Cnotes 2018 - 2019 NBA Thru The Playoffs-Picks/Trends/News !

[Udog]

By: Monique V?g



Not giving the Pels much of a chance

The Pelicans are 10.5-point underdogs as they travel to Utah to take on a Jazz team who have won 21 of 31 at home this season, and eight of the last nine versus the Pelicans.

Utah is holding opponents to 105.2 ppg and 44 percent shooting on their home court this season. Over their most recent 10 games in the head-to-head, the Jazz have limited the Pelicans to 100 ppg. Look for another strong defensive effort from Utah and back Under New Orleans? team total of 109.5.


Nugget?s road woes to continue

It has been 12 straight road losses in San Antonio for the Nuggets who will try to win for the first time at AT&T Center since 2012.

The Spurs have played much better basketball at home, holding opponents to 106.4 points per game, on 45 percent shooting, ranking defensively in the top-10 of the league in both categories. They?ve had the Nuggets number over the years and returning home has been a recipe for success for San Antonio as they have won two straight after an extended road trip. Back them on the money line today.


Another likely blowout

Milwaukee are the largest favorites on Monday?s card (12.5-points), as they travel to Phoenix to take on a Suns team currently sitting at 13-51.

The Bucks have been one of the best all around teams this season, and defensively they are holding opponents to 108.1 points per game on a league best 43.3 percent shooting. With the Suns averaging only 106.5 points per game, they look to be in for a long night.

Milwaukee have done a great job defending opposing small forward? allowing only 19.1 points on 42 percent shooting. Look for them to make things difficult on Suns SF Kelly Oubre Jr. and back Under his points, rebounds, assists total of 23.5.


Tanking for Zion

The Knicks have won only three of their most recent 24 games, including just one of their most recent eight on the road. Today the Knicks take on a Kings team who have not disappointed as favorites this year posting a 14-2 record, and covering the spread in 22 of their 32 home games. The Knicks will be without Frank Ntilikina, and most likely DeAndre Jordan.

Despite the huge spread, look for Sacramento to take care of business at home versus a Knicks squad looking for the best chance to draft first overall. Take the Kings to cover as 11-point favorites.


Lackluster in La-La Land

The Lakers have lost four of their most recent five games and have really struggled since the All-Star Break. Today the Lakers play a Clippers team who have historically done well versus the Lakers winning 18 of the most recent 21 contests, and nine of the last 10 on the road.

The Under has been a profitable play when these two teams meet up, with it cashing in 12 of the most recent 17 in the head-to-head, and six of the last eight at Staples Center. With the Lakers in desperation mode, but only averaging 111.8 points per game, take the game total Under 235.

 

[Udog]

Tuesday?s 6-pack

? Virginia 79, Syracuse 53? Cavaliers went into a dome, made 18-25 on the arc. Wow.

? NJIT 83, Florida Gulf Coast 78? Minor upset in Atlantic Sun tourney.

? Heat 114, Hawks 113? Dwyane Wade scored 23 points off the bench.

? Spurs 104, Nuggets 103? San Antonio leads #9 seed Sacramento by three games.

? Grad transfer QB Nick Starkel jumps from Texas A&M to Arkansas.

? Looks like Rams, Cowboys are playing a preseason game in Hawai?i this summer.

Quote of the Day
?To a degree, he?s hurt the game. And what I mean by that is I go into these high school gyms, I watch these kids and the first thing they do is run to the three-point line. You are not Steph Curry.?
ESPN?s Mark Jackson, back in 2015.

Tuesday?s quiz
Where did Tony Bennett coach before moving to Virginia?

Monday?s quiz
There no World Series because the baseball players were on strike in 1994.

Sunday?s quiz
Patrick Ewing played with the Knicks for 15 years; he finished his career with the Orlando Magic.

*****************************************************************

Tuesday?s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but??

13) Stephen Zimmerman is 6-foot-11 and 22 years old; he plays an average of 19.8 mpg for the Knicks? G-League team and scores 8.2 ppg. He?s played in 85 G-League games over three years.

Here?s the thing; Mr Zimmerman was the 41st player taken in the 2016 NBA Draft; if he had stayed in college, he would be a senior at UNLV right now. Would he be better off had he stayed in school? I don?t know the answer to this question, but he is playing only 19.8 mpg now, it doesn?t seem like he is that close to getting a call back to the NBA.

You stay in college, you work harder on your game in practices, plus you can get a college degree that could prove useful if the basketball thing doesn?t work out.

12) I look at his free throw percentage and it has been right around 62% for all three of his years in the G-League, so in three years as a pro, he hasn?t improved that part of his game. He is grabbing 8.9 rebounds a game, so that number has improved, but he?s also played for three teams in three years. If the lowly Knicks don?t bring him up, then what?

Kids have to decide between staying in college and practicing more, as opposed to going pro, getting paid and playing more games while practicing less, but it is a cruel world out there, and if you?re not ready, teams move on pretty quickly. Hopefully Zimmerman will keep improving and find his way back to the NBA.

11) Was pretty sad listening to a 2:16 clip of NBA commish Adam Silver talking about so many NBA players being genuinely unhappy, because they?re isolated in the world.

Sounds like your basic first-world problem, but if you?re in your 20?s and banking a 7 or 8-figure income and you ain?t happy, I?m not sure how you fix that. I?m approaching 60 years old and am a retired government employee, but I?m pretty damn happy despite not being rich.

Maybe part of the solution for future kids is that staying in college longer would give you friendships that could propel you into adulthood with a support system, I?m not really sure, but I am pretty adamant that more kids would be better off staying in school longer, to grow up more.

10) Paul Goldschmidt doesn?t look right wearing a Cardinals? uniform.

9) Sounds like Nick Foles is headed to the Jacksonville Jaguars next season.

8) ESPN found an excellent new basketball analyst when it hired former NBA player Caron Butler, who is at ease behind the mike- he is fun to listen to.

7) ESPN.com ran an article that is highly critical of Phoenix Suns? owner Robert Sarver. Since the departure of coach Mike D?Antoni from the Suns in 2008, Phoenix has had four general managers and seven head coaches, not exactly a blueprint for success.

6) An 85-year old guy in Texas ran a mile this weekend in 7 minutes, 47 seconds. At age 85.

Seriously, if I drive 10 miles in my car, I?m looking for the drive-thru window at a Wendy?s. Running is no longer an option, not that it ever was. Kudos to this gentleman, who ran college track for Texas before I was born, back in the 50?s.

5) In the AAF over the weekend, on its first drive of the game, San Antonio ran 21 plays for 78 yards on a drive that took 9:34, but they kicked a FG, didn?t score a TD. Not sure I?ve ever seen that before, a 21-play drive, and for it not to end in a TD or a turnover, thats weird, especially since it was a 38-yard FG, they weren?t even that close to the goal line.

4) Announced attendance at the four AAF games this past weekend:
? San Diego @ Memphis: 13,621
? Orlando @ Salt Lake City: 9,302 (was snowing there)
? San Antonio @ Birmingham: 6,539
? Atlanta @ Arizona: 8,865

No idea what their attendance goals are, or if these numbers are good or bad, but they get 90,000 in Tuscaloosa for Alabama?s spring game. 6,539 in Birmingham can?t be good.

3) Generally speaking, an agent?s take is 3% of the athlete?s salary, so Scott Boras? take from the Bryce Harper bonanza figures to be $9.9M.

2) Phillies, by the way, sold 200,000 game tickets the day they announced the Harper signing.

1) The ruckus after the Nevada-Utah State game Saturday apparently was related to students storming the court after the game ended. Court storming needs to be stopped, before something really bad happens, with a player slugging someone or a huge brawl breaking out.

 

[Udog]

Tuesday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game of the Night: Celtics at Warriors ? 10:35 PM EST

Before the season started, this seemed to be the destined matchup for the NBA Finals after LeBron James took his talents west to Los Angeles. The Celtics (38-26 SU, 32-32 ATS) were a Game 7 home victory away last summer from squaring off with Golden State in the Finals, but Boston was shut down by James and the Cavaliers to avoid the franchise?s first Eastern Conference title since 2010.

Boston finished as the top seed in the Eastern Conference last season, but the Celtics are currently sitting in third place of the Atlantic division with less than 20 games remaining. The C?s have dropped five of their past six games, including a 115-104 home setback to the Rockets on Sunday as two-point favorites. Boston fell behind by 22 points at halftime, while the Celtics shot 2-of-17 from three-point range if you remove the 6-for-11 effort from Kyrie Irving and Marcus Smart.

The Warriors (44-19 SU, 25-37-1 ATS) snapped a two-game skid on Saturday night as they rallied past the 76ers, 120-117. Although Golden State failed to cash as five-point favorites, the two-time defending champions erased a 12-point halftime deficit behind 34 points from Kevin Durant and 28 points from Stephen Curry. The Warriors knocked down 14 three-pointers in the win despite the absence of Klay Thompson, who sat out with a sore right knee.

Golden State continues to struggle covering numbers as Steve Kerr?s squad slipped to 1-9 ATS the last 10 games. The Warriors are back at Oracle Arena for the first time since falling to Houston in a Western Conference Finals rematch on February 23 as 12-point favorites, 118-112. Golden State owns a dreadful 3-15-1 ATS mark in its last 19 contests in Oakland, while last covering as a single-digit home favorite against Portland on November 23.

The Celtics embark on a four-game trip through California that continues to Sacramento on Wednesday with no rest, followed by a pair of contests at Staples Center to face the Lakers (Saturday) and Clippers (Monday). Boston has covered in each of its past four visits to Oracle Arena, while winning twice outright in 2016 and 2017. The Warriors got the best of the Celtics at TD Garden in late January, 115-111 to barely cash as 3 ?-point favorites. The big difference in that victory for Golden State was the 29-14 advantage at the free-throw line, as the game stayed UNDER the total of 233.

But First

A pair of division leaders hook up in Toronto as the Raptors (46-18 SU, 27-37 ATS) welcome in the Rockets (38-25 SU, 28-33-2 ATS) for another interconference showdown on TNT. Toronto has lost consecutive games three times since the start of December as the Raptors hope to avoid a two-game skid following Sunday?s 112-107 overtime setback at Detroit.

After picking up impressive home wins over Boston and Portland, the Raptors fell apart in overtime by getting outscored, 10-0 in the final two minutes by the Pistons. Kawhi Leonard sat out for Toronto, but Kyle Lowry picked up the slack by leading the Raptors with 35 points. Recent pickups Marc Gasol and Jeremy Lin combined to shoot 2-of-18 from the floor, while Lin finished with one point in 25 minutes. Toronto wrapped up February at 9-2, but closed the month at 1-7 ATS.

The Rockets grabbed their fifth consecutive victory since blowing a 19-point lead in a post All-Star break loss to the Lakers. James Harden led Houston with 42 points in Sunday?s 115-104 triumph at Boston to pull off the season sweep of the Celtics. Eric Gordon added 32 points, including hitting eight three-pointers to help the Rockets pick up their third consecutive road win against an Eastern Conference opponent.

In the first matchup between these squads at Toyota Center on January 25, the Rockets held off the Raptors as 3 ?-point underdogs, 121-119. Houston won in spite of getting outscored in each of the final three quarters as the Rockets jumped out to a 13-point advantage after 12 minutes. Chris Paul sat out for the Rockets, but Harden did his thing offensively by leading Houston with 35 points in spite of shooting 9-of-25 from the floor and converting only 2-of-13 three-point attempts.

Crash Landing

The Thunder (39-24 SU, 33-30 ATS) have not covered a game since the All-Star break, while riding an 0-7 ATS skid the last seven trips to the court. OKC rallied past Memphis on Sunday, 99-95, but failed to cash as hefty 10-point home favorites. The Thunder shot a miserable 35% from the field as the starting backcourt of Russell Westbrook and Dennis Schroder combined to miss 29 shots.

Oklahoma City played a third consecutive game without leading scorer Paul George, who continues to nurse a sore right shoulder. Since George has been sidelined, the Thunder has scored 104, 102, and 98 points, as OKC last posted less than 100 points with the All-Star forward in the lineup in a January 6 home loss to Washington. So obviously no George has affected this Thunder offense, who will be without the former Pacers? standout again on Tuesday at Minnesota.

The Timberwolves (29-34 SU, 32-31 ATS) return home following an 0-3 road swing at Atlanta, Indiana, and Washington. Minnesota?s defense was torched in all three losses, resulting in three OVERS, while falling to the Wizards on Sunday, 135-121 on a hefty 240 ? total. The Wolves couldn?t hit a trey to save themselves in D.C. as Minnesota converted only 4-of-27 shots from downtown.

Oddly enough, the Wolves are probably excited to see the Thunder as Minnesota has picked up a pair of road victories at Oklahoma City this season. Both wins came by two points each, including a 119-117 triumph on January 8 as Andrew Wiggins paced Minnesota with 40 points. The Thunder is making their first trip to Target Center this season as OKC has dropped three of the past four visits to Minneapolis.

Barking Dogs

Since falling apart in the second half of a 10-point setback at Oklahoma City on February 5, the Magic (30-35 SU, 35-29-1 ATS) have performed well in the underdog role. Orlando has won and covered in the last five opportunities when receiving points, including knocking off the likes of Milwaukee, Golden State, and Toronto in this stretch.

On the flip side, the Magic have lost their three games in the favorite role, falling to doormats like New York, Cleveland, and Chicago in this span since the All-Star break. Basically, Orlando has played up to its competition as a ?dog and down to its competition when laying points of late. Fortunately, the Magic is the hunter and not the hunted on Tuesday in Philadelphia.

The 76ers (40-23 SU, 30-33 ATS) have lost back-to-back games only twice in 2019, as Philadelphia is coming off a late meltdown in Saturday?s 120-117 setback to Golden State. Four different Sixers posted at least 20 points, including a triple-double by Ben Simmons, who scored 25 points, pulled down 15 rebounds, and dished out 11 assists. However, Philadelphia has suffered two straight home losses for just the second time this season, while falling to 24-9 at Wells Fargo Center.

The Magic have held their own with the 76ers this season by covering in a pair of matchups this season as an underdog. Philadelphia edged Orlando, 116-115 as 12 ?-point favorites in late October, while the Magic erased a 16-point fourth quarter deficit in Jimmy Butler?s Philadelphia debut in a 111-106 upset as six-point home underdogs in mid-November.

 

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 5

Embiid is out again here. Orlando is 3-3 since All-Star break; they?re 8-2 vs spread in last ten road games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Philly won six of its last nine games; they are 1-3 vs spread in last four home games. Under is 10-3 in their last 13 games. 76ers won four of last five games with Orlando; over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Magic is 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Philly.

Indiana lost three of its last four games; they?re 5-2 vs spread in last seven home games. Five of their last six games went over. Bulls won five of their last seven games; they?re 2-7-2 vs spread in last 11 home games. 10 of their last 12 games went over. Pacers won seven of last eight games with Chicago; under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Bulls are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Indiana.

Houston won its last five games; they?re 5-2-1 vs spread in their last eight road games. Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games. Toronto won 10 of its last 12 games; they?re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 8-4 in their last dozen games. Rockets/Raptors split last ten meetings; Houston is 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Canada. Six of last seven series games went over the total.

Trailblazers won six of their last seven games (7-0 vs spread); they covered their last six road tilts. Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games. Grizzlies lost six of their last eight games; they?re 6-2 vs spread in last eight home games. Under is 3-1 in their last four games. Home side won six of last eight Portland-Memphis games; Blazers are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Memphis. Six of last nine series games stayed under.

Oklahoma City lost four of its last five games; they?re 0-7 vs spread in last seven. Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Minnesota lost four of its last five games; they covered their last three home games. Nine of their last 11 games went over. Thunder lost five of last six games with the Timberwolves; they?re 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Minnesota. Five of last six series games went over.

Celtics are 1-5 since All-Star break; they?re 2-8-1 vs spread in last ten road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Golden State is 3-4 in its last seven games; they?re 0-4 vs spread in last four home games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Warriors won seven of last ten games with Boston; last six series games stayed under the total. Celtics covered their last four visits to Oakland.

 

[Udog]

NBA

Tuesday, March 5

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Trend Report
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Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Chicago is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 12 games
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Chicago is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Indiana
Chicago is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 11 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Indiana is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chicago
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indiana's last 11 games when playing at home against Chicago

Orlando Magic
Orlando is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Orlando is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
Orlando is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Orlando is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
Orlando is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Orlando is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Orlando is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Orlando
Philadelphia is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Orlando
Philadelphia is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
Oklahoma City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Oklahoma City is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing Minnesota
Oklahoma City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Oklahoma City is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 11 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Minnesota's last 16 games at home
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Minnesota is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Minnesota is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
Portland is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Memphis
Portland is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Portland is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Memphis is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home
Memphis is 5-8-2 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Portland
Memphis is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

Houston Rockets
Houston is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Houston is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Houston is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Houston's last 21 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Toronto is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Toronto is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Houston
Toronto is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Houston
Toronto is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Houston

Boston Celtics
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games on the road
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
Boston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Boston is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
Golden State is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games
Golden State is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Golden State is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
Golden State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Boston
Golden State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Golden State is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston


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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 5

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ORLANDO (30 - 35) at PHILADELPHIA (40 - 23) - 3/5/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (18 - 46) at INDIANA (41 - 23) - 3/5/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 84-67 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 46-32 ATS (+10.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 56-41 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 8-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (38 - 25) at TORONTO (46 - 18) - 3/5/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 20-30 ATS (-13.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
TORONTO is 148-187 ATS (-57.7 Units) in March games since 1996.
TORONTO is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 205-258 ATS (-78.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
TORONTO is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (39 - 24) at MEMPHIS (25 - 40) - 3/5/2019, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (39 - 24) at MINNESOTA (29 - 34) - 3/5/2019, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 7-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (38 - 26) at GOLDEN STATE (44 - 19) - 3/5/2019, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 5


Boston @ Golden State

Game 525-526
March 5, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
117.786
Golden State
121.301
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 3 1/2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 8 1/2
229 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+8 1/2); Under

Oklahoma City @ Minnesota

Game 523-524
March 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
117.863
Minnesota
115.212
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2 1/2
238
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 3
234
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+3); Over

Portland @ Memphis

Game 521-522
March 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
125.088
Memphis
117.210
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 8
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 5 1/2
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-5 1/2); Under

Houston @ Toronto

Game 519-520
March 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
119.742
Toronto
125.236
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 5 1/2
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
227 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-3 1/2); Over

Chicago @ Indiana

Game 517-518
March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
117.069
Indiana
119.622
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 2 1/2
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 8
218
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+8); Over

Orlando @ Philadelphia

Game 515-516
March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
121.762
Philadelphia
120.302
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 1 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 4 1/2
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+4 1/2); Under

 

[Udog]

Wednesday?s 6-pack

Odds to win the MVC tournament in St Louis this weekend:

? Loyola 8-5

? Drake 4-1

? Southern Illinois 9-2

? Missouri State 11-2

? Bradley 8-1

? Northern Iowa 12-1

? Illinois State 16-1

? Indiana State 20-1

? Valparaiso, Evansville 50-1

Quote of the Day
?You can say what you want to about size, but when you?re the most dangerous person on the court, it doesn?t matter. Size was never a factor growing up. College, I faced the same criticism. In the NBA, same thing.?
Trae Young

Wednesday?s quiz
Where did Draymond Green play his college basketball?

Tuesday?s quiz
Tony Bennett went 69-33 as coach at Washington State before moving to Virginia.

Monday?s quiz
There was no World Series in 1994, because the baseball players were on strike.


******************************************************


Wednesday?s List of 13: Mid-week musings??

13) Last year, five NFL teams drafted a QB in the first round; four of those teams traded up to get their guy, which leads me to believe that there will be trading near the top of the draft again this year, especially if Arizona doesn?t draft Kyler Murray with the #1 pick.

If Arizona doesn?t take Murray, you have to think they?re trading the #1 pick, because there has to be SOMEONE out there who is enamored with Murray, and Arizona could net a couple extra picks to replenish other parts of their team.

12) Good move by Major League Baseball; looks like starting next year, rosters will increase to 26 players per team, while September rosters will be capped at 28, instead of 40, the way it is now. Now if they can just get the DH in both leagues as soon as possible.

11) Minnesota 73, Purdue 69? Carsen Edwards was 7-31 in this game, 3-15 on the arc- he had one assist. Purdue only took 68 shots; rest of the team was 17-37. Big win for Golden Gophers? NCAA hopes.

If you go 7-31, do you have to soak your arm after the game?

10) Kentucky 80, Ole Miss 76? Rebels lost four of their last five games.

9) Duke 71, Wake Forest 70? Blue Devils were favored by 26.5 points; this score will have seeding repercussions if Zion Williamson doesn?t come back.

8) Florida State 73, Virginia Tech 64 OT? Hokies tied game on 3-pointer with 0:13 left, but FSU won/covered in OT. Bad beat for Tech backers. Seminoles clinch a double-bye in ACC tourney.

7) Oklahoma 81, Kansas 68? Jayhawks lost six of their last eight road games, and for first time in over a decade, they won?t win/share Big X regular season title.

6) Auburn 66, Alabama 60? Tigers trailed this game by 13, rallied for a win, but they haven?t been playing very well.

5) Bronx pitching ace Luis Severino was scratched from his spring training start with shoulder issue, and may not be ready for Opening Day.

Twins? 3B Miguel Sano has undergone two debridement procedures on his lower right Achilles since injured the heel during a team celebration in winter league back in January. His foot is in a boot and Sano isn?t likely to play ball for the Twins until May.

4) Texas Rangers? OF Nomar Mazara is the son of a high-ranking official in the Dominican Navy. He played against the Dodgers Sunday; LA broadcaster Nomar Garciaparra said that both his dad and Mazara?s dad are named Ramon, and Nomar, obviously, is Ramon spelled backwards.

3) Clemson football coach Dabo Swinney took batting practice with the St Louis Cardinals over the weekend; in the clips I saw, he was making a lot of contact.

2) New England Patriots had to replace five assistant coaches from last year, after five of last year?s assistants moved on to other NFL jobs. Lot of turnover for a winning team, as Tom Brady continues to make people he works with wealthier.

1) Santa Anita racetrack in southern California suspended racing indefinitely after the 21st horse death there since the winter meet began December 26.

 

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (29 - 34) at CHARLOTTE (29 - 34) - 3/6/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CHARLOTTE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
MIAMI is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
MIAMI is 232-185 ATS (+28.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
MIAMI is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
MIAMI is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 62-77 ATS (-22.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-4 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (27 - 36) at WASHINGTON (26 - 37) - 3/6/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 56-42 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 518-440 ATS (+34.0 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 193-144 ATS (+34.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DALLAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-35 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 32-49 ATS (-21.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
WASHINGTON is 137-175 ATS (-55.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (30 - 34) at DETROIT (31 - 31) - 3/6/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 381-445 ATS (-108.5 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 70-100 ATS (-40.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
MINNESOTA is 51-37 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (36 - 29) at ATLANTA (22 - 43) - 3/6/2019, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (16 - 48) at BROOKLYN (33 - 33) - 3/6/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 70-95 ATS (-34.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 82-65 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after allowing 90 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 7-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (36 - 27) at NEW ORLEANS (30 - 36) - 3/6/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 86-69 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (41 - 23) at CHICAGO (18 - 47) - 3/6/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 133-104 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 59-41 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 66-48 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (13 - 51) at PHOENIX (14 - 51) - 3/6/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW YORK is 20-29 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 239-186 ATS (+34.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
PHOENIX is 28-37 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHOENIX is 29-43 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 21-31 ATS (-13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (39 - 26) at SACRAMENTO (32 - 31) - 3/6/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 92-69 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 48-35 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 64-45 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (42 - 21) at LA LAKERS (30 - 34) - 3/6/2019, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 6

Heat won three of their last four games; they?re 4-1 vs spread in last five road games. Four of their last five games went over. Charlotte lost four of its last five games; they?re 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Hornets won last two games with Miami after losing the previous six meetings; Heat is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Charlotte. Three of last four series games went over.

Mavericks lost seven of their last eight games; they?re 1-5 vs spread in last six road games. Under is 20-7-3 in their last 30 games. Washington lost five of its last seven games; they covered three of last four home games. 11 of their last 12 games went over. Dallas won nine of last ten games with the Wizards; last three series games stayed under. Mavericks covered their last five visits to Washington.

Timberwolves lost three of their last four games; they?re 4-5 vs spread in last nine road tilts, 3-4 vs spread on road if they played night before. Five of their last six games went over. Pistons won nine of their last 11 games; they covered their last five home games. Six of their last nine games went over. Detroit won/covered its last seven games with Minnesota; five of last six series games went over the total. Wolves covered once in their last four trips to the Motor City.

San Antonio won/covered its last three games; they?re 2-7 vs spread in last nine road games. Last four Spur games stayed under. Atlanta lost 8 of last 12 games but is 7-0 vs spread since the All-Star break; Hawks covered five of their last six home games. Last four Atlanta games all went over. Spurs won eight of last ten games with the Hawks; they?re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Atlanta. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Cavaliers are 5-3 in last eight games; they?re 2-6 vs spread in last eight road games. Four of their last five games went over. Brooklyn lost three of its last four games; they?re 3-7-1 vs spread in last 11 home games. Over is 7-4 in their last eleven games. Cleveland won seven of its last ten games with the Nets; they?re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Brooklyn. Over is 5-3-1 in last nine series games.

Utah won four of last five games; hey covered six of last seven road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. New Orleans won/covered its last three games; they?re 2-4 vs spread in last six home games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Road side won last five Jazz-Pelican games; Utah covered their last four visits to Bourbon Street. Seven of last ten series games went over.

Philly won three of last four games; they covered five of last six road games, are 3-6 on road, if they played night before. Five of their last six games stayed under. Chicago lost its last two games; they?re 2-4-1 in last seven home games, 4-4 vs spread if they played night before. Over is 10-3 in their last 13 games. 76ers won last three games with the Bulls, by 14-1-19 points; they?re 1-4 vs spread in last five trips to Chicago. Five of last seven series games went over.

New York lost 22 of its last 25 games; they?re 2-3-1 vs spread in last six road games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Phoenix won three of its last four games after an 0-17 skid; they covered three of last four one games. Under is 9-3 in their last dozen games. Knicks/Suns split their last eight meetings; New York is 2-3 vs spread in its last five visits to the desert. Four of last six series games went over the total.

Celtics won by 33 in Oakland last nite; they?re 1-8 vs spread if they played night before. Boston is 2-5 since All-Star break; they?re 3-7-1 vs spread in last 11 road games. Last five Boston games stayed under. Kings lost three of last four games; they?re 11-3 vs spread in last 14 home games. Under is 4-1 in their last five games. Boston won five of its last six games with the Kings; they?re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Sacramento. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Denver lost its last three games; they?re 1-8-1 vs spread in last ten road games. Under is 8-0-1 in their last nine games. Lakers lost five of their last six games, are 4-5 vs spread in their last nine games at Staples. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Home side won last eight Nugget-Laker games; Denver is 0-4 vs spread in last four series games played here. Under is 3-1-1 in last five series games.

 

[Udog]

NBA

Wednesday, March 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami Heat
Miami is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 15 games when playing Charlotte
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 12 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games
Charlotte is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games at home
Charlotte is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Miami
Charlotte is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Charlotte's last 15 games when playing Miami
Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Charlotte is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 12 games when playing at home against Miami

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Dallas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 13 games on the road
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Wizards
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 12 games
Washington is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Washington is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Cleveland is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Brooklyn
Cleveland is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing Brooklyn
Cleveland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Brooklyn is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Brooklyn is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing Cleveland
Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Antonio's last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
San Antonio is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
San Antonio is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Antonio's last 11 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
San Antonio is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing Atlanta
San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
San Antonio is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
Atlanta is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games when playing San Antonio
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Atlanta is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio

Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Philadelphia is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 15 games when playing Chicago
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Philadelphia is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 13 games
Chicago is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Chicago is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games at home
Chicago is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
Chicago is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Philadelphia
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Chicago's last 15 games when playing Philadelphia
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Chicago is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Utah Jazz
Utah is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 10 games on the road
Utah is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
Utah is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Utah's last 20 games when playing New Orleans
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
New Orleans is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Utah
New Orleans is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 15 of New Orleans's last 20 games when playing Utah
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

New York Knicks
New York is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games
New York is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New York's last 19 games
New York is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 10 games on the road
New York is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
New York is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games at home
Phoenix is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing New York
Phoenix is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against New York

Boston Celtics
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 10 games on the road
Boston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Sacramento
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Boston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Boston is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Sacramento is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
Sacramento is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Sacramento is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home
Sacramento is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Boston
Sacramento is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Boston
Sacramento is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
Sacramento is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Boston

Denver Nuggets
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games on the road
Denver is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games when playing LA Lakers
Denver is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 14 games when playing LA Lakers
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Lakers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
LA Lakers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of LA Lakers's last 24 games at home
LA Lakers is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Denver
LA Lakers is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 14 games when playing Denver
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 6


Denver @ LA Lakers

Game 545-546
March 6, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
114.956
LA Lakers
122.577
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 7 1/2
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 5 1/2
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+5 1/2); Over

Boston @ Sacramento

Game 543-544
March 6, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
114.601
Sacramento
122.187
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 7 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
228 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+1 1/2); Under

New York @ Phoenix

Game 541-542
March 6, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
111.106
Phoenix
110.942
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
Even
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 4
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+4); Under

Philadelphia @ Chicago

Game 539-540
March 6, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
115.623
Chicago
113.189
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2 1/2
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 5 1/2
225
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+5 1/2); Over

Utah @ New Orleans

Game 537-538
March 6, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
116.964
New Orleans
109.274
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 7 1/2
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 4
231
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-4); Over

Cleveland @ Brooklyn

Game 535-536
March 6, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
107.642
Brooklyn
118.863
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 11
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 8 1/2
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(-8 1/2); Under

San Antonio @ Atlanta

Game 533-534
March 6, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
127.371
Atlanta
118.706
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 8 1/2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 6
235 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-6); Under

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 531-532
March 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
116.032
Detroit
124.097
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 8
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 5 1/2
223
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-5 1/2); Over

Dallas @ Washington

Game 529-530
March 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
109.812
Washington
113.171
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3 1/2
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 6
231
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+6); Under

Miami @ Charlotte

Game 527-528
March 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
116.486
Charlotte
115.540
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 3 1/2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+3 1/2); Over

 

[Udog]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game of the Night: Nuggets (-5 ?, 227) at Lakers ? 10:35 PM EST

LeBron James has led his teams to the NBA Finals in each of the past eight seasons, which is one of the most impressive individual streaks in American professional sports. However, his Lakers (30-34 SU, 26-36-2 ATS) may not even qualify for the playoffs in his first season with the Purple and Gold. The Lakers suffered their third consecutive loss on Monday as they fell to the rival Clippers, 113-105 as 3 ?-point favorites.

Since shocking the Celtics at the buzzer on February 7, Los Angeles owns a dreadful 2-7 SU/ATS mark, including five outright losses in the favorite role. The Lakers squandered an eight-point advantage after one quarter in Monday?s setback to the Clippers, while allowing 49% shooting from the floor. James led the Lakers with 27 points, while Rajon Rondo registered a triple-double with 24 points, 10 rebounds, and 12 assists as L.A. fell to 4-8 since James returned the lineup from his groin injury on January 31.

The Nuggets (42-21 SU, 34-29 ATS) rode a five-game winning streak in mid-February, but Denver has gone backwards of late by dropping three straight contests. After melting down in Saturday?s 120-112 home loss to an unrested New Orleans squad as 13 ?-point favorites, the Nuggets fell behind by 19 points to the Spurs following 12 minutes of play on Monday.

Denver rallied back in the fourth quarter, but were squeezed by San Antonio, 104-103. The Nuggets managed a cover as 1 ?-point underdogs, but Denver suffered its second losing streak of three games since the start of February in spite of 25 points from Jamal Murray. Denver attempted (and made) only four free throws, while cashing the UNDER for the sixth consecutive game.

The Lakers will be without second-leading scorer Kyle Kuzma on Wednesday, as the second-year forward sprained his right ankle in Monday?s defeat. The home team has captured each of the first two matchups this season, as the Nuggets crushed the Lakers in the previous meeting in Denver, 117-85 in late November. Denver limited Los Angeles to 5-of-35 shooting from three-point range, while James was 0-of-4 from downtown. However, the Nuggets have lost in their last four trips to Staples Center since 2017.

NoCal Sweep?

For all the problems the Celtics (39-26 SU, 33-32 ATS) have endured on and off the court this season, Boston finally was able to show the country that it isn?t dead yet. The Celtics crushed the Warriors in the opener of their four-game road trip on Tuesday, 128-95 to easily cash as 6 ?-point underdogs. Boston dropped 73 points on the two-time defending champions in the first half, as Gordon Hayward came off the bench to score 30 points in its first road win since the All-Star break.

The Celtics head from Oakland to Sacramento tonight to face the Kings (32-31 SU, 37-26 ATS) for the first time this season. Sacramento snapped a three-game skid on Monday as the Kings slipped past the awful Knicks, 115-108 as 11-point favorites. Although the Kings didn?t cover, they improved to 15-2 overall this season in the favorite role, but they are flipped to an underdog at Golden 1 Center.

Since the start of December, the Kings have covered in seven of 11 opportunities as a home ?dog, but have lost two of the past three home matchups with the Celtics. Boston has had its issues with no rest this season by compiling a 4-6 SU and 3-7 ATS record, including a 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS mark on the road.

Beasts of the South-least

The Southeast division race is the closest one in basketball, although not one team owns a winning record. The Magic fell out of a three-way tie for first alongside the Hornets and Heat after losing at Philadelphia on Tuesday. Charlotte (29-34 SU, 30-32-1 ATS) has lost four consecutive home games, while Miami (29-34 SU, 33-30 ATS) is fresh off a pair of home victories to pull into the top spot of the Southeast.

Since winning five straight home games from mid-January through the start of February, the Hornets own a 1-5 record the last five contests at Spectrum Center. Four of the losses came to the Clippers, Warriors, Rockets, and Blazers, as the latest setback came in Saturday?s 118-108 defeat to Portland. Charlotte has allowed 117 points or more in four straight home contests, while the OVER has cashed in six of its past seven games overall.

The Heat finally figured out the Hawks in Monday?s 114-113 home triumph to beat Atlanta for the first time in four tries this season. However, Miami failed to cash as 10-point favorites to end a three-game ATS hot streak. The Heat have dropped five of their past six road games since February 8, while losing the first two meetings with the Hornets back in October after sweeping the four-game series last season.

Back to the Big Easy

Things aren?t going on script for the Pelicans (30-36 SU, 33-32-1 ATS), who were supposed to fall apart after Anthony Davis demanded a trade out of New Orleans. Things have gone well for the Pelicans lately, who have covered five of six games, while capturing the final three games on their road trip, including outright underdog victories at Denver and Utah.

New Orleans erased a nine-point halftime deficit on Monday to shock Utah, 115-112 to cash as 9 ?-point road ?dogs, led by 30-point efforts from Jrue Holiday and Julius Randle. Davis played only 22 minutes and scored 15 points, but the Pelicans picked up three consecutive wins for only the second time since Thanksgiving.

Now, the two teams flip venues and head to Smoothie King Center as the Jazz (36-27 SU, 32-29-2 ATS) try to bounce back after having their four-game winning streak snapped. Utah?s offense continues to score points, as they eclipsed the 111-point mark for the sixth consecutive game in Monday?s setback. However, Utah fell to 1-3 ATS the last four games since putting together a 5-0 ATS run earlier in February.

The Jazz have seen plenty of success in their former home of New Orleans by winning in five straight visits since 2016, including a 132-111 blowout in late October as six-point favorites. However, Davis didn?t suit up in that contest, as the Jazz shot 52% from the floor led by Ricky Rubio?s 28 points as the OVER is 5-0 in the past five matchups in the Big Easy.

 

[Udog]

Hoop Trends - Wednesday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Kings are 14-0 ATS (+7.89 ppg) at home with less than two days rest after they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Heat are 0-11 ATS (-13.18 ppg) with rest after a win as a home favorite that was tied at the end of the third quarter.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Nets are 13-0 OU (+12.92 ppg) as a favorite off a double-digit win as a favorite when they are facing a team that is averaging less than six refereed turnovers per game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Pistons are 0-15 OU (-12.03 ppg) at home with more than one day of rest off a home game in which they rebounded less than 20% of their own misses.

 

[Udog]

Wednesday's Top Action
Tom Wilkinson

NBA Game Preview - 76ers at Bulls

The Philadelphia 76ers are road favorites on Wednesday night, as they visit the Chicago Bulls in a game that can be seen on ESPN. The 76ers are battling for third place in the Eastern Conference with Indiana, while the Bulls are out of playoff contention.

Even though Chicago is not going to make the playoffs they have been playing pretty well. Both teams will be playing with no rest on Wednesday, as the 76ers were home against Orlando on Tuesday, while the Bulls were at Indiana. Let?s look at Wednesday?s game on ESPN and NBA picks.

Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls
Date and Time: Wednesday, March 6, 2019, 8:00 p.m. ET
Location: United Center, Chicago, IL
NBA Odds: 76ers -5, O/U 227
76ers vs. Bulls TV Coverage: ESPN

The 76ers played pretty well last week without Joel Embiid and they will not have him for this game on Wednesday night. Embiid missed Tuesday?s game against Orlando, but he did practice on Monday. Head coach Brett Brown didn?t give an indication on whether Embiid would play, but Embiid said on Saturday that he expects to return this week. Embiid leads the 76ers at 27.3 points per game, so his presence is critical. The most likely scenario is that the 76ers hold Embiid out until Friday?s game against Houston, but noting is set in stone.

One player who has stepped up with Embiid out of the lineup is Ben Simmons. He was names Eastern Conference Player of the Week. In the last five games, Simmons is averaging 20 points, 10.8 rebounds and 7.6 assists. He had back-to-back triple-doubles against the Pelicans and Warriors.

Philadelphia is 13-17 ATS on the road, with 15 games going over and 15 going under. They are averaging about 115 points per game and giving up about 112 per contest.

The Bulls have not been a good home team this season, as they are just 12-20 ATS, with 13 games going over, 18 going under, with one push. They are averaging 105 points per game and giving up just over 112 per contest.

Chicago has actually played pretty well of late, as they had won six of their last ten before Tuesday?s game at Indiana. The Bulls have been much better with Otto Porter Jr. in the lineup. They were 6-2 in the first eight games he played. Keep in mind that before the All-Star break the Bulls had the worst offensive rating in the league. Since getting Porter they have been greatly improved.

Chicago is not going to make the playoffs, but they will have an impact, as 11 of their last 17 games are against teams either in the playoffs or contending for the playoffs.

Key Stats

The 76ers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Central. The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Atlantic. The Bulls are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games. The Over is 11-2 in the 76ers last 13 games playing with no rest. The Over is 4-0 in the Bulls last 4 vs. the Atlantic. The Over is 5-2 in the Bulls last 7 home games. The Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.

 

[Udog]

NBA Game Preview - Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers
Kyle Markus

The Los Angeles Lakers? playoff chances are slip-sliding away. Everyone expected this team to turn it on after the All-Star Break, but the struggles have continued even with a healthy LeBron James leading the way. Los Angeles will need to be nearly perfect down the stretch to have a shot at the postseason, which will begin with a must-win game at home next time out against the Denver Nuggets.

Denver has been much better than expected this season and currently sits as the No. 2 seed in the West. The Nuggets may not have the same star power as Los Angeles but it has consistently been the better team this season.

This could be a competitive showdown as Denver is the superior team while the Lakers have the home court advantage in NBA betting lines.

This NBA basketball game between the Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers will be held at the Staples Center in Los Angeles, California at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 6th, 2019. The game will be nationally televised on ESPN.

Odds Analysis

The Nuggets are 42-21 on the season. They have lost three in a row, and while catching the Warriors won?t be easy, Denver is in good shape to finish with the second-best record in the conference.

The Lakers are 30-34 on the season. They have now dropped three straight games and seven of their past 10 to sink out of playoff contention. Los Angeles is 18-14 at home this year and badly needs to break out of its funk and capture the win.

Injury Report

Brandon Ingram -- The Lakers forward missed Monday?s game against the Clippers with a shoulder injury. The 21-year-old plays a big role for this Los Angeles team so any time away is costly, especially as the Lakers try to make an unlikely push for the playoffs.

Ingram is coming off a really strong performance in February where he averaged 21.3 points and 5.8 rebounds. The severity of the injury is not yet known, but keep an eye on his availability for this one. James remains one of the most dominant players in the NBA but the supporting cast is lacking, especially with Lonzo Ball and now Ingram battling injuries. Kyle Kuzma left the team?s game on Monday with an ankle injury, so his status is also one to watch.

Key Stat

3. That?s the number of games the Nuggets are ahead of the Thunder and Blazers in the Western Conference standings. Few expected this team to be in contention in the West this year but Denver has completely surpassed expectations.

Denver doesn?t have the players with the same cachet as some of the others near the top of the heap, and in a star-driven league, it will be interesting to see how this team performs in the postseason. For now, everything is going well, and the Nuggets would like to pick up this key road win to hold off some of the other West powers aiming to track them down in the standings.

 

[Udog]

NBA's Top ATS Teams:

1. Bucks 37-24-3 ATS
2. Kings 37-26 ATS
3. Blazers 37-27 ATS
4. Clippers 38-28 ATS
5. Mavs 35-27-1 ATS
6. Nets 36-30 ATS
7. Nuggets 34-29 ATS
8. Magic 35-30-1 ATS


NBA's Worst ATS Teams:

30. Warriors 25-38-1 ATS
29. Lakers 26-36-2 ATS
28. Raptors 27-38 ATS
27. Knicks 27-36-1 ATS
26. Suns 28-37 ATS
25. Wizards 28-35 ATS
24. Bulls 29-35-1 ATS
23. Grizzlies 30-36 ATS

 

[Udog]

NBA's Top OVER Teams (sorted by Over %):

1. Wizards 40-23
2. Spurs 38-26-1
3. Hawks 37-28
4. Timberwolves 36-28
5. Hornets30 35-27-1
t6. Raptors 35-30
t6. Celtics 35-30
t8. Nets 35-31
t8. Pelicans 35-31


NBA's Top UNDER Teams (based on Under %):

1. Lakers 38-25-1
2. Grizzlies 39-26-1
3. Magic 37-29
4. Mavs 35-27-1
t5. Suns 36-29
t5. Pacers 36-29
7. Bulls 34-29-2
8. Nuggets 34-28-1

 

[Udog]

By: Monique V?g



Forcing perimeter shots

The Heat have been one of the best teams at defending opposing centers allowing only 19.8 points, 14.1 rebounds, and 3.1 assists per game. The Heat also rank third in the Association in opponent points in the paint, surrendering only 42.8 a game, and are coming off a three-game stretch allowing only 38.

That could mean trouble for the Hornets? center Cody Zeller in tonight?s matchup. Look for him to be held in check and take Under his points, rebounds, assists total of 21.5.


Lighting up the scoreboard

The Mavericks have lost eight of their last 10 games, and head out on the road to Washington to take on a Wizards team who have also been struggling, losing seven of their most recent 10. The Mavs have owned the head-to-head meetings, winning nine of the most recent 10 matchups, and five straight on the road.

The Wizards are tied for third in points per game at home averaging 118.2 and give up almost as many defensively with the Wizards ranking 29th in opponent points per game. Look for a high scoring shootout today and take the game total Over 233.5.


Clipping wings

After last night?s big win versus the Thunder, the Timberwolves travel to Detroit to take on a Pistons team who are winners of eight of their last 10.

The Pistons have allowed the lowest points per game to opposing small forwards allowing 17.6 points on 43 percent shooting. Although Minnesota?s Andrew Wiggins is averaging right around that number in the regular season, his field goal percentage is way down from his career numbers, and almost four percent lower than last year. Back Under his point total today of 17.5.


Getting a much-needed road ?W?

The Spurs have struggled on the road this season and have lost six of the most recent eight away from home. Today, they take on a Hawks team who own a 3-20 record over their most recent 23 versus the Spurs.

The Hawks will once again be short handed with Omari Spellman and Miles Plumlee out, and Dewayne Dedmon listed as doubtful. Look for San Antonio to take care of business and improve on their playoff positioning today as only three wins separate eighth from third in the Western Conference. Back San Antonio to cover as 6-point road favorites.


Bouncing back in a big way

Utah get a quick opportunity at redemption against the Pelicans after losing at home Monday night 115-112. Utah have won eight of the last 10 versus New Orleans and five straight road contests.

Last time these two teams met, the Jazz gave up 62 points in the paint, which is very uncharacteristic as they only surrender an average of 47.2. Look for the Jazz to guard the painted area better this time around, and force tough perimeter shots, as the Pelicans are not a good team from beyond the arc. Take Utah to cover the spread as 4-point road favorites.

 

[Udog]

Thursday?s 6-pack

Odds to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational this weekend:

7-1? Rory McIlroy

10-1? Justin Rose

12-1? Brooks Koepka, Rickie Fowler

14-1? Jason Day

16-1? Bryson DeChambeau

20-1? Hideki Matsuyama

Tweet of the Day
?The Sajak family is deeply saddened to hear of Alex Trebek?s struggle with cancer. Our hearts go out to him and his family. But there is no one I know who is stronger and more determined, and I would never bet against him. We, and the entire country, are pulling for you, Alex.?
Pat Sajak

Thursday?s quiz
Which is the only basketball conference in the country where every team is located in a different state?

Wednesday?s quiz
Draymond Green played his college basketball at Michigan State

Tuesday?s quiz
Tony Bennett went 69-33 as coach at Washington State before moving to Virginia.

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Thursday?s List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud??

13) Back in December, when I was flying home to Albany from Las Vegas, with a stop in Baltimore, one of the other passengers on my flight from Vegas to Baltimore was Eric Weddle?s dad. How do I know this? The guy had a purple Ravens? t-shirt on, with ?Weddle 32? on the back, and he talked proudly and for a long time about his son to the people sitting near him in the terminal.

It was pretty cool to hear a father talk so glowingly about his son; the Ravens released Eric Weddle this week. Hard to believe another NFL team won?t scoop him up when free agency starts next week.

12) West Virginia 90, Iowa State 75? Watching this game it dawned on me that lot of players are looking tired the last couple weeks. Long season, thin benches, conference tournaments are next week and these are the dog days. Cyclones got crushed here; it was 54-33 at halftime.

11) Seton Hall 73, Marquette 64? Marquette led by 13 with 9:45 left, but Myles Powell went off and the Pirates get a big win, ending game on an 18-0 run. Powell scored 34 for Seton Hall.

10) LSU 79, Florida 78, OT? These teams went OT in both meetings this year, splitting the pair; this was LSU?s 7th OT game this season. Florida had the ball for the last shot in OT, but never even got a shot off.

9) DePaul 101, Georgetown 69? This game was 42-15 at one point; when was last time DePaul led anyone by 27 in the first half? Georgetown played like a team that will be hosting an NIT game in a couple weeks.

8) Basketball budgets in the SEC:
1. Kentucky $18.6M
2. Ole Miss $12.55M
3. Auburn $11.2M
4. Texas A&M $10.4M
5. Alabama $10.3M
6. South Carolina $10M
7. Vanderbilt $9.7M
8. Arkansas $9.2M
9. Florida $9.0M
10. LSU $8.6M
11. Georgia $8.5M
12. Tennessee $8.4M
13. Missouri $8.4M
14. Mississippi State $6.8M

7) Fresno State 76, San Diego State 74? Aztecs choked this game away; they led by 7 with about a minute to play, but turned the ball over a few times and lost for 7th time in last nine meetings with Fresno.

6) Looking thru each baseball team?s top 30 minor league prospects, Miami/Seattle both have 12 prospects acquired by trade, most of any team in majors.

5) New Jersey?s Division of Gaming Enforcement says no to major league baseball?s request to not allow wagering on spring training games. Not sure why anyone would want to, but Garden State bettors can wager on Cactus and Grapefruit League games.

4) Major League Baseball is mandating that managers send their lineup cards into the Commissioner?s Office before releasing them in the clubhouse to reporters, players before games. Baseball wants to ensure that information passed around the clubhouse and the stadium doesn?t provide an edge to gamblers.

They?re pretending that they have no idea that gambling has been going on for a long time.

3) Boston Red Sox pitcher Steven Wright tested positive for Growth Hormone Releasing Peptide 2 (GHRP-2), a PED, is suspended for 80 games. Why would a knuckleballer do this?

2) According to info from the New York Gaming Commission, Rivers Casino in Schenectady generated almost double the slot machine revenue than the brand new Resorts World Catskills in Monticello.

1) Best wishes to Alex Trebek, who announced Wednesday that he has pancreatic cancer. Hope to see him hosting Jeopardy! for many more years. Get well soon, sir.