Week 10 Plays..............

[Scott4USC]

YTD Results
- 4.32 units ($500 unit)
- $2,160

SWEPT the board on Sat. with posted plays. +20 units on posted plays. The day was even better than that for me personally because I went 3-1 on non posted plays as well. However, lost my 7unit -230 ML wager on New Mexico on Friday night! New Mexico had 25-12 halftime lead playing @home and lost!!!! CSU scored 17pts off 3 NM turnovers in the 2h. Unbelievable. Why does this $hit happen to me! This just isn't my year. :violin: Last year I was up over 30 units at this point in time because I won big plays like this. Not happening this year. Maybe because I am posting my plays! Losing over 20 units on Louisville and losing 16.1 units on NM hurts bad. Real bad. I rolled the dice and once again came up short. I would have personally won over 40 units in CFB this week if NM won. :cursin: FAWK YOU LOBOS! After all this $hit, I came out ahead +3.9 units on posted plays!!!! :spotting:
Once again, FAWK YOU LOBOS!

Week 10 plays...........

16 units
Wisconsin +10.5 over Penn St. (15 units)
Wisconsin +400 ML over Penn St. (1 unit)

7 units
Kansas +1 over Nebraska

6 units
Texas Tech -15.5 over Texas A&M (2 units)
Texas Tech -15 over Texas A&M (4 units)

4 units
Arkansas -3.5 over South Carolina

4 units
Memphis -2 over UAB (Olympic)
*bought 4.5 units of it back on UAB 2h

3 units
Tulsa/UTEP OVER 53.5 (2 units)
Tulsa/UTEP OVER 53 (1 unit)

3 units
Ball St. +3.5 -120 over Akron (2 units)
Ball St. +141 ML over Akron (1 unit)

2 units
Central Michigan +3.5 over Northern Illinois

2 units
Miami/VaTech OVER 41

2 units
West Virginia -14.5 over Uconn

1 unit
Northwestern +3 -120 over Iowa

1 unit
Oregon/CAL UNDER 57.5

***
Edit1: added 2 units WVU -14.5

Edit2: added 2 units Kansas +1

Edit3: added 1 unit Wisconson +400 ML

Edit4: added Kansas +1 and TT -15.5

Edit5: added Arkansas -3.5

Edit6: added Tulsa/UTEP OVER 53.5

Edit7: added CAL/Oregon UNDER 57.5, TT -15, and Tulsa/UTEP OVER 53

Edit8: added 2 units Wisconsin +12

Edit9: added 3 units Ball St.

 

[Scott4USC]

Games that I am currently looking at are..........

Kansas +1 over Nebraska
Wyoming +3 over Utah
Tulsa/UTEP OVER 53.5

 

[Trizzle]

Scott, why the big "louisville-like" play on Wisconsin? Can you give some of your reasoning? Thanks. Keep up the good work.

 

[Cabo]

Scott,
Like the plays, I too lost my as* on NM. Thought it looked decent at half, but then went to sh*t.
Keep up the good work..Cabo...

 

[Chenker]

Good luck with the $6,500 wager on the Badgers. Penn State is vastly overrated and personally I think you should have played this larger.

 

[Scott4USC]

Good luck with the $6,500 wager on the Badgers. Penn State is vastly overrated and personally I think you should have played this larger.

I agree and I will prob. be playing Wisconsin on the ML as well. They will win this SU but love getting 10.5. The line should be Penn St. -3. I miss your NHL picks Chenker. You are a great NHL capper!


Wisconsin has some players on the DL that have been missing the last few games are getting them back this Sat. They were playing walk ons. Will make huge difference. Penn St. will play conservative and no way they win by double digits. I wished Wisconsin would play Ohio St. as I would make another huge wager on them over OSU and ML. I'll take the time to do a write-up after I finish capping the rest of the card.


Cabo

New Mexico game had everything I look for in terms of handicapping. CSU horrible road team (1 win last 2 years on road) and horrible stopping the rush. New Mexico at home who is an excellent rushing team with #1 RB in the conf. NM also was team who looked to be heading in the right direction and take control of the conf. Perfect scenario and I pounded it. 1h went exactly the way I predicted. Then New Mexico fawked up in 2h. I can't believe. Like I said, this isn't my year. But I'll keep chugging along as long as I don't lose more than 40 units. I am big risk taker and if I keep losing my big bets I'll never get ahead. Last year I won most of my big bets and lost most of my small bets. I at least prefer it that way.

 

[Cabo]

Scott, if not for a couple of rather large plays you'd be sitting pretty. If this past Saturday is any indication of a your capping abilities I'd say you'll do just fine. It also takes the the wind out of your sails when you feel extremely confident about a large play and it goes the other way! Believe me I've experienced it too many times, anyway keep working hard and it will turn around for you..Cabo...

 

[Scott4USC]

4 units UAB +.5 2h -120 over Memphis (pinny)

Got nice middle but more importantly take away the bad drops and Memphis PF and UAB and Memphis are even. UAB gets ball first in 2h so I won't risk it!

 

[Scott4USC]

Add 1/2 unit UAB pk -115 2h over Memphis (betmill)

 

[Ronnie]

Good Luck Scott! You'll turn things around this year. I'm all over Wisconsin this week. Just think this game will be low scoring and 10' is too many.

 

[hm23]

GL Scott. Not sure why you're so high on Wisky but I am sure you'll give a write-up.

Lobos did choke last week...damn.

 

[maverick2112]

Scott..........take a look at how many rushing yards Wisconsin has given up the in the last 4 weeks........almost scary.......giving up the amounts of rushing yards to below average rushing teams like Illinois and Northwestern. These are the same Badgers of the past who were always very stout vs the run.

If this game goes as I think the Nittany Lions will have the ball all day while the Wisconsin offense will be on the sidelines. I believe Ohio State has better offensive talent than Wisconsin and they were barely able to dent the scoreboard vs PSU.........

IMO Wisky was very fortunate to beat Mich, Purdue and Minnesota was a downright gift handed to them while PSU is one flukey play from being undefeated.........

Anyhow good luck........

 

[Scott4USC]

Adding 2 units West Virginia -14.5 over UCONN

*Thanks guys for the heads up on Wisconsin. I appreciate it. I'll explain later why I am so confident in Wisconsin and good chance I also will be playing them on the money line.

 

[Scott4USC]

Adding 2 units Kansas +1 over Nebraska

 

[Scott4USC]

Wisconsin :thumb:

Let me first make it clear that I think Wisconsin will win this game outright. Yep, OUTRIGHT! I will be playing the ML in addition to my 13 big units at +10.5. Beginning of the year you might remember me touting Wisconson. They are solid team to bet on because they are consistent and well coached. Along with being well prepared, Wisky is mentally and physically tough. I said months ago Wisky will pull off at least 1 major upset and it was shame they don't play @Ohio St. Well this weekend is the upset I touted months ago.

Badger HC Barry Alvarez has taken worse Wisky teams into Happy Valley against better PSU teams and won outright. Vegas is giving me 10.5 pts? :yup

Penn St. is 1-4 ATS last 5 vs Wisky, and 1-3 ATS @home last 4 vs Wisky. Past 5 years, Wisky 12-1 ATS as dogs greater than 7 points off SU win. Penn State 2-10 ATS vs opponent of BB SU wins, and 2-8 ATS as HF's of BB SU Wins.

Key to this Sat. game is probable return of D-linemen, Jason Chapman, Kurt Ware, Jamal Cooper, and possibly Justin Ostrowsky(all scholarship players vs walkons that have played since Michigan game). Wisky has been playing with 3 out of four walkons on their defensive line the past 5 weeks,:scared and they are expected to get 2 of their scholarship linemen back this weekend. The public is not aware of this. They "choose" to see the Wisky stats vs Illinois and expect PSU to do the same. People will say PSU runs the same offense they will do the same thing against Wiscy. WRONG! Wisky is getting back some of defensive starters, even Mark Zalewski returned to practice which is huge for the Badgers, and their starting fullback Bernstein who hasn't played in a month will play this weekend, and he is a crusher. This guy is built like a truck.

Something else the PUBLIC is not looking at. Last week and in Purdue game, Barry used only 18 plays from 3 different formations in preparing for this game this weekend. The game this weekend is PENN ST. Nothing that has happened to the Badgers in the last 5 weeks is relevant to what can happen this Saturday, the personnel have changed that much. Trust me!

To win this game OUTRIGHT, Wisky will need to make PSU QB Michael Robinson pass and not let him run outside. From what I hear, something has been cooking in Madison past two weeks in practice as Barry has been pointing to "this" game in his last season as Badger HC all season(Pennsylvania native). Barry Alvarez doesn't lose these kind of games very often.

An added bonus......

Love it that all the touts are pumping Penn St. and along with posters on message boards. That is how the expensive sports lounges in sportsbooks are funded.

Go Badgers!

 

[baby johnson]

scott are you sure about bernstein??

 

[cavy1]

Any Sagarin picks??

 

[LetsMakeMoney]

hey scott any thoughts on CALIFORNIA this weekend? i think thats a solid play.just wanna know what your opinion on that game is since your a pac10 expert :mj14:

 

[tulah]

Looks to be a solid card
I hope you hit Wisky. Maybe this being HC Alvarez last season will give them a spark. IMO if wisky can score 17 it may be enough to win out right!!

Only scary thing is the "public" loves this one also!


GL this week

 

[THE KOD]

What did you hear about the halloween prank by Carroll throwing
the guy off the roof ? Only Reggie Bush knew about it.

Sounds like Carroll might have gone a little overboard on that one.

Any repercusions ?