Wimbledon

[DimOK]

Excellent game!
Arthurs and Dent clashed, and Arthurs won
Thanks God, i've taked Dent with (+3.5) handicap

So, let's count our today perfomance!

Mine:
0/1 -1

Anders:

Malisse $2.75 (4) ++++ (Hey!, great pick!!!)
Multi: Arthurs/Clement $2.34 (4) (Another one )

20,36/8 !!!! +150%!!!! Outstanding!

Kickserv:

38.38/28 +37% Great!

=======

So far:

DimOK: 15/24, +5.25 (+21%)
Anders: 81 placed/116 gained (+43%)
kickserv: just too lazy to count yours picks, buddy I promise to do it after Wimbledon'll finish

Heh, i must reach Anders...

Gotta try this:

Kratochvil - Stepanek: 1 @ 1.5
Kratochvil - Stepanek: 1(-4) @ 1.82
Kratochvil - Stepanek: 3-0 @ 3.25
Kratochvil - Stepanek: U(39.5) @ 1.82
Hewitt - Knowle: 1(-7.5) @ 1.7
Hewitt - Knowle: 1 @ 1.04 D)
Hewitt - Knowle: 3-0 @ 1.4

Hey, kickserv, I can't wait for your another AGBP!!!

 

[kickserv]

I had a good feeling about Day 5.......I was right.....I was on fire!


M Philippoussis to beat N. Kiefer at $1.44 5 units WIN

W Arthurs to beat T Dent at $1.66 8 units WIN

G Bastl to beat D Nalbandian at $2.25 2 units Loss

G Rusedski to beat A Roddick at $2.00 3 units WIN

parlay.....Hantuchova/S Williams/Capriati at $1.39 (Guns B) 10 units WIN


got the guns blazin' pick........and ended up only getting one match wrong........guess Bastl had no gas left in the tank!


so.......heading into Day 6 action.....here's where I stand:

24 wins 13 losses overall
5 wins 1 loss on plays rated above a 7

and............2 wins 1 loss on the guns a blazin' picks


be back later..........

 

[Anders]

Y'day: 2-0 +13.7 units

Tournament (complete): 13-14 +26.69 units :bigun: :spotting: dance2

Off on hols; GL guys

 

[ChuckyTheGoat]

kickserv:

You're in decent shape on those futures. Legitimate shot to sneak a longshot into the finals. Doesn't look like it will take an upset to get Arthurs or Rusedski there.

Thx and GL.

 

[kickserv]

Yes I know.........I put 25 bucks on each of em (5 on Pioline).......if one of em comes through.......whoaa baby!


For those of you who care..............here's my future bets that ChuckyTheGoat is talking about.....I bet these before tourney started!




G Rusedski at 40-1 bet 25 will pay $1000

W Arthurs at 69-1 bet 25 will pay $1725

R Krajicek at 75-1 bet 25 will pay $1875

C Pioline 175-1.............he lost to Safin


Hey.........ya never know........I just might win...........but Henman.....this is his year...he just might do it!

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Kick on Kickserv

 

[kickserv]

Thanks PAWAQATSI............appreciate the support



Day 6 picks......coming very soon............

 

[kickserv]

Great Day 4.......and even better Day 5.......hope to keep it going!



Scale 1 to 10 units


Day 6 picks
--------------

A Sa to beat F Saretta at $2.10 4 units

R Schuettler to beat F Lopez at $1.29 9 units

M Kratochvil to beat R Stepanek at $1.53 5 units

parlay...........Henin/Likhovtseva/Seles/Schalken/Henman at $2.35 5 units


Saretta has played a ton of tennis..............same holds true for Lopez............I think both will lose........as for the parlay.....mighty nice payoff!


Good luck!

 

[renata]

Today Stepanek to beat Kratochvil at 2.37 at WilliamHill
A few year ago Stepanek beat Kratochvil at Wimbledon juniors. Stepanek is best Czech player on grass, he plays good grass tennis with good servis, 21 aces against Sluiter, and with a lot of net aproaches, 42 of 67=63%.

 

[kickserv]

Well one of us will be right!............

Good luck!

 

[beast2]

Tournament to Date: 5-7 for -2 Units


Day 6 Plays
Sa d Saretta 2.25
Voinea/Schuettler 2.13 (2 Units)

Craig

 

[DimOK]

I really like Kratochvil
Now it's Hewitt's turn!

 

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Wow, Dim, that's a nice score for u on Kratochvil. Congrats.

 

[kickserv]

Below are the results from Day 6

Record now stands at 31 wins 14 losses
Record for plays rated above a 7 5 wins 2 losses
Guns blazin' picks 2 wins 1 loss



A Sa to beat F Saretta at $2.10 4 units WIN

R Schuettler to beat F Lopez at $1.29 9 units Loss

M Kratochvil to beat R Stepanek at $1.53 5 units WIN

parlay...........Henin/Likhovtseva/Seles/Schalken/Henman at $2.35 5 units WIN



Have a day off....then week two gets started.....great week #1 for kickserv

 

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Way to go, kickserv.

 

[DimOK]

Hey, 7 out of 7! Good, i satisfied But still, i haven't reached Anders percentage... What should I do :shrug: ? No good picks for next day... MAybe Nalbandyan... Dunno, not really sure... OK, I'll pass...

So far: 22/31, +10.78 (+34%)

BTW, can someone suggest me another system to place my bets, not flat-betting... Unfortunately, my cyber-mind can't show percentage of possibility, it just says, whether or not take this or that bet... But according previous stats, 70% of it's bets are succesfull, usually picking one or two for every 10 matches. Odds are usually quite large, about 2. Any ideas?

 

[dngu047]

DimOK, one way is to fix one unit to be a certain percentage of your bankroll (1%, 2%, 2.5%, 5% whatever). Then bet to win one unit i.e. make a unit of profit

For example if you bet Kratochvil @ $1.50, then you would bet 2 units to make one unit of profit. On the other hand with Kratochvil 3-0 @ $3.25, bet 0.45 units to make one unit of profit. However flat betting works well too.

 

[DimOK]

DimOK, one way is to fix one unit to be a certain percentage of your bankroll (1%, 2%, 2.5%, 5% whatever). Then bet to win one unit i.e. make a unit of profit

For example if you bet Kratochvil @ $1.50, then you would bet 2 units to make one unit of profit. On the other hand with Kratochvil 3-0 @ $3.25, bet 0.45 units to make one unit of profit. However flat betting works well too.

Thank you, dngu047, i'll track this system on my previous bets... Hope to increase outcome!

Hmmm... That's it! It increased by 15%... Great!
But... It decreased on my "underdog bets" (odds are higher than 1.8)... Why?

 

[dngu047]

DimOK, it probably means you're underdog bets are quite successful. For example let's say that you have five bets @ $3.00 and win all five. Flat betting your profit would be (assuming 1 unit bet) +10 units. If you bet to win one unit then your profit is a smaller +5 units.

However, let's say that you lose five bets then your loss is -5 units flat betting, but only -2.5 units if you bet to win 1 unit. So basically with flat betting you have higher profits if very successful but higher losses if unsuccessful.

Here's another strategy you might like to test I've noticed Madjack uses it in baseball. Flat bet for underdogs ($2.00 or more) and for favourites (less than $2.00) bet to make one unit profit.

 

[Houston Gambler]

This is my opinion only ,but always wiiling to help out another fellow tennis player.Always risk the same amount.I have read many books on the subject,and there are many opinions but,if you vary your bets the only ones that will be important will be your large ones and you might as well not even play the small ones.
By saying bet amount you want to risk,risk 100 on a underdog of +150 to win 150 and 100 on a favorite of -150 to win 66.6.
The only time I might change would be to bet a 1/2 unit on a 200/1 to win a post up.

Hope this helps.