Cnotes 2018 - 2019 NBA Thru The Playoffs-Picks/Trends/News !

Cnotes53

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Thursday?s 6-pack

Odds for the Honda Classic this week:

5-1? Justin Thomas

10-1? Rickie Fowler, Brooks Koepka

16-1? Sergio Garcia, Adam Scott

18-1? Gary Woodland

20-1? Webb Simpson, Cameron Smith

33-1? Daniel Berger, Emiliano Grillo, Luke List

Quote of the Day

?I guess he cooked some chicken and didn?t know how to cook or something. He was throwing up all night. So we?re going to have to teach him how to cook so he doesn?t miss any more games.?
Mets? manager Mickey Callaway, on OF Brandon Nimmo

Thursday?s quiz

Which two NBA teams has Eric Musselman coached?

Wednesday?s quiz
Buzz Williams is the basketball coach at Virginia Tech; he left Marquette to coach in Blacksburg.

Tuesday?s quiz
Max Scherzer broke into the major leagues with the Diamondbacks.

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Thursday?s List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud?..

13) Here?s a question for us to consider; if Zion Williamson doesn?t play anymore this season. where do you seed Duke in the NCAA?s? How good are the Blue Devils without him?

I don?t have an answer to this, other than if he is indeed out for the year, Duke won?t say so before Selection Sunday, because that would diminish their seeding, maybe a couple of lines?

12) Virginia Tech 77, Duke 72? There is a kid on Duke who has missed 28 3-pointers in a row, and his 3-point %age (26.5%) is still better than Duke?s PG, Tre Jones (24.6%). Blue Devils are shooting 29.6% on the arc in conference games, 30.7% for the season.

11) Philadelphia Eagles are not franchise-tagging QB Nick Foles; he will be become a free agent, and I?m guessing a really highly sought-after one.

10) Villanova 67, Marquette 61? Two best teams in Big East hooked up here; chances are they?ll meet again on March 16, in Big East tournament final. Kid named Samuels on Villanova was averaging four points a game; he had 29 points in this one.

9) Tennessee 73, Ole Miss 71? Vols are tied with Kentucky/LSU atop the SEC; they host the Wildcats in Knoxville Saturday.

8) Baylor 84, Texas 83 OT? Horrific loss for Longhorns, who led by 19 with 14:56 left to play; leading 83-82, they turned ball over on an inbounds play with 0:07 left. Not good.

7) Trailblazers 97, Celtics 92? Boston is 1-8 vs spread if they played the night before.

6) West Virginia 104, TCU 96, 3OT? These teams battled it out for 55:00 Tuesday night and the Horned Frogs went home with a costly loss. West Virginia is having a lousy season but Derek Culver is developing into a pretty good player- he had 22 points, 21 rebounds in this game.

5) Iowa basketball coach Fran McCaffery got suspended for two games after he berated a ref after the Hawkeyes? 90-70 loss at Ohio State Tuesday. If you?re going to berate a ref and curse him out multiple times, better not to do it where media people can hear you.

4) Was wondering about this today so I looked it up; Wayne Gretzky is the NHL?s all-time leader in empty net goals, with 56.

Marion Hossa is 2nd on this list, with 40, followed by Mario Lemieux and Alex Ovechkin, with 33 each.

3) Heat 126, Warriors 125? Dwyane Wade banked in the game-winning 3-pointer at the buzzer after his first shot was blocked. Miami is a half-game out of the last playoff spot in the East.

2) On Tuesday, Mets? OF Brandon Nimmo ate undercooked chicken that he cooked himself and got sick- the team sent him home from their game on Wednesday. Mets? plan to teach him how to cook. Ordering out would also seem to be a good idea.

Oy.

1) 80-year old Bobby Knoop retired this week as a coach/instructor with the Angels; he was in baseball for 53 years, playing nine years in the major leagues, mostly in Anaheim. He made one All-Star Game and won three Golden Gloves.

Why bring this up? Because when I was a kid playing in Little League, a long, long time ago, I used a baseball glove signed by Bobby Knoop. I sucked at baseball, but wasn?t a bad fielder at least, and that glove was awesome. So thank you Bobby Knoop, and enjoy your retirement!!!
 

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Long Sheet

Thursday, February 28


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MINNESOTA (29 - 32) at INDIANA (40 - 22) - 2/28/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 380-443 ATS (-107.3 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 69-98 ATS (-38.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
INDIANA is 83-66 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 174-136 ATS (+24.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
INDIANA is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 55-40 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (43 - 18) at ORLANDO (28 - 34) - 2/28/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 25-35 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-32 ATS (-12.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (14 - 47) at NEW YORK (13 - 48) - 2/28/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 68-94 ATS (-35.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 44-62 ATS (-24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (27 - 33) at HOUSTON (36 - 25) - 2/28/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
MIAMI is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 152-116 ATS (+24.4 Units) in February games since 1996.
MIAMI is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents this season.
MIAMI is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (34 - 26) at DENVER (42 - 18) - 2/28/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DENVER is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
UTAH is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 51-33 ATS (+14.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-5 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (39 - 22) at OKLAHOMA CITY (38 - 22) - 2/28/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 130-104 ATS (+15.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 156-120 ATS (+24.0 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-30 ATS (+19.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-33 ATS (+14.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 73-53 ATS (+14.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 68-47 ATS (+16.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 51-65 ATS (-20.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

Cnotes53

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Thursday, February 28


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Trend Report
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Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Minnesota's last 23 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Indiana
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Minnesota is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Indiana is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Indiana's last 23 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Indiana is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 11 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Golden State is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games
Golden State is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Golden State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State's last 12 games on the road
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Golden State is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 10 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando Magic
Orlando is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Orlando is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Orlando is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
Orlando is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Golden State
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing at home against Golden State

Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Cleveland is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing New York
Cleveland is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing New York
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Cleveland's last 21 games when playing on the road against New York
New York Knicks
New York is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games
New York is 3-19 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New York's last 16 games
New York is 5-14-1 ATS in its last 20 games at home
New York is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 11 games at home
New York is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Cleveland
New York is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing Cleveland
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 14 of New York's last 21 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Miami Heat
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 13 games on the road
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Miami is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games when playing Houston
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston Rockets
Houston is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Houston is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games when playing Miami
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing at home against Miami

Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 12 games when playing Oklahoma City
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Oklahoma City's last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games at home
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 12 games when playing Philadelphia
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Utah Jazz
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Utah is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 10 games
Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
Utah is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Utah's last 15 games when playing Denver
Utah is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver Nuggets
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
Denver is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 11 games at home
Denver is 7-13-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Utah
Denver is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Denver's last 15 games when playing Utah
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 28


Minnesota won four of its last six games; Wolves are 5-3 vs spread if they played night before, 3-1 in last four road games. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Pacers are 2-3 in their last five games; they?re 5-1 vs spread in last six home games. Over is 3-1 in their last four games. Indiana is 8-2 if it played night before. Road team won seven of last nine Minnesota-Indiana games; Timberwolves covered their last four trips to Indiana. Four of last six series games stayed under.

Golden State lost three of its last five games; they?re 1-3 vs spread in last four road games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Warriors are 3-5 vs spread if they played night before. Magic won six of its last eight games; they?re 8-10 as a home underdog this year. Orlando?s last three home games went over. Golden State won its last ten games with the Magic, covering last four visits to Orlando (over 3-1); road team covered eight of last ten series games.

Cavaliers are 3-2 in their last five games; they?re 2-8 vs spread in last ten road games. Four of their last five games went over New York won three of its last four games after an 0-18 skid; they?re 3-2 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 13-5 in their last 18 games. Knicks lost eight of last ten games with Cleveland; three of last four series games went over the total. Cavaliers covered three of their last four visits to Manhattan.

Miami lost nine of its last 12 games; they?re 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games. Under is 12-7 in their last 19 games. Heat is 4-2 vs spread on road if they played night before. Rockets won their last three games; they covered one of last seven home games. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Houston is 3-4 vs spread if it played night before. Miami/Houston split their last ten games; Heat covered four of last five. Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Jazz won four of their last six games; they?re 5-1 vs spread in last six road games. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Nuggets won their last five games (4-1 vs spread); they covered eight of their last nine home games. Under is 5-0-1 in their last six games. Home side won last ten Utah-Denver games; Jazz are 0-4 vs spread in last four visits to Denver. Eight of last ten series games stayed under.

Embiid is still out for Philly. 76ers won five of their last seven games; they?re 4-1 vs spread in last five road games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Oklahoma City lost three of its last four games; they?re 5-3 vs spread in last eight home games. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Philly lost its last ten games with the Thunder (under 7-3); they?re 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Oklahoma.
 

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Inside the Paint - Thursday
Chris David

Dogs Strike Back

After watching the favorites go 11-3 straight up and 9-5 against the spread on Monday and Tuesday, the underdogs stormed back Wednesday with a 6-5 SU and 9-1-1 ATS mark. The Heat led the charge with a stunning 126-125 win over Golden State as a 9 ?-point home underdog. While Miami was certainly the right side as it led throughout the game, any bettors taking them on the money-line at 4/1 (Bet $100 to win $400) have watched the below clip a few times.

The Heat weren?t the only team snapping their losing skid last night. The Spurs got on track with a 105-93 win over Detroit as a 4 ?-point home favorite and San Antonio was the only ?chalk? to cash on Wednesday.

We did see all three late-night favorites win outright last night but the underdogs saved face against the spread and that?s been a common theme lately. Since we returned from the All-Star break last Thursday, favorites have gone 34-21 SU while underdogs are 33-21-1 ATS. The totals market has leaned slightly to the ?over? (28-27) during this span and that includes a 6-5 lean to the high side last night.

Back-to-Back Spots

Six teams will be playing on no rest Wednesday and I?ve listed their production (SU, ATS, O/U) when facing back-to-back spots along with trends to watch as well.

Minnesota (2-6 SU, 5-3 ATS, 4-4 O/U) at Indiana (8-3 SU, 8-3 ATS, 4-7 O/U):
Both clubs coming off losses last night as the Timberwolves collapsed late at Atlanta in overtime while Indiana also came up short in a 110-101 loss at Dallas. The Timberwolves have covered four straight games on no rest despite going 1-3 straight up. The Pacers have been a great look in back-to-back spots and even better at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, going 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS on no rest. Minnesota has won and covered three of the last four meetings in this series, including a 101-91 win as a two-point home favorite on Oct. 22, 2018.

Golden State (6-2 SU, 2-5-1 ATS, 5-3 O/U) at Orlando:
The Warriors got caught napping in Miami last night and are now listed as road favorites (-6) in this spot. Golden State is 0-5-1 ATS in its last six games on no rest despite going 4-2 straight up. The Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games and could easily be 0-8 if the Hornets show up for the second-half of their encounter this past Monday. Orlando played down to its competition again on Tuesday as it lost to the Knicks 108-103 as 7 ?-point road favorites. However, the Magic are 3-0 both SU and ATS in its last three as an underdog which includes last Sunday's win at Toronto.

Miami (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS, 5-3 O/U) at Houston (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS, 5-3 O/U):
The Heat haven?t faced many back-to-back sets this season and only two in February, both decisions were losses and the ?under? cashed in each contest as well. Houston has won and covered three of its last four games on no rest, all three wins came by double digits. Coincidentally, the lone loss came to the Heat as the Rockets dropped a 101-99 setback as three-point road favorites on Dec. 20. Oddsmakers expecting Houston (-9) to get revenge here but bettors could be hesitant to lay the points knowing the Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last eight at the Toyota Center.

Utah (5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS, 7-3 O/U) at Denver:
The Jazz have been hit or miss on no rest this season but they have won three of their last four games. The ?over? has cashed in the past four contests.

Break up the Knicks!?

New York (13-48 SU, 26-34 ATS) will host Cleveland (14-47 SU, 27-33 ATS) tonight as a short home favorite (-3). The Knicks will be looking to win their third straight game on Wednesday after stunning the Spurs on Sunday and Magic on Tuesday from Madison Square Garden as underdogs. Going from hunter to hunted is never easy in any sport and New York hasn?t been a favorite since December. Overall, the Knicks are 3-5 both SU and ATS as a ?chalk? and they?ve lost their last four games in this role. New York?s longest winning streak this season was three games, which ended on Nov. 28. For what it?s worth, the Cavaliers are 2-0 both SU and ATS versus the Knicks this season, both wins coming in Cleveland.

TNT Action

Philadelphia (39-22 SU, 28-33 ATS) at Oklahoma City (38-22 SU, 33-27 ATS)


This game loses a little luster as the 76ers still won?t have All-Star Joel Embiid (knee) available and his mini-rivalry with Thunder point guard Russell Westbrook always provides added entertainment. VegasInsider.com NBA expert Tony Mejia offered up his thoughts on the televised non-conference matchup, which begins at 8:05 p.m. ET.

He said, ?The 76ers are likely going to employ a small-ball approach with Joel Embiid and the newly acquired Boban Marjanovic sidelined. It will be interesting to see if the lack of a back-to-the-basket threat limits Steven Adams? effectiveness for the Thunder, but the rebounding prowess of Russell Westbrook and Paul George make the Thunder a dangerous team to try and play position-less basketball against. Embiid had 31 points in Philly?s 117-115 loss when these teams played on Jan. 19. Tobias Harris was still with the Clippers when these teams met in Philly, but he?ll be critical in attempting to put a halt to the 19-game losing streak the 76ers are on against Oklahoma City.?

?The 76ers have dropped nine straight at Chesapeake Energy Arena and will need Harris and J.J. Redick to shoot the ball well from beyond the arc in order to have the firepower to hang around here. Rookie Jonah Bolden, veteran Amir Johnson and center Justin Patton, who has gotten in just one game his entire career, will attempt to hold their own against Adams and Nerlens Noel, who have been an extremely effective combination. Markieff Morris should also see time and could be the x-factor since he might be in line for more minutes with Philly lacking a traditional center. At home, not having to deal with Embid or Marjanovic certainly favors OKC and a faster pace given the lack of resistance inside. Although Embiid gets to the free-throw line at a high rate to aid ?overs,? his defense is a major factor that the 76ers are having a tough time replicating. Portland scored 130 points without him in the mix on Saturday night.?

The Thunder have gone 14-5 ATS during their 19-game winning streak over the 76ers and they?re laying 7 ?-points in this matchup. Philadelphia has alternated wins and losses in their last six games as underdogs and the team is 7-9 both SU and ATS this season when catching points. Make a note that the point-spread hasn?t mattered in any of those 16 contests so if you?re leaning Philadelphia, perhaps a money-line play at 5/2 odds could intrigue you.

This game has the highest total on the board at 239. OKC has watched the ?over? go 18-11 at home this season. Both teams have watched the ?under? go 2-1 in their games since the All-Star break.

Utah (34-26 SU, 31-27 ATS) at Denver (42-18 SU, 33-27 ATS)

The Nuggets come into this game with a five-game winning streak and three of those wins have occurred after the All-Star break. Denver has gone 3-0 ATS in those victories and that includes an impressive 121-112 victory over the Thunder on Tuesday.

For this matchup, the Nuggets opened as five-point home favorites and the number has been pushed up to -7 as of Thursday morning. Denver has been a tough out at the Pepsi Center this season, owning a league-best 27-4 record. More importantly, the Nuggets have gone 22-9 ATS for bettors. They?ve won 19 of their last 20 in Colorado and that includes a run of nine straight wins. During the current home winning streak, the club is 8-1 ATS.

As noted above, the Jazz are playing with no rest and their numbers are pedestrian in back-to-back spots. Utah has gone 2-1 both SU and ATS since the break and the lone loss was a heartbreaker, a 148-147 setback at Oklahoma City in overtime.

The Jazz haven?t been that strong on the road (14-16) this season but they?ve managed to churn out slight profits at the betting counter (15-13-1 ATS). In their last six games as visitors, they?re 2-4 SU and 4-2 ATS.

The pair split the first two meetings this season and the home team won and covered both contests. These teams are only schedule to play three times so this encounter will be the last matchup between them. Denver stopped Utah 103-88 on Nov. 3 as a 4 ?-point favorite from the Pepsi Center. Including that win, the Nuggets have won and covered five straight at home against the Jazz. The ?under? has cashed in all five of those games.

TNT will provide national coverage of this game at 10:35 p.m. ET.
 

Cnotes53

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Hoop Trends - Thursday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Pacers are 13-0 ATS (+10.08 ppg) as a favorite with less than two days rest when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Cavaliers are 0-16 ATS (-8.59 ppg) on the road with rest off a double-digit loss as a dog in which they scored fewer than ten fast break points.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Timberwolves are 15-0 OU (+13.67 ppg) as a dog with less than two days rest when they are facing a team that is averaging less than 20 fouls per game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Magic are 0-14 OU (-10.93 ppg) at home off a loss when they lost at least three straight vs their opponent.
 

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Dunkel

Thursday, February 28



Philadelphia @ Oklahoma City

Game 539-540
February 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
118.376
Oklahoma City
119.185
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 1
234
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 7 1/2
240 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+7 1/2); Under

Utah @ Denver


Game 537-538
February 28, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
125.799
Denver
124.969
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 1
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 7
225
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+7); Under

Miami @ Houston


Game 535-536
February 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
111.695
Houston
123.006
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 9 1/2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-9 1/2); Under

Cleveland @ New York


Game 533-534
February 28, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
109.869
New York
114.817
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 5
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 3
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-3); Under

Golden State @ Orlando


Game 531-532
February 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
120.729
Orlando
125.942
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 5
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 6 1/2
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+6 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ Indiana


Game 529-530
February 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
115.905
Indiana
113.736
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 3 1/2
221 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+3 1/2); Over
 

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THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 28
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


MIN at IND 07:00 PM
IND -3.0
U 220.5

GS at ORL 07:00 PM
GS -4.5
O 225.5


CLE at NY 07:30 PM
NY -2.0
O 219.0

PHI at OKC 08:00 PM
PHI +4.0
O 239.0

MIA at HOU 08:00 PM
MIA +9.5
U 220.0

UTA at DEN 10:30 PM
DEN -7.0
O 225.0
 

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Gordon has 22 points, Magic rally to beat Warriors 103-96
February 28, 2019
By The Associated Press


HOUSTON (AP) James Harden had 58 points, 10 assists and seven rebounds and the Houston Rockets overcame a 21-point third-quarter deficit to beat the Miami Heat 121-118 on Thursday night.

Harden made 8 of 18 3-pointers and was 16 of 32 overall from the field and 18 of 18 on free throws. He fell three points short of his career high set at New York on Jan. 23, and had the most point ever against the Heat - breaking Willie Burton's mark of 53 for Philadelphia on Dec. 13, 1994.

Austin Rivers scored 17 points, and Chris Paul and Gary Clark each had 14 to help Houston win its fourth straight game. The Rockets shot 49 percent, including 19 of 46 on 3-pointers.

Kelly Olynyk and Goran Dragic each had 21 points for Miami, Justise Winslow added 19 points and eight assists, and Josh Richardson had 18 points. The Heat shot 52 percent, making 15 of 28 3-pointers.

Miami was coming off a home victory over Golden State on Wednesday night on Dwyane Wade's banked 3-pointer at the buzzer. Houston played at Charlotte on Wednesday night.

76ERS 108, THUNDER 104

OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) - Tobias Harris scored 32 points and Ben Simmons had a triple-double to help Philadelphia beat Oklahoma City.

Harris had his highest point total in eight games with Philadelphia since coming off in a trade with the Los Angeles Clippers. Simmons had 11 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists for his ninth triple-double of the season.

Star center Joel Embiid missed his fourth straight game because of left knee soreness.

Russell Westbrook had his 25th triple-double of the season for Oklahoma City, finishing with 23 points, 11 rebounds and 11 assists. Thunder forward Paul George sat out with soreness in his right shoulder.

MAGIC 103, WARRIORS 96

ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) - Aaron Gordon had 22 points and 15 rebounds, Terrence Ross added 16 points and Orlando rallied in the final three minutes to beat Golden State.

A night after they were stunned in Miami by Dwyane Wade's buzzer-beater, the Warriors blew an 11-point lead in the fourth quarter and lost for the fourth time in six games.

D.J. Augustin scored 14 points and Nikola Vucevic had 12 points and 13 rebounds to help Orlando end an 11-game losing streak to the Warriors. Orlando's last win over Golden State was on Dec. 14, 2012.

Stephen Curry scored 33 points, but was only 1 for 6 in the fourth quarter. Klay Thompson and DeMarcus Cousins each had 21 for the Warriors. They played without Kevin Durant (rest) and Andre Iguodala (sick).

JAZZ 111, NUGGETS 104


DENVER (AP) - Donovan Mitchell scored 24 points, including six in the final two minutes, and short-handed Utah ended Denver's nine-game home win streak.

Kyle Korver added 22 as the Jazz showed plenty of energy despite playing on the second night of a back-to-back and with two of their guards out of the lineup. Utah led by as many as 18 points in the third quarter, only to see the lead trimmed to five with 8:41 remaining. Korver helped the Jazz on a 13-0 run to gain some separation and send them to their third straight victory.

Jamal Murray and Will Barton each had 21 points for Denver. All-Star big man Nikola Jokic dealt with foul trouble but still finished with 16 points, 13 rebounds and seven assists.

PACERS 122, TIMBERWOLVES 115

INDIANAPOLIS (AP) - Bojan Bogdanovic scored a season-high 35 points and Indiana overcame Karl-Anthony Towns' big night for Minnesota.

Towns had 42 points and 17 rebounds, scoring 23 points and grabbing seven rebounds in the first quarter.

Tied at 107, the Pacers closed with a 15-8 run, with Bogdanovic scoring 11 points.

CAVALIERS 125, KNICKS 118


NEW YORK (AP) - Kevin Love scored 26 points, Jordan Clarkson and Collin Sexton each had 22 and Cleveland overcame a 14-point deficit in the fourth quarter to beat New York.

Allonzo Trier scored 22 points for the Knicks.
 

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SCHEDULE FOR FRIDAY MARCH 1, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:35 PM Charlotte Hornets Brooklyn Nets Barclays Center
7:35 PM Chicago Bulls Atlanta Hawks State Farm Arena
8:05 PM Portland Trail Blazers Toronto Raptors Scotiabank Arena
8:05 PM Washington Wizards Boston Celtics TD Garden
9:05 PM New Orleans Pelicans Phoenix Suns Talking Stick Resort Arena
10:05 PM Los Angeles Clippers Sacramento Kings Golden 1 Center
10:35 PM Milwaukee Bucks Los Angeles Lakers Staples Center


********************************


NBA FEB. RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

02/28/2019 4-8-0 33.33% -24.00
02/27/2019 10-12-0 45.45% -16.00
02/26/2019 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
02/25/2019 8-13-1 38.10% -31.50
02/24/2019 4-2-0 66.67% +9.00
02/23/2019 10-9-1 52.63% +0.50
02/22/2019 8-9-0 47.06% -9.50
02/21/2019 6-6-0 50.00% -3.00
02/14/2019 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
02/13/2019 13-8-1 61.90% +21.00
02/12/2019 4-6-0 40.00% -13.00
02/11/2019 10-8-0 55.56% +6.00
02/10/2019 4-6-0 40.00% -13.00
02/09/2019 11-6-0 64.71% +22.00
02/08/2019 6-10-0 37.50% -25.00
02/07/2019 6-6-0 50.00% -3.00
02/06/2019 5-9-0 35.71% -24.50
02/05/2019 7-9-0 43.75% -14.50
02/04/2019 7-5-0 58.33% +7.50
02/03/2019 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
02/02/2019 11-12-1 47.83% -11.00
02/01/2019 5-4-0 55.56% +3.00


Totals............148-156-1......48.68%......-134.00

******************************


BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS

02/28/2019...............2 - 2....................-1.00....................1 - 3.................-11.50............-12.50
02/27/2019...............4 - 2....................+9.00...................3 - 5.................-12.50............-3.50
02/26/2019...............1 - 2...................-6.00.....................1 - 2..................-6.00.............-12.00
02/25/2019...............2 - 3....................-6.50....................3 - 4..................-7.00.............-13.50
02/24/2019...............2 - 1....................+4.50...................2 - 1..................+4.50...........+9.00
02/23/2019...............5 - 1....................+19.50.................3 - 3.................-1.50..............+18.00
02/22/2019...............4 - 2....................+9.00...................3 - 6................-18.00.............-9.00
02/21/2019...............3 - 1....................+9.50...................1 - 5................-22.50.............-13.00
02/14/2019...............1 - 2....................-6.00....................2 - 1................+4.50..............-1.50
02/13/2019...............4 - 1...................+14.50..................5 - 4................+3.00.............+17.50
02/12/2019...............0 - 3...................-16.50...................2 - 3.................-6.50...............-23.00
02/11/2019...............2 - 4...................-12.00...................5 - 2.................+19.00............+7.00
02/10/2019...............1 - 3...................-11.50...................2 - 3.................-6.50...............-18.00
02/09/2019...............4 - 4...................-2.00.....................6 - 2................+19.00............+17.00
02/08/2019...............2 - 3...................-6.50.....................3 - 3.................-1.50...............-8.00
02/07/2019...............2 - 2...................-1.00.....................3 - 2.................+4.00..............+3.00
02/06/2019...............2 - 4...................-12.00...................2 - 4.................-12.00..............-24.00
02/05/2019...............3 - 2..................+4.00.....................3 - 3.................-1.50...............+2.50
02/04/2019...............1 - 1...................-1.00.....................3 - 2.................+4.00..............+3.00
02/03/2019...............1 - 1...................-1.00.....................2 - 1.................+4.50..............+3.50
02/02/2019...............4 - 3...................+3.50....................5 - 5.................-2.50...............+1.00
02/01/2019...............2 - 1...................+4.50....................1 - 3.................-11.50..............-7.00


Totals.....................51 - 47.................-5.00...................61 - 67...............-58.50..............-63.50
 

Cnotes53

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Friday?s 6-pack

? Magic 103, Warriors 96? Golden State lost four of its last six games.

? Green Bay 70, Wright State 67? Raiders fall into a tie for first atop the Horizon.

? Stanford 98, Washington State 50? Cardinal led 52-15 at halftime. Oy.

? Wichita State 65, UConn 63? Shockers hit corner jumper at the buzzer.

? 76ers 108, Thunder 104? Philly had lost 19 in a row to the Thunder.

? UCLA 93, USC 88 OT? In their last two games, Trojans are 1-13 on the foul line. They made 19-49 on the arc on this game; those two stats do not go together.

Quote of the Day
?You would show up and they really feed you and you play pickup and they feed you again and you leave.?
Purdue coach Matt Painter, a basketball-playing extra in the movie Blue Chips, in 1993

Friday?s quiz
Where did Jason Witten play his college football?

Thursday?s quiz
Eric Musselman used to coach Sacramento and Golden State in the NBA.

Wednesday?s quiz
Buzz Williams is the basketball coach at Virginia Tech; he left Marquette to coach in Blacksburg.



***************************************


Friday?s List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here?..

13) Bryce Harper signs with the Phillies for 13 years, $330M, which works out to $156,695.16 per game, for every game the Phillies play thru 2031. All guaranteed money.

Keep in mind the National League will probably have the DH starting in 2022, so as Harper gets older, he can take ?days off? but still have his bat in the lineup.

California?s state income tax, at its highest level is over 12%, Pennsylvania has a flat 3% income tax, which may help explain this decision. Giants made a 12-year, $310 million offer, which was actually a decent amount less than the Phillies? offer, after taxes.

12) MLB Network was showing spring training games Thursday afternoon, but the games quickly got the hook once Harper?s signing was announced. Not sure I needed to hear four hours of people discussing Harper signing his contract. I don?t give a rat?s ass about anything Bob Costas says.

If you play fantasy baseball, not the best day to have Nick Williams on your team, like I do. The 25-year old OF loses his starting job now that Harper is in Philly.

Funny thing, Phillies played split squad games Thursday, and Williams wasn?t in either game, which at 1pm struck me as odd. At 3:00, it made a lot more sense.

Please trade Nick Williams!!!!! (Baltimore, Miami, Arizona???)

11) Jason Witten came out of retirement and will play for the Cowboys again next season, which opens up a spot in ESPN?s Monday Night Football booth.

10) Tommy John missed the 1975 season after he had the original ?Tommy John surgery? on his elbow. Here are his career stats, before and after the surgery:

Before: 12 years, 124-106. 318 starts, one All-Star Game
After: 14 years, 164-125, 382 starts, three All-Star Games

He pitched in the major leagues until he was 46 years old.

9) Kyler Murray made a lot of money at the NFL Combine Thursday, when he was measured at just over 5-10, and weighed in at 207 pounds. Pretty much the same size as Russell Wilson. he is going to be a top-10 draft pick in April.

8) Raiders are now expected to play home games in Oakland next season, with the plan being to move into their new dome in Las Vegas in 2020.

7) Upsets of the night in college basketball:
? California (+13.5) 76, Washington 73
? North Dakota (+9.5) 88, Fort Wayne 82
? Florida Atlantic (+9) 60, North Texas
? Elon (+7.5) 73, James Madison 58
? Marshall (+7) 90, Louisiana Tech 79
? Xavier (+5) 84, St John?s 73

6) If you live in the Albany area, the 3rd-oldest coin/jewelry store in America is on Wolf Road in Colonie, kind of near Ted?s Fish Fry. Ferris Coin & Jewelry is a pretty cool place; they?ve been in business since 1930. I have some old $2 bills that I thought might be valuable (they?re not), but the people in there were very nice and they answered all my questions.

5) Actor Mahershala Ali, who won an Academy Award for the movie Green Book last weekend, played basketball in college at Saint Mary?s; he averaged 7 points a game as a senior, back when he was known as Ali Gilmore.

4) Something to think about two weeks from now: over last four years, Kentucky is 12-0 in the SEC basketball tournament, with nine wins by 10+ points.

In the four tournament finals, Wildcats started 19 different players. Isaiah Briscoe was only guy to start in two of them.

3) Johnny Manziel got kicked out of the CFL; they didn?t say why. Manziel had been playing for the Montreal Alouettes, who are coached by former Packers? coach Mike Sherman. Sherman?s son-in-law is Zac Taylor, the Cincinnati Bengals? new coach.

2) Kid on Xavier made a foul line jumper against St John?s last night, and it dawned on me; you almost never see that shot taken anymore. Everything is layups and 3?s; mid-range jumpers are frowned upon by the analytics people.

1) Indiana University (PA) started the last week of the regular season ranked No. 2 in the country in Division II, but when they showed up at Edinboro State for their game Wednesday, they realized they had made the 100+-mile trip without an important thing- their uniforms.

I put myself thru college as student manager of a D-III basketball team; I shudder to think of the grief their manager(s) took for this mistake. IUP won 87-59, much to the manager?(s) relief, but guaranteed they?ll be obsessive about not forgetting things the rest of the season.

Indiana, PA by the way, is the Christmas Tree Capital of the World; when I was in college, we played in their Christmas tournament, the Christmas Tree Classic. Next town over from Indiana is Punxatawney, where the ground hog sees (or doesn?t see) his shadow every February 2.
 

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TO THOSE WHO VISIT MY THREAD HERE, HOOPS, AND MLB I'LL BE GONE THE NEXT 10 DAYS CARING FOR MY BROTHER GOING THRU CANCER TREATMENTS. i'LL POST WHEN TIME PERMITS IN THE MEAN TIME MY BUDDY UDOG WILL BE POSTING TRENDS, NEWS AND ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT THE DAYS GAMES.

GOOD LUCK TO ALL AND SEE YOU WHEN AM BACK .......:toast:
 

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Dunkel

Friday, March 1



Milwaukee @ LA Lakers

Game 553-554
March 1, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
125.934
LA Lakers
112.736
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 13
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 4 1/2
236
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-4 1/2); Under

LA Clippers @ Sacramento


Game 551-552
March 1, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
117.705
Sacramento
116.109
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 1 1/2
232
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 3 1/2
239 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+3 1/2); Under

New Orleans @ Phoenix


Game 549-550
March 1, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
105.758
Phoenix
105.174
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 1
245
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 4 1/2
237 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+4 1/2); Over

Washington @ Boston


Game 547-548
March 1, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
115.871
Boston
117.981
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 2
236
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 9
230 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+9); Over

Portland @ Toronto


Game 541-542
March 1, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
114.157
Toronto
122.169
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 8
234
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 5
225
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-5); Over

Charlotte @ Brooklyn


Game 545-546
March 1, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
115.350
Brooklyn
114.057
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 1 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 3 1/2
228
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+3 1/2); Under

Chicago @ Atlanta


Game 543-544
March 1, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
108.976
Atlanta
113.756
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 5
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 2 1/2
230 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-2 1/2); Under
 

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Long Sheet

Friday, March 1


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (38 - 23) at TORONTO (45 - 17) - 3/1/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 35-26 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
PORTLAND is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
PORTLAND is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PORTLAND is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 205-257 ATS (-77.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (17 - 45) at ATLANTA (21 - 41) - 3/1/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (28 - 33) at BROOKLYN (32 - 31) - 3/1/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 61-76 ATS (-22.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 47-67 ATS (-26.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 81-63 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BROOKLYN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 7-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 6-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (25 - 36) at BOSTON (37 - 25) - 3/1/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
WASHINGTON is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 137-174 ATS (-54.4 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 90-68 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 176-139 ATS (+23.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
BOSTON is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 62-44 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 10-6 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-8 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
12 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (27 - 36) at PHOENIX (12 - 50) - 3/1/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) on Friday nights this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 83-69 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 26-36 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHOENIX is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
PHOENIX is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 7-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (34 - 29) at SACRAMENTO (31 - 30) - 3/1/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 225-285 ATS (-88.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
SACRAMENTO is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
SACRAMENTO is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Friday nights this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 52-36 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 8-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 10-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (47 - 14) at LA LAKERS (30 - 31) - 3/1/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 385-465 ATS (-126.5 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 278-334 ATS (-89.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 64-110 ATS (-57.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
MILWAUKEE is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 57-33 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 145-186 ATS (-59.6 Units) in March games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 1


Portland won its last five games, were underdog in three of them; Blazers are 6-2 vs spread in last eight road games. Over is 8-3-1 in their last dozen games. Toronto won eight of its last nine games; they?re 4-7 vs spread in last 11 home games. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Blazers lost six of last seven games with Toronto; they?re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Canada. Six of last eight series games went over.

Chicago won four of its last five games; they covered six of last eight road games. Eight of their last ten games went over. Hawks split their last six games; they?re 4-1 vs spread in last five home games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Bulls won five of their last six games with the Hawks; they?re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Atlanta. Four of last five series games stayed under the total.

Hornets lost seven of their last nine games; they?re 1-4 vs spread in last five road games. Four of their last five games went over. Brooklyn split its last eight games; they?re 2-6-1 vs spread in last nine home games. Six of their last eight games went over. Hornets are 5-3 in their last eight games with the Nets; they?re 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Brooklyn. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Washington lost four of its last five games; they?re 2-5 vs spread in last five road games. Wizards? last ten games went over the total. Boston lost six of its last eight games; they?re 1-3 vs spread in last four home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Road team won four of last five Wizard-Celtic games; Washington is 1-3 vs spread in its last four visits to Boston. Eight of last nine series games went over.

Pelicans lost four of their last six games; they?re 0-3 vs spread in last three road games. Four of their last five games went over. Phoenix lost 17 of its last 18 games; they?re 1-3-1 vs spread in last five home games. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. New Orleans won its last seven games with the Suns; they covered their last four trips to the desert. Four of last six series tilts stayed under the total.

Clippers are 4-3 in their last seven games; they?re 6-4-1 vs spread in last 11 road games. Five of their last seven games went over the total. Sacramento lost four of its last five games; they?re 11-1 vs spread in last dozen home games. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Clippers won their last eight games with the Kings; they?re 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to Sacramento. Over is 5-0-1 in last six series games.

Bucks won 12 of their last 13 games; they?re 0-2-1 vs spread in last three road games. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Lakers lost six of their last nine games; they?re 4-1 vs spread in last five games at Staples. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Milwaukee won four of its last five games with the Lakers; they?re 2-3 vs spread in last five series games played here. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.
 

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Friday, March 1


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Trend Report
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Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Brooklyn
Charlotte is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Brooklyn
Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Charlotte is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games
Brooklyn is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Brooklyn is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Brooklyn is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Charlotte
Brooklyn is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Charlotte
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Brooklyn is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Portland's last 13 games
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
Portland is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Toronto
Portland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games when playing Toronto
Portland is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games at home
Toronto is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Portland
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Portland
Toronto is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Portland
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

Washington Wizards
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Washington is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Boston
Washington is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
Washington is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Celtics
Boston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games at home
Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Washington
Boston is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Washington
Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 1-17 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games at home
Phoenix is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Phoenix is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Phoenix is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games
LA Clippers is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
LA Clippers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Clippers's last 16 games on the road
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
LA Clippers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 9 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Sacramento's last 22 games
Sacramento is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Sacramento is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Sacramento's last 11 games at home
Sacramento is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Sacramento is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games
Milwaukee is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Milwaukee's last 22 games on the road
Milwaukee is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Lakers
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Milwaukee is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Lakers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
LA Lakers is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home
LA Lakers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
LA Lakers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
LA Lakers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
LA Lakers is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee


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Friday's Essentials
Tony Mejia

Game of the Night - Portland at Toronto (-5, 226.5), 8:05 ET, ESPN

The Trail Blazers are the team we choose to overlook.

Maybe it?s because they?re tucked in the Pacific Northwest and they seemingly operate in stealth mode due to the shadow cast by the Warriors, Nuggets, Thunder and Rockets, but the five-game winning streak they?ve put together now has them even with OKC behind conference leaders Golden State and Denver. No one has a longer run going entering Friday night?s action. The five-game surge has seen them cover every game, opening with a 129-107 rout of the Warriors just before the All-Star break and featuring a perfect run on the road through Eastern Conference competition.

Portland posted double-digit routs in Brooklyn, Philadelphia and Cleveland before compounding Boston?s misfortune with Wednesday night?s 97-92 victory. Its? seven-game trip continues in Canada tonight before stops in Charlotte and Memphis on Sunday and Tuesday. If the Blazers handle business as an underdog for the fourth time on their current run, they?ll be favored to complete a perfect road on the run and will be the talk of the NBA entering next Thursday?s nationally-televised home date against Oklahoma City.

The Trail Blazers are making themselves impossible to overlook.

They should already have wanted posters splattered throughout post offices in East cities given their 18-4 record against the conference. Considering there?s more depth at the top than there?s been in years, that?s impressive. If they sweep the Atlantic Division-leading Raptors, they?ll win a sixth straight contest for the first time since capturing 13 wins in a row between Feb. 14-March 18, similarly starting the streak just before the All-Star break and coming out of it with 12 consecutive conquests. The difference is that they were at home for nine of those wins, but it is a reminder we were having conversations about how seriously to take Portland last March and it wound up swept out of the first-round by a Pelicans team they couldn?t match up with.

The Blazers have added another quality offensive center in Enes Kanter and also just added Rodney Hood to try and strengthen the bench, but they?re largely the same group. Forward Jake Layman has taken a step forward. Moe Harkless has been an x-factor since getting healthy during this run after having knee surgery last March, coming up with a season-high 17 points and 10 boards in Wednesday?s upset in Boston. Still, this remains a team reliant on the smallish backcourt of Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum. Will there always be a ceiling?

Another test against a quality team like the Raptors, who went 8-1 in February and own one of the league?s top frontcourts, will give us another opportunity to see how they measure up. With Harkless back and Kanter having a little more experience with this group under his belt, this is a fantastic test for those guys and mainstays Jusuf Nurkic, Al-Farouq Aminu and Evan Turner given the level of competition. The versatility provided by Kawhi Leonard, Most Improved Player lock Pascal Siakam and centers Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol is Toronto?s biggest weapon.

Portland won the first meeting 122-118 on Dec. 14, outrebounding the Raps 38-37 and holding on despite being outscored 72-70 in the second half. Kyle Lowry was absent for that game, so the Blazers will have to deal with Toronto?s All-Star point guard in addition to Gasol. Their bench was the difference, outscoring the Raptors? 58-26. Zach Collins and Meyers Leonard, expected to see minutes decrease with Kanter on board and Harkless back, combined for 20 points on 8-for-10 shooting and seven boards. Nik Stauskas, who scored 13 points in that game, has since been traded to Cleveland for Hood.

Like Portland, the Raps also come off a win over Boston, beating them at home on Tuesday as Leonard and Siakam combined for 46 points in a 118-95 rout. Toronto led by as much as 31 points after pulling away thanks to an 18-0 second-quarter run. It made 17 3-pointers, one off its career-high. Lowry looks healthy, dishing out 11 assists. Gasol looked as engaged as he has since arriving from Memphis, contributing five points, five rebounds and eight assists in just over 23 minutes. They recovered from 113-98 rout suffered on Sunday and should be well-rested since this will be only their fourth game out of the break and all have been at home. Toronto has won 15 of 17 overall at the newly renamed Scotiabank Arena, where their 26-6 mark ranks behind only Denver and Milwaukee in home winning percentage. Portland is looking to even its road mark at 15-15, which would mark the first time since November that it is back at .500 in away games.

The Blazers had their 26-game run of scoring over 100 points snapped in Wednesday?s win over Boston. The ?over? has connected in nine of Portland?s last 13 contests.

Best of the Rest

Charlotte at Brooklyn, 7:35 p.m. ET:
The Hornets now have company atop the Southeast Division since Orlando?s upset of Golden State got them even in the standings. Kemba Walker had a tremendous game against the Warriors earlier in the week but missed a huge shot that would?ve tied it down the stretch. He?s come up empty in defending the home floor in Charlotte against the defending champs and the Rockets, but always relishes being back in his native New York and seems to be out of a slump that sabotaged his All-Star Game experience. This is the first time since just prior to that weekend that he?ll be shooting outside Spectrum Center, looking to get even after last Friday night?s 117-115 home loss to the Nets. Walker?s 32 points were overcome by D?Angelo Russell?s 40. Brooklyn?s All-Star scored the final 12 points in tying a career-high and will have guard Spencer Dinwiddie back to lend a hand for the first time since tearing ligaments in his thumb on Jan. 23. Brooklyn?s upset win last week ended a three-game losing streak at the hands of the Hornets. The Nets have standout wing Caris LeVert back from a horrific ankle injury and have seen him show flashes of his early form despite the fact he?s coming off an 0-for-5 showing in Wednesday?s loss to Washington, the Nets? fourth home loss in six games following a 13-1 run from Dec. 7-Jan. 29. The ?over? is 6-2 in Brooklyn?s last eight games and has connected in four of the last five involving Charlotte.

Washington at Boston, 8:05 p.m. ET:
The Celtics are on a season-long four-game losing streak and have dropped six consecutive games in which Kyrie Irving has participated in, putting a disconnect between himself and teammates on full display for anyone that hadn?t already been paying attention. The Wizards come in as a dangerous underdog despite missing John Wall and having moved on from Otto Porter and Markieff Morris. New guys like Bobby Portis and Jabari Parker know the Celtics have been public enemy No. 1 for Washington for years and like to mix it up. The Wizards are just 8-16 on the road after winning in Brooklyn, having been led by Bradley Beal?s 31 points, wrapping up a February that saw him average over 30. Wall was the driving force last time these teams played each other on Dec. 12, finishing with 34 points and 13 assists, but Irving scored 38 and the Celtics won 130-125. Maybe seeing Washington?s porous defense will help Boston get going. The Wizards have seen the ?over? connect in 10 straight games as they?ve averaged 120.5 points while surrendering 125.5 in that stretch. The high-side has connected in 12 of 13.

L.A. Clippers at Sacramento, 10:05 p.m. ET:
The Kings have dropped consecutive games and are in danger of falling back down to .500 with 20 games remaining if they fail to protect their home floor tonight. The Clippers and Spurs are even at 34-29 and take up residence in the final two playoffs pots in the Western Conference, 2.5 games up on ninth-place Sacramento and an additional game up on the Lakers (30-31). The Kings took their best shot at the Bucks in Wednesday?s 141-140 OT loss and are 1-3 since action resumed post-break, claiming only an upset in Oklahoma City. This will be their first game as a favorite, but they must overcome the absence of standout rookie forward Marvin Bagley III, who suffered a knee sprain against Milwaukee and will be out at least a week. L.A. beat Sacramento 122-108 on Jan. 27 behind 25 points from Montrezl Harrell and can sweep the season-series 4-0 with a road upset. The Clips have averaged 127.3 points per game in the three victories and the ?over? has gone 2-0-1. The high-side has hit in five of the last seven involving L.A. Opening at 240, this is expected to close as the largest total of the evening.

Milwaukee at L.A. Lakers, 10:35 p.m. ET:
The Lakers finally got on the board after the All-Star break, surviving New Orleans at Staples in part because Anthony Davis sat the last quarter-and-a-half. LeBron James sealed the win with a huge 3-pointers and finished with 33 points and 10 assists, but we?ll see how he fares against Giannis Antetokounmpo, who has been bothered by a sore right knee this week and many not play his full complement of minutes. The Bucks are exercising caution with their star, a luxury they can afford since they own the NBA?s best record. This presents L.A. with a golden opportunity to steal a game as an underdog to offset some of the bad losses they?ve suffered over the past few weeks. Considering how challenging their remaining schedule is, the Lakers will need to pull off a few upsets to avoid missing the playoffs. Lonzo Ball (ankle) remains sidelined and Lance Stephenson (toe) won?t play, while the Bucks will be without backup point guard George Hill (groin). These teams have yet to play this season and will meet again at Fiserv Forum on March 19. Eric Bledsoe comes off a triple-double in the Bucks? OT win in Sacramento and scored a game-high 39 points in last March?s 124-122 win over the Lakers in the last meeting between these franchises. Antetokounmpo may again be kept to about 24 minutes for maintenance reasons and probably won?t play in Utah on Saturday night if he participates. The ?under? has delivered in five of the last seven involving the Bucks.
 

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Hoop Trends - Friday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Kings are 14-0 ATS (+9.00 ppg) as a favorite with rest.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Suns are 0-12 ATS (-8.92 ppg) as a home dog with more than two days of rest.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Wizards are 16-0 OU (+19.00 ppg) as a road dog with less than two days rest off a win in a road game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Lakers are 0-14 OU (-11.82 ppg) at home with less than two days rest off a win in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint.
 

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By: Monique V?g



Home court advantage

The Hornets travel to Brooklyn having lost five of the most recent six games but have historically done well versus the Nets winning 10 of the most recent 14 matchups in the head-to-head.

The Hornets have surrendered an average of 118.7 points per game over their most recent three games. When these two teams met just over a week ago, it was D?Angelo Russell?s 40 points that helped the Nets secure the win. Look for Brooklyn to once again find success versus the Hornets and back them to cover as 3-point home favorites.


Extending their winning ways

The Blazers travel to Toronto having won five straight games but haven?t had much look versus the Raptors in the past, winning only one of the most recent seven contests.

Toronto has been dominant at Scotiabank Arena this season posting a 26-6 record, including winning 15 of the most recent 17 games there.

With Portland struggling to score points early on in road games, averaging only 52.1 first half points away from home, and just 48.3 in the first half of games in last three head-to-head meetings, back Toronto to find success early on and take them to cover the first half spread of 2.5-points.


Orchestrating some offense

New Orleans hope to make it six straight wins versus the Suns as they are 5.5-point road favorites today. Look for Pelicans? starting point guard Elfrid Payton to once again be a factor on the scoreboard since returning from injury.

Today, he is up against a Suns team surrendering an average of 24.2 points, 6.6 boards, and 8.5 dimes to opposing point guards. Payton has averaged 10.6 assists per game over his most recent three, and in what projects to be a high scoring game, back Over his points, rebounds, assists total of 22.5.


There?s no place like home

The Clippers have historically gotten the better of the Kings winning nine of the last 10 meetings overall, and five straight at the Golden 1 Center. Despite their success over the past couple of seasons, this year?s Kings team is different, and have played very well at home winning nine of their last 11 and covering the spread in 11-of-12 at home.

Look for Sacramento to keep things close and back them to cover the spread as 3.5-point home underdogs.


Lighting it up by halftime

The Bucks are 4.5-point favorites as they put their six-game winning streak on the line on the road versus the Lakers. Los Angeles have struggled to put together two wins in a row, and this task will not be easy versus a Bucks team averaging 132.7 points per game over their most recent three.

With Milwaukee averaging 68.3 first half points per game over their most recent three, and Los Angeles 58.7 throughout the most recent three game stretch, look for points to rack up early and back the first half game total Over 115.
 

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Saturday?s 6-pack

? Royals? catcher Salvador Perez hurt his elbow, is expected to miss this season.

? Princeton loses senior guard Devin Cannady for the rest of the season; he has left school.

? Eric Bledsoe agreed to a four-year, $70M extension with the Milwaukee Bucks.

? Michigan loses 6-6 senior Charles Matthews with ?significant ligament damage? in his right ankle. Big loss for the Wolverines.

? So far this season, NHL teams are 140-153 when playing a second consecutive night; 48-46 at home, 92-117 on the road.

? Bryce Harper?s deal with the Phillies led William Hill sports books in Nevada to adjust Philadelphia?s season win total by 2.5 games, from 87 to 89.5. Phillies World Series odds went from from 12-1 to 10-1.

Quote of the Day
?A ship is safe in the harbor, but that is not what ships are built for.? John A. Shed

Saturday?s quiz
Who was the Phillies? manager when they won the World Series in 2008?

Friday?s quiz
Jason Witten played his college football at Tennessee.

Thursday?s quiz
Eric Musselman used to coach Sacramento and Golden State in the NBA.

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Saturday?s List of 13: Questions to ponder on a winter day??

13) If you got to pick an all-time starting five to win one basketball game, which five guys would you choose?

12) If you could go to one regular season college basketball game, which arena would you want to go to?

11) If you could go to any college basketball conference tournament, which one would you pick?

10) If you could go for free anywhere in the world where you?ve never been before, where would you want to go?

9) You?re coaching a football team; game is tied with 2:00 to go. Your team has the ball on its own 25-yard line. Who would you want the quarterback to be?

8) If you could go to one regular season college football game, which stadium would you want to go to?

7) Which Super Bowl was your favorite?

6) Who is your all-time favorite musician?

5) You?re managing a baseball team; bases loaded, two out, bottom of 9th, tie game. Your team is up; what hitter would you want at the plate?

4) If the other team was up, what pitcher would you want on the mound for your team?

3) If you could go to one baseball game, which stadium would you want to go to?

2) Who is favorite all-time actor? Actress?

1) Which sport is your favorite?
 
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