OK, fellas. I've placed my wagers for Day 3. Here is what I've decided on (following kickserv on the following three):
K. Beck at even for 2.5 units
S. Koubek at +350 for 1 unit
J. Craybas +400 for 1 unit
However, after reviewing some things, I can't get myself to wager on Tipsarevic over Fish. A little over a month ago Fish beat Tipsa on clay in Madrid. Not exactly Mardy's best surface, either. Of course, the altitude helped the American there, with his big service advantage. That advantage should only be magnified here on the grass courts of Wimbledon. I see no reason the Fish-erman doesn't move onto the third round (believe it, or not...). Just a good matchup for him, IMO. Won't go against kickserv, but I'm laying off this one, altogether.
In lieu of the Tipsa play, I am splitting the 1.5 units and taking a couple stabs at two other big dogs tomorrow. (Yes, I'm a sucker for the possible juicy returns).
K. Vliegen +450 for 0.75 units
M. Granollers +600 for 0.75 units
My thoughts on these two:
The Belgian, Vliegen has always been uber-talented, just you never know what you are going to get out of him. I think he could ride a wave of confidence from his first round victory and give Verdasco some problems here. Also, this is clearly not Verdasco's most comfortable playing surface.
While Granollers is a Spanish dirtballer, I think his game translates fairly well to the grass. Witness his 22 aces against a well-respected all-around and grass court player like A. Beck in the 1st round. That was a nice win, indeed. Granted, I loved Soderling in the French. I should only like him more on this surface, but...for some reason I find myself back-peddling on my earlier belief that he would somehow sustain his wicked play into future slam events. While his first round win over Muller didn't unearth any past "issues", it didn't impress a ton, either. IMO, this one is well worth the chance at this price.
Happy Wimbledon Day 3 To All,
-JC