Weekend plays
Weekend plays
Big week with alot to choose from. Gots to be careful on weeks such as this not to spread self tooo thin. I'm essentially backing 4 guys:
Victor Ortiz (-160) - good size Well documented by the madjack crew. Weasel had an excellent post earlier on. I think this fight is made for him to win - 142lbs. Plus yes, he was one punch away from ko'ing Maidana. I don't think he's a coward, and I think he proves a point here against ageing Campbell, who 'quit' himself against Bradley.
Kevin Mitchell (-145) - good size Also well spoken by the crew. I'm high on Mitchell and rode him big against Presecott and the under against Mendoza... This fight makes me nervous though. Mitchell will have to walk thru fire here. Katsidis is by far the best opponent he has faced, 2 steps up from anything before. Marginal competition for Mitchell concerns me, plus he came up in weight not so long ago and Kat is a strong LW...but I will ride my belief in Mitchell as the real deal. Sharp puncher...I see Katsidis cut early.
Orlando Salido (+175) - good size I really like this as the sleeper pick of the week. Lot's going on so easy to forget about, but... Cristobal Cruz has done great, far better than anyone expected of him at this point in his career. Win against Frenchman Cyril Thomas was tougher than expected though, and he fought very tough but might have got a bit of homecooking vs. Jorge Solis... Cruz and Salido fought not so long ago on neutral turf in US. Cruz got the decision but it was a very even fight - judging might have been a little payback for ped accusations against Salido? THIS REMATCH IS IN SALIDO'S HOMETOWN OF OBREGON THOUGH!! There was very little to choose from between these guy's in the first fight... Here I think these 'even' rounds might sway Salido's way. Love the plus odds, and will play the dog healthy here.
Herman Ngoudjo (-110) - medium rare Went a little lesser here because I am not soo confident in Ngoudjo. This is more a bet against Julio Diaz then anything. I think he's more or less shot and will lose to any solid fighter these days. Extra weight doesn't help either. Ngoudjo is not the prototype to dominate Diaz, and he took a terrible beating against Urango, but I think he's classy enough to get the job done. Maybe a little tougher than expected.
Cruz-Salido OVER 10.5 (-125) - small I couldn't resist to drop a bit on this. On another week probably would have gone bigger, because I like the odds on this play. First fight went 12. Two good chins. Tough guys but not huge punchers. Barring the cut scenario it has all the makings.
Also think Chisora and Sexton are worthy parlayables, along with Lee and Dzinziruk of course... Wlod-Frag also looks to go over 11.5, but odds are climbing now...
Good luck madmen!!! :box2:
:SIB
Weekend plays
Big week with alot to choose from. Gots to be careful on weeks such as this not to spread self tooo thin. I'm essentially backing 4 guys:
Victor Ortiz (-160) - good size Well documented by the madjack crew. Weasel had an excellent post earlier on. I think this fight is made for him to win - 142lbs. Plus yes, he was one punch away from ko'ing Maidana. I don't think he's a coward, and I think he proves a point here against ageing Campbell, who 'quit' himself against Bradley.
Kevin Mitchell (-145) - good size Also well spoken by the crew. I'm high on Mitchell and rode him big against Presecott and the under against Mendoza... This fight makes me nervous though. Mitchell will have to walk thru fire here. Katsidis is by far the best opponent he has faced, 2 steps up from anything before. Marginal competition for Mitchell concerns me, plus he came up in weight not so long ago and Kat is a strong LW...but I will ride my belief in Mitchell as the real deal. Sharp puncher...I see Katsidis cut early.
Orlando Salido (+175) - good size I really like this as the sleeper pick of the week. Lot's going on so easy to forget about, but... Cristobal Cruz has done great, far better than anyone expected of him at this point in his career. Win against Frenchman Cyril Thomas was tougher than expected though, and he fought very tough but might have got a bit of homecooking vs. Jorge Solis... Cruz and Salido fought not so long ago on neutral turf in US. Cruz got the decision but it was a very even fight - judging might have been a little payback for ped accusations against Salido? THIS REMATCH IS IN SALIDO'S HOMETOWN OF OBREGON THOUGH!! There was very little to choose from between these guy's in the first fight... Here I think these 'even' rounds might sway Salido's way. Love the plus odds, and will play the dog healthy here.
Herman Ngoudjo (-110) - medium rare Went a little lesser here because I am not soo confident in Ngoudjo. This is more a bet against Julio Diaz then anything. I think he's more or less shot and will lose to any solid fighter these days. Extra weight doesn't help either. Ngoudjo is not the prototype to dominate Diaz, and he took a terrible beating against Urango, but I think he's classy enough to get the job done. Maybe a little tougher than expected.
Cruz-Salido OVER 10.5 (-125) - small I couldn't resist to drop a bit on this. On another week probably would have gone bigger, because I like the odds on this play. First fight went 12. Two good chins. Tough guys but not huge punchers. Barring the cut scenario it has all the makings.
Also think Chisora and Sexton are worthy parlayables, along with Lee and Dzinziruk of course... Wlod-Frag also looks to go over 11.5, but odds are climbing now...
Good luck madmen!!! :box2:
:SIB
