Wednesday Service Plays 6/4/08
- Thread starter MLBKING
- Start date
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
*** EZWINNERS MLB ***
1 STAR: (951) FLORIDA (+$138) over Atlanta
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $138)
12:10PM Central Time
1 STAR: (959) ST. LOUIS (-$114) over Washington
(Action)
(Risking $114 to win $100)
6:10PM Central Time
1 STAR: (961) HOUSTON (-$121) over Pittsburgh
(Listing Oswalt only)
(Risking $121 to win $100)
6:05PM Central Time
1 STAR: (951) FLORIDA (+$138) over Atlanta
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $138)
12:10PM Central Time
1 STAR: (959) ST. LOUIS (-$114) over Washington
(Action)
(Risking $114 to win $100)
6:10PM Central Time
1 STAR: (961) HOUSTON (-$121) over Pittsburgh
(Listing Oswalt only)
(Risking $121 to win $100)
6:05PM Central Time
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
WILD BILL
Wednesday, June 4
Florida +145 (2 units)
Rockies +130 (2 units)
Mets -115 (5 units)
Reds +110 (4 units)
Over 9 Astros-Pirates (1 unit)
Pirates +100 (1 unit)
St Louis -110 (1 unit)
Angels -130 (1 unit)
Boston -175 (1 unit)
Over 8 1/2 Jays-Yankees (1 unit)
Yankees -125 (2 units)
Indians -130 (5 units)
Under 9 Orioles-Twins (1 unit)
Orioles +105 (5 units)
Under 8 1/2 KC-Chicago (1 unit)
Wednesday, June 4
Florida +145 (2 units)
Rockies +130 (2 units)
Mets -115 (5 units)
Reds +110 (4 units)
Over 9 Astros-Pirates (1 unit)
Pirates +100 (1 unit)
St Louis -110 (1 unit)
Angels -130 (1 unit)
Boston -175 (1 unit)
Over 8 1/2 Jays-Yankees (1 unit)
Yankees -125 (2 units)
Indians -130 (5 units)
Under 9 Orioles-Twins (1 unit)
Orioles +105 (5 units)
Under 8 1/2 KC-Chicago (1 unit)
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
MLB 70% Super Situations
Gator Report
MLB (16-12 +362) Wednesday: Play Under MLB (NL) teams against the total with a team that averages >=5.0 runs per game against a starting pitcher whose ERA<=3.70, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.550 to 1.650 on the season.
36-9 Under last 5 seasons (80%) (1-0 this year) PLAY: *** Cincinnati / Philadelphia UNDER 10 (-125)
MLB Wednesday: Play Under MLB (AL) home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 with a team who averages <=4.5 runs per game against a starting pitcher whose ERA=4.70 to 5.70, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games.
36-8 Under since 1997 (81.8%) (4-1 this year) PLAY: ** Kansas City / Chicago UNDER 8.5 (-105)
MLB: Wednesday: Play On MLB (NL) home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season against an opponent with a starting pitcher who allows 5.5 or less hits per start.
61-20 SU last 5 seasons (75.3%) (5-0 this year) PLAY: ** San Francisco +110
Gator Report
MLB (16-12 +362) Wednesday: Play Under MLB (NL) teams against the total with a team that averages >=5.0 runs per game against a starting pitcher whose ERA<=3.70, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.550 to 1.650 on the season.
36-9 Under last 5 seasons (80%) (1-0 this year) PLAY: *** Cincinnati / Philadelphia UNDER 10 (-125)
MLB Wednesday: Play Under MLB (AL) home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 with a team who averages <=4.5 runs per game against a starting pitcher whose ERA=4.70 to 5.70, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games.
36-8 Under since 1997 (81.8%) (4-1 this year) PLAY: ** Kansas City / Chicago UNDER 8.5 (-105)
MLB: Wednesday: Play On MLB (NL) home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season against an opponent with a starting pitcher who allows 5.5 or less hits per start.
61-20 SU last 5 seasons (75.3%) (5-0 this year) PLAY: ** San Francisco +110
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
HONDO
June 4, 2008 -- The Yankees, who seem committed to reducing HONDO 's bankroll, betrayed him again last night as they were pummeled by the Blue Jays to lower the earnings to 470 bahnsens.
Tonight, he'll again tap Volquez and Litsch, and also give Cabrera a tryout - 10 units on the Reds, Jays and Orioles
June 4, 2008 -- The Yankees, who seem committed to reducing HONDO 's bankroll, betrayed him again last night as they were pummeled by the Blue Jays to lower the earnings to 470 bahnsens.
Tonight, he'll again tap Volquez and Litsch, and also give Cabrera a tryout - 10 units on the Reds, Jays and Orioles
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Tampa Bay (35-23) at Boston (36-25)
The American League East?s top two teams meet for the middle game of a three-game set at Fenway Park, with Rays right-hander Edwin Jackson (3-4, 3.70 ERA) toeing the slab against Red Sox right-hander Josh Beckett (5-4, 4.30). In the series opener Tuesday night, Boston rode a four-run sixth inning to a 7-4 victory, earning its 11th straight victory at Fenway to improve its league-best home record to 22-5. Despite Tuesday?s setback, a surprising Tampa squad is still on an 18-7 streak, but the Rays are 11-13 in roadies this season and 43-98 in their last 141 as a visitor dating to 2006. The host has won all seven meetings between these divisional rivals this year, with the Red Sox winning the last four meetings, including a three-game sweep at Fenway a month ago. Boston has dominated Tampa over the years, taking 96 of the last 139 meetings and posting an eye-popping 43-9 mark in the last 52 head-to-head battles at Fenway Park. Tampa?s success this season hasn?t been as great with Jackson starting, as the Rays are 6-5 in his 11 outings, and Jackson has just one win in his last nine starts, going 1-4 with four no-decisions after starting the season 2-0. On Thursday against the Chicago White Sox, he allowed four runs on 10 hits in six innings in a 5-1 home loss. Jackson is 1-1 with a 3.09 ERA in four road starts this season, getting blasted for six runs on nine hits in four innings of a 7-3 loss at Boston on May 2. However, a week prior to that, he yielded just one run on five hits in seven innings as Tampa notched a 2-1 home win over the Sox. Jackson is 2-2 with a 5.50 ERA in nine career appearances (six starts) against Boston. Beckett, who is set to make his 11th start of the year, has gone 1-2 with one no-decision in his last four starts. On Friday at Baltimore, he gave up two runs on four hits in six innings and left with the game tied, and Boston went on to win 5-2 in 13 innings, giving the Red Sox a 4-2 record in Beckett?s last six outings, with the right-hander going at least six innings in five of those games. Despite a 5.40 ERA, Beckett is 3-0 in three home starts this year, including a 12-4 victory over Tampa on May 3 in which he allowed four runs on seven hits in eight innings. In the start prior to that, he gave up just two runs on four hits in seven innings but got no offensive support in a 3-0 loss at Tampa. Beckett is 4-3 with a 3.86 ERA in seven career starts against the Rays. The Rays are 4-1 in their last five against A.L. East foes, 10-4 in the second game of a series, 4-1 with Jackson going against a division opponent and 4-1 with Jackson starting Game 2 of a series. But the trends turn negative from there, including 26-64 in road games against winning teams, 33-91 as a road ?dog and 3-9 on Wednesday, and with Jackson starting, Tampa is 0-7 on the road against winning teams, 1-4 on Wednesday and a dismal 14-29 overall. The Red Sox are 2-6 in their last eight Wednesday contests, but the trends are all positive after that, including 40-12 at Fenway, 40-16 as a chalk and 31-13 in the second game of a series. And with Beckett hurling, Boston is on a 6-0 tear at home, an 11-1 run at home against winning teams, 20-6 overall against winning teams and 8-3 in division play.
With Jackson starting, the under for Tampa is on streaks of 15-5-1 overall, 12-4 as an underdog and 8-3 against division rivals, but the over is 6-2-1 on the road against winning teams. Meanwhile, with Beckett going for Boston, the over is on a 4-1 run at Fenway. Tuesday?s contest cleared the posted total of 9?, halting a 5-0 ?under? run for Tampa Bay, and the over is now 9-3-1 in the Rays? last 13 roadies. For Boston, over is 6-1-3 in its last 10 against the A.L. East. Finally, in this rivalry, the under is 4-1 in Jackson?s last five starts against the Red Sox, but the over is 5-1 in the last six head-to-head clashes in Beantown and 4-1 with Beckett pitching against the Rays.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON
Toronto (32-28) at N.Y. Yankees (28-30)
The Blue Jays will send red-hot Jesse Litsch (7-1, 3.18 ERA) to the mound to take on veteran right-hander Mike Mussina (8-4, 4.26) and the Yankees in the second game of a three-game series in the Bronx. Toronto routed New York 9-3 on Tuesday, mostly due to a six-run seventh inning. The Blue Jays are a torrid 15-6 in their last 21 starts, including 10-4 in roadies. Meanwhile, the Yankees have lost three in row and are just 14-13 at home this season, though they are still 8-4 in their last 12 overall (5-1 in their last six at home). The season series is now tied at 2 between these American League East rivals, with New York having taken two of three at home in a season-opening series. Litsch, a 23-year-old in just his second season, hasn?t lost since April 22, going 5-0 with two no-decisions, though Toronto dropped both those games. He was sterling Thursday at Oakland in his 11th start of the year, scattering seven hits over seven scoreless innings in a 12-0 Blue Jays blowout, and that outing followed a seven-hit, complete-game shutout in a 6-0 home win over Kansas City.
Litsch is 4-1 with a 3.41 ERA in six appearances (five starts) on the highway this season, and he is 1-1 with an inflated 6.08 ERA in three career starts against New York. Those starts all came last season, as he allowed nine runs (all earned) on 15 hits in 13 1/3 innings, but the youngster got his win at Yankee Stadium, yielding just one run on five hits in 7 2/3 innings. Mussina, gearing up for his 13th start, has been steady all season, pitching at least five innings in seven of his last eight outings as he?s gone 7-1 in that stretch. On Friday at Minnesota, he allowed four runs ? all in the first inning ? on six hits in six innings, and the Yanks? offense helped him out in a 6-5 victory. In his first outing of the year, Mussina gave up four runs on eight hits in 5 2/3 innings in a 5-2 home loss to Toronto, but he?s 23-12 with a 3.35 ERA in 42 career starts against the Jays. Also, Mussina is 4-3 with a 5.17 ERA at home this season.
The Blue Jays are 8-2 in their last 10 against right-handed starters, 9-3 in their last 12 overall and 5-0 in their last five against losing teams, and with Litsch taking the ball, they are on runs of 4-0 as underdog, 5-0 in the second game of a series and 5-1 on the road. However, Toronto is 3-7 in its last 10 against the A.L. East and 2-7 in its last nine on the highway against losing teams. Despite their current three-game skid, the Yankees sport positive trends of 38-16 on Wednesday and 53-27 as a home chalk, and with Mussina starting, they are 4-1 on Wednesday, 10-4 as a favorite and 5-2 against winning teams. On the flip side, New York is 2-5 in Mussina?s last seven starts inside the division. For Litsch, the under is on streaks of 11-4 against losing teams, 7-2 in Game 2 of a series, 6-2 on the road against losing teams and 9-4 in division play. With Mussina hurling, the over is on runs of 9-2 against winning teams, 8-3 with the veteran favored and 9-4 at home, but the under is 8-1-1 in his last 10 Wednesday starts. Even though Tuesday?s game soared over the total, the under for Toronto is on streaks of 29-13-1 overall, 45-22-3 on the road, 25-12-1 against righties, 36-17-1 in the second game of a series and 58-29-2 against losing teams. Conversely, for New York, the over is on runs of 8-3 overall (4-1 last five), 4-1 in Game 2 of a series and 7-2 at home, but the under is 5-0 in its last five Wednesday games and 20-7 in its last 27 against the A.L. East. Finally, the under is 25-11-2 in the last 38 meetings between these clubs in the Bronx, and 4-1 in the last five clashes overall, with the lone ?over? coming last night.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Tampa Bay (35-23) at Boston (36-25)
The American League East?s top two teams meet for the middle game of a three-game set at Fenway Park, with Rays right-hander Edwin Jackson (3-4, 3.70 ERA) toeing the slab against Red Sox right-hander Josh Beckett (5-4, 4.30). In the series opener Tuesday night, Boston rode a four-run sixth inning to a 7-4 victory, earning its 11th straight victory at Fenway to improve its league-best home record to 22-5. Despite Tuesday?s setback, a surprising Tampa squad is still on an 18-7 streak, but the Rays are 11-13 in roadies this season and 43-98 in their last 141 as a visitor dating to 2006. The host has won all seven meetings between these divisional rivals this year, with the Red Sox winning the last four meetings, including a three-game sweep at Fenway a month ago. Boston has dominated Tampa over the years, taking 96 of the last 139 meetings and posting an eye-popping 43-9 mark in the last 52 head-to-head battles at Fenway Park. Tampa?s success this season hasn?t been as great with Jackson starting, as the Rays are 6-5 in his 11 outings, and Jackson has just one win in his last nine starts, going 1-4 with four no-decisions after starting the season 2-0. On Thursday against the Chicago White Sox, he allowed four runs on 10 hits in six innings in a 5-1 home loss. Jackson is 1-1 with a 3.09 ERA in four road starts this season, getting blasted for six runs on nine hits in four innings of a 7-3 loss at Boston on May 2. However, a week prior to that, he yielded just one run on five hits in seven innings as Tampa notched a 2-1 home win over the Sox. Jackson is 2-2 with a 5.50 ERA in nine career appearances (six starts) against Boston. Beckett, who is set to make his 11th start of the year, has gone 1-2 with one no-decision in his last four starts. On Friday at Baltimore, he gave up two runs on four hits in six innings and left with the game tied, and Boston went on to win 5-2 in 13 innings, giving the Red Sox a 4-2 record in Beckett?s last six outings, with the right-hander going at least six innings in five of those games. Despite a 5.40 ERA, Beckett is 3-0 in three home starts this year, including a 12-4 victory over Tampa on May 3 in which he allowed four runs on seven hits in eight innings. In the start prior to that, he gave up just two runs on four hits in seven innings but got no offensive support in a 3-0 loss at Tampa. Beckett is 4-3 with a 3.86 ERA in seven career starts against the Rays. The Rays are 4-1 in their last five against A.L. East foes, 10-4 in the second game of a series, 4-1 with Jackson going against a division opponent and 4-1 with Jackson starting Game 2 of a series. But the trends turn negative from there, including 26-64 in road games against winning teams, 33-91 as a road ?dog and 3-9 on Wednesday, and with Jackson starting, Tampa is 0-7 on the road against winning teams, 1-4 on Wednesday and a dismal 14-29 overall. The Red Sox are 2-6 in their last eight Wednesday contests, but the trends are all positive after that, including 40-12 at Fenway, 40-16 as a chalk and 31-13 in the second game of a series. And with Beckett hurling, Boston is on a 6-0 tear at home, an 11-1 run at home against winning teams, 20-6 overall against winning teams and 8-3 in division play.
With Jackson starting, the under for Tampa is on streaks of 15-5-1 overall, 12-4 as an underdog and 8-3 against division rivals, but the over is 6-2-1 on the road against winning teams. Meanwhile, with Beckett going for Boston, the over is on a 4-1 run at Fenway. Tuesday?s contest cleared the posted total of 9?, halting a 5-0 ?under? run for Tampa Bay, and the over is now 9-3-1 in the Rays? last 13 roadies. For Boston, over is 6-1-3 in its last 10 against the A.L. East. Finally, in this rivalry, the under is 4-1 in Jackson?s last five starts against the Red Sox, but the over is 5-1 in the last six head-to-head clashes in Beantown and 4-1 with Beckett pitching against the Rays.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON
Toronto (32-28) at N.Y. Yankees (28-30)
The Blue Jays will send red-hot Jesse Litsch (7-1, 3.18 ERA) to the mound to take on veteran right-hander Mike Mussina (8-4, 4.26) and the Yankees in the second game of a three-game series in the Bronx. Toronto routed New York 9-3 on Tuesday, mostly due to a six-run seventh inning. The Blue Jays are a torrid 15-6 in their last 21 starts, including 10-4 in roadies. Meanwhile, the Yankees have lost three in row and are just 14-13 at home this season, though they are still 8-4 in their last 12 overall (5-1 in their last six at home). The season series is now tied at 2 between these American League East rivals, with New York having taken two of three at home in a season-opening series. Litsch, a 23-year-old in just his second season, hasn?t lost since April 22, going 5-0 with two no-decisions, though Toronto dropped both those games. He was sterling Thursday at Oakland in his 11th start of the year, scattering seven hits over seven scoreless innings in a 12-0 Blue Jays blowout, and that outing followed a seven-hit, complete-game shutout in a 6-0 home win over Kansas City.
Litsch is 4-1 with a 3.41 ERA in six appearances (five starts) on the highway this season, and he is 1-1 with an inflated 6.08 ERA in three career starts against New York. Those starts all came last season, as he allowed nine runs (all earned) on 15 hits in 13 1/3 innings, but the youngster got his win at Yankee Stadium, yielding just one run on five hits in 7 2/3 innings. Mussina, gearing up for his 13th start, has been steady all season, pitching at least five innings in seven of his last eight outings as he?s gone 7-1 in that stretch. On Friday at Minnesota, he allowed four runs ? all in the first inning ? on six hits in six innings, and the Yanks? offense helped him out in a 6-5 victory. In his first outing of the year, Mussina gave up four runs on eight hits in 5 2/3 innings in a 5-2 home loss to Toronto, but he?s 23-12 with a 3.35 ERA in 42 career starts against the Jays. Also, Mussina is 4-3 with a 5.17 ERA at home this season.
The Blue Jays are 8-2 in their last 10 against right-handed starters, 9-3 in their last 12 overall and 5-0 in their last five against losing teams, and with Litsch taking the ball, they are on runs of 4-0 as underdog, 5-0 in the second game of a series and 5-1 on the road. However, Toronto is 3-7 in its last 10 against the A.L. East and 2-7 in its last nine on the highway against losing teams. Despite their current three-game skid, the Yankees sport positive trends of 38-16 on Wednesday and 53-27 as a home chalk, and with Mussina starting, they are 4-1 on Wednesday, 10-4 as a favorite and 5-2 against winning teams. On the flip side, New York is 2-5 in Mussina?s last seven starts inside the division. For Litsch, the under is on streaks of 11-4 against losing teams, 7-2 in Game 2 of a series, 6-2 on the road against losing teams and 9-4 in division play. With Mussina hurling, the over is on runs of 9-2 against winning teams, 8-3 with the veteran favored and 9-4 at home, but the under is 8-1-1 in his last 10 Wednesday starts. Even though Tuesday?s game soared over the total, the under for Toronto is on streaks of 29-13-1 overall, 45-22-3 on the road, 25-12-1 against righties, 36-17-1 in the second game of a series and 58-29-2 against losing teams. Conversely, for New York, the over is on runs of 8-3 overall (4-1 last five), 4-1 in Game 2 of a series and 7-2 at home, but the under is 5-0 in its last five Wednesday games and 20-7 in its last 27 against the A.L. East. Finally, the under is 25-11-2 in the last 38 meetings between these clubs in the Bronx, and 4-1 in the last five clashes overall, with the lone ?over? coming last night.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
VEGAS EXPERTS
Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres
Wednesday, June 4th, 10:05 PM ET
Not sure why the oddsmakers continue to undervalue the red-hot Cubs in this series. Last night's 9-6 was the team's ninth consecutive victory while the Padres have now dropped three straight. Chicago starter Ted Lilly has owned the Padres winning all four of his starts against them and is backed by the far superior offense, one that scores two more full runs per game than does San Diego. Cubs are 16-2 vs. the NL West this season while the Padres are a staggering 9-23 in the dog role.
Play on: Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres
Wednesday, June 4th, 10:05 PM ET
Not sure why the oddsmakers continue to undervalue the red-hot Cubs in this series. Last night's 9-6 was the team's ninth consecutive victory while the Padres have now dropped three straight. Chicago starter Ted Lilly has owned the Padres winning all four of his starts against them and is backed by the far superior offense, one that scores two more full runs per game than does San Diego. Cubs are 16-2 vs. the NL West this season while the Padres are a staggering 9-23 in the dog role.
Play on: Chicago Cubs
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
Frank Rosenthal
WEDNESDAY, JUNE 04, 2008
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MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
951 FISH OVER 9.5 SB+
954 BREWERS-110 SB
958 GIANTS+110 SB
959 REDS+110 SB
966 PADRES+110 SB
972 BOSOX-175 SB
974 YANKS-130 SB
975 TRIBE-140 SB
979 KC+155 SB
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO
WEDNESDAY, JUNE 04, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
951 FISH OVER 9.5 SB+
954 BREWERS-110 SB
958 GIANTS+110 SB
959 REDS+110 SB
966 PADRES+110 SB
972 BOSOX-175 SB
974 YANKS-130 SB
975 TRIBE-140 SB
979 KC+155 SB
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO
