WNBA BEST BETS AND MORE !

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Saturday, August 12


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Trend Report
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Atlanta @ Los Angeles
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Connecticut @ Dallas
Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Connecticut's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Connecticut is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing at home against Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games at home


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Saturday, August 12


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Cnotes53

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SATURDAY, AUGUST 12

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ATL at LA07:30 PMLA -1.0
U 162.5
+500 +500
CON at DAL08:00 PMCON +2.5
U 168.0
+500 +500
 

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WNBA'S AUGUST BEST BETS !

08/12/2023.......................2 - 2............................50.00%.....................- 1.00
08/11/2023.......................3 - 1............................75.00%.....................+ 9.50
08/10/2023.......................1 - 5............................16.66%......................- 22.50
08/08/2023.......................7 - 2............................77.77%......................+ 24.00
08/06/2023.......................5 - 1............................83.33%......................+19.50
08/05/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/04/2023.......................3 - 3............................50.00%......................- 1.50
08/03/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/02/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/01/2023.......................2 - 4............................33.33%......................- 12.00

TOTALS..................... .....26 - 21.......................... 57.77%......................+ 14.50
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Major league leaders in batting average:
.365— Luis Arraez, Mia
.342— Freddie Freeman, LA
.336— Ronald Acuna, Atl
.331— Cody Bellinger, Cubs
.323— Yandy Diaz, TB
.321— Bo Bichette, Tor

Quote of the Day
“Tommy Lasorda came up to me and said, ‘Are you ready to pitch tomorrow?’ I said, ‘I’m ready, that’s what I was looking for, the opportunity to show what I can do.”
Fernando Valenzuela; the Dodgers retired his #34 this weekend

Sunday’s quiz
Who was coach of the Patriots before Bill Belichick?

Saturday’s quiz
Terry Collins was manager of the Mets, last time they were in the World Series.

Friday’s quiz
When Michael Jordan played for the Dream Team in the 1992 Olympics, he wore uniform number 9.

*******************************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

— AJ Preller has run the San Diego Padres’ baseball operations since 2015; they’ve had only two winning seasons during his tenure, one of which was the 2020 short season.
Since 2015, the Padres have spent $1,301,658,674 in player salaries; during that time, they’ve made the playoffs twice, going 7-10 in playoff games.
$1.3B for seven playoff wins, not exactly a good return.
Preller was once suspended 30 days without pay for submitting false medical records to the Boston Red Sox during trade negotiations- there is very little evidence that he is good at his job, but somehow he keeps it. Oh yeah, he went to Cornell, another Ivy League nitwit.
San Diego’s payroll is $254,538,326 this year and they’re under .500; how does this freakin’ guy keep his bleeping job?

— Seattle Mariners inducted Felix Hernandez into their team’s Hall of Fame Saturday; he is one of only two pitchers EVER to pitch a perfect game and hit a grand slam.
The other one was Don Larsen, whose perfect game came in the 1956 World Series.

— Billy Walters, a professional gambler in Las Vegas, wrote in a new book that Phil Mickelson bet more than $1B on sports and tried to place a $400,000 bet on the 2012 Ryder Cup in which he participated. Apparently that bet was never made.
Walters/Mickelson first met at the 2006 AT&T Pebble Beach pro-am and two years later they entered into a gambling partnership that would last five years.
Walters claims that Mickelson would regularly bet $100,000 or $200,000 on football, baseball, basketball- he alleges that Mickelson’s total gambling losses were close to $100M.
Walters was convicted of insider trading in 2017 and served time in prison. He said in the excerpt of his book that Mickelson “refused to tell a simple truth” that could have kept him out of prison.
Mickelson was a relief defendant in Walters’s case, nut was never charged— he had to to pay back about $1M he made in a stock deal.
All of this helps explain why Mickelson grabbed as much as $200M from the LIV Golf tour.

— John Smoltz was traded to the Atlanta Braves in 1987; he was in the minor leagues back then, turns out he was in Glens Falls when the trade happened. Glens Falls is about an hour north of where I live, just outside Albany, NY- it is also Jimmer Fredette’s hometown.

— One of the Mets’ TV guys interviewed Cubs’ SS Dansby Swanson while the Cubs were in the Big Apple this week; Swanson was saying how the Atlanta Braves’ culture is that the best players need to be in the lineup every day- that was a big part of how the Braves became so good.

— Movie of the Day— Blue Chips (1994)— A college basketball coach decides to break the rules in order to get the players he needs to stay competitive.
Nick Nolte plays the coach; he spent time with Indiana’s program back then to prep for this role, so there is a lot of Bobby Knight in his character. Bob Cousy is the school’s athletic director, Mary McDonnell is his ex-wife, two players he recruited for Western U are Shaquille O’Neal and Penny Hardaway.
The basketball scenes were filmed in a high school gym in Indiana; high school gyms in Indiana are really nice. Lot of big-time college players from 30 years ago are in those games.
JT Walsh plays one of Western U’s boosters, Ed O’Neill is the sportswriter who helps expose Nolte’s breaking the rules.
Very good movie; even Dick Vitale makes a cameo appearance.

— NFL Trend of the Day— Last three years, Chiefs are 19-26-1 ATS as a favorite.

— Braves 21-6, Mets 3-0— Very rough day in Flushing for the home team; they’re 2-10 since the trade deadline.

— Rays 6, Guardians 5— Tampa Bay scored three runs in 9th inning; Randy Arozarena sent the fans home happy with a 9th inning single.

— Marlins 3, New York 1
Sandy Alcantara threw a 116-pitch complete game.
He seems to pitch way better when he’s on my fantasy team’s bench.

— Nationals 3, A’s 2— Keibert Ruiz hit a walk-off homer for Washington.

— Arizona 3, San Diego 0— Zac Gallen ends Arizona’s 9-game losing skid.

— Orioles 1, Mariners 0 (10)— Cole Irvin/George Kirby had quite the pitching duel; Ryan Mountcastle drove in the game’s only run.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Phillies, Giants, Cubs
AL: Orioles, Twins, Rangers. Wild Cards: Rays, Astros, Blue Jays

— Ravens 20, Eagles 19— Baltimore has now won 24 exhibition games in a row; they didn’t beat the spread though— they’re 26-6 ATS in their last 32 exhibitions. Anthony Brown threw a pick-6 with 7:03 left when the Ravens led 20-13; Philly went for 2 points and failed.

— Bills 23, Colts 19— Backup QB Barkley was 14-15/172 with two TD’s for Buffalo.

— Bears 23, Titans 17— DJ Moore scored a 62-yard TD for Chicago the first time he touched the ball for his new team.

— Chargers 34, Rams 17— Rams have 36 rookies in training camp; their defense will probably be the youngest defense in 40 years. Their kicker-punter-long snapper are all rookies.
On the bright side, rookie QB Stetson Bennett was 17-29/191 passing; he looked halfway decent in his NFL debut.
 

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WNBA

Sunday, August 13


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Trend Report
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Chicago @ Washington
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
Washington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chicago
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

New York @ Indiana
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games

Phoenix @ Seattle
Phoenix
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games at home

Atlanta @ Las Vegas
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games on the road
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Las Vegas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games


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Cnotes53

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Pending Picks

SUNDAY, AUGUST 13

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NY at IND03:00 PMIND +10.5
O 166.5
+500 +500
CHI at WAS03:00 PMCHI +4.5
O 157.5
+500 +500
PHO at SEA06:00 PMPHO +1.5
O 160.5
+500 +500
ATL at LV09:00 PMLV -16.5
O 175.5
+500 +500
 

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WNBA'S AUGUST BEST BETS !

08/13/2023.......................3 - 5............................37.50%.....................- 12.50
08/12/2023.......................2 - 2............................50.00%.....................- 1.00
08/11/2023.......................3 - 1............................75.00%.....................+ 9.50
08/10/2023.......................1 - 5............................16.66%......................- 22.50
08/08/2023.......................7 - 2............................77.77%......................+ 24.00
08/06/2023.......................5 - 1............................83.33%......................+19.50
08/05/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/04/2023.......................3 - 3............................50.00%......................- 1.50
08/03/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/02/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/01/2023.......................2 - 4............................33.33%......................- 12.00

TOTALS..................... .....29- 26.......................... 52.72%%......................+ 2.00
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
College football spreads for games August 26
— Navy vs Notre Dame (-20)
— UTEP (-1) @ Jacksonville State
— UMass @ New Mexico State (-8)
— Ohio U @ San Diego State (-3)
— Hawai’i @ Vanderbilt (-18)
— San Jose State @ USC (-30)
— FIU @ Louisiana Tech (-10.5)

Quote of the Day
“In basketball — as in life — true joy comes from being fully present in each and every moment, not just when things are going your way. ”
Phil Jackson

Monday’s quiz
Russell Wilson finished his college football career at Wisconsin; where did he start it?

Sunday’s quiz
Pete Carroll was coach of the Patriots before Bill Belichick.

Saturday’s quiz
Terry Collins was manager of the Mets, last time they were in the World Series.

**********************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a summer Sunday

— Early leader for NFL’s Bad Beat of the Year:

Chiefs led the Saints 24-23 with about 1:10 left in New Orleans Sunday; KC had ball 3rd and 8 in their own territory, Saints had no timeouts left.

You run the ball, let the play clock run down, then punt with about 0:25 left, leaving the Saints with almost no time to score. That is what you’re supposed to do.

Chiefs have their 4th string QB in the game; he tries a swing pass, which is picked off, and the Saints are already in field goal range, a horrific beat for anyone who bet on the Chiefs, a gift from the heavens for anyone who bet on New Orleans.

Orioles 5, Mariners 3 (10)— Cedric Mullins didn’t come into this game until the 6th inning, but he was the star; he made a GREAT catch to rob Seattle of a home run in the 9th inning, then hit the game-winning home run in the 10th— it was his first hit since coming off the IL.

Mets 7, Braves 6— On June 1, 2022, the Mets led Atlanta by 10 games in the NL East; in the 228 games since then, Braves have gained 33 games on New York, though they gave one back here. Rafael Ortega went 3-4, with two runs scored, two RBI.

— There are nine guys in the major leagues who have played in all their team’s games this year; four of those nine guys are on Atlanta— Acuna, Albies, Olson, Riley.

— Shohei Ohtani is skipping his next scheduled start on the mound, after he told manager Phil Nevin he was feeling some arm fatigue. He is still expected to hit every day.

Marlins 8, New York 7— Miami scored 5 runs in the bottom of the 9th.
Nationals 8, A’s 7— Washington scored 6 runs in the bottom of the 9th.

This is the first time EVER that two teams blew leads of 4+ runs in the 9th inning and lost on the same day, with neither game even getting to extra innings.

— Movie of the Day— Dave (1993)— A guy who looks just like the President of the United States is recruited by the Secret Service to become a momentary stand-in, but when the President has a stroke while philandering, the stand-in becomes the #1 guy. Will anyone notice?

Kevin Kline plays the stand-in/President; Frank Langella/Kevin Dunn play the President’s assistants. Sigourney Weaver is the President’s wife, Ben Kingsley is the Vice President, and Charles Grodin has a small (but great) role as an old friend who helps him with a big job.

Excellent movie; who knew Charles Grodin could balance the country’s budget?

— NFL Trend of the Day— since 2017, Steelers are 19-10 ATS as a road favorite.

— New Orleans Saints had only 14 turnovers last year; they were minus-11 in turnovers, after being +31 in the previous three years combined. Obviously, that need to change.

— Why do baseball managers/coaches wear uniforms? They don’t in any other sport.

— Since the All-Star break, Cleveland Guardians are 0-8 in games where the winning run scored from the 7th inning on. Guardians are 4.5 games out of first place; they need to do better in the close games.

— In HBO’s show on the Lakers, Winning Time, this week’s episode focused on how Jerry West wanted to trade point guard Norm Nixon to Denver for David Thompson. If this is true, and not everything in this show is true, that trade would’ve been highway robbery.

David Thompson was freakin’ awesome; he was Michael Jordan before Jordan, he was actually Jordan’s favorite player when Thompson was at NC State.

A Laker team with Kareem, Magic, Worthy and Thompson would‘ve been a major problem to play against.

Anyway, the show is interesting.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Phillies, Giants, Marlins
AL: Orioles, Twins, Rangers. Wild Cards: Rays, Astros, Blue Jays

— Sunday would’ve been my parents’ 68th wedding anniversary; I am lucky to have had good, honest parents who tolerated my quirks (most of the time). Thanks!!!
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Top 6 teams in the college football preseason poll:
6) USC
5) LSU
4) Alabama
3) Ohio State
2) Michigan
1) Georgia

Quote of the Day
“To have long-term success as a coach or in any position of leadership, you have to be obsessed in some way.”
Pat Riley

Tuesday’s quiz
Steve Kerr was a part of five NBA championship teams as a player, with what two teams?

Monday’s quiz
Russell Wilson finished his college football career at Wisconsin; he started it at NC State.

Sunday’s quiz
Pete Carroll was coach of the Patriots before Bill Belichick.

*******************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— ESPN has its 27-hour Fantasy Football Marathon on today, running until 10pm Tuesday night. Must be a boatload of $$$ involved with hosting fantasy football leagues.

— Couple of veteran running backs found new homes Monday:
Ezekiel Elliott signed a one-year, $6M deal with New England.
Dalvin Cook signed a one-year, $8.5M deal with the Jets.

— Make your travel plans now; the 2025 NFL Draft will be in Green Bay, as the league moves its draft around, mostly to cities that will never host a Super Bowl. I’m not sure how warm it is in Green Bay in April; I’m guessing they’ll have an indoor arena available.

— Royals 7, Mariners 6
KC led 5-0 after seven innings; strong start by Brady Singer.
Mariners took 6-5 lead in 9th, on a Julio Rodriguez single
Dairon Blanco ended the game with a squeeze bunt in bottom of the 9th.

— Braves 11, New York 3
Last five games, Braves outscored the two New York teams 51-13.
That is the Braves’ best run differential in any 5-game span since 1957.
2B Albies (hamstring) goes on the IL.
This was Atlanta’s 41st sellout this season.

— Rays 10, Giants 2— SF broadcaster Dave Flemming finished last in his fantasy football league last year; his penalty for that was being the Giants’ bat boy for this game.

— Rangers 12, Angels 0— Max Scherzer allowed one hit in 7 IP for Texas.

— Orioles 4, Padres 1— Grayson Rodriguez allowed one run in 7 IP.

— Colorado 6, Arizona 4— Diamondbacks are 4-13 in their last 17 games.

— Movie of the Day— Sea of Love (1989)— A detective investigating a series of murders becomes involved with a woman who may be the culprit.
Al Pacino is the detective; Ellen Barkin is the woman. John Goodman, John Spencer play cops, this is one of Samuel L Jackson’s earlier roles.
Good movie, but I’d also watch if Ellen Barkin was reading names out of the phone book.

— NFL Trend of the Day— In three years under Kevin Stafanski, Cleveland Browns are 7-12-1 ATS as a home favorite.

— Tampa Bay SS Wander Franco is on the Restricted List for at least a week, after social media posts questioned the alleged nature of a relationship between Franco and a younger woman.
Rays are still paying Franco, which doesn’t have to happen in such cases.

— Louisville basketball recruit Trentyn Flowers was supposed to bolster the Cardinals’ backcourt next winter, but be bolted to the Australian pro league Monday, a big blow to the Louisville program, as much for the timing as anything else— no time for the Cardinals to replace him.

— Money leaders on the Senior Golf Tour (or whatever they call it now) this year
1- Steve Stricker, $3,593,060
2- Bernhard Langer, $1,659,355
Stricker is 56, Langer is 65, still raking in the cash. Stricker has made double the money as anyone else on their tour.
— Major League Baseball attendance is up 9.3% so far this se
 

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Tuesday, August 15


yWXtypw.png





WNBA

Tuesday, August 15


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New York @ Las Vegas
New York
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


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Cnotes53

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Pending Picks​

TUESDAY, AUGUST 15​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NY at LV09:00 PMLV -7.0
O 176.5
+500 +500
 

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Cnotes53

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WNBA'S AUGUST BEST BETS !

08/15/2023.......................0 - 2............................00.00%....................- 11.00
08/13/2023.......................3 - 5............................37.50%.....................- 12.50
08/12/2023.......................2 - 2............................50.00%.....................- 1.00
08/11/2023.......................3 - 1............................75.00%.....................+ 9.50
08/10/2023.......................1 - 5............................16.66%......................- 22.50
08/08/2023.......................7 - 2............................77.77%......................+ 24.00
08/06/2023.......................5 - 1............................83.33%......................+19.50
08/05/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/04/2023.......................3 - 3............................50.00%......................- 1.50
08/03/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/02/2023.......................1 - 1............................50.00%......................- 0.50
08/01/2023.......................2 - 4............................33.33%......................- 12.00

TOTALS..................... .....29- 28........................... 50.87%.......................- 9.00
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Over/under for CONFERENCE wins this season:
7.5— USC
6.5— Oregon, Utah, Washington
6— Oregon State, UCLA
4— Washington State
3— Arizona
2.5— Arizona Státe, California
2— Colorado
1— Stanford

Quote of the Day
“Rowing harder doesn’t help if the boat is headed in the wrong direction.”
Kenichi Ohmae

Wednesday’s quiz
When was the last time major league baseball had expansion teams?

Tuesday’s quiz
Steve Kerr was a part of five NBA championship teams as a player, three with the Bulls and two with San Antonio.

Monday’s quiz
Russell Wilson finished his college football career at Wisconsin; he started it at NC State.

*******************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings………

— Records/payrolls of some of the wealthier baseball teams:
New York (N) 54-66, payroll of $358,910,769
San Diego 57-63, $254,538,326
New York (A) 60-60, $273,861,822
Lot of underachieving teams out there; maybe the wave of the future is to go back to the old way of doing things, scrap analytics. Just acquire good athletes and let ‘em play ball.

— Was reading where Justin Verlander thought the Mets’ analytics crew was inferior to the one in Houston. He offered some suggestions, and ruffled some feathers.

— Baseball needs another trade deadline, one closer to the end of August. Why?
The current deadline is August 1 or so; there are more playoff teams (12) now; teams fall out of contention later in the season. Who wants to give up before you’re 100% sure you’re out of the playoff race? As a result, there aren’t many trades made around August 1st.
Trades create interest; the more attention a sport gets, the better for the sport.

— Atlanta Braves have hit 35 homers in first inning this year, their opponents have hit 9.

— Indianapolis Colts named rookie QB Anthony Richardson their starting QB for Week 1; the kid started only 13 games in college at Florida. This is going to be interesting.

— Last 10 years in the NFL, rookie QB’s have won only 36% of their starts.

— NHL’s Toronto Maple Leafs haven’t won the Stanley Cup since 1967, which was the NHL’s last season with only six teams. It was their fourth title in six years, but the NHL doubled in size the next year, adding six expansion teams, and Toronto hasn’t won the Cup since.
NHL is up to 32 teams now.

— Movie of the Day— Brian’s Song (1971)— Real-life story about the friendship between Chicago Bears’ teammates Brian Piccolo and Gale Sayers and the bond established after Sayers’ knee injury, and then when Piccolo discovers that he is dying.
James Caan played Piccolo, who became a starter after Sayers tore up his knee. Billy Dee Williams played Sayers; his speech near the end of the movie is pretty epic. Jack Warden plays coach George Halas, Bernie Casey plays one of the Bears, but in real life, he was a good WR in the NFL.
I was 11 years old when this movie first came out (it was a made-for-TV movie). Very sad, but an excellent movie.

— NFL Trend of the Day— Under Nick Sirianni, Eagles are 9-3 ATS as a home favorite, 4-7 ATS as a road favorite.

— Tampa Bay Rays won the first game in their last seven series, are 27-12 in series openers for the season.

— Josh Bell has five home runs in his first 13 games for the Marlins.

— Padres 10, Orioles 3— Marlins/Padres were the only big league teams without a grand slam this season, but Gary Sanchez hit one in the first inning for San Diego in this game.

— Most shutouts in a single season:
13— Bob Gibson, 1968
11— Dean Chance, 1964
11— Sandy Koufax, 1963

— Braves 5, New York 0— Bryce Elder allowed one hit in 7 shutout IP.

— Blue Jays 2, Phillies 1
Game was scoreless after five innings.
Winning run scored on a hit batter with the bases loaded in 8th inning.

— Pirates 7, Mets 4— Pittsburgh scored six runs in 7th inning, snapping a 1-1 tie.

— Arizona 8, Colorado 5— Diamondbacks scored five runs in top of the ninth.

— Rangers 7, Angels 3— Corey Seager hit two home runs for Texas.

— Mariners 10, Royals 8 (10)
Seattle led this game 7-0 in fifth inning.
Kansas City tied game with three runs in ninth.
Ty France got the game-winning hit in the 10th.
 
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