I can see both sides, but I think Cotto is too damaged at this point to handle Manny's speed. Cotto is accurate, but not as much so as Marquez, and he isn't as great a counter-puncher.
Marquez made Manny hesitate to throw every punch because Marquez was so incredibly accurate and his timing was superior. I don't think Cotto the same advantage. Marquez was a reasonbly big hitter and Pac was arguably weight-drained, but Pac never dropped despite being badly wobbled a few times. I thought Marquez won both fights, but Cotto presents a more favourable matchup stylistically.
I took Pac rd 1 and 1-3 in case it doesnt last, but my big bets will be live, most likely Pac KO. I can understand Cotto bets, and I like bets on both guys 1-6, though I think Cotto's chin is more fragile despite the supposed size difference. Clottey had him looking like a bobblehead.
Pac by KO to me is the most likely outcome easily, and the bet I'd make pre-fight.
I also like crow's mention of the two KD and win props, I took them as well.