Preview & outright plays:
This event may be the least respected of the Majors, but it has produced the most entertaining finales over the past two years: Sergio and Tiger in 1999 and Bob May and Tiger last year. With Tiger not dominating the game in the same way that he did last year, the prospects for another great shootout are good.
The revamped Highlands course at the Atlanta Athletic Club hosts this event for the first time since 1981 when Larry Nelson's precise ball-striking was the key to securing victory. In total, just 143 yards have been added to this course since 1981 and despite the controversy over the 490-yard, par-4, 18th hole and Sutton's tired grumblings about the length of the course, this is a very small change compared to the revolution in modern technology within the game in the last twenty years. The closing five holes are brutal - and so they should for a major - but with hard, fast fairways, it will again be accuracy of ball-striking rather than power golf that will shape this week's winner.
Woods heads the market by some distance and while the Cassandras highlight his lack of top-10 finishes in his last four events, it should also be remembered that he entered last year's event without finishing in the top-10 of his previous two PGA Tour events. The odds are still too short to justify selection. Others with particular local knowledge include David Duval and Stewart Cink as the Georgia Tech golf team used to play their home collegiate events here. But winning back-to-back majors is extremely tough and without tempting odds, Duval is passed over, while Cink has played poorly since his last-green failings at the US Open. Southern Hills may still be haunting him. Instead, of the three selections this week, two have excellent records in this event and one is in the form of his life: Vijay Singh, Nick Price and Scott Hoch.
Of this week's players having competed in at least five PGA Championships, only Jack Nicklaus has a higher top-5/starts ratio that Singh and Price. Jack has secured 14 top-5 finishes (12 of them were top-3!) from 37 starts. Vijay ranks 2nd with 3 top-5 finishes (one win) from 9 starts and Price is 3rd with 5 top-5 finishes (two wins) from 17 starts. The PGA Championship completes the set of majors that test all aspects of the player's game. From the links golf of the British Open, to the over-dependence on power at the Masters, to the over-dependence on accuracy at the US Open, the PGA Championship is biggest test of all-round ball-striking. And Singh and Price are at the elite of that category.
Price has played well at times this year and with a very light schedule, he could be focused enough to achieve his third top-5 finish in four year. Singh, on the other hand, is a more realistic challenger for the title. However, he hasn't won on the PGA Tour since the Masters last year and his inability to win the International is a concern, but given the quality of his golf, at worst he should secure a top-5 place and at odds that would mean the other two selections would be free plays.
This has not been the most productive of events for Hoch: just four top-10s and one top-3 finish in his 20 starts. Nevertheless, ignoring the British Open, which he would have done had it not been for his sponsors' insistence, he has finished no worse than 16th in his last ten events, including the US Open, and won twice. He shares with Singh and Price a liking for hot conditions and in this form, looks a decent long-shot for a place finish.
Outright plays:
Vijay Singh to win 20/1 e.w. @
Surrey and others
Nick Price to win 80/1 e.w. @
Ladbrokes [5 places option]
Scott Hoch to win 80/1 e.w. @
Ladbrokes [5 places option]