Wednesday Service Plays 7/30/08

the duke

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John Martin


MLB | Jul 30
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Tampa Bay Rays -111

1 Unit on Tampa Bay Rays -111
(Listing Jackson and Richmond)

Toronto?s Scott Richmond is making his first start of the year against the AL East leading Rays Wednesday. It?s not going to be a start Richmond will want to remember. Edwin Jackson of the Rays is 3-2 in nine road starts for a 3.71 ERA. Jackson pitched 8 scoreless innings at Toronto back on May 8th, 2008. He?ll remember that start and come into Wednesday?s game with great confidence. Toronto is 5-19 after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. They were shut out by the Rays last night and don?t be surprised if there?s a zero on the scoreboard for Toronto when this one is over. Tampa Bay is 24-11 vs. AL teams allowing 4.2 or less runs/game on the season this season. Cash in with the Rays as the favorite.


Steve Janus


MLB | Jul 30
Arizona D-Backs vs. San Diego Padres

Arizona D-Backs -133

The Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 road games and they've been very impressive this season when Dan Haren takes the mound, no matter where they play. Arizona has a 5-1 record in Haren's last 6 road starts and they've won Haren's last 4 starts overall against any team with a losing record. The Padres have lost 13 of their last 16 home games and are just 14-40 at home against teams with a winning record.


Black Widow


MLB | Jul 30
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins +104

1* on Minnesota Twins +104
(List Hernandez only)

The Twins smell blood after drawing within a ? game of the White Sox by beating Chicago in two straight heading into tonight?s Game 3. Livan Hernandez isn?t the best starter on this staff, but he?s been damn good at home. Hernandez is 8-1 at home with a sufficient 3.91 ERA this year. The Twins are 10-2 in his 12 home starts of 2008. After a hot start to the season, Gavin Floyd has clearly fizzled. Floyd is 0-2 with a 6.13 ERA in his last three starts. The Twins are 28-8 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 3 seasons. With Hernandez on the mound and the Twins playing at home, this is a great combination for a Minnesota victory as a nice underdog. Take the Twins on the Money Line.


Larry Cook


MLB | Jul 30
Kansas City Royals vs. Oakland Athletics

Kansas City Royals +121

3* on Kansas City Royals +121
(Listing Bannister only)

Kansas City has gotten great pitching during their current 3-game winning streak. The Royals have allowed just 5 runs in those three wins and we look for Brian Bannister to continue this success for Kansas City tonight. Bannister has allowed just 2 earned runs in two of his last three starts against the A?s, one coming as a complete game in a 9-2 victory. He owns a career 1.150 WHIP against the A?s and that bodes well heading into tonight?s match-up. Bannister is 13-4 vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. Oakland has lost 9 of its last 11 ball games overall. This is a team that basically decided to give up when they traded away Joe Blanton and Rich Harden just a few weeks ago. Bet Kansas City on the road.


Bob Harvey


MLB | Jul 30
LAA Angels vs. Boston Red Sox

LAA Angels +162

A gift. This is an absolute gift. The public infatuation with Josh Beckett and the Red Sox makes this one of the great plays of the year. The Angels will be gunning for a sweep of the Red Sox and at the same time looking for their eighth straight win over Boston. They?ll send 13-game winner Joe Saunders to the mound as a HUGE underdog. What am I missing? The Angels are the best team in baseball, they just added Mark Texiara and they?re +160? I?m all over this.

The Angels are 66-40 and lead the AL West by 11 1/2 games over Texas. Los Halos have outscored Boston 52-31 overall and won its last four at Fenway Park, where it hasn?t swept a three-game series since July 31-Aug. 2, 2001. Anaheim has also won 11 of its last 13 overall. Saunders won at Fenway on April 24, when he gave up three runs in six innings. He didn?t get a decision against the Red Sox on July 19 at home after yielding two runs in 6 2-3 innings. However he is 3-0 with a 2.87 ERA in five lifetime starts against Boston. Beckett matched up with Saunders and lost to the Angels on July 19 after giving up four runs in eight innings. The Angels have the best road record in the majors at 34-19. Look for them to make it 35 victories away from the ?Big A? as they record a historic sweep at Fenway.
 

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Marc Lawrence

Game: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins Jul 30 2008 8:10PM
Prediction: Minnesota Twins
Play On: Minnesota w/Hernandez vs Floyd

Reason: Twins host the White Sox in the 3rd of this 4-game series in the Metrodome when they send Livan Hernandez to the hill against Gavin Floyd in a matchup of two pitchers with opposite home/road dichotomies. That's confirmed by Hernandez' 3.91 ERA at home this season as opposed to his 7.22 ERA on the road. Floyd, on the other hand, owns a 5.29 ERA on the road and a 2.49 ERA at home this year. With Floyd in rocky KW form with 13 walks and 12 strikeouts in his last three starting efforts, and 5-12 in his last 17 road starts, look for Hernandez to improve to 9-1 at home in July here tonight.



Jimmy The Moose

Game: New York Mets at Florida Marlins Jul 30 2008 7:10PM
Prediction: New York Mets

Reason: The red hot Mets are 16-5 in their last 21 games. The Mets are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record. New York is 12-5 in their last 17 vs. a right-handed starter. Pelfrey's on the mound tonight and NY is 10-1 in his last 11 starts. The Mets have won his last 5 road starts. The Marlins have also been playing well but they have struggled with Johnson on the mound. Florida is 2-5 in his last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Marlins have lost 4 of his last 5 home starts. The Mets are 13-3 in their last 16 trips to Florida. Play on the New York Mets -.


Tony Weston


We will deliver a winner with the Brewers over the Cubs.

After dropping two straight games to the Cubs the Brewers will get over on their NL Central rival tonight.

Even though the Brewers have lost back-to-back games to the Cubbies and are on a three-game losing streak they?re still 9-4 their last 13 games.

But Milwaukee will get over due to scheduled starting pitcher Manny Parra. Parra is 9-3 this season with a 3.72 ERA and is 5-1 this year with a 3.15 ERA at home. Also, the Brewers are 7-5 in his 12 home starts.

Parra will shut down the Cubs and lead the Brewers to a much-needed win. Pencil in Parra as your starting pitcher and go with Milwaukee at home.

3♦ BREWERS (On a 1-5♦ Scale)


Detroit (+145) at CLEVELAND Bobby Maxwell

We're 31-27 with our last 58 FREE selections and tonight we're going for the plus-money with the Tigers as they take on the Indians in Cleveland.

The odds might be stacked against us, but I like the Tigers to get the best of the Indians tonight. Lefty Nate Robertson (6-8, 5.63 ERA) is on the hill for the Tigers tonight against Cleveland's Cliff Lee (3-0, 2.29).

Robertson has been Jeckyl and Hyde on the road, giving up one run in a complete-game victory in Seattle on July 6 and then in his last road start he gave up seven runs in 2.1 innings of work in Baltimore. We're banking on the good Roberston to show up tonight.

He hasn't seen the Indians this season but he's been consistent against them in his career, and in his last three he's allowed seven runs over his last 20.2 innings of work.

Lee has been remarkable this season but his body of work against the Tigers hasn't been great, as the Indians have lost six of his last seven outings. Last three times he's seen the Tigers he's allowed 12 runs in 15 innings of work.

Play the hard-hitting Tigers to get to Lee again.

3♦ DETROIT
 

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Brian Marshall

July 29, 2008

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Plays On: Tampa Bay Rays (+140)

Game Analyses: There is no "Game Analysis" with today's free pick. Take the Tampa Bay Rays!


John Fina


July 30, 2008

Selection: Chicago/Minnesota Over 10.5 (-110)

Reason: Put us down on the Chicago White Sox/Minnesota Twins Over 10.5 for our Free MLB Selection on Wednesday. Today we see a high-scoring game as the Chicago White Sox do battle with the Minnesota Twins. One reason why we expect a high-scoring game is because both these teams will send to the mound struggling starting pitchers. This says it all... The Chicago White Sox Starting Pitcher (Gavin Floyd) has a 6.14 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Minnesota Twins Starting Pitcher (Livan Hernandez) has a 6.05 ERA in his last 3 starts. As you can see, both these starting pitchers have been struggling as of late. The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams, and we expect to see another high-scoring game today! Take the Chicago White Sox/Minnesota Twins Over 10.5!


Tony Mathews


Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

Selection: Arizona Diamondbacks (-145)

Explanation: We will side with the Arizona Diamondbacks as they face-off against the San Diego Padres in Wednesday's MLB contest.

The Arizona Diamondbacks will use starting pitcher Dan Haren. Dan Haren has pitched well this season. In fact, Dan Haren has a 2.56 ERA on the season. In addition, Dan Haren has a 1.17 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Dan Haren pitching another great game today.

The San Diego Padres will use starting pitcher Cha Seung Baek. Cha Seung Baek has struggled this season. In fact, Cha Seung Baek has a 4.86 ERA on the season. We see Cha Seung Baek having another bad game today.

Trend #1: The San Diego Padres are 5-14 in their last 19 games as an underdog.

Trend#2: The San Diego Padres are 3-13 in their last 16 home games.

Take the Arizona Diamondbacks!
 

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ARMVIN SPORTS

Tampa Bay Rays -111

Oakland Athletics -129



Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Mets Tuesday night.

Wednesday it's the Blue Jays. The surplus is 315 sirignanos.


HONDO


Hondo, who'd been on a three-game schneid, stopped the bleeding last night with his shrewd Tiger selection, which moved the earnings onward and upward to 730 womacks.

Tonight, the Trey Hey Kid will be ultra-busy as he monitors his 10-unit investments on Saunders, Red ding and Volquez.
 

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Dave Cokin

My free pick of the day is the game between (901) COL Rockies and (902) PIT Pirates. Take "(901) COL Rockies".
The Rockies were thought to be sellers with Brian Fuentes and perhaps even Matt Holliday on the trading block. Then the defending NL champs got hot and there was thought they might instead look to buy a player for the stretch drive. Needless to say, back to back losses against the shorthanded Pirates aren't doing much to ease the confusion. This is a very big game for the Rockies as they desperately need to avoid getting swept by the lowly Bucs. With their tough righty Aaron Cook on the hill, they're in good shape. That outlook gets even better with Zach Duke (34 hits, 24 ER in his last 19.1 IP) on the bump for the hosts. I'll spot the odds with the Rockies.



Jim Feist


My free pick of the day is the game between (929) CHW White Sox and (930) MIN Twins. Take "(929) CHW White Sox". The first place White Sox and second place Twins playing in a important series here in Minneapolis. The White Sox send Gavin Floyd to the mound. Floyd is 10-6 on the season with a 3.57 era. He's 2-1 in three starts against the Twins this season, allowing just five earned runs in 21 1/3 total innings. Livan Hernandez goes for the Twins. Hernandez has been excellent at home and very poor on the road. Hernandez has allowed the most hits in the AL with 190 (32 more than the next starter) and also has allowed the most earned runs with 80. Hernandez is 2-1 in his last three starts, allowing 13 earned runs in 19 13/ innings. We'll take the White Sox here on Wednesday to increase their lead in the AL Central.
 

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ScottFerrall


Boston -170 BECKETT over Saunders and the Angels--Boston doesn't mess around when their ace is on the hill

Oakland -120
and Gallagher over Bannister and the Royals--this guy is another bad outing from being toast with KC

Yankees -260 JOBA against the Orioles at the boogie down Bronx--the Yanks will light up Sarfate

TB -105 at Toronto--I'm feeling Edwin Jackson getting some run support. The Rays are going to bust out one of these nights--I say tonight

DODGERS -185 and Billingsley stop the Giants while getting the sticks working against Dirty Sanchez

Arizona -135 at SD--Dan Haren always comes through for the D'Backs when they need him most
 

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Carlo Campanella

Game: Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox Jul 30 2008 7:05PM

Prediction: Boston Red Sox

Reason: Boston hosts the Angels on Wednesday on a 1-3 losing streak. Expect that they'll turn things around here knowing that they're 26-7 at home against AL teams with a team batting average of 265% or lower this season. Toss in the fact that Boston is 4-2 against LA with Beckett starting on the mound and we'll lay the lumber.

7* Play On Boston


Alex Smart

Mariners (RL) @ Rangers (RL) Jul 30, 2008 8:05PM
PICK: Rangers (RL)

REASON FOR PICK: The Texas Rangers(55-52) and Seattle Mariners(40-66) prepare to play their 3rd tilt in a 4 games series this Wednesday night in Arlington. Last night the Rangers took out the Mariners, with a bottom of ninth, come from behind 11-10 win. The loss for the Mariners was their 14th in their L/19 overall. With the ace of the Texas pitching staff, Vicente Padilla (12-5, 4.56 ERA) going to the hill, the positive momentum of last nights victory should carry on into this battle. The hard throwing Nicaraguan right hander, has not looked particularly strong of late, but has been dominant against Seattle this season , going is 1-0 along with a stingy 2.00 ERA in 3 starts. All three games ended in a Rangers win. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Mariners Miguel Batista (4-11, 6.67 ERA) has been very inconsistent this season, and has suffered through numerous bouts of fatigue, as was the case in his last outing, when he left the game , after throwing just 82 pitches. The veter an righty did not look bad in that effort, and put his team in a position for a win, but as has been the case all season, the Mariners bullpen , found a way to blow a lead. Batista is 0-2 in his career at Rangers Ball park, along with a ugly looking 7.64 ERA.

The Rangers have the superior pitcher on the mound tonight, and the superior offense , and home field advantage. In this spot, against a downtrodden team, with absolutely no confidence, they very much look like the right side .

. Final notes & Key Trends:The Rangers are 6-0 when Padilla starts against AL teams like Seattle with a on base % of .320 or less this season, with the average margin of victory clicking in at 4.7 RPG. Mariners are 17-40 L/57 meetings in Texas. Play on the Texas Rangers runline


BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS


RHP Pelfrey (9-6, 3.67 ERA)of the Mets gets the call on Wednesday as the youngster has won 7 of the his last 8 decisions. Since the Mets are red hot and picked up a slick 4-1 decision last night over the Fish, we fully expect the New Yorkers to continue their first place surge.

NY METS over Florida



James Patrick Sports


Hall of Fame Game (Canton, Ohio)
Colts vs. Redskins 8:00 p.m. est. NBC
Our complimentary selection in NFL Pre-Season action is #242 Washington Redskins.
 

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razor sharp
PHILADELPHIA (Moyer) -135 over Washington

huddle up sports
Wednesday Winner Chicago Cubs Dempster +100
 

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MLB 7/30/2008

LA Angels at Boston moneyline
Boston/J. Beckett -164
Play of the Day 5*

Philadelphia at Washington moneyline
Philadelphia/J. Moyer -129
FREE PICK 5*

10:05:00 PM Arizona at San Diego moneyline
Arizona/D. Haren -128 5*


Las Vegas Sports Advisors
 

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THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

MILWAUKEE w/ Parra -110 over the Chicago Cubs
 

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Wed, 07/30/08 -

7:10 PMMatty O'Shea | MLB Total

double-dime bet904 WAS / 903 PHI Under 8.5 BetUS

Analysis: There have not been more than six runs scored in the last five meetings between Washington starting pitcher Tim Redding and the Phillies. In fact, the last three meetings have resulted in shutouts. Also add in that Philadelphia starting pitcher Jamie Moyer has seen the UNDER go 8-1 in his last nine starts overall, and the UNDER is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between the teams overall after Tuesday's 2-1 win for the Phillies. What do you end up with? The recipe for another low-scoring game, and a winner on the UNDER as my Double Dime NL Total Play O' the Week.
 

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Hot Pitchers
-- Cook is 2-0, 2.14 in his last three starts.
-- Moyer is 2-0, 1.80 in his last three starts. Nationals are 7-1 in last eight Redding home starts.
-- Jurrjens is 3-2, 2.55 in his last five starts.
-- Pelfrey is 6-0, 2.12 in his last seven starts. Marlin bullpen won all three Johnson starts: 5-4/3-2/3-2.
-- Dempster is 2-1, 1.95 in his last four starts. Parra is 5-1, 2.60 in his last eight starts.
-- Rodriguez is 3-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Arizona won five of last six Haren road starts.
-- Billingsley is 2-1, 2.66 in his last three starts. Giants won six of last seven Sanchez road starts.

-- Jackson has 2.38 RA in his last two road starts.
-- Chamberlain has 2.91 RA in his last four home starts.
-- Angels won five of last seven Saunders starts.
-- Lee is 3-0, 1.57 in his last three starts.
-- Texas is 12-4 in last sixteen Padilla starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Duke is 0-3, 11.64 in his last four starts.
-- Volquez has 6.82 RA in his last six starts.
-- Carpenter makes first start since coming off DL; he threw six innings in one game LY, before the arm injury- he was 36-13 in 2005 and 2006. .
-- Baek is 0-3, 7.16 in his last three home starts.

-- Richmond is 0-2, 2.53 in just five AAA starts; two starts ago, he 3-hit the Rays' AAA team (no walks, 10 Ks). .
-- Sarfate is 4-1, 3.78 in majors this year, but pitched 50 innings in 45 games, so he doesn't go too deep into games.
-- Bannister is 0-3, 9.85 in his last five starts. Gallagher has 4.67 RA in three starts for Oakland.
-- Beckett is 1-2, 4.50 in his last three starts.
-- Robertson is 0-1, 8.81 in his last three starts.
-- Mariners lost seven of nine Batista road starts.
-- Floyd is 0-2, 7.98 in his last three starts. Hernandez has a 5.85 RA in his last five starts (Twins 5-1 in his last six home starts).

Hot Teams
-- Pirates won first two games of Colorado series, 6-4/8-4.
-- Mets won sixteen of their last twenty-one games. Florida won six of its last eight games that followed a loss.
-- Cardinals won first two games in Atlanta series, 12-3/8-3.
-- Cubs won their last three games, scoring 22 runs.
-- Astros won last three games, scoring 22 runs.
-- Padres won four of their last five games. Arizona won six of its last eight games, is 26-13 vs NL West rivals. .
-- Dodgers won eight of their last twelve games.

-- Angels won eleven of their last thirteen games.
-- Orioles won last three games, scoring 25 runs.
-- Blue Jays won seven of last ten games.
-- Texas is 10-6 in its last sixteen home games.
-- Minnesota won its last four games, outscoring foes 28-11. .
-- Royals won their last four road games.

Cold Teams
-- Rockies lost first two games of Pirate series, 6-4/8-4
-- Phillies lost four of their last six road games. Washington lost last seven games, scoring three runs total in last five.
-- Atlanta is 4-10 in its last fourteen home games.
-- Brewers lost last three games, allowing 24 runs.
-- Reds lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Giants lost thirteen of their last seventeen games.

-- Red Sox lost four of their last five games.
-- Bronx lost last three games, outscored 29-12.
-- Tampa Bay lost nine of its last twelve road games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Indians lost five of their last seven games. Tigers are 2-3 in their last five games.
-- White Sox lost last three games, giving up 19 runs.
-- Oakland lost ten of its last twelve games.

Totals
-- Over is 6-2-1 in Colorado's last nine games.
-- Over is 5-2 in Phillies' last seven games.
-- Last six Atlanta home games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in Mets' last nine games.
-- Over is 9-2 in Milwaukee's last eleven home games.
-- Over is 6-1-2 in Houston's last nine games.
-- Nine of last twelve San Diego games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers' last eight games.

-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten games at Fenway Park.
-- Over is 18-7-1 in Orioles' last 26 games.
-- Under is 11-2-1 in last fourteen Tampa Bay road games.
-- Over is 13-7-1 in last twenty-one Cleveland games.
-- Last seven Texas games went over the total.
-- Over is 10-2-1 in last thirteen White Sox games.
-- Over is 9-4 in Royals' last thirteen road games.

Umpires
-- Col-Pitt-- Three of four Beal games stayed under the total.
-- Phil-Wsh-- Over is 7-3 in last ten Timmons games.
-- NY-Fla-- Favorite won last five Rapuano games.
-- StL-Atl-- Underdog is 9-5 in last 14 Joyce games; five of his last seven games went over the total.
-- Cin-Hst-- Have no information on umpire Colon.
-- Chi-Mil-- Underdog won last six Barksdale games; in his last 14 games, under is 9-2-3.
-- Az-SD-- Over is 8-2 in last ten Meals games behind dish.
-- SF-LA-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Runge games.

-- Det-Clev-- Under is 8-1 in last nine Meriwether games.
-- LA-Bos-- Over is 11-4 in last fifteen Drake games.
-- Blt-NY-- Five of last six Wegner games went over the total.
-- TB-Tor-- Nine of last ten Wendelstedt games went over total.
-- Sea-Tex-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Nauert games.
-- Chi-Min-- Under is 10-3 in last thirteen Foster games; dogs won his last four games behind dish.
-- KC-A's-- Under is 13-6 in last nineteen Montague games.
 

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PlusLineSports

Daily Baseball Pick

Wednesday July 30, 2008 MLB Daily Selections:

Baltimore(Sarfate) vs NYY(Chamberlain)

NYY -1.5(-127) Runline, Moneyline (-266)
 

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Charlies Sports

mlb. cincinnati @ houston under 8' runs (500*)

mlb. tampa bay+105 (30*)

mlb. atlanta-125 (20*)

mlb. minnesota-105 (20*)

mlb. arizona-135 (10*)

mlb. oakland-135 (10*) free play
 

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EZ WINNERS

MLB

5 STAR: (921) KANSAS CITY (+$121)
over Oakland
(Listing Bannister only)
(Risking $500 to win $605)
2:35PM Central Time

2 STAR: (923) LA ANGELS (+141)
over Boston
(Listing Saunders only)
(Risking $200 to win $282)
6:05PM Central Time

2 STAR: (915) SAN FRANCISCO (+$172)
over LA Dodgers
(Action)
(Risking $200 to win $344)
9:10PM Central Time

2 STAR: (909) CHICAGO (+$100)
over Milwaukee
(Listing Dempster and Parra)
(Risking $200 to win $200)
7:05PM Central Time

2 STAR: (911) CINCINNATI (+$104)
over Houston
(Listing Volquez only)
(Risking $200 to win $208)
7:05PM Central Time

1 STAR: (917) TAMPA BAY (-$113)
over Toronto
(Listing Jackson only)
(Risking $113 to win $100)
11:35PM Central Time
 

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Jimmy Sirody

Jimmy has a total play Wednesday that's strong enough to earn a rare four-star rating.
Cost: $40 Ungraded

League: MLB
Event: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals on 07/30/2008 at 4:10PM
Condition: Under
Grade: Ungraded

Promotion: I'm shocked they opened this total 9 1/2, though I don't expect that number to last long. Washington has scored a grand total of three runs in its last five games. The Nats figure to have a tough time against lefty Jamie Moyer, who has allowed four earned runs over 20 innings in his last three starts. Moyer has been under in eight of 11 on the road with an ERA of 2.93. Tim Redding has yielded one earned run or less in three of his last four appearances. He has faced the Phillies twice this season, allowing nary an earned run in 13 1/3 innings. Redding has slipped under in 22 of 30 at home when the total was between nine and 9 1/2. Moyer has gone under in 23 of 28 versus NL teams scoring 4.3 runs or less per game. Washington has skipped under in 21 of 27 versus a NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350. The Nats and Phils have been on the low side in 15 of 21 in DC. I'm making this my total Play of the Week
 
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