I always find the overnight UCL line moves quite intriguing. You don't see line swings like this anywhere. Your telling me someone out there is pounding the shit out of Midtylland on the Asian line ?? Liverpool -2 dropped 50 cents over night. I know the Trio is out, but it probably shouldn't matter, I think I will buy more.
BASON 2020-2021 Season
- Thread starter BASON
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I always find the overnight UCL line moves quite intriguing. You don't see line swings like this anywhere. Your telling me someone out there is pounding the shit out of Midtylland on the Asian line ?? Liverpool -2 dropped 50 cents over night. I know the Trio is out, but it probably shouldn't matter, I think I will buy more.
I love watching overnight moves. Most are very accurate, but this is one I am not buying. English teams tend to significantly more betting action, so they can be even more volatile overnight. All of Liverpool's reserves could play and they still should win by at least 2. I am not loading up, but I did add some at -1.5.
Even more surprised that the Atletico line came down. I just hit them again at -146.
Even more surprised that the Atletico line came down. I just hit them again at -146.
We have seen some real steammmmmmmm how about Inter from -120 to -275 , Liverpool -900 to -450 (-2 -200 to -2 +110), Man City is creeping up to -350. Time will tell what this all means lol, for the most part I am on totals. Goood luck today, I am on a few of your picks.
I actually added a late Shakhtar bet. I love betting on them. I actually had a couple bucks on them last week. They are a tough team to play.
Plenty riding on Dortmund tomorrow but I am adding:
Dortmund Ov 3 -155
I am adding this more or less for a little protection, because if Dortmund does not win I definitely think this game goes over as Dortmund always scores at home.
Nothing else really stands out to me as I do not like the card that much. I probably will end up playing Juve Pk+119 because it is hard for me not to take that value with them at home and Barca has not been that great so far this season. Will see where the money goes overnight.
Was not easy watching the Atletico game today but they came through for me. I had a lot riding on that one. Give me Dortmund tomorrow and it is a great CL week!
Dortmund Ov 3 -155
I am adding this more or less for a little protection, because if Dortmund does not win I definitely think this game goes over as Dortmund always scores at home.
Nothing else really stands out to me as I do not like the card that much. I probably will end up playing Juve Pk+119 because it is hard for me not to take that value with them at home and Barca has not been that great so far this season. Will see where the money goes overnight.
Was not easy watching the Atletico game today but they came through for me. I had a lot riding on that one. Give me Dortmund tomorrow and it is a great CL week!
Wow that late penalty saved my ass in the Liverpool game! I cant believe Inter/Shak went scoreless, that was my play of the day. I am sure we will see some wild movement overnight. Nice to see you aligned with my previous thoughts on BVB. I may start my own thread I seem to always be hijacking yours lol Good Luck tmrw.
The Dortmund line has moved big time. I played it at -1 -175 and now it is -281!!
Yeah, the Shakhtar game was surprising, but I keep playing them and they keep winning. Liverpool goal saved me also and gave me a win for my late bet. I had them -2 in a few parlays that all need Dortmund today.
I do not mind the back and forth. I do not think there are that many paying attention to this anyway.
Yeah, the Shakhtar game was surprising, but I keep playing them and they keep winning. Liverpool goal saved me also and gave me a win for my late bet. I had them -2 in a few parlays that all need Dortmund today.
I do not mind the back and forth. I do not think there are that many paying attention to this anyway.
What do you think about Rennes +618? A lot of people talked about them as dark horses to get out of that crappy group. Had a bad 0-0 draw to the Russians in the first round and followed that up with a L1 loss to Angers I?m sure inflated the line. But, that was their first league loss since Feb 16th and that CL game was their first in history. In that L1 game, they rested their entire front 3 as well as several other players - until they went down late and subbed a lot of them in. I assume they were rested to target this game. And, Sevilla are not exactly ripping it up themselves. Seems like a really high line. +1 +106 seems like a great bet. They haven?t lost by more than a goal in over a year and a half in L1 for what that?s worth. No CL or even Europa data to go off of for them. But, certainly have performed well vs PSG the past couple years in the league and cups.
I think the line is a little skewed towards Sevilla, but I also see Rennes having a hard time scoring in this game. They have been having trouble scoring goals lately and Sevilla is a tough team to score against at home. Rennes cost me some real money last week so I am not jumping at the chance to bet them again. Would not be surprised to see a 1 or 2 to nil game, but just not enough there for me to bet it.
Not playing anything today. Dortmund game ended up being a huge winner after adding at halftime and hitting a few parlays so I see no need in wasting money on today's games.
Should have some tired teams this weekend with more CL on deck, so will be taking a look at who could be vulnerable.
Should have some tired teams this weekend with more CL on deck, so will be taking a look at who could be vulnerable.
Thanks for the play yesterday....I usually don't play soccer and stumbled on your play out of lack of other sports playing yesterday....Glad I did. I got on Dortmond with you for something to watch at work..... Loved it.
I will be checking in from now on so just wanted to thank you for throwing out your pick..... I am guessing not many people get on this forum.
I will be checking in from now on so just wanted to thank you for throwing out your pick..... I am guessing not many people get on this forum.
You shoulda played the exact score line. I think 1-0 was +575. Good call and glad it was 1-0, not 2-0!
Thanks Coach. We have a small but dedicated following in here and we usually make money. Kid and I compliment each other well, but I think everyone that follows here regularly makes money. I try to narrow my plays and bet larger amounts on games I like. I tend to do very well in champions league, etc., but not as good in the leagues except for Germany where I tend to do well given my background. Soccer is the best sport in the world to bet! Feel free to chime in whenever you want, I am happy to answer questions, etc.
Thank Flap, definitely got that one right. I did add the under in one of my parlays after writing back to you!!
Thank Flap, definitely got that one right. I did add the under in one of my parlays after writing back to you!!
This is Madjacks hidden gem! Lots of winning picks flow through this forum that's for sure.
What do you have cooking up for the weekend Mr. B? Can I get your opinion on a Bundesliga total? Thoughts on the over 3 in the Leipzig/gladbach game. These teams go over alot. Both are top 7 in just about every offensive category , shots, shots on net, goals, crosses, etc. Was curious if that made your card.
Thanks in advance
Thanks in advance
This is a tough card. It is hard to predict how some of these teams are going to play off of CL. I definitely would lean to the over in that game as Leipzig was certainly exposed against Man U and Gladbach is playing very well. I like Gladbach in a Pk in this one. I could certainly see a draw also.
Not a lot I really like today, so not blowing CL money on game I am not thrilled about.
I did put in a small three teamer for some action:
Bayern -1/Dortmund/Gladbach+1 - +125
Not a lot I really like today, so not blowing CL money on game I am not thrilled about.
I did put in a small three teamer for some action:
Bayern -1/Dortmund/Gladbach+1 - +125
Ended up hitting the parlay, but small payout. I have been having a lot of success with these higher juice (buying lines down) parlays.
Small play for today:
Leeds Pk -116 - Playing this solely based on the line and the fact that Leicester is probably a little tired. Just for some action today.
NFL bored me after the early games so had some time to cap CL. Not much is thrilling me tomorrow except one game for me:
Bayern -1 -207
Bayern Ov 3.5 -185 (or 4 -117)
Bayern has been rolling in the CL and I knew they would be sluggish over the weekend. While this game may not look exciting to many, it is for Bayern. They can not lose this game just as a matter of national pride. The best team in Germany against the best in Austria. A loss would be really bad for them so I expect them to be on their game tomorrow which means goals. I bought it down but not opposed to the 4 either. I think we see a 4-1 type game. I have become a bit addicted to buying the lines down now that I am primarily using a much larger book. I know the juice turns many off, but the juice only matters if you lose. It has been working for me, so I am sticking with it.
Having said that, here is the parlay I just put in:
Bayern -1
Ajax Ov 2.5
Atalanta +1
Man City -1.5 (though about -1 but makes payout +276)
Pays +364
Atalanta line is one I will be watching. My guess is Liverpool will get even more money overnight but they are a poor road team in CL and Klopp has never won a CL game in Italy.
Small play for today:
Leeds Pk -116 - Playing this solely based on the line and the fact that Leicester is probably a little tired. Just for some action today.
NFL bored me after the early games so had some time to cap CL. Not much is thrilling me tomorrow except one game for me:
Bayern -1 -207
Bayern Ov 3.5 -185 (or 4 -117)
Bayern has been rolling in the CL and I knew they would be sluggish over the weekend. While this game may not look exciting to many, it is for Bayern. They can not lose this game just as a matter of national pride. The best team in Germany against the best in Austria. A loss would be really bad for them so I expect them to be on their game tomorrow which means goals. I bought it down but not opposed to the 4 either. I think we see a 4-1 type game. I have become a bit addicted to buying the lines down now that I am primarily using a much larger book. I know the juice turns many off, but the juice only matters if you lose. It has been working for me, so I am sticking with it.
Having said that, here is the parlay I just put in:
Bayern -1
Ajax Ov 2.5
Atalanta +1
Man City -1.5 (though about -1 but makes payout +276)
Pays +364
Atalanta line is one I will be watching. My guess is Liverpool will get even more money overnight but they are a poor road team in CL and Klopp has never won a CL game in Italy.
Bayern brings home the big money once again in the CL. Took some time but we got the high scoring game I thought it would be.
Schedule is not so thrilling tomorrow either, but this is in:
Dortmund Ov 2.5 -175 - Not sure we see all the scoring we saw today, but I expect goals in this game.
I have Sevilla -1 and Chelsea -1 to finish off a couple parlays, so not playing anything else. My gut says PSG beats Leipzig, but don't love it. May add a couple team totals. Will try to post if I do. Ended up playing Bayern TT and Man City TT along with Kid.
Schedule is not so thrilling tomorrow either, but this is in:
Dortmund Ov 2.5 -175 - Not sure we see all the scoring we saw today, but I expect goals in this game.
I have Sevilla -1 and Chelsea -1 to finish off a couple parlays, so not playing anything else. My gut says PSG beats Leipzig, but don't love it. May add a couple team totals. Will try to post if I do. Ended up playing Bayern TT and Man City TT along with Kid.
Another solid CL week!!
Not really capping the Euro given the number of games but I played the following since I have money to play with:
Spurs Ov 2.5 -201
Leicester Ov 2 -255
AC Milan Ov 2.5 -134
Pays +264
Not really capping the Euro given the number of games but I played the following since I have money to play with:
Spurs Ov 2.5 -201
Leicester Ov 2 -255
AC Milan Ov 2.5 -134
Pays +264
