YES YES YES, Machida is 1 - and - done!

The Sponge

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Sponge, one more thing. You can't say Evans walked thru bombs with Forrest. That's like saying Emmitt Smith was fast because he out ran Bernie Kosar. :mj07: I love Forrest but that's his big weakness for the LHW division, he has no power. Even Forrest admits that.

Yeah the Forrest example was a reach but he did hit him with some solid shots. The cock grab shot was pretty big but u are right. Forrest couldn't crack a peanut.
 

kickserv

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odds at 5dimes:


Lyoto Machida........$1.21 (-475)
Mauricio Rua..........$4.25 (+325)
 

Ghost Kid

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Wow
They are giving Shogun NO LOVE
:mj07: :mj07: :mj07: :mj07:

I thought the line would be closer than that
Guess Machida just looked TOO GOOD
 

layinwood

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Holy SH$%!

Let me say this before anyone jumps on me because Shogun is my fav fighter. I THINK MACHIDA WILL WIN.

BUT, those odds are way out of wack. I don't usually make big underdogs big plays but this one will get some big action. If my book opens it at +300 I will be putting at least 3 or 4units on Shogun.

Also, why the hell is this fight in Oct? Why isn't it in Aug or Sept at the latest?
 

kegray1

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This is a serious knee jerk reaction by oddsmakers as to the buzz of who can beat Machida talk.

I was expecting him to be around -300 and thought it would be that high just based on walking through Evans.
It appears they want early money on Shogun because he is very tempting to play at those odds even though he probably doesn't win.

These odds will come down by fight day to around -375 is my guess. Early Rua players best get in now.Machida guys might want to wait.
 

Coach_K

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Wow, like I previously stated I would be all over Machida at -200, but I'm not that wealthy that I can pay -475. Shogun is the play here, the odds are a little off but almost none of us should be laying 5-1 in this economy. I doubt Shogun gets past two rounds vs Machida but maybe Machida will have an off night (not likely but nothings impossible in this sport).
 

kickserv

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I wonder what Rowdy thinks of the line:shrug:

I for one think the line is right where it should be, I think Rua is going to get smoked. Rua getting a title shot is a joke in my mind.


Kimbo should be fighting Lyoto we all know that.
 

RowdyRider

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I wonder what Rowdy thinks of the line:shrug:

I for one think the line is right where it should be, I think Rua is going to get smoked. Rua getting a title shot is a joke in my mind.


Kimbo should be fighting Lyoto we all know that.

It's going to be like a kid in a candy shop for me...

Shogun is the right style matchup to beat Machida, not sure why you don't see that...

Already got my play in at 5Dimes at +325, it's only going to come down...

Also put plays in on 100 and 101 as well...
 

kickserv

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Rowdy.....agree with you, the time is now if you are going to bet on Rua. By fight night the line on Rua will be worse.
 

kegray1

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Rua odds are going up? Wow.

Last night odds on Machida reached -500 currently -490.
Rua was getting +350 and is currently +330.

Amazing these odds are going up. Who is playing Machida right now with those odds????
 

kegray1

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Machida is now -600 and Shogun is getting +400.
They are really trying to get money on Shogun because I can't believe that much early money is coming in on Machida so long before the fight.
 

Ghost Kid

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Machida is now -600 and Shogun is getting +400.
They are really trying to get money on Shogun because I can't believe that much early money is coming in on Machida so long before the fight.

Has to be the book moving that line...who the hell would bet Machida NOW at that price....the fight isn't until October!

The books will shift a line if it is just sitting for awhile...they do it in boxing all the time
 
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