Wednesday Service Plays 7/30/08
- Thread starter the duke
- Start date
- Apr 7, 2008
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JB'S Computer Plays
Wednesday, July 30, 2008
Time Game Selections
7:05 p.m. Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox
(L) Joe Saunders (13-5) vs. (R) Josh Beckett (9-7) Los Angeles Angels +155
8:05 p.m. Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
(R) Miguel Batista (4-11) vs. (R) Vicente Padilla (12-5) Texas Rangers -180
8:05 p.m. Cincinnati Reds at Houston Astros
(R) Edinson Volquez (12-4) vs. (L) Wandy Rodriguez (6-3) Houston Astros -115
10:05 p.m. Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
(R) Dan Haren (10-5) vs. (R) Cha Seung Baek (3-4) Arizona Diamondbacks -145
Wednesday, July 30, 2008
Time Game Selections
7:05 p.m. Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox
(L) Joe Saunders (13-5) vs. (R) Josh Beckett (9-7) Los Angeles Angels +155
8:05 p.m. Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
(R) Miguel Batista (4-11) vs. (R) Vicente Padilla (12-5) Texas Rangers -180
8:05 p.m. Cincinnati Reds at Houston Astros
(R) Edinson Volquez (12-4) vs. (L) Wandy Rodriguez (6-3) Houston Astros -115
10:05 p.m. Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
(R) Dan Haren (10-5) vs. (R) Cha Seung Baek (3-4) Arizona Diamondbacks -145
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8:10 PM ET
MLB
Chicago White Sox (Floyd) at Minnesota Twins (Hernandez)
Pick: Minnesota Twins (Listed Pitchers) +102
The Twins have won the first two games in this four-game series to pull to within a half-game of the White Sox for the AL Central lead. This is the 10th time since June 25 the Twins have moved within a game of first with a chance to take at least a share of the division lead, but each of the previous nine times they've remained in second place. Tonight appears to finally be their time to take the lead.
Minnesota has won all four of its meetings against Chicago at the Metrodome this season, and is a major league-best 17-3 at home since June 17. Chicago slugger Jermaine Dye is 1-for-7 in the first two games of this series after batting .450 (9-for-20) with three home runs and seven RBIs in his previous five games. He is 1-for-15 (.067) at the Metrodome this season.
White Sox starter Gavin Floyd has better overall numbers than Twins starter Livan Hernandez this season. But when we look at how these two perform on the road and at home, we see a very different picture.
Floyd owns a 5.29 ERA, 1.64 WHIP and .373 OOBP in his nine road starts this season. To make matters worse, the White Sox gave Floyd just 3.3 runs per game of support in those road starts. After pitching 7 1/3 scoreless innings in a win over Oakland on July 5, Floyd is 0-2 with a 6.14 ERA in his last three starts. He has lost each of his two career starts at the Metrodome.
The Twins have won 10 of Livan Hernandez's 12 starts at the Metrodome this season, with the right-hander going 8-1 with a 3.91 ERA in those outings. Hernandez has also benefitted from 6.7 runs per game of support in his home starts.
Take Minnesota/Hernandez over Chicago/Floyd.
Dwayne Bryant
MLB
Chicago White Sox (Floyd) at Minnesota Twins (Hernandez)
Pick: Minnesota Twins (Listed Pitchers) +102
The Twins have won the first two games in this four-game series to pull to within a half-game of the White Sox for the AL Central lead. This is the 10th time since June 25 the Twins have moved within a game of first with a chance to take at least a share of the division lead, but each of the previous nine times they've remained in second place. Tonight appears to finally be their time to take the lead.
Minnesota has won all four of its meetings against Chicago at the Metrodome this season, and is a major league-best 17-3 at home since June 17. Chicago slugger Jermaine Dye is 1-for-7 in the first two games of this series after batting .450 (9-for-20) with three home runs and seven RBIs in his previous five games. He is 1-for-15 (.067) at the Metrodome this season.
White Sox starter Gavin Floyd has better overall numbers than Twins starter Livan Hernandez this season. But when we look at how these two perform on the road and at home, we see a very different picture.
Floyd owns a 5.29 ERA, 1.64 WHIP and .373 OOBP in his nine road starts this season. To make matters worse, the White Sox gave Floyd just 3.3 runs per game of support in those road starts. After pitching 7 1/3 scoreless innings in a win over Oakland on July 5, Floyd is 0-2 with a 6.14 ERA in his last three starts. He has lost each of his two career starts at the Metrodome.
The Twins have won 10 of Livan Hernandez's 12 starts at the Metrodome this season, with the right-hander going 8-1 with a 3.91 ERA in those outings. Hernandez has also benefitted from 6.7 runs per game of support in his home starts.
Take Minnesota/Hernandez over Chicago/Floyd.
Dwayne Bryant
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JIMMY BOYD
MLB | Jul 30
New York Mets vs. Florida Marlins
New York Mets -118
1 Unit PLAY on NY Mets -118 (listing Pelfrey)
The Mets are red hot and they send their hottest starter to the mound today. The Mets are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Florida, 16-5 in their last 21 overall, and 12-4 in their last 16 games as a favorite. The Mets are 10-1 in Pelfrey's last 11 starts, 5-0 in Pelfrey's last 5 road starts, and 5-0 in Pelfrey's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Domination continues for the Mets against the Fish.
MLB | Jul 30
New York Mets vs. Florida Marlins
New York Mets -118
1 Unit PLAY on NY Mets -118 (listing Pelfrey)
The Mets are red hot and they send their hottest starter to the mound today. The Mets are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Florida, 16-5 in their last 21 overall, and 12-4 in their last 16 games as a favorite. The Mets are 10-1 in Pelfrey's last 11 starts, 5-0 in Pelfrey's last 5 road starts, and 5-0 in Pelfrey's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Domination continues for the Mets against the Fish.
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WUNDERDOG
Kansas City at Oakland (3:35 PM Eastern)
2 units on Kansas City +119 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2.4)
Oakland was right in the midst of looking like a wildcard contender a couple weeks ago as they had run out to a 51-42 mark. Those nine games over .500 have since evaporated into a 2-11 slide. This slide has seen this sputtering offense produce three runs or less in nine of the 13 games. The Royals are youthful and fragile. The losses create more losses and the wins create more wins. This team has endured a 13-game losing streak and a seven-game losing streak already this season, but they have also produced two five-game winning streaks and a six-game winning streak. The Royals have also won three straight seven different times. The Royals are currently in one of those win modes after three straight and the first two in this series. We see value in KC as a dog as they get the sweep here.
Colorado at Pittsburgh (7:05 PM Eastern)
3 units on Pittsburgh +141 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 4.2)
The Pirates have taken the first two in this series, adding to their home success as they are now 27-18 in their last 45 at home. The Rockies remain a futile road team where they stand at just 17-38 on the season - the worst road record in either league. Not sure if you could ever find value on a team that wins just 31% of the time on the road as a big favorite. That winning percentage has been an even worse 11-33 for 25% over their last 44 on the road, while Aaron Cook?s last 44 road innings have amounted to a sub par 4.30 ERA. With the Rockies scoring three runs or less in 31 of their road games or 56% of the time, it leaves little margin for error, so we will take the big odds and ride the Pirates as a juicy, valued home dog.
Kansas City at Oakland (3:35 PM Eastern)
2 units on Kansas City +119 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2.4)
Oakland was right in the midst of looking like a wildcard contender a couple weeks ago as they had run out to a 51-42 mark. Those nine games over .500 have since evaporated into a 2-11 slide. This slide has seen this sputtering offense produce three runs or less in nine of the 13 games. The Royals are youthful and fragile. The losses create more losses and the wins create more wins. This team has endured a 13-game losing streak and a seven-game losing streak already this season, but they have also produced two five-game winning streaks and a six-game winning streak. The Royals have also won three straight seven different times. The Royals are currently in one of those win modes after three straight and the first two in this series. We see value in KC as a dog as they get the sweep here.
Colorado at Pittsburgh (7:05 PM Eastern)
3 units on Pittsburgh +141 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 4.2)
The Pirates have taken the first two in this series, adding to their home success as they are now 27-18 in their last 45 at home. The Rockies remain a futile road team where they stand at just 17-38 on the season - the worst road record in either league. Not sure if you could ever find value on a team that wins just 31% of the time on the road as a big favorite. That winning percentage has been an even worse 11-33 for 25% over their last 44 on the road, while Aaron Cook?s last 44 road innings have amounted to a sub par 4.30 ERA. With the Rockies scoring three runs or less in 31 of their road games or 56% of the time, it leaves little margin for error, so we will take the big odds and ride the Pirates as a juicy, valued home dog.
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Rocketman
Arizona @ San Diego 10:05 PM EST
Play On: 1* Arizona -140 (Haren/Baek) Listed
Arizona is 11-4 last 3 years and 7-0 this year when the total is 7 or less. Arizona is 6-0 this year on the road when the total is 7 or less. San Diego is 3-13 this year when playing on Wednesday. San Diego is 12-32 this year when playing against a team with a winning record. Arizona bullpen has a 3.60 ERA on the road this year. San Diego is scoring only 3.8 runs per game overall, 3.6 runs per game at home and 3.8 runs per game against right handed starters this season. Dan Haren is 10-5 with a 2.56 ERA overall this year, 2.96 ERA on the road this year and 2-0 with a 1.17 ERA his last 3 starts. Baek is 0-5 with a 6.39 ERA at home this year. Haren has a 1.73 ERA overall vs San Diego since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Arizona tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Arizona @ San Diego 10:05 PM EST
Play On: 1* Arizona -140 (Haren/Baek) Listed
Arizona is 11-4 last 3 years and 7-0 this year when the total is 7 or less. Arizona is 6-0 this year on the road when the total is 7 or less. San Diego is 3-13 this year when playing on Wednesday. San Diego is 12-32 this year when playing against a team with a winning record. Arizona bullpen has a 3.60 ERA on the road this year. San Diego is scoring only 3.8 runs per game overall, 3.6 runs per game at home and 3.8 runs per game against right handed starters this season. Dan Haren is 10-5 with a 2.56 ERA overall this year, 2.96 ERA on the road this year and 2-0 with a 1.17 ERA his last 3 starts. Baek is 0-5 with a 6.39 ERA at home this year. Haren has a 1.73 ERA overall vs San Diego since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Arizona tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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SPORTS ADVISORS
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Chicago Cubs (63-44) at Milwaukee (60-47)
The Cubs gun for their fourth straight win when they send Ryan Dempster (11-4, 2.99 ERA) to the hill against southpaw Manny Parra (9-3, 3.72) and the suddenly slumping Brewers as this four-game set continues at Miller Park.
Chicago has scored back-to-back upsets in the first two games of this series, winning 6-4 on Monday and 7-1 on Tuesday. The Cubs have won three in a row overall and five of their last seven, increasing their lead in the N.L. Central to three games over Milwaukee. Lou Piniella?s squad is also on runs of 9-4 against lefty starters and 15-7 when Dempster takes the mound.
Milwaukee has followed a seven-game winning streak by losing four of its last five ? all at home ? including the last three in a row. However, the Brewers have won eight of their last nine versus right-handed starters (the lone loss coming last night).
The road team has won six of the eight series meetings between these rivals this season.
Dempster has given up two runs or fewer in seven of his last nine starts, but Chicago is just 5-4 during this stretch. Also, even though he?s posted a 1.29 ERA in his last two road starts at Houston and San Francisco ? both Cubs wins ? Dempster is just 1-3 with a 3.42 ERA in nine road outings this year. On the bright side, he?s 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in two starts against the Brewers this year (both at home).
Parra has a 2.20 ERA over his last seven starts, six of which have been quality outings. However, Milwaukee is 1-3 in his last four efforts after going 6-0 in his previous six outings. At home, Parra is 5-1 with a 3.02 ERA, and he?s yet to face Chicago this season.
The over is on runs of 9-2 for Milwaukee at home, 9-1-2 in this rivalry at Miller Park, 5-1-1 in this series overall, 6-2 for the Cubs overall and 5-1 for the Cubs on the road,
ATS ADVANTAGE:OVER
AMERICAN LEAGUE
L.A. Angels (66-40) at Boston (61-47)
The Angels look to complete a three-game sweep of the Red Sox at Fenway Park when they hand the ball to All-Star Joe Saunders (13-5, 3.10), who is slated to oppose Boston ace Josh Beckett (9-7, 3.83).
Los Angeles, which owns baseball?s best record, improved to 11-2 in its last 13 games with Tuesday?s 6-2 win in Boston, which followed Monday?s 7-5 victory. The Halos are also on streaks of 6-1 on the road, 8-1 against the A.L. East, 8-1 against right-handed starters and 7-0 against the Red Sox. Additionally, they?re 36-15 in Saunders? last 51 starts, including 15-5 this year.
Boston has now dropped seven of 11 games since the All-Star break, and the team is 1-4 on its current homestand. Also, not only have the Sox lost seven straight games to Los Angeles, but four of those defeats have come at Fenway Park.
Saunders has given up three earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts, including a 4-2 home win over Boston on July 19, when the southpaw surrendered two runs on six hits in 6 2/3 innings. He?s 3-0 with a 2.87 ERA in five career starts against the Red Sox, with the Angels winning all five games. Finally, Saunders has been lights out on the highway this year, going 7-3 with a 2.41 ERA in 10 starts.
Beckett gave up just one run on nine hits over seven innings on Friday against the Yankees, yet suffered the 1-0 home loss. Boston is just 3-5 in the right-hander?s last eight outings, including 1-3 at home. Also, Beckett opposed Saunders on July 19 in Anaheim and yielded all four runs on nine hits in eight innings, taking the 4-2 loss. Prior to that, he had 1.59 ERA in five career starts ? including one playoff game ? against Los Angeles.
The over is 10-5-2 in the last 17 series meetings in Boston and 6-3-1 in Boston?s last 10 at Fenway.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
Chicago White Sox (59-45) at Minnesota (58-47)
The Twins, winners of four in a row, will try to overtake the White Sox for first place in the A.L. Central when veteran Livan Hernandez (10-7, 5.31) opposes Chicago?s Gavin Floyd (10-6, 3.57) in the third game of this four-game series at the Metrodome.
Minnesota rolled to a 7-0 victory Monday night, then rallied from a 4-0 deficit on Tuesday en route to a 6-5 victory, moving to within a half-game of the White Sox in the Central. The Twins, who had lost five in a row to Chicago prior to Monday, are now on a 20-5 run at home. Meanwhile, the White Sox have followed a four-game winning streak with three straight losses. They?re also 7-16 in their last 23 on the road and 1-11 in their last 12 on artificial turf.
The host is 11-2 in this rivalry in 2008.
Hernandez has yielded 20 earned runs in his last five starts spanning 32 1/3 innings, resulting in a beefy 5.57 ERA. However, he?s managed to alternate wins and losses in his last six starts, including a 5-4 defeat at Cleveland on Friday. On the bright side, the right-hander is 8-1 with a 3.91 ERA at home this year, and Minnesota is 10-2 in his 12 outings at the Metrodome.
Hernandez has faced the White Sox twice in Chicago this year with completely different results, pitching a complete game in a 13-1 victory on May 7, then getting rocked for seven runs in four innings of an 11-2 loss exactly one month later.
Floyd is 2-1 with a 2.11 ERA in three starts against Minnesota this year, allowing just six runs (five earned) in 21 1/3 innings. On the downside, Floyd is 3-4 with a 5.29 ERA on the road this year, and the White Sox are 4-9 in his last 13 outings on the highway.
The over is 15-6-1 in Hernandez?s 22 starts this year, including 2-0 against Chicago. The over is also on runs of 10-2-1 for the White Sox overall, 5-1-1 for the White Sox on the road, 9-2 for the Twins on Wednesdays and 5-1 in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE:MINNESOTA and OVER
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Chicago Cubs (63-44) at Milwaukee (60-47)
The Cubs gun for their fourth straight win when they send Ryan Dempster (11-4, 2.99 ERA) to the hill against southpaw Manny Parra (9-3, 3.72) and the suddenly slumping Brewers as this four-game set continues at Miller Park.
Chicago has scored back-to-back upsets in the first two games of this series, winning 6-4 on Monday and 7-1 on Tuesday. The Cubs have won three in a row overall and five of their last seven, increasing their lead in the N.L. Central to three games over Milwaukee. Lou Piniella?s squad is also on runs of 9-4 against lefty starters and 15-7 when Dempster takes the mound.
Milwaukee has followed a seven-game winning streak by losing four of its last five ? all at home ? including the last three in a row. However, the Brewers have won eight of their last nine versus right-handed starters (the lone loss coming last night).
The road team has won six of the eight series meetings between these rivals this season.
Dempster has given up two runs or fewer in seven of his last nine starts, but Chicago is just 5-4 during this stretch. Also, even though he?s posted a 1.29 ERA in his last two road starts at Houston and San Francisco ? both Cubs wins ? Dempster is just 1-3 with a 3.42 ERA in nine road outings this year. On the bright side, he?s 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in two starts against the Brewers this year (both at home).
Parra has a 2.20 ERA over his last seven starts, six of which have been quality outings. However, Milwaukee is 1-3 in his last four efforts after going 6-0 in his previous six outings. At home, Parra is 5-1 with a 3.02 ERA, and he?s yet to face Chicago this season.
The over is on runs of 9-2 for Milwaukee at home, 9-1-2 in this rivalry at Miller Park, 5-1-1 in this series overall, 6-2 for the Cubs overall and 5-1 for the Cubs on the road,
ATS ADVANTAGE:OVER
AMERICAN LEAGUE
L.A. Angels (66-40) at Boston (61-47)
The Angels look to complete a three-game sweep of the Red Sox at Fenway Park when they hand the ball to All-Star Joe Saunders (13-5, 3.10), who is slated to oppose Boston ace Josh Beckett (9-7, 3.83).
Los Angeles, which owns baseball?s best record, improved to 11-2 in its last 13 games with Tuesday?s 6-2 win in Boston, which followed Monday?s 7-5 victory. The Halos are also on streaks of 6-1 on the road, 8-1 against the A.L. East, 8-1 against right-handed starters and 7-0 against the Red Sox. Additionally, they?re 36-15 in Saunders? last 51 starts, including 15-5 this year.
Boston has now dropped seven of 11 games since the All-Star break, and the team is 1-4 on its current homestand. Also, not only have the Sox lost seven straight games to Los Angeles, but four of those defeats have come at Fenway Park.
Saunders has given up three earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts, including a 4-2 home win over Boston on July 19, when the southpaw surrendered two runs on six hits in 6 2/3 innings. He?s 3-0 with a 2.87 ERA in five career starts against the Red Sox, with the Angels winning all five games. Finally, Saunders has been lights out on the highway this year, going 7-3 with a 2.41 ERA in 10 starts.
Beckett gave up just one run on nine hits over seven innings on Friday against the Yankees, yet suffered the 1-0 home loss. Boston is just 3-5 in the right-hander?s last eight outings, including 1-3 at home. Also, Beckett opposed Saunders on July 19 in Anaheim and yielded all four runs on nine hits in eight innings, taking the 4-2 loss. Prior to that, he had 1.59 ERA in five career starts ? including one playoff game ? against Los Angeles.
The over is 10-5-2 in the last 17 series meetings in Boston and 6-3-1 in Boston?s last 10 at Fenway.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
Chicago White Sox (59-45) at Minnesota (58-47)
The Twins, winners of four in a row, will try to overtake the White Sox for first place in the A.L. Central when veteran Livan Hernandez (10-7, 5.31) opposes Chicago?s Gavin Floyd (10-6, 3.57) in the third game of this four-game series at the Metrodome.
Minnesota rolled to a 7-0 victory Monday night, then rallied from a 4-0 deficit on Tuesday en route to a 6-5 victory, moving to within a half-game of the White Sox in the Central. The Twins, who had lost five in a row to Chicago prior to Monday, are now on a 20-5 run at home. Meanwhile, the White Sox have followed a four-game winning streak with three straight losses. They?re also 7-16 in their last 23 on the road and 1-11 in their last 12 on artificial turf.
The host is 11-2 in this rivalry in 2008.
Hernandez has yielded 20 earned runs in his last five starts spanning 32 1/3 innings, resulting in a beefy 5.57 ERA. However, he?s managed to alternate wins and losses in his last six starts, including a 5-4 defeat at Cleveland on Friday. On the bright side, the right-hander is 8-1 with a 3.91 ERA at home this year, and Minnesota is 10-2 in his 12 outings at the Metrodome.
Hernandez has faced the White Sox twice in Chicago this year with completely different results, pitching a complete game in a 13-1 victory on May 7, then getting rocked for seven runs in four innings of an 11-2 loss exactly one month later.
Floyd is 2-1 with a 2.11 ERA in three starts against Minnesota this year, allowing just six runs (five earned) in 21 1/3 innings. On the downside, Floyd is 3-4 with a 5.29 ERA on the road this year, and the White Sox are 4-9 in his last 13 outings on the highway.
The over is 15-6-1 in Hernandez?s 22 starts this year, including 2-0 against Chicago. The over is also on runs of 10-2-1 for the White Sox overall, 5-1-1 for the White Sox on the road, 9-2 for the Twins on Wednesdays and 5-1 in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE:MINNESOTA and OVER
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Lenny DelGenio
20* Day Game of the Month **6-1 Run** $35.00
Lenny did split yesterday, but EASILY won his MLB Game of the Month on the Mets! The Game/Total of the Month run is now an ASTOUNDING 13-3 since 6/2! ! Lenny?s also 6-1 overall the last three days and the BIG PLAYS continue today (and EARLY) as this former linesmaker releases his Day Game of the Month!
Oakland A's
20* Day Game of the Month **6-1 Run** $35.00
Lenny did split yesterday, but EASILY won his MLB Game of the Month on the Mets! The Game/Total of the Month run is now an ASTOUNDING 13-3 since 6/2! ! Lenny?s also 6-1 overall the last three days and the BIG PLAYS continue today (and EARLY) as this former linesmaker releases his Day Game of the Month!
Oakland A's
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The Prez
**PREZ' 6* BEST BET TOTAL** 4-0 TOTALS RUN
Cost: $30 Ungraded
Event: St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves on 07/30/2008 at 4:10PM
Condition: Under
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion:
PREZ' BEST BET TOP TOTAL
St Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves
Pitchers: Chris Carpenter vs. Jair Jurrjens
Umpire: Jim Joyce
Conditions: Scattered storms; 90 degrees at first pitch with light winds blowing out to center field.
6 UNIT Play on UNDER in Atlanta
**PREZ' 6* BEST BET TOTAL** 4-0 TOTALS RUN
Cost: $30 Ungraded
Event: St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves on 07/30/2008 at 4:10PM
Condition: Under
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion:
PREZ' BEST BET TOP TOTAL
St Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves
Pitchers: Chris Carpenter vs. Jair Jurrjens
Umpire: Jim Joyce
Conditions: Scattered storms; 90 degrees at first pitch with light winds blowing out to center field.
6 UNIT Play on UNDER in Atlanta
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ALEX SMART
Smart Money MLB Investors Club Total -8-2 80% Run
Cost: $25 Ungraded
League: MLB
Event: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres on 07/30/2008 at 7:05PM
Condition: Over
Grade: Ungraded
(DBacks won yesterday vs SD 3-0). Over is 8-0 in Arizonas last 8 games following a win. Over is 5-1 in Padres last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play OVER
Smart Money MLB Investors Club Total -8-2 80% Run
Cost: $25 Ungraded
League: MLB
Event: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres on 07/30/2008 at 7:05PM
Condition: Over
Grade: Ungraded
(DBacks won yesterday vs SD 3-0). Over is 8-0 in Arizonas last 8 games following a win. Over is 5-1 in Padres last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play OVER
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Ferringo 7/30
3.5-Unit Play. Take #903 Philadelphia (-130) over Washington (7 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #903 Philadelphia (-1.5, +120) over Washington (7 p.m., Wed., July 30)
Note: This is our Game of the Month.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #901 Colorado (-150) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #905 St. Louis (+110) over Atlanta (7 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #910 Milwaukee (-110) over Chicago Cubs (8 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #913 Arizona (-135) over San Diego (10 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
Today's Totals
2-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 8.5 Cincinnati at Houston (8 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
2-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.5 Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (8 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 9.0 Detroit at Cleveland (7 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.5 Los Angeles Angels at Boston (7 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 9.5 Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (8 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
3.5-Unit Play. Take #903 Philadelphia (-130) over Washington (7 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #903 Philadelphia (-1.5, +120) over Washington (7 p.m., Wed., July 30)
Note: This is our Game of the Month.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #901 Colorado (-150) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #905 St. Louis (+110) over Atlanta (7 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #910 Milwaukee (-110) over Chicago Cubs (8 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #913 Arizona (-135) over San Diego (10 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
Today's Totals
2-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 8.5 Cincinnati at Houston (8 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
2-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.5 Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (8 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 9.0 Detroit at Cleveland (7 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.5 Los Angeles Angels at Boston (7 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 9.5 Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (8 p.m., Wednesday, July 30)
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Mooses Double Guarantee Dog of the year.
Guaranteed Pick: Jimmy The Moose
Game: Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox Jul 30 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels
Reason: The Angels won again last night and are now 11-2 in their last 13 games overall. The Angeles have won 6 of their last 7 road games. In their last 31 games vs. a team with a winning record the Angels are 23-8. LA is 8-1 in their last 9 vs. AL East opponents. In their last 11 games as a road dog the Angeles are 8-3. Saunders, 13-5, is on the mound tonight. The Angeles are 15-5 when he's started this season. LA is 14-6 in his last 20 road starts. The Angels are 21-8 in Saunders' last 29 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Red Sox have lost 4 of their last 5 games. Boston is 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a winning % above .600. Boston is 1-4 in Beckett's last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Boston has lost 4 of Beckett's last 6 starts. The Angels are 5-0 in Saunders last 5 starts vs. the Red Sox. Boston has lost 7 straight va. LA. Play on the Los Angeles Angeles
Guaranteed Pick: Jimmy The Moose
Game: Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox Jul 30 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels
Reason: The Angels won again last night and are now 11-2 in their last 13 games overall. The Angeles have won 6 of their last 7 road games. In their last 31 games vs. a team with a winning record the Angels are 23-8. LA is 8-1 in their last 9 vs. AL East opponents. In their last 11 games as a road dog the Angeles are 8-3. Saunders, 13-5, is on the mound tonight. The Angeles are 15-5 when he's started this season. LA is 14-6 in his last 20 road starts. The Angels are 21-8 in Saunders' last 29 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Red Sox have lost 4 of their last 5 games. Boston is 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a winning % above .600. Boston is 1-4 in Beckett's last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Boston has lost 4 of Beckett's last 6 starts. The Angels are 5-0 in Saunders last 5 starts vs. the Red Sox. Boston has lost 7 straight va. LA. Play on the Los Angeles Angeles
- Apr 7, 2008
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Analyst: Damon Roberts
Wednesday - July 30th, 2008
"Stake My Reputation" Game of the Year
Detroit Tigers +140 over Cleveland
Three 1000* Top Plays
Atlanta Braves w/Jurrjens over St Louis
New York w/Pelfrey over Florida
LA Angels w/Saunders over Boston
There is no question that Cliff Lee has been magical this year for the Tribe. He has been the only bright spot in what otherwise is a miserable year for the Indians. Still, +140 on the Tigers is too good to pass up. They have been rolling on offense, putting up the most runs in the AL after the All-Star Break. They are 7-1 in their last eight road games vs. a left-handed starter, and are 5-1 in their last six away from Comerica. Heck, they are 46-21 in their last 67 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Indians are 1-6 in Lee's last seven starts vs. Tigers, and are 0-6 in his last six home starts vs. Detroit. I think this will be a close game going the way of the visitors.
Carpenter? The man hasn't pitched in forever, and you expect me to use him tonight? Absolutely not. He'll take on the impressive Jurrjens, who is 10-5 with a 3.02 ERA on the year. He held the Phils to three hits in eight scoreless innings of an 8-2 win on Friday to improve to 4-2 with a 1.84 ERA in his last seven starts. He has never faced St. Louis, and will face Carpenter tonight. The righty has a 5.96 ERA lifetime against the Braves, and will drop his first start tonight.
The Mets are 10-1 in Pelfrey's last 11 starts and are 5-0 in his last five away from Shea. He takes on the Marlins tonight and Josh Johnson, who has no wins in his first three starts off of Tommy John surgery. The Mets are 16-5 in their last 21 overall and are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Florida. The Marlins, meanwhile, are 1-4 in Johnson's last five home starts and will lose this one to New York tonight.
Saunders has had major success against the Red Sox as he takes them on at Fenway tonight. He is personally 3-0 with a 2.87 ERA in five lifetime starts against Boston. The Angels have not lost to the Red Sox all year long, and almost no-hit them last night with Lackey on the hill. The Angels are 4-0 in Saunders' last four starts as an underdog and are 36-15 in Saunders' last 51 starts. They'll beat Beckett tonight.
Wednesday - July 30th, 2008
"Stake My Reputation" Game of the Year
Detroit Tigers +140 over Cleveland
Three 1000* Top Plays
Atlanta Braves w/Jurrjens over St Louis
New York w/Pelfrey over Florida
LA Angels w/Saunders over Boston
There is no question that Cliff Lee has been magical this year for the Tribe. He has been the only bright spot in what otherwise is a miserable year for the Indians. Still, +140 on the Tigers is too good to pass up. They have been rolling on offense, putting up the most runs in the AL after the All-Star Break. They are 7-1 in their last eight road games vs. a left-handed starter, and are 5-1 in their last six away from Comerica. Heck, they are 46-21 in their last 67 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Indians are 1-6 in Lee's last seven starts vs. Tigers, and are 0-6 in his last six home starts vs. Detroit. I think this will be a close game going the way of the visitors.
Carpenter? The man hasn't pitched in forever, and you expect me to use him tonight? Absolutely not. He'll take on the impressive Jurrjens, who is 10-5 with a 3.02 ERA on the year. He held the Phils to three hits in eight scoreless innings of an 8-2 win on Friday to improve to 4-2 with a 1.84 ERA in his last seven starts. He has never faced St. Louis, and will face Carpenter tonight. The righty has a 5.96 ERA lifetime against the Braves, and will drop his first start tonight.
The Mets are 10-1 in Pelfrey's last 11 starts and are 5-0 in his last five away from Shea. He takes on the Marlins tonight and Josh Johnson, who has no wins in his first three starts off of Tommy John surgery. The Mets are 16-5 in their last 21 overall and are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Florida. The Marlins, meanwhile, are 1-4 in Johnson's last five home starts and will lose this one to New York tonight.
Saunders has had major success against the Red Sox as he takes them on at Fenway tonight. He is personally 3-0 with a 2.87 ERA in five lifetime starts against Boston. The Angels have not lost to the Red Sox all year long, and almost no-hit them last night with Lackey on the hill. The Angels are 4-0 in Saunders' last four starts as an underdog and are 36-15 in Saunders' last 51 starts. They'll beat Beckett tonight.
