TUF 9 FINALE:JUNE 20TH

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The Sponge

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I like Joe Daddy also. Even tho Diaz is very good on the ground he leaves that neck out there a lot and Joe Daddy will grab it the first time he gets the chance.

Guida fight i think this will be one of those ugly fights where u sweat to hear the decision. Who knows maybe it will be a blowout by Diego. I just don't get that feel.
 
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layinwood

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I think we're going to see a very good Diego Sat night. That first cut down to 155 had to be tough on his body, mainly his strength. He should feel better for this fight and I would think kept his weight closer to 155 so the final cut wouldn't be as taxing.

There is nothing that Guida does that Sanchez doesn't do better. You add to it the fact that Sanchez is by far a better fighter on his feet and I think it's a no brainer.
 
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The Sponge

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layinwood said:
There is nothing that Guida does that Sanchez doesn't do better. You add to it the fact that Sanchez is by far a better fighter on his feet and I think it's a no brainer.
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i think this also Lay but for some reason Guida just hangs around. Heck i thought he was beating Huerta until Huerta pulled a lucky one. Reminds me of the type of fight were i will be yelling to Diego "pull his arm" "elbows" Then saying in round three "how the fuk is Guida still here?" I can't see anyone risking a dime on Guida.
 
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The Sponge

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kegray1 said:
but that I just don't trust Joe Daddy. He is pretty dumb and has been known to make mental errors and one little mental error vs Diaz and you are in a submission that you can't escape.
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Keg what fight did he make these errors? I don't remember one but i didnt see his fight with Diego. Hate being on the side of these type of breakdowns.
 
kegray1

kegray1

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Well for one it seems he gives up his back way to easy against submission specialist. How many times has he been rear naked choked??
Seems like everytime I see him fight I am saying Rear naked choke again.
I didn't think he or Diego showed much in that last fight.
I thought Diego was gonna do it a couple times in the fight as well like KenFlo and Penn did.
 
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Coach_K

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Wow, if anyone has the chance, please take a chance on Dollar. I know this wont be up at my book but at +215, he is worth it. Dent is a fraud. Supposedly he left his last training camp becuase it was too hard. What a chump, if you want to be the best work at it. God I may join another book just to bet on Dollar
 
SixFive

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Coach_K said:
Wow, if anyone has the chance, please take a chance on Dollar. I know this wont be up at my book but at +215, he is worth it. Dent is a fraud. Supposedly he left his last training camp becuase it was too hard. What a chump, if you want to be the best work at it. God I may join another book just to bet on Dollar
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no kidding! Dollar was weak with his standup but solid on the ground. He also worked hard on the show, and you know he's been training hard leading up to this fight, and somebody's been helping him with his standup for sure. Live dog here for sure!!

Osipcsak should be -400 over Lester. He'll absolutely maul him.
 
Ghost Kid

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SixFive said:
no kidding! Dollar was weak with his standup but solid on the ground. He also worked hard on the show, and you know he's been training hard leading up to this fight, and somebody's been helping him with his standup for sure. Live dog here for sure!!

Osipcsak should be -400 over Lester. He'll absolutely maul him.
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Not only is Lester weak sauce, I think the Brit Osipcsak is pretty decent (from what the show displayed).
 
gardenweasel

gardenweasel

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grabbed thiago silva +170 vs keith jardine......i think the odds are very generous considering that a houston alexander/jardine replay isn`t out of the question.....

i don`t think you give a dangerous guy like silva short shrift because he was out manuevered by lyoto machida...

like those odds...
 
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layinwood

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2009 overall 16-6 +31.32 units


Not big on any one fight because of the odds but I'll try a parlay.

Parlay
Sanchez -300
Tibau -250
Lytle -250

Risking 1 unit to win 1.61 units

I hate doing anything more than two on a parlay but I couldn't decide which one to kick out.
 
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weepaul

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gardenweasel said:
grabbed thiago silva +170 vs keith jardine......i think the odds are very generous considering that a houston alexander/jardine replay isn`t out of the question.....

i don`t think you give a dangerous guy like silva short shrift because he was out manuevered by lyoto machida...

like those odds...
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I was salivating when I seen this line my Brother!!!

Jardine is no Machida and Silva is dangerous!!

Good luck to us :toast:
 
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weepaul

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layinwood said:
GW, I like Joe for a small play. I haven't come in and said yet because I didn't feel like debating with anyone over it. If you wait until the last day you can post your pick and not much can be said, if you do it early that crowd will come in and start picking away. I see the fight as a complete toss up and since I can get money coming back with Joe, I think I'll take it. Not for much but a small play.
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I agree mate.
Joe is a strong dude and it might be Diaz long, slender neck that gets cranked this time.

For the other fights-

I love Sanchez but not at those odds.
I like Ross Pearson at +165.
I like James Wilks at +280.
I like Dollar at +215.
I love Osipczac at -200 (But Frank DOES have a punching bags heart).

This card could be an underdogs delight!!

Good luck all :toast: :toast: :toast:
 
Ghost Kid

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I am taking Diego, Osipcsak, Dollar so far
I think the right guys are favored in the two finals, but I could just as easily see the dogs (Pearson and Wilks) pull wins off....so hard to tell from the show

everyone last season thought Bader was going to get whooped in the final...and it was exactly the other way
a lot depends on luck (who you fight in the house, who you DON'T fight in the house)
 
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