Tuesdays SERVICE PLAY THREAD - 11 / 27
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IndianCowboy
NBA BasketballGame:
Charlotte Bobcats @ Miami Heat
November 27, 2007 7:35 pmDetail: IC'S NBA PLAY OF THE DAY! (12 of 13 Winners!)Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) TOTAL: Over 187 (-104) These two teams hate each other. Do not underestimate the fact that the Heat have lost to this team twice this year. Pat Riley will undoubtedly remind this team the fact that this team has beat the Heat twice in embarrassing fashion, both at home, and on the road. The Heat can now score with the return of Wade as with Ricky Davis being a "VP" of sorts as the second scoring option and Shaq leading the way as inside presence, the Heat are good to score in the mid 90's and let their defense take care of opponents to make the difference. Mark my words, the Heat will go on an over ATS run given that Wade is back and this team will love scoring more points as Ricky Davis is not a defensive presence but on the floor to simply aid the scoring. Miami has scored 99 and 98 in their last 2 games and tack on the fact Charlotte beat this team by 15 on the road and 2 at home, this game should go over with Miami's revenge factor. The last time this game was played in Miami this year, Miami lost 88-90. Does double-revenge, Dwayne Wade and a rejuvinated Shaq make the 10 point difference as the Bobcats themselves look to bounceback from a loss - I believe so. Over is 4-1-1 of late for the Heat reiterating my belief that the return of Wade will lead to an over run for the Heat and the over is 13-6 when the Bobcats are dogs of 5 to 10 points.
NBA BasketballGame:
Charlotte Bobcats @ Miami Heat
November 27, 2007 7:35 pmDetail: IC'S NBA PLAY OF THE DAY! (12 of 13 Winners!)Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) TOTAL: Over 187 (-104) These two teams hate each other. Do not underestimate the fact that the Heat have lost to this team twice this year. Pat Riley will undoubtedly remind this team the fact that this team has beat the Heat twice in embarrassing fashion, both at home, and on the road. The Heat can now score with the return of Wade as with Ricky Davis being a "VP" of sorts as the second scoring option and Shaq leading the way as inside presence, the Heat are good to score in the mid 90's and let their defense take care of opponents to make the difference. Mark my words, the Heat will go on an over ATS run given that Wade is back and this team will love scoring more points as Ricky Davis is not a defensive presence but on the floor to simply aid the scoring. Miami has scored 99 and 98 in their last 2 games and tack on the fact Charlotte beat this team by 15 on the road and 2 at home, this game should go over with Miami's revenge factor. The last time this game was played in Miami this year, Miami lost 88-90. Does double-revenge, Dwayne Wade and a rejuvinated Shaq make the 10 point difference as the Bobcats themselves look to bounceback from a loss - I believe so. Over is 4-1-1 of late for the Heat reiterating my belief that the return of Wade will lead to an over run for the Heat and the over is 13-6 when the Bobcats are dogs of 5 to 10 points.
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here yall go!!!!
Lenny Del Genio's 15* NBA Tuesday Blowout (2-0 Monday)
Play on Denver at 9:05 ET. The Nuggets are coming off an ugly loss in Houston on Saturday (109-81), so they'll be eager to take the court, especially considering they've won five straight here at home by an average of nearly 20 PPG. The Pacers have lost here three straight years, including the last two by 20 points each. Indiana is coming off a wild 111-106 loss to Cleveland, which doesn't bode well, as the team is just 5-20 ATS after allowing 110 points or more in their previous game. Also, they are a horrendous 7-31 ATS after a combined score of 205+ points last game, including 2-15 vs. the number if the total topped the 215-point plateau . With the Pacers allowing over 105 PPG on the road this season and Denver scoring nearly 110 PPG, we see no reason why this shouldn't be an easy win and cover for the home side. Denver is my 15* NBA Tuesday Bailout!
Good luck, Lenny
Lenny Del Genio's 1st CBB 3-Pack of the Year! (2-0 Monday)
Play on Florida State at 7:30 ET. As we predicted (see past results), the ACC continued its dominance over the BIg 10 as Wake Forest easily handled Iowa last night. That "reign of terror" will continue tonight as Florida State hosts Minnesota. Both of these squads play great defense as FSU allows just 57.7 PPG at home this season against Minnesota's average of 58.0 PPG on the road. However, the big difference is offense where the Seminoles average nearly 83.8 PPG at home against a 68.0 PPG average on the road for the Golden Gophers. For Minnesota, this is also their first big game of the year. Florida State enters battle tested at 5-2, including a big upset of Florida, 65-51, on the road as nine-point dogs their last time out. We look for a bad defensive effort out of Minnesota, who is 0-6 against the spread after allowing 60 or less points in three straight games. Take Florida State.
Play on Northern Iowa at 8:05 ET. No College Basketball team in America will be more eager to take the floor Tuesday Night than Northern Iowa, who saw their nice 4-0 start go up in smoke with a non-lined SU loss at South Dakota State last Friday. Uncharcteristic bad shooting was to blame, as the Panthers hadn't shot worse than 46.2% from the field in any one game this season until the loss that saw them go cold in the second half (33%), including 1 of 6 from three-point range. Iowa State, meanwhile, has yet to defeat a lined team this season. The Cyclones are coming off a 10-point home loss to Minnesota (who we already told you we didn't like) and were beaten soundly by this same Northern Iowa team last year. A final bit of motivation for the visitors is that they will be facing their old coach, Greg McDermott, who probably regrets leaving Cedar Falls, considering that ISU returns no scholarship guards from last year's team that shot a pitiful 40.8% from the field to begin with. Take Northern Iowa.
Play on Memphis at 8:00 ET. Despite a great looking 5-0 start, the third-ranked Tigers are actually 0-3 at the betting window this season as favorites of 20 or more. That will change tonight against an overmatched opponent that is just 3-11 ATS in the underdog role, including 0-6 vs. the number if getting 10 or more from the oddsmaker. These teams met here last year with a nearly identical spread and Memphis squeaked out the cover. Now a year wiser and better, John Calipari's team is even more equipped to rout the Governors. Austin Peay is just brutal from the field, twice shooting 34.5% from the field or worse in their first five games. That will do them no good against a Tigers team that is already limiting the opposition to 38% from the floor. Against teams that hold their opposition to a FG% of 39.0 or worse, the Governors are 0-9 ATS since 1997. Take Memphis.
Good luck, Lenny
Lenny Del Genio's 15* NBA Tuesday Blowout (2-0 Monday)
Play on Denver at 9:05 ET. The Nuggets are coming off an ugly loss in Houston on Saturday (109-81), so they'll be eager to take the court, especially considering they've won five straight here at home by an average of nearly 20 PPG. The Pacers have lost here three straight years, including the last two by 20 points each. Indiana is coming off a wild 111-106 loss to Cleveland, which doesn't bode well, as the team is just 5-20 ATS after allowing 110 points or more in their previous game. Also, they are a horrendous 7-31 ATS after a combined score of 205+ points last game, including 2-15 vs. the number if the total topped the 215-point plateau . With the Pacers allowing over 105 PPG on the road this season and Denver scoring nearly 110 PPG, we see no reason why this shouldn't be an easy win and cover for the home side. Denver is my 15* NBA Tuesday Bailout!
Good luck, Lenny
Lenny Del Genio's 1st CBB 3-Pack of the Year! (2-0 Monday)
Play on Florida State at 7:30 ET. As we predicted (see past results), the ACC continued its dominance over the BIg 10 as Wake Forest easily handled Iowa last night. That "reign of terror" will continue tonight as Florida State hosts Minnesota. Both of these squads play great defense as FSU allows just 57.7 PPG at home this season against Minnesota's average of 58.0 PPG on the road. However, the big difference is offense where the Seminoles average nearly 83.8 PPG at home against a 68.0 PPG average on the road for the Golden Gophers. For Minnesota, this is also their first big game of the year. Florida State enters battle tested at 5-2, including a big upset of Florida, 65-51, on the road as nine-point dogs their last time out. We look for a bad defensive effort out of Minnesota, who is 0-6 against the spread after allowing 60 or less points in three straight games. Take Florida State.
Play on Northern Iowa at 8:05 ET. No College Basketball team in America will be more eager to take the floor Tuesday Night than Northern Iowa, who saw their nice 4-0 start go up in smoke with a non-lined SU loss at South Dakota State last Friday. Uncharcteristic bad shooting was to blame, as the Panthers hadn't shot worse than 46.2% from the field in any one game this season until the loss that saw them go cold in the second half (33%), including 1 of 6 from three-point range. Iowa State, meanwhile, has yet to defeat a lined team this season. The Cyclones are coming off a 10-point home loss to Minnesota (who we already told you we didn't like) and were beaten soundly by this same Northern Iowa team last year. A final bit of motivation for the visitors is that they will be facing their old coach, Greg McDermott, who probably regrets leaving Cedar Falls, considering that ISU returns no scholarship guards from last year's team that shot a pitiful 40.8% from the field to begin with. Take Northern Iowa.
Play on Memphis at 8:00 ET. Despite a great looking 5-0 start, the third-ranked Tigers are actually 0-3 at the betting window this season as favorites of 20 or more. That will change tonight against an overmatched opponent that is just 3-11 ATS in the underdog role, including 0-6 vs. the number if getting 10 or more from the oddsmaker. These teams met here last year with a nearly identical spread and Memphis squeaked out the cover. Now a year wiser and better, John Calipari's team is even more equipped to rout the Governors. Austin Peay is just brutal from the field, twice shooting 34.5% from the field or worse in their first five games. That will do them no good against a Tigers team that is already limiting the opposition to 38% from the floor. Against teams that hold their opposition to a FG% of 39.0 or worse, the Governors are 0-9 ATS since 1997. Take Memphis.
Good luck, Lenny
JIM KRUGER
Chicago -5.5 over Atlanta - Bronze 3*
Seattle - LA Lakers UNDER 217 - Bronze 3*
Iowa State +1.5 over Northern Iowa - Bronze 3*
Chicago -5.5 over Atlanta - Bronze 3*
Seattle - LA Lakers UNDER 217 - Bronze 3*
Iowa State +1.5 over Northern Iowa - Bronze 3*
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Dr. Bob
Opinion
DUKE (-8 ?) over Wisconsin
Wisconsin has not been nearly as good away from home as they?ve been in Madison and the Badgers have a tough task in their first road game of the season. Wisconsin applies to a negative 31-78-6 ATS road letdown situation and my ratings to favor Duke by 9 points, but Duke hasn?t been quite as good at home against good competition over the years as they?ve been as a big home favorite against bad teams. I?ll just lean with Duke in this game even though the situation is favorable and the line is fair.
Opinion
DUKE (-8 ?) over Wisconsin
Wisconsin has not been nearly as good away from home as they?ve been in Madison and the Badgers have a tough task in their first road game of the season. Wisconsin applies to a negative 31-78-6 ATS road letdown situation and my ratings to favor Duke by 9 points, but Duke hasn?t been quite as good at home against good competition over the years as they?ve been as a big home favorite against bad teams. I?ll just lean with Duke in this game even though the situation is favorable and the line is fair.
Teddy Covers
NBA POM
Pick: Atlanta Hawks (+5.5)
REASON FOR PICK: Chicago can?t be favored over anyone right now. The Bulls have lost four straight, now sitting at 2-10 for the season. This is a broken team, a team that has fallen apart -- no confidence, no chemistry and no go-to guy down the stretch in the fourth quarter. Just because they?ve returned home to the United Center following their annual ?circus? road trip doesn?t make the Bulls a better team. A team that has only won one game by this margin in twelve tries this season shouldn?t be laying points in this price range.
Atlanta is no joke, a young team that has shown real signs of being an emerging force in the Southeast Division. On their current road trip, the Hawks have won both SU and ATS at Miami and at Minnesota, gaining confidence with each road victory. We?ve already seen this team beat the Suns and the Mavericks already this year, while coming within one point of knocking off the Pistons in Detroit, a trio of teams with a combined 28-12 record this season. This is as clear a case of ?hot vs. not? with the hot team as an underdog, no less, making it worthy of Game of the Month status for Tuesday Night. Big Ticket: Take Atlanta.
NBA POM
Pick: Atlanta Hawks (+5.5)
REASON FOR PICK: Chicago can?t be favored over anyone right now. The Bulls have lost four straight, now sitting at 2-10 for the season. This is a broken team, a team that has fallen apart -- no confidence, no chemistry and no go-to guy down the stretch in the fourth quarter. Just because they?ve returned home to the United Center following their annual ?circus? road trip doesn?t make the Bulls a better team. A team that has only won one game by this margin in twelve tries this season shouldn?t be laying points in this price range.
Atlanta is no joke, a young team that has shown real signs of being an emerging force in the Southeast Division. On their current road trip, the Hawks have won both SU and ATS at Miami and at Minnesota, gaining confidence with each road victory. We?ve already seen this team beat the Suns and the Mavericks already this year, while coming within one point of knocking off the Pistons in Detroit, a trio of teams with a combined 28-12 record this season. This is as clear a case of ?hot vs. not? with the hot team as an underdog, no less, making it worthy of Game of the Month status for Tuesday Night. Big Ticket: Take Atlanta.
Sebastian Full Card
College
7* St Joseph's
7*Florida State
7*Northern Iowa
7*Memphis
10* UAB
10*Cal Santa Barbara
Pro
10* Denver
10* Miam
10* Chicago
Hockey
20* Montreal
College
7* St Joseph's
7*Florida State
7*Northern Iowa
7*Memphis
10* UAB
10*Cal Santa Barbara
Pro
10* Denver
10* Miam
10* Chicago
Hockey
20* Montreal
Jim Kruger - NCAAB
SIDES
#529 Iowa State +1.5 over Northern Iowa - Bronze 3*
GL,
VSA
Iowa State is coached by Greg McDermott in his second year at Ames.
He previously coached at Northern Iowa before moving up to the Big 12. UNI
is coached by McDermott's former assistant, Ben Jacobson. The home team
has won the past four games in this annual series, 5 of the past six. ISU
will be getting back Wes Johnson who was Iowa State's leading
returning scorer and rebounder from a year ago. He averaged 12.3 points and 7.9
rebounds last season as a freshman. Johnson, who has been moved from
forward to second guard this season, averaged 14.5 points and 6.5 rebounds in
the two exhibition games but has yet to play in a regular season game.
UNI's strength is in the front court where the Cyclones match up
well with one of ISU?s best recruits in years, 6-10 Craig Brackins, and the
second leading returning scorer and rebounder, 6-11 Czech Jiri
Hubalek.
Take the home team, Iowa State!
Jim Kruger - N.B.A.
SIDES
# 510 Chicago -5.5 over Atlanta - Bronze 3*
TOTALS
# 513 Seattle - LA Lakers UNDER 217 - Bronze 3*
SIDES
#529 Iowa State +1.5 over Northern Iowa - Bronze 3*
GL,
VSA
Iowa State is coached by Greg McDermott in his second year at Ames.
He previously coached at Northern Iowa before moving up to the Big 12. UNI
is coached by McDermott's former assistant, Ben Jacobson. The home team
has won the past four games in this annual series, 5 of the past six. ISU
will be getting back Wes Johnson who was Iowa State's leading
returning scorer and rebounder from a year ago. He averaged 12.3 points and 7.9
rebounds last season as a freshman. Johnson, who has been moved from
forward to second guard this season, averaged 14.5 points and 6.5 rebounds in
the two exhibition games but has yet to play in a regular season game.
UNI's strength is in the front court where the Cyclones match up
well with one of ISU?s best recruits in years, 6-10 Craig Brackins, and the
second leading returning scorer and rebounder, 6-11 Czech Jiri
Hubalek.
Take the home team, Iowa State!
Jim Kruger - N.B.A.
SIDES
# 510 Chicago -5.5 over Atlanta - Bronze 3*
TOTALS
# 513 Seattle - LA Lakers UNDER 217 - Bronze 3*
spritzer--
tko.....................bulls
5 star total................lal over 16.5
tko........................bowl green,cal sb
feist--
platinum......................bucks
totals..............nets under 03,hawks under 81
personal best...................denv
inner circle.................denver
platinum...............................unlv
personal best.........................st joes
cokin--
under the hat.....................utep
window.............................wisc
total............................n iowa under
big shot.........................wisc gb
tko.....................bulls
5 star total................lal over 16.5
tko........................bowl green,cal sb
feist--
platinum......................bucks
totals..............nets under 03,hawks under 81
personal best...................denv
inner circle.................denver
platinum...............................unlv
personal best.........................st joes
cokin--
under the hat.....................utep
window.............................wisc
total............................n iowa under
big shot.........................wisc gb
