Thursday Service Plays 9/4/08

the duke

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Bobby Esposito

20,000 Dime Opening Season Lock


ONE AND ONLY 20,000 DIME
PERSONAL SEASON
OPENING LOCK OF THE YEAR

New York Giants -4 over Washington
 

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LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR)


LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION:

VANDERBILT +10.5 ( NCAAF FOOTBALL) ^^^ Squares are jumping on the fave as expected. They got their tease as most big favorites covered in week 1 as well as the Overs. It's still in the unknown territory as we hit week 2, but the sharps and the dogs will slowly take over the party as Vegas isn't going to hand out free money on big faves much longer. This line opened at -9 and is now at 10.5 and could quite possibly go to 11 once the 9 to 5 crowd get off work but at worst it will settle at 10 which is a good number to work with and a generous number as we have a home dog that will be under the national lights on ESPN. Both teams found stars in their QB's last week. SC had no choice as Beecher threw 4 int's and got a concussion. SC switched it over to Sophomore Chris Smelley who was instrumental in three touchdowns. Chris Nickson who QB's for Vandy adds the dimension of mobility as he ran for 166 yards last week vs Miami-Ohio. Both offenses are going to have it tough tonight as both defenses played very well last week and really should be the focal points in tonight's match-up. Expecting to see some good defense that should keep the margin of victory close and that means a cover for our big dog tonight with Vanderbilt.



WASHINGTON REDSKINS vs NY GIANTS


Play: WASHINGTON REDSKINS +4.5 (free play)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: WASHINGTON REDSKINS +4.5 (free play) ^^^ We're not expecting much offense from either team. Both defenses are injured but this is the black and blue division of the NFC, so don't expect a blowout. With that said, a +4.5 line is more than generous for a dog. It is the first game of the season and this is a free play so don't go overboard because it's opening day. Sunday is around the corner and there's a full card of better games to play. Play it conservative and lets start the season with a dog to bark at +4.5
 

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Steam On-Line

Guaranteed Selections
Date: Thursday, September 04, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: We are very selective in baseball producing high percentage winners! Today we are releasing another 5000* LATE STEAM BASEBALL AFTERNOON WINNER! You can get this guaranteed winner today for just $25 and you will be charged only after you win! We are now on an 79-33 run since May 2, 2008 and we are on a 23-6 BASEBALL RUN! 9/4/2008

5000* LATE STEAM BASEBALL AFTERNOON WINNER
908 LA Angels w/Santana -154 1:05
 

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WINNERS EDGE-9/4/08

MLB:

Brewers RL -115 , 2 units

Angels - 160 , 1 unit


CFB:

Vandy + 10 , 2 units
 

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CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS: South Carolina vs Vanderbilt Play: Vanderbilt +10.5 (POD)Comments: PLAY: Vanderbilt +10.5 (POD)

CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Play: Pittsburgh Pirates +109Comments: Pittsburgh Pirates: T Gorzelanny -L / Cincinnati Reds :J Fogg -R^^^ PLAY: Pittsburgh Pirates +109
 

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Dr. Bob

Analysis

NY GIANTS (-4.0) 21 Washington 17
04:00 PM Pacific Time Thursday, Sep-04 - Stats Matchup
Washington rallied down the stretch last season to win their final 4 regular season games with backup quarterback Todd Collins in charge of the attack. Collins struggled in the playoff loss to Seattle, Joe Gibbs retired again and the Redskins have a new coach in Jim Zorn. Zorn brings with him a West Coast style offense that will probably suit quarterback Jason Campbell, who completed 70% of his passes as a senior at Auburn in a similar system. The West Coast offense requires accuracy and Campbell has that quality. Campbell only averaged 5.8 yards per pass play last season (excluding a 54 yard hail mary pass that was completed ? and random as far as I?m concerned), but he faced a teams that would allow only 5.8 yppp to an average quarterback. Campbell, while average on a yards per pass play basis, only threw 11 interceptions and he is more likely to limit his mistakes with more short passes in the playbook. It?s tough to say how Campbell will perform with a new offense to run, but I?ll call for numbers similar to last season. The rushing attack was hurt last season by two early season injuries to linemen RT Jon Jansen in week 1 and to RG Randy Thomas the very next week. With those two back healthy I expect Clinton Portis (1262 yards at only 3.9 ypr) and Ladell Betts (335 yards at just 3.6 ypr) to rebound with much better numbers this season. Washington was an average offensive team last season (although worse than average until Collins? late season heroics) and the Redskins should be about average offensively this season ? although they could struggle early on with the new offense (they?ve been inconsistent in the preseason).

Washington?s defense was among the best in the league in the first half of 2007, allowing just 4.7 yards per play through week 8 against teams that would combine to allow 5.6 yppl to an average team. Top cornerback Carlos Rogers was lost to injury and a couple of weeks later All-Pro free safety Sean Taylor was murdered. The Redskins started to get burned deep without Rogers and Taylor, but things turned back around the final 4 games when gifted young strong safety LaRon Landry played mostly as the last line of defense at free safety, which is the position he?ll play this season. Rogers has returned from his knee injury and has reportedly looked strong in camp, so I expect the Redskins? pass defense to be pretty strong with Rogers, Shawn Springs (coming off another very good season), and Landry all being All-Pro caliber players. The Redskins defended the run well all season, yielding just 3.9 ypr to teams that would combine to average 4.3 ypr against an average team.

Washington grades out as a better than average team, but a lot of that depends on how quickly the players get comfortable with the new schemes on both sides of the ball.

The Giants were the most improbable Super Bowl champs ever and their 4 game post-season run could lead to them being an overrated team this season. Eli Manning is not suddenly a poised, mistake free quarterback just because he had just 1 interception in 4 playoff games. Just before his good performance in week 17 against the Patriots Manning was playing the worst football of his career, which is pretty bad given how bad his career was up to that point. Manning threw 20 interceptions in 16 regular season games and finished the season averaging 5.8 yards per pass play (including the playoff games) against teams that would allow 5.9 yppp to an average quarterback. While Manning has a below average quarterback in every season of his career thus far I actually think he?ll be better than average this season in both yppp and in interception percentage, as last year? magical run is likely to give him more confidence and give his teammates more confidence in him. New York already has a great rushing attack that averaged 4.5 ypr last season (against teams that would allow 4.0 ypr to an average team) and they should be good running the ball again this season.

New York struggled defensively in a 35-45 opening day loss at Dallas, but star DE Michael Strahan and CB Sam Madison didn?t start in that game and the Giants? defense was much better starting in week 2 with those two players in the lineup. The Giants rated at 0.7 yards per play better than average defensively from week 2 through the Super Bowl, allowing 4.8 yppl to teams that would average 5.5 yppl against an average team. The Giants aren?t likely to be as strong this season with Michael Strahan retired and star DE Osi Umenyiora out for the season due to a recent knee injury. Those two ends combined for 21 sacks and 28 quarterback hurries last season and they?ll be impossible to replace. New York should still be better than average rushing the passer, but they won?t come close to the 3.1 sacks per game that they average in 2007. Less pressure on the quarterback from the defensive line will make it tougher for mediocre secondary to cover opposing receivers and the Giants could go from very good against the pass to average this season. The run defense should remain good with LB Antonio Pierce roaming the middle of the field (although he?s questionable for this game).

The Giants are probably going to be better on offense and not as good on defense this season, and they are certainly not that much better than an average team overall. The Giants look like they?ll be fighting for a wild card spot in the playoffs once again in what should be an 8-8 or 9-7 season.

My ratings favor New York by 3 ? points with a total of 40 ? points, which is pretty close to the line, but the Giants apply to a 41-21 game 1 angle.
 

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BEN BURNS

MAIN EVENT NFL

I'm laying the points with NEW YORK. Wagering on the defending Super Bowl champion typically doesn't offer much value and I likely won't back the Giants too often this season. That being said, I feel that they are providing us with solid value for Thursday's opener. Additionally, I've noticed that recent Super Bowl champions tend to have no problem "getting up" for their opening game. In fact, they have been downright dominant in their first regular season game. Let's take a look at how the defending champions fared in their seven opening games this millennium. Last season, the defending champion Colts began their season by smashing the Saints by a score of 41-10. Two years ago, the Steelers (-1.5) defeated Miami by 11 points, despite playing without starting quarterback Ben Rothlisberger. The previous season, the Patriots (-7.5) defeated Oakland by double-digits. The Patriots also beat the Colts the year before that but "pushed" as three point favorites. Prior to that, Tampa Bay (+3) traveled to Philadelphia and "upset" the Eagles 17-0 on Monday Night. The Patriots crushed the Steelers by a score of 30-14 the previous season while Baltimore (-9.5) beat up on Chicago by double-digits the year before. That's 7-0 SU and 6-0-1 ATS the last seven seasons! While I don't typically place a whole lot of importance on preseason results, it is worth mentioning that the Redskins enter the regular season on a real down note. After winning their first three preseason games under new coach Jim Zorn, the Redskins were absolutely horrible in the Week 3 'dress rehearsal' game, getting crushed by a score of 47-3. The defense couldn't stop anything and the starting offense did absolutely nothing. Campbell was 6-for-10 for only 39 yards, held onto the ball too long and was sacked four times. The Redskins' first-team offense played eight series, finishing with five three-and-outs, two turnovers and the end of the half. Of course, the play of the defense in that game wasn't helped by the injury to Jason Taylor. Still, as defensive coordinator Greg Blache noted: "I don't want to make excuses. We stunk pure and simple. If Jason got hurt, if Jason didn't get hurt, our job is to go play the next snap and play it as best we can. We came to the snaps after Jason got hurt and we didn't take care of what was important at that point in time..." After the Week 3 thrashing, in the hopes of getting rid of that bad taste and building some positive momentum, Zorn decided to play his starters a bit longer than normal in the preseason finale. That didn't help though as the Redskins lost that one by a score of 24-3 vs. Jacksonville. The Washington defense struggled again and the Jaguars held the Redskins' starting offense to a mere 14 total yards in three first-quarter drives! The Redskins are 7-10-2 ATS (6-13 SU) the last 19 times that they were underdogs of four points or less. On the other hand, the Giants are 13-6 ATS (14-5 SU) the last 19 times that they were favored by four points or less. Look for the defending champs to pick up where they left off, earning the win and cover on Thursday. *Main Event
 

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L O C K O F T H E D A Y

Thursday's Lock: NYG/Redskins Over 41



We'll make a small wager on the Over in tonight's NFL Opener. The Giants have lost their two best defensive players since winnng the Superbowl, Strahan and Umenyiora. Washington will be able to score some points in this game. Jason Campbell is a capable QB and the Skins have some super talent at wide receiver. Eli Manning will also get the G-men into the endzone at least three times. The Over is our pick.
 

kozski61

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BEN BURNS
MAIN EVENT NFL

I'm laying the points with NEW YORK. Look for the defending champs to pick up where they left off, earning the win and cover on Thursday. *Main Event



LENNY STEVENS
10 ny giants





Lou Diamond

So Carolina / Vanderbilt
Take Under

South Carolina Under is 4-0 in Gamecocks last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Gamecocks last 5 games following a S.U. win. Under is 25-9 in Gamecocks last 34 road games. Under is 20-8 in Gamecocks last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-2 in Gamecocks last 7 games overall. Vanderbilt Under is 8-1 in Commodores last 9 conference games. Under is 7-1 in Commodores last 8 home games. Under is 6-1 in Commodores last 7 games on turf. Under is 6-1 in Commodores last 7 games in September. Under is 4-1 in Commodores last 5 games following a S.U. win. Under is 4-1 in Commodores last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Commodores last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Under is 4-1 in Commodores last 5 games following a ATS win. Under is 7-2 in Commodores last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 10-3 in Commodores last 13 games overall. Under is 5-2 in Commodores last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Commodores last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.



John Fina

Selection: Oakland/Kansas City Over 9 [Game #2]

Put us down on the Oakland Athletics/Kansas City Royals Over 9 [Game #2] for our Free MLB Selection on Thursday. Today we see a high-scoring game as the Oakland Athletics do battle with the Kansas City Royals. One reason why we see a high-scoring game is because both these teams will send to the mound struggling starting pitchers. This says it all... The Oakland Athletics Starting Pitcher (Dan Meyer) has a 6.94 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Kansas City Royals Starting Pitcher (Kyle Davies) has a 5.17 ERA in his last 3 starts. As you can see, both these pitchers have been having huge pitching problems as of late. To say the least, we should see a high-scoring game. Take the Oakland Athletics/Kansas City Royals Over 9 [Game #2]!




Phenom

Washington Redskins



WINNERS EDGE-9/4/08

MLB:

Brewers RL -115 , 2 units

Angels - 160 , 1 unit


CFB:

Vandy + 10 , 2 units




bestnetpicksperiod
South Carolina (S: -10.0)


DannySports.
Vanderbilt (S: 10.0)





BoDog Sports
Washington Redskins (S: 3.5)



jokers sports
Washington Redskins/New York Giants
Over 41.0



TJ
Washington Redskins/New York Giants
Under 41.0




Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Triple-Dime Bet

Vanderbilt / South Carolina Over 41.0




Priceless Picks

1 Unit on Washington Nationals +123

The Nationals are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings, 8-1 in their last 9 overall, 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series, 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record, and 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Braves are 0-8 in Reyes' last 8 starts, 5-14 in their last 19 home games, and 7-20 in their last 27 vs. the National League East. Take the red hot Nats.



Akmens
20 stars on Tampa Bay




kelso

high rollers baseball

10 unit - nationals

best bets club
10 unit - twins

football 10 unit - giants




GamblersWorld

September 4, 2008

TIP OF THE DAY Sport: NFL Game: 7:00PM, Washington Redskins vs. New York Giants

Prediction: New York Giants Current Line: -4




Jimmy Broadway

500 Stars Redskins
100 Stars South Carolina





Jack Burnet from gametimewinners

50,000 Dime New York Giants





Bob Balfe

NFL Football

Redskins/Giants Over 41
We all have heard about the Giants problems on the D-Line. The problem with that is they now had to shuffle their linebackers which were not that good to begin with and the secondary is very capable of getting beat on any given play. This Giants defense really will struggle. Washington will go with more of a hurry up offense and will throw the ball a lot more, but tonight expect a high dosage of the running game. The Giants defense. should be on their toes all night. Eli Manning has been on a tear dating back to last seasons playoff run. The Giants offense is basically in tack minus Jeremy Shockey. Washington's defense gets a huge addition with Jason Taylor, but he might not play tonight and is a game time decision. The Giants have a ton of playmakers at the receiver position and have a huge height advantage. The Redskins also have some injuries in the secondary and linebacker position with guys recovering from season ending surgery last year. I do not expect either defenses to be ready for this opener. The Giants shouldn't miss a beat on offense and the Skins will be much improved. Take the Over.




Savannah Sports

NCAA Football
2 Units on Vanderbilt +10




Rose

2* min/tor under 8.5



Balfe

NFL Football
Redskins/Giants Over 41

We all have heard about the Giants problems on the D-Line. The problem with that is they now had to shuffle their linebackers which were not that good to begin with and the secondary is very capable of getting beat on any given play. This Giants defense really will struggle. Washington will go with more of a hurry up offense and will throw the ball a lot more, but tonight expect a high dosage of the running game. The Giants defense. should be on their toes all night. Eli Manning has been on a tear dating back to last seasons playoff run. The Giants offense is basically in tack minus Jeremy Shockey. Washington's defense gets a huge addition with Jason Taylor, but he might not play tonight and is a game time decision. The Giants have a ton of playmakers at the receiver position and have a huge height advantage. The Redskins also have some injuries in the secondary and linebacker position with guys recovering from season ending surgery last year. I do not expect either defenses to be ready for this opener. The Giants shouldn't miss a beat on offense and the Skins will be much improved. Take the Over.
 

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Larry Ness

Las Vegas Insider (1st of NFL '08 / won 1st CFB Insider 52-7!)-Thursday
My Las Vegas Insider is on the NY Giants at 7:00 ET. The Redskins overcame the tragic death of Sean Taylor by winning their final four games of the regular season, sneaking intro the postseason at 9-7 (did lose at Seattle in the wild card round, 35-14). Starting QB Jason Campbell was lost with a dislocated kneecap in the first game of that four-game season-ending run but Todd Collins stepped in and played well, especially in the team's final two regular season games. Of course, everyone remembers New York's incredible postseason run, winning three straight road games in the NFC playoffs before upsetting the undefeated Patriots 17-14 in the Super Bowl. Much has changed for the Giants on the defensive side of the ball since last February. Five starters from Super Bowl XLII will not be in uniform on Thursday night. DE Michael Strahan retired, LBs Kawika Mitchell (Bills) and Reggie Torbor (Dolphins) left as free agents, FS Gibril Wilson also left as a FA (Raiders) and DE Osi Umenyiora is out for season after getting hurt in a preseason game with the Jets (knee). However, 10 starters return on offense, as only TE Shockey (traded to the Saints) is missing and of course, he sat out LY's playoff run with an injury. Eli "came of age" in LY's postseason and most expect his improvement to continue. As for the Redskins, QB Campbell is on his third offensive coordinator as he begins just his fourth NFL season, as well as his seventh offensive system in eight seasons, dating back to his time at Auburn. Also, there is first-time head coach Jim Zorn, who has brought his version of the West Coast offense to the nation's capital. Campbell has hardly looked comfortable in that offense, as in his last three preseason games he completed just 11-of-24 passes (45.8 percent) for 70 yards (that's a pathetic 2.92 YPA!) without a TD and one INT. LY's two starting WRs Moss and Randle-El both underachieved plus Zorn has been very critical of the team's two rookie WRs (Thomas and Kelly), saying neither would contribute much during the early part of the season. TE Chris Cooley (66 receptions, 8 TD) is probably the team's best receiver. Eli was terrific in the 2007 postseason, throwing six TDs with just one INT, while compiling a 95.7 QB rating (20 points better than his regular season mark). His supporting cast remains largely the same with Plaxico Burress (70 receptions, 12 TDs) and Amani Toomer (59 receptions, 3 TD) heading up a deep receiving corps, while Brandon Jacobs (1,009 rushing yards) and Derrick Ward (602 rushing yards) man the running game. As for the Giants' D, don't sell it short. I expect the Redskins to struggle this year, as Zorn could be in "over his head." Meanwhile, like him or not, Coughlin is a proven winner. Defending Super Bowl champs are on a 6-0-1 ATS run when opening the following season with a prime time game and I see the Giants easily extending that run here. Las Vegas Insider on the NY Giants.



20* Non-Conference GOY (1st GOY play TY / 7-1 start to CFB '08)-Sat

My 20* play is on Penn State at 3:30 ET. Oregon State opened the '08 season with a conference road game at Stanford, losing 36-28. The Beavers had a chance late but fumbled the ball away at the Stanford goal line, with just under 50 seconds remaining. QB Lyle Moevao impressed with 404 yards passing and three TDs but he also threw two INTs (one returned for a TD) and also botched a swing pass which resulted in a Cardinal safety. WR Sammie Stroughter missed of most of LY with an injury but looked great in his first game of '08, with 12 catches for 157 yards and two TDs. Fellow WR Shane Morales, who had just 16 catches in '07, almost matched that total in his first game of '08, with 13 receptions for 151 yards. However, OSU's running game, which last year featured Yvenson Bernard (1,214 yards / 13 TDs), gained just 86 yards on 28 carries. Things hardly get easier for OSU this week, as the Beavers must travel to Happy Valley to take on Penn State. By the way, it should be noted that Oregon State is the only BCS school which is being asked to open the '08 season with back-to-back road games. Penn State opened its '08 season with a 66-10 win over Coastal Carolina. While it's impossible to make too much of that win, it should be noted that the 66 points were the most scored in an opener by a Penn State team since 1926! I was NEVER a fan of QB Anthony Morelli and senior QB Daryll Clark was a solid 11-of-14 with 146 yards (one TD / no INTs) in the team's opener. He's made even better by a trio of WRs in Butler, Norwood and Williams, who are now all seniors. PSU rushed 43 times for 334 yards in the easy win, as four players ran for 60 yards or more, led by redshirt freshman Stephon Green's 89 yards with two TDs. The Penn State defense owns a veteran DL and 2ndy and should have little trouble with the OSU running game (sans Bernard) and will be fore-warned about Moevao, after his 404-yard effort vs Stanford. OSU's defense allowed Stanford only 301 total yards but 210 of those came on the ground. I guess that should come as no surprise, as while OSU led the nation in rushing yards allowed in '07 (71 YPG / 2.1 YPC), the team returns just THREE defensive starters in '08, including NONE of the team's front-seven! Let's note that OSU traveled to Cincy last year and lost 34-3, traveled to Boise St in '06 and lost 42-14 and visited Louisville in '05, losing 63-27. That's three non-conference road losses by an average margin of 31.7 PPG. That margin sounds about right to me here, as well. Non-Conference GOY 20* Penn State.



SEC Game of the Month (7-1 start to CFB '08 / 3-0 with GOM plays)-Thursday

My SEC Game of the Month is on South Carolina at 8:30 ET. When these two schools met last October 20 in Columbia, South Carolina, the Gamecocks were 6-1 and ranked No. 6 in the AP poll. South Carolina took a seven-game series winning streak into that game and Steve Spurrier had NEVER lost to the 'Dores in 14 previous meetings (most as Florida's head coach). However, the 'Dores, 13 1/2-point underdogs, won 17-6.. They held South Carolina to 282 total yards and just 26 rushing yards as the team set a school record with seven sacks. The defeat was the first of five consecutive losses for the Gamecocks, who finished the '07 season just 6-6 As for Vandy, the 'Dores won the following week vs Miami-Ohio to move to 5-3, just one win away from being bowl-eligible. That's no small deal, as Vandy hasn't been to a bowl game since 1982. However, similar to South Carolina, Vanderbilt lost its final four games (finished 5-7), with the defense allowing an average of 33 PPG. Both teams won last Thursday, South Carolina 'pitching a shutout' at home to NC State (34-0) and Vandy winning at Miami-Ohio, 34-13. South Carolina's defense was great last week, holding NC State to just 138 total yards and its QBs to five completions in 20 attempts for 49 yards with two INTs. The Gamecocks really struggled for the first three quarters offensively, as QB Tommy Beecher was awful, completing 12-of 22 passes for just 106 yards, while throwing FOUR interceptions. Spurrier replaced him with former starter Chris Smelley and he led three TD drives in the fourth quarter, completing 5-of-5 passes for 92 yards with two TDs and no INTs. Smelley has been named the team's starter this week and look for the team's best WR, Kenny McKinley (77 catches / 9 TDs) to contribute more than his six catches for only 37 yards against the Wolfpack. The South Carolina ground game struggled a year ago averaging just 3.6 YPC but the Gamecocks have four starting OL back in '08 for TB Mike Davis, who gained 101 yards last week on just 14 carries. Vandy QB Nickson had a career-high 166 yards rushing last week and two rushing TDs but that came against a Miami-Ohio defense which is nowhere near as athletic as South Carolina's. Note that Vandy only out-gained Mia-O by 20 yards last week and that in LY's upset of the Gamecocks, Vandy only gained 269 yards. South Carolina does have Georgia up next week but the memory of last year's loss will be all the motivation Spurrier's team needs here to win and win handily. The road team has covered SEVEN of the eight meetings between these schools this decade and that form follows Thursday night. SEC Game of the Month 15* South Carolina.
 

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons write up

Triple-Dime Bet

Vanderbilt/South Carolina Over 41.0

The Gamecocks come into this game with revenge on their minds. Last season they were upset by Vanderbilt in a frustrating 17 to 6 defeat. South Carolina Coach Steve Spurrier was a perfect 14-0 in his career against the Commodores before that loss. Also, South Carolina had won seven straight in the series before that loss. With revenge on their minds, the Gamecocks will come in looking to explode on offense. With the uncertainty at QB coming into this season, we felt sure it would take a little time for South Carolina's offense to get comfortable. As expected, they did struggle in the first half against NC State last week. However, the Gamecocks opened things up (and poured it on) in the second half of that game and ending up winning big in a 34-0 final. The offense showed good balance with the running game and passing attack and we expect less turnovers this week after the offense turned to backup QB Chris Smelley to get rolling in that game. As for the Gamecocks defense, they also impressed last week. However, this week they must go up against a Vanderbilt team that went on the road last week and looked quite impressive in putting up 34 points on the scoreboard against a solid Miami of Ohio defense. The rushing attack of the Commodores was the key in that win (thanks to the QB spot too more on that below). They'll be ready to produce again this week as they enjoy the comforts of home after last week?s road opener. Vanderbilt did produce well last week against the Redhawks despite having just nine starters back from last season?s team. Their defense was able to get the job done against a weaker Redhawks offense but they?ll be put to the test by the Gamecocks offense this week after South Carolina got rolling in the second half of their week one victory. This gives the Gamecocks a lot of momentum heading into this week's game. Again, with the revenge motive this is a very strong spot for South Carolina but we have to respect what Vandy's offense did on the road last week. QB Chris Nickson is a dual threat and he got the job done on the ground against Miami of Ohio last week and that kept a good defense off balance. He can do that again here and this one turns into a back and forth high scoring affair as a result.
 

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Jeff Scott Sports

2 UNIT PLAY

NY Giants/ Washngton Under 41.5

The Under is 5-0 in Redskins last 5 games in Week 1 and 17-8-3 in Redskins last 28 vs. NFC East, while the 5-1 in Giants last 6 vs. NFC East and 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings in New York. Not one of the last 8 meetings in NY have then teams gone over 41 points, with the average score being just 30.1 ppg. Jason Campbell is now in his 7th offensive scheme in the last 8 years and it may take time for this unit to gell. After putting up 30 points in the HOF game vs Indy the Skins put up just 36 toal points in their next 4 preseason games. The Giants offense looked very good in their 2nd preseason game vs Cleveland, but in their other 3 games they put up just 36 total points.The Giant defense took some hits in the offseason and in preseason, but they played pretty well in the offseason, holding 3 of their 4 opponents to 14 points or less. I see them having sucess here vs a Washington offense that will take time to get its act together. The Giant offense has not been spectacular in the preseason as they put up 19 or less in 3 of the 4 games. I also feel this will be a game with more running and that will eat clock. The defenses really seem to be ahead of the offenses in this one and that should translate into the 7th Under in the last 9 meetings between these teams in NY.


2 UNIT PLAY

South Carolina -9.5 over VANDERBILT

Vanderbilt is 0-8 SU when playing on ESPN and they are are just 3-18 ATS off a DD SU win, while teh Gamecocks are 9-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Last year South Carolina was 6-1 and had a home date with Vanderbilt, but they lost that game 17-6 and went on to lose the next 4 games, which kept them from making it to a bowl game. Payback is tonight. South carolina looked awfully impressive vs the Wolfpack last week, especially on the defensive side as they did not allow NC State in the redzone all night. The Offense struggled in the first half, but when Spurrier put in Chris Smelley in the second half, they put up 31 of their 34 points. Smelley gets the nod tonight. The Vandy offense put up 34 points vs a weak Miami-O defense that allowed 25 and 26 ppg the last 2 years, but this team still returns just 3 offensive starts, including none on the OL and they won't find the going so easy in this one. The Vandy defense did give up 13 points last week, but they allowed 340 yards of offense and were aided by 3 INT's. Vandy won by 21 points last week, but still outgained Miami by just 20 yards, plus they have not done well off a DD win (See Above). South Carolina may have a look-a-head game vs Georgia on deck, but Vandy upset them last year on their own field and I expect Spurrier to have his team ready to play. SC wins by 17 or more in this one.


1 UNIT PLAY

South Carolina/ Vandy Under 41

The Under is 25-9 in Gamecocks last 34 road games and 20-8 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, while the Under is 8-1 in Commodores last 9 conference games and 6-1 in their last 7 games in September. I really don't see Vandy getting more than 7 points in this one, while the Gamecocks will put up about 24-28 points. Should be an easy win for SC, but with a game that will end under 41.
 

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Vegas Sports Experts

The VSE NFL Football Power Play is

10* Take Washington (+4) over New York (NFL Power Play)
(Guaranteed Winner or NFL Season Free)

NY Giants
? 2-6 SU & ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less the last 3 years
? 1-3 SU & ATS when playing in the 1st two weeks of the season
? Allowed an average of 26 ppg on defense at home last year


3* Take South Carolina (-10) over Vanderbilt (Bonus Play)

South Carolina
? 8-2 ATS in road games when the total posted is 42 points or less
? 13-3 SU vs. Vanderbilt since 1992
? 6-1 ATS coming off a home win the last 3 seasons
 

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Plus10Club

Opposite Action Plays
Pick: VANDERBILT +10

JB Sports
Pick: NEW YORK GIANTS -4

Sunday Selections
Pick: Redskins / Giants OVER 41

LT Profits
Pick: S. Carolina / Vanderbilt UNDER 41.5

Mike Lineback
Pick: Redskins / Giants UNDER 41.5

Mike Rose
Pick: Twins / Blue Jays UNDER 8.5

Ken Jenkins
Pick: Redskins / Giants UNDER 41.5

Rocketman Sports
Pick: S. CAROLINA -10

Alex Smart
Pick: WASHINGTON REDSKINS +4.5
 

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Robert Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take Over 8.5 New York Yankees at Tampa Bay
1-Unit Play. Take Minnesota (+100) over Toronto
1-Unit Play. Take Tampa Bay (-160) over New York Yankees



Jim Feist


5* Redskins

Platinum Vandy


Dave Cokin

3* NY Giants

Hat Vandy
 

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3Daily Winners

Washington Redskins vs. New York Giants
Play:New York Giants -4.5

Its opening night of a new season and Roger the Commish and his minions give us an old-fashioned NFC East rivalry to kick-off a new 17-week regular season. The Giants start under the leadership of Eli Manning, no longer challenged if he can be The Man in New York. The Giants do have problems coming into the season with injuries, free agency and retirement taking away many of the aspects that contributed to spectacular late season run. This is not to say the cupboard is bare on defense for the G-Men, rather signals defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo will have to meet the challenge with new personnel. Last year the Giants were 6-0 ATS when they held teams between 15 and 21 points. Washington has given unproven Jim Zorn the keys to the Redskins present and future, with plenty of doubt surrounding the environment. While quarterback Jason Campbell strives to learn yet another offensive system, how the running game works will determine early season success or failure of Washington. The offensive line brought back a couple of old faces that were injured last season, but essentially the group is the same, meaning Clinton Portis will have to use his vision and shiftiness to find holes. The Giants will try to clog running lanes; to stifle Skins attack and make Campbell hit many of his new receivers. Washington arrives in New Jersey 13-5-1 ATS against NFC East opponents. The Giants are 10-6 and 9-7 ATS hosting Washington since 1992, with the visitor having covered three in a row. Serious football bettors will want to watch how Redskins T Stephen Heyer handles DE Justin Tuck. Heyer is descent player who gives good effort. Tuck has high motor and quickness off the ball. Whoever wins this battle will help team immeasurably. Another battle is Plaxico Burress vs. Shawn Springs. When Plax plays like he did in the postseason, he is unstoppable in all the various pass routes. Springs is intelligent defender, and will try to jam Burress to throw off timing routes of which Manning is extremely comfortable throwing. Lastly, will Manning be able to have TE Kevin Boss as reliable bailout? Boss looked uncertain in preseason. This could cause teams to double Burress if they don?t fear Boss or any other Giants tight ends. Washington is 5-5 and 2-6-2 ATS in first game of the season and 6-10 ATS on the road the last two seasons. New York is also .500 in first tilt, with exact same spread record at 5.5. Keep in mind the Super Bowl champs are 6-0-1 ATS in first game the next season. Add it up and New York is the play, unless it goes to -5 points, than pass.
 

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Beat Your Bookie

100- Milwaukee
50- La Angels

NFL 100
Washington

NCAA 100
South Carolina


LT Profits

2 Units NY Giants -4?
2 Units Under 41?
 
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