Weekend Plays
Weekend Plays
All right, this is more like it. Very busy weekend compared to recent ones. I've got no less than six wagers going, and here they are:
Denis Lebedev (-140) - large I watched quite a bit of video for this one, namely Lebedev's fights with Macca, Castillo, and Ismailov (all three of which are much better than anyone Alexeev has beaten). I came away very impressed with Lebedev. The dude has got a genuine fighter's instinct. He doesn't fight like a typical eastern bloc guy. He is loose, aggressive, and even quick in spots. He is confident and tough, and from what I see a future world champ. To me, he has that special element of knowing how and when to engage. Alexeev is upright and stiff. A look at his record shows major protection. I think he is in for an ass whoopin', and will be genuinely surprised if this wager doesn't come thru.
Mike Dallas Jr. (-140) - medium Also watched a good share of footage here. I like Dallas. He was an standout amateur and from what I see a very stylish boxer. He's also seems to be settling down on his shots better. Training at Wild Card, including many rounds sparring with Pacquiao must have done him alot of good. He has been matched soft, but so has Lane for that matter. Lane is tough, but a straight forward type, and even a bit crude at times. I see Dallas clearly outboxing Lane.
Angulo-Alcine UNDER 8.5 - medium (+160) Got some nice early odds here. Round 9 not so late, but Angulo is an animal. Alcine has been dummied before and by Daniel Santos, a much lesser puncher. I don't think Alcine is strong enough to hold Perro off. He's also 34. I can really envision a relatively early ending here.
Ishe Smith (+300) - small Ishe is a very classy boxer. His problem is that he's not active enough, which could be poison against the energetic Guerrero. For Guerrero's part though, he may be a bit overrated, and this fight may have come a couple too soon. I can see Ishe taking him to school a bit. I see Ossie Duran as sort of a poor man's version of Ishe, and he gave Guerrero all he could handle. At +3 it's worth a shot.
Jose Armando Santa Cruz (+450) - small It seems that Santa Cruz's only problem is that he's a bit chinny. Not good against Judah, who punches sharply...but Judah's gettin' a bit old here. He even looks old to me. I don't like him dropping weight at this point in his career. Santa Cruz can look very impressive at times, and I think Judah is in for a real fight here. Judah saying the right things but we'll see. I can see Zab getting tired and busted up if fight doesn't end early. At this price, worth a shot.
Montiel-Concepcion OVER 8.5 (+140) - small
I would go bigger here on a lesser week, and may add if other wagers pan out. I think Montiel is also in for a war. Donaire couldn't get Concepcion to move. He is a rugged guy. Montiel riding high off of Hasegawa upset, which could mean a bit of a let down here. Montiel has also had some recent struggles against relatively ordinary guys. I see a grueling fight.
Good luck guys!!!!
