I know the stats that you posted for the Yanks and Everything does point to the Yankers tonight..
but beware of them at Camden tonight. Mussina's numbers @ Camden are ok, but the O's can get to him. especially with this lineup that they have now, and his numbers @ Camden are a bit misleading.
See, Moose is on avg. a -98 fav vs. the O's. on Avg. last time he was below -50 was this year when he was struggling and lopez had an ERA of 0.38. This price is odd IMO as Riley who is a lefty, has only pitched what, almost 50 innings???? and has been rocked by other teams not as potent as the yanks?? Makes you go Hmmm...MORA, MATOS and Probably SURHOFF wont be in the Lineup today, which is a wonder to me that the Yanks are not at least a -80 favorite.
the O's have been swept 2x this year by the Yanks..and I just dont see them losing this game tonight, even though EVERYTHING points stat wise to the Yanks destroying the O's.
This O's lineup has some good success against Moose which may constitute for a slight decrease in the Price but not -30, -40 worth.
Here are some BA vs. Mussina
Larry Bigbie 19 2 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 0 .105 .105 .105 .211
Jay Gibbons 20 7 2 0 1 1 1 4 0 0 0 .350 .409 .600 1.009
Jerry Hairston Jr. 19 4 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 1 1 .211 .238 .211 .449
Javy L?pez 12 5 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 .417 .417 .750 1.167
Rafael Palmeiro 31 11 2 0 4 8 3 4 0 0 1 .355 .400 .806 1.206
Brian Roberts 18 10 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 .556 .556 .722 1.278
Miguel Tejada 26 10 0 0 3 8 4 3 1 0 0 .385 .452 .731 1.182
Im on the O's and the Over looks like a Good, "safe" play as well, but my thinking is that If the O's win, they shutdown the Yanks so I am not playing the total of this game.
OBTW, I am and O's fan! but nonetheless, careful with the Yanks tonight...All with Good intent.
But I lose ALOT when I analyze like this so....
GL and Im on the Rangers with you BIG!!!!
V