CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack
Biggest upsets in NCAA Tournament history:
2023– FDU (+23.5) 63-58 over Purdue
2012— Norfolk State (+21.5) 86-84 over Missouri
2018— UMBC (+20.5) 74-54 over Virginia
1993— Santa Clara (+20) 64-61 over Arizona
1997— Coppin State (+18.5) 78-65 over South Carolina
2022— Saint Peter’s (+18) 85-79 over Kentucky

Quote of the Day
“I understand what this program is about. That’s what makes it what it is, and that’s why I tell players, it’s not for everybody because expectations are so high.”
John Calipari, talking about playing for Kentucky

Monday’s quiz
When Santa Clara upset Arizona in the 1993 NCAA’s, what future NBA star was playing for the Broncos?

Last Tuesday’s quiz
Last year was the last time a team lower than a #4 seed got to the Final Four; North Carolina was a #8-seed when they lost the national title game to Kansas.

Last Monday’s quiz
2015 was the last time three #1-seeds got to the Final Four.

**************************

Monday’s Den: Things I learned this week……..

Good to be back; the last 8-9 days were kind of cruddy, but things are better now, so we can begin again. Here are some things I learned in the last week:

College basketball:
— This year’s Sweet 16 contains teams from 11 different leagues:
3— SEC, Big East
2— Big X
1— from eight other leagues

— Miami’s win Sunday night saved the ACC from not having any teams in the Sweet 16; that, according to my records, hasn’t happened since the Field went to 64 in the mid-80’s.

— Princeton is first Ivy League team since Cornell in 2010 to make the Sweet 16; Tigers held Arizona/Missouri to 55-63 points, very impressive. Princeton never trailed against Missouri, which was kind of shocking; they play Creighton in the Sweet 16 Friday.

— #15 or #16-seeds who have made the Sweet 16:
2023— Princeton
2022— Saint Peter’s
2021— Oral Roberts
2013— Florida Gulf Coast

Had never happened until 2013, now it happened three years in a row. The game is changing.

— Teams are more fragile now; rosters are cobbled together every spring/summer, and the fiber of a team isn’t what it once was. Players transfer A LOT; so when practice starts in October, it takes a while to build some chemistry.

NCAA Selection Committee used to use “last 10 games” as a reason to choose/not choose a team for the tournament. Going back to that criteria wouldn’t be a bad idea; teams get on a roll at the right time, which is where Princeton is where they are.

— Purdue’s last three NCAA Tournaments:
2023— #1-seed, lost 63-58 to #16-seed Fairleigh Dickinson in first round
2022— #3-seed, lost 67-64 to #15-seed Saint Peter’s in Sweet 16
2021— #4-seed, lost 78-69 in OT to #13-seed North Texas first round

Purdue had 7-4 Zach Edey this year, who is going to be really good in the NBA; in the last 12:00 against FDU, Edey took one shot. One freakin’ shot, against the shortest team in America.

Oy.

— Virginia’s last four NCAA tournaments:
2018— #1-seed, lost by 20 to #16-seed UMBC in the first round.
2019— #1-seed, won the national championship

2021— #4-seed, lost to #13-seed Ohio U in first round
2023— #4-seed, lost 68-67 to #13-seed Furman in first round

Talk about peaks and valleys. Jeez.

— Under went 20-4 in Friday/Saturday games; referees weren’t calling many fouls. Players have to play thru contact. Lot of times I watch games with no sound; you see a play, wait for players to stop and shoot foul shots, but not fouls are called. A ton of contact went uncalled this weekend.

— Tennessee flat-out intimidated Duke; they contested every step the Blue Devils took, the much-older Vols forced their will on Duke, pushed them all over the court. Filipowski had a cut under his left eye in the first 5:00 of the game— he probably needed 3-4 stitches afterwards.

This is what FAU coach Dusty May had to say about playing Tennessee next:
“We’re going to study Australian rugby rules and get ready for the Vols.”

— Big X made a lot of noise this this winter about how they were the best league and for the most part, they were, but their teams laid an egg this weekend, going 7-5 overall, 5-2 in first round, 2-3 in second round— only Kansas State, Texas are left. Not good enough.

Creighton played three starters 37:00+ in Denver’s high altitude, still shot 11-24 on the arc, scored 1.21 points/possession, in a fairly easy win. Ugly performance by Baylor’s defense.

— Arkansas is in the Sweet 16 for the third year in a row; surprised Eric Musselman is still the coach there. Thought a bigger $$$ school might’ve scooped him up by now.

— Apparently St John’s offered Rick Pitino their coaching job, which should attract a lot of the headlines early this week. Once Pitino decides, more coaching dominos will fall.

Coaching changes:
— Ole Miss hired former Texas coach Chris Beard.
— Georgia Tech hired former NBA player/Pacific coach Damon Stoudamire.
— Bowling Green hired former Southern Utah coach Todd Simon
— McNeese State hired former LSU coach Will Wade.
— Western Kentucky hired A&M-Corpus Christi coach Steve Lutz

Baseball:
— Jose Altuve is the best player on my fantasy team; he broke his thumb in the World Baseball thing this weekend, making this week even more joyous. Altuve will be out 8-10 weeks.

NFL:
— Rams traded DB Jalen Ramsey to Miami for a 3rd-round pick
— Buccaneers signed QB Baker Mayfield.
— Panthers signed WR Adam Thielen, QB Andy Dalton
— New England signed TE Mike Gesicki
— Colts signed K Matt Gay
— Eagles signed QB Marcus Mariota
— Colts signed QB Gardner Minshew
— Commanders signed QB Jacoby Brissett
— San Francisco signed QB Sam Darnold

Regular life:
— You can go online and order groceries and someone will bring them to your house; had no idea this was a thing, it isn’t that hard to get them yourself, but I utilized the service this week and it made things a lot better.

— Postponed today’s trip to Las Vegas, which sucks; UConn-Arkansas, UCLA/Gonzaga would have been great fun Thursday night, but now they’ll be fun to watch on TV. There will be other trips; have to start planning one.

— Red Gatorade is very good; I hadn’t had Gatorade in a long, long time, but I was told to drink a lot of fluids to avoid getting dehydrated, so Gatorade was it (some Vitamin Water, too, but that doesn’t taste as good).
 

Cnotes53

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MONDAY, MARCH 20
IND at CHA07:00 PMIND -2.0
O 234.5
+500 +500
CHI at PHI07:00 PMPHI -8.5
O 225.0
+500 +500
MIN at NY07:30 PMNY -8.5
O 228.0
+500 +500
GS at HOU08:00 PMGS -11.0
O 235.5
+500 +500
DAL at MEM08:00 PMDAL +5.0
O 227.0
+500 +500
SAC at UTA09:00 PMSAC -6.5
O 238.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks
03/20/20234-8-033.33%-2400Detail
03/19/20237-8-146.88%-900Detail
03/18/20239-7-056.25%+650Detail
03/17/20239-5-064.29%+1750Detail
03/16/20235-5-050.00%-250Detail
03/15/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/14/202310-6-062.50%+1700Detail
03/13/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/12/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/11/202311-9-055.00%+550Detail
03/10/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/09/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/08/20238-6-057.14%+700Detail
03/07/20237-9-043.75%-1450Detail
03/06/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/05/20236-14-030.00%-4700Detail
03/04/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/03/20238-12-040.00%-2600Detail
03/02/20234-4-050.00%-200Detail
03/01/202311-6-163.89%+2200Detail
 

Cnotes53

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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the NCAA Tournament:
7-2— Alabama
4-1— Houston
8-1— UCLA, Texas
9-1— UConn
10-1— Gonzaga, Creighton
12-1— Tennessee

Quote of the Day
“Japan advances, but the world of baseball won tonight.”
Mexico’s manager, Benji Gil

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the last quarterback to start consecutive season openers for the Indianapolis Colts?

Monday’s quiz
When Santa Clara upset Arizona in the 1993 NCAA’s, Steve Nash was playing for the Broncos.

Last Tuesday’s quiz
Last year was the last time a team lower than a #4 seed got to the Final Four; North Carolina was a #8-seed when they lost the national title game to Kansas.


************************************************** *
Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— Japan 6, Mexico 5— MLB gets what it wants, a US-Japan final in the World Baseball Classic. Japan trailed 5-3 in 8th inning, but scored twice in the 9th to walk it off in dramatic style.

All these games had lot of fans; lucrative event. Everyone seemed to have lot of fun, so in the long run, good for the sport.

I’ll be glad when it is Wednesday and we can point towards the 2023 regular season.

— Was watching this game and was reminded of an old Harry Caray story.

Harry Caray broadcast Cub games, was a total character; one day out of the blue, during a day game at Wrigley, he blurts out:

“Heyyyyyy!!!! Check out the guy in the som-brerrro” Sure enough, a guy in the Wrigley bleachers was having a cold Bud Light while wearing a sombrero.

Lot of people at Marlins Park had sombreros on Monday night. Harry would’ve been happy.

— Rick Pitino is the new basketball coach at St John’s; the 70-year old Pitino signed a six-year deal to return to the Big East. Red Storm hasn’t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2000; that streak should end fairly soon.

— Ed Cooley bolts from Providence to Big East rival Georgetown; Cooley was 242-153 while the Friars’ coach, 118-99 in Big East games.

It is unusual to switch jobs within a conference, pretty much a slap in the face to the school that gets left behind; curious where Providence will look when they hire a new coach.

— St Francis (NY) announced it is dropping their entire athletics program in May; the Terriers played in the Northeast Conference- their last game was against Fairleigh Dickinson, the team that later upset Purdue in the NCAA’s, the biggest upset in tournament history.

The way this was done is BS; out of the blue, people losing their jobs, the people who made the decisions running for cover.

My cousin KL Wheat went to St Francis, ran track there; this is personal for him.

Maybe down the road the school will come to its senses and bring sports back, help make the school a little more visible. Sounds like they could use it.

— Memphis Grizzlies G Ja Morant got an 8-game suspensions for his off-court antics; Morant is making $12,119,440 this season.

8 games out of 82 is 9.75%, so his fine figures to work out to $945,316.32.

— Brutal bad beat if you bet Gonzaga (-4.5) vs TCU Sunday night; Zags made couple of foul shots with less than a second left to go up 6, but the TCU kid drained a 45-footer at the buzzer to get the backdoor cover.

If you’re in a casino at moments like that, it is fun to watch; some happy, some (very) unhappy people. If gambling was easy, those casinos wouldn’t have such big signs in front of them.

— Cuban baseball player Ivan Prieto Gonzalez defected from his home country after he didn’t board the team’s flight back to Havana on Monday following Cuba’s elimination in the WBC; Gonzalez was Cuba’s bullpen catcher during the tournament.

Gonzalez, 26, has played eight years in the Cuban National Series; he’s hit .291 with 13 home runs and 102 RBIs in 257 career games in his home country.

— This was my first NCAA Tournament with YouTube TV in my house; I give them a thumbs-up, which is promising for the upcoming NFL season. They did the screen with three or four games going on at once, which is a good screen to have. Navigating between channels is fairly simple.

— NBA’s Sacramento Kings are 43-28; this will be the Kings’ first winning season since 2006, a great coaching job by Mike Brown.

— If you like baseball prop bets, bet the over in base stealing props; get the feeling that tons of bases will be stolen this season, it is what MLB wants.

Bigger bases, rules against pickoffs, the pitch clock; it all points in that direction.

— Colorado Rockies are signing OF/IF Jurickson Profar to a one-year, $7.75M deal; Profar hit .243 with 15 homers for San Diego last year.

— Auburn Tigers have their Pro Day for NFL scouts today (Tuesday); one of the QB’s throwing there will be 34-year old Cam Newton, an Auburn alum and an NFL free agent. Newton last played in the NFL, going 0-5 in five games starting for Carolina.

— If you look at the Oakland A’s 40-man roster, they only have two players who were drafted by the Oakland A’s, which seems like a strange way of doing business.

All the good players they’ve drafted/developed have been traded off/sold because the ownership is too freakin’ cheap.

A’s are making noise about moving to Las Vegas; will someone build them a $500M retractable dome in the desert?

Before I agreed to build them a ballpark, we’d get it in writing that the cheap bastards are going to actually try to win ballgames, that’s for damn sure.

— NFL commish Roger Goodell is expected to get a multi-year contract extension at the league’s meetings next week; Goodell makes a boatload of $$$ and he earns it. Denver Broncos just got sold for $4.5B; the league is very profitable, and Goodell steers that ship.

************************************************

Tuesday’s college basketball games
NIT
North Texas @ Oklahoma State
North Texas (19-16)ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #363
— Experience: #166
— Continuity: #137
— North Texas won 13 of its last 15 games.
— Mean Green is 4-4 against top 100 teams.
— North Texas is 11-2 outside Conference USA.
— Mean Green has #7 eFG% defense in country.
— Opponents are getting 23.6% of points on foul line (#354)
— North Texas’ schedule, to this point: #116
— bench minutes: #223
— North Texas’ best wins: 63-52/82-79 2OT over #49 UAB

— Oklahoma State(20-15) ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #166
— Experience: #78
— Continuity: #175
— Oklahoma State won four of its last five games.
— Oklahoma State is 4-12 against top 50 teams.
— Cowboys turn ball over 20.7% of time (#321)
— Cowboys have #245 eFG% in country.
— Opponents are shooting 44.7% inside arc (#10)
— Oklahoma State’s schedule, to this point: #8
— bench minutes: #54
— Oklahoma State’s best win: 67-60 over #18 West Virginia

Wisconsin @ Oregon
— Wisconsin (19-14) ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #342
— Experience: #239
— Continuity: #127
— Wisconsin won three of its last four games
— Badgers won 75-71 Sunday despite going 1-15 on arc.
— Wisconsin gets 36.1% of its points on arc (#42)
— Wisconsin is shooting 46.9% inside arc (#305)
— Badgers are 2-0 vs Pac-12 teams (60-50 Stanford/64-59 USC)
— Wisconsin’s schedule, to this point: #16
— bench minutes: #303
— Wisconsin’s best win: 80-77 in OT at #11 Marquette

— Oregon (21-14) ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #205
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #138
— Oregon won six of its last seven games
— Ducks have #45 eFG% defense in country.
— Oregon is #44 team in country on offensive boards.
— Ducks are 12-12 against top 100 teams.
— Oregon is 7-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Oregon’s schedule, to this point: #28
— bench minutes: #73
— Oregon’s best win: 87-68 over #10 Arizona
 

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ORLANDO is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

Dwane Casey is 35-61 ATS (-32.1 Units) when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent (Coach of DETROIT)

BROOKLYN is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half in the current season.

SAN ANTONIO is 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the current season.

LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite in the current season.




NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 21


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NBA

Tuesday, March 21


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Trend Report
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Washington @ Orlando
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games at home

Detroit @ Atlanta
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

Cleveland @ Brooklyn
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Brooklyn is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland

San Antonio @ New Orleans
San Antonio
San Antonio is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Antonio's last 12 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio

Boston @ Sacramento
Boston
Boston is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
Sacramento is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
Sacramento is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Oklahoma City @ LA Clippers
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


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Udog

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NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 21


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WASHINGTON (32 - 39) at ORLANDO (29 - 43) - 3/21/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 65-84 ATS (-27.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
ORLANDO is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (16 - 56) at ATLANTA (35 - 36) - 3/21/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 30-39 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 28-38 ATS (-13.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
DETROIT is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DETROIT is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 30-40 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 30-40 ATS (-14.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (45 - 28) at BROOKLYN (39 - 32) - 3/21/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 38-56 ATS (-23.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 70-84 ATS (-22.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 25-50 ATS (-30.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 6-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (19 - 52) at NEW ORLEANS (34 - 37) - 3/21/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 30-41 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 29-41 ATS (-16.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-41 ATS (-17.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 222-178 ATS (+26.2 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 173-131 ATS (+28.9 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 427-342 ATS (+50.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 450-382 ATS (+29.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-5 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 6-5 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (49 - 23) at SACRAMENTO (43 - 28) - 3/21/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 41-30 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 40-30 ATS (+7.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 34-25 ATS (+6.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
BOSTON is 93-79 ATS (+6.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 52-37 ATS (+11.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 51-36 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (35 - 36) at LA CLIPPERS (38 - 34) - 3/21/2023, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-30 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TUESDAY, MARCH 21
WAS at ORL07:00 PMORL -1.0
U 225.5
+500 +500
CLE at BK07:30 PMCLE -4.0
U 218.5
+500 +500
DET at ATL07:30 PMDET +14.0
O 236.0
+500 +500
SA at NO08:00 PMSA +13.0
O 232.0
+500 +500
BOS at SAC10:00 PMSAC +5.0
O 238.5
+500 +500
OKC at LAC10:30 PMLAC -7.0
U 238.5
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Highest paid college basketball coaches:
$8.1M— John Calipari, Kentucky
$6M— Bill Self, Kansas
$5.7M— Tom Izzo, Michigan State
$5.45M— Rick Barnes, Tennessee
$5.4M— Bruce Pearl, Auburn
$4.83M— Tony Bennett, Virgnia

Quote of the Day
“I’m so underpaid right now as far as my contract and what I contribute to the team, it’s like, I am relentlessly pursuing this. I want to get something long-term done. I want a team that wants me long term. I’m at the peak of my game, right? As long as I’m healthy, I’m gonna score you another 20 touchdowns. I’m gonna have, you know, another 1,600 all-purpose yards. I’m getting half my value of what I could be getting. I am relentlessly pursuing someone who wants me for the long term.”
Chargers’ RB Austin Ekeler

Wednesday’s quiz
What semi-famous actor played Richard Gere’s assistant in the movie, Pretty Woman?

Tuesday’s quiz
Andrew Luck in 2015-2016 was the last quarterback to start consecutive season openers for the Indianapolis Colts.

Monday’s quiz
When Santa Clara upset Arizona in the 1993 NCAA’s, Steve Nash was playing for the Broncos.

******************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings………

— Thanks to everyone who reached out last week during my absence; things are slowly getting back to normal. Appreciate your thoughts.

Japan 3, USA 2— Ohtani got a save; Japan used seven pitchers and they win the WBC.

From looks of things, the WBC was really lucrative; games were packed, fans were enthused, am guessing they made a boatload of $$$ selling merchandise.

Now, can we get on with the baseball season? Regular season games start in eight days.

— So you own the LA Angels; you pay Mike Trout $37M a year, Sandoval pitched really well for Mexico in the semi-finals and Ohtani is all anyone ever talks about. Pretty good nucleus right there.

So how come they haven’t been in the playoffs since 2014, haven’t won a playoff game since 2009? Ohtani is a free agent after this season; he’s going to get the biggest contract ever— it seems doubtful it’ll be in Anaheim.

So……..do the Angels trade him during the season, and if they do, what do they get back? Do they keep him this season and try to make the playoffs? Thing is, if they let him walk, they get bupkis in return— that is stuff cheap teams like the A’s usually do.

Other than the pennant races, this is going to be the #1 story this baseball season.

North Texas 65, Oklahoma State 59 OT— Cowboys went 15-25 on foul line at home, losing to a North Texas team that plays the slowest tempo games in America. Mean Green moves on to the NIT semi-finals in Las Vegas next week.

Wisconsin 61, Oregon 58— Badgers ended game on a 15-6 run, also move on to Las Vegas; a Wisconsin-North Texas semi-final game? Tempo #341 vs tempo #363, the total is going to be very low.

Eastern Kentucky 108, Southern Utah 106, 2OT— Quite a week for the Colonels, who’ve won three games in a row, all in overtime, and in this case, two overtimes. EKU was down 12 with 9:11 left in this game; they forced 22 turnovers (+13).

Charlotte 63, Radford 56— Maybe Conference USA needs better TV exposure; Charlotte is still playing, so are UAB and North Texas. Good teams and that is without mentioning the best of the group, Florida Atlantic.

— Wichita State hired Oral Roberts coach Paul Mills, who went 67-28 the last three years, making the Sweet 16 two years ago.

— Arizona State gave Bobby Hurley a 2-year contract extension, bad news for Pac-12 referees. Hurley is the whiniest coach I’ve ever seen; his Sun Devils went 23-13 this year, losing 72-70 to TCU after winning a First Four game.

— FDU coach Tobin Anderson is the new coach at Iona, replacing Rick Pitino; tough act to follow. Iona has been in eight of last 11 NCAA Tournaments.

— Former Notre Dame coach Mike Brey interviewed for the South Florida job, but said he’s going to take a year off and try his hand at TV instead.

— A union representing 30,000 Los Angeles school custodians, cafeteria workers, bus drivers and support staff started a 3-day strike with support from the district’s teachers, effectively stopping classes for more than 500,000 students in the nation’s 2nd-largest school system.

Long time ago, September 1975, when I was a junior in high school, three schools around here had their teachers go on strike at the same time, three of the biggest schools.

First week or two of school, we would pass the teachers picketing by the school, we would wave to them from our bus, then we would go into school, go into class, and have a different teacher in every class every day. Teachers from the other two schools were the subs in our classes, trying to earn back some of the $$$ they were losing by being on strike. It was organized chaos.

Some of the kids we knew organized a walk-out in support of the teachers; they would storm out of school, march to the district offices in protest. Those were the kids who lived near the district offices; they were just skipping school, then walking home. My neighborhood was in the other direction, and it was hot out. No thanks.

Hopefully the situation in LA will get fixed; kids are trying to get ready for college, they need to get smarter. That year our teachers were on strike was a Regents’ year, an important year for grades and all that— the delay put us behind all the other kids that year.

— RIP to former Knicks’ great Willis Reed, who passed away Tuesday at age 80; Reed was an under-sized center with a terrific mid-range lefty jumper. He was the heart of the Knicks’ team that won NBA titles in 1970, 1973.

I was a little kid back then; my dad loved those Knicks, it was fun watching him watch the games. Few years ago in Las Vegas I got to meet Walt Frazier at the NBA Summer League, nicest guy you could meet.

Look up Game 7 of the 1970 NBA Finals on YouTube; Willis Reed was hurt pretty bad, but he hobbled onto the court, hit two jumpers early in the game and the Knicks pounded the Lakers— they were gods in the Big Apple back then. Willis Reed was the heart of that team. RIP, sir.
 

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WASHINGTON is 9-0 Over (9 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 39-21 ATS (15.9 Units) after 2 straight games outrebounding opponent by 10 or more since 1996.

GOLDEN STATE is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 se...

MIAMI is 128-92 Under (26.8 Units) in home games playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

MILWAUKEE is 42-70 ATS (-35 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season si...

ATLANTA is 13-34 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog in the current season.

MEMPHIS are 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

PORTLAND is 11-2 Over (8.8 Units) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more in the current season.

PHOENIX is 24-9 Under (14.1 Units) off a road loss over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA

Wednesday, March 22


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Denver @ Washington
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Washington
Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games

New York @ Miami
New York
New York is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games
New York is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
Miami
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home

Indiana @ Toronto
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Golden State @ Dallas
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Golden State's last 12 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games

Philadelphia @ Chicago
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Houston @ Memphis
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston

San Antonio @ Milwaukee
San Antonio
San Antonio is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Milwaukee is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

Atlanta @ Minnesota
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Portland @ Utah
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games

Phoenix @ LA Lakers
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Phoenix is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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WEDNESDAY, MARCH 22
POR at UTA09:00 PMUTA -5.0
U 235.0
+500 +500
PHO at LAL10:00 PMPHO +1.0
O 229.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks
03/22/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
03/21/20234-7-137.50%-1850Detail
03/20/20234-8-033.33%-2400Detail
03/19/20237-8-146.88%-900Detail
03/18/20239-7-056.25%+650Detail
03/17/20239-5-064.29%+1750Detail
03/16/20235-5-050.00%-250Detail
03/15/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/14/202310-6-062.50%+1700Detail
03/13/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/12/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/11/202311-9-055.00%+550Detail
03/10/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/09/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/08/20238-6-057.14%+700Detail
03/07/20237-9-043.75%-1450Detail
03/06/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/05/20236-14-030.00%-4700Detail
03/04/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/03/20238-12-040.00%-2600Detail
03/02/20234-4-050.00%-200Detail
03/01/202311-6-163.89%+2200Detail
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Highest paid college basketball coaches:
$8.1M— John Calipari, Kentucky
$6M— Bill Self, Kansas
$5.7M— Tom Izzo, Michigan State
$5.45M— Rick Barnes, Tennessee
$5.4M— Bruce Pearl, Auburn
$4.83M— Tony Bennett, Virgnia

Quote of the Day
“I’m so underpaid right now as far as my contract and what I contribute to the team, it’s like, I am relentlessly pursuing this. I want to get something long-term done. I want a team that wants me long term. I’m at the peak of my game, right? As long as I’m healthy, I’m gonna score you another 20 touchdowns. I’m gonna have, you know, another 1,600 all-purpose yards. I’m getting half my value of what I could be getting. I am relentlessly pursuing someone who wants me for the long term.”
Chargers’ RB Austin Ekeler

Wednesday’s quiz
What semi-famous actor played Richard Gere’s assistant in the movie, Pretty Woman?

Tuesday’s quiz
Andrew Luck in 2015-2016 was the last quarterback to start consecutive season openers for the Indianapolis Colts.

Monday’s quiz
When Santa Clara upset Arizona in the 1993 NCAA’s, Steve Nash was playing for the Broncos.




************************************************** **




Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings………

— Thanks to everyone who reached out last week during my absence; things are slowly getting back to normal. Appreciate your thoughts.

Japan 3, USA 2— Ohtani got a save; Japan used seven pitchers and they win the WBC.

From looks of things, the WBC was really lucrative; games were packed, fans were enthused, am guessing they made a boatload of $$$ selling merchandise.

Now, can we get on with the baseball season? Regular season games start in eight days.

— So you own the LA Angels; you pay Mike Trout $37M a year, Sandoval pitched really well for Mexico in the semi-finals and Ohtani is all anyone ever talks about. Pretty good nucleus right there.

So how come they haven’t been in the playoffs since 2014, haven’t won a playoff game since 2009? Ohtani is a free agent after this season; he’s going to get the biggest contract ever— it seems doubtful it’ll be in Anaheim.

So……..do the Angels trade him during the season, and if they do, what do they get back? Do they keep him this season and try to make the playoffs? Thing is, if they let him walk, they get bupkis in return— that is stuff cheap teams like the A’s usually do.

Other than the pennant races, this is going to be the #1 story this baseball season.

North Texas 65, Oklahoma State 59 OT— Cowboys went 15-25 on foul line at home, losing to a North Texas team that plays the slowest tempo games in America. Mean Green moves on to the NIT semi-finals in Las Vegas next week.

Wisconsin 61, Oregon 58— Badgers ended game on a 15-6 run, also move on to Las Vegas; a Wisconsin-North Texas semi-final game? Tempo #341 vs tempo #363, the total is going to be very low.

Eastern Kentucky 108, Southern Utah 106, 2OT— Quite a week for the Colonels, who’ve won three games in a row, all in overtime, and in this case, two overtimes. EKU was down 12 with 9:11 left in this game; they forced 22 turnovers (+13).

Charlotte 63, Radford 56— Maybe Conference USA needs better TV exposure; Charlotte is still playing, so are UAB and North Texas. Good teams and that is without mentioning the best of the group, Florida Atlantic.

— Wichita State hired Oral Roberts coach Paul Mills, who went 67-28 the last three years, making the Sweet 16 two years ago.

— Arizona State gave Bobby Hurley a 2-year contract extension, bad news for Pac-12 referees. Hurley is the whiniest coach I’ve ever seen; his Sun Devils went 23-13 this year, losing 72-70 to TCU after winning a First Four game.

— FDU coach Tobin Anderson is the new coach at Iona, replacing Rick Pitino; tough act to follow. Iona has been in eight of last 11 NCAA Tournaments.

— Former Notre Dame coach Mike Brey interviewed for the South Florida job, but said he’s going to take a year off and try his hand at TV instead.

— A union representing 30,000 Los Angeles school custodians, cafeteria workers, bus drivers and support staff started a 3-day strike with support from the district’s teachers, effectively stopping classes for more than 500,000 students in the nation’s 2nd-largest school system.

Long time ago, September 1975, when I was a junior in high school, three schools around here had their teachers go on strike at the same time, three of the biggest schools.

First week or two of school, we would pass the teachers picketing by the school, we would wave to them from our bus, then we would go into school, go into class, and have a different teacher in every class every day. Teachers from the other two schools were the subs in our classes, trying to earn back some of the $$$ they were losing by being on strike. It was organized chaos.

Some of the kids we knew organized a walk-out in support of the teachers; they would storm out of school, march to the district offices in protest. Those were the kids who lived near the district offices; they were just skipping school, then walking home. My neighborhood was in the other direction, and it was hot out. No thanks.

Hopefully the situation in LA will get fixed; kids are trying to get ready for college, they need to get smarter. That year our teachers were on strike was a Regents’ year, an important year for grades and all that— the delay put us behind all the other kids that year.

— RIP to former Knicks’ great Willis Reed, who passed away Tuesday at age 80; Reed was an under-sized center with a terrific mid-range lefty jumper. He was the heart of the Knicks’ team that won NBA titles in 1970, 1973.

I was a little kid back then; my dad loved those Knicks, it was fun watching him watch the games. Few years ago in Las Vegas I got to meet Walt Frazier at the NBA Summer League, nicest guy you could meet.

Look up Game 7 of the 1970 NBA Finals on YouTube; Willis Reed was hurt pretty bad, but he hobbled onto the court, hit two jumpers early in the game and the Knicks pounded the Lakers— they were gods in the Big Apple back then. Willis Reed was the heart of that team. RIP, sir.
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack
Highest paid NFL coaches:
$20M— Bill Belichick
$18M— Sean Payton
$15M— Pete Carroll
$14M— Sean McVay
$12.5M— Mike Tomlin
$12M— Andy Reid/John Harbaugh

Quote of the Day
“You get to choose how you respond.”
Virginia coach Tony Bennett, after losing to Furman in the NCAA’s

Thursday’s quiz
The first time Rick Pitino coached in the NCAA Tournament, what team was he coaching?

Wednesday’s quiz
Jason Alexander (George Costanza on Seinfeld) played Richard Gere’s assistant in the movie, Pretty Woman.

Tuesday’s quiz
Andrew Luck in 2015-2016 was the last quarterback to start consecutive season openers for the Indianapolis Colts.




************************************************** **


Thursday’s Den: Nine memorable NCAA games, plus my four all-time favorite games

Here are nine of my most memorable NCAA Tournament games, in no particular order, followed by my four all-time favorite tournament games:

Memorable games:
2017 Final Four— I’m in Las Vegas, watching the Final Four with a friend of mine who has a boatload of money on Oregon (+4) vs North Carolina. I’m not going to tell you how much $$$ he had on Oregon, but it was more than $10,000 (I saw the ticket).

I’m a nickel/dime bettor, total small-timer; this was a different world. I remember sitting there munching on Doritos watching the game, I seemed more nervous than he was. Oregon loses but covers, losing 77-76. My friend was very casual about the whole thing.

He also bet the underdog in the other game, but a lot less $$, South Carolina vs Gonzaga and he won that bet too. If I won that much money I’d be strutting around like Gene, Gene, the Dancing Machine but serious gamblers are smart and take things in stride.

Funny thing about that night: it was the only time in the last 35 years that both favorites won at the Final Four, but neither one covered the spread.

2016— Yale 79, Baylor 75— It is fun seeing people you know coaching on TV; Yale coach James Jones went to college at Albany, couple of years behind me. He was a good ballplayer, but he is a great coach. Other than Pete Carril, he is the best coach in Ivy League history, and it was a lot of fun to see his team pull a big upset against a basketball blue blood.

2023— Marquette 78, Vermont 61— Same deal here; friend of mine is an assistant coach with Marquette- they had a great season this year. I’m hoping that some D-I program comes to its senses in the next few weeks and gives him a head coaching job. He’s earned it.

1989— Georgetown 50, Princeton 49— This was back when ESPN had the tournament; Bob Ley was the studio host and Dick Vitale did the analysis. Georgetown was a power back then; they were a 22-point favorite in this game, but they were life-and-death against Princeton.

At halftime, Dickie V says that if Princeton wins, he’ll stand on his head on the ESPN set; it was classic TV, totally unscripted. It was hilarious, but Georgetown escaped by a point, and America took a great sign of relief that no one was standing on his head on live TV.

1998— Valparaiso 70, Ole Miss 69— Scott Drew is the Baylor coach; brother Bruce is the coach at Grand Canyon- their father Homer Drew coached Valparaiso for a long time.

His full-court out of bounds play (to Bryce Drew, I think) got Valpo a walk-off win in this game. To this day, that play is still used all over America. One of the best-ever endings to a tournament game.

2023— Furman 68, Virginia 67— Furman hadn’t made the NCAA’s since 1980, hadn’t won a tournament game since 1974; they made couple foul shots with 0:12 left to pull within 67-65, then the Virginia player tries a full-court pass to kill the clock, but it gets picked off, and Furman sticks a 3 from the right-wing with 0:02 left to pull a very unlikely upset.

The camera shot of CBS’ play-by-play guy Kevin Harlan calling all this, then holding his arms out after the game-winning shot, so neither of his analysts says anything to ruin the moment, was just great to see.

2019— Murray State 83, Marquette 64— Back when I was still picking games on this blog, I took the over in this game, Ja Morant against a Big East team. Game was 42-35 at halftime, a good pace, but then Marquette scored 9 freakin’ points in the first 10:00 of second half and when they fell behind, they refused to press Murray State, and lost meekly to a freakin’ OVC team and the game fell several points under. Had they pressed, Murray State would have hung 90-100 points on them.

I laugh about it now, but that night in my living room, I was NOT HAPPY; probably lucky I didn’t have a damn stroke. How could a Big East team quit against an OVC team? To this day, when I see that fraud Steve Wojciechowski in ESPN”s studio stealing money, it makes my blood boil. Anyway, that night is a big part of why I don’t pick games much anymore.

2016— National title game, Villanova-North Carolina, I’m sitting in the Westgate SuperBook having a Cherry Coke and some pizza. The guy next to me is a younger guy who says he has a lot of money on Villanova and the under. We strike up a conversation but he is very nervous as the game comes down the stretch. Things get quiet.

Kid of North Carolina makes a tough shot to put UNC ahead and puts the game over the total; the guy next to me ain’t happy, but then Villanova hits a shot at the buzzer to win the national title and get the guy a split on his bets.

Never seen someone so happy to break even.

2010— I’m at the MGM Grand sportsbook for the first Saturday of the tournament; me and apparently every Kansas fan west of the Rockies. Jayhawks were a #1-seed, a big favorite over Northern Iowa. Ton of people wearing blue/red in the MGM Grand.

Game is early on, some kid makes a shot— the three young guys next to me start hugging each other. I ask one of them “Is that your brother? Why are you so happy?”

I had no idea you could bet on which team got to 15 points first; that obscure basket won the guys their bet and they were celebrating.

Anyway the game goes on and go figure, Northern Iowa hits a shot from the corner at the end and upsets Kansas, big upset. Lot of sad people were walking around, wearing blue/red.

My four all-time favorite NCAA Tournament games:
2006— When the brackets came out, I went on a local radio show here in Albany and gave my quick thoughts on what would happen. I had decided that Northwestern State would upset Iowa in a #3-14 game and I said so on the radio. Fairly bold prediction.

As luck would have it, Northwestern State does pull the upset, winning 64-63. Now that was a fun day.

1990— Loyola Marymount 111, New Mexico State 90— During the WCC tournament, LMU’s star Hank Gathers collapsed and died on the court during a game. It was horrible; they called off the tournament, and LMU got the automatic bid because they finished first.

When the brackets came out 8-9 days later, LMU had the very last time slot in the first round, the midnight Friday game on CBS. Their opponent was New Mexico State, a team that would run with the hyper-fast breaking Lions, coached by Paul Westhead.

Back then, I picked games in the Albany newspaper and I had done very well that year; I really wanted to risk my entire (fictional) bankroll on LMU in his game— there was no way they were losing this game. I didn’t risk my bankroll, just made the normal pick, but I tried to impress that upon the readers. LMU was going to win.

LMU’s Bo Kimble shot his first free throw lefty, in honor of his fallen friend, but Kimble also had four fouls at halftime, and the game was tied. I was queasy about my pick, but LMU exploded in the second half, won by 21, then won two more games in one of the most famous runs in NCAA history. That team was so much fun to watch.

1990— Jerry Tarkanian’s Rebels dispatched LMU in the West Region final, then they played Duke in the national title game, and they crushed Duke, 103-73. Then the weasel from the NCAA had to hand Tarkanian the national championship trophy, after they had harassed the guy for years (NCAA later wrote Tarkanian a $2.5M check to settle a dispute).

Sweet 16 of the West Region is being played in Las Vegas tonight, 33 years after that great night. The NCAA embraces Las Vegas now because more than anything, they love making money.

1974—NC State 80, UCLA 77, 2OT— When Michael Jordan was growing up, his favorite player was David Thompson, a great player for NC State. I was a big Wolfpack fan; friend of my parents lived in Raleigh, and he told me all about Thompson. I used to listen to their games on the radio on WBT in Charlotte.

UCLA beat the Wolfpack in December; this was when Bill Walton was a senior- they had won seven national titles in a row. Every kid in my school who liked basketball was a UCLA fan, except for me; the rematch in the Final Four.

UCLA led by 7 in overtime, but State rallied and won, then beat Marquette in the national title game and I was hooked for life on college basketball.

Dunking was illegal back then in college ball, which is a tribute to how great a player Kareem Abdul-Jabbar was. Had Thompson been able to dunk, we would have some amazing highlights to watch on YouTube these days.
 

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ORLANDO is 40-24 Over (13.6 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 38-19 Over (17.1 Units) in home games after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half since ...

LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 Over (7 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite in the current season.




NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 23


eh1RcdD.png





NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 23


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (42 - 32) at ORLANDO (30 - 43) - 3/23/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 34-25 ATS (+6.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
ORLANDO is 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 40-31 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games this season.
NEW YORK is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ORLANDO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (46 - 28) at BROOKLYN (39 - 33) - 3/23/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 45-65 ATS (-26.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 40-32 ATS (+4.8 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
BROOKLYN is 70-85 ATS (-23.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 25-51 ATS (-31.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 31-53 ATS (-27.3 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 6-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (23 - 50) at NEW ORLEANS (35 - 37) - 3/23/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 31-40 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 23-32 ATS (-12.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 72-101 ATS (-39.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 241-292 ATS (-80.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (36 - 36) at LA CLIPPERS (38 - 35) - 3/23/2023, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after allowing 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against Northwest division opponents this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 31-44 ATS (-17.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Thursday, March 23


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New York @ Orlando
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games at home
Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Cleveland @ Brooklyn
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home

Charlotte @ New Orleans
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Orleans's last 11 games

Oklahoma City @ LA Clippers
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, MARCH 23
NY at ORL07:00 PMNY -2.5
U 227.5
+500 +500
CLE at BK07:30 PMCLE -4.0
O 219.0
+500 +500
CHA at NO08:00 PMCHA +9.0
O 225.0
+500 +500
OKC at LAC10:30 PMOKC +4.0
O 231.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks
03/23/20233-5-037.50%-1250Detail
03/22/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
03/21/20234-7-137.50%-1850Detail
03/20/20234-8-033.33%-2400Detail
03/19/20237-8-146.88%-900Detail
03/18/20239-7-056.25%+650Detail
03/17/20239-5-064.29%+1750Detail
03/16/20235-5-050.00%-250Detail
03/15/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/14/202310-6-062.50%+1700Detail
03/13/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/12/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/11/202311-9-055.00%+550Detail
03/10/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/09/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/08/20238-6-057.14%+700Detail
03/07/20237-9-043.75%-1450Detail
03/06/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/05/20236-14-030.00%-4700Detail
03/04/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/03/20238-12-040.00%-2600Detail
03/02/20234-4-050.00%-200Detail
03/01/202311-6-163.89%+2200Detail
 

Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack
Highest paid NBA coaches:
$11.5M— Gregg Popovich, San Antonio
$9.5M— Steve Kerr, Golden State
$8.5M— Doc Rivers, Philadelphia
$8.5M— Erik Spoelstra, Miami
$8M— Mike Budenholzer, Milwaukee
$8M— Nick Nurse, Toronto

Quote of the Day
“Physically, as I watch him, I think his skill set is very similar to Joe Burrow. OK, I think that would be the guy in the NFL and you know fellow, one-time Buckeye that I would look at and go OK, he moves. He’s about the same size, same frame, same kind of arm talent, and moves the same way physically.”
Carolina Panthers’ assistant Josh McCown, talking about Ohio State QB CJ Stroud

Friday’s quiz
When was the last time a Pac-12 team won the national title in college basketball?

Thursday’s quiz
The first time Rick Pitino coached in the NCAA Tournament, he was coaching Boston University, in 1983.

Wednesday’s quiz
Jason Alexander (George Costanza on Seinfeld) played Richard Gere’s assistant in the movie, Pretty Woman.




*************************************


Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

— Gonzaga 79, UCLA 76
UCLA led this game 46-33 at halftime.
Timme scored 36 points, had 13 rebounds for Gonzaga.
Zags blew a 72-62 lead with 2:40 left, hit game-winning shot with 0:07 left.

— Florida Atlantic 62, Tennessee 55
Tennessee’s last 15 games: 0-8 if they allowed 60+ points, 7-0 if they allowed 59 or less.
FAU scored 22 points in first half, outscored Tennessee 40-28 in second half.
Rick Barnes is now 3-18 ATS in his last 21 NCAA tourney games.

— Kansas State 98, Michigan State 93 OT
K-State is 26-9; when Jerome Tang took this job over last spring, he inherited two players from last year’s squad. Two. This is an amazingly great coaching job.

Michigan State made 13-25 on the arc, K-State 11-24. Spartans scored 1.27 points/possession and still lost, which doesn’t happen very much.

— UConn 88, Arkansas 65— Total ass-kicking; UConn scored 1.26 points/possession, led by 17 at the half, was never challenged.

— Michigan State’s loss means that the Big 14 still hasn’t won a national title in college hoop since the Spartans won way back in 2000.

— North Carolina F Armando Bacot is returning to play a fifth season for the Tar Heels next year, which is very good news for a Tar Heel squad that missed the NCAA’s, then declined to play in the NIT. Must be some seriously good NIL money floating around Chapel Hill.

— Providence hired George Mason coach Kim English to replace Ed Cooley as its new coach; English went 34-29 in two seasons coaching George Mason. He is a former Tennessee assistant; long time ago (1988), Tennessee coach Barnes went from coaching George Mason to coaching Providence.

— There have now been 43 coaching changes in college hoop this spring, with another 20 or so openings still pending.

— From 1986-2019, #15-seeds went 8-128 in first round games; the last three years, #15-seeds are 3-9. My thought is that as time goes on, teams at the top of the ratings are getting weaker.

— Longest playoff droughts in the NFL:
12 years- Jets
7 years- Denver
6 years- Detroit
5 years- Atlanta, Carolina

— Over the last five seasons, Christian McCaffrey and Austin Ekeler are the only two NFL players with both 3,000+ rushing yards and 3,000+ passing yards.

— XFL standings halfway thru the regular season:
North:
Defenders 5-0
Battlehawks 3-2
Sea Dragons 3-2
Vipers 1-4

South:
Roughnecks 4-1
Renegades 3-2
Brahmas 1-4
Guardians 0-5

— Phillies 1B Rhys Hoskins tore an ACL Thursday, is out for the year.

— Last two baseball seasons, Seattle Mariners are 67-41 in one-run games, by far the best record in MLB in one-run games. Is that sustainable? Scott Servais is an excellent manager, for sure.

— According to Forbes Magazine, baseball teams with the best 2022, $$$-wise:
Seattle $83.8M profit
SF Giants $74.9M
Red Sox $71.6M
Orioles $64.7M
Oakland A’s $62.2M— WTF????

— Imagine my blood pressure going up when I saw that the Oakland A’s turned a $62.2M profit last year. Would it kill them to try to put a decent team on the field? If not, they should sell the damn team to someone who will try to win. Seriously.

— Was watching a Dodgers spring training game the other night and Rick Monday was doing the analysis; he is 77 years old now, doesn’t look it or sound it. Terrific announcer; he played for the A’s when I first became a fan in the mid-60’s. He played 19 years in the majors, and has been a radio analyst for the Dodgers since then. Quite a career.

— If you live in the Albany area and still have DirecTV, you still can’t watch the FOX channel; it is off the grid. DirecTV has taken the people that own the channel to court now.

I’ve said this before and I’ll say it again; dump DirecTV and get YouTube TV. It is way cheaper, it has basically all the same stuff- they even show the FOX channel.

Did I mention that YouTube TV is way cheaper than DirecTV?
 

Udog

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WASHINGTON is 11-2 Over (8.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the current season.

BOSTON is 28-50 ATS (-27 Units) in home games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better since 1996.

DETROIT is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) after a division game in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 15-4 Over (10.6 Units) in home games after a loss in the current season.

UTAH is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) as a home underdog in the current season.

Steve Kerr is 101-64 ATS (30.6 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent (Coach of GOLDEN STATE)

CHICAGO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons.
 
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