I am getting my Euro capping out of the way tonight because I have to dig into the opening of the Bundesliga this weekend. Not looking at a lot of games just a couple situations. The level of competition is getting better so there are not as many over situations like the prior rounds.
Olympiakos -150 - This is the line right now, I will wait to see how it moves as I have a feeling it will come down. Burnley is off to a bad start in the Premier League and is already getting worn out with the number of games they are playing. They are not a deep team so I think this schedule is taking a toll already. My guess is they are about to throw in the towel in Euro and focus on the League (if I owned the team this is what I would do). They are on the road this weekend at Fulham in a game they have to think they can win. This is more of a play against Burnley but I like it.
Zorya +1 -110 - This is another situational play. First of all, Leipzig is not a great road team in this type of competition and they rely on big home wins. Second, this is in the Ukraine, so it is a brutal travel schedule for them. Third, and most importantly, they open up the Bundesliga season Sunday at Dortmund. They are already complaining about the travel and I believe they only really have the Dortmund game on their minds. I do not expect a great effort on the road, so I will take the +1. Will also look at either the draw or taking a shot with +510 after seeing how the line moves.
Atalanta is another I am still looking at and will decide later. My only concern is that they have a tough road game against Roma in the League coming up.
At this stage of the competition you have to start looking ahead at who they are playing since many of these teams really do not care about winning Euro.