CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Udog

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WASHINGTON is 14-4 Over (9.6 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2...

MIAMI is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 14-4 Under (9.6 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 79-51 Over (22.9 Units) after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more since 1996.

BOSTON is 16-30 ATS (-17 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 29-15 Under (12.5 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Friday, November 4


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Trend Report
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Brooklyn @ Washington
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Washington's last 19 games at home

Miami @ Indiana
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

Cleveland @ Detroit
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Detroit's last 14 games when playing Cleveland

New York @ Philadelphia
New York
New York is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against New York
Philadelphia is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing New York

Chicago @ Boston
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games when playing Chicago
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago

Charlotte @ Memphis
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Memphis
Memphis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte

LA Clippers @ San Antonio
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Clippers's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games on the road
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
San Antonio is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Toronto @ Dallas
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home

Golden State @ New Orleans
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Golden State is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games

Milwaukee @ Minnesota
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee

Portland @ Phoenix
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Utah @ LA Lakers
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Utah
LA Lakers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Utah


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Friday, November 4


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Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 4
BK at WAS07:00 PMWAS -3.0
U 223.0
+500 +500
MIA at IND07:00 PMIND +3.0
O 224.5
+500 +500
CLE at DET07:00 PMCLE -4.0
U 215.5
+500 +500
NY at PHI07:00 PMPHI -4.0
O 219.5
+500 +500
CHI at BOS07:30 PMCHI +7.5
O 223.5
+500 +500
LAC at SA08:00 PMLAC -3.5
U 225.0
+500 +500
CHA at MEM08:00 PMMEM -11.5
U 225.5
+500 +500
GS at NO08:30 PMNO -11.0
O 227.0
+500 +500
TOR at DAL08:30 PMTOR +3.5
O 216.0
+500 +500
POR at PHO10:00 PMPOR +12.5
O 218.0
+500 +500
MIL at MIN10:00 PMMIL -3.5
U 227.0
+500 +500
UTA at LAL10:30 PMLAL -3.5
U 228.5
+500 +500
 

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NBA NOVEMBER'S OPINION'S AND BEST BETS !

11/04/2022.............14-10-0................58.33%...................+ 15.00
11/02/2022...............11-8-1................57.89%...................+ 11.00
11/01/2022................5-3-0.................62.50%...................+ 8.50

TOTALS.................30-21-1................58.82%...................+ 34.50


*********************************************

BEST BETS

11/04/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%................+ 3.00
11/02/3033................6-4-1.................60.00%................+ 8.00
11/01/2022................4-2-0.................66.66%................+ 9.00

TOTALS................15-10-1.................60.00%................+ 20.00


*************************************************

OCT'S RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
TOTALS............95-102-0..................48.22%................-85.50
BEST BETS !
TOTALS..............55-59-2...................48.24%...............- 49.50
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack
Knicks 106, 76ers 104— Philly led by nine after three quarters.
Celtics 123, Bulls 119— Despite 46 points from DeMar DeRozan
Pelicans 114, Warriors 105— Golden State is now 0-6 on the road.
Pacers 101, Heat 99— Buddy Hield scored 25 points.
Clippers 113, Spurs 106— Zubac scored 17 points, had 15 rebounds.
Mavericks 111, Raptors 110— Dallas led by 15 after the 3rd quarter.

Quote of the Day
“There are no sidelines. There’s no sitting this one out. There is no hoping that someone else is going to come in and save the day. There is no cavalry. We are the cavalry.”
Beto O’Rourke.
Please vote on Tuesday.

Saturday’s quiz
Which actor, who appeared in Animal House, later played the Vice President on The West Wing?

Friday’s quiz
Who was Tennessee’s quarterback, last time they won the national championship?

Thursday’s quiz
Other than Don Larsen, Roy Halladay threw the only one-pitcher no-hitter in postseason history, in 2010 against the Reds.

*****************************

Saturday’s Den: A quick statistical note on every NFL team

NFC
Arizona
— scored 19 ppg in first six games, without DeAndre Hopkins; scored 42-26 points in first two games Hopkins played.

Atlanta— Underdogs covered seven of their eight games this season.

Carolina— ran ball for 90.3 yards/game when McCaffrey was on team; ran ball for 173-169 yards in first two games since they traded him.

Chicago— ran ball for 157.4 yards/game in first five games; last three games, they ran ball for 238-243-240 yards.

Dallas— won/covered six of last seven games. Under is 6-1-1 in their games this season.

Detroit— last three games, Lions were outscored 48-0 in second half.

Green Bay— went under their team total in 7 of 8 games; last four games, Green Bay was outscored 57-26 in second half.

Rams— 3-0 scoring 20+ points; scored 14 or less in losses- in the four losses, they were outscored 58-3 in second half.

Minnesota— won last five games, covered last four; Vikings scored 18 TD’s on their last 57 drives.

NJ Giants— Under is 6-1-1 in their games. Giants converted 31 of last 67 (46.2%) third down plays.

New Orleans— four of their last five games went over. In weeks 5-7, Saints allowed 32-30-42 points. In Week 8, they shut the Raiders out 24-0. Go figure.

Philadelphia— under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Last five games, Eagles are +12 in turnovers (13-1).

San Francisco— 49ers are 4-0 if they score 24+ points; in two games with McCaffrey on team, they converted 13-23 third down plays.

Seattle— won/covered four of last five games; in their last six games, Seahawks outscored opponents 35-0 in last 2:00 of each half.

Tampa Bay— lost five of last six games (0-6 ATS); they’re 1-3 in games decided by 6 or less points. Bucs scored 3 touchdowns on their last 29 drives.

Washington— won/covered their last three games. Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

AFC
Baltimore— road team covered six of their eight games this season.

Buffalo—under is 8-0 in their games this season; opponent stayed under their team total in all eight games.

Cincinnati— yards per pass attempt this year:
In wins: 6.9-9.2-6.8-10.2
In losses: 5.0-3.9-5.0-4.8

Cleveland— their three road games were decided by total of 8 points; Browns lost 2 of the 3 games (underdogs 3-0 ATS)

Denver— under is 7-1 in their games. Denver scored 16 or less points in six of the eight games.

Houston— threw for less than 6 yards/pass attempt in six of eight games. Converted 4 of last 23 third down plays.

Indianapolis— stayed under their team total 5 of last 6 games. Have been outscored 105-42 in first half this season.

Jacksonville— 0-5 SU/ATS last five games (minus-9 turnovers)

Kansas City— last four games, converted 29-49 on third down. Are 5-0 when they score more than 20 points.

Las Vegas— last 6 games, their opponent went over their team total 5-0-1. Last three games, Raiders converted 23-39 on third down.

LA Chargers— four of their last five games went over total. Chargers averaged 6.5+ yards/pass attempt in all three road games, 6.2 or less in three of four home games (in a dome)

Miami— 4-0 in games decided by 6 or fewer points. Dolphins stayed under their team total in five of last six games.

New England— covered 4 of last 5 games. In their wins, are +7 in turnovers. In their losses, are minus-6 in turnovers.

NJ Jets— opponent stayed under their team total 4 of last 5 games. Jets converted only 9 of last 39 third down plays.

Pittsburgh— lost 6 of last 7 games SU, with last four staying under total. Steelers are +5 in turnovers in their two wins, minus-9 in their losses.

Tennessee— Titans won/covered their last five games; they were outgained in six of their seven games.
 

Udog

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ORLANDO is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 18-5 Over (12.5 Units) in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game in the last 3 ...

ATLANTA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 13-3 Over (9.7 Units) playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 127-184 ATS (-75.4 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread since 1996.

MILWAUKEE is 44-24 Over (17.6 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

DENVER is 19-42 ATS (-27.2 Units) in home games when the total >=220 in the last 3 seasons.

PHOENIX is 19-5 Under (13.5 Units) after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA

Saturday, November 5


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Trend Report
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Sacramento @ Orlando
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Orlando
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Sacramento

Brooklyn @ Charlotte
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games

Boston @ New York
Boston
Boston is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Boston is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing New York
New York
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 7 games at home

New Orleans @ Atlanta
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Oklahoma City @ Milwaukee
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Houston @ Minnesota
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Houston's last 17 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Houston is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston

San Antonio @ Denver
San Antonio
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio's last 11 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Portland @ Phoenix
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
Portland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


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Cnotes53

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SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 5
SAC at ORL05:00 PMSAC -3.5
U 226.0
+500 +500
BK at CHA07:00 PMCHA +4.5
O 222.0
+500 +500
NO at ATL07:30 PMNO +1.5
O 230.5
+500 +500
BOS at NY07:30 PMNY +4.5
U 225.0
+500 +500
OKC at MIL08:00 PMMIL -7.5
U 221.5
+500 +500
HOU at MIN08:00 PMMIN -8.5
O 232.5
+500 +500
SA at DEN09:00 PMDEN -11.5
U 235.0
+500 +500
POR at PHO10:00 PMPOR +11.0
O 217.0
+500 +500
 

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NBA NOVEMBER'S OPINION'S AND BEST BETS !




11/05/2022...............8-8-0...................50.00%..................- 4.00
11/04/2022.............14-10-0................58.33%...................+ 15.00
11/02/2022...............11-8-1................57.89%...................+ 11.00
11/01/2022................5-3-0.................62.50%...................+ 8.50

TOTALS....................38-29-1................56.71%...................+ 30.50


*********************************************

BEST BETS



11/05/2022................5-7-0.................41.66%...............- 13.50
11/04/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%................+ 3.00
11/02/3033................6-4-1.................60.00%................+ 8.00
11/01/2022................4-2-0.................66.66%................+ 9.00

TOTALS...................20-17-1.................54.05%................+ 6.50

*************************************************

OCT'S RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
TOTALS............95-102-0..................48.22%................-85.50
BEST BETS !
TOTALS..............55-59-2...................48.24%...............- 49.50
 

Udog

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Sunday’s 6-pack
Celtics 133, Knicks 118— Boston was 27-51 behind the 3-point arc.
— Kings 126, Magic 123 OT— Fox scored 37 points, hit 40-footer at buzzer for the win.
Hawks 124, Pelicans 121 OT— Trae Young scored 34 points, had 10 assists.
Nets 98, Hornets 94— Brooklyn is 2-0 since Kyrie Irving was suspended.
Timberwolves 129, Rockets 117— Towns scored 25 points, with 9 rebounds, 6 assists.
Bucks 108, Thunder 94— Portis had 21 rebounds for Milwaukee.

Quote of the Day
“It’s supposed to be hard. If it wasn’t hard, everyone would do it. The hard… is what makes it great.”
Tom Hanks in A League of Their Own

Sunday’s quiz
Who was the Houston Astros’ manager, the other time they won a World Series?

Saturday’s quiz
Tim Matheson appeared in Animal House, later played the Vice President on The West Wing.

Friday’s quiz
Tee Martin was Tennessee’s quarterback, last time they won the national championship.

*****************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

SMU 77, Houston 63
SMU QB Mordecai threw seven TD passes…….in the FIRST HALF!!!
For the game, Mordecai was 28-37/379 passing with nine TD’s. He also ran the ball for 54 yards and a touchdown.
Mustangs led 56-35 at halftime.
Houston QB Tune threw for 527 yards and seven TD’s.
If I was Houston’s defensive coordinator, might be time to update the resume.

LSU 32, Alabama 31 OT
LSU scored TD in OT; they went for 2 points and the win— they got it.
Alabama kicked a 46-yard FG with 0:21 left to force OT.
Since 2005, this is the 5th time Alabama-LSU have played an overtime game.

Georgia 27, Tennessee 13— Game was 24-6 at halftime; Dawgs converted 7-12 on third down, Tennessee only 2-14. Georgia held the Vols to 289 total yards.

Kansas 37, Oklahoma State 16
Jayhawks are bowl eligible for the first time since 2008
Oklahoma State lost three of last four games after a 5-0 start, giving up 40.5 ppg.

Air Force 13, Army 7— We try to give out good handicapping trends here; since 2005, when service academy teams play each other, the under is 43-9-1. We posted this trend in Friday’s Den, so don’t say we didn’t try to help.

TCU 34, Texas Tech 24— Horned Frogs ran ball for 234 yards; they’re the quietest 9-0 team you’ve ever seen.

Mississippi State 39, Auburn 33 OT
Bulldogs led 24-6 at halftime.
QB Rogers was 42-59/357 passing, with three TD’s.
Auburn ran ball for 261 yards, threw for only 70.
MSU kicked FG to tie game with 0:29 left, to force OT.
Auburn had 13 penalties for 100 yards.

Liberty 31, Arkansas 29
8-1 Liberty led 21-3 at halftime.
Flames had a goal-line stand with 1:11 left to play.
Liberty coach Freeze struggled in the SEC, going 12-25 in five years at Ole Miss, but he gets a big win here over a good SEC team.

Upsets of the Week:
Michigan State (+16.5) 23, Illinois 15
Liberty (+13.5) 21, Arkansas 19
Ball State (+7) 27, Kent State 20
NC State (+5) 30, Wake Forest 21
Iowa (+4.5) 24, Purdue 3


Temple 54, South Florida 28— EJ Warner was 27-36/344 passing, with two TD’s.

Baylor 38, Oklahoma 35— Sooners outgained Baylor 499-413, converted 10-15 on third down, but Gabriel threw three INT’s. Oklahoma is now 5-4, after going 107-24 the last 10 years.

Tulane 27, Tulsa 13— 8-1 Green Wave is ranked in the top 20 for first time this century; they were 2-10 last year, were 46-77 over the last decade, before this season.

Florida State 38, Miami 3— FSU led 31-3 at halftime. Once-proud Hurricanes have now lost five of their last seven games.

Minnesota 20, Nebraska 13— RB Ibrahim ran ball for 127 yards, his 17th straight game with 100+ rushing yards. 6-3 Gophers are bowl eligible.

Notre Dame 35, Clemson 14— Notre Dame’s first TD came on a blocked punt; they later had a pick-6, as Clemson loses for the first time this season.

Kentucky 21, Missouri 17— Wildcats drove 58 yards in 2:48, threw 22-yard TD pass for winning score with 5:18 left. Kentucky is now 6-3, bowl eligible for the 7th straight year.

Tex-San Antonio 44, UAB 38 OT
UAB scored two TD’s in last 4:39 to force overtime.
Blazers outgained UTSA 553-494.
Senior QB Harris threw for 285 yards, 4 TD’s for UTSA.
Roadrunners are now 7-2, 5-0 in Conference USA.

Astros 4, Phillies 1
Alvarez hit a 3-run homer for Houston.
Game was scoreless after five innings.
Phillies scored total of three runs in Games 4-6.
Astros win title for 2nd time; they’ve been in four of last six World Series.
This should cement Dusty Baker as a Hall of Famer, hopefully next year.
 

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LA LAKERS are 15-36 ATS (-24.6 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 13-2 Over (10.8 Units) in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 21-6 Under (14.4 Units) after a cover as a double digit favorite since 1996.

UTAH is 14-4 Under (9.6 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, November 6


xcNjFFJ.png





NBA

Sunday, November 6


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Trend Report
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Cleveland @ LA Lakers
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Chicago @ Toronto
Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing at home against Chicago

Washington @ Memphis
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Utah @ LA Clippers
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 6
CLE at LAL03:30 PMCLE -4.5
U 222.0
+500 +500
WAS at MEM06:00 PMMEM -9.5
O 224.5
+500 +500
CHI at TOR06:00 PMCHI +2.0
O 220.5
+500 +500
UTA at LAC10:00 PMUTA +3.5
U 221.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NBA NOVEMBER'S OPINION'S AND BEST BETS !

11/06/2022...............2-4-0...................33.33%..................- 12.00
11/05/2022...............8-8-0...................50.00%..................- 4.00
11/04/2022.............14-10-0................58.33%...................+ 15.00
11/02/2022...............11-8-1................57.89%...................+ 11.00
11/01/2022................5-3-0.................62.50%...................+ 8.50

TOTALS....................40-33-1................54.79%...................+ 18.50


*********************************************

BEST BETS


11/06/2022................3-3-0.................50.00%................- 1.50
11/05/2022................5-7-0.................41.66%...............- 13.50
11/04/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%................+ 3.00
11/02/3033................6-4-1.................60.00%................+ 8.00
11/01/2022................4-2-0.................66.66%................+ 9.00

TOTALS...................23-20-1.................53.48%................+5.00

*************************************************

OCT'S RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
TOTALS............95-102-0..................48.22%................-85.50
BEST BETS !
TOTALS..............55-59-2...................48.24%...............- 49.50
 

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Monday’s 6-pack

Interesting Week 10 spreads in the NFL:

— Falcons (-2.5) @ Carolina
— Seahawks vs Buccaneers (-1.5) (@ Munich)
— Lions @ Chicago (-2.5)
— Vikings @ Buffalo (-7.5)
— Jaguars @ Kansas City (-10)
— Saints (-3) @ Pittsburgh

Quote of the Day
“To get in this league and play who we play day after day, I would think it would be a tremendous awakening. You don’t get to make your own schedule in the Big 12.”
West Virginia hoop coach Bob Huggins, talking about Gonzaga potentially jumping to the Big 12 Conference from the WCC, where they’re a big fish in a very small pond.

Monday’s quiz
Where did Kawhi Leonard play his college basketball?

Sunday’s quiz
AJ Hinch was the Houston Astros’ manager, the other time they won a World Series, in 2017.

Saturday’s quiz
Tim Matheson appeared in Animal House, later played the Vice President on The West Wing.

*************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Chiefs 20, Titans 17 OT
— Chiefs tied game on TD/2-point play with 2:56 left.
— Kansas City ran 91 plays for 499 yards; Titans 48 plays, 229 yards.
— Mahomes had 63 of Chiefs’ 77 rushing yards.
— Last five games, Chiefs converted 37-68 (54.4%) third down plays.
— Kansas City is 7-12 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.

— Titans’ first 3 drives: 16 plays, 196 yards, 14 points.
— Rest of game: 32 plays, 32 yards, 3 points.
— Chiefs converted 8-19 on 3rd down, Tennessee 1-11.
— Willis is 11-26/135 passing (1 INT) in his first two NFL starts.
— Tennessee covered its last six games (5-1 SU)

Chargers 20, Falcons 17
— Falcons led 10-0 after the first quarter.
— Chargers drove 24 yards in 0:34, kicked GW FG at the gun.
— Chargers converted 8-16 third down plays.
— Bolts are 5-0 if they allow less than 37 points.
— Chargers won four of their last five games.

— Atlanta only scored 17 points on four red zone drives.
— Falcons first two drives: 22 plays, 145 yards, 10 points.
— Falcons next three drives: 9 plays, minus-10 yards, 3 punts.
— Last seven games, Falcons ran ball for 169 yards/game.
— Last five opponents converted 52-105 (49.5%) third down plays.

Dolphins 35, Bears 32
— Miami’s first 5 drives: 36 plays, 364 yards, 4 TD’s, missed FG
— Dolphins led 21-10 after scoring TD on a blocked punt.
— Last four games, Miami averaged 7.3/7.5/9.2/10.1 yards/pass attempt.
— Dolphins are 5-0 if they score more than 17 points.
— Miami is 5-0 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.

— Fields carried ball 15 times for 178 yards, threw for 123 yards, 3 TDs.
— Last four games, Bears ran ball for 238-243-240-252 yards.
— Chicago converted 10-16 third down plays.
— Bears scored 33-29-32 points in their last three games (1-2).
— Chicago lost five of its last six games SU.
— Bears allowed 10 TD’s on opponents’ last 17 drives.

Jets 20, Bills 17
— Bills in first half: 37 plays, 254 yards, 14 points.
— Bills in second half: 26 plays, 43 yards, 3 points.
— Allen threw red zone INT on Bills’ first drive of game.
— Buffalo averaged only 4.7 yards/pass attempt.
— All eight Buffalo games stayed under the total.

— Jets drove 86 yards, kicked 28-yard FG with 1:43 left for the win.
— Gang Green is 6-3, would be #5-seed in AFC if playoffs were today.
— Last five games, Jets allowed only seven TD’s on 58 drives.
— Last five weeks, Jets outscored foes 68-29 in second half.
— Jets won/covered five of last six games.

Bengals 42, Panthers 21
— Bengals in first half: 45 plays, 316 yards, 35 points.
— Mixon had 26 touches for 211 yards, five TD’s.
— Bengals are 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
— Bengals converted 42 of last 80 (52.5%) third down plays.
— Cincinnati won five of last seven games (6-1 ATS).

— Carolina in first half: 17 plays, 32 yards, 1 first down, 2 turnovers.
— Down 35-0, QB Mayfield played 2nd half, led three TD drives in garbage time.
— Panthers are 4-12 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
— Carolina is 3-7 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
— Carolina lost three of four games since firing their coach.

Vikings 20, Commanders 17
— Vikings drove 44 yards, kicked 28-yard FG with 0:12 left for the win.
— Minnesota drove 78 yards for a TD on its opening drive.
— Vikings’ next 7 drives: 32 plays, 110 yards, no points.
— Vikings in 4th quarter: 3 drives, 26 plays, 124 yards, 17 points.
— Last five games, Jefferson caught 41 passes for 621 yards.
— Vikings won last six games SU (4-1-1 ATS)

— Washington led 17-7 with 11:00 left in game.
— Commanders converted only 15 of last 60 third down plays.
— Washington’s last four games (3-1) were decided by total of 11 points.
— Six of their last seven games stayed under the total.
— Last eight games, Commanders have been outscored 100-40 in first half

Lions 15, Packers 9
— Rodgers threw red zone INTs on Packers’ first two drives.
— Green Bay was in red zone four times, scored 3 points.
— Packers lost their last five games, scoring 15.8 ppg.
— Packers are 1-7-1 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.
— Green Bay went under its team total in seven of eight games.
— Packers are 7-13 ATS in last 20 NFC North road games.

— Packers are 0-6 ATS in last six trips to Detroit.
— Lions won despite losing field position by 10 yards.
— Packers started two drives in Detroit territory, didn’t scored on either one.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 5-19-1 SU, 15-9-1 ATS.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 8-2-1 ATS as a home underdog.

Patriots 26, Colts 3
— Patriots forced nine 3/outs on Colts’ 14 drives.
— New England is 5-0 when it allows less than 20 points.
— Last two games, Patriots scored 2 TD’s, kicked 9 FG’s on 25 drives.
— Last five games, Patriots outscored foes 70-32 in 2nd half.
— New England won four of last five games SU (5-1 ATS last six).

— Colts fired their offensive coordinator Tuesday; it didn’t help.
— Patriots sacked Ehlinger nine times, held Colts to 1.1 yards/pass attempt.
— Indianapolis was 0-14 on third down conversions.
— Eight of their nine games stayed under the total.
— Colts went under their team total in eight of nine games TY.
— Colts have trailed all nine games after the third quarter.

Jaguars 27, Raiders 20
— Raiders led 17-0 with 5:00 left in first half.
— Raiders in first half: 34 plays, 231 yards, 12 first downs, 20 points.
— Raiders in 2nd half: 25 plays, 65 yards, 4 first downs, no points.
— Adams caught 10 passes for 146 yards, two TD’s.
— Raiders are 2-10-1 ATS last 13 games as a road favorite.
— Las Vegas is 0-5 SU on road TY, giving up 25.8 ppg.

— Jaguars’ 1st three drives: 13 plays, 51 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Jaguars rest of game: 55 plays, 340 yards, 20 first downs, 27 points.
— Jacksonville converted 9-15 on third down, Raiders 3-12.
— Etienne carried ball 28 times for 109 yards, two TD’s.
— Last five games, Jacksonville ran ball for 175.8 yards/game.

Buccaneers 16, Rams 13
— Cooper Kupp caught 8 passes for 127 yards, Rams’ only TD.
— Rest of offense for the day: 47 plays, 79 yards.
— Rams lost four of their last five games SU.
— Rams were held to 10-9-10-14-13 points in their losses.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 68-9 in second half.
— Last five games, Rams ran ball for only 66 yards/game.

— Tampa Bay drove 60 yards for game-winning TD with 0:09 left.
— Tampa Bay outgained Rams 323-206, held LA to nine first downs.
— Last three games, Bucs scored four TD’s on 42 drives.
— Last five weeks, Bucs ran ball 100 times for 285 yards (2.85/carry)
— Seven of nine Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.

Seahawks 31, Cardinals 21
— Smith threw pick-6 in 3rd quarter, Arizona led 14-10
— Seahawks’ 3 drives after that: 31 plays, 231 yards, 21 points.
— Last four weeks, Seattle outscored foes 61-35 in 2nd half.
— Seahawks won/covered five of their last six games.
— Seattle is 5-0 when it allows less than 27 points.
— Five of Seahawks’ last seven games went over the total.

— Seahawks converted 10-15 third down plays.
— Hopkins caught only four passes for 36 yards.
— Arizona is 1-6 when it scores less than 29 points.
— Arizona is 5-14 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.
— Cardinals lost four of their last five games SU.
— Seahawks are 7-2-1 ATS in last ten visits to Arizona.
 

Udog

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Sep 10, 2018
17,281
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CHARLOTTE is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where they made 39% of their shots or worse since 1996.

HOUSTON is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-2 ATS (11.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 13-2 Under (10.8 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

PHOENIX is 47-24 ATS (20.6 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 11-2 Under (8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 18-2 ATS (15.8 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 19-4 Over (14.6 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 56-30 ATS (23 Units) versus terrible 3 point shooting teams -making <=30% of their attempts since 1996.

LA CLIPPERS are 24-10 ATS (13 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
 

Udog

Registered
Forum Member
Sep 10, 2018
17,281
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NBA

Monday, November 7


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Trend Report
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Washington @ Charlotte
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

Houston @ Orlando
Houston
Houston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Orlando
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Detroit
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City

New Orleans @ Indiana
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 10 games
Indiana
Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Indiana's last 21 games at home

Phoenix @ Philadelphia
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Phoenix's last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home

Milwaukee @ Atlanta
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

Portland @ Miami
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland

Toronto @ Chicago
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Toronto is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Boston @ Memphis
Boston
Boston is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Memphis
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Memphis's last 15 games when playing at home against Boston

New York @ Minnesota
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against New York

Denver @ San Antonio
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
San Antonio is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Denver

Brooklyn @ Dallas
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

Sacramento @ Golden State
Sacramento
Sacramento is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

LA Lakers @ Utah
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
LA Lakers is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Utah
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Cleveland @ LA Clippers
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games at home


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
29,944
26
48
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 7
WAS at CHA07:00 PMCHA -2.0
U 213.5
+500 +500
HOU at ORL07:15 PMORL -5.5
U 223.5
+500 +500
OKC at DET07:30 PMOKC -1.5
U 223.5
+500 +500
NO at IND07:45 PMNO -5.0
U 233.0
+500 +500
PHO at PHI08:00 PMPHO -2.5
U 215.0
+500 +500
MIL at ATL08:15 PMMIL -3.5
U 226.0
+500 +500
POR at MIA08:30 PMMIA -5.5
U 217.5
+500 +500
TOR at CHI08:45 PMCHI -2.0
U 221.0
+500 +500
BOS at MEM09:00 PMMEM +3.5
O 231.0
+500 +500
NY at MIN09:15 PMMIN -3.0
U 235.0
+500 +500
DEN at SA09:30 PMSA +7.5
O 234.5
+500 +500
BK at DAL09:45 PMDAL -6.0
U 216.5
+500 +500
SAC at GS10:00 PMGS -8.0
U 234.5
+500 +500
LAL at UTA10:15 PMUTA -6.5
U 226.0
+500 +500
CLE at LAC10:30 PMLAC +5.0
O 213.0
+500 +500
 
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