Australian Open

[Smitty]

i tried something this tournament that i've been meaning to do for a while. sabalenka was +240 to win the tournament. the "experts" say that, instead of betting that person to win the tournament, you should just bet them to win every match. at least in other sports. maybe it doesn't make sense in this case, because she's such a huge favorite most of her matches. i figured i'd give it a shot, for shits and giggles. i split my wager. $50 to win the tournament and $50 rolled over each match. so far, the payout on the $50 wager is $59. the $50 rolled over is now $73,

assuming she takes care of business tonight, it'll be up to $80. hard to imagine that $80 will turn into at least $170 over her final 2 matches, even if she plays swiatek. so not over yet, but this looks like it may be the exception to the rule.

well, this did not pan out. the $50 is now $104. if she beat gauff instead of badosa, then the final match probably would have put her over $170 (definitely if she played swiatek instead of keys).

i see no reason to roll over the $104 in the finals at -330, when i already have the original bet at +240.

i'm even a little tempted to bet Keys at +250. she has the power to hang with Sabs. but it's very difficult to trust her to play top-level tennis for 2 sets.

in men's action tonight.... wow, what an exciting match! somehow the guy who beat his girlfriend may not be the biggest asshole on the court.

 

[kickserv]

well, this did not pan out.

It is Jords fault.

I blame him.

 

[kickserv]

2025 Tennis Record
-------------------------------------
Parlay 2-6
Head to Head 12-11
Over/Under 0-0
Game Spread 6-9
Prop 7-12
Futures 0-0

+7.08 units



Day 13 Action



Parlay
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alexander Zverev and Wining Crybaby Little Bitch Over 39.5 games
Katerina Siniakova/Taylor Townsend
Erin Routliffe/Gabriela Dabrowski🇨🇦

odds = $5.21 (+421) *half unit

 

[Real_Vision]

well, this did not pan out. the $50 is now $104. if she beat gauff instead of badosa, then the final match probably would have put her over $170 (definitely if she played swiatek instead of keys).

i see no reason to roll over the $104 in the finals at -330, when i already have the original bet at +240.

i'm even a little tempted to bet Keys at +250. she has the power to hang with Sabs. but it's very difficult to trust her to play top-level tennis for 2 sets.

in men's action tonight.... wow, what an exciting match! somehow the guy who beat his girlfriend may not be the biggest asshole on the court.

Last time they played was about a year ago—the match that stands out to me is 2023 us open when keys jumped all over sabalenka 6-0 set 1, then was up like 4-1 in set 2, but lost 2 straight tiebreaks to fall 2-1.

That was the semis before coco beat saba in the final.

Aside from that match a lot of 2 set and under 10.5 game sets, and keys trails 4-1.

Ive got both sides of the futures (saba +130 10x and keys +1700 and +2200 2x each) all from last night…. The money hitting keys is INSANE personally id avoid at the current price

 

[Smitty]

Katerina Siniakova/Taylor Townsend

siniakova is looking a little... cheeky tonight.

 

[kickserv]

siniakova is looking a little... cheeky tonight.

 

[kickserv]

Parlay
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alexander Zverev and Wining Crybaby Little Bitch Over 39.5 games
Katerina Siniakova/Taylor Townsend
Erin Routliffe/Gabriela Dabrowski🇨🇦

odds = $5.21 (+421) *half unit

Katerina Siniakova/Taylor Townsend get the job done.......One down....two to go

 

[kickserv]

Parlay
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alexander Zverev and Wining Crybaby Little Bitch Over 39.5 games
Katerina Siniakova/Taylor Townsend
Erin Routliffe/Gabriela Dabrowski🇨🇦

odds = $5.21 (+421) *half unit

With the Over/Under being voided, the above parlay is now at odds of +203.

 

[kickserv]

Parlay
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alexander Zverev and Wining Crybaby Little Bitch Over 39.5 games
Katerina Siniakova/Taylor Townsend
Erin Routliffe/Gabriela Dabrowski🇨🇦

odds = $5.21 (+421) *half unit

Sadly the parlay is a loser😪🤕😰

 

[kickserv]

adding for Day 13......

Jannik Sinner and Ben Shelton Over 33.5 Games $1.87 (-115) *1.5 units

 

[Batman]

Let’s adding for Day 13......

Jannik Sinner and Ben Shelton Over 33.5 Games $1.87 (-115) *1.5 units

For some reason I got over 32.5 +110
But let’s get this!

 

[kickserv]

For some reason I got over 32.5 +110

Well that is one hell of a great line right there (**it might even be a line error because that line is so good). Over 32.5 should be around -135 odds, but hey, fuck it, who cares....now all it has to do is hit.

#getthatover

** I guess it is possible somebody bet like a zillion dollars on the under?

 

[Batman]

Ok I’ll double up because it’s actually +115!
VALUE

 

[kickserv]

Ok I’ll double up because it’s actually +115!
VALUE

Well that line just keeps getting better and better😲

Of course.....just the small detail of the wager actually winning, but hey, who cares about that.

 

[kickserv]

Jannik Sinner and Ben Shelton Over 33.5 Games $1.87 (-115) *1.5 units

Shelton served for the 1st set at 6-5....got broken and lost in a tiebreaker......that cost me the Over.

Fuck Shit Fuck 😰 😰😡😡



Updated Record.........


2025 Tennis Record
-------------------------------------
Parlay 2-7
Head to Head 12-11
Over/Under 0-1
Game Spread 6-9
Prop 7-12
Futures 0-0

+5.08 units

 

[Real_Vision]

I get it this is void, but technically correct. Damn

 

[BeanRothstein]

Sabalenka, moan away tonight girl. CHALK. 3 peat.

 

[kickserv]

Sabalenka, moan away tonight girl. CHALK. 3 peat.

#annoyingchalkmoan is trending.

 

[kickserv]

Day 14 Action


Parlay
--------------------------------------------------------------
Aryna Sabalenka -4.5 games beat Madison Keys
Bolelli/Vavassori beat Heliovaara/Patten

odds = $3.33 (+233) *1 unit

 

[kickserv]

Sorry the above should say Annoying Moan Grunt -4.5 games to beat Madison Keys, my apologies.