Should have stuck to my guns and stayed away from CL and Euro teams. The hangover is even more exaggerated this year as many of these teams desperately need the money they can get from advancing. The schedule is taking a toll on many teams.
I do not love tomorrow's games as much as last week and it is going to be expensive to make some of the plays I like, but that is how it goes sometimes:
Salzburg/Moscow Ov 2.5 -185
Real Madrid -289
Atletico Madrid -109
Salzburg has a chance to move on and it is reflective in this line. They have played really well so far, and while I like them to win, I like the over more as I think Moscow will score.
Real is a risk and a safer bet at -1, but I am laying it here. There is a reason this line is so high even after they lost again in the league this weekend. This is an absolute must win game against a team they lost to at home. Shakhtar is one of my favorite teams to bet on, but since that win, they have not played well at all. I am expecting a strong effort and a win from Real.
Hard to believe Atletico is minus money against the hottest team in the world but this is a situational play with the added benefit that Atletico has a history of playing them well. Bayern has the group wrapped up and has Leipzig this weekend. As such, they have left at least 3 starters at home, including Goretzka, Neuer and Lewandowski. Their focus is definitely not on this game while Atletico needs a result.
Gladbach just needs a draw to secure their spot so that is a very intriguing game to watch and see how they handle the pressure. Moving on for them is an extremely big deal and they are playing some great soccer right now. You also have Ajax on the road who has not lost in 11 straight CL games, including 5 straight in England, against a Liverpool team that is hurting some right now. Trying to limit my plays some so I will include them in the following parlay:
Salzburg Ov 2.5
Real
Gladbach +1
Atletico Pk
Ajax +1.5
Pays +477