WNBA BEST BETS AND MORE !

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Tuesday, August 8

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Trend Report
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Connecticut @ Seattle
Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Connecticut is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Los Angeles @ Indiana
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ Chicago
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games

Las Vegas @ Dallas
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
Las Vegas is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Las Vegas
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas

Washington @ Phoenix
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 13 games on the road
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington


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Dunkel

Tuesday, August 8
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Pending Picks​

TUESDAY, AUGUST 8​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CON at SEA03:00 PMCON -7.5
U 160.5		+500 +500
LA at IND07:00 PMIND +0.0
O 157.5		+500 +500
LV at DAL08:00 PMLV -8.5
U 177.5		+500 +500
MIN at CHI08:00 PMMIN +3.5
O 164.5		+500 +500
WAS at PHO10:00 PMPHO -2.5+500
 
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WNBA'S AUGUST BEST BETS !

08/08/2023.......................7 - 2............................77.77%......................+ 24.00
08/06/2023.......................5 - 1............................83.33%......................+19.50
08/05/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/04/2023.......................3 - 3............................50.00%......................- 1.50
08/03/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/02/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/01/2023.......................2 - 4............................33.33%......................- 12.00

TOTALS..................... .....20 - 13.......................... 60.60%......................+ 28.50
 
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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
— Astros 7, Orioles 6— Tucker hit a grand slam in 9th inning.
— Braves 8, Pirates 6— Atlanta scored three runs in 9th inning.
— Tigers 6, Twins 0— Eduardo Rodriguez tossed 7 shutout IP.
— Guardians 1, Blue Jays 0— Tanner Bibee tossed 7 shutout IP.
— Mariners 2, Padres 0— Logan Gilbert allowed one baserunner in 7 IP.
— Narionals 4-5, Phillies 8-4— Meneses’ 9th inning HR earned Washington a split.

Quote of the Day
“You see that list they got, sorry-ass group. I’m sorry. I’m happy for the people who make it, it’s cool for some of the guys who got there, some of them probably don’t even start on their teams, I don’t know, I don’t want to look at it…….”
Former NBA player Gilbert Arenas, talking about USA’s roster for the FIBA World Cup

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Buffalo Bills’ QB Josh Allen play his college football?

Tuesday’s quiz
Mike Scioscia managed the Angels when they won their only World Series title.

Monday’s quiz
Ron Washington was manager of the Texas Rangers when they made the World Series in 2010 and 2011.

*******************************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..​

— I have YouTube TV this year for the first time; one of the few bad parts is that they don’t have SNY or the YES Network, so can’t watch Mets/Bronx games live on the MLB.TV app— you can watch replays of the games, 90 minutes after they’re over.
There is, however, a way around this on MLB.TV— MLB Big Inning, which is like NFL Red Zone, they show 3-4 games on a screen at one time, and they show the New York games, which is a good thing. MLB Big Inning went off the air at 10:30 Monday night, kind of early— I’m hoping they change that to at least midnight on nights when there is a lot of action going on.

— Baltimore Orioles are having an excellent season, a breakthrough year, but then this week their ownership screwed things up, off the field at least.
Before a game in Tampa couple weeks ago, TV play-by-play guy Kevin Brown was talking before the game about how the Orioles are turning things around. He noted how the Orioles had been beaten regularly by Tampa Bay the last few years, but not this year. He was just reciting facts, and touting how this year’s Orioles are a great story- they even had graphics.
Apparently the Orioles’ brass didn’t enjoy hearing how Tampa Bay had been whacking around the Orioles the last few years; Brown has been off TV since then— he did do three games on the radio, but hasn’t been heard from since.
This isn’t good; other announcers across the country shredded the Orioles on TV Monday nite, including both New York City play-by-play guys. Announcers need to be able to speak the truth or else they lose their credibility.
Orioles’ ownership should sit back, get out of their own way and enjoy the ride.

— Last two starts for White Sox P Dylan Cease
Wednesday: 1.2 IP, 79 PT, allowed 7 runs. 5 outs on 79 pitches- no bueno.
Monday: 5.1 IP, 104 PT, allowed no runs, one hit— he did walk 7 guys, but got a win.

— Texas Rangers 3B Josh Jung is out six weeks; he had an operation on his broken left thumb.

— White Sox beat Bronx 5-1 Monday night; New York manager Aaron Boone got tossed from the game for arguing balls/strikes. Boone does more bitching than just about any manager, but in this case, he had a gripe.
There is a Twitter account, Umpire Scorecards; they post a report card on every umpire, every night, and it is pretty detailed, showing how many pitches the home plate ump got right/wrong.
In this game Monday, Laz Diaz was the home plate umpire; he called 50 strikes in the game, but only 33 of them were actually strikes. This is a terrible percentage for a big league umpire, but at least he was consistent. His strike zone was incredibly wide, but he missed 8.6 more pitches than the average umpire does in a game.
By contrast, he called 116 pitches balls, only two of those were strikes.
Not surprisingly, when Diaz is behind the plate this season, under is 9-3. Enough said.

— Atlanta Braves are the first team since the 1944 Cincinnati Reds to have four players play in each of their first 110 games in a season: Acuna, Albies, Olson, Riley.

— Random fact: Wade Boggs was the first player whose 3,000th hit was a home run.

— Movie of the Day: Last Vegas (1988)— Four friends take a break from their day-to-day lives to throw a bachelor party in Las Vegas for their last remaining single pal.
Robert DeNiro, Morgan Freeman, Michael Douglas, Kevin Kline, hard to go wrong here. Throw in Mary Steenburgen as a lounge singer in Binion’s; excellent cast.
Just like in The Hangover, someone wins $85,000 the first time they sit at a blackjack table. Next time I’m in Las Vegas, I need to play more blackjack, it seems kind of easy

— College Football Trend of the Day: since 2017, NC State is 4-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.

— Random fact: Last year, 107 different goalies played in an NHL game, the 2nd-most ever; the year before, 119 different goalies appeared between the pipes.

— Washington Commanders have a new offensive coordinator this year, Eric Bieniemy, who came over from the highly successful Chiefs. Lateral move, a little unusual; there had been rumors that Patrick Mahomes didn’t like Bieniemy’s coaching style, and how Andy Reid had be a buffer between the two guys.
Now, before Washington had played a preseason game, there are reports that some Commander players have gone to head coach Ron Rivera, expressing concern (complaining) over Bieniemy’s intensity during practices.
Bieniemy said this: ”I’m always going to be loud, always going to be vocal, always going to demand from my leaders. If I ain’t doing my job, my ass gets fired. It’s my job and my responsibility to make sure I’m getting our guys to do what I’m expecting them to do.”
This season should be interesting, seeing how Washington’s QB is Sam Howell, who started one game in his rookie year last season.

— Last team to repeat as NFC East champs? 2004 Philadelphia Eagles. Eagles also won the NFC East last year; can they break the streak this year?

— There must be a boatload of money involved with running fantasy football leagues; all you see now are ads for leagues, and tipster services trying to sell their advice. You see lot more ads for fantasy advice than for gambling advice.

— HBO started Season 2 of Winning Time Sunday night, the story of the Magic Johnson-era Lakers. One difference right away: their disclaimer about how their show isn’t 100% factual is a lot bigger on the screen, and it stays on the screen longer than it did last year.
Last year, the show did a hatchet job on NBA legend Jerry West, and he threatened to sue the writers for making him look like a crazy person. West coached the Lakers just before they drafted Magic Johnson; he was later in their front office.
Interesting show if you like the NBA and remember the Lakers/Celtics rivalry in the 80’s.
 
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Thursday’s 6-pack:
Odds for the St Jude golf tournament this week:
6-1— Scheffler
9-1— McIlroy, Rahm
16-1— Cantlay, Schauffele
20-1— Hovland, Morikawa
25-1— Fleetwood, Hatton
30-1— Fowler

Quote of the Day
“I’ve always wanted to throw a no-hitter.”
Michael Lorenzen, who has now thrown a no-hitter

Thursday’s quiz
When Hall of Fame pitcher Tom Seaver won his 300th major league game, what team was he pitching for?

Wednesday’s quiz
Buffalo Bills’ QB Josh Allen played his college football at Wyoming.

Tuesday’s quiz
Mike Scioscia managed the Angels when they won their only World Series title.

***************************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……​

— Phillies 7, Nationals 0
Michael Lorenzen threw a no-hitter in his second start for the Phillies.
He threw 25 pitches in the first inning, still tossed a complete game (124 PT)
Tough decision for manager Rob Thomson, whether to leave him in for all 9 innings. He did the old-school thing, leaving Lorenzen in.
Vinny Castellanos hit two homers, including the 200th of his career.
Weston Wilson hit a home run in his first MLB at-bat; he also walked twice and scored three runs, in his first MLB game after seven years in the minors.
Last time a Phillies player homered in his first MLB at-bat was Marlon Anderson, 25 years ago.

— My cousin texted me last night and asked if I had ever heard of the “Curse of Rocky Colavito” which I had not.
Colavito was a power-hitting outfielder for Cleveland; his first four full years in the majors, he hit 129 home runs— he led the American League with 42 taters in 1959.
Then, on April 17, 1960 (weird time for a trade, two days before the season started— back then, the season started later), the Indians traded Colavito straight-up to Detroit for Harvey Kuenn, who had made the All-Star team seven years in a row, and led the AL in batting (.353) in 1959.
Very unusual trade; two star players getting exchanged two days before the season started; Kuenn only played one year in Cleveland- they dealt him to the Giants that winter.
Colavito bounced around a little after that; he ever re-surfaced in Cleveland for a couple years, knocking in 108 runs for the Indians in 1965. He wound up with 374 career homers and an OPS of .848. Damn good hitter.
Anyway, there are people in Cleveland who think the Indians/Guardians are cursed because of that trade— they haven’t won a World Series since 1948, though they did it make it there in 1995, 1997 and 2016. Detroit won the World Series in 1968, so no curse for them.
There is actually a book, The Curse of Rocky Colavito: A Loving Look at a Thirty-Year Slump, written by Terry Pluto, who is an excellent writer.

— I have an odd memory of Colavito; he pitched twice in the majors, once in 1958, once in 1968 for New York. The 1968 game had to be on a weekend; I watched the game on TV. He threw 2.2 innings in relief, was probably the first time I had ever heard of a position player pitching (I was 8 years old back then).
New York trailed 5-0 when he entered the game (first game of a twinbill) in the 4th inning, but by time he was replaced, they led 6-5, and Colavito wound up getting the win.
As we said before, Detroit went on to win the World Series that season.

— Speaking of the Tigers, their P Eduardo Rodriguez declined a trade to the Dodgers last week, saying he wanted to stay closer to his family, which is his choice, but this is unusual.
Rodriguez doesn’t want to pitch for a contender? He’s rich (by 2026, he’ll have $100M in career earnings), he could bring the family to LA with him. Who would rather live in Detroit than in Los Angeles?

— Miami Marlins have a 20-year old pitcher Eury Perez, who they shut down for a while after his July 6 start, because they wanted to restrict his innings pitched. Guys who make a huge jump in IP from one year to the next tend to get hurt more than other pitchers.
Anyway, Marlins were 51-38 when they shut him down; they were 7-17 while he was gone, now they’re 2-1 since he started pitching again. Interesting decision.

— Movie of the Day— Prince of Tides (1991)— A high school football coach from South Carolina comes to New York to talk to his suicidal sister’s psychiatrist about their family history; because it is the movies, the coach/psychiatrist fall in love, which complicates things.
Nick Nolte is the coach, Barbra Streisand the psychiatrist. Blythe Danner is the coach’s wife, George Carlin has a small role as the psychiatrist’s neighbor.
Very good movie; the psychiatrist’s husband is a big-time violin player. There is a great scene at a dinner party, I’ll leave it at that, but this is a good movie with a little bit of a surprise ending.

— NFL Trend of the Day— Last two years, Dallas Cowboys are 17-8 ATS as a favorite.

— Every summer, Nick Saban August invites speakers to Alabama’s football practice facility during fall camp; Kobe Bryant, Michael Phelps had done it in the past.
This year, Saban brought in a speaker to address sports gambling with his players, someone who is kind of famous……….Pete Rose.
Alabama baseball coach Brad Bohannon was fired in May after being linked to suspicious betting activity surrounding an Alabama-LSU baseball game.

— Nick Kerr, son of Golden State head coach Steve Kerr, is the new coach of the G League’s Santa Cruz Warriors. It helps to know people
Nick Kerr worked in the San Antonio Spurs’ video room as an assistant in 2017-18; he then joined Golden State’s G League affiliate as an assistant for two years.

— A’s 2, Texas 0
Four Oakland pitchers combined to toss a 5-hit shutout.
A’s are 3-2 in their last five games.

— Mariners 6, Padres 1
Cal Raleigh’s 2-run homer in 8th inning was a game-winner.
San Diego is 8-22 in games where the winning run scored from the 8th inning on.

— NFL exhibition games resume tonight, with two games on NFL Network. Fun to watch, but I would not recommend wagering on them— the teams are looking at players to fill spots on their roster, winning isn’t the first priority, if it is a priority at all. Caution is advised.
 
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Thursday, August 10

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Trend Report
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Minnesota @ Indiana
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Connecticut @ Phoenix
Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Connecticut's last 10 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Connecticut is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Phoenix's last 10 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Atlanta @ Seattle
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games


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Pending Picks​

THURSDAY, AUGUST 10​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MIN at IND07:00 PMMIN -2.5
U 162.0		+500 +500
ATL at SEA10:00 PMSEA +5.5
O 164.5		+500 +500
CON at PHO10:00 PMCON -8.0
U 160.5		+500 +500
 
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WNBA'S AUGUST BEST BETS !

08/10/2023.......................1 - 5............................16.66%......................- 22.50
08/08/2023.......................7 - 2............................77.77%......................+ 24.00
08/06/2023.......................5 - 1............................83.33%......................+19.50
08/05/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/04/2023.......................3 - 3............................50.00%......................- 1.50
08/03/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/02/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/01/2023.......................2 - 4............................33.33%......................- 12.00

TOTALS..................... .....21 - 18........................... 53.84%......................+ 6.00
 
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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack:
— Texans 20, Patriots 9— Rookie CJ Stroud was 2-4/13 passing in his NFL debut.
— Seahawks 24, Vikings 13— Minnesota led 10-0 midway thru second quarter.
— Orioles 5, Astros 4— O’s haven’t been swept in 76 consecutive series.
— Phillies 6, Nationals 2— Game was scoreless thru five innings.
— Tigers 3, Twins 0— Twins are only 60-57, but lead AL Central by 3.5 games.
— Dodgers 2, Rockies 1— Kershaw allowed one run in 5 IP in his return from the IL.

Quote of the Day
“We’ve got to play as a team. We’ve got to go out there grind every day. Grind every at-bat. … It’s been really inconsistent. Some days we do, some days we don’t. We gotta do it every day. Days like this series, we just give up. Like literally, we just give up instead of keep grinding, keep pushing. We’ve got to forget about yesterday and keep moving.”
Padres’ LF Juan Soto

Friday’s quiz
When Michael Jordan played for the Dream Team in the 1992 Olympics, what uniform number did he wear?

Thursday’s quiz
When Hall of Fame pitcher Tom Seaver won his 300th major league game, he was pitching for the Chicago White Sox.

Wednesday’s quiz
Buffalo Bills’ QB Josh Allen played his college football at Wyoming.

*************************************************

Friday’s Den: First take of our Week 1 NFL article

Week 1
Thursday
Lions (0-0) @ Chiefs (0-0)
— Last two years, Detroit is 10-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 12-21-1 SU, 23-10-1 ATS.
— Detroit is 5-16-1 SU in last 22 road openers.
— Last seven years, Lions are 4-3 ATS in road openers
— Last five years, Detroit is 12-10 ATS vs AFC opponents.
— Goff is 56-48-1 as an NFL starter, 12-18-1 with the Lions.
— Over 7-1 in their last eight road openers
— Last time Goff played vs Chiefs, his Rams won 54-51 Monday night tilt.

— Last 20 years, Super Bowl champ is 11-6-3 ATS in Week 1 the following year.
— Last three years, KC is 10-13 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last seven years, Chiefs scored 33+ points in all their Week 1 games.
— Kansas City is 7-0 SU/4-3 ATS in last seven home openers.
— Chiefs are 9-2 ATS in last 11 games vs NFC opponents.
— Mahomes is 75-19 as an NFL starter.
— Over is 5-1-2 in their last eight home openers.
— Last three years, under is 15-9-1 in KC home games.

— Chiefs lead series, 9-5.
— This is Lions’ first visit to Arrowhead since 2003.
— Last time Lions beat KC was 2011, 48-3 in the Motor City.

Sunday
Texans (0-0) @ Ravens (0-0)
— Texans have their fourth head coach the last four years.
— Last 3 years, Texans are 10-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— However, they’re 4-9-1 ATS as a road dog outside AFC South, 6-2 in division.
— Houston covered five of last six road openers.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight road openers.
— Mills is 5-19-1 as an NFL starter.
— Last two years, under is 11-6 in Houston road games.
— Since 2013, NFL coaches in their first year with a new team are 13-7-1 ATS as Week 1 underdogs.

— Last seven years, Ravens are 6-1 ATS in Week 1
— Last two years, Baltimore is 3-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— 5-2 ATS last seven home openers
— Last three years, scored 38-36-38 points in home openers
— Lamar Jackson is 46-19 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— Last two years, Ravens are 18-16 SU, with a minus-8 turnover ratio.
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 home games.

— Ravens are 10-2 against Houston.
— Teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Texans are 0-6 in Baltimore, losing last visit 41-7 in 2019.

Bengals (0-0) @ Browns (0-0)
— QB Burrow hurt his calf in preseason; check status.
— Cincinnati lost its last four road openers.
— Bengals went to OT in Week 1 the last two years (1-1)
— Cincinnati is 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.
— Last 2 years, Bengals were 22-11 SU, 22-9-2 ATS.
— Last 2 years, Cincy is 8-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Last 2 years, Bengals are 4-1-1 ATS in AFC North road games.
— Under is 10-5-2 in their last 17 road games.

— Browns have had one winning season (2020) since 2007.
— Browns are 3-1-1 ATS in last five games as a home underdog.
— Last three years, Cleveland scored 35-31-30 points in their home opener.
— Last year was first time since 2004 that Browns won in Week 1.
— Last nine years, Cleveland is 9-17-1 ATS in AFC North home tilts (3-0 LY)
— Over is 7-2 in Browns’ last seven home openers.
— Watson is 32-30 as an NFL starter, was 3-3 for Cleveland LY.

— Browns won five of last six games against Cincinnati.
— Bengals lost their last five visits to Cleveland.

Buccaneers (0-0) @ Vikings (0-0)
— Despite being 8-9, Tampa Bay won the NFC South last year.
— Since 2017, Bucs are 6-13-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— Bucs are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games on artificial turf.
— Mayfield is 32-39 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— Buccaneers were 2-12-1 ATS in their last 15 games LY.
— Bucs are 5-3 ATS in last eight road openers.
— Last two years, under is 11-5 in Tampa Bay road games.
— Bucs’ new OC Dave Canales spent last 12 years in Seattle.

— Minnesota made playoffs LY, for first time since 2019.
— Vikings won/covered 7 of their last 8 home openers.
— Vikings were 11-0 SU LY in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Last three years, Minnesota is 7-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2014, Vikings are 23-11-1 as a non-divisional home favorite.
— Last three years, over is 18-7 in Minnesota home games.
— Cousins is 73-66-2 as an NFL starter, 1-3 in playoffs.
— Vikings’ new defensive coordinator is former Dolphins’ HC Brian Flores.

— Tampa Bay won seven of last nine series games.
— Teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Bucs lost last visit to Minnesota, 34-17 in 2017.

Titans (0-0) @ Saints (0-0)
— Titans were 7-10 LY, their first losing season since 2015.
— Tennessee lost its last seven games (1-5-1 ATS) last year.
— Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road openers.
— Last 3 years, Tennessee is 9-4-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Tannehill is 80-68 as an NFL starter (2-3 in playoffs)
— Since 2015, Titans are 19-14-1 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Last two years, Titans are 7-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

— New Orleans was 7-10 LY, their first losing season since 2016.
— Saints are 2-6 SU/1-7 ATS in last eight home openers.
— New Orleans won last four years in Week 1, scoring 29.8 ppg.
— Since 2018, Saints are 13-15 ATS as a home favorite
— Since 2018, NO is 18-11-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last two years, under is 10-7 in Saints’ home games.
— LY, New Orleans was minus-11 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)

— Tennessee leads series, 9-6-1
— Road team won four of last five meetings.
— Titans won their last three visits to Bourbon Street.

Panthers (0-0) @ Falcons (0-0)
— New coach, rookie QB usually suggests a losing season.
— Panthers have had five straight losing seasons.
— Reich was 41-35-1 coaching the Colts (1-2 in playoffs)
— Carolina went 8-3 ATS in last 11 games LY, after they fired the coach.
— Last two years, Panthers were 6-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Carolina is 5-4 ATS in last nine road openers.
— You’re reading armadillosports com
— Last four years, Panthers are 7-5 ATS in NFC South road games.
— Last 3 years, dogs were 19-2 ATS in Carolina games when spread was 3 or fewer points.

— Falcons have also had five straight losing seasons.
— Atlanta is 14-20 SU in two years under Arthur Smith.
— Seven of their last 10 games LY were decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Atlanta is 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
— Since 2004, Atlanta is 15-4 ATS in home openers.
— Under Smith, Falcons are 7-4-2 ATS in games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Ridder was 2-2 as a starter last year, his rookie season.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.

— Teams split their season series (3-3) the last three years.
— Panthers won two of last three visits to Atlanta.

Jaguars (0-0) @ Colts (0-0)
— Jaguars made playoffs LY for 1st time since 2017, 2nd time since ’07.
— Jags were first team EVER to win playoff game with a minus-5 TO ratio.
— Jacksonville was +6 in turnovers LY; they were minus-20 in 2021.
— Last five years, Jaguars are 5-8-2 ATS in AFC South road games.
— Since 2018, Jaguars are 6-12-2 ATS on artificial turf.
— Lawrence is 12-22 as an NFL starter- he won a national title in college.
— Over last decade, Jaguars are 6-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— Pederson is 56-48-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).

— This will be 7th year in row Colts have a different #1 QB
— Colts lost 10 of their last 12 games SU last year.
— Colts are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games as a home underdog.
— Last three years, Indy is 2-6-1 ATS in AFC South home games.
— No idea which QB starts; Minshew has a 8-16 record as a starter.
— If rookie QB Richardson starts, rookie QB/new coach isn’t great.
— Last three years, under is 14-10 in Colts’ home games.
— Colts were minus-13 in turnovers LY (+14/+10 previous two years)

— Home side won last 11 series games.
— Jaguars lost their last five visits to Indy (1-2-2 ATS, all as underdogs)

49ers (0-0) @ Steelers (0-0)
— San Francisco won 12 of its last 13 games (10-3 ATS) LY.
— 49ers were +14 in turnovers last year (minus-15 in 2020-21)
— Last two years, SF were 23-11 in regular season, 4-2 in playoffs.
— Since 2016, 49ers are 11-12 ATS as a road favorite.
— SF is 3-4 SU/ATS in its last seven road openers.
— 49ers are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— 49ers are 15-10 ATS in last 25 games vs AFC opponents.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 7-1 as NFL starter.

— Steelers went 9-8/9-7-1 the last two seasons.
— Pittsburgh won/covered six of its last seven games LY.
— Since 2018, Steelers are 7-1-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Pitt is 10-3-1 ATS in last 14 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Since 2015, Steelers are 20-15 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Steelers are 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in last five home openers.
— 2nd-year QB Pickett is 7-5 as an NFL starter.

— Home team won last five series games.
— 49ers lost last two visits here; their last win in Pittsburgh was in 1996.

Cardinals (0-0) @ Commanders (0-0)
— New GM, new coach, different QB for Arizona in Week 1.
— Cardinals lost seven in row, 11 of their last 13 games SU (4-6 ATS in last 10).
— Kyler Murray is still recovering from a knee injury; Colt McCoy is starter.
— 37-year old McCoy is 11-25 as an NFL starter (4-4 since 2020)
— Last five years, Cardinals are 20-9-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Arizona was 1-13 SU last year when it scored less than 29 points.
— Cardinals won their last three road openers, covered last four.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five road openers.

— 2022 5th-round pick QB Howell gets his 2nd NFL start here.
— Howell won his first NFL start 26-6 against the Cowboys.
— LY, Washington was 5-1 when it scored 23+ points, 3-7-1 if they didn’t.
— Last five years, Commanders are 5-9 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under was 10-3 in Washington’s last 13 games last year.
— Under is 17-6 in Commanders’ last 23 home games.
— Washington is 3-8 SU/ATS in last eleven home openers.

— Washington won 10 of last 13 series games.
— Teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Cardinals lost last eight visits here; their last win in Washington was in 1998.

Raiders (0-0) @ Broncos (0-0)
— Last three years, Raiders are -7/-9/-11 in turnovers.
— Raiders blew five double digit leads in 2nd half last year.
— Garoppolo is 40-17 as an NFL starting QB.
— Garoppolo worked with coach McDaniels in New England.
— Last four years, Raiders are 14-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last four years, Las Vegas is 6-4 ATS as an AFC West road dog.
— Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road openers.
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 road games.
— Raiders were 3-8 SU LY in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.

— Sean Payton (152-89 as NFL HC) makes his Denver debut here.
— Denver lost 11 of its last 14 games last year.
— Last 8 years with the Saints, Payton was 20-29-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2017, Broncos are 7-15-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last three years, Denver is 5-3-1 ATS in AFC West home games.
— Denver is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 home openers.
— Last two years, under was 10-6 in Broncos’ home games.
— Russell Wilson is 117-71-1 as an NFL starter.

— Las Vegas won last six series games.
— Raiders won last three visits to Denver (won 22-16 in OT LY)

Dolphins (0-0) @ Chargers (0-0)
— Last 3 years, Miami was 10-6/9-8/9-8……0-1 in playoffs.
— Miami was 9-8 LY despite a minus-8 turnover ratio.
— Last four years, Dolphins are 13-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— Over was 7-2 in Miami road games last season.
— Last four years, Dolphins are 12-7 ATS on artificial turf.
— Last 2 years, Miami is 4-6 in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in last eight road openers.
— Tagovailoa is 21-13 as an NFL starter.

— Chargers made playoffs LY, lost 31-30, blowing 27-0 lead in Jacksonville.
— Kellen Moore comes in from Dallas to be new OC.
— Under Staley, Chargers are 6-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Bolts are 6-12-7 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Herbert is 25-25 as an NFL starter.
— Chargers started the last four seasons 1-0 SU.
— Chargers are 2-4 ATS in last six home openers.
— Bolts’ last three home openers stayed under the total.

— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Dolphins won last three visits to San Diego/LA.

Eagles (0-0) @ Patriots (0-0)
— Last 20 years, Super Bowl loser is 4-16 ATS in Week 1 the next year.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 25-13 SU.
— Last 3 years, Eagles are 4-10 ATS as a road favorite.
— Eagles are 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS in last five road openers.
— Hurts is 25-13 as an NFL starter.
— Philly is 6-10 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC opponents.
— Eagles lost both coordinators to HC jobs after last season.

— Since Brady left, NE is 25-25 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— Last three years, Patriots are 3-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— Mac Jones is 16-16 as an NFL starting QB.
— Patriots brought Bill O’Brien in to be Jones’ new QB guru.
— Patriots are 6-4 ATS last ten games vs NFC opponents.
— New England is 4-8 ATS in last dozen home openers.
— Last year was first time since 2002 NE was an underdog in its home opener.
— Under is 23-17-1 in New England’s last 41 home games.

— New England won five of last seven series games.
— Two of those games (1-1) were Super Bowls.
— Eagles are 2-3 in Foxboro; their last visit here was in 2015.

Rams (0-0) @ Seahawks (0-0)
— Last year was Rams’ first losing season since 2016.
— Rams were 1-5-1 ATS as a road dog LY (7-3-1 from ’17-’21)
— Big ?? For Rams; did they improve their offensive line?
— Stafford is 93-104-1 as an NFL starter, 19-11 with the Rams.
— Rams are 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 NFC West road games.
— Under McVay, Rams are 5-1 SU/ATS in season openers.
— Rams covered four of last five road openers.

— Since 2003, Seahawks are 18-2 SU/15-5 ATS in home openers.
— Last two years, Seattle is 3-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last six years, Seahawks are 7-10-1 ATS in NFC West home games.
— Geno Smith is 22-29 as an NFL starter, 10-11 with Seattle.
— Under Carroll, Seattle is 41-35-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under is 9-3 in Seahawks’ last dozen home openers.
— Last three years, under is 15-10 in Seattle home games.
— Seattle was 16-19 last two years, after going 34-18 from 2018-20.

— Rams are 8-4 in last 12 series games, but lost 27-23/19-16 LY.
— Rams won three of their last four visits to Seattle.

Packers (0-0) @ Bears (0-0)
— Jordan Love lost his only NFL start 13-7 at Kansas City in 2021.
— Last four years, Packers are 11-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— GB is 12-8-2 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Packers are 8-12 ATS in last 20 NFC North road games.
— Green Bay is 2-4 SU/ATS in last six road openers.
— Under is 5-2 in their last eight road openers.
— This is 5th year in a row that Green Bay opens on the road (2-2 L4)
— Green Bay had three losing seasons in the last six years.

— Bears were 9-25 SU/12-20-2 ATS the last two years.
— Fields is 5-20 SU as an NFL starter; prospect or suspect?
— Last four years, Chicago is 5-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Chicago is 1-8 ATS last nine NFC North home games.
— Bears are 13-9-2 in last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Chicago won four of its last five home openers.
— Bears’ last six home openers stayed under the total.
— Chicago was 3-14 LY; their turnover ratio was only minus-2.

— Green Bay won/covered last eight games in this rivalry.
— Packers are 17-2 SU in last 19 series games.
— Green Bay’s last loss here was in 2018.

Cowboys (0-0) @ Giants (0-0)
— McCarthy takes over as play-caller for departed OC Moore.
— Last two years, Dallas is 17-7 ATS as a favorite.
— Cowboys are 16-11-1 in last 28 games as a road favorite.
— Dallas is 6-6 SU/9-3 ATS in last dozen road openers.
— Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven road openers.
— QB Prescott is 63-40 as an NFL starter.
— Last six years, Dallas is 11-7 ATS in NFC East road games.

— Giants made playoffs LY for first time since 2016.
— Since 2018, Giants are 9-19 ATS as a home dog (2-1 LY)
— Last five years, Big Blue is 5-10 ATS in NFC East home games.
— Daniel Jones is 22-32-1 as an NFL starter.
— Last 11 years, Giants are 2-9 SU/1-10 ATS in last 11 home openers.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven home openers.
— Giants were +1 in turnovers LY (minus-25 from 2019-21)
— Last four years, under is 23-9-1 in their home games.

— Dallas won four in row, 11 of last 12 series games.
— Cowboys won/covered five of last six visits to Giants Stadium.
— This is 7th time in last 12 years these teams met in Week 1.

Bills (0-0) @ Jets (0-0)
— Last four years, Bills are 37-18 in regular season, 4-4 in playoffs.
— Last four years, Buffalo is 13-9 ATS as road favorites.
— Last five years, Buffalo is 9-5-1 ATS in AFC East home games.
— Bills are 10-1 ATS in last 11 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Josh Allen is 56-28 as an NFL starter.
— Buffalo is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in last four road openers.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven road openers.
— Bills are 7-3 ATS in last ten Week 1 games.

— Last 7 years, Jets are 34-80 SU; they have new QB now, guy named Rodgers.
— Jets haven’t made the playoffs since 2010.
— Rodgers is 158-85-1 as an NFL starter, 11-10 in playoff games.
— Last two years, Jets are 5-9 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last five years, Jets are 4-11 ATS in AFC East home games.
— Last three years, Jets are 3-8 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Jets are 4-8 SU in last 12 home openers, 7-3 ATS in last ten.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five home openers.

— Buffalo won five of last six series games.
— Bills won four of last five series games in New Jersey.
 
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WNBA

Friday, August 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Chicago @ New York
Chicago
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games
New York
New York is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games

Washington @ Las Vegas
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Las Vegas
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Las Vegas is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
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Pending Picks​

FRIDAY, AUGUST 11​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CHI at NY08:00 PMNY -12.5
U 167.0		+500 +500
WAS at LV10:00 PMWAS +17.0
O 168.5		+500 +500
 
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WNBA'S AUGUST BEST BETS !

08/11/2023.......................3 - 1............................75.00%.....................+ 9.50
08/10/2023.......................1 - 5............................16.66%......................- 22.50
08/08/2023.......................7 - 2............................77.77%......................+ 24.00
08/06/2023.......................5 - 1............................83.33%......................+19.50
08/05/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/04/2023.......................3 - 3............................50.00%......................- 1.50
08/03/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/02/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/01/2023.......................2 - 4............................33.33%......................- 12.00

TOTALS..................... .....24 - 19........................... 55.81%......................+ 15.50
 
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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Braves 7, Mets 0— Morton threw 5 shutout IP, despite walking seven guys.
— Astros 11, Angels 3— Singleton homered twice, his first MLB homers since 2015.
— Texas 2, Giants 1— Rangers have won nine of their last 10 games.
— Rays 9, Guardians 8— Franco hit a walk-off homer for Tampa Bay.
— Dodgers 5, Rockies 1— Lance Lynn is 3-0, 2.50 in three starts as a Dodger.
— Cubs, Reds, Marlins are all tied for the last NL Wild Card slot.

Quote of the Day
“I never bet on the Ryder Cup. While it is well known that I always enjoy a friendly wager on the course, I would never undermine the integrity of the game. I have also been very open about my gambling addiction. I have previously conveyed my remorse, took responsibility, have gotten help, have been fully committed to therapy that has positively impacted me and I feel good about where I am now.”
Phil Mickelson

Saturday’s quiz
Who was manager of the Mets, last time they were in the World Series?

Friday’s quiz
When Michael Jordan played for the Dream Team in the 1992 Olympics, he wore uniform number 9.

Thursday’s quiz
When Hall of Fame pitcher Tom Seaver won his 300th major league game, he was pitching for the Chicago White Sox.

*******************************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff on a summer night…….

— Learned something unusual this week; Mets had actor Hank Azaria in their broadcast booth during their game the other night. He is a big Mets fan, knowledgeable, but he said on air that he wasn’t allowed to talk about any of his acting projects, because the Screen Actors’ Guild is on strike.

Talking about his projects would be construed as promoting movies/TV shows and during a strike, that doesn’t happen, so all they did was talk about baseball, which was good.

— Minnesota Twins have been in the playoffs six times since 2004; they went 0-18 in those playoff games. No bueno.

— Dodgers’ OF Chris Taylor is the only major leaguer EVER whose first home run was a grand slam, and his 100th career homer was also a grand slam.

— There have been four major league pitchers who went to Fullerton Union HS in Orange County, CA; all four of them have thrown no-hitters in the major leagues.

Walter Johnson, a Hall of Famer
Steve Busby, who pitched for the early Royals teams
Mike Warren, who played minor league ball here in Albany, NY
Michael Lorenzen, who tossed a no-hitter for the Phillies this week.

— During Lorenzen’s no-hitter Wednesday, Phillies’ CF Johan Rojas caught nine fly balls, the most fly balls one outfielder has ever caught in a no-hitter.

— Movie of the Day— A Star is Born (2018)— A famous musician discovers a young singer in a small club, and helps her find her own fame as age and alcoholism send his own career into a downward spiral.

Bradley Cooper/Lady Gaga are the singers, Anthony Ramos plays her friend, Andrew Dice Clay is her father. Sam Elliott plays Bradley Cooper’s brother.

This movie has been made four times (1937, 1954, 1976, 2018); this version is very similar to the 1954 movie, with Judy Garland/James Mason. Very good movie.

First hour of the movie is great fun; second half is a little depressing. Tremendous music for sure and a terrific story, with an unfortunate ending.

— NFL Trend of the Day— NFL teams other than the Broncos are 19-7-3 ATS when their previous game was in Denver.

— Why did the elephant quit the circus?

He was sick of working for peanuts.

— The guy who sculpts the busts for the Pro Football Hall of Fame in Ohio played football at BYU back when Jim McMahon was the Cougars’ QB.

— When I was a kid, there were two guys who lived in my neighborhood who drove Cadillacs; one owned a funeral parlor, one owned a beer distributorship.

Owning a funeral parlor sounds kind of depressing, but selling beer for a living sounds kind of fun. One thing for sure, you wouldn’t run out of customers.

— Packers 36, Bengals 19— Jordan Love was 7-10/46 passing, with one TD pass.

— Lions 21. Giants 16— Detroit trailed 13-3 when they ran a punt back 95 yards for a TD.
Lions scored game-winning TD with 1:51 left.

— Falcons 19, Dolphins 3— Atlanta scored only two TD’s of the game; a 79-yard punt return and 26-yard pick-6.

— Steelers 27, Buccaneers 17
Rookie WR Kade Warner caught one pass for 10 yards; he is Kurt Warner’s son.
Wolford/Mayfield played QB for Tampa Bay; they were both on the Rams last year.

— Commanders 17, Browns 15— Washington QB Howell was 9-12 for 77 yards passing and a TD; he is expected to be the Commanders’ starter.

— Cardinals 18, Broncos 17
Denver led 10-3 after three quarters.
Arizona scored TD/got 2-point conversion with 0:02 left for the win.
Elliott Fry made a 55-yard field goal for the Broncos.
 
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