Wednesday Service Plays 6/4/08
- Thread starter MLBKING
- Start date
Dr Baseball
Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, June 04, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Last year we were 116-44 in Baseball and our GRAND SLAM Selections are now 213-85 the past two years combined! We are 46-28 this year for +$1420 playing $100 per game. Today we have an GRAND SLAM BASEBALL ANNIHILATOR that you can get for just $25 and you are guaranteed to win this game or you will not be charged! 6/4/2008
GRAND SLAM BASEBALL ANNIHILATOR
LA Dodgers w/Kershaw -132 3:10 EST
Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, June 04, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Last year we were 116-44 in Baseball and our GRAND SLAM Selections are now 213-85 the past two years combined! We are 46-28 this year for +$1420 playing $100 per game. Today we have an GRAND SLAM BASEBALL ANNIHILATOR that you can get for just $25 and you are guaranteed to win this game or you will not be charged! 6/4/2008
GRAND SLAM BASEBALL ANNIHILATOR
LA Dodgers w/Kershaw -132 3:10 EST
R.J. Miller
Professional Gambler Newsletter
PIRATES +110 over Astros (any pitcher-Oswalt)
Astros at Pirates OVER 9.0 -109 (Oswalt-Duke)
Cubs at Padres OVER 7.5 -104 (Lilly-Maddux)
Indians at Rangers OVER 10.5 -106 (Lee-Ponson)
Orioles at Twins OVER 8.5 -104 (Cabrera-Perkins)
Professional Gambler Newsletter
PIRATES +110 over Astros (any pitcher-Oswalt)
Astros at Pirates OVER 9.0 -109 (Oswalt-Duke)
Cubs at Padres OVER 7.5 -104 (Lilly-Maddux)
Indians at Rangers OVER 10.5 -106 (Lee-Ponson)
Orioles at Twins OVER 8.5 -104 (Cabrera-Perkins)
Vegas Runner
LOS / COL Under 8
* 1* TOTAL* (UNDER -115)
OAK (-140) vs DET
* 1* ML WAGER *
OAK / DET Under 8.5
* 1* TOTAL* (UNDER -120)
LOS / COL Under 8
* 1* TOTAL* (UNDER -115)
OAK (-140) vs DET
* 1* ML WAGER *
OAK / DET Under 8.5
* 1* TOTAL* (UNDER -120)
Ben Burns
Gm 6 Stanley Cup ROAST *10-1 L11 NHL Finals $35.00
Ben Burns is a perfect 3-0 with his NHL selections through the first five games of the Stanley Cup Finals. Looking back further and we find him at a TERRIFIC 10-1-1 in the Finals the past three years. Will the Cup be awarded tonight? Grab Ben's Game 6 "Roast" and find out the VALUABLE ANSWER right away!
Pittsburgh Penguins
Gm 6 Stanley Cup ROAST *10-1 L11 NHL Finals $35.00
Ben Burns is a perfect 3-0 with his NHL selections through the first five games of the Stanley Cup Finals. Looking back further and we find him at a TERRIFIC 10-1-1 in the Finals the past three years. Will the Cup be awarded tonight? Grab Ben's Game 6 "Roast" and find out the VALUABLE ANSWER right away!
Pittsburgh Penguins
Ben Burns
**DAYTIME MISMATCH*** Getaway Day GOW! $35.00
After cashing 11 of 12 reports the previous four days, Ben Burns' winning streak (temporarily) came to an end yesterday. This afternoon, Burns "bounces back" with his "Getaway Day" Game of the Week. If you liked Ben's Getaway Day GOM winners in April (7-0 winner on 4/10!) and in May (9-0 winner on 5/7!) you'll LOVE this week's beauty. Be there!
I'm playing on OAKLAND. There are several reasons why this is a difficult spot for the Tigers. For starters, they're playing the final game of an eight game road trip. They're also playing at a venue, where they have now lost six of their last seven. Additionally, they're off an extremely frustrating/heartbreaking loss. They lost when Oakland?s Jack Cust beat out an infield hit with two outs in the bottom of the 11th. The bases were loaded at the time and the winning run came home to score. It gets worse though, as the Tigers haven't fared well in this situation. While they've hit well vs. left-handers, they're batting .253 and scoring 4.5 runs against right-handers. That's actually not that bad when compared to their overall .237 mark and 3.7 runs that they've averaged on the road. For the season, they're 12-20 (-8.1) on the road and a money-burning 17-30 (-18.4) vs. right-handed starters. They're also an awful 5-16 in day games, costing their backers 16 units vs. the moneyline during that 21-game stretch, while averaging a mere 3.1 runs per game. On the other hand, the A's are a solid 12-8 (+3.8) in the afternoon this season, averaging five runs per game. Looking back further and we find Oakland at a highly profitable 82-63 (+18.1) in day games since the start of the 2006 season. The A's also figure to have an advantage on the mound. Justin Duchscherer has a 2.27 ERA on the season and he's 3-0 with an awesome 1.35 ERA and 0.65 WHIP in three home starts. Conversely, Nate Robertson is 2-3 (Tigers are 2-4) in six road starts with an ugly 6.03 ERA and 1.602 WHIP. It's also worth noting that the A's relievers entered yesterday's game with a combined 2.84 ERA and 1.00 WHIP at home while the Tigers' relievers had a combined 4.56 ERA and 1.667 WHIP on the road. Look for the A's to complete their first sweep of the Tigers in nearly three years. *Getaway Day GOW
Oakland Athletics
**DAYTIME MISMATCH*** Getaway Day GOW! $35.00
After cashing 11 of 12 reports the previous four days, Ben Burns' winning streak (temporarily) came to an end yesterday. This afternoon, Burns "bounces back" with his "Getaway Day" Game of the Week. If you liked Ben's Getaway Day GOM winners in April (7-0 winner on 4/10!) and in May (9-0 winner on 5/7!) you'll LOVE this week's beauty. Be there!
I'm playing on OAKLAND. There are several reasons why this is a difficult spot for the Tigers. For starters, they're playing the final game of an eight game road trip. They're also playing at a venue, where they have now lost six of their last seven. Additionally, they're off an extremely frustrating/heartbreaking loss. They lost when Oakland?s Jack Cust beat out an infield hit with two outs in the bottom of the 11th. The bases were loaded at the time and the winning run came home to score. It gets worse though, as the Tigers haven't fared well in this situation. While they've hit well vs. left-handers, they're batting .253 and scoring 4.5 runs against right-handers. That's actually not that bad when compared to their overall .237 mark and 3.7 runs that they've averaged on the road. For the season, they're 12-20 (-8.1) on the road and a money-burning 17-30 (-18.4) vs. right-handed starters. They're also an awful 5-16 in day games, costing their backers 16 units vs. the moneyline during that 21-game stretch, while averaging a mere 3.1 runs per game. On the other hand, the A's are a solid 12-8 (+3.8) in the afternoon this season, averaging five runs per game. Looking back further and we find Oakland at a highly profitable 82-63 (+18.1) in day games since the start of the 2006 season. The A's also figure to have an advantage on the mound. Justin Duchscherer has a 2.27 ERA on the season and he's 3-0 with an awesome 1.35 ERA and 0.65 WHIP in three home starts. Conversely, Nate Robertson is 2-3 (Tigers are 2-4) in six road starts with an ugly 6.03 ERA and 1.602 WHIP. It's also worth noting that the A's relievers entered yesterday's game with a combined 2.84 ERA and 1.00 WHIP at home while the Tigers' relievers had a combined 4.56 ERA and 1.667 WHIP on the road. Look for the A's to complete their first sweep of the Tigers in nearly three years. *Getaway Day GOW
Oakland Athletics
David Malinsky
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
PICK: 4* Toronto Blue Jays
Last night we took advantage of the marketplace being way off in their perceptions between these teams - getting Roy Halladay and the surging Blue Jays as underdogs against a sub-.500 team with bullpen issues was too much to pass up. Those same perceptions are in play again tonight, so off we are to the Bronx again.
Toronto has gone 21-11 since May 1st, including 11-7 on the road, and in that span the Bue Jays have won at five different stadiums of teams that currently sport winning records. Last night?s win would have made it six, except of course that the Yankees are 28-30 and in last place in the A.L. East. Jesse Litsch has been a big part of that run, with his 7-1/3.18 an indication of the kind of savvy he has at such a young age, with only nine walks through 65 innings. He has already picked up four road wins this season, and from a confidence standpoint remember that his final road start of 2007 was a 4-1 here in Yankee Stadium, when he worked into the 8th inning without issuing a walk against a team that was playing with their playoff lives on the line. Now Litsch enters this one off of back-to-back shutouts, and brings the right frame of mind to perform well once again, while a bullpen that has been as good as any in the game this season has plenty of rested and ready arms for late support.
So is Mike Mussina bringing enough to be this kind of favorite? Not at all. At this stage he can be an average pitcher on his good days, and less than that on the others. In 2007 his ERA ballooned to a career-high 5.15, and the peripherals showed why - he allowed a career high of Hits-Per-9, and posted a career low of Strikeouts-Per-9. Naturally that also meant that his ratio of hits per strikeout was an additional career low, reaching over 2:1 in that category. So in reducing his ERA to the current 4.26, has he reached back and found anything? No. His strikeout rate has fallen off even more, from 5.38 to 4.84, and his hits-per-strikeout have climbed from 2.07 to 2.12. The drop in ERA can largely be explained by the fact that nine unearned runs do not show against his ledger - remember that lovely start against Baltimore in which seven of the 10 batters he faced either got a hit or received a walk, but only one run was charged. His best weapon at this stage of his career is his guile, with fooling hitters that are not accustomed to his stuff an occasional plus factor. That is not in play tonight, with every projected Toronto starter having at least 10 career at-bats against him.
As we wrote yesterday, moving Joba Chamberlain to the starting rotation leaves a major hole in the Yankee middle relief corps. There are issues of quality and consistency, and with Mussina managing just 34 innings over his last seven starts, only making it into the 7th once, that bullpen will have to be a big part of tonight?s proceedings. It means that for the second night in a row the underdog may have been better pitcher on the mound every inning. The only exception would be Marino Rivera working the 9th, but if this flows the way that we anticipate, there will not be a New York save situation available.
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
PICK: 4* Toronto Blue Jays
Last night we took advantage of the marketplace being way off in their perceptions between these teams - getting Roy Halladay and the surging Blue Jays as underdogs against a sub-.500 team with bullpen issues was too much to pass up. Those same perceptions are in play again tonight, so off we are to the Bronx again.
Toronto has gone 21-11 since May 1st, including 11-7 on the road, and in that span the Bue Jays have won at five different stadiums of teams that currently sport winning records. Last night?s win would have made it six, except of course that the Yankees are 28-30 and in last place in the A.L. East. Jesse Litsch has been a big part of that run, with his 7-1/3.18 an indication of the kind of savvy he has at such a young age, with only nine walks through 65 innings. He has already picked up four road wins this season, and from a confidence standpoint remember that his final road start of 2007 was a 4-1 here in Yankee Stadium, when he worked into the 8th inning without issuing a walk against a team that was playing with their playoff lives on the line. Now Litsch enters this one off of back-to-back shutouts, and brings the right frame of mind to perform well once again, while a bullpen that has been as good as any in the game this season has plenty of rested and ready arms for late support.
So is Mike Mussina bringing enough to be this kind of favorite? Not at all. At this stage he can be an average pitcher on his good days, and less than that on the others. In 2007 his ERA ballooned to a career-high 5.15, and the peripherals showed why - he allowed a career high of Hits-Per-9, and posted a career low of Strikeouts-Per-9. Naturally that also meant that his ratio of hits per strikeout was an additional career low, reaching over 2:1 in that category. So in reducing his ERA to the current 4.26, has he reached back and found anything? No. His strikeout rate has fallen off even more, from 5.38 to 4.84, and his hits-per-strikeout have climbed from 2.07 to 2.12. The drop in ERA can largely be explained by the fact that nine unearned runs do not show against his ledger - remember that lovely start against Baltimore in which seven of the 10 batters he faced either got a hit or received a walk, but only one run was charged. His best weapon at this stage of his career is his guile, with fooling hitters that are not accustomed to his stuff an occasional plus factor. That is not in play tonight, with every projected Toronto starter having at least 10 career at-bats against him.
As we wrote yesterday, moving Joba Chamberlain to the starting rotation leaves a major hole in the Yankee middle relief corps. There are issues of quality and consistency, and with Mussina managing just 34 innings over his last seven starts, only making it into the 7th once, that bullpen will have to be a big part of tonight?s proceedings. It means that for the second night in a row the underdog may have been better pitcher on the mound every inning. The only exception would be Marino Rivera working the 9th, but if this flows the way that we anticipate, there will not be a New York save situation available.
SPORTS MONITOR
MATCHUP:
Chicago Cubs (38-21) at San Diego Padres (24-36)
Cubs-130 /total 8
TRENDS:
The Cubs have won 16 of their last 18 against the NL West.
The Padres have lost 11 of their last 15 against the NL Central.
The Cubs have won five of the last six against San Diego.
GAME SUMMARY:
The Chicago Cubs' recent dominance of NL West teams has them
on the verge of their first 10-game winning streak in nine years.
SPORTS MONITOR
PREDICTION:
Cubs 5 Padres 3
Robert Ferringo
3.5-Unit Play. Take #961 Houston (-115) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
Has Roy turned the corner? I was really hoping that the Astros had lost last night. If so, this may have been our Game of the Month. Oswalt has had back-to-back quality outings and I'm hoping for another against a team he's fared well against in his career. He is 11-5 with a 2.49 career ERA against the Bucs and Houston has won six of his last eight starts against them. Houston is one of the best teams in the league against left-handed starters and Zach Duke is 0-3 in his career against the Astros. Houston showed some purpose and focus yesterday. I'm wagering they can keep it going.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #969 Los Angeles Angels (-120) over Seattle (4:30 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
This play basically comes down to two things: 1) Carlos Silva is a slob, and 2) The Angels have been much, much better during the day. Silva didn't make it out of the first inning in his last start and has an ERA of 16.03 in his last three. He also has an 0-2 mark with a 7.66 ERA in day games, as opposed to his counterpart, Jared Weaver. Weaver is 10-2 with a 2.14 ERA in day games in his career and has even better numbers this year in the sunshine. As strange as it sounds, the Angels may be better off without Vlad in the lineup - he hadn't been hitting AT ALL - and I think they make it a clean sweep today.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #968 Oakland (-135) over Detroit (3:30 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
This play is along the lines of the Angels wager. Detroit has been awful in day games and in road games, so it stands to reason that they'd be poor in road day games. The Tigers are 5-16 in day games and Nate Robertson has an 8.03 daytime ERA. Robertson is also 0-3 with a 6.12 ERA in his career at Oakland and is 14-24 during daylight hours.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #974 New York Yankees (-130) over Toronto (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
Bounceback game for the Yankees. Home teams have dominated and after a big win by the Jays on Tuesday over Jaba I think the Bombers come roaring back. Their key lefty sticks - Damon, Matsui, Giambi, Abreu - have been hitting the ball well and I think they get to Jesse Litsch today. Mike Mussina has won seven of eight starts and is 14-4 as a home starter against Toronto in his career. Jesse Litsch has been exceptional recently, but he has actually been vulnerable at night. He has an ERA of 5.34 in evening games - a full two runs higher than his overall ERA. The Yanks even up the series with a W tonight.
1-Unit Play. Take #978 Minnesota (-115) over Baltimore (8 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
Minnesota was one of my main teams to follow coming into this year because I knew they would be much better than the prognosticators projected. I haven't gone to them near enough, so we're going to start today. Baltimore is 6-20 in its last 26 against left-handed pitchers and just 2-9 in its last 11 against the Twins. After a surprise W yesterday I like the Twins to respond.
2.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 9.5 Florida at Atlanta (1 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
2-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 10.5 Cleveland at Texas (8 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
1-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.0 St. Louis at Washington (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
1-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 9.0 Tampa Bay at Boston (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
Note: if you haven't already played this Tampa-Boston total, bump it to a 1.5-Unit play
3.5-Unit Play. Take #961 Houston (-115) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
Has Roy turned the corner? I was really hoping that the Astros had lost last night. If so, this may have been our Game of the Month. Oswalt has had back-to-back quality outings and I'm hoping for another against a team he's fared well against in his career. He is 11-5 with a 2.49 career ERA against the Bucs and Houston has won six of his last eight starts against them. Houston is one of the best teams in the league against left-handed starters and Zach Duke is 0-3 in his career against the Astros. Houston showed some purpose and focus yesterday. I'm wagering they can keep it going.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #969 Los Angeles Angels (-120) over Seattle (4:30 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
This play basically comes down to two things: 1) Carlos Silva is a slob, and 2) The Angels have been much, much better during the day. Silva didn't make it out of the first inning in his last start and has an ERA of 16.03 in his last three. He also has an 0-2 mark with a 7.66 ERA in day games, as opposed to his counterpart, Jared Weaver. Weaver is 10-2 with a 2.14 ERA in day games in his career and has even better numbers this year in the sunshine. As strange as it sounds, the Angels may be better off without Vlad in the lineup - he hadn't been hitting AT ALL - and I think they make it a clean sweep today.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #968 Oakland (-135) over Detroit (3:30 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
This play is along the lines of the Angels wager. Detroit has been awful in day games and in road games, so it stands to reason that they'd be poor in road day games. The Tigers are 5-16 in day games and Nate Robertson has an 8.03 daytime ERA. Robertson is also 0-3 with a 6.12 ERA in his career at Oakland and is 14-24 during daylight hours.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #974 New York Yankees (-130) over Toronto (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
Bounceback game for the Yankees. Home teams have dominated and after a big win by the Jays on Tuesday over Jaba I think the Bombers come roaring back. Their key lefty sticks - Damon, Matsui, Giambi, Abreu - have been hitting the ball well and I think they get to Jesse Litsch today. Mike Mussina has won seven of eight starts and is 14-4 as a home starter against Toronto in his career. Jesse Litsch has been exceptional recently, but he has actually been vulnerable at night. He has an ERA of 5.34 in evening games - a full two runs higher than his overall ERA. The Yanks even up the series with a W tonight.
1-Unit Play. Take #978 Minnesota (-115) over Baltimore (8 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
Minnesota was one of my main teams to follow coming into this year because I knew they would be much better than the prognosticators projected. I haven't gone to them near enough, so we're going to start today. Baltimore is 6-20 in its last 26 against left-handed pitchers and just 2-9 in its last 11 against the Twins. After a surprise W yesterday I like the Twins to respond.
2.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 9.5 Florida at Atlanta (1 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
2-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 10.5 Cleveland at Texas (8 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
1-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.0 St. Louis at Washington (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
1-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 9.0 Tampa Bay at Boston (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 4)
Note: if you haven't already played this Tampa-Boston total, bump it to a 1.5-Unit play
Bob Balfe
Major League Baseball
Astros/Pirates Under 9 -110
Oswalt/Duke
Savannah Sports
2 Units on CWS -1.5 (RL)
Major League Baseball
Astros/Pirates Under 9 -110
Oswalt/Duke
Savannah Sports
2 Units on CWS -1.5 (RL)
The Consensus Group
Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, June 04, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Last year we were 64-28 in Baseball for +39.40 UNITS! And that is playing ONE UNIT PER GAME! Today we are featuring 5000* BASEBALL DIAMOND DOMINATOR WINNER as ALL FIVE of our handicappers are on this game and ALL FIVE of them are making this game a BEST BET!! The Computer Simulator gives our play an 88% chance of winning for us! Get this GUARANTEED WINNER for $25! 36-17 +18.0 UNITS THIS YEAR! 6/4/2008
5000* BASEBALL DIAMOND DOMINATOR WINNER
Cleveland w/Lee -135 8:05 EST
Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, June 04, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Last year we were 64-28 in Baseball for +39.40 UNITS! And that is playing ONE UNIT PER GAME! Today we are featuring 5000* BASEBALL DIAMOND DOMINATOR WINNER as ALL FIVE of our handicappers are on this game and ALL FIVE of them are making this game a BEST BET!! The Computer Simulator gives our play an 88% chance of winning for us! Get this GUARANTEED WINNER for $25! 36-17 +18.0 UNITS THIS YEAR! 6/4/2008
5000* BASEBALL DIAMOND DOMINATOR WINNER
Cleveland w/Lee -135 8:05 EST
ER Sports
MLB Playmaker Total Report (4-0 +6.30 MLB Run): $29
ER gets Wednesday started with a strong look at a National League Total. ER has dominated with 7 Straight winning months and has banked +117 units since 2006 and this is yours for $29. This Playmaker is guaranteed to win or ER's next report is free.
San Diego Under 8
MLB Playmaker Total Report (4-0 +6.30 MLB Run): $29
ER gets Wednesday started with a strong look at a National League Total. ER has dominated with 7 Straight winning months and has banked +117 units since 2006 and this is yours for $29. This Playmaker is guaranteed to win or ER's next report is free.
San Diego Under 8