I played a small wager at a PK
I put the under 2 1/2 in a parlay :shrug: I just couldn't see 4 goals , Juv is good at playing keep away with a lead .
Keep'em coming Bason , solid as usual !
Bason 2019-2020 Season
- Thread starter BASON
- Start date
I played a small wager at a PK
I put the under 2 1/2 in a parlay :shrug: I just couldn't see 4 goals , Juv is good at playing keep away with a lead .
Keep'em coming Bason , solid as usual !
Okay, here is what I am playing in Euro today. It is very difficult to cap 24 games properly in a short period of time which is why Euro can be tough. I spend a lot of time on the CL and do not have enough time to spend on these games and there are a lot of interesting games with solid teams. I had a tough time narrowing down the plays as I like a lot of Overs. As always, I play these game for a lot less then the CL.
Frankfurt Pk - One of the marquee match ups today. I am not a big Frankfurt fan, but I am definitely not an Arsenal fan especially on the road in Germany. Arsenal is just not a great team and has issues in the back, and while Frankfurt has some issues, I do not see them losing this game at home and the overnight move in the line agrees with me. They have not lost a home Euro game in a very long time and have won 8 out of the last 10. Euro is a very big deal in Germany and Frankfurt will be pumped for this game.
PSV Ov 2.75 - PSV has been getting back into form and scoring goals at home, while Sporting has been struggling some and giving up goals. I think PSV scores 3 here themselves. I also like them to win.
Porto Ov 2.5 - We have two teams playing great in the league and scoring goals. I think we see a very up tempo goals. This total is moving up fast. Hopefully you get 2.5 or at least 2.75.
Espanyol/Roma/Gladbach/Apoel - 4 team ML par. All home teams that I think should win and pays about +250. Not a big payoff but they are all -225+. Apoel line moved big overnight and continues to move up, so you can take that out if you want an get about +185
That is it. I could make many more but I tried to spread the risk around. Be wary of Wolverhampton as I think there was a huge move down in that line overnight.
Frankfurt Pk - One of the marquee match ups today. I am not a big Frankfurt fan, but I am definitely not an Arsenal fan especially on the road in Germany. Arsenal is just not a great team and has issues in the back, and while Frankfurt has some issues, I do not see them losing this game at home and the overnight move in the line agrees with me. They have not lost a home Euro game in a very long time and have won 8 out of the last 10. Euro is a very big deal in Germany and Frankfurt will be pumped for this game.
PSV Ov 2.75 - PSV has been getting back into form and scoring goals at home, while Sporting has been struggling some and giving up goals. I think PSV scores 3 here themselves. I also like them to win.
Porto Ov 2.5 - We have two teams playing great in the league and scoring goals. I think we see a very up tempo goals. This total is moving up fast. Hopefully you get 2.5 or at least 2.75.
Espanyol/Roma/Gladbach/Apoel - 4 team ML par. All home teams that I think should win and pays about +250. Not a big payoff but they are all -225+. Apoel line moved big overnight and continues to move up, so you can take that out if you want an get about +185
That is it. I could make many more but I tried to spread the risk around. Be wary of Wolverhampton as I think there was a huge move down in that line overnight.
Yeah, the Germans did not have a good day. Frankfurt actually dominated the first half but just could not get one in and then lost it in the second half. Gladbach was an embarrassment as was Apoel. Giving up 4 goals at home to Dudelange is an absolute disgrace. Broke even for the day which was fine by me. Euro is tough.
Have a couple good ones for the weekend coming.
Have a couple good ones for the weekend coming.
Thanks for this. Always nice to have tons of time left and know you can?t lose. Much appreciated!!
My pleasure! Great way to start the weekend.
Okay one for early tomorrow morning right now and it is one I like a lot.
Nurnberg Even - This team is starting to come together with all the new players they have and they are going to win this one at home. Those that follow know this is my German team. My friends who live there are on this one big and they do not bet them often, so I have to tag along. Hopefully a great win to set up the rest of the morning.
I definitely lean to Leicester in a Pk in the early Premier game given the Spurs had a tough away 2-2 draw in CL midweek which is usually a good set up for a play against. This is a tough spot and some bad scheduling for the Spurs.
More to come.
Okay one for early tomorrow morning right now and it is one I like a lot.
Nurnberg Even - This team is starting to come together with all the new players they have and they are going to win this one at home. Those that follow know this is my German team. My friends who live there are on this one big and they do not bet them often, so I have to tag along. Hopefully a great win to set up the rest of the morning.
I definitely lean to Leicester in a Pk in the early Premier game given the Spurs had a tough away 2-2 draw in CL midweek which is usually a good set up for a play against. This is a tough spot and some bad scheduling for the Spurs.
More to come.
Well, that sucked. Another one where we dominated and just could not score in the second half. Frustrating.
Busy weekend, so taking rest of the day off in soccer, and here is what I have for tomorrow:
Palace Pk - play solely against Wolves. Euro is wearing them out.
West Brom - yet another play against Huddersfield which has been big $$$ maker this year.
PSV Un 3.25 (prefer 3.5 but I can not get it right now) - Do not post many unders and I do not think I have ever posted one in the high scoring Dutch league, but when these two play it tends to be a tight contest. Ajax has not scored in their last 3 games at PSV! They kill most other teams in the league but I expect a tight game. Maybe 1-1 draw.
Busy weekend, so taking rest of the day off in soccer, and here is what I have for tomorrow:
Palace Pk - play solely against Wolves. Euro is wearing them out.
West Brom - yet another play against Huddersfield which has been big $$$ maker this year.
PSV Un 3.25 (prefer 3.5 but I can not get it right now) - Do not post many unders and I do not think I have ever posted one in the high scoring Dutch league, but when these two play it tends to be a tight contest. Ajax has not scored in their last 3 games at PSV! They kill most other teams in the league but I expect a tight game. Maybe 1-1 draw.
94th minute goal by Wolves kept it from being a perfect day, but certainly enough to make up for the Nurnberg game. Nailed the PSV/Ajax game.
Carabao Cup - listed in order of preference
Leicester Ov 2.5 - Played last night, line is climbing. Definitely thought this would be at least 3 as I think Leicester scores 3 themselves.
Swansea +1 - I would take +1 for any team Watford is playing right now. Watford's defense is really bad and Swansea's in strong. Would not be surprised at all by a Swansea win.
Wednesday +.5 - Just do not like the way Everton is playing. Tough road game given their form right now and they have not done well in this tournament over the years.
France
Nice +.5 - If you keep making Monaco big favorites at home, I will keep playing against them as they suck at home.
Leicester Ov 2.5 - Played last night, line is climbing. Definitely thought this would be at least 3 as I think Leicester scores 3 themselves.
Swansea +1 - I would take +1 for any team Watford is playing right now. Watford's defense is really bad and Swansea's in strong. Would not be surprised at all by a Swansea win.
Wednesday +.5 - Just do not like the way Everton is playing. Tough road game given their form right now and they have not done well in this tournament over the years.
France
Nice +.5 - If you keep making Monaco big favorites at home, I will keep playing against them as they suck at home.
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Blah day as Monaco actually won a home game, but biggest play hit with Leicester over. Three totals for tomorrow:
West Ham Ov3
Bournemouth Ov2.5
Roma Ov3
I think I am just putting all 3 in parlay.
West Ham Ov3
Bournemouth Ov2.5
Roma Ov3
I think I am just putting all 3 in parlay.
As long as Frankfurt show, I think we see at least 3 in this game. Would not be surprised to see a 2-2 draw.
Not in love with much tomorrow, so all small plays, but here is what I am playing:
Wolves/Watford Ov 2.5 - Looks like an Under play with the two worst teams in the league but I almost always like playing the Over in this situation. Both teams desperate for a win, especially Wolves at home.
Millwall +.5 - I actually think Huddersfield may win this, but I will continue to play against them until they do.
Leipzig -ML - Schalke win streak has been at the expense of the bottom of the league, so Leipzig presents a much bigger challenge. Leipzig has been playing great and appears to be a challenger to Bayern for now. Schalke struggles to score in this and Leipzig wins. This is pricey, about -200, so if you do not want to lay it, parlay it with the game below.
Atletico Madrid +ML or Pk - Pk is the safer play, but I just have a feeling they win this game tomorrow. Real was exposed at PSG in CL, and with Barca struggling, a win at home here is huge.
GO TERPS!!
Wolves/Watford Ov 2.5 - Looks like an Under play with the two worst teams in the league but I almost always like playing the Over in this situation. Both teams desperate for a win, especially Wolves at home.
Millwall +.5 - I actually think Huddersfield may win this, but I will continue to play against them until they do.
Leipzig -ML - Schalke win streak has been at the expense of the bottom of the league, so Leipzig presents a much bigger challenge. Leipzig has been playing great and appears to be a challenger to Bayern for now. Schalke struggles to score in this and Leipzig wins. This is pricey, about -200, so if you do not want to lay it, parlay it with the game below.
Atletico Madrid +ML or Pk - Pk is the safer play, but I just have a feeling they win this game tomorrow. Real was exposed at PSG in CL, and with Barca struggling, a win at home here is huge.
GO TERPS!!
- Feb 5, 2016
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I only played one game today and I played it rather big:
Juventus -170
You can play the -1 to be safer, but I do not mind laying the lumber when I like the game just to be safe. I know it is a big line, but Leverkusen struggles against high quality competition (they lost at home to Moscow in this competition and 4-0 to Dortmund!). They score a ton of goals and beat up on lesser competition, but they struggle against good teams especially on the road. I think this is a low number given the difference between the two teams. Maybe the upcoming game with Inter is a possible distraction, but this competition is their focus and the reason they got Ronaldo.
Juventus -170
You can play the -1 to be safer, but I do not mind laying the lumber when I like the game just to be safe. I know it is a big line, but Leverkusen struggles against high quality competition (they lost at home to Moscow in this competition and 4-0 to Dortmund!). They score a ton of goals and beat up on lesser competition, but they struggle against good teams especially on the road. I think this is a low number given the difference between the two teams. Maybe the upcoming game with Inter is a possible distraction, but this competition is their focus and the reason they got Ronaldo.
Easy winner!
Took most of the winnings and just placed it on one play for tomorrow:
Leipzig -150 - I expect them to bounce back from the terrible game against Schalke. They are a tough team to beat at home, a win gives them 6 points and Lyon has been less than impressive this year. Lyon has not won in 7 games and is struggling in the league and they have also not won in their last 8 CL matches. All this points to a Leipzig win tomorrow.
Sticking to the one game theory again for tomorrow.
Took most of the winnings and just placed it on one play for tomorrow:
Leipzig -150 - I expect them to bounce back from the terrible game against Schalke. They are a tough team to beat at home, a win gives them 6 points and Lyon has been less than impressive this year. Lyon has not won in 7 games and is struggling in the league and they have also not won in their last 8 CL matches. All this points to a Leipzig win tomorrow.
Sticking to the one game theory again for tomorrow.
