NE (-4.5) 4 units. hate the line here, but the pats should roll. zappe was really good last year in 4 games. he completed 71% of his passes and averaged 8.5 yards/att. small sample size, but that's really good. 5 TDs and 3 INTs is ok for a rookie qb, but more impressively... on the road, he threw 3 TDs and 0 INTs. and the Pats averaged 26 points in those 4 games. they averaged 20 points/game in the other 13. of course, i go through all that and there's no guarantee zappe is going to start. but he split the first team reps this week, so i think we'll see him quite a bit. and the way this line is moving... those boys in the desert clearly expect SOME kind of spark for the pats today.
Houston (ML) 2 units to win 2.1.
Houston 1H (ML) 2.1 to win 2.
Jax/Houston under (48) 2 units. for some bizarre reason, the texans have dominated this matchup. what is it, 11 of the last 12, or something ridiculous like that. huge game, i think both defenses will rise to the occasion.
Cincinnati (ML) 2 to win 2.5. i'll pretty much always play the back-up qb in his first start. especially in this situation. the steelers are an absolute fraud, being out-gained in every game this season. they've been outscored by 29 points. apparently they are fighting amongst themselves in the locker room. and now they're favored on the road in a divisional game. new OC for pittsburgh. we'll see if he's patient enough to stick with the run game against cincinnati's horrible run defense.
parlay indy +3.5/over 41. 2 to win 2. really like the colts and over here, but my gambler's intuition is screaming that i'm going to get screwed in this one. ok, ok, it tells me that every single game. with these adjusted lines, the parlay pays even money.
Clev/Denver 1H under (18.5) 3 units
Clev TT under (18.5) 3 units. denver's d is playing well, and DTR is a joke of a qb. he's averaging 3.7 yards/att and thrown 4 INTs and 0 TDs. hilarious that he's even on a nfl roster.
Houston (ML) 2 units to win 2.1.
Houston 1H (ML) 2.1 to win 2.
Jax/Houston under (48) 2 units. for some bizarre reason, the texans have dominated this matchup. what is it, 11 of the last 12, or something ridiculous like that. huge game, i think both defenses will rise to the occasion.
Cincinnati (ML) 2 to win 2.5. i'll pretty much always play the back-up qb in his first start. especially in this situation. the steelers are an absolute fraud, being out-gained in every game this season. they've been outscored by 29 points. apparently they are fighting amongst themselves in the locker room. and now they're favored on the road in a divisional game. new OC for pittsburgh. we'll see if he's patient enough to stick with the run game against cincinnati's horrible run defense.
parlay indy +3.5/over 41. 2 to win 2. really like the colts and over here, but my gambler's intuition is screaming that i'm going to get screwed in this one. ok, ok, it tells me that every single game. with these adjusted lines, the parlay pays even money.
Clev/Denver 1H under (18.5) 3 units
Clev TT under (18.5) 3 units. denver's d is playing well, and DTR is a joke of a qb. he's averaging 3.7 yards/att and thrown 4 INTs and 0 TDs. hilarious that he's even on a nfl roster.
