Bason 2019-2020 Season
- Thread starter BASON
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I played Norther Ireland +1.5. Usually this is a spot where Germany turns it around and proves to everyone they are still one of the top dogs, but I am not so sure this time around. They looked so bad in the last game I am not entirely sure how they recover so quickly. Add to that the fact that Northern Ireland would be more than happy with a draw in this game, I think it is going to be a tough game for Germany today. I do not bet against them often and I was not going to post it, but it is the only play I have made for today. Also lean to Poland at home and for the Dutch to easily handle Estonia.
Keeneland is one of my favorite places on Earth! I was lucky enough to make friends with a couple of folks from Lexington when I lived in DC. Can't exactly remember the year I first went in April, but I returned almost every October and April for many years to come and had the pleasure to meet a lot of great people. Lexington is a very interesting town when you get to run around with people from there. Had some awesome times in the Clubhouse, the Thoroughbred Club and running around town and horse farms. The visits also cultivated my passion for bourbon, which continues to this day. I started collecting well before it became a thing and it paid off handsomely. Can't even tell you how many bottles of Pappy I drank over the years before it became a cult classic, but it was a lot. I still have a few bottles left from the early days.
Unfortunately many years have past since I have returned. Funny, I was just talking to a friend about getting back there. Going to try for a spring trip to Louisville and Lexington.
Keeneland is one of my favorite places on Earth! I was lucky enough to make friends with a couple of folks from Lexington when I lived in DC. Can't exactly remember the year I first went in April, but I returned almost every October and April for many years to come and had the pleasure to meet a lot of great people. Lexington is a very interesting town when you get to run around with people from there. Had some awesome times in the Clubhouse, the Thoroughbred Club and running around town and horse farms. The visits also cultivated my passion for bourbon, which continues to this day. I started collecting well before it became a thing and it paid off handsomely. Can't even tell you how many bottles of Pappy I drank over the years before it became a cult classic, but it was a lot. I still have a few bottles left from the early days.
Unfortunately many years have past since I have returned. Funny, I was just talking to a friend about getting back there. Going to try for a spring trip to Louisville and Lexington.
Had to chime in about Keeneland. Went in April for Bluegrass stakes & Ashland stakes. Phenomenal time. Just a different atmosphere than churchill. Highly recommend it. And i love bourbon as well. Got lucky with the state lottery for bourbon and got a bottle of pappy 20 year, so good!
The only game that stuck out to me today was Lille. They are a very good home team and need a win against an overachieving Angers team that usually is not very good on the road. BUT, Lille had 12 players gone on the international break and they have their first champions league group stage game since 2012 coming up on Tuesday in Amsterdam. Add to that that the line dropped overnight and that is enough for me to lay off of this game.
One you may want to put in today as this likely goes to 3 very soon.
Union Berlin Ov 2.5
Will have more for tomorrow later.
One you may want to put in today as this likely goes to 3 very soon.
Union Berlin Ov 2.5
Will have more for tomorrow later.
Dortmund Ov 3.5 Ev/Ov 1.25 FH - Two strong attacking teams that will score goals. I see a 3-2 type game. Strong play, would be even bigger if both did not have CL coming up, but if they can finish we definitely see some goals in this one.
Wolverhampton +190/Pk Even - The wolves play well against the best teams at home. They are finally rested as they did not have to play Euro for the first time this year before a league game. I expect them to play a strong game against an average Chelsea team that is giving up goals. Chelsea seems to play good FH's and then collapse in the second half. I would not be surprised at all to see a Wolves win. Safe play is the Pk for larger straight bets. I will use ML in a parlay or two.
May add in the morning.
Wolverhampton +190/Pk Even - The wolves play well against the best teams at home. They are finally rested as they did not have to play Euro for the first time this year before a league game. I expect them to play a strong game against an average Chelsea team that is giving up goals. Chelsea seems to play good FH's and then collapse in the second half. I would not be surprised at all to see a Wolves win. Safe play is the Pk for larger straight bets. I will use ML in a parlay or two.
May add in the morning.
Yup, they suck.
I hate chasing in the second half, but I am playing the Wolves in the second half only because Chelsea has been less than impressive in every second half this year.
I hate chasing in the second half, but I am playing the Wolves in the second half only because Chelsea has been less than impressive in every second half this year.
Nice work with Dortmund game, that over and Chelsea over covered my Wolves loss...trying to figure out what to do with this Man City game.
Thank God for some German goals! Wolves was just a very bad call. Sorry for that one.
I see nothing but goals in the City game, but it is tough to bet Ov 4. I will be watching the MD game, so I am going to lay off but I think it is the over or nothing.
I see nothing but goals in the City game, but it is tough to bet Ov 4. I will be watching the MD game, so I am going to lay off but I think it is the over or nothing.
Champions League
I love the group stage of the CL. Been a great money maker for me in the past so hoping for a profitable 2 days.
First two plays are in:
Chelsea Ov 2.5 - Really like this one. Chelsea appears to be strong moving forward against lesser teams, and right now, Valencia is not playing very well. They are also not very strong on the road. I think we see a 3-1 type game.
Ajax Ov 2.5 - Just an auto play for me anytime we see a 2.5 in an Ajax game against an equal or lesser opponent. And they are at home. I expect them to score 3 against a Lille team back for the first time since 2012.
More to come a little later but these are my favorites for now and I think Ajax will go to 3.
I love the group stage of the CL. Been a great money maker for me in the past so hoping for a profitable 2 days.
First two plays are in:
Chelsea Ov 2.5 - Really like this one. Chelsea appears to be strong moving forward against lesser teams, and right now, Valencia is not playing very well. They are also not very strong on the road. I think we see a 3-1 type game.
Ajax Ov 2.5 - Just an auto play for me anytime we see a 2.5 in an Ajax game against an equal or lesser opponent. And they are at home. I expect them to score 3 against a Lille team back for the first time since 2012.
More to come a little later but these are my favorites for now and I think Ajax will go to 3.
Napoli +.25 -115 - Liverpool, even though they are the returning champions, does not play well on the road in this competition. They have lost 6 of 8 on the road, lost all 3 in the group stage on the road last year and lost 1-0 in Naples. Plus you have a coach that knows Liverpool. This group is not that difficult and I expect both of these teams to advance. I think Napoli will win this game but I am playing this straight on the Asian line.
Salzburg/Ajax Parlay - Basically an even money parlay with two team I definitely think will win. I thought about adding Inter or Chelsea or Napoli, and maybe I do a larger one, but I am just putting more money on the two teams I think have the best chance to win. Both are great home teams and are playing the weakest teams in the group, so they are also must win games if they want to advance.
As usual in the CL I like a lot, but these 2 and the 2 above are my favorites for the day.
Salzburg/Ajax Parlay - Basically an even money parlay with two team I definitely think will win. I thought about adding Inter or Chelsea or Napoli, and maybe I do a larger one, but I am just putting more money on the two teams I think have the best chance to win. Both are great home teams and are playing the weakest teams in the group, so they are also must win games if they want to advance.
As usual in the CL I like a lot, but these 2 and the 2 above are my favorites for the day.
Thanks! Was by far my biggest play of the day and an easy winner.
Chelsea showed their true colors. I knew I should not have trusted them. They cost me the sweep, but it was a great day overall.
One in for tomorrow:
Leverkusen Ov 2.5 - like Ajax today, auto play for me at this number. Yes, they have been shut out the last two games but that is in the league. I expect Moscow to struggle on the road and Leverkusen to score 3 themselves. Grabbing it before it goes to 3.
Will likely have one or two more in the morning, but do not like the card as much as I did today.
Atletico will be a play, but I want to see the overnight line change before I decide how much.
Chelsea showed their true colors. I knew I should not have trusted them. They cost me the sweep, but it was a great day overall.
One in for tomorrow:
Leverkusen Ov 2.5 - like Ajax today, auto play for me at this number. Yes, they have been shut out the last two games but that is in the league. I expect Moscow to struggle on the road and Leverkusen to score 3 themselves. Grabbing it before it goes to 3.
Will likely have one or two more in the morning, but do not like the card as much as I did today.
Atletico will be a play, but I want to see the overnight line change before I decide how much.
Thanks Johnny!
Atletico Madrid +140 - I do not see this game being much different than the 2-0 Atletico win last year. They are extremely hard to beat or even score against at home so I see another close win. Safe play is to play them on the Pk line as I definitely do not think they lose, but I am taking the plus money here.
Only these two plays for today. I could make some others but sticking to two plays after a good day yesterday.
Atletico Madrid +140 - I do not see this game being much different than the 2-0 Atletico win last year. They are extremely hard to beat or even score against at home so I see another close win. Safe play is to play them on the Pk line as I definitely do not think they lose, but I am taking the plus money here.
Only these two plays for today. I could make some others but sticking to two plays after a good day yesterday.
Hopefully someone played Atletico on the Pk line versus the ML. I did not so a split for me today, but a good CL.
Tomorrow is a bear to cap, I will have some plays.
Tomorrow is a bear to cap, I will have some plays.
