Great parlay when you lose all three!!
Breeder's Cup weekend (at one of my favorite places in the world!) so not much time for soccer capping this weekend, plus I always play the leagues light after CL, but have to comment on the big one in Germany.
I will start by saying that even though I tend to do well in Germany, I also tend to screw this game up. Year after year I give Dortmund too much credit at home and end up talking myself out of the right play. Also, the league games tend to be lower scoring than most think. However, I think this game will closely resemble the recent SuperCup match that Bayern won 3-2. Both teams have been playing a tough schedule and both have some weaknesses in the back. Dortmund is a brutal place to play, but without fans they really lose their advantage. Dortmund's mistake in this game is that they usually play too conservative rather than taking the game to Bayern. You have to attack Bayern to beat them and Dortmund has the fire power to do it.
Dortmund certainly has the talent to beat Bayern, but they will not get my money until they prove they can do it when it really matters. Bayern loves to make statements in these games to prove that they will win the league just like every other year.
Bayern -124
Bayern Ov 3 -209
Taking the Ov at 3 is pricey, but I am making it the larger play since I have CL money to use and my gut tells me this is not going to be a 1-0 or 1-1 game. I have been wrong about this before, but you have to cap it based on how they are playing and the teams they have, and I think both teams have issues in the back.
Busy, busy day tomorrow with this game, college football, Breeder's Cup and Kid's big game. Will have all the devices working!
