If ya gotta play early week action, watch the trends on totals, many typically go over when teams have had at least 10 days rest, under with less than 7 days rest. This week's schedule blows, some favorites way too heavy has favorites and some are mis-leading favs as well. Many undefeated teams left, some play head to head, such as Texas/Oklahoma. Bama moved from -3 to +1 vs A&M? Really? And why's the total in Colorado/ASU game so low?
Week 6
OVER 46 Liberty/SH State (5 units) - Sam Hou lost in OT last week vs Jax St after leading 21-7 and they scored the most points in a game all year at home in that loss. Liberty has put up no less than 33 vs any opponent and are at home on TV. Liberty 42 SH St 10 LOSER
Over 43 Nebraska/Illini (5 units) - Nebraska off beatdown at home vs Michigan last week, Illini same vs Purdue, Illini barely beat Toledo at home, Nebraska loss a toughy at Minny in week 1, Bugeaters "D" is better overall than Illini "D" and Haarberg should be able to run the ball and 2 RBs Grant and Fleeks should have good games and it's time for the Bugeaters "D" to step up in the Big10 tilt at Champaign. LOSER
Live: Under 36 1/2 Neb/illini (5 units) WINNER
Live: Over 45 1/2 Neb/illini (5 units) chasing my tail. LOSER
Nebraska +3 1/2 WINNER
Maryland +21 - Terps a bit undervalued and this line only makes sense because Buckeyes beat Maryland last year 43-30 away, against ND Buckeyes did not impress me at all except on "D", and I believe Tagaviola is a bit better than Hartman is, so thus, I believe the Terps can hang in Columbus. I also think Ryan Day is a big fucking BLOWHARD!! Whining about Lou Holtz!!??? REALLY? What a fucking moron!! Terps also have a takeaway edge vs Buckeyes and they have some speed on "D" which could disprupt Buckeyes for a turnover or two.
BC +3 - ACC a dog vs Army? Smells fishy, Army is passing better than they have in the past, but BC a dog? I know they read the lines/numbers and BC HC's ass is on the line if they lose this tilt at Army!!
Over 56 Toledo/Mass
Live: Over 44 1/2 WMich/Miss St (5 units)
Live: U Mass +21 1/2 (5 units)
Miami-OH -7 1/2 (5 units) - BG off a huge road win, 3 road games for them begin
UNC -9 (5 units) - Syracuse smarting after loss at home vs Clemson, 3 road games in a row coming for Syracuse
Texas -5 (5 units) - longhorns blew away Kansas in the 2H last week, albeit KU had their starting QB Daniels out and maybe horns looked ahead a bit to this week, Texas won 49-0 vs Sooners last year, Lefty QB for Sooners wants revenge in this tilt, it's at a neutral site, but Texas' "D" too much here for the Sooners "O" to handle, this is a 8 pt > type game!!
LIVE: Texas +2 1/2 (5 units)
UCLA -3 - Wazoo is undefeated but who've they played other than Oregon State whom they beat at home? Oh yeah, they crushed Colorado State in week 1!! UCLA has played a tougher schedule imo and are up at home for the small line cover. UCLA runs the ball well which is the achilles to Wazoo's "D".
Over 52 Wake/Clemson
Wake +21 - I don't trust the Clemson team which lost in OT vs Fla State and beat Syracuse on the road in a revenge situation, Wake got humiliated by GT last week, they should bounce back here to stay under the number
Purdue +3 - Iowa QB out for the season, Iowa's strength is their "O" and Purdue can score and have been able to stay within the number vs Iowa and it's on the road, this line is way too low so for me it's dog or bust.
Over 52 Fla/Vandy (5 units) - both teams off losses last week BIG, and are 1-10 ATS collectively, both Offenses have to get their motors running, Florida searches for revenge in this tilt, seeing a 41-27 type game here.
Over 52 VT/Fla St (5 units) - Seminoles heavy at home fav in this tilt, Hokies have been able to score vs their opponents now go into Tallahassee looking for the upset on the road, so now they have to match points and Noles will be too much, FSU 45 VT 21
Over 55 FAU/Tulsa
ODU +2 - Monarchs catch S Miss off a 4 game bender since their QB got hurt and S Miss offensively sucks, ODU has struggled to win but they play tough S Miss air "D" sucks so ODU can exploit that in a shootout where the road team should be the favorite.
Over 59 TT/Baylor - both "D" suck, plain and simple, Baylor got a huge come from behind win vs UCF last week being down over 28 at one point, Tech can score but they can't stop anyone, last year there was 62 points in this tilt, Baylor winning 45-17 at Lubbock, this one at Baylor should be a shootout!!
TCU -6 - Cyclones reeling, after beat down vs Oklahoma, TCU lost vs WVU? Really? Clones have had TCU's number, better at home but for me this line is fishy, maybe Clones players accused of betting have vested interest in this tilt, LOL, it's time for Frogs to wakeup and a win on the road will help them other wise Sonny's ass could be on the hot seat after such a great year last year for the Frogs.
Alabama +1 line from Bovada (5 units) - Bama was a 2 1/2 point fav so why are they dogs now? Incredible. Saban is a much better coach, Canes crushed A&M in Miami and had a hard fought win vs Arkansas at Arlington last week, Bama back on the grid seek to get their running game going on a 3 game win streak albeit rain delay vs USF on the road with QB experiment tellling Saban who is best go to guy is in, Milroe will be ready to shine in this tilt!! Bama by a TD or more here!! 45% of public on A&M! Fishy movement!!
Colorado -3 1/2 (5 units) - Buffs have a +17 takeaway difference compared to Sun Devils, Sun Devils fought USC well then lost 24-21 at Cal last week whereas Colorado was losing by 21-28 points until the 4Q then came back vs USC, I just see Shadeur being too much for Devils here and win this one by 7 or more in Tempe!!
OVER 42 Fresno/Wyoming (5 units) - typically low scoring affair between these two at Wyoming, going to break that trend as Bulldogs have a potent offense and had to score a bunch vs Purdue on the Road, Wyoming beat Texas Tech at home, similar type offense like Fresno, so it's OVER or bust for me.
Wyoming +6 1/2 (5 units)
Minnesota +20 1/2 (5 units) - Gophers are their own worse enemy, 2 straight road games for Michigan after beating Nebraska away last week, Gophers will be hyped up in the chilly Minneapolis air!! Michigan 27 Minnesota 17!!
20-21-1, -3.1, 1 unit sides play
19-12, +5.8, -1.2, 1 unit totals play
8-6, +7.0, 5 unit sides play
10-11-1, -11.0, 5 unit totals play
0-1, -1.1, 1 unit 7 pt teaser play
3-3, -6.5, 5 unit 7 pt teaser play
4-0, +20.0, 5 unit LIVE plays
1-1, -0.1, 1 unit LIVE Plays
6-0, +30.0, 5 unit 2H Plays
1-3, -2.3, 1 unit 2H Plays
1-0, +10.0, 10 unit Live
0-1, -5.0, MONEYLINE
0-2, -2.0, Sweetheart Teaser
............Total of the Year
0-1, LOSS, Colorado +21 1/2, 9/23/23, ORE 45 COL 6, -11.0...Game of the Year
