Cnotes 2019-2020 NHL Picks/News/Trends/Best Bets - Thru The Stanley Cup !

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Aston-Reese has 2 goals and assist, Penguins beat Jets 7-2
October 13, 2019
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WINNIPEG, Manitoba (AP) Injuries to some key players has forced the Pittsburgh Penguins to play a simpler game, and it's working out quite well for them.

Zach Aston-Reese, Sam Lafferty and Jake Guentzel each had two goals to lead the Pittsburgh Penguins to a 7-2 win over the Winnipeg Jets on Sunday night.

Dominik Simon also scored and Aston-Reese also had an assist for the Penguins. Tristan Jarry stopped 27 shots.

''We talk a lot about being hard to play against,'' Pittsburgh coach Mike Sullivan said. ''It starts with your own puck possession, the decisions you make, the line changes, when you change. You put your teammates in good positions because you change at the right time. The tracking on the puck and the back pressure on the puck so you have numbers back.

''For me this is the definition of being hard to play against and it's a recipe for success, regardless of who's in your lineup.''

Forwards Nick Bjugstad, Alex Galchenyuk, Evgeni Malkin and Bryan Rust are all on Pittsburgh's injured reserve list but the Penguins improved their record to 4-2-0 with their second win on the road this week.

''We've got different guys stepping up and we've got guys coming out of the lineup,'' Guentzel said. ''So it just kind of happens like that and when you lose star power like that you've just got to be simple and we're getting better at it.''

Mathieu Perreault and Mark Scheifele had goals for the Jets, and Laurent Brossoit finished with 21 saves.

Jarry, playing his first game as a starter in three weeks, shook off a lucky goal from Perreault that gave the Jets a 1-0 lead in the first period. Perreault's centering pass from behind the net bounced off a defender's stick and in.

''It's obviously something you can't control, it's something that just happens, part of the game, a weird bounce and you just have to get back and focus on what you need to do,'' Jarry said.

Winnipeg coach Paul Maurice thought the turning point was a tripping penalty in the first period that gave Pittsburgh it's second goal, followed just 41 seconds later by a third.

''We take a penalty we don't like, and then we're down 3-1,'' he said. ''We were in a fairly tight game. Not a heavy advantage to either team shot wise or chance wise. That's where I thought it turned for us.''

He also believes the Jets' power play needs work after they made good on just one of six chances.

''Well we're not clicking right,'' Maurice said. ''We don't have the zone time and we're kind of out of sorts a little bit. When we get to positions that pucks get knocked down or we're not coming up with it, we're not in a particularly good place to defend it. We're working on it.''

Both teams were playing back-to-back games and lacked zip in the first period but Jets forward Blake Wheeler didn't blame it on fatigue.

''It was right there,'' he said of their chance to win the game. ''The start was good. Through the second period, it was good. We get the power-play goal and we're down by a goal. Puck bounced the wrong way tonight.''

The home crowd's celebration after Perreault's goal was short-lived as Aston-Reese tied it up a few minutes later when, as he was falling to the ice in front of the Winnipeg net, he slipped a loose rebound past Brossoit at 4:09 for his first goal of the season.

Guentzel scored on a power play at 7:50 of the second to give the Penguins the lead and then, just 41 seconds later, a puck bounced behind the net and back out right in front of Lafferty, who slammed it in to make it 3-1.

Scheifele narrowed it by backhanding a rebound past Jarry on a power play at the 10-minute mark but Simon restored the two-goal lead with 3 1/2 minutes left as his shot pinballed through traffic before ending up in the Jets' net. It was also his first of the season.

The Jets seemed to find more steam at the start of the third after coach Paul Maurice made some line changes but couldn't turn things around, striking out on their fourth power play.

Instead, Lafferty scored again at 9:32 when his shot glanced off Winnipeg defenseman Anthony Bittetto's skate. Then Guentzel beat Brossoit for his second of the game and fourth of the season at with 8:20 left to make it 6-2.

Aston-Reese scored his second of the game short-handed on a breakaway just 7 seconds into a Winnipeg power play with 5:14 remaining.

NOTES: Winnipeg finished with a 29-28 advantage on shots on goal. ... The Jets had less trouble on their first meeting this season with the Penguins, walking away from PPG Paints Arena with a 4-1 win last Tuesday. ... Patrik Laine picked up an assist on Scheifele's goal but he couldn't score despite one great chance right in front of Jarry that went high.

UP NEXT

Penguins: Host Colorado on Wednesday night.

Jets: Host Arizona in the second game of a six-game homestand.
 

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Stastny gets 2 power-play goals, Vegas beats Kings 5-2
October 13, 2019
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LOS ANGELES (AP) Paul Stastny scored twice on the power play, Max Pacioretty added a power-play goal and the Vegas Golden Knights beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-2 on Sunday night.

Reilly Smith and Mark Stone also scored, and Marc-Andre Fleury made 36 saves as the Golden Knights swept their first set of back-to-back games.

Vegas was 3 for 3 on the power play after starting the season 3 for 17 with the man-advantage.

Jonathan Quick allowed five goals on 36 shots for the Kings. Quick has allowed 19 goals on 92 shots in his three appearances this season. He has allowed at least five goals in five of his last seven starts.

Stastny redirected Pacioretty's pass between Quick's legs to put the Golden Knights up 3-1 at 14:51 of the second period. He made it 4-1 with a one-timer on a feed from Jonathan Marchessault 2:09 later. It was Stastny's second career game with two power-play goals, and he finished with four points.

Dustin Brown pulled the Kings within 4-2 at 4:24 of the third period, but Stone pushed the lead back to three goals by scoring 17 seconds later.

Vegas went in front 1-0 at 5:42 of the first period on Smith's fourth goal of the season. Smith scored on a wrist shot from the left circle, with William Karlsson providing his sixth assist through five games.

Pacioretty scored on the power play at 6:59 to make it 2-0, scoring from the right dot after being given too much space by the Kings. But Los Angeles cut the deficit to 2-1 on Austin Wagner's first goal of the season 50 seconds later.

NOTES: Fleury played in his 804th game, passing Harry Lumley and moving into 15th place in career appearances by an NHL goalie. ... Vegas coach Gerard Gallant won his 250th NHL game. ... Golden Knights D Shea Theodore had two assists.

UP NEXT


Golden Knights: Host the Nashville Predators on Tuesday to open a two-game homestand.

Kings: Host the Carolina Hurricanes on Tuesday in the third game of a five-game homestand.


************

SHARKS 3, FLAMES 1
 

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nhl october best bets and opinions based on 5 units ( like base dogs and totals only )

date....................w-l-t....................%................units

10/13/2019............1-5-0.............16.67%..............-21.10
10/12/2019............9-8-0.............52.94%..............+3.45
10/11/2019............2-3-0.............40.00%...............-4.95
10/10/2019............8-6-1.............57.14%..............+8.60
10/09/2019............1-4-0.............20.00%...............-16.00
10/08/2019............8-5-0..............61.53%..............+17.75
10/07/2019............3-1-0..............75.00%..............+10.75
10/06/2019............2-3-0..............40.00%.................-5.95
10/05/2019............8-9-0..............47.06%.................-2.55
10/04/2019............5-3-0..............62.50%.............+10.90
10/03/2019............2-9-0..............18.18%..............-37.50
10/02/2019............3-3-0..............50.00%...............+0.65


totals................52-59-1...............46.84%...............-36.95


best bets

date...........................ats................ .units...................o/u...............units.................totals

10/13/2019................1 - 2...............-4,60.....................1 - 2..............-6.00..................-10.60
10/12/2019................2 - 3...............-4.05.....................6 - 6..............-3.00..................-7.05
10/11/2019................2 - 0...............+11.55..................0 - 3..............-16.50.................-4.95
10/10/2019................2 - 1...............+0.60....................6 - 4..............+8.00.................+8.60
10/09/2019................1 - 1...............+2.60....................1 - 1...............-0.50.................+2.10
10/08/2019................4 - 1...............+20.70..................4 - 4...............-2.00.................+18.70
10/07/2019................1 - 1...............+0.75....................2 - 0...............+10.00..............+10.75
10/06/2019................0 - 1................-5.00....................2 - 1...............+4.50...................-0.50
10/05/2019................1 - 3................-4.55....................7 - 5...............+7.50..................+2.95
10/04/2019................2 - 1...............+6.90....................3 - 2...............+4.00................+10.90
10/03/2019................0 - 4...............-20.00....................2 - 5...............-17.50................-37.50
10/02/2019................1 - 1...............+1.65....................2 - 2...............-1.00...................+0.65


totals......................13 - 19..............+6.55...................36 - 35............-12.50..................-5.95
 

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Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top six picks for Week 6 in Westgate Super Contest:

6) Saints, +1.5 (810)- W

5) Cowboys, -7 (811)- L

4) Vikings, -3 (858)- W

3) Seahawks, -1 (932)- W

2) Jaguars, -1.5 (1,111)- L

1) LA Rams, -3 (1,225)- L

2019 record: 19-16-1


**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday??

Texans 31, Chiefs 24
? Texans covered six of last seven games when getting points on the road.
? Houston ran for 192 yards; they ran 83 plays, Chiefs 47.
? AFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 8-2 ATS

? Chiefs lost consecutive home games for first time since 2013.
? KC?s first three drives: 19 plays, 176 yards, 17 points.
? KC?s last six drives: 29 plays, 145 yards, 7 points.

Jets 24, Cowboys 22
? Dallas lost its last three games after a 3-0 start.
? Cowboys scored 31+ points in their three wins, were held to 10-24-22 in losses.
? Dallas was 10-17 on third down, the Jets only 2-10.

? Darnold proves that franchise QB?s are worth every penny.
? He threw for 338 yards, including a 92-yard TD to Anderson.
? Cowboys scored TD with 0:43 left but missed on tying 2-point play.

Ravens 23, Bengals 17
? Bengals ran opening kick back for TD; their next TD was with 1:28 left in game.
? Winless Cincy has four losses by six or fewer points.
? Bengals are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as road underdogs.

? Jackson ran ball for 152 yards, 4th-most ever by a QB.
? First two Raven drives: 16 plays, 141 yards, 14 points.
? Last seven Raven drives: 38 plays, 325 yards, 9 points.

Seahawks 32, Browns 28
? Seattle had four takeaways (+3), blocked a punt.
? Seahawks trailed 20-6 in 2nd quarter, cut it to 20-18 by the half.
? Seattle is 5-1 with four wins by four of fewer points.

? Kitchens mismanaged his timeouts; needed one with 2:11 left for a challenge, but didn?t have it, and he might?ve won the challenge.
? Cleveland is 6-14 ATS in last 20 games as a favorite.
? Browns lost their first three home games; they play New England after their bye.

Saints 13, Jaguars 6
? Saints are 5-1, with no wins by more than seven points.
? New Orleans is 19-8 ATS in their last 27 road games.
? Saints are 4-0 SU/ATS with Teddy Bridgewater under center.

? Jaguars? first four drives: 14 plays, 33 yards, four punts.
? New Orleans won field position in this game by 14 yards.
? Jaguars gained only 226 yards, converted 4-14 third down plays.

Vikings 38, Eagles 20
? Eagles allowed Minnesota to gain 10.8 yards/pass attempt.
? Philly is 9-25 on 3rd down last two games (32-57 in first four games).
? This was first time this season Eagles were outscored in 2nd half (14-10).

? Cousins was 22-29/333 passing with four TD?s.
? Diggs caught seven balls for 167 yards and four TD?s.
? Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 25-7-1 ATS as a home favorite

Panthers 37, Buccaneers 26:
? Carolina is now 4-0 with Allen at QB, scoring 31.3 ppg
? Panthers sacked Winston seven times.
? Carolina started 5 drives in TB territory, won field position by 14 yards.

? Bucs turned ball over seven times on 75 plays.
? Winston in first QB since 1996 (Mark Brunell) with 400+ PY, 5+ INT?s in same game.
? Bucs allowed 31+ points in five of their six games.

Redskins 17, Dolphins 16
? McLaurin scored both Redskin TD?s, catching passes of 33-25 yards.
? Washington ran ball 33 times, threw 25 passes in Callahan?s first game as HC.
? NFC East teams are 4-12 ATS outside their division.

? Fitzpatrick came off bench, rallied Dolphins for two 4th quarter TD?s, their first 2nd half points this season.
? Miami scored with 0:06 left, went for 2 points and the win- they missed.
? Dolphins were outscored 149-36 in their first four home games.

49ers 20, Rams 7
? Under Shanahan, SF is 10-7 ATS as a road underdog. 3-0 this year.
? TE George Kittle had eight catches for 103 yards.
? This was first time since 2001 that these rivals met when both sides were over .500.

? Rams lost their last three games, after a 3-0 start.
? Goff threw for 912 yards in previous two games, but had only 78 in this game.
? LA converted only seven of last 31 third down plays.

Cardinals 34, Falcons 33
? Atlanta rallied back from down 27-10, scored TD with 1:53 left, but missed PAT.
? Ryan was 30-36/356 passing, with four TD passes.
? Falcons are 4-16 ATS in their last 20 road games

? Arizona won its last two games by total of 4 points, after an 0-2-1 start.
? Cardinals? first five drives: 46 plays, 357 yards, three TD?s, two FG?s.
? Arizona is 15-10-1 ATS in its last 26 games as a home underdog.

Broncos 16, Titans 0
? Tennessee lost 4 of last 5 games; they scored one TD on their last 25 drives.
? Titans scored 43-24 points in their wins, 17-7-7-0 in losses.
? Last four Tennessee games stayed under the total.

? Denver won its last two games after an 0-4 start.
? Broncos? only TD here came on a 41-yard drive.
? Denver held the Titans to 39 yards on 21 rushing attempts.

Steelers 24, Chargers 17
? Pittsburgh scored a defensive TD 4:09 into the game.
? Steelers led 24-0 after three quarters, get win in Devlin?s first NFL start.
? Pitt is 17-8-1 ATS in last 26 games as a road underdog

? San Diego is 8th-largest city in country; why did Chargers leave there?
? Sounded like crowd was at least 80% Steeler fans.
? Chargers are 2-9 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
 

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NHL

Monday, October 14


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston Bruins
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Anaheim
Boston is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Anaheim
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Anaheim is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games
Anaheim is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Anaheim is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Anaheim's last 9 games on the road
Anaheim is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
Anaheim is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston

New Jersey Devils
New Jersey is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
New Jersey is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games
New Jersey is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing Florida
New Jersey is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
New Jersey is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
Florida Panthers
Florida is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Florida is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Florida's last 15 games
Florida is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Florida is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Florida is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
Florida is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey

New York Islanders
NY Islanders is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
NY Islanders is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Islanders's last 16 games
NY Islanders is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
NY Islanders is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
St. Louis Blues
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
St. Louis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders

Ottawa Senators
Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Dallas Stars
Dallas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Dallas is 4-7-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

Washington Capitals
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Colorado is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Colorado's last 14 games on the road
Colorado is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Colorado is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Washington
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington

Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games
Chicago is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
Chicago is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Chicago is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Edmonton is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
 

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NHL
Dunkel

Monday, October 14



Anaheim @ Boston

Game 7-8
October 14, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
11.413
Boston
12.811
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-200
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-200); Over

Minnesota @ Ottawa


Game 5-6
October 14, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
10.388
Ottawa
8.913
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-140
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-140); Under

St. Louis @ NY Islanders


Game 3-4
October 14, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
10.673
NY Islanders
12.154
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-130
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(+110); Under

Florida @ New Jersey


Game 1-2
October 14, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
10.294
New Jersey
9.187
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Jersey
-110
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-110); Over

Dallas @ Buffalo


Game 9-10
October 14, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
10.967
Buffalo
9.985
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-105); Under

Colorado @ Washington


Game 11-12
October 14, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
11.922
Washington
10.289
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-135
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+115); Under

Edmonton @ Chicago


Game 13-14
October 14, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
10.392
Chicago
11.426
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
-140
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-140); Over
 

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Long Sheet

Monday, October 14


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (1-2-0-2, 4 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (0-3-0-2, 2 pts.) - 10/14/2019, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 89-73 ATS (-2.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 3-3 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 3-3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (3-1-0-1, 7 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (2-3-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/14/2019, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 54-41 ATS (-0.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 130-105 ATS (+236.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 285-203 ATS (+29.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 12-2 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 3-1 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 3-1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (0-4-0-0, 0 pts.) at OTTAWA (1-3-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/14/2019, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 37-49 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 116-105 ATS (-16.0 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
OTTAWA is 155-134 ATS (-36.3 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
OTTAWA is 172-156 ATS (-117.3 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
OTTAWA is 222-179 ATS (-82.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-0 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-0-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)

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ANAHEIM (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.) at BOSTON (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/14/2019, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 3-15 ATS (+18.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 261-216 ATS (+31.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 454-464 ATS (+950.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-2-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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DALLAS (1-4-0-1, 3 pts.) at BUFFALO (4-0-0-1, 9 pts.) - 10/14/2019, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 27-40 ATS (-19.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 31-19 ATS (+10.4 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 261-170 ATS (+58.8 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 232-158 ATS (+38.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 223-244 ATS (+518.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

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COLORADO (4-0-0-0, 8 pts.) at WASHINGTON (3-1-0-2, 8 pts.) - 10/14/2019, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 120-82 ATS (+210.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 64-48 ATS (+3.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 101-69 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
COLORADO is 97-87 ATS (+193.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
COLORADO is 131-110 ATS (+252.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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EDMONTON (5-0-0-0, 10 pts.) at CHICAGO (0-2-0-1, 1 pts.) - 10/14/2019, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
CHICAGO is 16-34 ATS (+50.0 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 10-28 ATS (+46.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-3 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)
 

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1FLORIDA -2 NEW JERSEY
FLORIDA is 3-21 ATS (-20.1 Units) in road games after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

3ST LOUIS -4 NY ISLANDERS
ST LOUIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons.

5MINNESOTA -6 OTTAWA
OTTAWA is 116-105 ATS (0.5 Units) at home when the total is >=6 since 1996.

7ANAHEIM -8 BOSTON
BOSTON is 20-5 ATS (14.5 Units) after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons.

9DALLAS -10 BUFFALO
DALLAS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

9DALLAS -10 BUFFALO
Jim Montgomery is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread (Coach of DALLAS)

11COLORADO -12 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 102-59 ATS (36 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the last 3 seasons.

13EDMONTON -14 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 10-28 ATS (-19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
 

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MONDAY, OCTOBER 14
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


DAL at BUF 03:00 PM
BUF +102
U 5.5


COL at WAS 05:00 PM
COL +110
O 6.0


EDM at CHI 08:30 PM
EDM +103
U 6.5
 

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nhl october best bets and opinions based on 5 units ( like base dogs and totals only )

date....................w-l-t....................%................units

10/14/2019............5-1-0.............83.33%.............+20.60
10/13/2019............1-5-0.............16.67%..............-21.10
10/12/2019............9-8-0.............52.94%..............+3.45
10/11/2019............2-3-0.............40.00%...............-4.95
10/10/2019............8-6-1.............57.14%..............+8.60
10/09/2019............1-4-0.............20.00%...............-16.00
10/08/2019............8-5-0..............61.53%..............+17.75
10/07/2019............3-1-0..............75.00%..............+10.75
10/06/2019............2-3-0..............40.00%.................-5.95
10/05/2019............8-9-0..............47.06%.................-2.55
10/04/2019............5-3-0..............62.50%.............+10.90
10/03/2019............2-9-0..............18.18%..............-37.50
10/02/2019............3-3-0..............50.00%...............+0.65


totals................57-60-1...............48.71%...............-16.35


best bets

date...........................ats................ .units...................o/u...............units.................totals


10/14/2019................2 - 1...............+5.60....................3 - 0.............+15.00...............+20.60
10/13/2019................1 - 2...............-4,60.....................1 - 2..............-6.00..................-10.60
10/12/2019................2 - 3...............-4.05.....................6 - 6..............-3.00..................-7.05
10/11/2019................2 - 0...............+11.55..................0 - 3..............-16.50.................-4.95
10/10/2019................2 - 1...............+0.60....................6 - 4..............+8.00.................+8.60
10/09/2019................1 - 1...............+2.60....................1 - 1...............-0.50.................+2.10
10/08/2019................4 - 1...............+20.70..................4 - 4...............-2.00.................+18.70
10/07/2019................1 - 1...............+0.75....................2 - 0...............+10.00..............+10.75
10/06/2019................0 - 1................-5.00....................2 - 1...............+4.50...................-0.50
10/05/2019................1 - 3................-4.55....................7 - 5...............+7.50..................+2.95
10/04/2019................2 - 1...............+6.90....................3 - 2...............+4.00................+10.90
10/03/2019................0 - 4...............-20.00....................2 - 5...............-17.50................-37.50
10/02/2019................1 - 1...............+1.65....................2 - 2...............-1.00...................+0.65


totals......................15 - 20..............+12.15...................39 - 35............+2.50..................+14.65
 

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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Interesting college football games on this week?s card:

? Florida State @ Wake Forest (-2)

? NC State (-2.5) @ Boston College

? Oregon (-3) @ Washington

? Arizona @ USC (-9)

? Florida (-5) @ South Carolina

? Baylor @ Oklahoma State (-3.5)


**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but??.

13) Watching the Rams? ugly performance in Sunday?s loss to San Francisco, it dawned on me that I should research how other teams have done the year after losing the Super Bowl.

From 2001-08, only one of eight Super Bowl losers made the playoffs again the next year, but from 2009-18, nine of ten teams did make the playoffs, even going 6-3 SU in their first playoff game that second season. Only one of those teams (NE 2018) got back to the Super Bowl.

We?ve talked a lot here about how competitive the NFL is, and lot of small things have to go in your favor for a team to have success; I?m guessing the schedule makers are also less forgiving to the conference champs. Success is fragile, that much we know.

12) I?ll say this; enjoy success while you can. Detroit Lions won three NFL titles in the 50?s, but have never made it to a Super Bowl, and haven?t won a playoff game since 1991.

11) If I was an NFL coach and my 3rd-string QB was making his first NFL start, I?d want my Hall of Fame QB (who is currently hurt) to go on that road trip, to help mentor the rookie QB.

But Ben Roethlisberger didn?t go to LA this weekend; coach Tomlin simply said ?Injured players don?t make road trips?

10) San Diego is the 8th-largest city in America; why did the Chargers leave there? It makes no sense to me; what happens if they don?t sell a decent amount of tickets in the new LA dome next year? Can they go back to San Diego?

Can?t be much fun for the Charger players, when fans at their ?home? games are mostly rooting for the other team.

9) Underdogs went 9-3 ATS Sunday; gambling is difficult.

8) Jay Gruden said over the weekend that coaches without final say over his team?s roster have to manage different staff and roster dynamics; ?That?s the hardest part of coaching in the National Football League, in my opinion.?

That from a guy who just got fired, so he would know.

7) Back when I was in college 40 or so years ago, I got mononucleosis and was off the grid for 2-3 weeks; can?t remember how much weight I lost, but I do remember that I was 168 scrawny pounds when I went back to school, having probably lost around 20 pounds. Many moons ago, and if you know me, there was no problem regaining all that weight.

Was surprised to read that Sam Darnold only lost three or four pounds during his bout with mono. Protein shakes must do the trick; he played really well against Dallas Sunday.

6) One thing the NFL need to fix is how over-officiated their games are; former refs are TV stars now, pass interference instant replay is a joke (they almost never overturn a PI call/non-call), there is a flag thrown on most every kick return. Stop throwing so many flags!!!!

One thing bugs me a lot; stop calling taunting penalties!!! Or if you call them, just throw a flag, call it on both sides as a warning for guys to STFU, and move on. Coaches will tell guys to shut up and the game can go on. No one pays to watch the officials.

When Carson Wentz blew his knee out two years ago, it happened on a drive that should?ve ended three plays earlier, but the ref called a taunting penalty on a DB after a failed third down play. Eagles would?ve kicked a FG had the taunting penalty not been called, and Wentz wouldn?t have gotten hurt.

5) Quarterbacks and guys who run with/catch the ball get all the credit, but if your offensive line isn?t strong, your offense has no chance, especially if the QB isn?t mobile. When an OL struggles, people are quick to point fingers, but they?re reluctant to give credit in the good times.

4) Couple of quick NFL trends:
? Chiefs covered 11 of their last 13 AFC West road games.
? Last 12 times Tennessee failed to cover consecutive games, they went 11-1 ATS in the third game.

3) NFL TV ratings are up 6% so far this season.

2) Philip Rivers? career record against the spread:
? As a favorite: 64-71-3
? As an underdog or pick ?em: 41-31-3

1) Packers 23, Lions 22
? Detroit got inside Packers? 10-yard line on first three drives, scored 13 points.
? Lions are 2-2-1 despite a +6 turnover ratio.
? Loss ends Detroit?s 4-game series win streak.

? Green Bay won despite a minus-3 turnover ratio (0-3).
? Packers outgained Detroit 447-229, but scored only 13 points on four red zone drives.
? Lions lost despite a 12-yard advantage in field position.
 
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In the Crease - Week 3
Joe Williams

Streaky Teams

Wins and Losses Streak Over/Under Streak
Buffalo 5-0-1 past six games overall Anaheim Under 5-1 past six games
Carolina 5-1-0 past six games overall Arizona Under 4-0 past four games
Colorado 5-0-0 past five games overall Los Angeles Over 5-0 past five games
Edmonton 5-1-0 past six games overall Montreal Over 4-0-1 past five games
New Jersey 0-4-2 past six games overall Nashville Over 5-0 past five games

West Coast Fair

The Carolina Hurricanes opened the season with a 5-0-0 record in their first five games for the first time in franchise history. They won their fifth game by a 5-2 score against the New York Islanders this past Friday, but fell 3-2 at home in the second end of a back-to-back against the Columbus Blue Jackets. Now, they'll head out on the road for an early-season west-coast swing.

If you ever wondered why it seems the Hurricanes are always on a lengthy road trip to begin the season, it's due to the North Carolina State Fair. PNC Arena and Carter-Finley Stadium, where N.C. State football plays, are right next to the state fairgrounds. The parking for the state fair uses the lots for Carter-Finley and PNC Arena, so the Hurricanes are on the road in the middle of October every season. They head to Los Angeles on Tuesday, San Jose on Wednesday and Anaheim on Friday before traveling to Columbus on Oct. 24 after six days off. Their next home game isn't until Oct. 26, a matinee battle against the Chicago Blackhawks.

Looking Ahead

Tuesday, Oct. 15


Tampa Bay at Montreal: The Lightning head to Bell Centre as slight road favories. They are ice-cold, going 0-5 over the past five as a road favorite, including a stunning loss at Ottawa over the weekend. The home team has come away with victories in four of the past five meetings in this series, with the 'under' cashing in four of the past five. That's a stark contrast to what's been happening for Montreal overall, as the 'over' is 4-0-1 in their five games overall, including 1-0-1 in two home outings. In fact, the Canadiens are averaging 4.3 goals per game while yielding 4.3 goals per outing.

Arizona at Winnipeg: The Coyotes and Jets meet in Winnipeg. The 'under' has connected in all four games for Arizona so far, as they have scratched out seven goals while allowing a total of seven. Four of the goals scored came in their win against Vegas on Oct. 10, so it's been mostly a power outage for the Coyotes on offense. In their two road games the Coyotes are 0-1-1, losing at Anaheim on Oct. 3 and Colorado on Oct. 12. The Jets started out on the road, splitting four games in the New York City area, and one game at Pittsburgh. They are coming off a 7-2 beatdown at the hands of the Penguins, as G Laurent Brossoit took one for the team. G Connor Hellebuyck will be in between the pipes against the 'Yotes.

Philadelphia at Calgary: The Flyers are on the second of a their three-game western Canada swing after falling 3-2 in Vancouver in a shootout on Saturday. The Flames have yet to hit their stride offensively, scoring three or fewer goals in all six games so far, while coughing up three or more goals in four of their six affairs. They're back home for the first time since Oct. 8, as they look to treat the home fans to a better result than the 4-3 overtime loss they saw against Los Angeles in the Saddledome last time out. The 'over' has connected in five of the past seven meetings in this series.

Wednesday, Oct. 16

Toronto at Washington: The road team has connected in five of the past seven meetings in this series, so Toronto has that going for them. However, they have won just six of the past 20 in this series. Alex Ovechkin and the Caps just seem to have their number, and the favorite has connected in 20 of the past 28 in this series. They might be catching the Capitals in a good spot, however, as they have dropped four of the past five, including two in regulation and two in overtime. The last time out Washington was doubled up by Colorado on Monday by a 6-3 score. The 'over' is 3-1 in the past four for the Caps.

Buffalo at Anaheim: The Sabres head out to 'The Pond' to battle the Ducks. Buffalo will be looking to snap a four-game skid against Pacific Division foes. Anaheim has been solid when favored, winning four in a row. However, facing the Eastern Conference hasn't been kind to them lately, going 6-15 in the past 21. The road team has won five of the past six meetings in this series, too, while the 'dog has barked in four of the past five meetings. That might mean it's a good idea to fade Anaheim, with Buffalo a solid value on the road.

Thursday, Oct. 17

N.Y. Rangers at New Jersey: The Devils are looking to avenge a 6-4 loss in Newark against the Panthers, 6-4. They'll face a familiar foe in the Rangers. The Blueshirts won three of the four regular-season meetings in this series last year, although New Jersey won 4-2 in the last meeting on April 1, no foolin'. The home team has won six of the past seven in this series between NYC Metro rivals. The Rangers have been so-so in their three games to date. However, the power play has been clicking, hitting at a 33.3 percent clip to rank fourth during the early going. The penalty kill ranks 13th at 83.3 percent.

Nashville at Arizona: The Predators skate into the desert to face the Coyotes, and Arizona actually won this season series 2-1 in 2018-19. The Preds avoided the season sweep with a 5-2 win in the Music City last Feb. 5, but Arizona won 3-0 in Nashville on Nov. 29 and 2-1 at home on Nov. 15 in the only meeting in the Valley of the Sun. The Coyotes have actually won five of the past six against the Predators in Glendale dating back to the 2014-15 when the Predators swept the three-game season series. Nashville has struggled early on, ranking 25th on the power play at 16.2 percent while going 18th on the penalty kill at 80.8 percent.
 

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15MINNESOTA -16 TORONTO
MINNESOTA is 14-6 ATS (13 Units) in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

17TAMPA BAY -18 MONTREAL
TAMPA BAY is 34-6 ATS (23.3 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

19ARIZONA -20 WINNIPEG
ARIZONA is 34-96 ATS (-45.4 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1996.

21PHILADELPHIA -22 CALGARY
PHILADELPHIA is 15-26 ATS (-16.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

23NASHVILLE -24 VEGAS
VEGAS are 2-9 ATS (-10.5 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving <= 89.5% of shots against over the last 2 seasons.

25DETROIT -26 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 187-196 ATS (-28.6 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days since 1996.

27CAROLINA -28 LOS ANGELES
LOS ANGELES are 14-28 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons
 

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NHL

Tuesday, October 15


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Montreal Canadiens
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games
Montreal is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Montreal is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games at home
Montreal is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Montreal is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Montreal is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Montreal is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games
Toronto is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Toronto is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Toronto's last 14 games when playing Minnesota
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Minnesota's last 14 games when playing Toronto
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto

Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Winnipeg is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Winnipeg is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Arizona Coyotes
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Arizona's last 12 games
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg

Calgary Flames
Calgary is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Calgary is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Calgary is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 11 games at home
Calgary is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Calgary
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary

Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vancouver's last 9 games
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games at home
Vancouver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Red Wings
Detroit is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
Detroit is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Vancouver
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Vancouver

Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Vegas is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vegas's last 11 games at home
Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing Nashville
Nashville Predators
Nashville is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Nashville's last 12 games on the road
Nashville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Vegas

Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
Los Angeles is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games at home
Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Carolina
Los Angeles is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 11 games on the road
Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
 

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NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 15



Minnesota @ Toronto

Game 15-16
October 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
10.071
Toronto
12.489
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-200
6
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-200); Under

Tampa Bay @ Montreal


Game 17-18
October 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
11.788
Montreal
10.147
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-140
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-140); Over

Arizona @ Winnipeg


Game 19-20
October 15, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
11.373
Winnipeg
9.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-130
6
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+110); Over

Philadelphia @ Calgary


Game 21-22
October 15, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
10.624
Calgary
9.180
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-150
6
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+130); Under

Detroit @ Vancouver


Game 25-26
October 15, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
9.995
Vancouver
12.385
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 2 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vancouver
-150
6
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(-150); Under

Nashville @ Vegas


Game 23-24
October 15, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nashville
9.507
Vegas
12.805
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-135
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-135); Over

Carolina @ Los Angeles


Game 27-28
October 15, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
10.591
Los Angeles
11.962
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-155
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+135); Under
 

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NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 15


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (1-4-0-0, 2 pts.) at TORONTO (3-2-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/15/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (2-2-0-1, 5 pts.) at MONTREAL (2-1-0-2, 6 pts.) - 10/15/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 413-431 ATS (-132.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 188-215 ATS (-75.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 64-27 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 33-12 ATS (+13.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 23-6 ATS (+13.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 6-2-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (1-2-0-1, 3 pts.) at WINNIPEG (4-3-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/15/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 27-57 ATS (+100.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 31-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-1 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (2-0-0-1, 5 pts.) at CALGARY (2-3-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/15/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 436-388 ATS (-125.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-26 ATS (-16.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-6 ATS (+20.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-1 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NASHVILLE (3-2-0-0, 6 pts.) at VEGAS (4-2-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/15/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 47-91 ATS (+147.5 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
VEGAS is 53-32 ATS (-2.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
VEGAS is 19-5 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 26-12 ATS (+11.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 3-3 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 3-3-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (3-2-0-0, 6 pts.) at VANCOUVER (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/15/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 125-148 ATS (-81.6 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 2-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (5-1-0-0, 10 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (2-3-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/15/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 144-236 ATS (+428.0 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
CAROLINA is 77-138 ATS (+243.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
CAROLINA is 28-13 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 26-55 ATS (+83.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 2-2 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 2-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.3 Units)
 

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by: Monty Andrews


ONE-SIDED RIVALRY

The Winnipeg Jets have shown no mercy on the Arizona Coyotes as they prepare to host the franchise that used to carry their name in a Tuesday night encounter. The Jets (2.0) have won 14 of the previous 18 meetings between the teams since the start of the 2014-15 season, including a 4-2 triumph in their previous showdown on April 7.

The Jets have another trend working in their favor in this one: the home team has prevailed in 10 of the last 13 games between the clubs. The Coyotes enter the week going 4-0 to the Under, having seen just 14 total goals scored in their first four games.


OVER AND ABOVE

Bettors who took the Over on the period totals between the Colorado Avalanche and Pittsburgh Penguins last season might still be counting their winnings. Two of the most dangerous offensive teams in the league face off Wednesday night in Pennsylvania in the first of two regular-season meetings ? and fans and bettors alike can only hope this year's games turn out a lot like last year's.

Each team secured a 6-3 home victory against the other, and five of the six periods in those two games featured three or more goals scored. Live betting the Over on a period goal total could be a worthwhile option in this one.


LOADING UP

The odds might be the lowest of any player props you'll encounter this week ? but it could pay handsomely to consider a trio of Edmonton Oilers skaters for Wednesday's home encounter with the Philadelphia Flyers. Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl and James Neal should all offer terrible payouts on the points prop, with McDavid and Draisaitl entering the week ranked 1-2 in league scoring and Neal having potted seven goals through the first five games.

With the Flyers playing in Calgary the night before and the Oilers enjoying home-ice advantage, all three are terrific plays on either their goal or point props.


NARROW VICTORIES

You have to give it to the New Jersey Devils and New York Rangers: when they square off, things are tense right up to the final minute of play. The Metropolitan Division (and geographical) rivals renew acquaintances Thursday night at Prudential Center in Newark having split their previous eight meetings overall.

Even more incredibly, six of those seven games were decided by a goal while three went to extra time. There are a couple of different directions bettors can go here; either by taking one team or the other to prevail via a one-goal margin, or to pick Yes on the extra-time prop.


GOALIE PROFILE: JONATHAN QUICK, LOS ANGELES KINGS

Could this be the end of Quick as a competent NHL netminder? It sure looks like it through the early stages of the season, with Quick ranking dead last among qualifies netminders in goals-against average (6.43) and save percentage (.793) entering the week.

Don't be surprised to see a lot more of Jack Campbell, who has won both of his starts while boasting much more respectable ? though not exactly elite ? statistics (3.48 GAA, .885 SV%) Until one of these guys hits his stride, the Over will continue to be a strong play in Kings games, with Los Angeles coming into the week a perfect 5-0 O/U.


INJURY UPDATE: D NIKLAS HJALMARSSON, ARIZONA COYOTES

We have one more reason to like the Jets in Tuesday night's encounter with the visiting Coyotes. Defenseman Niklas Hjalmarsson suffered a cracked fibula last weekend and is expected to be lost for up to three months.

It's a devastating injury for the Coyotes, who have been one of the more defensively sound teams in the NHL ? having given up just seven goals through their first four games of the season. But while an injury to a key defenseman might improve that team's Over chances the majority of the time, we still like the Coyotes as an Under play given that they've also scored just seven goals in four games entering the week.


HAT TRICK TRENDS

? Home ice wasn't much of an advantage at all last week. Home teams won less than half their games over the previous seven days, converting only 47.7 percent of the time (21-18-5). Things were just as dismal for home favorites, who won outright at a surprisingly low 47.1-percent pace (16-13-5) overall.

? Over bettors who haven't been deterred by all those 6s and 6.5s have been rewarded handsomely so far, with the Over cashing 40 times compared to the Under at 35 conversions entering the new week. Last week saw 24 games end Over the total, with 19 games coming in below the number; extra-time games were actually 5-6 O/U for the week.

? Four teams accustomed to being near the bottom of the league standings in recent years have been the best value bets of the season in the early going. The unbeaten Edmonton Oilers lead the way at +4.95 units overall, with the Buffalo Sabres coming into the week at No. 2 (+3.46). Detroit rounds out the top three (+3.37) with Carolina ranked fourth (+3.22).
 

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TUESDAY, OCTOBER 15
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


TB at MON 07:00 PM
MON +122
U 6.5


MIN at TOR 07:00 PM
O 6.5

ARI at WIN 08:00 PM
ARI +110
O 6.0


PHI at CAL 09:00 PM
PHI +132
O 6.0


DET at VAN 10:00 PM
U 6.0

NAS at VEG 10:00 PM
U 6.5

CAR at LA 10:30 PM
U 6.5
 

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Vasilevskiy leads Lightning past Habs
October 15, 2019
By The Associated Press

MONTREAL (AP) Andrei Vasilevskiy made 33 saves to help the Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montreal Canadiens 3-1 on Tuesday night in the fifth game of a six-game road trip.

Braydon Coburn, Steven Stamkos and Tyler Johnson scored for the Lightning (3-2-1), who were coming off a 4-2 loss to the Ottawa Senators. Nikita Kucherov added two assists.

The 25-year-old Vasilevskiy improved to 8-1-2 in his career against Montreal.

Jeff Petry scored the lone goal for the Canadiens (2-2-2) while Carey Price stopped 19-of-22 shots in defeat.

The Canadiens came into the matchup with the league's fourth-best offense, scoring four goals per game, but they could only get one past Vasilevskiy.

MAPLE LEAFS 4, WILD 2

TORONTO (AP) - Mitch Marner had a goal and two assists and Toronto overcame a slow start and beat Minnesota.

Andreas Johnsson had a goal and an assist, and Auston Matthews and John Tavares also scored for Toronto. Frederik Andersen made 27 saves.

Maple Leafs defenseman Morgan Rielly added four assists in the second period, tying a franchise record for assists in a period of a regular-season game set by Rick Vaive on March 12, 1984.

Luke Kunin and Gerald Mayhew scored for Minnesota. Devan Dubnyk stopped 30 shots for the Wild, who were coming off a 2-0 win at Ottawa on Monday.

COYOTES 4, JETS 2

WINNIPEG, Manitoba (AP) - Christian Dvorak scored a pair of goals and Arizona beat Winnipeg.

The Coyotes had lost 10 straight games in Winnipeg, since the Jets franchise moved from Atlanta in 2011.

Nick Schmaltz had a goal and two assists for Arizona and Conor Garland also scored. Oliver Ekman-Larsson finished with two assists. Darcy Kuemper made 38 saves for the Coyotes.

Mark Scheifele had a goal and an assist and extended his point streak to five games with his team-leading fourth goal of the season for Winnipeg. Kyle Connor also scored for Winnipeg, and Josh Morrissey had a pair of assists. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 31 shots for the Jets.

FLAMES 3, FLYERS 1

CALGARY, Alberta (AP) - Michael Frolik scored in his 800th NHL game and Calgary beat Philadelphia.

Frolik scored the 154th goal of his 13-season career, fifth as a member of the Flames.

Andrew Mangiapane also scored, and Elias Lindholm added an empty-net goal for Calgary, which snapped a two-game losing skid.

David Rittich made 21 saves and improved to 3-2 on the season.

Defenseman Matt Niskanen scored for the Flyers. Brian Elliott made 35 saves in his first start of the season.

PREDATORS 5, KNIGHTS 2

CANUCKS 5, RED WINGS 1

HURRICANES 2, KINGS 0
 

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nhl october best bets and opinions based on 5 units ( like base dogs and totals only )

date....................w-l-t....................%................units


10/15/2019............3-5-2.............37.50%.............-11.00
10/14/2019............5-1-0.............83.33%.............+20.60
10/13/2019............1-5-0.............16.67%..............-21.10
10/12/2019............9-8-0.............52.94%..............+3.45
10/11/2019............2-3-0.............40.00%...............-4.95
10/10/2019............8-6-1.............57.14%..............+8.60
10/09/2019............1-4-0.............20.00%...............-16.00
10/08/2019............8-5-0..............61.53%..............+17.75
10/07/2019............3-1-0..............75.00%..............+10.75
10/06/2019............2-3-0..............40.00%.................-5.95
10/05/2019............8-9-0..............47.06%.................-2.55
10/04/2019............5-3-0..............62.50%.............+10.90
10/03/2019............2-9-0..............18.18%..............-37.50
10/02/2019............3-3-0..............50.00%...............+0.65


totals................60-65-1...............48.00%...............-27.35


best bets

date...........................ats................ .units...................o/u...............units.................totals


10/15/2019................1 - 2...............-4.50.....................2 - 3.............-6.50..................-11.00
10/14/2019................2 - 1...............+5.60....................3 - 0.............+15.00...............+20.60
10/13/2019................1 - 2...............-4,60.....................1 - 2..............-6.00..................-10.60
10/12/2019................2 - 3...............-4.05.....................6 - 6..............-3.00..................-7.05
10/11/2019................2 - 0...............+11.55..................0 - 3..............-16.50.................-4.95
10/10/2019................2 - 1...............+0.60....................6 - 4..............+8.00.................+8.60
10/09/2019................1 - 1...............+2.60....................1 - 1...............-0.50.................+2.10
10/08/2019................4 - 1...............+20.70..................4 - 4...............-2.00.................+18.70
10/07/2019................1 - 1...............+0.75....................2 - 0...............+10.00..............+10.75
10/06/2019................0 - 1................-5.00....................2 - 1...............+4.50...................-0.50
10/05/2019................1 - 3................-4.55....................7 - 5...............+7.50..................+2.95
10/04/2019................2 - 1...............+6.90....................3 - 2...............+4.00................+10.90
10/03/2019................0 - 4...............-20.00....................2 - 5...............-17.50................-37.50
10/02/2019................1 - 1...............+1.65....................2 - 2...............-1.00...................+0.65


totals......................16 - 22..............+7.65...................41 - 38............-4.00..................+3.65
 
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