Anyone have Dr. Bob's 3 star tonight?
Dr. Bob
COLLEGE
3 Star Selection
CLEMSON (-9) over Purdue
27-Nov-07 06:30 PM Pacific Time
Purdue has a lot of young talent, but replacing stud Carl Landry and his 18.9 points, 7.3 rebounds and, most importantly, his 60% shooting will not be easy. Purdue is going to be a borderline NCAA tournament team this year before being a very good team next season and I don?t see this young team performing well in their first road game considering Purdue?s history of failure as a road underdog. Purdue is just 5-36-3 ATS as a road underdog of 13 points or less since late January of 2000, including 1-8-1 ATS under coach Painter. The Boilermakers have historically played at an average level on the road that is 3 points worse than their average overall rating. Clemson is a very good, experienced team and the Tigers apply to a 114-51-9 ATS home momentum situation while Purdue applies to a negative 17-43-5 ATS first road game situation. My ratings using a standard home court advantage would be 10 points, which is what the line opened at (and has since gone down), but that number would be 13 points if Purdue continues to play 3 points worse on the road than a normal team would. I?ll take Clemson in a 3-Star Best Bet at -10 points or less and for 2-Stars at -10 ? or -11 points.
3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars at -10 1/2 or -11 points