CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Udog

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Monday’s 6-pack
Jets’ QB’s and their records during their 12-year playoff drought:
14-17— Mark Sanchez
13-14— Ryan Fitzpatrick
13-25— Sam Darnold
12-18— Geno Smith
8-14— Zach Wilson
5-11— Josh McCown
2-5— Mike White
1-2— Michael Vick
1-6— Bryce Petty
1-8— Joe Flacco
0-2— Luke Falk
0-1— Greg McElroy, Trevor Siemian

Quote of the Day
“My best skill was that I was coachable. I was a sponge and aggressive to learn.”
Michael Jordan

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Rounders, what famous actor played Russian mobster Teddy KGB?

Sunday’s quiz
Cal-Santa Barbara’s basketball team is known as the Gauchos.

Saturday’s quiz
2018 was the last time a Big East team won a national title in college basketball, when Villanova beat Michigan for the title.

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Monday’s Den: Random thoughts with the Final Four set

— 18 years ago, 11-seed George Mason (+8) upset #1-seed UConn 86-84 to get to an unlikely Final Four; coach of that team was Jim Larranaga. Then yesterday………

Miami 88, Texas 81— Larranaga is back in the Final Four, in his 12th season at Miami; his Hurricanes tied for first place in the ACC this season, still only got a #5-seed.

Texas led 64-51 with 12:51 left in the game.
Miami’s Jordan Miller was 7-7 from floor, 11-11 on foul line.
Miami was 28-32 on foul line, Longhorns 11-15.

Larranaga is 73 years old; he was an assistant to Terry Holland at Virginia during the Ralph Sampson era in the early 80’s. This is the cherry on top of a freakin’ great career.

— Texas needs to do the right thing now and make interim coach Rodney Terry the full-time coach. Terry did a great job this year; I’m trying to remember why he left Fresno State for UTEP five years ago, after going 66-34 his last three years in Fresno.

Terry went 37-48 in three years at UTEP, then signed on to be Chris Beard’s assistant at Texas. When Beard got fired in November for off-court reasons, Terry took over and now he deserves to be the full-time coach. This is a no brainer.

San Diego State 57, Creighton 56
Creighton shot 35.4% on the arc this year;; they were 2-17 in this game
Bluejays led 41-34 with 13:14 left to play.
Coming into this month, Mountain West teams were 0-8 in the last three NCAA Tournaments; now they have a team in the Final Four.

— Early lines for the Final Four games:
UConn -5 vs Miami
San Diego State -1.5 vs Florida Atlantic

— This is the first time ever the Final Four won’t have any #1, #2 or #3 seeds in it.

— Final Four teams have earned $8,330,000; the teams get half that amount, their leagues split the rest of the money. FAU gets $4,165,000; other ten teams in Conference USA get $416,500 apiece. Big payday for those schools, especially the mid-major teams.

This past season, Florida Atlantic’s entire operating budget for basketball was $1,627,839.

— Back in December, a gutsy gambler wagered $500 on Florida Atlantic to get to the Final Four, at 400-1 odds; dude cashed the ticket for $200,000 Saturday.

— VCU’s Mike Rhoades is expected to bolt for the Penn State job, at $3.5M a year; I’m really doubting if Penn State is a better basketball job than VCU. Penn State is obviously a football school; they had the most experienced team in the country this year. VCU is a basketball school, close to an East Coast version of Gonzaga.

— New Mexico State hired Sam Houston coach Jason Hooten this weekend; Aggies had an awful season, cancelling it after starting 2-10 in the WAC- there were numerous off-court issues with a first-year coach, but New Mexico State also has a winning tradition— they’ve been in eight of the last 11 NCAA Tournaments.

Hooten was at Sam Houston State for 13 years, going 26-8 this past season.

— In case you were wondering, Boise State has the most appearances in an NCAA Tournament without ever winning a game (0-9).

— Cincinnati Reds are paying 53-year old Ken Griffey Jr $3.59M this season, a deferred payment on a contract he signed in 2000. Only three Reds this season will earn more than Griffey.

— 49ers acquired kicker Zane Gonzalez from Carolina; their last kicker Robbie Gould is a free agent. Gonzalez was hurt last year, didn’t kick; he is 91-113 one field goals in a six-year career with the Browns, Cardinals and Panthers.
 

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Rick Carlisle is 214-164 ATS (33.6 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game (All games)

DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season in the cu...

HOUSTON is 11-30 ATS (-22 Units) off 2 or more consecutive road losses in the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) as a home underdog in the current season.

DENVER is 22-8 Over (13.2 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 25-55 ATS (-35.5 Units) off a road win by 3 points or less since 1996.

PORTLAND is 54-75 ATS (-28.5 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog in the current season.
 

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Long Sheet

Monday, March 27


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DALLAS (36 - 39) at INDIANA (33 - 42) - 3/27/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 28-43 ATS (-19.3 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DALLAS is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DALLAS is 613-514 ATS (+47.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 228-170 ATS (+41.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 263-210 ATS (+32.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (53 - 21) at DETROIT (16 - 58) - 3/27/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 41-29 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 46-33 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 30-41 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
DETROIT is 28-40 ATS (-16.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
DETROIT is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DETROIT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after scoring 100 points or less this season.
DETROIT is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DETROIT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 9-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (18 - 57) at NEW YORK (42 - 33) - 3/27/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
HOUSTON is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
HOUSTON is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
HOUSTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
HOUSTON is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
HOUSTON is 39-62 ATS (-29.2 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 33-50 ATS (-22.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 23-33 ATS (-13.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 42-69 ATS (-33.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.
HOUSTON is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW YORK is 40-32 ATS (+4.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 59-35 ATS (+20.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (39 - 35) at UTAH (35 - 39) - 3/27/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 40-31 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 40-29 ATS (+8.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHOENIX is 143-116 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 113-86 ATS (+18.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (49 - 25) at DENVER (50 - 24) - 3/27/2023, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game since 1996.
DENVER is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DENVER is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 43-31 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (38 - 37) at SACRAMENTO (45 - 29) - 3/27/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 42-32 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (37 - 37) at PORTLAND (32 - 42) - 3/27/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 67-87 ATS (-28.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 36-60 ATS (-30.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (36 - 38) at LA CLIPPERS (39 - 36) - 3/27/2023, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) off an upset win as an underdog this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Udog

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Monday, March 27


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Trend Report
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Dallas @ Indiana
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Dallas

Milwaukee @ Detroit
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Milwaukee is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home

Houston @ New York
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston

Phoenix @ Utah
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

Minnesota @ Sacramento
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games

New Orleans @ Portland
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Portland
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games

Chicago @ LA Clippers
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
LA Clippers is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Chicago


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Cnotes53

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MONDAY, MARCH 27
DAL at IND07:00 PMIND +4.5
O 238.5
+500 +500
MIL at DET07:00 PMDET +13.0
O 228.0
+500 +500
HOU at NY07:30 PMHOU +13.5
O 230.0
+500 +500
PHO at UTA09:00 PMUTA +7.0
O 234.0
+500 +500
PHI at DEN09:30 PMDEN -7.0
U 229.0
+500 +500
NO at POR10:00 PMPOR +11.5
O 227.0
+500 +500
MIN at SAC10:00 PMSAC -7.0
U 238.5
+500 +500
CHI at LAC10:30 PMLAC -4.5
U 220.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks
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03/16/20235-5-050.00%-250Detail
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03/14/202310-6-062.50%+1700Detail
03/13/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/12/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/11/202311-9-055.00%+550Detail
03/10/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/09/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/08/20238-6-057.14%+700Detail
03/07/20237-9-043.75%-1450Detail
03/06/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/05/20236-14-030.00%-4700Detail
03/04/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/03/20238-12-040.00%-2600Detail
03/02/20234-4-050.00%-200Detail
03/01/202311-6-163.89%+2200Detail
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Since 2010-11, college hoop teams with the best winning %age:
.865 — Gonzaga
.811 — Kansas
.786 — Duke
.768 — Arizona
.762 — Kentucky
.761 — San Diego State

Quote of the Day
“It’s an ongoing process. I’m following it very closely, just like everybody else is here and looking forward to a resolution. I’m excited. Thinking about Lamar all the time. Thinking about him as our quarterback. We’re building our offense around that idea. I’m just looking forward to getting back to football and I’m confident that’s going to happen.”
Ravens’ coach John Harbaugh

Tuesday’s quiz
Which baseball Hall of Famer once played point guard for San Diego State’s basketball team?

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Rounders, John Malkovich played Russian mobster Teddy KGB.

Sunday’s quiz
Cal-Santa Barbara’s basketball team is known as the Gauchos.




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Tuesday’s Den: XFL trends, and other football stuff in March……..

— Opening Day of baseball season is Thursday, so of course the NFL owns the headlines today, because the NFL doesn’t have much of an offseason anymore.

— I’m told that quarterback is an important position in football; right now the Baltimore Ravens have a QB who wants a boatload of guaranteed $$$, the Ravens don’t want to guarantee a whole lot of that money and since the QB is acting as his own agent, things have gotten personal.

Lamar Jackson has a career W-L record of 45-16 in the regular season, which is really good; in the playoffs, he is 1-3, with Baltimore scoring 13.5 ppg in those games. Not so good.

Here’s the thing: Jackson didn’t play in the Ravens’ last six games last year, he didn’t play in their last four games the year before. Leg injuries for a running QB aren’t good. Ravens are 18-17 the last two years; expectations are higher than that.

One of the best abilities is availability/dependability; good QB’s make $35-$40M a year in the NFL, with the expectation that he is your leader, the face of your franchise. He is expected to play and play very well, not to mention being a leader.

Schedule comes out in a few weeks; would be a lot easier to sell those season tickets if your quarterback/leader isn’t at odds with the team.

So there is a standoff; this is bad for the NFL, bad for the Ravens, bad for Jackson.

Ravens can come out of this smelling like a rose if they trade Jackson for a couple of first round picks and then land another QB (Carson Wentz, Teddy Bridgewater, Matt Ryan???) to back up Tyler Huntley, who has a 3-6 record in nine NFL starts.

If the Ravens trade Jackson to the Colts, they could use the Colts’ draft pick they’ll get back to draft their QB of the future, which buys them time with their fans.

What happens if Jackson refuses to budge on his contract demands? Does he simply not play? How is this good for him? Who is advising him? Do you want to put your entire franchise in the hands of someone who may be being advised by sketchy people?

— NFL schedule comes out in a month or so; there is a lot of $$$ involved with which games are on in primetime. Would be nice to know who each team’s quarterback is going to be.

Indianapolis Colts, who used to call Baltimore home, visit the Ravens this season; if Jackson is traded to the Colts, guaranteed that is either a Monday night game or a Thursday Amazon game.

— Jets/Packers are still at odds over the Aaron Rodgers trade. Just let me know when they make a decision. This whole debacle has become exhausting.

Jets by the way, have nine home games this year (all AFC teams have 9, NFC teams 8) plus one of their “road” games is against the Giants in the stadium they share, so the Jets really only have seven road games this coming season.

If/when Rodgers becomes a Jet, Jets will gain 2-3 more primetime slots, you can bet on that.

— Detroit Lions’ over/under win total this season is 9.5, the highest it has been in the last 30 years.

Let me say right here that I think it is foolish to bet on season win totals before the schedules come out. As the great Bud Grant used to say, “Its not who you play, it is when you play them”

— Texas Longhorns did the right thing Monday and signed basketball coach Rodney Terry to a 5-year, $15.3M contract. Good for everyone; for once, sanity prevails.

— North Carolina’s leading scorer Caleb Love is in the transfer portal, will bolt Chapel Hill after UNC went 20-13 this season, turning down a chance to play in the NIT. When you see a team choose to end their season like that, you can assume they had internal issues, and Love’s going into the transfer portal seems to confirm that.

— Here are trends for all eight XFL teams, six weeks into a 10-game regular season.

Arlington Renegades (3-3)
Last five games stayed under the total.
All three wins were by 6 or less points.
Allowed 15 or fewer points in three of last four games.
0-3 ATS as a favorite.

DC Defenders (6-0)
Won/covered all six games.
Five of those six games went over the total.
Last four games, Defenders scored 32.8 ppg.

Houston Renegades (4-2)
Lost last two games, after a 4-0 start.
3-0 SU/ATS at home, winning by 21-9-9 points.
Favorite covered five of their six games.

Las Vegas Vipers (1-5)
Only win was 35-32 over 0-6 Orlando.
Vipers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
Last four games, Las Vegas allowed 30.8 ppg.
Three of their last four games went over total.

Orlando Guardians (0-6)
Orlando beat spread in three of last four games.
Five of their six games went over total.
Guardians are giving up 29.7 ppg.

St Louis Battlehawks (4-2)
Both their losses are to 6-0 Defenders (34-28/28-20)
St Louis allowed 18 or less points in its wins
Battlehawks covered both times they were favored.

San Antonio Brahmas (2-4)
Brahmas were held to 15 or less points in five of six games.
Five of their six games stayed under the total.
Average total in their last three games: 22.3.

Seattle Sea Dragons (4-2)
Seattle won its last four games, after an 0-2 start.
Their three road games all went over the total.
Last three games, they allowed only 13 ppg.
 

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BOSTON is 29-10 ATS (18 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season over ...

MIAMI is 7-0 Under (7 Units) in road games after scoring 100 points or less in the current season.

ATLANTA is 14-4 Over (9.6 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) on Tuesday nights in the current season.

MEMPHIS are 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season ov...

GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders in the current season.




NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 28


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NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 28


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BOSTON (52 - 23) at WASHINGTON (33 - 42) - 3/28/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 96-79 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 55-37 ATS (+14.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 52-36 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 221-178 ATS (+25.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
BOSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games after allowing 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 67-86 ATS (-27.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (40 - 35) at TORONTO (37 - 38) - 3/28/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (48 - 28) at ATLANTA (37 - 38) - 3/28/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 40-57 ATS (-22.7 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 343-409 ATS (-106.9 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 41-33 ATS (+4.7 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 33-41 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 33-41 ATS (-12.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
ATLANTA is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (25 - 51) at OKLAHOMA CITY (37 - 38) - 3/28/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 33-41 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 34-57 ATS (-28.7 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 243-293 ATS (-79.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-29 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 61-42 ATS (+14.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 4-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (32 - 43) at MEMPHIS (47 - 27) - 3/28/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 94-69 ATS (+18.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 76-55 ATS (+15.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 65-46 ATS (+14.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games this season.
MEMPHIS is 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
MEMPHIS is 61-43 ATS (+13.7 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 47-34 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 41-32 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
ORLANDO is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
ORLANDO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.
ORLANDO is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ORLANDO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (38 - 37) at GOLDEN STATE (39 - 37) - 3/28/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Tuesday, March 28


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston @ Washington
Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 12 games when playing Boston
Washington is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Boston

Miami @ Toronto
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games
Toronto
Toronto is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami

Cleveland @ Atlanta
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland

Charlotte @ Oklahoma City
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Orlando @ Memphis
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

New Orleans @ Golden State
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Golden State
Golden State is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Golden State is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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TUESDAY, MARCH 28
BOS at WAS07:00 PMBOS -11.0
U 222.5
+500 +500
MIA at TOR07:30 PMTOR -4.0
U 219.5
+500 +500
CLE at ATL07:30 PMCLE +1.0
O 238.5
+500 +500
CHA at OKC08:00 PMOKC -9.0
O 227.0
+500 +500
ORL at MEM08:00 PMORL +7.0
O 229.0
+500 +500
NO at GS10:00 PMGS -8.5
U 234.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks
03/28/20236-6-050.00%-300Detail
03/27/20236-10-037.50%-2500Detail
03/26/20235-13-027.78%-4650Detail
03/25/20233-9-025.00%-3450Detail
03/24/20239-10-147.50%-1000Detail
03/23/20233-5-037.50%-1250Detail
03/22/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
03/21/20234-7-137.50%-1850Detail
03/20/20234-8-033.33%-2400Detail
03/19/20237-8-146.88%-900Detail
03/18/20239-7-056.25%+650Detail
03/17/20239-5-064.29%+1750Detail
03/16/20235-5-050.00%-250Detail
03/15/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/14/202310-6-062.50%+1700Detail
03/13/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/12/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/11/202311-9-055.00%+550Detail
03/10/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/09/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/08/20238-6-057.14%+700Detail
03/07/20237-9-043.75%-1450Detail
03/06/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/05/20236-14-030.00%-4700Detail
03/04/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/03/20238-12-040.00%-2600Detail
03/02/20234-4-050.00%-200Detail
03/01/202311-6-163.89%+2200Detail
 

Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Six top prospects for the Arizona Diamondbacks:
1) Corbin Carroll, OF
2) Jordan Lawlar, SS
3) Druw Jones, OF
4) Brandon Pfaadt, P
5) Deyvison de los Santos, 3B
6) Ryne Nelson, P

Quote of the Day
“People have gotten used to going from Sunday afternoon to Sunday night; that doesn’t mean that they like it. This year, we could be flexed to Monday night, which I think is really inconsiderate to our ticket holders. To flex a game back to Thursday night, to me, is just abusive. I am adamantly opposed to it. Fortunately, it didn’t get enough votes today, but it will probably be revisited in May.”
New Jersey Giants’ owner John Mara

Wednesday’s quiz
Nolan Ryan pitched for 27 years in the big leagues; who did he start his major league career with?

Tuesday’s quiz
Tony Gwynn was once the point guard for San Diego State’s basketball team.

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Rounders, John Malkovich played Russian mobster Teddy KGB




************************************************** ******


Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

NIT semifinals
— North Texas 56, Wisconsin 54

Wisconsin didn’t score in last 9:08 of this game.
Badgers led 41-29 at half; they scored 13 points in 2nd half.
Two guards on North Texas played all 40:00 (61 possessions, slow pace)

— UAB 88, Utah Valley 86 OT
UAB won despite its best player shooting 5-23 from the floor.
Ty Brewer scored 30 points, had 12 rebounds, five steals.

— Conference USA is now 17-1 in postseason games this month; Charlotte won the CBI, FAU is in the Final Four, and the NIT final is two C-USA teams. 17-1 is freakin’ impressive.

— NIT Final Four has traditionally been in Madison Square Garden, but this year it is in the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas and next year, it is at Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indiana, where they shot the finale scenes in Hoosiers.

— College coaching stuff:
Penn State hired VCU coach Mike Rhoades
VCU then hired Utah State coach Ryan Odom

— Happy 79th birthday this week to Rick Barry, one of the best basketball players of all-time; he was Larry Bird before Larry Bird. Famous for shooting free throws underhanded, Barry led the Warriors to the 1975 NBA title. He also has five sons who all played pro basketball.

Had Barry played during the ESPN era, he would get a lot more credit for how great he was.

— Baseball’s new rules this season are giving umpires a lot of discretion, especially where the pitch clock is concerned. Hopefully at the end of close games, they’ll let players decide the outcomes. We’ll see what happens.

By the way, after last season, 12 umpires retired, which seems like an awful lot for one season, so in a year when umpires have more discretion, there will be 12 new umpires.

— Cleveland Guardians signed 2B Andres Gimenez a 7-year, $106.5M contract extension; 24-year old Gimenez hit .297 last year, with 17 home runs.

— Cleveland P Tristan McKenzie is out 6-8 weeks with a strained back.

— Cubs signed 2B Nico Hoerner to a 3-year, $35M contract extension; Hoerner hit ,281 last year with 60 runs scored, 55 RBI.

— Where do various major league teams get their top prospects from? My book came in the mail Tuesday, which lists each team’s top 30 prospects.

18 of the Astros’ top 30 prospects played college baseball, more than any team; Cardinals/Giants have 16 college players in their top 30.

Reds, Mets, Red Sox have only six college players in their top 30 prospects.

Rangers have 13 high school players in their top 30, Red Sox 10, Pirates 9. Bronx has only one high school player in their top 30; Dodgers have only three.

Bronx (15), Mets (14), White Sox/Toronto (13 each) have the most international players in their top 30; Orioles/Rays have only four each.

Cincinnati acquired 11 of its top 30 prospects via trade; A’s/Rays acquired 10. White Sox are only team in major leagues whose top 30 prospects are all home grown.

— Atlanta Falcons named Desmond Ridder their starting QB for the coming season, probably so people will stop asking them about Lamar Jackson. Ridder split four games as Atlanta’s starting QB during his rookie season last year.

— Was watching the XFL game Monday night when I was reminded of something from 40 years ago, the night I was part of the chain gang at a semi-pro football game here in Albany.

Metro Mallers played at Bleecker Stadium in Albany for a long time; it was pretty good football, a fun night out. I went to the game but didn’t feel like paying to get in; saw a friend of mine’s dad who worked for the Mallers, asked him to get me in for free.

He smiled and said “I’ve got just the job for you”

I’m 22-23 years old, just out of college; lot of the guys on the Mallers played ball at UAlbany— my work study job in college was doing stats for football/basketball games, so when I went out on the field for a measurement in the first quarter, Donnie Hyde, who was a really good linebacker, looked at me and said “What the hell are you doing here?”

I laughed and said “Just like college; you’re playing and I’m watching”

The other team had uniforms just like the Cowboys; I’m standing on their sidelines with the chains, and during the third quarter of a close game, I’m standing next to their head coach.

He has his play chart in his left hand, and is sending plays in via messenger; then I realized he has a freakin’ can of beer in his right hand- the guy is drinking Pabst Blue Ribbon while he is coaching the game, calling plays.

That was the epitome of semi-pro football; guys playing because they loved to play, just having fun on a Saturday night. Think I did OK with the chains too; no one complained.
 

Udog

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INDIANA is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game in the current season.

NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent in the current season.

HOUSTON is 11-31 ATS (-23.1 Units) off 2 or more consecutive road losses in the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after allowing 130 points or more in the current season.

LA LAKERS are 12-4 Over (7.6 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the current season.

SACRAMENTO is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 8-0 Over (8 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons.
 

Udog

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NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 29


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MILWAUKEE (54 - 21) at INDIANA (33 - 43) - 3/29/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 41-30 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 7-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 9-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (40 - 36) at NEW YORK (43 - 33) - 3/29/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 41-32 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 60-35 ATS (+21.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
MIAMI is 181-142 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (37 - 39) at PHILADELPHIA (49 - 26) - 3/29/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 29-43 ATS (-18.3 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DALLAS is 508-421 ATS (+44.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 614-514 ATS (+48.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 229-170 ATS (+42.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 50-37 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (18 - 58) at BROOKLYN (40 - 35) - 3/29/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 29-43 ATS (-18.3 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 27-41 ATS (-18.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
HOUSTON is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
HOUSTON is 27-41 ATS (-18.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
HOUSTON is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
HOUSTON is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
HOUSTON is 39-63 ATS (-30.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 29-51 ATS (-27.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 33-51 ATS (-23.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 23-34 ATS (-14.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after allowing 130 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.
HOUSTON is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BROOKLYN is 72-86 ATS (-22.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 55-69 ATS (-20.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 35-58 ATS (-28.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 26-51 ATS (-30.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 4-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (40 - 36) at MEMPHIS (48 - 27) - 3/29/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 94-70 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 65-47 ATS (+13.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games this season.
MEMPHIS is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MEMPHIS is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (35 - 40) at SAN ANTONIO (19 - 56) - 3/29/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 44-62 ATS (-24.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 627-542 ATS (+30.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 111-76 ATS (+27.4 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 427-345 ATS (+47.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 625-533 ATS (+38.7 Units) after scoring 100 points or less since 1996.
UTAH is 40-32 ATS (+4.8 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against Southwest division opponents this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 30-45 ATS (-19.5 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-4 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (16 - 59) at OKLAHOMA CITY (37 - 39) - 3/29/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 31-41 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 29-40 ATS (-15.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
DETROIT is 253-304 ATS (-81.4 Units) after a division game since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-30 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 61-43 ATS (+13.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after allowing 130 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (37 - 38) at CHICAGO (36 - 39) - 3/29/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 173-218 ATS (-66.8 Units) in March games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 55-82 ATS (-35.2 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
CHICAGO is 166-211 ATS (-66.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (45 - 30) at PORTLAND (32 - 43) - 3/29/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 42-33 ATS (+5.7 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PORTLAND is 67-88 ATS (-29.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 36-61 ATS (-31.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 28-42 ATS (-18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (39 - 37) at PHOENIX (40 - 35) - 3/29/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 144-116 ATS (+16.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 114-86 ATS (+19.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
MINNESOTA is 52-39 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Udog

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NBA

Wednesday, March 29


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Milwaukee @ Indiana
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Indiana
Milwaukee is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

Miami @ New York
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Miami's last 23 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
New York is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home
New York is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

Houston @ Brooklyn
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing Houston
Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston

Dallas @ Philadelphia
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home

LA Lakers @ Chicago
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing Chicago
LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago's last 15 games at home

Detroit @ Oklahoma City
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

LA Clippers @ Memphis
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games on the road
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers

Utah @ San Antonio
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
San Antonio is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Utah

Minnesota @ Phoenix
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games at home

Sacramento @ Portland
Sacramento
Sacramento is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Sacramento is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Portland
Portland is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing at home against Sacramento


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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WEDNESDAY, MARCH 29
MIL at IND07:00 PMIND +11.5
O 236.5
+500 +500
HOU at BK07:30 PMHOU +10.5
O 229.0
+500 +500
MIA at NY07:30 PMNY -4.5
U 223.5
+500 +500
DAL at PHI07:30 PMPHI -5.0
U 232.0
+500 +500
LAC at MEM08:00 PMMEM +3.0
O 231.5
+500 +500
DET at OKC08:00 PMOKC -9.5
U 228.5
+500 +500
UTA at SA08:00 PMUTA -3.0
U 234.5
+500 +500
LAL at CHI08:00 PMLAL -3.5
O 227.5
+500 +500
SAC at POR10:00 PMPOR +14.0
O 235.0
+500 +500
MIN at PHO10:00 PMPHO -5.0
O 234.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Completed Picks


Past Completed Picks
03/29/202313-7-065.00%+2650Detail
03/28/20236-6-050.00%-300Detail
03/27/20236-10-037.50%-2500Detail
03/26/20235-13-027.78%-4650Detail
03/25/20233-9-025.00%-3450Detail
03/24/20239-10-147.50%-1000Detail
03/23/20233-5-037.50%-1250Detail
03/22/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
03/21/20234-7-137.50%-1850Detail
03/20/20234-8-033.33%-2400Detail
03/19/20237-8-146.88%-900Detail
03/18/20239-7-056.25%+650Detail
03/17/20239-5-064.29%+1750Detail
03/16/20235-5-050.00%-250Detail
03/15/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/14/202310-6-062.50%+1700Detail
03/13/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/12/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/11/202311-9-055.00%+550Detail
03/10/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/09/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/08/20238-6-057.14%+700Detail
03/07/20237-9-043.75%-1450Detail
03/06/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/05/20236-14-030.00%-4700Detail
03/04/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/03/20238-12-040.00%-2600Detail
03/02/20234-4-050.00%-200Detail
03/01/202311-6-163.89%+2200Detail
 

Cnotes53

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Thursday’s 6-pack
Six top prospects for the Atlanta Braves:
1) AJ Smith-Shawver, P
2) Owen Murphy, P
3) Jared Shuster, P
4) JR Ritchie, P
5) Royber Salinas, P
6) Darius Vines, P

Quote of the Day
“Why did they call me a game manager? Why did I win 15 straight games in the NFL? I learned how not to lose.”
Former NFL QB/current UAB football coach Trent Dilfer

Thursday’s quiz
When was the last time the national championship game in college basketball didn’t have a #1-seed playing in it?

Wednesday’s quiz
Nolan Ryan pitched for 27 years in the big leagues; he started his major league career with the Mets.

Tuesday’s quiz
Tony Gwynn was once the point guard for San Diego State’s basketball team.




****************************************


Thursday’s Den: Happy Opening Day, everyone!!!

Baseball season starts today, one of the best days of the year.

— Rule changes are going to help the game:
Pitch clock chopped 36:00 off of spring training games. Pace of pace should be a lot better this season. Most of the younger players have already played with a pitch clock in the minors; don’t think we’ll notice the pitch clock much, once the season gets rolling.

Banning the shift will help lefty pull hitters be more productive.

Stricter rules on pickoff throws to first base should promote base stealing, especially since the bases are a little bigger. Bases are slightly closer to each other now.

I would recommend betting the over on stolen base props this season.

— New schedule in the big leagues this year; every team plays every other team this year, which means that starts like Trout/Ohtani/Soto, over the course of two years, will play in every big league ballpark. Division rivals will play each other only 13 games this season.

Batters are going to see the same pitchers fewer times, which figures to hurt offense some.

You look back at the old days and hitters faced the same pitchers a ton of times, which helps the hitters. Nowadays, teams don’t like pitchers to face the same hitter three times in a game.

— What will Aaron Judge do for an encore this season? Last year, he hit 62 home runs, had a 1.111 OPS, 111 walks, 133 runs, 131 RBI. Tough act to follow.

— This is Shohei Ohtani’s walk year; what are the Angels going to do with him? Angels are paying him $30M this year, he makes another $40M in endorsements— he will break the bank next winter, but with what team?

Do the Angels trade him this summer? If so, what do they get for him? Halos’ over/under win total is 81.5, but if they trade Ohtani this summer, what happens then?

— Which brings us to the cruddy, cheap teams like the A’s, Pirates; their win totals are really low. Would Pittsburgh trade Bryan Reynolds? Pirates have some good young players, but if they don’t sign Reynolds to a contract extension and trade him away, what happens then?

Last three years, Pirates are 142-242, losing 101-100 games the last two years. Their win total for this year is 67.5, so they’re expected to be slightly better this season.

As for the A’s, their win total is 59.5, so 60-102 would net them the over, which is depressing on several levels. Oakland’s owners are cheap bastards; the franchise made a $29M profit last year despite fielding a God-awful team that went 60-102.

A’s did add some starting pitching this year with Fujinami/Muller; I’ve been an A’s fan since 1965 when I was five years old, so I have this stubborn optimistic streak inside me that says they could be way better than 60-102 this year, but they were over .500 every year form 2018-21, then went in the ashcan last year. Going to be tough to lose less than 90 games this season, but 72-90 would be a pretty big improvement.

Meanwhile, the A’s off-field drama continues; will they move to Las Vegas? Portland? Doubtful that Oakland builds them a new stadium. If I was in Las Vegas, I’d make the cheap bastards put it in writing that they’re going to spend $$$ on payroll if they move to the desert.

— Right now, the Mets’ payroll for this season is $357,083,333; there are 13 major league teams with a payroll of $200M+, but no other team is close to the Mets’ payroll.

Mets have two Hall of Fame pitchers in Scherzer/Verlander, but they’re 38/40 years old. NL East is a tough division; team that finished third in the NL East last year won the NL pennant. Mets lost closer Diaz for the season; who takes his place as the closer?

— Red Sox won the World Series in 2018, then missed the playoffs three of the last four years, finishing last in the AL East last year, 21 games behind; their current payroll is $194,695,000, their over/under for wins this year is 77.5.

— Bruce Bochy will be a Hall of Fame manager, having won three titles with the Giants; now he is managing the Texas Rangers, who signed Jacob deGrom this winter, and have a payroll at a hefty $221,544,827. Semien/Seager/deGrom make a combined $91.5M, just the three of them. Rangers’ over/under win total is 81.5.

— Dodgers won the NL West nine of the last ten years, but it looks like San Diego has a better team this season. Padres haven’t won the NL West since 2006, when their manager was Bruce Bochy; their payroll this year is $248,981,645.

Peter Seidler is the Padres’ owner; he is the grandson of Walter O’Malley, the guy who moved the Dodgers from Brooklyn to Los Angeles in the 50’s.

Unclear why the Dodgers let Trea Turner walk; are they putting $$$ aside to go all-in with the Ohtani sweepstakes next winter?

— Astros won their second World Series last year; they’ve been in four of last six World Series, but then they fired their general manager? Why?????

Altuve broke his thumb in the World Baseball Classic, is out until June; they lost Verlander. Could this be a year that Texas/Seattle challenges them in the AL West?

Last two years, Mariners went 67-41 in one-run games; is that sustainable?

— Six months of baseball starts today; enjoy it, everyone.
 
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