Wednesday Service Plays 5/7/08
- Thread starter the duke
- Start date
ER Sports
20* MLB O/U Playmaker Report (+5.85 in May): $39
Erin Rynning is the All Sports king producing over +100 units the last two calender year-plus. He's off to a great start in May with profits in MLB and NBA. Today he has a HUGE 20* Total for just $39. It must win or his next baseball play is free.
Kansas City Under 8
also
Atlanta Under 8.5
20* MLB O/U Playmaker Report (+5.85 in May): $39
Erin Rynning is the All Sports king producing over +100 units the last two calender year-plus. He's off to a great start in May with profits in MLB and NBA. Today he has a HUGE 20* Total for just $39. It must win or his next baseball play is free.
Kansas City Under 8
also
Atlanta Under 8.5
LT Profits
MLB
Florida Marlins (100) 2 units
Stl Cardinals +110 2 units
NBA
Orlando Magic -4.0 2 units
MLB
Florida Marlins (100) 2 units
Stl Cardinals +110 2 units
NBA
Orlando Magic -4.0 2 units
Bob Akmens
4* NY YANKEES (WANG) -140 vs Cleveland (Lee)
4* ATLANTA (HUDSON) -165 vs San Diego (Wolf)
3* LA LAKERS -6.5
4* NY YANKEES (WANG) -140 vs Cleveland (Lee)
4* ATLANTA (HUDSON) -165 vs San Diego (Wolf)
3* LA LAKERS -6.5
WinningAngles
Dear Member,
Team WinningAngles had a profitable night last night, going 3-2. Brian led the team nailing his only two plays (2-0), while Stan had a rare losing slate (1-2), making him 14-4 over his last 18 plays in _base_ball.
Stan gives you out of the goodness of his heart three AWESOME BETTTING TOOLS, the NBA Playoffs Round ll , his awesome weekly newsletter (NEW TODAY)and Stan's HUGELY acclaimed _base_ball Newsletter - (NEW TODAY).
NBA Playoffs Round ll NEW TODAY! Check it out!
Stan's WEEKLY Newsletter just RELEASED TODAY! Literally, it's been a 67% "Money Making Machine" on all plays during the year and last week was no exception!
Stan's _base_ball Vol. Vl Newsletter (click here) just released TODAY!
Brian "The Rock" Reno
Tonight's TOP PLAYS (5%) 2-0 yesterday
MLB: Toronto -140
(3.3%) PLAY (Yields 5% return):
MLB: Toronto -1.5 (+150)
Note: I also like Stan's UNDER play in Cleve/NY game and OVER in Milwaukee/Florida game- contact me if you want to know if I'm adding these plays.
Good luck tonight, Brian.
Stan "The Man" Szumera Note: 5* Plays = 5%
Stan's Daily Hook
RARE OFF NIGHT IN MLB - DIME BETTORS STILL UP $14K!!!
======================================================
Stan comes off a rare 1-2 Tuesday as the National's blow an eight inning lead. Over the last five days the Man racked-up a 14-4 77.7% run on his sides and totals and he appears to be finding his groove. Stan will have another busy week, "and continue to take steps forward with these positive efforts" the Man said!
That's how systems work some winners, some losers, and at the end of the night we have a profit; Good times! That's now seven of nine winning days to score a nice solid winning week. This comes on the heels of a run of profit in April, so it's clear that things are taking root, just as I predicted they would at the beginning of the season, when I said that my systems start to pick up at the end of April and in early May.
The Man stands 32-15-2 68% over the last three weeks with all his picks, "I feel like we have a really good grasp of these numbers at the moment and I intend to keep featuring them in my selections!
Last May, Stan the Man put up +80.5 Units and dime bettors took in nearly $50,000 in that one month alone. While last summer in the heart of the 2007 MLB season, he went on an impressive winning streak by cashing in with 57 of 61 winning days, tearing it up during the months of July and August. Well, we're not quite that far into this year's campaign, but if we are cut some slack and can get away from this string of bad luck losses and awful beats, "I have the confidence that we can put together another good run"...Stan went on to say!
_____________________________________________________________________________
5* New York/Cleveland Under
============================
Cleveland (15-17) at NY Yankees (17-17) 7:05 pm EDT
____________________________________________________
BRONX, New York - Cliff Lee and the Cleveland Indians face the New York Yankees on Wednesday in the second of a three-game series.
Plagued by injury and inconsistency a year ago, Lee struggled to a 5-8 record with a 6.29 ERA. He was even demoted to the minors at one point. Through five starts in 2008, Lee (5-0, 0.96 ERA) has shown little resemblance to the pitcher who endured such a tumultuous season just one year ago. The lefthander has won all five of his starts, holding the opposition without a run in three of those outings and allowing a total of four earned runs. Three of those runs came in last Wednesday's 8-3 win over Seattle when Lee permitted eight hits over six _frame_s.
While Chien-Ming Wang (6-0, 3.00) hasn't been quite as effective as Lee, he has been every bit as good in the win column. The sinkerballer has yielded three runs or less in six of his seven starts, including a 1-0 win over Cleveland on April 27 in which he allowed four hits and struck out nine over seven innings. The righthander was nearly as sharp in his next start vs. Seattle on Friday, when he permitted one run and three hits over six innings of a 5-1 victory.
Analysis:
==========
Cliff Lee (5-0, 0.96 ERA) looks to continue his remarkable start to 2008 when he takes the ball for the Indians against the Yankees' Chien-Ming Wang (6-0, 3.00) in a battle of unbeaten pitchers.
Cleveland scored three runs in the eighth inning to steal a 5-3 victory in Tuesday's series opener against New York. Prior to Tuesday's win, the Indians had lost five of seven games, scoring two runs or fewer five times. In fact, even including last night's result, Cleveland has been held to three runs or fewer in a game 16 times in 32 contests.
Lee has been nearly unhittable in five starts, giving up just five runs (four earned) on 19 hits and two walks while striking out 32 in 37 2/3 innings In his last start a week ago against Seattle, the left-hander surrendered a season-high three runs on eight hits six innings, winning easily, 8-3. The Indians have outscored the opposition 23-5 with Lee on the mound, including 8-1 on the road where Lee has yet to give up an earned run in 23 2/3 innings of work.
New York is unbeaten in Wang's seven starts in 2008, with the right-hander yielding three earned runs or fewer in six of those outings. Over his last three starts, Wang is 3-0 with a 1.89 ERA, including a one-run, three-hit six-inning effort in Thursday's 5-1 victory Seattle. Prior to that, Wang blanked the Indians over seven innings, giving up four hits and two walks with nine strikeouts in a 1-0 victory. Wang is 3-0 with a 4.30 ERA at home and 3-1 with a 2.73 ERA in four career regular-season starts against Cleveland. However, that doesn't include two playoff outings versus the Tribe back in October, when Wang got tagged for 12 runs (all earned) on 14 hits in just 5 2/3 innings, losing both games by scores of 12-3 and 6-4.
The under is 5-2 in Wang's seven starts this season, 3-1 in his four home outings and 4-1-1 in his six career starts against Cleveland 4-0 under in the regular season. The under is also 4-1 in Lee's last five starts 3-0 on the road.
The under is 5-0 in the five series meetings this season. The under is also 9-2 81.8 Pct. in Cleveland's last 11 overall including 4-0 in their last four, 5-2 in its last seven on the road, 23-10-1 for New York on the season, 8-2-1 in New York's last 11 and 10-5-1 at Yankee Stadium this season.
Bottom Line:
=============
Despite of the talent both these teams have in their lineup, they have both struggled in certain situations and against southpaw and righty throwers. The Yankees are hitting a lowly .211 as a team vs lefties like Lee during their L/10 games. The Indians against right handers like Wang have hit for a ugly .204 BA during the same span. With two capable bullpens backing both these pitchers tonight, and both teams documented struggles at the plate; "I'll look for another low scoring game on the agenda here tonight!"
Key; Totally Awesome Winning Angles:
=====================================
CLEVELAND is 50-13 UNDER (+33.6 Units) vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CLEVELAND 3.8, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 6*)
CLEVELAND is 12-1 UNDER (+22.8 Units) vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. The average score was CLEVELAND 3.2, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 5*)
NY YANKEES are 23-5 UNDER (+27.7 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last two seasons. The average score was NY YANKEES 3.5, OPPONENT 2.7 - (Rating = 6*)
NY YANKEES are 11-1 UNDER (+19.9 Units) vs. poor fielding teams - (turning 0.8 or less DP's/game) this season. The average score was NY YANKEES 3.6, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 5*)
NY YANKEES are 23-8 UNDER (+13.4 Units) in May games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was NY YANKEES 3.4, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 5*)
Key; Pitchers Awesome Winning Angles:
======================================
WANG is 29-14 UNDER (+26.7 Units) as a favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record) The average score was WANG 4.3, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 5*)
WANG is 13-3 UNDER (+29.5 Units) as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The average score was WANG 3.7, OPPONENT 2.7 - (Rating = 5*)
WinningAngles.com Predicted Outcome: New York 3, Cleveland 2.
_____________________________________________________________________________
5* Atlanta -1.5 +125
=====================
San Diego (12-21) at Atlanta (16-15) 7:00 pm EDT
_________________________________________________
ATLANTA - Chipper Jones and the Atlanta Braves will seek their fifth consecutive victory Wednesday as they host the San Diego Padres in the second of a three-game series. Jones continued his stellar campaign Tuesday, smacking smacked a two-run homer to lead the Braves to a 5-3 win over the struggling San Diego Padres. The 36-year-old Jones, who is now four home runs shy of 400 for his career, leads Atlanta in virtual every offensive category. The third _base_man is batting .426 with 10 home runs and 29 RBI this season.
Jones will square off against a familiar foe in this one. The former National League MVP is 13-for-40 (.325) with three blasts and seven RBI vs. San Diego starter Randy Wolf. Wolf (2-1, 3.57 ERA) pitched six innings, allowing two runs and six hits with three walks and a season high nine strikeouts in Thursday's 3-2 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies.
The Padres, who have lost 15 of their previous 19 contests, will have to face righthander Tim Hudson (4-2, 2.95), who is coming off a complete game shutout. Hudson allowed just three hits with no walks and a season-high 10 strikeouts in Friday's 2-0 triumph over the Cincinnati Reds.
Analysis:
==========
At first glance I thought the Under would be the best play here. But at second glance I am jumping on the Braves. Atlanta continues to swing a strong bat with 5 more runs scored last night and today they are in another good hitting situation here at Turner Field facing the lefty Wolf. Randy has been very good this year but he has thrown at 2 good lefty hitting teams, both times Arizona, both times without success. The Braves fit that category batting .280 verses Southpaws and .305 here at home. Wolf is 4-9 with a 5.02 ERA in 23 games21 starts versus the Braves, and is winless in seven starts against them since a victory on Sept. 9, 2003, when he pitched for the Phillies.
He has not had a decision in his last four starts against Atlanta, including two last year as he was reached for seven runs and 11 hits in 8 1-3 innings. San Diego may need Wolf to pitch deep into the game as Coach Black shuffles his bullpen. Kevin Cameron sprained his elbow after throwing just three pitches on Tuesday, and Wilfredo Ledezma, the team's best long reliever, will be starting Thursday in place of the ineffective Justin Germano. That leaves this team at a decided pitching disadvantage. I am not even going to go into the hitting disadvantage as we already know about that. SD is not scoring runs. Tim Hudson has been dominant at home, and so have the Atlanta Braves.
Hudson has won all three of his starts at home while posting a 1.66 ERA and is coming off his best effort of the three, a three-hitter with 10 strikeouts in a 2-0 victory over Cincinnati on Friday. The Braves improved to an NL-best 12-4 at home with their win last night. They have won 5 straight here and all have been won by 2 runs or more. The Padres have won just 3 of their last 14 times on the field and they are not very confident at the plate right now. With that, the way Hudson is throwing here at home, and the way the Padres are hitting, this is a good run-line opportunity
Bottom Line:
=============
The Padres just can't score runs to save their lives right now. Only two times since 4/23 have they scored more than four runs in a single game. Facing the Braves' Tim Hudson here certainly isn't going to help considering the righty is 3-0 at home this year with a 1.66 ERA. He has also led his team to wins in 39 of 46 outings if he did not walk a batter in his previous outing. Atlanta is averaging over six runs per game at home this season, while San Diego is just over 3.5 on the road. "Look for Atlanta to scalp the Padres again tonight!"
Key; Awesome Winning Angles:
============================
SAN DIEGO is 7-17 against the run line (-24.4 Units) in night games this season. The average score was SAN DIEGO 3.0, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 5*)
SAN DIEGO is 3-19 against the run line (-32.9 Units) vs. an NL team with they batting average of .275 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SAN DIEGO 3.7, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 5*)
ATLANTA is 24-4 against the run line (+26.2 Units) in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ATLANTA 7.1, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 6*)
ATLANTA is 12-3 against the run line (+18.7 Units) after a win this season. The average score was ATLANTA 5.4, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 5*)
Key: Pitchers Awesome Winning Angles:
======================================
HUDSON is 12-0 against the run line (+22.8 Units) vs. an NL team with they batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The average score was HUDSON 6.3, OPPONENT 1.8 - (Rating = 6*)
HUDSON is 10-0 against the run line (+21.3 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The average score was HUDSON 6.6, OPPONENT 1.5 - (Rating = 6*)
HUDSON is 8-0 against the run line (+18.5 Units) vs. an NL team with an on _base_ percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The average score was HUDSON 7.0, OPPONENT 1.3 - (Rating = 6*)
HUDSON is 14-1 against the run line (+24.2 Units) vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The average score was HUDSON 5.7, OPPONENT 2.5 - (Rating = 5*)
HUDSON is 10-1 against the run line (+19.9 Units) vs. poor _base_running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The average score was HUDSON 6.1, OPPONENT 1.8 - (Rating = 5*)
WinningAngles.com Predicted Outcome: Atlanta 6, San Diego 2.
_______________________________________________________________________________________________
5* Seattle -150
================
Texas (14-20) at Seattle (14-20) 10:10 pm EDT
______________________________________________
SEATTLE (Ticker) - The Seattle Mariners need Erik Bedard to keep living up to expectations. Bedard and the Mariners try to get back on track when they continue a four-game series with the Texas Rangers on Wednesday. The 29-year-old Bedard (2-1, 1.82 ERA), who was acquired from the Baltimore Orioles for a package of p_layer_s during the offseason, allowed just three runs - one earned - and four hits in seven innings, walking one while striking out six on Friday.
Despite the strong outing, the lefthander suffered his first loss of the season, 5-1, against the New York Yankees. Now, Seattle hopes Bedard can duplicate that performance against the Rangers and help it avoid a seventh loss in the last eight games.
Vicente Padilla (4-2, 3.50) goes for his third win in as many starts when he takes the mound for Texas on Wednesday. The 30-year-old righthander gave up just three runs - one earned - and five hits in 5 2/3 innings, walking four while striking out six en route to a 4-3 victory against the Oakland Athletics on Friday.
Analysis:
==========
The Mariners are up in a price range that I try not to use too often for my premium picks. However, this one came very close to getting released today as a double play after the loss last evening. Also; because I love the pitching match-up of Erik Bedard over Vicente Padilla tonight and I feel certain that the Mariners are going to bounce back after the 10-1 drubbing they took yesterday.
Not much was going right for the Rangers after losing the final seven games of a nine-game road trip which ended on April 24th and left them 7-16. However, the Rangers have won seven of their last 11, including a 10-1 win last night in Seattle. As for the Mariners, the loss was their sixth in their last seven and dropped them to 14-20 on the season, a year after going 88-74 (plus-$1,924), which made them MLB's second-biggest "money-makers' in 2007. Most of those profits came at home, where the Mariners were 49-32 (plus-$1,355). Seattle is just 8-8 (minus-$264) at home to open '08 and no wonder no one is showing up. Tuesday's attendance was 15,818, the smallest crowd in the stadium's 10-year history. I hope more people show up tonight because I expect a Seattle win.
Vicente Padilla goes for the Rangers and while he's 4-2 with a 3.50 ERA in seven starts this year (Texas is 5-2), he's no match for Seattle's Erik Bedard. Bedard quickly established himself as a top-notch pitcher with a bad Baltimore team the last two seasons, going 15-11 with a 3.76 ERA in 2006 and then 13-5 with a 3.16 ERA in 2007. He allowed only 141 hits in 182 innings last year, with 221 strikeouts and just 57 walks. Consider this stat. The Orioles were 19-9 (.679) in games started by Bedard but just 50-84 (.373) with someone else on the mound. Talk about being a difference-maker!
Bedard was shaky in his second start of the year for Seattle but after a stint on the DL, looks just fine. He's 2-1 with a 1.82 ERA in four starts this year and that includes him allowing just five hits and one ER in two home starts 11.1 innings, giving him an ERA of 0.79. He sure won't be nervous about facing the Rangers, as he's 3-0 with a 0.96 ERA in his last four starts against Texas. What's more, Texas is just 1-6 against left-handers in '08, averaging only 3.0 RPG. The number is a little high but there's a reason for that. Take Seattle.
Bottom Line:
=============
Seattle starter Eric Bedard has allowed just 9 runs total in his four starts this year. The Mariners are 13-6 their last 19 games vs. righties and they are 14-6 their last 20 games vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of over 1.30. The Mariners are 6-2 their last 8 games vs. the Rangers. Texas is 9-23 their last 32 games as road dogs and they are 23-47 their last 70 games vs. lefties. "We'll play on Seattle again tonight with Bedard!"
Key: Awesome Winning Angles:
=============================
TEXAS is 6-28 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was TEXAS 4.5, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating =5*)
TEXAS is 5-27 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on _base_ percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was TEXAS 4.5, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 5*)
Key; Pitchers Awesome Winning Angles:
======================================
BEDARD is 11-1 (+20.1 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BEDARD 5.5, OPPONENT 2.5 - (Rating = 5*)
BEDARD is 31-8 (+27.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record). The average score was BEDARD 4.7, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 5*)
WinningAngles.com Predicted Outcome: Seattle 6, Texas 3.
Dear Member,
Team WinningAngles had a profitable night last night, going 3-2. Brian led the team nailing his only two plays (2-0), while Stan had a rare losing slate (1-2), making him 14-4 over his last 18 plays in _base_ball.
Stan gives you out of the goodness of his heart three AWESOME BETTTING TOOLS, the NBA Playoffs Round ll , his awesome weekly newsletter (NEW TODAY)and Stan's HUGELY acclaimed _base_ball Newsletter - (NEW TODAY).
NBA Playoffs Round ll NEW TODAY! Check it out!
Stan's WEEKLY Newsletter just RELEASED TODAY! Literally, it's been a 67% "Money Making Machine" on all plays during the year and last week was no exception!
Stan's _base_ball Vol. Vl Newsletter (click here) just released TODAY!
Brian "The Rock" Reno
Tonight's TOP PLAYS (5%) 2-0 yesterday
MLB: Toronto -140
(3.3%) PLAY (Yields 5% return):
MLB: Toronto -1.5 (+150)
Note: I also like Stan's UNDER play in Cleve/NY game and OVER in Milwaukee/Florida game- contact me if you want to know if I'm adding these plays.
Good luck tonight, Brian.
Stan "The Man" Szumera Note: 5* Plays = 5%
Stan's Daily Hook
RARE OFF NIGHT IN MLB - DIME BETTORS STILL UP $14K!!!
======================================================
Stan comes off a rare 1-2 Tuesday as the National's blow an eight inning lead. Over the last five days the Man racked-up a 14-4 77.7% run on his sides and totals and he appears to be finding his groove. Stan will have another busy week, "and continue to take steps forward with these positive efforts" the Man said!
That's how systems work some winners, some losers, and at the end of the night we have a profit; Good times! That's now seven of nine winning days to score a nice solid winning week. This comes on the heels of a run of profit in April, so it's clear that things are taking root, just as I predicted they would at the beginning of the season, when I said that my systems start to pick up at the end of April and in early May.
The Man stands 32-15-2 68% over the last three weeks with all his picks, "I feel like we have a really good grasp of these numbers at the moment and I intend to keep featuring them in my selections!
Last May, Stan the Man put up +80.5 Units and dime bettors took in nearly $50,000 in that one month alone. While last summer in the heart of the 2007 MLB season, he went on an impressive winning streak by cashing in with 57 of 61 winning days, tearing it up during the months of July and August. Well, we're not quite that far into this year's campaign, but if we are cut some slack and can get away from this string of bad luck losses and awful beats, "I have the confidence that we can put together another good run"...Stan went on to say!
_____________________________________________________________________________
5* New York/Cleveland Under
============================
Cleveland (15-17) at NY Yankees (17-17) 7:05 pm EDT
____________________________________________________
BRONX, New York - Cliff Lee and the Cleveland Indians face the New York Yankees on Wednesday in the second of a three-game series.
Plagued by injury and inconsistency a year ago, Lee struggled to a 5-8 record with a 6.29 ERA. He was even demoted to the minors at one point. Through five starts in 2008, Lee (5-0, 0.96 ERA) has shown little resemblance to the pitcher who endured such a tumultuous season just one year ago. The lefthander has won all five of his starts, holding the opposition without a run in three of those outings and allowing a total of four earned runs. Three of those runs came in last Wednesday's 8-3 win over Seattle when Lee permitted eight hits over six _frame_s.
While Chien-Ming Wang (6-0, 3.00) hasn't been quite as effective as Lee, he has been every bit as good in the win column. The sinkerballer has yielded three runs or less in six of his seven starts, including a 1-0 win over Cleveland on April 27 in which he allowed four hits and struck out nine over seven innings. The righthander was nearly as sharp in his next start vs. Seattle on Friday, when he permitted one run and three hits over six innings of a 5-1 victory.
Analysis:
==========
Cliff Lee (5-0, 0.96 ERA) looks to continue his remarkable start to 2008 when he takes the ball for the Indians against the Yankees' Chien-Ming Wang (6-0, 3.00) in a battle of unbeaten pitchers.
Cleveland scored three runs in the eighth inning to steal a 5-3 victory in Tuesday's series opener against New York. Prior to Tuesday's win, the Indians had lost five of seven games, scoring two runs or fewer five times. In fact, even including last night's result, Cleveland has been held to three runs or fewer in a game 16 times in 32 contests.
Lee has been nearly unhittable in five starts, giving up just five runs (four earned) on 19 hits and two walks while striking out 32 in 37 2/3 innings In his last start a week ago against Seattle, the left-hander surrendered a season-high three runs on eight hits six innings, winning easily, 8-3. The Indians have outscored the opposition 23-5 with Lee on the mound, including 8-1 on the road where Lee has yet to give up an earned run in 23 2/3 innings of work.
New York is unbeaten in Wang's seven starts in 2008, with the right-hander yielding three earned runs or fewer in six of those outings. Over his last three starts, Wang is 3-0 with a 1.89 ERA, including a one-run, three-hit six-inning effort in Thursday's 5-1 victory Seattle. Prior to that, Wang blanked the Indians over seven innings, giving up four hits and two walks with nine strikeouts in a 1-0 victory. Wang is 3-0 with a 4.30 ERA at home and 3-1 with a 2.73 ERA in four career regular-season starts against Cleveland. However, that doesn't include two playoff outings versus the Tribe back in October, when Wang got tagged for 12 runs (all earned) on 14 hits in just 5 2/3 innings, losing both games by scores of 12-3 and 6-4.
The under is 5-2 in Wang's seven starts this season, 3-1 in his four home outings and 4-1-1 in his six career starts against Cleveland 4-0 under in the regular season. The under is also 4-1 in Lee's last five starts 3-0 on the road.
The under is 5-0 in the five series meetings this season. The under is also 9-2 81.8 Pct. in Cleveland's last 11 overall including 4-0 in their last four, 5-2 in its last seven on the road, 23-10-1 for New York on the season, 8-2-1 in New York's last 11 and 10-5-1 at Yankee Stadium this season.
Bottom Line:
=============
Despite of the talent both these teams have in their lineup, they have both struggled in certain situations and against southpaw and righty throwers. The Yankees are hitting a lowly .211 as a team vs lefties like Lee during their L/10 games. The Indians against right handers like Wang have hit for a ugly .204 BA during the same span. With two capable bullpens backing both these pitchers tonight, and both teams documented struggles at the plate; "I'll look for another low scoring game on the agenda here tonight!"
Key; Totally Awesome Winning Angles:
=====================================
CLEVELAND is 50-13 UNDER (+33.6 Units) vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CLEVELAND 3.8, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 6*)
CLEVELAND is 12-1 UNDER (+22.8 Units) vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. The average score was CLEVELAND 3.2, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 5*)
NY YANKEES are 23-5 UNDER (+27.7 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last two seasons. The average score was NY YANKEES 3.5, OPPONENT 2.7 - (Rating = 6*)
NY YANKEES are 11-1 UNDER (+19.9 Units) vs. poor fielding teams - (turning 0.8 or less DP's/game) this season. The average score was NY YANKEES 3.6, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 5*)
NY YANKEES are 23-8 UNDER (+13.4 Units) in May games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was NY YANKEES 3.4, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 5*)
Key; Pitchers Awesome Winning Angles:
======================================
WANG is 29-14 UNDER (+26.7 Units) as a favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record) The average score was WANG 4.3, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 5*)
WANG is 13-3 UNDER (+29.5 Units) as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The average score was WANG 3.7, OPPONENT 2.7 - (Rating = 5*)
WinningAngles.com Predicted Outcome: New York 3, Cleveland 2.
_____________________________________________________________________________
5* Atlanta -1.5 +125
=====================
San Diego (12-21) at Atlanta (16-15) 7:00 pm EDT
_________________________________________________
ATLANTA - Chipper Jones and the Atlanta Braves will seek their fifth consecutive victory Wednesday as they host the San Diego Padres in the second of a three-game series. Jones continued his stellar campaign Tuesday, smacking smacked a two-run homer to lead the Braves to a 5-3 win over the struggling San Diego Padres. The 36-year-old Jones, who is now four home runs shy of 400 for his career, leads Atlanta in virtual every offensive category. The third _base_man is batting .426 with 10 home runs and 29 RBI this season.
Jones will square off against a familiar foe in this one. The former National League MVP is 13-for-40 (.325) with three blasts and seven RBI vs. San Diego starter Randy Wolf. Wolf (2-1, 3.57 ERA) pitched six innings, allowing two runs and six hits with three walks and a season high nine strikeouts in Thursday's 3-2 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies.
The Padres, who have lost 15 of their previous 19 contests, will have to face righthander Tim Hudson (4-2, 2.95), who is coming off a complete game shutout. Hudson allowed just three hits with no walks and a season-high 10 strikeouts in Friday's 2-0 triumph over the Cincinnati Reds.
Analysis:
==========
At first glance I thought the Under would be the best play here. But at second glance I am jumping on the Braves. Atlanta continues to swing a strong bat with 5 more runs scored last night and today they are in another good hitting situation here at Turner Field facing the lefty Wolf. Randy has been very good this year but he has thrown at 2 good lefty hitting teams, both times Arizona, both times without success. The Braves fit that category batting .280 verses Southpaws and .305 here at home. Wolf is 4-9 with a 5.02 ERA in 23 games21 starts versus the Braves, and is winless in seven starts against them since a victory on Sept. 9, 2003, when he pitched for the Phillies.
He has not had a decision in his last four starts against Atlanta, including two last year as he was reached for seven runs and 11 hits in 8 1-3 innings. San Diego may need Wolf to pitch deep into the game as Coach Black shuffles his bullpen. Kevin Cameron sprained his elbow after throwing just three pitches on Tuesday, and Wilfredo Ledezma, the team's best long reliever, will be starting Thursday in place of the ineffective Justin Germano. That leaves this team at a decided pitching disadvantage. I am not even going to go into the hitting disadvantage as we already know about that. SD is not scoring runs. Tim Hudson has been dominant at home, and so have the Atlanta Braves.
Hudson has won all three of his starts at home while posting a 1.66 ERA and is coming off his best effort of the three, a three-hitter with 10 strikeouts in a 2-0 victory over Cincinnati on Friday. The Braves improved to an NL-best 12-4 at home with their win last night. They have won 5 straight here and all have been won by 2 runs or more. The Padres have won just 3 of their last 14 times on the field and they are not very confident at the plate right now. With that, the way Hudson is throwing here at home, and the way the Padres are hitting, this is a good run-line opportunity
Bottom Line:
=============
The Padres just can't score runs to save their lives right now. Only two times since 4/23 have they scored more than four runs in a single game. Facing the Braves' Tim Hudson here certainly isn't going to help considering the righty is 3-0 at home this year with a 1.66 ERA. He has also led his team to wins in 39 of 46 outings if he did not walk a batter in his previous outing. Atlanta is averaging over six runs per game at home this season, while San Diego is just over 3.5 on the road. "Look for Atlanta to scalp the Padres again tonight!"
Key; Awesome Winning Angles:
============================
SAN DIEGO is 7-17 against the run line (-24.4 Units) in night games this season. The average score was SAN DIEGO 3.0, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 5*)
SAN DIEGO is 3-19 against the run line (-32.9 Units) vs. an NL team with they batting average of .275 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SAN DIEGO 3.7, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 5*)
ATLANTA is 24-4 against the run line (+26.2 Units) in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ATLANTA 7.1, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 6*)
ATLANTA is 12-3 against the run line (+18.7 Units) after a win this season. The average score was ATLANTA 5.4, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 5*)
Key: Pitchers Awesome Winning Angles:
======================================
HUDSON is 12-0 against the run line (+22.8 Units) vs. an NL team with they batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The average score was HUDSON 6.3, OPPONENT 1.8 - (Rating = 6*)
HUDSON is 10-0 against the run line (+21.3 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The average score was HUDSON 6.6, OPPONENT 1.5 - (Rating = 6*)
HUDSON is 8-0 against the run line (+18.5 Units) vs. an NL team with an on _base_ percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The average score was HUDSON 7.0, OPPONENT 1.3 - (Rating = 6*)
HUDSON is 14-1 against the run line (+24.2 Units) vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The average score was HUDSON 5.7, OPPONENT 2.5 - (Rating = 5*)
HUDSON is 10-1 against the run line (+19.9 Units) vs. poor _base_running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The average score was HUDSON 6.1, OPPONENT 1.8 - (Rating = 5*)
WinningAngles.com Predicted Outcome: Atlanta 6, San Diego 2.
_______________________________________________________________________________________________
5* Seattle -150
================
Texas (14-20) at Seattle (14-20) 10:10 pm EDT
______________________________________________
SEATTLE (Ticker) - The Seattle Mariners need Erik Bedard to keep living up to expectations. Bedard and the Mariners try to get back on track when they continue a four-game series with the Texas Rangers on Wednesday. The 29-year-old Bedard (2-1, 1.82 ERA), who was acquired from the Baltimore Orioles for a package of p_layer_s during the offseason, allowed just three runs - one earned - and four hits in seven innings, walking one while striking out six on Friday.
Despite the strong outing, the lefthander suffered his first loss of the season, 5-1, against the New York Yankees. Now, Seattle hopes Bedard can duplicate that performance against the Rangers and help it avoid a seventh loss in the last eight games.
Vicente Padilla (4-2, 3.50) goes for his third win in as many starts when he takes the mound for Texas on Wednesday. The 30-year-old righthander gave up just three runs - one earned - and five hits in 5 2/3 innings, walking four while striking out six en route to a 4-3 victory against the Oakland Athletics on Friday.
Analysis:
==========
The Mariners are up in a price range that I try not to use too often for my premium picks. However, this one came very close to getting released today as a double play after the loss last evening. Also; because I love the pitching match-up of Erik Bedard over Vicente Padilla tonight and I feel certain that the Mariners are going to bounce back after the 10-1 drubbing they took yesterday.
Not much was going right for the Rangers after losing the final seven games of a nine-game road trip which ended on April 24th and left them 7-16. However, the Rangers have won seven of their last 11, including a 10-1 win last night in Seattle. As for the Mariners, the loss was their sixth in their last seven and dropped them to 14-20 on the season, a year after going 88-74 (plus-$1,924), which made them MLB's second-biggest "money-makers' in 2007. Most of those profits came at home, where the Mariners were 49-32 (plus-$1,355). Seattle is just 8-8 (minus-$264) at home to open '08 and no wonder no one is showing up. Tuesday's attendance was 15,818, the smallest crowd in the stadium's 10-year history. I hope more people show up tonight because I expect a Seattle win.
Vicente Padilla goes for the Rangers and while he's 4-2 with a 3.50 ERA in seven starts this year (Texas is 5-2), he's no match for Seattle's Erik Bedard. Bedard quickly established himself as a top-notch pitcher with a bad Baltimore team the last two seasons, going 15-11 with a 3.76 ERA in 2006 and then 13-5 with a 3.16 ERA in 2007. He allowed only 141 hits in 182 innings last year, with 221 strikeouts and just 57 walks. Consider this stat. The Orioles were 19-9 (.679) in games started by Bedard but just 50-84 (.373) with someone else on the mound. Talk about being a difference-maker!
Bedard was shaky in his second start of the year for Seattle but after a stint on the DL, looks just fine. He's 2-1 with a 1.82 ERA in four starts this year and that includes him allowing just five hits and one ER in two home starts 11.1 innings, giving him an ERA of 0.79. He sure won't be nervous about facing the Rangers, as he's 3-0 with a 0.96 ERA in his last four starts against Texas. What's more, Texas is just 1-6 against left-handers in '08, averaging only 3.0 RPG. The number is a little high but there's a reason for that. Take Seattle.
Bottom Line:
=============
Seattle starter Eric Bedard has allowed just 9 runs total in his four starts this year. The Mariners are 13-6 their last 19 games vs. righties and they are 14-6 their last 20 games vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of over 1.30. The Mariners are 6-2 their last 8 games vs. the Rangers. Texas is 9-23 their last 32 games as road dogs and they are 23-47 their last 70 games vs. lefties. "We'll play on Seattle again tonight with Bedard!"
Key: Awesome Winning Angles:
=============================
TEXAS is 6-28 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was TEXAS 4.5, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating =5*)
TEXAS is 5-27 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on _base_ percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was TEXAS 4.5, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 5*)
Key; Pitchers Awesome Winning Angles:
======================================
BEDARD is 11-1 (+20.1 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BEDARD 5.5, OPPONENT 2.5 - (Rating = 5*)
BEDARD is 31-8 (+27.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record). The average score was BEDARD 4.7, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 5*)
WinningAngles.com Predicted Outcome: Seattle 6, Texas 3.
Fairway Jay
20* NBA Round 2 Big Drive (64% NBA Run): $29
Fairway Jay has been rock solid with his NBA coverage banking +6.00 units during the last three weeks while hitting a 64% clip ATS. Get his top rated 20* Round 2 Big Drive on Wednesday for $29 and its guaranteed to win or his next NBA selection is free.
5*Utah Jazz
20* NBA Round 2 Big Drive (64% NBA Run): $29
Fairway Jay has been rock solid with his NBA coverage banking +6.00 units during the last three weeks while hitting a 64% clip ATS. Get his top rated 20* Round 2 Big Drive on Wednesday for $29 and its guaranteed to win or his next NBA selection is free.
5*Utah Jazz
Ben Burns
ATS ANNIHILATION
Burns Annihilator *13-7 L20 $35.00
After cashing with the Pistons/Magic 'over' the total on Monday, Ben Burns BURIED the books with a 30+ POINT WINNER with his "Annihilator" on the Celtics/Cavs 'under' yesterday. Now a sweet 13-7 his last 20 NBA selections, Burns returns with another ABSOLUTE MONSTER on Wednesday. Don't even consider missing out!
Utah Jazz
BLUE CHIP (MAGIC/PISTONS) *3-0 L3 TOTALS $35.00
Ben Burns is 13-7 his L20 NBA plays and he's a PERFECT 3-0 the L3 days with his over/under plays. Including last night's easy winner, those selections CASHED BY AN AVERAGE OF GREATER THAN 22 POINTS. That includes a winner with the 'over' in Game 2 of the Pistons/Magic series. Game 3 qualifies as Ben's latest BLUE CHIP. Get it!
Under Magic/Pistons
ATS ANNIHILATION
Burns Annihilator *13-7 L20 $35.00
After cashing with the Pistons/Magic 'over' the total on Monday, Ben Burns BURIED the books with a 30+ POINT WINNER with his "Annihilator" on the Celtics/Cavs 'under' yesterday. Now a sweet 13-7 his last 20 NBA selections, Burns returns with another ABSOLUTE MONSTER on Wednesday. Don't even consider missing out!
Utah Jazz
BLUE CHIP (MAGIC/PISTONS) *3-0 L3 TOTALS $35.00
Ben Burns is 13-7 his L20 NBA plays and he's a PERFECT 3-0 the L3 days with his over/under plays. Including last night's easy winner, those selections CASHED BY AN AVERAGE OF GREATER THAN 22 POINTS. That includes a winner with the 'over' in Game 2 of the Pistons/Magic series. Game 3 qualifies as Ben's latest BLUE CHIP. Get it!
Under Magic/Pistons
Mike Rose
MLB
2* DET +109 (GALARRAGA) VS. BOS (BUCHHOLZ)
2* RAYS/JAYS UNDER 8' +100
3* CLEV +134 (LEE) VS. NYY (WANG)
2* SEA -148 (BEDARD) VS. TEX (PADILLA)
NBA
2* Pistons/Magic u187.5
MLB
2* DET +109 (GALARRAGA) VS. BOS (BUCHHOLZ)
2* RAYS/JAYS UNDER 8' +100
3* CLEV +134 (LEE) VS. NYY (WANG)
2* SEA -148 (BEDARD) VS. TEX (PADILLA)
NBA
2* Pistons/Magic u187.5
Lenny Del Genio's 15* ESPN GOW (Yanks/Tribe) **BIG PLAY**
Play on Cleveland at 7:05 ET. This one shapes up as a real early season pitchers duel as Cleveland's Cliff Lee and New York's Chien-Ming Wang have combined to go 11-0 this season. However, we have no choice but to side with the underdog Lee considering his 0.96 ERA overall and his 3-0 mark away from home. Furthermore, the lefty has yet to yield a single run on the road this season! The Yanks have really struggled vs. southpaws this season, scoring just 3.5 runs per game against them. Lee beacme the first pitcher since Pedro Martinez in 1997 to win at least five games in April and boast an ERA under 1.00. Consequently, he was voted AL Pitcher of the Month. His strikeout to walk ratio is a phenonemal 16 to 1. Joba Chamberlin really struggles against Cleveland, meaning that even if Wang has a strong outing, the Tribe is in good shape. Cleveland is our 15 ESPN Game of the Week.
Good luck, Lenny
Scott Spreitzer's MLB 25* GRAND SLAM Game of the Week! (3-0 since Sat. Night)
I'm laying the price with the Mariners on Wednesday. Seattle dropped five straight games, scoring a grand total of nine runs and sporting a .215 BA before ending the skid with a win over Texas on Monday. Texas landed in the Emerald City two nights ago, along with their 5.21 ERA (MLB's 2nd worst), and Seattle located their bats, scoring seven runs. The Rangers whipped the M's last night, but it's back to the "L" column for Texas tonight. Game three of the four-game set features Vicente Padilla and Erik Bedard. The M's acquired the southpaw from Baltimore in the off-season. Bedard quickly put to rest the feeling that he couldn't pitch at SAFECO. After struggling in this park as a member of the Orioles, Bedard has slammed the door on Seattle visitors as a member of the Mariners. He's allowed just one earned run and five hits in two starts, spanning 11 2/3 innings. Bedard owns great numbers against the Rangers and already beat them in this park this season. Giving us even more potential for a "W" is Texas' lack of hitting in road games against lefties, where they're 0-3 and average just 4.0 runs per game. In fact, Texas is 0-5 in all road outings against southpaws, scoring just 3.0 runs per game. Vicente Padilla is off to a decent start in 2008, but that's nothing new. The Texas righty owns a lifetime 4.09 ERA in April starts. But once May rolls around, forget about it. Padilla's ERA goes up almost a full run, his WHIP jumps from 1.33 to 1.53, and his BAA soars 38-points. This season, the Ranger hurler is 2-0 in day starts with a strong ERA and WHIP. But at night, his WHIP jumps way up, to a hefty, 1.77, with a .302 BAA. Now, add in his horrible numbers against Seattle and in this park, and we have a great go-against situation. Padilla has averaged about five innings per outing in his career against the Mariners. That's a bad sign when you consider Texas' horrible 6.01 bullpen ERA. Look for Seattle to slam the Rangers on Wednesday night, my 25* Grand Slam GOW. Thanks! GL! Scott.
Play on Cleveland at 7:05 ET. This one shapes up as a real early season pitchers duel as Cleveland's Cliff Lee and New York's Chien-Ming Wang have combined to go 11-0 this season. However, we have no choice but to side with the underdog Lee considering his 0.96 ERA overall and his 3-0 mark away from home. Furthermore, the lefty has yet to yield a single run on the road this season! The Yanks have really struggled vs. southpaws this season, scoring just 3.5 runs per game against them. Lee beacme the first pitcher since Pedro Martinez in 1997 to win at least five games in April and boast an ERA under 1.00. Consequently, he was voted AL Pitcher of the Month. His strikeout to walk ratio is a phenonemal 16 to 1. Joba Chamberlin really struggles against Cleveland, meaning that even if Wang has a strong outing, the Tribe is in good shape. Cleveland is our 15 ESPN Game of the Week.
Good luck, Lenny
Scott Spreitzer's MLB 25* GRAND SLAM Game of the Week! (3-0 since Sat. Night)
I'm laying the price with the Mariners on Wednesday. Seattle dropped five straight games, scoring a grand total of nine runs and sporting a .215 BA before ending the skid with a win over Texas on Monday. Texas landed in the Emerald City two nights ago, along with their 5.21 ERA (MLB's 2nd worst), and Seattle located their bats, scoring seven runs. The Rangers whipped the M's last night, but it's back to the "L" column for Texas tonight. Game three of the four-game set features Vicente Padilla and Erik Bedard. The M's acquired the southpaw from Baltimore in the off-season. Bedard quickly put to rest the feeling that he couldn't pitch at SAFECO. After struggling in this park as a member of the Orioles, Bedard has slammed the door on Seattle visitors as a member of the Mariners. He's allowed just one earned run and five hits in two starts, spanning 11 2/3 innings. Bedard owns great numbers against the Rangers and already beat them in this park this season. Giving us even more potential for a "W" is Texas' lack of hitting in road games against lefties, where they're 0-3 and average just 4.0 runs per game. In fact, Texas is 0-5 in all road outings against southpaws, scoring just 3.0 runs per game. Vicente Padilla is off to a decent start in 2008, but that's nothing new. The Texas righty owns a lifetime 4.09 ERA in April starts. But once May rolls around, forget about it. Padilla's ERA goes up almost a full run, his WHIP jumps from 1.33 to 1.53, and his BAA soars 38-points. This season, the Ranger hurler is 2-0 in day starts with a strong ERA and WHIP. But at night, his WHIP jumps way up, to a hefty, 1.77, with a .302 BAA. Now, add in his horrible numbers against Seattle and in this park, and we have a great go-against situation. Padilla has averaged about five innings per outing in his career against the Mariners. That's a bad sign when you consider Texas' horrible 6.01 bullpen ERA. Look for Seattle to slam the Rangers on Wednesday night, my 25* Grand Slam GOW. Thanks! GL! Scott.
William Kidd
QUADRUPLE BASEBALL BLOWOUT WINNER
Date: Wednesday, May 07, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Tonight we are featuring a QUADRUPLE BASEBALL BLOWOUT WINNER!! You can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $25 and you will win this game or there will be no charge! We are now 19-8 +$928 playing just $100 per game in Baseball this year!
Houston Astros
QUADRUPLE BASEBALL BLOWOUT WINNER
Date: Wednesday, May 07, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Tonight we are featuring a QUADRUPLE BASEBALL BLOWOUT WINNER!! You can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $25 and you will win this game or there will be no charge! We are now 19-8 +$928 playing just $100 per game in Baseball this year!
Houston Astros
