WNBA BEST BETS AND MORE !

Cnotes53

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Pending Picks

DateLeagueGameScoreStatusPick
Jul 7, 2023WNBALas Vegas
Dallas
-
-
08:00 PMDAL +8.5

Completed Picks

DateLeagueGameScorePickOutcome
Jul 6, 2023MLBBaltimore
NY Yankees
14
1
BAL -130Win
Jul 5, 2023WNBAPhoenix
New York
95
99
NY -15.0Loss
Jul 4, 2023MLBNY Mets
Arizona
8
5
Under 9.5Loss
Jul 3, 2023MLBSeattle
San Francisco
6
5
Over 7.5Win
Jul 2, 2023MLBSan Francisco
NY Mets
4
8
Over 9.0Win
Jul 1, 2023MLBLA Dodgers
Kansas City
4
6
Over 9.5Win
 

Cnotes53

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48

Completed Picks

DateLeagueGameScorePickOutcome
Jul 7, 2023WNBALas Vegas
Dallas
78
80
DAL +8.5Win
Jul 6, 2023MLBBaltimore
NY Yankees
14
1
BAL -130Win
Jul 5, 2023WNBAPhoenix
New York
95
99
NY -15.0Loss
Jul 4, 2023MLBNY Mets
Arizona
8
5
Under 9.5Loss
Jul 3, 2023MLBSeattle
San Francisco
6
5
Over 7.5Win
Jul 2, 2023MLBSan Francisco
NY Mets
4
8
Over 9.0Win
Jul 1, 2023MLBLA Dodgers
Kansas City
4
6
Over 9.5Win
 

Cnotes53

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WNBA JULY'S BEST BETS

07/07/2023........................5 - 2..............................71.42%............................+ 9.00
07/06/2023........................1 -0 - 1......................100.00%.............................+ 5.00
07/05/2023........................1 - 4.............................20.00%.............................- 17.00
07/02/2023........................4 - 3.............................57.14%............................+ 3.50
07/01/2023........................1 - 3.............................25.00%............................- 11.50

TOTALS............................11 - 12...........................47.82%.............................- 11.00
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Major league leaders in home runs:
31— Shohei Ohtani, LAA
29— Matt Olson, Atl
26— Pete Alonso, NYM/Luis Robert, CWS
25— Mookie Betts, LA
23— Adolis Garcia, Tex
22— Soler Mia/Schwarber Phil/Albies Atl

Quote of the Day
“Overall, I’m glad we won this game. There’s no better way to start for your premiere. Honestly, I didn’t really know what I was doing on the court tonight. I’m trying to learn for next game.”
Victor Wembanyama

Saturday’s quiz
Allen Ludden hosted the gameshow Password for 19 years; what popular actress was he married to?
Hint: There is a famous episode of The Odd Couple where Felix/Oscar play on Password, and they play against Ludden’s wife and her partner.

Friday’s quiz
Rams have played in five Super Bowls; four different guys started at QB in those five games, with Kurt Warner starting twice. Vince Ferragamo, Jared Goff and Matthew Stafford are the other three quarterbacks.

Thursday’s quiz
Cal Ripken Jr wore number 8 when he played for the Orioles.

***********************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff on a summer night…….

Spurs 78, Hornets 68— ESPN made way too big a deal about Victor Wembanyama’s NBA Summer League debut; the kid is 18, and it showed Friday night.

They sold out the Thomas & Mack Arena, UNLV’s arena, but Wembanyama shot 2-13 from the floor— he did have 8 rebounds, 3 assists, 5 blocked shots, but if you’re hyping up a kid as the best prospect since Lebron James, more was expected.

— Please don’t bet on who is going to be Rookie of the Year, but if you have to, don’t bet on the favorite— there is no value in it.

Three days ago, Arizona OF Corbin Carroll looked like a great bet to win NL Rookie of the Year, but then his shoulder popped out of place while he was hitting and it still looked like it bothered him in Friday’s game.

— Oklahoma City Thunder made a trade this week where they got a draft pick in the 2030 NBA Draft, which means that they traded for a kid who is probably in the 6th grade these days.

— Wednesday night in Milwaukee, Cubs scored three runs in 9th inning to pull out a 4-3 road win, ending a streak where they had lost 112 games in a row when they trailed by 2+ runs in the 9th inning or later.

Phillies 4, Marlins 3— Bad loss for Miami; Christian Pache hit a pinch-hit homer in the 9th inning off closer AJ Puk. This is the same Christian Pache who wasn’t good enough to play for the woeful Oakland A’s. Phillies have now won their last 13 road games.

Arizona 7, Pittsburgh 3
Zac Gallen tossed 7 solid innings, improved to 11-3
Saw something in this game I don’t think I’ve seen before; Jake McCarthy walked his first two times up, then got picked off both times but stole second base both times. It looked like he got picked off on purpose, figuring he could outrun his opponents, which he did.

Seattle 10, Houston 1— Mariners scored nine runs in 4th inning, and didn’t hit a home run in that inning. Luis Castillo evened his record at 6-6 with seven good innings.

Dodgers 11, Angels 4— With Mike Trout out for a long time, the Halos are stumbling; will they trade Shohei Ohtani before the August 1 trade deadline? Angels are 45-45, 4.5 games behind the last Wild Card spot.

Mets 7, Padres 5 (10)
Over last five weeks, San Diego is 1-7 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
Mets have now won six games in a row; they’re still 6.5 games behind the last playoff spot.

— Movie of the Day: The Meddler (2015)— An aging widow from New York (Susan Sarandon) follows her daughter to Los Angeles in hopes of starting a new life after her husband dies.

The title is fitting; Sarandon’s character gets involved in everyone’s business, but lot of what she does is helpful. Some of it isn’t; her relationship with her daughter is shaky.

Excellent cast: Sarandon, JK Simmons, Rose Byrne, Michael McKean, Harry Hamlin, Laura San Giacomo. Stumbled upon this movie on Amazon Prime; it is a good one.

— Worlds colliding; while you slept the other night, I was watching an old episode of Kojak, and who pops up on the screen but Yvonne Craig, who five years earlier had played Batgirl in the classic TV series Batman.

— College football bowl trend of the day: Underdogs are 5-2 SU/6-1 ATS in the last seven Cure Bowls.

— College football teams switching leagues this year:
going to Big X:
BYU, Central Florida, Cincinnati, Houston

going to AAC:
UAB, Charlotte, Florida Atlantic, North Texas, Rice, UTSA

going to Conference USA:
Jacksonville State, Liberty, New Mexico State, Sam Houston State

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t)
NL: Braves, Reds, Arizona. Wild Cards: Dodgers-Marlins-Phillies
AL: Rays, Twins, Rangers. Wild Cards: Orioles, Blue Jays, Astros.
 

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WNBA

Saturday, July 8


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Seattle @ New York
Seattle
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
New York is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Dunkel

Saturday, July 8


Td50iv9.png
 

Cnotes53

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Pending Picks

SATURDAY, JULY 8

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
SEA at NY02:00 PMNY -15.5
U 167.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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WNBA JULY'S BEST BETS

07/08/2023........................1 - 1...............................50.00%............................- 0.50
07/07/2023........................5 - 2..............................71.42%............................+ 9.00
07/06/2023........................1 -0 - 1......................100.00%.............................+ 5.00
07/05/2023........................1 - 4.............................20.00%.............................- 17.00
07/02/2023........................4 - 3.............................57.14%............................+ 3.50
07/01/2023........................1 - 3.............................25.00%............................- 11.50

TOTALS.............................12 - 13...........................48.00%............................- 11.50
 

Udog

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Sunday’s 6-pack:

Teams with first six picks in tonight’s baseball draft:
1- Pittsburgh
2- Washington
3- Detroit
4- Texas
5- Minnesota
6- Oakland— Please don’t draft a quarterback; drafting a new owner would help.

Quote of the Day
“You just got lesson number one: don’t think. It can only hurt the ballclub.”
Kevin Costner, Bull Durham

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie A Few Good Men, who played the losing lawyer in the climactic courtroom scene?

Saturday’s quiz
Allen Ludden hosted the gameshow Password for 19 years; he was married to Betty White.

Friday’s quiz
Rams have played in five Super Bowls; four different guys started at QB in those five games, with Kurt Warner starting twice. Vince Ferragamo, Jared Goff and Matthew Stafford are the other three quarterbacks.

*******************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

Reds 8, Brewers 5— I don’t usually say stuff like this, but MLB needs to add Reds’ rookie SS Elly De La Cruz to the NL All-Star team. He is must-watch TV, and baseball needs players who are must-watch TV, even if they’ve only been in the big leagues for a month.

In this game, De La Cruz knocked in the go-ahead run with a 7th inning single, then stole 2nd base, then stole 3rd base, then…….while the Milwaukee pitcher was sound asleep on the mound with the ball and his back to home plate, De La Cruz stole home, like a kid in a bad Little League game.

He has invigorated the Reds to a point where they’re in first place now.

Cincinnati was 27-33 when they promoted De La Cruz to the majors; since then, they’re 23-7, and that, in my opinion, makes him deserving of an All-Star spot, Plus, if he plays, it’ll help the TV ratings a little. I’ve heard that is important.

— Angels-Dodgers caught a break from the schedule makers; their series this weekend was only two games- they don’t play Sunday, so their All-Star breaks start a day early, a nice perk to the schedule for those two teams.

— Three Detroit pitchers combined to no-hit Toronto Saturday:
Matt Manning threw 6.2 hitless IP, walked 3 guys.
Jason Foley got the next four outs.
Alex Lange pitched a perfect 9th inning for his 13th save.

— Hall of Fame pitcher Jim Palmer mentioned on the Orioles-Twins game Saturday that he thought the baseball was livelier this season, a big part of why scoring is up this year.

— Major League record for most home runs in a season: 307, by the 2019 Twins.

— Joey Gallo has 228 plate appearances this year; he either walked, struck out or got hit by a pitch in 125 of those 228 at bats (54.8%). Gallo has 15 homers, only 28 RBI; he is 7-42 this season with runners in scoring position. He is a modern-day Dave Kingman, only not as good.

Padres 3, Mets 1
Blake Snell allowed one hit, struck out 11 in six IP.
Loss ends the Mets’ six-game winning streak.

Astros 3, Mariners 2— Light-hitting catcher Martin Maldonado may be hitting .169, but his 8th inning home run won this game for Houston.

Dodgers 10, Angels 5— Halos have lost five in a row, nine of last ten games. Trade deadline is 22 days away; will they trade Shohei Ohtani? Angels are 4.5 games out of the last playoff spot and Mike Trout ain’t walking thru that door anytime soon.

— Why aren’t Dave Parker and/or Dale Murphy in the Hall of Fame? They were both better ballplayers than Harold Baines, who got in a couple years ago.

— Movie of the Day— Margin Call (2011)— Movie about the key people at an investment bank over a 24-hour period during the early stages of the 2008 financial crisis. Not a pleasant movie but a very good one.

Impressive cast; Demi Moore, Kevin Spacey, Stanley Tucci, Mary McDonnell, Jeremy Irons.

— There are 10,043 poker players in the Main Event at the World Series of Poker, a new record. First place in the event will be $12.1M.

— College football bowl trend of the day— Underdogs covered six of last seven Liberty Bowls.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t)
NL: Braves, Reds, Arizona. Wild Cards: Dodgers-Marlins-Phillies
AL: Rays, Guardians, Rangers. Wild Cards: Orioles, Astros, Tor/NYY.
 

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WNBA

Sunday, July 9


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Washington @ Connecticut
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Connecticut
Connecticut is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 6 games at home

Dallas @ Indiana
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 12 games when playing Dallas

Los Angeles @ Phoenix
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing Los Angeles

Las Vegas @ Minnesota
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Las Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Atlanta @ Chicago
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Chicago is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Atlanta


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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SUNDAY, JULY 9

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
WAS at CON03:00 PMWAS +4.5
U 161.0
+500 +500
DAL at IND04:00 PMDAL -3.5
U 168.5
+500 +500
LA at PHO06:00 PMLA +1.5
U 159.5
+500 +500
LV at MIN07:00 PMMIN +12.0
O 173.5
+500 +500
ATL at CHI08:00 PMATL +1.5
U 166.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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WNBA JULY'S BEST BETS

07/09/2023........................5 - 3.............................66.50%............................+ 8.50
07/08/2023........................1 - 1.............................50.00%............................- 0.50
07/07/2023........................5 - 2.............................71.42%............................+ 9.00
07/06/2023........................1 -0 - 1........................100.00%............................+ 5.00
07/05/2023........................1 - 4.............................20.00%............................- 17.00
07/02/2023........................4 - 3.............................57.14%............................+ 3.50
07/01/2023........................1 - 3.............................25.00%............................- 11.50

TOTALS.............................17 - 16...........................51.51%............................- 3.00
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:

NBA Summer League scores:
Blazers 85, Spurs 80 — Victor Wembanyama had 27 points, 12 rebounds.
Nets 98, Knicks 80— Brooklyn was +32 with Jalen Wilson on the floor.
Rockets 113, Pistons 101— Jabari Smith scored 38 points.
Wizards 103, Celtics 98— Wizards’ bench was +35, their starters minus-10.
Pelicans 94, Warriors 86— Golden State shot only 34.3% from the floor.
Hawks 98, Nuggets 93— Tyrese Martin scored 21 points in 24:37 of play.

Quote of the Day
“A little song, a little dance…….a little seltzer down your pants.”
Chuckles the Clown, from The Mary Tyler Moore Show

Monday’s quiz
Which QB has thrown the most TD passes against the New Orleans Saints?

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie A Few Good Men, Kevin Bacon played the losing lawyer in the climactic courtroom scene.

Saturday’s quiz
Allen Ludden hosted the game show Password for 19 years; he was married to Betty White.

************************************************

Monday’s Den: Thoughts, observations at the All-Star break

It is the All-Star break already; time flies. It has been an interesting baseball season. Here are some quick notes/impressions from the season so far:

— AL Central is terrible; Cleveland (45-45) is in first place, with the Twins (45-46) a half-game behind. All in all, the AL Central is 124-191 (.394) outside its division this season.

— AL East is very good; the Red Sox (48-43) are in last place. All in all, the AL East is 190-127 (.599) outside its division this season.

— In five of six divisions, the division leader has a lead of 2 games or less— lot of close races. Only the 60-29 Atlanta Braves have a decent-sized lead, leading NL East by 8.5 games. Braves have won 27 of their last 32 games.

— Mets have a payroll of $377,380,805; they’re 42-48, seven games out of a playoff spot.
Mets are 32-27 vs righty starting pitchers, 10-21 vs lefty starters.

— Padres have a payroll of $250,806,874; they’re 43-47, six games out of a playoff spot.

— Cincinnati has a payroll of $83,688,333; they’re 25-8 in last 33 games, lead the NL Central.

— Miami Marlins have a payroll of $103,692,500; they’re 53-39, 21-6 in one-run games, and right now, they’re a playoff team.
Last time the Marlins had a winning 162-game season was 2009, when they went 87-75- they were 31-29 in the short season of 2020. Skip Schumaker is your favorite for National League Manager of the Year.

— Texas Rangers have five starters in Tuesday’s All-Star Game, the most for any team since the 1976 Cincinnati Reds.
Rangers haven’t been in the playoffs since 2016; the last three years, they were 150-234 (.391) but Bruce Bochy is a Hall of Fame manager and Texas is much improved at 52-39 this season, even though they hit the All-Star break on a 5-11 skid.
Texas has $200,684,308 payroll; will they look to enhance their roster at the trade deadline?

— This stat is a little weird, but thru Saturday’s games, in AB’s when Mets’ 1B Pete Alonso had an 0-2 count him, he is 5-68 this season. 5 for freakin’ 68 (.074).
By way of comparison:
Freddie Freeman is 20-67 (.299) this season after having an 0-2 count.
Fernando Tatis is 10-52 (.192)
Luis Arraez is 16-53 (.302).

— Bronx Bombers have a payroll of $273,528,489; Aaron Judge is hurt obviously, but they’ve got other stars, and those stars aren’t producing. New York is 49-42, and right now they’re on the outside looking in at the playoff picture.
Bronx is 14-17 since Judge got hurt, hitting .218 in those games; they fired hitting coach Dillon Lawson after Sunday’s loss to the Cubs.
It is New York’s first in-season coaching change since Nardi Contreras replaced Billy Connors in July 1995 as pitching coach on Buck Showalter’s staff. 28 years without an in-season coaching change, long time.
Funny thing is, Bronx opens the post-All-Star Game part of the year in Colorado Friday, where they figure to put up better-than-usual hitting numbers.

— Los Angeles Angels have a payroll of $215,490,192, but Mike Trout is hurt, Anthony Rendon has been a complete bust and the Halos are 45-46, losing nine of last 10 games. Shohei Ohtani is a free agent after this season; the Angels are 5 games out of the last playoff spot.
Angels are 37-29 vs righty starters, 8-17 vs lefties.
Would they trade Ohtani and if they wanted to, what could they get for a guy who will be a free agent three months from now?

— Tampa Bay Rays started the season 13-0, then 29-7; since then, they’re 29-28 and lead the AL East by only two games over Baltimore. Tampa’s starting rotation has been ravaged by injuries; would they make a move at the trade deadline?

—- Toronto Blue Jays are 50-41, seven games behind the Rays— they’d be a Wild Card team right now. Blue Jays are 7-20 vs their AL East rivals, 43-21 against everyone else.

— Teams that are struggling in one-run games:
San Diego 5-15
St Louis 9-19
Minnesota 9-15
Seattle 10-16
Texas 5-12

— Movie of the Day— Rounders (1998)— A young gambler returns to playing high stakes poker to help a friend pay off loan sharks, while balancing his relationship with his girlfriend and his commitments to law school.
Matt Damon is the gambler; Edward Norton plays his friend. John Malkovich is a Russian mobster who runs a poker room, John Turturro plays Joey Knish, e veteran gambler who is a mentor of sorts. Martin Landau is a law professor.
This movie helps propel the poker boom in the late 90’s/early 2000’s. Very good movie, written by the same guys who write the Showtime series Billions.

— College football bowl trend of the day— In the Reliaquest Bowl, SEC teams are 6-2 SU vs Big 14 teams the last eight years.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t)
NL: Braves, Reds, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Arizona-Marlins-Giants
AL: Rays, Guardians, Rangers. Wild Cards: Orioles, Astros, Blue Jays.
 

Cnotes53

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
— Spurs shut down Victor Wembanyama for the summer; ESPN can’t be happy.
— Northwestern fired football coach Pat Fitzgerald because of hazing issues.
— Vladimir Guerrero Jr won the Home Run Derby in Seattle.
— Wake Forest had six players taken in the second day of the MLB Draft.
— A’s took a P named Jackson Finley, a fitting name for an Oakland player.
— Jacksonville Jaguars signed TE Josh Pederson out of the USFL; his dad Doug is the Jaguars’ head coach.

Quote of the Day
“It’s very important to us that there be a person [in charge], and this is independent of sovereign wealth funds. I think that in terms of the connection with the community, the connection with the players and their other partners in the league.”
NBA commish Adam Silver, discouraging the idea of other countries buying an NBA team

Tuesday’s quiz
OF/1B Pete LaCock played nine years in the major leagues for the Cubs/Royals; his father was a famous game show host. Who was his father?

Monday’s quiz
Matt Ryan (47) has thrown the most TD passes against the New Orleans Saints.

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie A Few Good Men, Kevin Bacon played the losing lawyer in the climactic courtroom scene.

*************************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Mountain West football trends……..

— Air Force
Air Force won its last four bowl games, scoring 34.3 ppg.
Calhoun is 35-26-2 ATS as an underdog.

— Boise State
Since 207, Broncos are 8-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Last three years, Boise is 7-13 ATS coming off a win.

— Colorado State
Rams lost their last four bowls, giving up 41.3 ppg.
Their last bowl win was in 2013, 48-45 over Washington State.

— Fresno State
Under Tedford, Bulldogs are 10-3-1 ATS
Fresno win its last four bowl game, scoring 30.8 ppg.

— Hawai’i
Since 2019, Rainbows are 11-3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2014, Hawai’i is 7-22-1 ATS as a home favorite.

— Nevada
Since 2017, Wolf Pack is 11-17 ATS outside the Mountain West.

— UNLV
Rebels haven’t been to a bowl game since 2013.
UNLV’s last bowl win was in 2000.
Since 2014, Rebels are 19-32 ATS at home.

— New Mexico
Last six years, Lobos are 15-52 SU
Last two years, New Mexico was 2-13-1 ATS in Mountain West games.

— San Diego State
Since 2013, Aztecs are 10-3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Aztecs are 18-32 ATS in last 50 games as a home favorite.

— San Jose State
Since 2014, Spartans are 16-24 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Brennan, San Jose is 17-13-1 ATS at home.

— Utah State
Over last 10 years, Aggies are 25-14-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Over last 10 years, Aggies are 5-13 ATS as a home underdog.

— Wyoming
Under Bohl, Wyoming is 30-21-1 ATS at home.
Since 2016, Cowboys are 21-14 ATS coming off a loss.
 

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Tuesday, July 11


VZ3M5M8.png





WNBA

Tuesday, July 11


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Seattle @ Washington
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle

Phoenix @ Las Vegas
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Phoenix's last 13 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
Phoenix is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


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