates will give him the ball in March.

— From 2018-22, Sean Lewis was the football coach at Kent State; he inherited a 2-10 team, went 2-10 his first season, but then the next four years, he went 22-21— he did a really good job there, making the Golden Flashes competitive.

This season, Lewis resigned at Kent State to become the offensive coordinator at Colorado, an odd decision, but he probably makes a lot more $$$ now.

Colorado was 1-11 last year, averaging 15.4 points/game; they made a splash in the off-season and hired Deion Sanders as head coach— he had been at I-AA Jackson State. Sanders hired Lewis as his OC, to mentor the Buffs’ quarterback, Sanders’ son Shedeur.

This season, Colorado is 4-4, scoring 32.1 ppg. They’ve lost four of their last five games, but Rome wasn’t built in a day; they’re vastly improved over last year.

Then word comes out this week that Colorado basically demoted Lewis, promoting former NFL head coach Pat Shurmur to co-offensive coordinator— he will work with the offensive line, and presumably, Colorado will run the ball more now.

The previous OL coach came to Colorado from Kent State with Lewis. It’ll be interesting to see next month, when the regular season ends, if coach Lewis goes back to being a head coach, since his work at Colorado doesn’t seem to be appreciated very much.
 

Udog

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PHILADELPHIA is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 33-58 ATS (-30.8 Units) after a win in the last 3 seasons.

INDIANA is 32-56 ATS (-29.6 Units) in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) since 1996.

LA LAKERS are 11-2 Over (8.8 Units) in road games after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent over the las...

BROOKLYN is 9-33 ATS (-27.3 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 18-5 ATS (12.5 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 21-5 ATS (15.5 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, November 4


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Udog

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NBA

Saturday, November 4


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Trend Report
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Phoenix @ Philadelphia
Phoenix
Phoenix is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 11 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Charlotte @ Indiana
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Charlotte's last 14 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Charlotte's last 14 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indiana's last 14 games when playing at home against Charlotte

LA Lakers @ Orlando
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Atlanta @ New Orleans
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Boston @ Brooklyn
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games at home

Utah @ Minnesota
Utah
Utah is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 8 games
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

Sacramento @ Houston
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Sacramento

Chicago @ Denver
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Denver
Denver is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games


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Cnotes53

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SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 4

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PHO at PHI01:00 PMPHI -5.0
O 221.0
+500 +500
CHA at IND07:00 PMIND -4.5
U 238.5
+500 +500
LAL at ORL07:00 PMORL +3.5
O 221.5
+500 +500
ATL at NO07:00 PMNO -2.0
U 234.5
+500 +500
UTA at MIN08:00 PMUTA +8.0
O 225.0
+500 +500
SAC at HOU08:00 PMSAC -2.5
O 222.0
+500 +500
BOS at BK08:00 PMBOS -9.5
U 227.5
+500 +500
CHI at DEN09:00 PMCHI +8.5
U 217.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NBA NOVEMBER BEST BETS !

11/04/2023.....................................4 - 9.........................30.76%...........................- 29.50
11/03/2023.....................................6 - 4.........................60.00%...........................+ 8.00
11/02/2023.....................................4 - 4 - 0.....................50.00%..........................- 2.00
11/01/2023..................................10 - 10 - 0.....................50.00%..........................- 5.00

TOTALS........................................24 - 27 - 0....................47.05%..........................- 28.50
 

Cnotes53

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
— 76ers 112, Suns 100— Maxey scored 25 points, handed out 10 assists.
— Hornets 125, Pacers 124— Charlotte subs were +39; starters were minus-34.
— Magic 120, Lakers 101— Lebron was +12; they were minus-31 without him.
— Celtics 124, Nets 114— Tatum scored 32 points, grabbed 11 rebounds.
— Nuggets 123, Bulls 101— Jokic had 28 points, 15 rebounds, 9 assists.
— Penguins 10, Sharks 2— San Jose is first team since 1966 to give up 10+ goals in consecutive games.

Quote of the Day
“I’m really proud of our team. In this two week’s time a lot of things went on in the program, and they kept in it..………You’re either quitting or fighting in life. That’s it. I’m really proud because we fought.”
Arkansas coach Sam Pittman

Sunday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes was the 10th pick in the 2017 NFL Draft; who was the only QB picked ahead of him that year?

Saturday’s quiz
Orlando Magic drafted Shaquille O’Neal with the 1st pick in the 1992 NBA Draft.

Friday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes played his college football at Texas Tech.

****************************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday…….

In football, field position matters; could someone please explain to the over-educated geniuses who advocate going for it on 4th down all the time?
If you go for it on 4th down at midfield and fail, that’s pretty much a turnover, and turnovers are killers in football- they give the opponent’s offense a short field to work with.
Kicking field goals is OK; three points are better than none. Seven points are better than three, obviously, but I’m thinking that getting no points is more of a negative than seven points is a positive.

— Oklahoma State 27, Oklahoma 24
Cowboys win the last meeting in the Bedlam series.
Teams had been playing for 114 years, three years before Oklahoma was a state.
Sooners gained 492 yards, but turned ball over three times (minus-2).
Why can’t these teams keep playing? In this era where $$$ matters so much, you’d think a guaranteed sellout every year would be appealing. Go figure.

— Clemson 31, Notre Dame 23
Tigers led 24-9 at halftime.
Notre Dame completed only 13-30 passes; they turned ball over three times.
Clemson went the whole game without getting called for a penalty.

— Texas 33, Kansas State 30 OT
Texas led 27-7 with 2:00 left in third quarter.
Teams combined to convert 4-28 third down plays.
K-State went for it on 4th-and-goal from the 3-yard line in OT; they failed.
Pet Peeve of the Week: Recruiting is important in college sports; if you’re in a great game like this one, just kick the FG in OT and keep playing. TV exposure helps recruiting.

— Ole Miss 38, Texas A&M 35
Rebels drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:42 left.
A&M trailed 14-0, scored first TD on 75-yard return of a blocked FG.
Aggies have lost nine road games in a row.
Rebels have trailed in second half in four of their eight wins.

— Arkansas 39, Florida 36, OT
Razorbacks end their six-game losing streak.
Arkansas gained 481 yards; they fired their OC last week, after a 7-3 loss.
Florida missed an extra point and a 44-yard FG.

— Alabama 42, LSU 28
LSU led 28-21 with 8:00 left in third quarter.
Alabama was 11-14 on third down, LSU 4-9
Alabama ran ball 46 times for 288 yards.

— Washington 52, USC 42
Huskies led 35-28 at halftime.
Washington ran ball 42 times for 316 yards.
USC lost three of its last four games, after a 6-0 start.

— Oregon State 26, Colorado 19
Colorado lost five of last six games, after a 3-0 start.
Beavers outgained Colorado, 418-238.
7-2 Oregon State ran ball 46 times for 195 yards.

— Upsets of the Week:
Army (+18.5) 23, Air Force 3
Stanford (+13) 10, Washington State 7
Indiana (+9.5) 20, Wisconsin 14
Temple (+6.5) 32, Navy 18
Arkansas State (+6.5) 37, Louisiana 17
Oklahoma State (+6) 27, Oklahoma 24
Arkansas (+6) 39, Florida 36, OT
Central Michigan (+5.5) 37, Northern Illinois 31


— Word of the Day: Irascible— describing someone who is easily angered.

— Temple 32, Navy 18
EJ Warner was 27-33/402 passing, with four TD’s.
Owls were 6-9 on third down; they survived four turnovers (minus-4).

— Illinois 27, Minnesota 26
Illini backup QB threw a 46-yard TD pass with 0:50 left for the win.
Illinois was 9-17 on third down, Gophers 3-12.
Illini WR Williams caught 13 passes for 131 yards, two TD’s.

— UAB 45, Florida Atlantic 42
Blazers tied game on a 70-yard TD pass with 4:20 left.
Blazers won game on a 26-yard FG with 0:03 left.
UAB led 35-14 with 12:00 left in third quarter.
UAB QB Zeno was 29-35/484, with five TD passes.

— Charlotte 33, Tulsa 26 OT
Tulsa led 17-0 with 5:00 left in first half.
Both teams scored in last minute of regulation.
Tulsa ran ball for 273 yards, was 12-22 on third down.

— Memphis 59, South Florida 50
Both teams need to recruit defensive players.
Total yardage was 583-580, USF.
Memphis is the quietest 7-2 team in the country.

— Army 23, Air Force 3
Air Force was unbeaten (8-0) coming into this game.
Falcons turned ball over six times, losing four fumbles.
This matchup stayed under the total for the 10th year in a row.

— Ohio State 35, Rutgers 16
Rutgers led 9-7 at halftime; then Ohio State got a 93-yard pick-6.
Rutgers had ball in red zone four times: 3 FG’s and the pick-6. No bueno.
Rutgers outgained OSU 361-328, but didn’t cover as an 18-point underdog.

— Iowa 10, Northwestern 7
This game, with lowest total ever, was 0-0 at halftime.
Since 2019, under is 37-19-1 in Iowa games.
Hawkeyes kicked a 52-yard FG with 0:14 left for the win.
 

Udog

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PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 304-235 ATS (45.5 Units) in home games after playing a road game since 1996.

GOLDEN STATE is 17-36 ATS (-22.6 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 45-28 ATS (14.2 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games after a loss by 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.



NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, November 5


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NBA

Sunday, November 5


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Trend Report
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Phoenix @ Detroit
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Detroit is 18-4 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Phoenix

Toronto @ San Antonio
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 8 games

Golden State @ Cleveland
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Golden State

Charlotte @ Dallas
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Charlotte

Memphis @ Portland
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 10 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Portland's last 10 games when playing Memphis


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Cnotes53

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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 5

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PHO at DET03:00 PMDET +3.5
U 219.0
+500 +500
TOR at SA03:30 PMSA +4.0
O 221.5
+500 +500
GS at CLE06:00 PMGS +2.0
U 220.5
+500 +500
CHA at DAL07:30 PMDAL -12.0
U 233.5
+500 +500
MEM at POR09:00 PMPOR +2.5
U 217.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NBA NOVEMBER BEST BETS !

11/05/2023.....................................1 - 6.........................14.28%..........................- 28.00
11/04/2023.....................................4 - 9.........................30.76%..........................- 29.50
11/03/2023.....................................6 - 4.........................60.00%..........................+ 8.00
11/02/2023.....................................4 - 4 - 0.....................50.00%..........................- 2.00
11/01/2023..................................10 - 10 - 0.....................50.00%..........................- 5.00


TOTALS........................................25 - 33 - 0....................43.10%..........................- 56.50
 

Cnotes53

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— USC fired defensive coordinator Alex Grinch after a 52-42 loss Saturday.
— Miami Marlins hired Rays GM Peter Bendix as their club president.
— Raptors 123, Spurs 116 OT- San Antonio led 54-35 at halftime.
— Mavericks 124, Hornets 118- Charlotte led 62-50 at halftime.
— Grizzlies 112, Blazers 100- Memphis wins its first game in six tries.
— Suns 120, Pistons 106- Kevin Durant scored 41 points for Phoenix.

Quote of the Day
“What he was able to do in really five days’ time was as impressive as I’ve seen a quarterback be able to do.”

Vikings coach Kevin O’Connell, talking about QB Joshua Dobbs
Monday’s quiz
Where did Nick Saban coach just before he became coach at Alabama?

Sunday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes was the 10th pick in the 2017 NFL Draft; Mitchell Trubisky was the only QB picked ahead of him that year.

Saturday’s quiz
Orlando Magic drafted Shaquille O’Neal with the 1st pick in the 1992 NBA Draft.

***********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..

Texans 39, Buccaneers 37
— Texans drove 75 yards in 0:40, scored game-winning TD with 0:06 left.
— Rookie QB Stroud was 30-42/470 passing, with 5 TD passes.
— Houston in 2nd half: 32 plays, 365 yards, 31 points.
— Texans are 2-10 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Bucs scored a TD with 0:46 left to take a 37-33 lead.
— Texans outgained Tampa Bay, 496-332.
— Bucs lost four in row, five of last six games (3-3 ATS).
— Texans took a knee after game-winning TD, rather than kick PAT that would’ve covered the 2.5-point spread.

Vikings 31, Falcons 28
— Vikings drove 75 yards in 1:46, scored game-winning TD with 0:22 left.
— QB Dobbs, acquired on Tuesday, was 20-30/158 passing off the bench.
— Vikings converted 7-16 on third down, Falcons 10-18.
— Minnesota won/covered last four games, scoring 19-22-24-31 points.

— Atlanta turned ball over on consecutive plays late in third quarter.
— Falcons drove 84 yards, scored TD to go ahead 28-24 with 2:08 left.
— Heinicke was 21-38/268 passing, in his first ’23 start.
— Falcons are 3-11-1 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.

Chiefs 21, Dolphins 14
— Kansas City led 21-0 at half, scoring defensive TD 0:33 before the half.
— KC has outscored opponents 165-59 in first half.
— Chiefs are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Opponents’ team total: under 7-2.
— Dolphins in first half: 25 plays, 110 yards, no points.
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 4-6 ATS as an underdog.
— Favorites are 8-0 ATS in Miami’s games this season.
— Miami scored 31+ points in five of six wins; 20-17-14 in losses.

Ravens 37, Seahawks 3
— Ravens ran 75 plays for 515 yards, Seattle 47 plays for 151 yards.
— Baltimore ran ball 41 times for 298 yards.
— Last six games, Ravens outscored opponents 108-19 in first half.
— Baltimore won five of last six games (4-2 ATS)
— Seattle’s first five drives: 20 plays, 50 yards, 4 punts and an INT.
— Seattle was outscored 60-6 in second half of their losses, 20-0 in this game.
— Seahawks are 10-16-1 ATS in last 27 games after a win.
— Seahawks scored 37-37-24-20-24 points in wins, 13-13-3 in losses.

Browns 27, Cardinals 0
— Arizona is 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS last six games, losing by 19-14-17-10-7-27 points.
— Cardinals ran 48 plays for 58 yards, Browns ran 71 plays for 326 yards.
— Cardinals have been outscored 135-47 in 2nd half of games.
— Three NFC West teams Sunday: no TD’s, 2 FG’s/33 drives, outscored 84-6.
— Browns’ three TD’s were on drives of 49-11-56 yards.
— Opponents have converted only 27-104 third down plays (1-12 here).
— Cleveland won/covered four of its five home games.
— Cleveland is 8-2-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.

Packers 20, Rams 3
— Rams lost four of their last five games.
— QB Stafford didn’t play: Rypien was 13-28/130 passing, no bueno.
— Last three games, Cooper Kupp caught 8 passes for 98 yards…….total.
— Rams are 8-18 since they won Super Bowl two years ago.
— Green Bay outgained the Rams, 391-187.
— Packers ran ball for 184 yards (4.8 yards/carry).
— Green Bay has outscored opponents 41-17 on 1st drive of a half.
— Team total: under 6-2. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3

Commanders 20, Patriots 17
— New England led 14-10 at halftime.
— Washington’s first two drives of 2nd half: 15 plays, 140 yards, 10 points.
— Commanders outgained New England, 432-327.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 5-5 as an NFL starter.
— Patriots lost five of their last six games (1-5 ATS).
— In those games, Patriots were outgained by 102.2 yards/game.
— Since Brady left, NE is 27-32 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— In his career, Belichick is now 82-97 SU without Brady.

Saints 24, Bears 17
— Saints’ TD drives were 45-75-47 yards.
— Last five weeks, Saints outscored foes 61-27 in second half.
— Under is 7-2 in Saints’ games this season.
— New Orleans is 4-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-3 scoring less than 20.
— Chicago turned ball over five times on 11 drives (minus-5).
— Bears are +5 in turnovers in wins, minus-12 in losses.
— In Bagent’s three starts, Bears are 20-39 on third down.
— Chicago is 6-14-1 ATS in last 21 games as road underdogs (1-3 TY).

Colts 27, Panthers 13
— Kenny Moore had two pick-6’s for the 4-5 Colts.
— Indianapolis led 20-3 at halftime.
— Colts’ offense in 1st half: 38 plays, 184 yards, 13 points.
— Colts in second half: 18 plays, 50 yards, no points.
— Panthers averaged only 3.2 yards/pass attempt.
— Panthers outgained the Colts, 275-198.
— In Young’s seven starts. Carolina averaged 5+ yards/pass attempt once.
— Carolina is 1-6-1 against spread this season.

Raiders 30, Giants 6
— QB Jones hurt his knee; they fear he tore his ACL.
— Giants in first half: 29 plays, 104 yards, 2 INT’s, no points.
— Giants lost six of last seven games, scoring 10 ppg.
— Giants’ team total: under 7-2.
— Raiders in first half: 31 plays, 231 yards, 24 points.
— Rookie QB O’Connell was 16-25/209 passing, in his 2nd start.
— Under is 7-2 in Raider games this season.
— Raiders won three of their four home games TY.

Eagles 28, Cowboys 23
— Dallas led 17-14 at halftime.
— Eagles’ first two drives in 2nd half: 17 plays, 147 yards, 14 points.
— Under Sirianni, Philly is 11-4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Eagles won eight of their first nine games (5-2-2 ATS)
— Prescott was 29-44/374 passing, with three TD’s.
— Dallas outgained the Eagles, 406-292.
— Cowboys are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to Philly.
— Cowboys are +9 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.

Bengals 24, Bills 18
— Buffalo is 2-3 SU in its last five games (0-5 ATS).
— Bills drove 85 yards for a TD on its first drive.
— next six drives: 37 plays, 160 yards, 2 turnovers, 3 points.
— Bills allowed 10-3-20-9-18 points in wins, 22-25-29-24 in losses.
— Cincy’s first two drives: 20 plays, 145 yards, 14 points.
— Bengals won/covered last four games, giving up 20-13-17-18 points.
— Last two games, Cincy averaged 7.6/7.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Last four games, Bengals are +7 in turnovers.
 

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INDIANA is 19-6 Over (12.4 Units) in home games off a home loss in the last 3 seasons.

ORLANDO is 26-12 Over (12.8 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 16-6 Over (9.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 39-63 ATS (-30.3 Units) in road games in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in road games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 36-17 ATS (17.3 Units) in road games as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 27-13 Over (12.7 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 104-155 ATS (-66.5 Units) in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season since 1996.

CHICAGO is 25-11 ATS (12.9 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

DENVER is 135-97 Over (28.3 Units) in home games after 2+ home games since 1996.
 

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NBA

Monday, November 6


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Cnotes53

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MONDAY, NOVEMBER 6

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
DAL at ORL07:00 PMORL -4.0
O 223.0
+500 +500
SA at IND07:00 PMSA +9.5
O 238.0
+500 +500
WAS at PHI07:00 PMPHI -11.5
O 229.0
+500 +500
GS at DET07:00 PMGS -7.0
O 224.5
+500 +500
LAL at MIA07:30 PMMIA -1.5
U 222.5
+500 +500
MIL at BK07:30 PMBK +5.0
U 233.5
+500 +500
LAC at NY07:30 PMNY -1.0
U 223.5
+500 +500
ATL at OKC08:00 PMOKC +1.0
O 242.0
+500 +500
SAC at HOU08:00 PMSAC -2.0
O 217.5
+500 +500
BOS at MIN08:00 PMMIN +2.5
U 221.5
+500 +500
UTA at CHI08:00 PMUTA +4.0
U 222.5
+500 +500
NO at DEN09:00 PMNO +6.0
U 221.0
+500 +500
 
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