Cnotes 2018 Canadian Football League Picks - News - Trends !

[Cnotes53]

WEEK 9

Thursday, August 9, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
10:00 PM Edmonton Eskimos British Columbia Lions

Friday, August 10, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
8:30 PM Hamilton Tiger Cats Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Saturday, August 11, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
8:00 PM Montreal Alouettes Ottawa Redblacks


************************


WEST DIVISION

RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV

1 Calgary 7 7 0 0 14 206 86 4-0-0 3-0-0 2-0-0

2 Edmonton 7 5 2 0 10 198 167 3-1-0 2-1-0 3-0-0

3 Winnipeg 7 4 3 0 8 239 147 2-1-0 2-2-0 1-2-0

4 Saskatchewan 7 3 4 0 6 151 175 2-2-0 1-2-0 0-2-0

5 BC 6 2 4 0 4 126 165 2-0-0 0-4-0 1-3-0


EAST DIVISION

RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV

1 Ottawa 7 4 3 0 8 176 168 2-1-0 2-2-0 2-1-0

2 Hamilton 7 3 4 0 6 181 147 1-2-0 2-2-0 1-1-0

3 Toronto 7 2 5 0 4 137 220 2-2-0 0-3-0 1-0-0

4 Montreal 7 1 6 0 2 103 242 0-4-0 1-2-0 0-2-0


*************************


BEST BETS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS

08/04/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/03/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/02/2018 2-1-1 50.00% +4.50

TOTALS............4-3-1........57.14%.....+3.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday?s 6-pack

? Arizona 3B Jake Lamb (shoulder) will have rotator cuff surgery, is done for year.

? Giants? 3B Pablo Sandoval (hamstring) is also done for the season

? St Louis OF Dexter Fowler broke his foot, is probably done for the year.

? Mike Trout has a bruised wrist, missed last three Angel games.

? Reds OF Scott Schebler (shoulder) had a setback with his rehab, is still on the DL

? Chicago Bears? backup QB Chase Daniel has earned $24.3M in his career and has thrown only 78 passes in eight seasons.

Tweet of the Day
?Truly, I just think Carolina was bad for me. It was a bad fit from the get-go. If you would?ve put me with any other quarterback, let?s be real, you know what I?m saying? Any other accurate quarterback like Rodgers or Eli Manning or Big Ben ? anybody! ? quarterbacks with knowledge, that know how to place a ball and give you a better chance to catch the ball. It just felt like I wasn?t in that position.?
Bills? WR Kelvin Benjamin, on his time in Carolina

Sunday?s quiz
Who managed the Tampa Bay Rays in their only World Series appearance?

Saturday?s quiz
Of the six active QB?s with the most NFL starts, Drew Brees is the only one who has played for more than one team (Chargers/Saints)

Friday?s quiz
Jim McMahon was the Chicago Bears? QB when they won their only Super Bowl title.

*******************

Sunday?s List of 13: Trends on NFC teams

Arizona Cardinals scored 123 fewer points LY than they did in 2016; this year, they?ve got a new coach, two new QB?s. Last three years, Redbirds are 1-7-1 vs spread in NFC West home games.

Last four years, Atlanta Falcons are 9-2 vs spread as an underdog of 3 or fewer points. Last five years, they?re 6-15 as a non-divisional home favorite.

Last two years, Carolina is 6-12-1 vs spread when favored; since 2012, Panthers are 20-8 as a road underdog. Norv Turner is the new OC this season, which will be interesting.

Chicago Bears are 8-1-2 vs spread in last 11 games as a home underdog; they improved from -20 to even in turnovers LY, but won only two more games, improving from 3-13 to 5-11.

Since 2014, Dallas Cowboys are 12-4-1 vs spread as road favorites; over last decade, they?re 22-39 as home favorites.

Under Jim Caldwell, favorites were 22-7-3 vs spread in Detroit Lion home games. Since 2008, Lions are 4-11 are home underdogs. They were +11 in turnovers LY and still missed the playoffs.

Green Bay missed playoffs LY for first time in eight years; since 2014, they?re 17-8-2 as home favorites. Over is 21-11 in Packer games the last two years.

Since 2015, Rams are 3-7 vs spread as a favorite of 3 or fewer points; their last playoff win was in 2004. Since 2010, LA is 6-11 as a divisional home favorite.

Kirk Cousins will be Minnesota?s 5th different Week 1 starting QB the last five years, and 11th in last 15 years; despite that, they went 32-16 last three years. Under Zimmer, Vikings are 14-5 as favorites of 3 or fewer points.

New Orleans has made playoffs seven times since 2000; they won their first playoff game six of those seven years. Saints are 16-8 vs spread in las 24 games as an underdog. Since 2011, over is 35-21 in their home games.

Giants have played in one playoff game the last six years; over last nine years, underdogs are 34-19 vs spread in their divisional games.

Last five years, over is 27-13 in Eagles? road games. Under Pederson, Philly is 10-4-1 vs spread at home. Since 2012, Eagles are 6-11-1 vs spread in divisional home games.

49ers started last season 1-10, then won their last five games; expectations are lot higher this season. Since 2014, they?re 13-19 vs spread at home.

Seahawks made playoffs 11 of last 14 years. Since 2015, under is 15-9 in Seattle road games. Since ?11, Seahawks are 23-12-1 vs spread coming off a loss.

Since 2014, Buccaneers are 3-10 vs spread as home favorites, 2-8 as favorites of 3 or fewer points. Tampa Bay hasn?t made the playoffs since 2007; their last playoff win was the Super Bowl 16 years ago.

Since 2015, Redskins are 14-7 vs spread in game following a loss; since ?08, they?re 18-28-2 vs spread in non-divisional home games, but 17-9 as a divisional road underdog.

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday?s 6-pack

Odds to win the 2019 college basketball title a long time from now:

? Duke Blue Devils 11-2

? Kentucky Wildcats, Kansas Jayhawks 6-1

? Gonzaga Bulldogs 7-1

? Villanova Wildcats 8-1

? Nevada Wolf Pack 10-1

? North Carolina Tar Heels, Virginia Cavaliers 12-1

Tweet of the Day
?Listen, I?m glad nobody saw that I was shaking. That was my childhood hero. ? He?s the reason I eat my vegetables and say my prayers. ? Take your vitamins and say your prayers, brother!?
Buccaneers? DE Vinny Curry, after meeting Hulk Hogan this week

Wednesday?s quiz
Kings County in New York is better known by another name; what is it?

Tuesday?s quiz
Everyone knows Jim Kelly played for the Buffalo Bills in the NFL, but he also played for the USFL?s Houston Gamblers, before he played in the NFL.

Monday?s quiz
Terry Collins managed the Angels before Mike Scioscia.

***************************

Wednesday?s List of 13: Mid-week musings??

13) Its good if you learn something new every day; was reading an article today about a card game called booray, a cross between spades and hearts that has its roots in Louisiana and is very popular amongst NBA players on airplanes and in hotels.

Professional athletes are competitive by nature, whether they?re playing ball or cards or doing whatever it is that they do. They also have a lot of money.

12) Go to actionnetwork.com for an interesting article about how in 2009, a booray game between two players on the Washington Wizards got out of hand and I?m understating that. Go read the article; poor Flip Saunders, who was coaching the Wizards at the time.

11) I?m watching Hard Knocks on HBO the other night, from last year?s show featuring the Tampa Bay Bucs, and the narrator says this line:

?Quite simply, he?s the most important player on the team.?

He was talking about QB Jameis Winston, and if you?re a Bucs? fan, it has to make you queasy, because Winston is suspended for the first three games this season, for off-field issues.

Buccaneers opened at +7.5 in their season opener at New Orleans; game has been bet up to 9.5, with Ryan Fitzpatrick the likely Tampa Bay starter at QB.

10) The great Tony Gwynn got his 2,000th hit on August 6, 1993 and he got his 3,000th hit on an August 6, 1999. Gwynn?s mother?s birthday was August 6th.

9) 76ers? rookie Zhaire Smith broke his foot this week; what is it with Sixers rookies and foot injuries?

8) Sounds like when Robinson Cano returns to the Seattle Mariners next week, it?ll be as a first baseman. He is playing first base in his AAA; there are thoughts he could play 3B, too, but since he can?t play in the postseason, Dee Gordon will likely stay at second for Seattle.

7) Last week, the WNBA?s Las Vegas Aces needed nearly 26 hours to travel to Washington from Las Vegas after flight delays and cancellations Friday. By the time the team reached its hotel, it was 3:45 p.m. ? about four hours before the scheduled tip.

Aces players decided not to play because of concerns about their health and safety after 26 hours of travel; the WNBA ruled Tuesday that the Aces have to forfeit that game.

6) Sounds like Lakers-Warriors will be on Christmas Day; who ever would?ve guessed?

5) Bronx Bombers are still on the hook for $47M over the next three years to Jacoby Ellsbury, the oft-injured outfielder who had hip surgery in NYC this week.

4) Get well soon to Red Sox TV announcer Jerry Remy, who has battled cancer multiple times in the last decade and now has to do it again. We wish him well.

3) RIP to hockey great Stan Mikita, 78 who passed away this week. Mikita played for 22 years with the Chicago Blackhawks, is their all-time leading scorer.

One of my first memories as a young Bruins fan was rooting against the Blackhawks, who had Mikita and Bobby Hull as their best players. RIP, sir.

2) An Irish guy living in Vancouver went streaking during the 9th inning of the Toronto-Mariners game in Seattle Saturday night, all for an $80 bet. Now the guy may get deported back to Ireland, because of his subsequent arrest. Brilliant!!!

1) Which reminds me that when the Blue Jays visit Seattle every year, a ton of Toronto fans invade Safeco Field; the Blue Jays are Canada?s team, after all, and Seattle is close to Canada.

 

[Cnotes53]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 8
Joe Williams


League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 8
-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 8
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 8
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 8
-- The 'Over/under' went 2-2 in Week 8

Analysis

Toronto (2-5) kicked off the week on Thursday night with an exciting 42-41 win against Ottawa (4-3), winning outright as a 6 1/2-point underdog. After opening the season with a 4-0 record for the 'under', the 'over' has connected in each of the past three. The Argonauts have forgotten how to play defense, allowing 39.7 points per game (PPG) across the past three.

Edmonton (5-2) has won a season-high three straight games after winning against barely covering against Saskatchewan (3-4). The Eskimos have covered in back-to-back games for the first time this season, too, while the 'under' is 3-1 over their past four.

The 'under' is 3-1-1 across the past five games for the Roughriders. Saskatchewan has had issues on offense, scoring 19 or fewer points in four of their past six outings.They're also averaging 19.0 PPG in their past three home contests, too.

Johnny Manziel made his much-anticipated CFL debut, but it was a disaster for Montreal (1-6). His second pass of the game was an interception, the first of four picks on the night in a 50-11 stomping courtesy of Hamilton (3-4) continues, Manziel's first CFL team. QB Jeremiah Masoli outshined his former understudy, and the Ti-Cats picked up a much-needed victory of their own after going 0-3 SU/ATS across the past three.

Calgary (7-0) kept their record unblemished with a 27-18 victory at home against BC Lions (2-4). Suddenly the Stamps are having issues covering, however, going 1-2 ATS over the past three after opening 4-0 ATS.

For the Lions, they have covered a season-high three straight outings, and they're 2-0 ATS over the past two on the road after opening 0-2 ATS in their first two away from home.

Team Betting Notes and A Look Ahead

-- The Esks and Lions will tussle in Vancouver in Week 9, kicking off a three-game weekend in the CFL. Edmonton is 7-1 ATS in their past eight against the West, and 6-2 ATS in their past six on the road. The Lions are 4-10-1 ATS in their past 15 against teams with a winning record, 4-11-1 ATS in their past 16 against the West and 0-7-1 ATS in their past eight games in Week 9. BC is also 0-4 ATS in their past four tries against Edmonton.

-- The Ti-Cats look to build on their rout of the Als, facing Winnipeg (4-3) in Manitoba. The Bombers have covered five of their seven games this season, and the 'over' is also 5-2. At home, the Bombers are a perfect 3-0 ATS to date, and the 'over' is also 3-0 in their three home outings.

-- Hamilton has covered eight of their past 10 on the road, but they're just 6-13-2 ATS in the past 21 against teams with a winning overall mark. Winnipeg has covered seven of the past 10 at home, but they're just 2-5 ATS in their past seven following a bye week. Hamilton is 5-1 ATS in the past six trips to Winnipeg.

-- The 'under' has connected in six straight meetings between the Ti-Cats and Bombers, and the under is 4-1 in the past five battles in Winnipeg.

-- Montreal hit rock-bottom with a 39-point loss at home last week. They'll hit the road, but they are just 2-7 ATS in the past nine away from home, while going 1-5 ATS in the past six against winning sides. Montreal is also 5-17 ATS in the past 22 overall.

-- The RedBlacks looks to stay hot against losing sides, going 7-3 ATS in the past 10 against teams with a losing record. They're also 7-3 ATS in the past 10 against the Eastern Conference. However, they have covered just one of the past five at home.

-- Ottawa has dominated their series against Montreal, covering 10 of the past 11 meetings, including 4-1 ATS in the past five at home. The 'under' has cashed in five straight meetings.

 

[Cnotes53]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 9
David Schwab

Week 8 Betting Recap

For the second week in a row in the CFL, the favorites went 3-1 straight-up. However, they were an even 2-2 against the spread. Toronto pulled off the lone SU upset on Thursday night with a thrilling 42-41 victory at home against Ottawa as a 6 ?-point underdog. Later on Thursday night, Edmonton got past Saskatchewan 26-19 to barely cover the 6 ? points at home.

On Friday night, Hamilton crushed Montreal 50-11 as a seven-point favorite on the road. Calgary remained perfect on the year with Saturday? 27-18 victory against British Columbia, but it failed to cover as a heavy 12 ?-point favorite at home.

Thursday, Aug. 9

Edmonton Eskimos (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS) at British Columbia Lions (2-4 SU, 4-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -3 ?
Total: 54

Game Overview

Edmonton has won its last two games both SU and ATS with much better consistency on each side of the ball. You know that things are going well when Mike Reilly completes just 48.1 percent of his 27 passing attempts for 257 yards and the Eskimos still win. With that performance last week, he has now thrown for a CFL-high 2,320 yards and 14 touchdowns in his first seven games. CJ Gable is third in the league in rushing yards with 481 on 94 attempts.

The Lions became the first team this season to lose to Calgary by fewer than 10 points. They have now covered in their last three games while closing as underdogs in all three contests. Travis Lulay is firmly back in place as BC?s starting quarterback despite the losing record. He has put the ball up 112 times with 72 completions for 932 yards and four touchdown throws against two interceptions.

Betting Trends

-- The Eskimos are 7-1 SU in the last eight meetings and they have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games in this West Division matchup. The total has gone OVER in six of the last nine meetings.

Friday, Aug. 10

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -4
Total: 57

Game Overview

The Tiger-Cats snapped a SU three-game losing streak while closing as favorites in convincing fashion. Granted they were playing Montreal, but there was some solid balance on offense with 250 yards passing and 169 yards on the ground. Credit Hamilton?s defense for making Johnny Manziel?s CFL debut at quarterback utterly forgettable. This unit picked him off four times while limiting the Alouettes to 107 yards through the air.

Winnipeg went into last week?s bye with three victories (SU and ATS) in its previous four games. This includes a sweep against Toronto in a home-and-home series. Matt Nichols has completed 63.1 percent of his 111 passing attempts for 873 yards and five touchdowns in his first four starts at quarterback. Running back Andrew Harris leads the CFL in rushing with 638 yards and five scores on 105 attempts.

Betting Trends

-- Hamilton has an 8-4 edge ATS in the last 12 meetings in this inter-division tilt and it is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games against Winnipeg. The total has stayed UNDER in each of the last five meetings.

Saturday. Aug. 11

Montreal Alouettes (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -13.5
Total: 50

Game Overview

Things cannot get much worse for Montreal in its dismal one-win effort through its first seven games. Manziel was less than impressive in his CFL debut, but things should start to slow down a bit this week against an Ottawa defense that is suddenly suspect coming off last week?s fourth-quarter collapse against Toronto. The one positive takeaway for the Alouettes was the 176 yards it gained on the ground in last week?s lopsided loss.

Ottawa blew a 24-point lead in the third quarter of last Thursday?s loss to the Argonauts. Quarterback Trevor Harris did his part with 381 yards passing and two touchdown throws behind a completion rate of 77.1 percent on 35 passing attempts. Running back William Powell was held to 35 yards rushing on 14 carries in that game. However, he is still ranked second in rushing overall in the CFL with 504 yards on 106 attempts.

Betting Trends

-- Ottawa has won its last five games against Montreal both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER the closing betting line in all five matchups.

 

[Cnotes53]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 9

Thursday, August 9

Edmonton @ BC Lions

Game 351-352
August 9, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
114.888
BC Lions
108.565
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 6 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 3 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-3 1/2); Under


Friday, August 10

Hamilton @ Winnipeg

Game 353-354
August 10, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
113.557
Winnipeg
119.985
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 6 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 4
57
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-4); Under


Saturday, August 11

Montreal @ Ottawa

Game 355-356
August 11, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
100.113
Ottawa
107.127
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 7
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 13 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+13 1/2); Over

 

[Cnotes53]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 9

Thursday, August 9

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EDMONTON (5 - 2) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (2 - 4) - 8/9/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, August 10

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HAMILTON (3 - 4) at WINNIPEG (4 - 3) - 8/10/2018, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in August games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, August 11

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MONTREAL (1 - 6) at OTTAWA (4 - 3) - 8/11/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 6-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 6-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Cnotes53]

CFL

Week 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Thursday, August 9

Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 9 games
Edmonton is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Edmonton is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Edmonton's last 11 games on the road
Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
Edmonton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing British Columbia
Edmonton is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Edmonton is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of British Columbia's last 9 games
British Columbia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
British Columbia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
British Columbia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
British Columbia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 6 of British Columbia's last 9 games when playing Edmonton
British Columbia is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Edmonton
British Columbia is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Edmonton


Friday, August 10

Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Hamilton is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Hamilton is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games on the road
Hamilton is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Winnipeg
Hamilton is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Hamilton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Hamilton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games
Winnipeg is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Winnipeg is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Hamilton
Winnipeg is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Winnipeg is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton


Saturday, August 11

Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 2-16 ATS in its last 18 games
Montreal is 1-17 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games
Montreal is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Montreal is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Montreal

 

[Cnotes53]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9


Edmonton (5-2) (-3.5, 54) @ BC Lions (2-4)? Eskimos won six of last seven series games; they split last four visits here, winning 35-29 in OT in last visit last October. Last three series games went over the total. Edmonton won its last three games, scoring 26-44-16 points; they?re 2-1 on road, with wins by 21-3 points, and a 20-17 loss in Toronto. Three of their last four games went under. Lions are 2-0 at home, 0-4 on road; they allowed 17-10 points in their two wins, 27+ in their losses- both their home games stayed under the total.

Hamilton (3-4) @ Winnipeg (4-3) (-6, 58)? Hamilton (-5) beat Winnipeg 31-17 at home June 29; total yardage was 480-280. Road team is 7-3 in last ten series games; Ti-Cats won four of their last five visits to Manitoba. Eight of last ten series games stayed under the total. Hamilton scored 38-31-50 points in its three wins; they scored 20 or less in their losses. Ti-Cats split their four road games. Blue Bombers scored 38+ points in all four of their wins; three of their last four games went over. Winnipeg won two of three at home, losing home opener to Edmonton.

Montreal (1-6) @ Ottawa (4-3) (-14, 50.5)? Alouettes got pummeled 50-11 in Manziel?s first CFL start last week; Als? last three losses are by 39-21-17 points, but their only win was on road, 23-17 in Regina. Montreal lost its last six games against RedBlacks, losing four of five trips here, the last two by 20-5 points. Last six series games stayed under the total. Ottawa lost 42-41 last week in Toronto, their first loss this season when scoring 21+ points. RedBlacks? last three games were decided by total of 11 points. Four of last six Ottawa games stayed under the total.

Through Week 8: Favorites 15-16; Under 17-13-1

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, AUGUST 9
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

EDM at BC 10:00 PM
BC +3.0
U 54.0

 

[Cnotes53]

GAME RECAP

LIONS STUN ESKIMOS, 31-23, IN SECOND-HALF COMEBACK

VANCOUVER ? It was a tale of two halves at BC Place on Friday night, as the BC Lions reversed a 20-10 halftime deficit to earn a stunning 31-23 win over the visiting Edmonton Eskimos.

The Lions offence roared to life in the third quarter, while the defence allowed zero third-quarter first downs; the end result was 18-straight points and a Lions win on a night when hope initially seemed lost for the hosts.

Quarterback Travis Lulay completed 16 of 29 passes in the win for BC, throwing a touchdown and interception in the process.

The real story of the night, however, was the Lions defence, which limited Edmonton to just three second-half points and consistently stone-walled Mike Reilly and the Esks offence down the stretch.

The visitors struck on the first drive of the night, as Reilly capped an eight-play, 71-yard drive with a 10-yard touchdown pass to Nate Behar ? the latter?s first in the CFL ? to open the scoring; Sean Whyte?s convert made it 7-0 Esks.

Emmanuel Arceneaux sparked the BC offence late in the first quarter, racing 39 yards on a pitch-and-catch with Lulay; the drive ultimately stalled, and the Lions settled for a 25-yard field goal from kicker Ty Long.

Edmonton then went into its bag of tricks early in the second quarter, converting a fake field-goal on a 3rd-and-6; Danny O?Brien shifted from holder to under centre, then found 288-lb. D-tackle Almondo Sewell for his first career reception.

Four plays later, Reilly snuck the ball over the goal line from the one-yard line for a touchdown ? Whyte?s convert extended the Esks lead to 14-3.

Chris Rainey responded for the Lions later in the second quarter, accelerating then weaving his way to a 79-yard punt-return touchdown; Long?s convert cut BC?s deficit to four points.

The Lions thought they had taken the lead late in the first half, when Lulay connected with Bryan Burnham in the end zone ? only to have the touchdown called back on a Jovan Olafioye holding penalty.

Edmonton turned the game on its head on the very next play, as Lulay dropped a fluttering screen pass into the hungry arms of Esks linebacker Korey Jones; the Wyoming product raced the ball down to the BC 15-yard line, where a diving Lulay prevented the touchdown.

The very next play landed the visitors in the end zone, as Reilly found Derel Walker behind the uprights for a major; Whyte curled his convert wide right, but the three-play sequence still resulted in a pivotal 13-point swing, and sent Edmonton to the locker room up 20-10.

Lulay and the Lions came out swinging to begin the second half, engineering a six-play, 72-yard drive that ended in the end zone via a nine-yard touchdown pass to Kevin Elliott; Long?s convert narrowed the lead to three.

BC then tied the game on its next possession, as Long drilled a 51-yard field goal to draw the hosts level.

Coordinator Mark Washington?s Lions defence continued to stymie the Esks, and BC took the lead on the final play of the third quarter: a long punt single by Long.

Momentum swung further in the Leos? favour early in the fourth quarter, when Otha Foster sacked Reilly ? knocking the ball loose in the process ? and recovered the loose ball on the Edmonton eight-yard line.

Travon Van bounced outside on the very next play and found pay dirt, racing to a touchdown; the two-point convert fell incomplete, and BC?s lead stood at 27-20.

The Esks cut into the lead on the following drive, as Whyte booted a 40-yard field goal to narrow the gap to four.

Edmonton?s defence appeared to swing momentum back with five minutes to play, stripping Travis Lulay and coming up ? Alex Bazzie specifically ? with the loose ball.

That lasted all of one play, however, as Reilly?s first pass was tipped by Foster into the arms of Winston Rose; three plays later, a 34-yard kick from Long restored the seven-point advantage.

A further punt single from Long made it 31-23 and rounded out the scoring on the night.

With the Esks driving late, Garry Peters sealed the win for the Lions with an interception in his own end zone on a Reilly pass intended for Duke Williams.

With the win, BC moved to 3-4 on the season; the Lions will travel across the country in Week 10 for a Saturday afternoon date with the Argonauts (2-5) in Toronto (4 p.m. ET).

The win could be a turning point in the season for Wally Buono?s team, which is now a perfect 3-0 at BC Place on the season.

The loss dropped the Eskimos to 5-3, and Jason Maas?s team will now return home to face the Montreal Alouettes (1-6) next Saturday (7 p.m. MT, 9 p.m. ET) at Commonwealth Stadium.

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday, August 10, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
8:30 PM Hamilton Tiger Cats Winnipeg Blue Bombers


*****************


BEST BETS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS

08/09/2018 1-1-0 0.00% -0.50
08/04/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/03/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/02/2018 2-1-1 50.00% +4.50

TOTALS............5-4-1........55.55%.....+3.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday, August 10

Hamilton @ Winnipeg

Game 353-354
August 10, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
113.557
Winnipeg
119.985
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 6 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 4
57
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-4); Under


******************


Friday, August 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAMILTON (3 - 4) at WINNIPEG (4 - 3) - 8/10/2018, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in August games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

---------------------------------------------------------


Friday, August 10

Hamilton Tiger-Cats

Hamilton is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Hamilton is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Hamilton is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games on the road
Hamilton is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Winnipeg
Hamilton is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Hamilton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Hamilton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg

Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games
Winnipeg is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Winnipeg is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Hamilton
Winnipeg is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Winnipeg is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton


***************************


Hamilton (3-4) @ Winnipeg (4-3) (-6, 58)? Hamilton (-5) beat Winnipeg 31-17 at home June 29; total yardage was 480-280. Road team is 7-3 in last ten series games; Ti-Cats won four of their last five visits to Manitoba. Eight of last ten series games stayed under the total. Hamilton scored 38-31-50 points in its three wins; they scored 20 or less in their losses. Ti-Cats split their four road games. Blue Bombers scored 38+ points in all four of their wins; three of their last four games went over. Winnipeg won two of three at home, losing home opener to Edmonton.

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, AUGUST 10
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

HAM at WPG 08:30 PM
HAM +5.5
U 57.5

 

[Cnotes53]

GAME RECAP

BOMBERS HOLD OFF TICATS COMEBACK TO SECURE VICTORY

WINNIPEG ? The Winnipeg Blue Bombers held off a comeback attempt from the Hamilton Tiger-Cats to secure a 29-23 victory, the team?s third straight.

A pair of late penalties doomed the Ticats attempted rally as they ran out of time to put any more points on the board. Jeremiah Masoli threw for 251 yards and a touchdown and added 80 yards on the ground but it was not enough for the Ticats. Matt Nichols countered with 180 passing yards and two touchdowns while Andrew Harris led the Bombers in both rushing and receiving yards.

The Ticats opened the scoring early in the game but the Bombers would prove to be a step ahead throughout the night.

Hamilton?s opening drive began with Masoli hitting Jalen Saunders for a first down at midfield. Brandon Banks hauled in a 37-yard sideline pass to put the Ticats in the red zone. The Bombers defence stopped the Ticats just outside the endzone forcing and third and goal on the one-yard line but Alex Green punched in for the quick touchdown and the early 7-0 lead.

Nic Demski wasted no time to respond with a 56-yard return on the ensuing kickoff. The league?s leading rusher Harris added a 30-yard run and Nichols found Weston Dressler in the back of the endzone to tie the game.

The Winnipeg defence forced a fumble on the next Ticats possession, giving the ball back to Nichols in great field position. A facemask penalty moved the Bombers into the red zone and an offside call put them just outside the goal line. Harris notched a rushing touchdown on the next play, adding to the Bombers first quarter lead.

Now trailing, the Ticats defence recovered a Harris fumble to close out the first quarter but back to back sacks on Masoli halted any momentum.

A pair of penalties against the Ticats moved the chains for the Bombers offence and they added a 23-yard field goal to go up 17-7.

Chris Williams? 22-yard grab put the Ticats on the right side of the field but the drive would end after Masoli fumbled the ball and it was recovered by Craig Roh. Winnipeg could not add any more points after the turnover. Pinned in their own end on the next possession, Hamilton gave up two points on a safety.

Neither team could move the football, trading possessions as the defences held strong. Justin Medlock missed a 54-yard field goal attempt with under a minute left in the first half.

Taking matters into his own hands, Masoli took off for a 36-yard gain that led to a Ticats field goal to cut the deficit to 19-10.

Nichols went back to work quickly completing first down passes to Darvin Adams, Daniel Petermann and Harris. That led to Demski hauling in a 37-yard touchdown grab and putting the Bombers up 26-10.

Needing to get some more points on the board midway through the third quarter, Masoli connected with Banks on a 24-yard gain. He followed that up with passes to Terrence Toliver and Luke Tasker which led to a Banks touchdown right on the goal line as the Ticats looked to keep the momentum rolling. The two-point conversion attempt was unsuccessful and the Ticats were down 10 points.

Starting at midfield on their next drive, the Ticats offence kept marching downfield. Once again Banks came through with a 18-yard grab. Masoli went to his feet again for a 23-yard rush and Green knocked in his second major of the game to cut the lead to just 26-23.

The Bombers used a lot of the clock as they slowly made their way downfield. Chris Streveler pushed through in short yardage for a pair of a fresh set of downs before Petermann moved the chains even further. Medlock booted another field goal with 1:22 remaining to put the Bombers up 29-23 which proved to be enough for the win.

Next week the Bombers host the Ottawa REDBLACKS while the Ticats hit the bye week.

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday, August 11, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
8:00 PM Montreal Alouettes Ottawa Redblacks


*******************

BEST BETS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS

08/10/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/09/2018 1-1-0 0.00% -0.50
08/04/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/03/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/02/2018 2-1-1 50.00% +4.50

TOTALS............6-5-1........54.54%.....+2.50

 

[Cnotes53]

PREVIEW

ALS FACE CRITICAL JUNCTURE IN CLASH WITH REDBLACKS

OTTAWA ? The first and the worst in the East Division close out Week 9 of the CFL season as the Montreal Alouettes are on the road taking on the Ottawa REDBLACKS.

The Als are hoping to turn a corner as they approach the midway point of the season after a slow start to 2018. Montreal showed signs of promise in a gritty Week 3 win over the Saskatchewan Roughriders, but bright spots for the squad have been few and far between ever since.

Montreal is 1-17 in its last 18 games, the poorest stretch of games in the history of the franchise.

This week the Als look to shrug off a 50-11 drubbing at the hands of the Hamilton Tiger-Cats last week. Hamilton took Montreal out of the game early by racking up 28 points in the first quarter alone, tying a CFL record for biggest lead through 15 minutes. In his much-anticipated CFL debut, Als quarterback Johnny Manziel completed 11 of 20 attempts for 104 yards with no touchdowns and four interceptions.

Montreal?s defence gave up 521 yards while the Ticats found the end zone seven times.

From a blocked punt that was run back for a touchdown to six total turnovers, it was a night when nothing went right for Montreal.

?It was a humbling experience,? Manziel told MonrealAlouettes.com after the game. ?I made some very uncharacteristic throws, especially on the first drive. I did a bad job setting the tone.?

However, it would be far from fair to put all the blame on Manziel for the loss.

?We weren?t moving well,? said fullback Patrick Lavoie. ?We weren?t creating enough separation between receivers and defensive backs. They were getting to the ball before us. That?s not normal when you?re on offence?. It started with an interception and I don?t think that?s Johnny?s fault. We had to start better than that.?

The Alouettes are ready to put the past behind them and move forward to facing the REDBLACKS. Montreal?s defence is aware that they have a tough task ahead of them going up against the likes of receivers Greg Ellingson and Brad Sinopoli.

Linebacker Henoc Muamba says that the Als feel prepared to take on the REDBLACKS? high-powered offence after a solid week of work.

?Our offence is really improving and we see it in practice,? said Muamba. ?It?s encouraging for us on defence and it allows us to get ready.?

The East-leading REDBLACKS are also out for redemption after allowing a Week 8 win to slip through their fingertips.

Toronto Argonauts quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson threw the game-winning touchdown with a second left on the clock to lift the Boatmen to a 42-41 victory at BMO Field. The REDBLACKS entered the final 15 minutes with a comfortable 18-point lead. However, Bethel-Thompson stayed composed in his first CFL start and found a way to put 22 points on the board in the fourth quarter.

Ottawa pivot Trevor Harris threw for 381 yards with two touchdowns and one interception in the loss. Receiver Diontae Spencer had a game-high 145 yards on eight catches, also adding a major. Defensive lineman A.C. Leonard racked up seven tackles and one sack.

?We just didn?t end up making the plays to win the game and they did,? Head Coach Rick Campbell told OttawaREDBLACKS.com. ?We certainly didn?t take our foot off the gas or anything. We were playing the game all the way through. We had a chance all the way up to the last moment to win the game and didn?t get it done.

?It was a very disappointing, tough one to get over. But obviously there?s a lot of football left to be played so keep moving on and move forward.?

In what many considered a surprising move, the REDBLACKS announced earlier this week that they had released international defensive back Loucheiz Purifoy. The 25-year-old was considered a prized free-agent acquisition and registered 29 tackles in seven games with Ottawa this season.

?It?s not something we just do blindly, or without a lot of thought going through it, so we think we?ve got a good group of DB?s here,? said Campbell. ?We?ve got our guys from last year, plus we signed some guys this year, so starting the season we had an excess of good players. We?re just trying to find the sweet spot.?

After suffering an injury in practice and sitting out on Wednesday, Sinopoli is good to go against the Als. Sinopoli entered the week sitting third in receiving yards with 631 through seven games.

Ottawa has won its last five matchups against Montreal, including a three-game sweep last year. Ottawa is 9-4 vs Montreal since 2014.

Crunchin? Numbers:

14 ? Number of quarterbacks that the Alouettes have started since August 2013.

19 ? Straight field goals made by REDBLACKS kicker Lewis Ward. Ward began his career with a 3-for-4 field goal performance in the season opener and since then has not missed a kick of any kind.

34.6 ? League-high points per game being given up by the Alouettes.

52 ? Receptions this season by Brad Sinopoli, the most in the CFL. He is on pace to make 134 catches in 2018, which would be the second highest single-season total in CFL history.

This will be the second of three meeting between the East Division rivals.

The REDBLACKS emerged victorious in the first bout back on July 6, picking up a 28-18 victory. Ottawa controlled the game from the start, leaping out to a 25-8 lead after the first half.

The Harris-Sinopoli connection was on display all night. Harris threw for 342 yards and three touchdowns while Sinopoli caught a career-high 11 passes for 148 yards.

The key to the Als stopping the REDBLACKS lies in slowing down Sinopoli. The Als defence is the only CFL team giving up over 300 passing yards per game on average. Montreal?s secondary will have to find a way to prevent Harris and co. from making big plays if they hope to avoid a Week 4 repeat.

Kickoff is at 8:00 p.m. ET and can be seen on TSN, RDS and ESPN+.

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday. Aug. 11

Montreal Alouettes (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -13.5
Total: 50

Game Overview

Things cannot get much worse for Montreal in its dismal one-win effort through its first seven games. Manziel was less than impressive in his CFL debut, but things should start to slow down a bit this week against an Ottawa defense that is suddenly suspect coming off last week?s fourth-quarter collapse against Toronto. The one positive takeaway for the Alouettes was the 176 yards it gained on the ground in last week?s lopsided loss.

Ottawa blew a 24-point lead in the third quarter of last Thursday?s loss to the Argonauts. Quarterback Trevor Harris did his part with 381 yards passing and two touchdown throws behind a completion rate of 77.1 percent on 35 passing attempts. Running back William Powell was held to 35 yards rushing on 14 carries in that game. However, he is still ranked second in rushing overall in the CFL with 504 yards on 106 attempts.

Betting Trends

-- Ottawa has won its last five games against Montreal both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER the closing betting line in all five matchups.


********************


Saturday, August 11

Montreal @ Ottawa

Game 355-356
August 11, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
100.113
Ottawa
107.127
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 7
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 13 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+13 1/2); Over


************************


Saturday, August 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTREAL (1 - 6) at OTTAWA (4 - 3) - 8/11/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 6-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 6-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

-------------------------------------------------------


Saturday, August 11

Montreal Alouettes

Montreal is 2-16 ATS in its last 18 games
Montreal is 1-17 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games
Montreal is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Montreal is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa

Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Montreal


-------------------------------------------------------


Montreal (1-6) @ Ottawa (4-3) (-14, 50.5)? Alouettes got pummeled 50-11 in Manziel?s first CFL start last week; Als? last three losses are by 39-21-17 points, but their only win was on road, 23-17 in Regina. Montreal lost its last six games against RedBlacks, losing four of five trips here, the last two by 20-5 points. Last six series games stayed under the total. Ottawa lost 42-41 last week in Toronto, their first loss this season when scoring 21+ points. RedBlacks? last three games were decided by total of 11 points. Four of last six Ottawa games stayed under the total.

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, AUGUST 11
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MTL at OTT 08:00 PM

OTT -14.0

U 50.5

 

[Cnotes53]

GAME RECAP

COMEBACK KIDS: REDBLACKS BATTLE BACK TO DEFEAT ALOUETTES IN OTTAWA

OTTAWA ? The REDBLACKS flipped the script.

After leading through much of the game and suffering a a heartbreaking last-second loss to the Argonauts in week 8, Trevor Harris and Ottawa REDBLACKS paid it forward to the Alouettes on Saturday, sealing their 24-17 victory in the final seconds of the fourth quarter.

QB Trevor Harris finished one completion shy of tying Henry Burris? CFL record with 44 completions and just under 500 passing yards, while five Ottawa pass-catchers recorded at least 70 receiving yards in the victory.

The REDBLACKS came out swinging to start as Trevor Harris looked clinical, completing his first six pass attempts and marching his team down the field into the Alouettes red zone. Unfortunately for Harris and Ottawa, his final completion to FB JC Beaulieau was stripped and recovered by LB Chip Cox, ending a dangerous REDBLACKS drive.

Manziel and the Alouettes recorded a punt single to take the lead on their ensuing drive.

A fumble would again end the next REDBLACKS drive early; this time it was the sure-handed Brad Sinopoli who couldn?t hold on after the reception.

The Alouettes wouldn?t hold possession for long. Though Manziel was able to string together three straight completions, again a receiver was unable to hold onto the ball after the catch as Adarius Bowman was stripped and the REDBLACKS recovered.

After an ill-advised decision to return a deep punt rather than conceding a single, Manziel and the Alouettes stared down a very long field, starting the drive at their four-yard line. Manziel looked cool and collected when he looked deep on first and second down with on-the-money tosses to BJ Cunningham. But the receiver couldn?t pull in either pass, and the Alouettes were forced to concede the safety.

A rough half of turnovers continued on the REDBLACKS ensuing drive. This time it was a tipped pass which was snatched out of the air by DB Chris Ackie, who never looked back as he sprinted 37 yards for the game?s first major and an 8-2 Alouettes lead.

REDBLACKS K Lewis Ward continued his remarkable rookie season, cutting into the Montreal lead with his 20th consecutive field goal.

Montreal K Boris Bede would add another single for the Alouettes on a missed field goal late in the second quarter.

Looking to strike before the half, Harris and the REDBLACKS found themselves staring down third and short inside the Alouettes 10-yard line with 12 seconds left in the half. Rather than sneaking for the first down and potentially attempting another play or the field goal, QB Dominique Davis ran a naked bootleg on a fake sneak, but just missed his target in the end zone.

Manziel knelt out the clock and the Alouettes headed to halftime up 9-5.

The REDBLACKS offence came out firing to start the second half, with Harris continuing to rack up passing yards, eclipsing 300 for the game on the drive. After methodically picking his way through the Als defence, Harris found his namesake, R.J. Harris, for the rookie receiver?s first CFL touchdown on a nifty sideline catch. The two-point convert was unsuccessful.

A decent return from William Stanback on the kickoff gave the Alouettes the ball on their own 35, and Manziel got to work. The former Heisman Trophy winner took to the ground on the drive, scrambling twice for a combined 18 yards before finding Ernest Jackson for another first down. Manziel was mere centimetres away from recording his first CFL touchdown just seconds later, again using his rushing ability on a 17-yard scramble before getting hammered at the goalline and fumbling the ball. Luckily for Manziel and the Alouettes, the loose ball was recovered by C Kristian Matte and carried over the goal line for the touchdown, re-establishing the lead for Montreal.


After a quick defensive stop, the REDBLACKS offence took over, and Harris continued to pile up the yardage. It looked as if R.J. Harris would record his second career touchdown late in the drive, but the ball was thrown just behind him and Ottawa would settle for a game-tying field goal from Ward, who surpassed Luca Congi for the most consecutive field goals by a CFL rookie with 22.

After forcing the fifth straight Montreal two and out, Harris again led his team down the field with ease, finding Diontae Spencer for a big gain before two short completions to Greg Ellingson. The REDBLACKS finished the drive with four consecutive handoffs to RB William Powell, who ground away at the Alouettes defence before rounding the corner on his final carry and plunging into the end zone for the touchdown that sealed the victory for Ottawa.

Following the victory, the REDBLACKS will head west in week 10 to face Matt Nichols and the surging Blue Bombers in Winnipeg. The Alouettes will also head to the West Division, where things won?t get any easier as they square off against Mike Reilly and the Edmonton Eskimos.