CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Cnotes53

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NBA NOVEMBER'S OPINION'S AND BEST BETS !

11/07/2022...........15-15-0...................50.00%..................- 7.50
11/06/2022...............2-4-0...................33.33%..................- 12.00
11/05/2022...............8-8-0...................50.00%..................- 4.00
11/04/2022.............14-10-0................58.33%...................+ 15.00
11/02/2022...............11-8-1................57.89%...................+ 11.00
11/01/2022................5-3-0.................62.50%...................+ 8.50

TOTALS................55-48-1................53.39%...................+ 11.00


*********************************************

BEST BETS

11/07/2022................7-9-0.................43.75%................- 14.50
11/06/2022................3-3-0.................50.00%................- 1.50

11/05/2022................5-7-0.................41.66%...............- 13.50
11/04/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%................+ 3.00
11/02/3033................6-4-1.................60.00%................+ 8.00
11/01/2022................4-2-0.................66.66%................+ 9.00

TOTALS................30-29-1.................50.84%................- 9.50

*************************************************

OCT'S RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
TOTALS............95-102-0..................48.22%................-85.50
BEST BETS !
TOTALS..............55-59-2...................48.24%...............- 49.50
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Interesting Week 10 spreads in the NFL:

— Texans @ NJ Giants (-6.5)
— Browns @ Miami (-4)
— Broncos @ Tennessee (-3)
— Colts @ Las Vegas (-6)
— Cowboys (-5) @ Green Bay
— Cardinals @ LA Rams (-3)

Quote of the Day
“Nothing ends well, or else it wouldn’t end.”
Coughlin’s Law, from the movie Cocktail

Tuesday’s quiz
We know that Steph Curry played at Davidson; where did his dad Dell Curry play his college basketball? He played 16 years in the NBA.

Monday’s quiz
Kawhi Leonard played his college basketball at San Diego State

Sunday’s quiz
AJ Hinch was the Houston Astros’ manager, the other time they won a World Series, in 2017.

**************************

Tuesday’s Den: Random stuff, and notes from the first night of college basketball

Notes from first night of college basketball:
— These teams started their season with losses to teams that aren’t Division I:
Cleveland State
Kansas City
Marshall
Northern Illinois


— Other upsets of note:
Sam Houston State (+17) 52, Oklahoma 51
SE Missouri State (+10) 64, South Florida 61
Western Illinois (+10) 71, Illinois State 68
Evansville (+8) 78, Miami OH 74
Cal-Davis (+5.5) 75, California 65


— A few other upsets:
Florida Gulf Coast 74, USC 61— Andy Enfield loses to his former employer.
Stetson 83, Florida State 74— Hatters made 14-35 on the arc.
Wagner 76, Temple 73 OT
NC-Asheville 98, UCF 95, 2OT— UCF led by 10 with 3:15 left in regulation.
Quinnipiac 67, Rhode Island 62— Bobcats survived shooting 9-25 on the foul line.

Games of the Night:
Hofstra 83, Princeton 77— Princeton led by 7 with 4:05 left to play.
Akron 81, South Dakota State 80 OT
Belmont 70, Ohio U 69— Belmont hit a 3-pointer off a side out-of-bounds play with 0:01.1 left for the dramatic win.
Oregon State 73, Tulsa 70— Good start for Beavers after last year’s 3-28 debacle.

Ravens 27, Saints 13:
— Baltimore led 14-3 at halftime.
— Ravens converted 9-15 on 3rd down, New Orleans 3-11.
— Ravens are 11-1 ATS last 12 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last six games, Ravens have run ball for 181.4 yards/game.
— Baltimore won four of its last five games.

— Saints’ first four drives: 13 plays, 36 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Only New Orleans TD came with 4:13 left, after issue had been decided.
— Saints have been outscored 53-18 in last 2:00 of each half.
— New Orleans is 1-4 when they score less than 27 points.
— Saints lost 6 of last 8 games; their turnover ratio is minus-11.

— Indianapolis Colts fired coach Frank Reich Monday; Colts are 3-5-1 this season, trailing all nine games after the 3rd quarter. Reich went 40-33-1 as coach of the Colts; he had a different starting quarterback every season.

Colts hired their former center Jeff Saturday as interim head coach; he was working on ESPN until now, and is first NFL head coach with zero college/NFL coaching experience since 1961, when Norm Van Brocklin went from QB of the Eagles to head coach of the expansion Vikings.

Saturday played 13 seasons with the Colts, and was a 6-time Pro Bowler and 4-time All-Pro.

— QB Sam Ehlinger has started two games for the Colts; they fired his offensive coordinator after last week’s game, fired his head coach after this week’s game. Perfectly normal.

— Carolina Panthers fired two more assistant coaches Monday; they fired head coach Matt Rhule and two other assistants a month ago. Panthers also activated QB Sam Darnold, but said that PJ Walker will start Thursday night’s game against the Falcons.

— Seattle Seahawks have started rookie offensive tackles in every game this year, first time that has happened in the NFL since 1982.

— Watching the Vikings play Sunday, WR Justin Jefferson is so good; if he is single-covered, QB Cousins will just throw a jump ball in that direction, figuring that Jefferson will win that battle and make a big play.

— New Jersey Giants safety Xavier McKinney went on vacation to Mexico during his bye week; he broke his hand there in an ATV accident. He went on IR, so he’ll miss at least four games.

— Miami Dolphins gave LB Bradley Chubb a 5-year, $110M deal, with $63.2M of that money guaranteed; Dolphins dealt RB Chase Edwards and two draft picks to Denver to acquire Chubb at the trade deadline.

If the playoffs started today, 6-3 Miami would be the #6-seed in the AFC.

— Texas A&M’s football is on a 5-game losing streak for first time since 1980; Green Bay Packers have also lost five in a row, for first time since 2008.

— I stumbled across this reality series on Amazon Prime about the Sierra Canyon High School basketball team; kids go there from all over the country to position themselves for scholarships in college. Lebron James’ son is on the team; Dwyane Wade’s son, Kenyon Martin’s son played there in previous years.

The show takes you behind the scenes of the team, which is interesting; how many high school basketball teams play games in eight different states in one season? It isn’t at all a normal high school team, but what I’ve seen of the program has been interesting so far.

— Why do NBA players sit games out at this time of year? They can’t play two nights in a row? Are they really going to play better in playoff games in April/May because they sat out a game on November 8th?

When they were kids, these guys played AAU ball, where teams might play couple of games in a the same day, and 5-6 games in a weekend.

— There is some conference shuffling going on again this year in college basketball; the WAC and Sun Belt have both added a bunch of teams. Next year, Jacksonville State, Liberty, New Mexico State and Sam Houston State are all going to Conference USA.

— Doing my prep work for college basketball the last couple weeks, remarkable how many kids are playing at their third different college. More than a few are playing for their fourth college; not a lot of continuity around the country, which makes handicapping early season games just an impossible task, a complete crapshoot.

— This is an oddity and speaks to how kids transfer all the time now; James Madison has four players on this year’s team who have been Freshmen of the Year in a conference. None of them did it while playing for James Madison.

— Last year, Murray State beat San Francisco 92-87 in OT in the NCAA tournament; both head coaches in that game parlayed their successful seasons into better jobs, so this year, when LSU plays Florida, it’ll be the same two coaches going up against each other- Matt McMahon, who went from Murray State to LSU and Todd Golden, who bolted from USF to Florida.
 

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NBA is taking the day off. Play resumes tomorrow.
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Interesting Week 10 college football spreads:
— Kansas @ Texas Tech (-3.5)
— Kansas State @ Baylor (-2.5)
— Washington @ Oregon (-13.5)
— TCU @ Texas (-7)
— North Carolina @ Wake Forest (-3.5)
— Florida State (-6.5) @ Syracuse

Quote of the Day
“I cannot teach anybody anything. I can only make them think.”
Socrates

Wednesday’s quiz
Rams drafted QB Sam Bradford with the 1st pick of the 2010 NFL Draft; who was the only other QB taken in the first round that year?
Hints:
a) he doesn’t play in the NFL anymore
b) he later played professionally in another sport

Tuesday’s quiz
We know that Steph Curry played college basketball at Davidson; his dad Dell Curry played at Virginia Tech.

Monday’s quiz
Kawhi Leonard played his college basketball at San Diego State

***************************

Wednesday’s Den: NBA trends

NBA trends (thru November 8)

Hawks (7-3):
— won/covered last three games SU.
— 3-1-1 ATS at home
— over 4-1 on road

Celtics (7-3):
— won four of last five games SU.
— they’re 4-6 ATS, 2-4 on road
— over 3-1 at home

Nets (4-7):
— 1-4 ATS at home.
— 2-3 ATS as favorite, 2-3 ATS as an underdog.
— last five games stayed under the total.

Hornets (3-8):
— lost their last five games SU.
— 1-4 ATS at home
— under 4-1 at home

Bulls (6-6)
— 3-0 ATS as a home favorite.
— have already played 4 back/backs: 1-3 ATS first nite, 2-2 2nd nite
— under 4-1 last five games

Cavaliers (8-2):
— won 7 of last 8 games SU
— 6-1 ATS as a favorite.
— over 3-1 home games

Mavericks (6-3):
— won last four games SU, last three by 3-1-2 points.
— 1-4-1 ATS at home, 2-1 on road
— over 6-3

Nuggets (7-3):
— 4-1 SU their last five games
— 3-1 ATS as home favorite, 1-3 as road favorite
— under 4-0 home games

Pistons (3-8):
— 1-4 ATS on the road
— 4-5 ATS as an underdog
— under 4-0 last four games.

Warriors (4-7):
— lost five of last six games SU
— 2-6 ATS as a favorite
— under 3-1 last four games.

Rockets (2-9):
— 3-7-1 against the spread, all as an underdog
— 0-2 ATS first game of a back/back.
— over 4-1 last five home games

Pacers (5-5):
— won four of last five games (5-0 ATS).
— 6-3 ATS as an underdog
— over 3-1 last four home games

Clippers (6-5):
— won four of last five games SU
— 2-6 ATS as a favorite
— five of last six games stayed under

Lakers (2-8):
— 0-4 SU/ATS on the road
— 2-6 ATS as an underdog.
— under 3-1 on road

Grizzlies (7-4):
— won three of last four games SU
— 2-4 ATS on the road.
— under 4-1 last five games

Heat (4-7):
— 1-5 ATS as a home favorite
— 1-5 ATS last six games overall.
— under 3-1 last four games.

Bucks (9-1):
— covered eight of their ten games
— 6-1 ATS as a home favorite
— under 5-0 last five games.

Timberwolves (5-6):
— lost four of last five games SU
— 3-5 ATS at home
— under 3-0 road games

Pelicans (5-5):
— lost three of their last four games SU.
— 1-4 ATS as a favorite
— over 8-2

Knicks (5-5):
— lost four of last six games SU.
— 2-3 ATS at home, 3-2 on road
— under 3-1 last four games

Thunder (4-6):
— lost last three games SU.
— 3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— last three home games went over

Magic (2-9):
— lost four of last five games SU
— 4-0 ATS as home dog, 0-4-2 as road dog
— over 4-1 home games.

76ers (5-6):
— won four of last six games SU
— 1-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— under 5-1 home, over 4-1 road

Suns (7-3):
— won six of last eight games SU
— 5-2 ATS as home favorite
— last four games stayed under total

Trailblazers (7-3):
— covered 8 of their 10 games.
— 2-0 ATS first night of back/back
— under 3-1 last four games

Kings (3-6):
— covered four of their last five games.
— 5-1 ATS as an underdog
— under 7-2

Spurs (5-6):
— lost their last four games SU
— 3-3 ATS as home dogs, 3-2 as road dogs.
— last three games stayed under total.

Raptors (6-5):
— split their last six games SU.
— 4-2 ATS on the road
— under 6-5

Jazz (9-3):
— won five of last six games SU (6-0 ATS)
— 8-1 ATS as an underdog
— under 4-1 last five road games

Wizards (5-6):
— lost five of last seven games SU
— 4-2 ATS on the road.
— last three games stayed under total.
 

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DENVER is 35-53 ATS (-23.3 Units) after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

ORLANDO is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 15-40 ATS (-29 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 23-48 ATS (-29.8 Units) as a home favorite in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 50-27 Under (20.3 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 47-30 ATS (14 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seas...

MEMPHIS are 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

PHOENIX is 8-0 Under (8 Units) in road games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 24-10 Over (13 Units) in road games in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 33-18 Under (13.2 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 13-3 Under (9.7 Units) in home games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, November 9


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Udog

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NBA

Wednesday, November 9


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas @ Orlando
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games

Portland @ Charlotte
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Portland's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games

Denver @ Indiana
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver

Detroit @ Boston
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Houston @ Toronto
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Utah @ Atlanta
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Utah
Atlanta is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home

New York @ Brooklyn
New York
New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
New York is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games

New Orleans @ Chicago
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Milwaukee @ Oklahoma City
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Oklahoma City is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Phoenix @ Minnesota
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Memphis @ San Antonio
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games

LA Lakers @ LA Clippers
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of LA Lakers's last 23 games on the road
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Clippers is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Lakers

Cleveland @ Sacramento
Cleveland
Cleveland is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Cleveland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Cleveland


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 9
DAL at ORL05:30 PMORL +7.5
O 214.0
+500 +500
DEN at IND07:00 PMDEN -5.5
U 235.5
+500 +500
POR at CHA07:00 PMCHA +3.0
O 219.5
+500 +500
NY at BK07:30 PMNY +3.0
O 220.5
+500 +500
UTA at ATL07:30 PMATL -4.0
O 229.0
+500 +500
HOU at TOR07:30 PMHOU +10.5
O 224.5
+500 +500
DET at BOS07:30 PMDET +12.5
O 226.0
+500 +500
MIL at OKC08:00 PMOKC +1.5
U 213.0
+500 +500
MEM at SA08:00 PMMEM -5.5
U 234.0
+500 +500
PHO at MIN08:00 PMMIN -1.5
U 222.5
+500 +500
NO at CHI08:00 PMCHI +1.5
U 232.5
+500 +500
LAL at LAC10:00 PMLAC -3.0
O 219.5
+500 +500
CLE at SAC10:00 PMSAC +4.5
O 226.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NBA NOVEMBER'S OPINION'S AND BEST BETS !

11/09/2022.............9-17-0...................34.61%..................- 48.50
11/07/2022...........15-15-0...................50.00%..................- 7.50
11/06/2022...............2-4-0...................33.33%..................- 12.00
11/05/2022...............8-8-0...................50.00%..................- 4.00
11/04/2022.............14-10-0................58.33%...................+ 15.00
11/02/2022...............11-8-1................57.89%...................+ 11.00
11/01/2022................5-3-0.................62.50%...................+ 8.50

TOTALS................64-65-1................49.61%..................... -37.50


*********************************************

BEST BETS

11/09/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%................+ 3.00
11/07/2022................7-9-0.................43.75%................- 14.50
11/06/2022................3-3-0.................50.00%................- 1.50

11/05/2022................5-7-0.................41.66%...............- 13.50
11/04/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%................+ 3.00
11/02/3033................6-4-1.................60.00%................+ 8.00
11/01/2022................4-2-0.................66.66%................+ 9.00

TOTALS................35-33-1.................52.94%................- 6.50

*************************************************

OCT'S RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
TOTALS............95-102-0..................48.22%................-85.50
BEST BETS !
TOTALS..............55-59-2...................48.24%...............- 49.50
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in passes caught:
76— Tyreek Hill, Mia
72— Cooper Kupp, Rams
60— Stefon Diggs Buff/Austin Ekeler LAC
59— Justin Jefferson, Minn
57— Travis Kelce, KC
54— Michael Pittman, Ind

Quote of the Day
“That’s the most absurd thing I’ve ever heard, that we’re tanking. That’s bullshit. We’re in this thing; 9-7-1 gets us (into the playoffs), no question about it. … We’re not tanking the season.”
Colts owner Jim Irsay

Thursday’s quiz
In 1972, Robert Irsay traded the NFL team he owned for the Baltimore Colts; which NFL team did Irsay own before he owned the Colts?

Wednesday’s quiz
Rams drafted QB Sam Bradford with the 1st pick of the 2010 NFL Draft; Tim Tebow was the only other QB taken in the first round that year.

Tuesday’s quiz
We know that Steph Curry played college basketball at Davidson; his dad Dell Curry played at Virginia Tech.

***********************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

— ESPN used to have this great thing, a college basketball marathon that went 24-28 hours straight, something like that, a terrific way to start the season.

Remember playing video poker in Las Vegas at 3am while watching a game from Hawai’i; it was a little mind-numbing, but in a fun way. The 6-8am games from the east coast were bizarre.

These days, ESPN only cares about the NBA, which is too bad. College basketball needs a way to launch its season the right way.

Bellarmine 67, Louisville 66
Bellarmine is also in Louisville; Knights are in their 3rd year in D-I. They won a national title at the D-II level. They scored 1.08 points/possession in this game, very good.

Bellarmine led by 14 in first half, by 11 at the half; they only turned ball over 11 times.

This is an upset, but not a huge upset; Louisville was favored by 7.5 points.

— Hell of a week so far for the Atlantic Sun Conference:
Bellarmine 67, Louisville 66
Florida Gulf Coast 74, USC 61
Stetson 83, Florida State 74


Davidson 102, Wright State 97, 2OT
Wright State led 48-27 with 2:50 left in first half.
Wright State led 63-47 with 12:56 left in the game.
Davidson was 22-36 on foul line, Wright State 11-15.

South Dakota State 68, Boise State 66
Jackrabbits lost in OT at Akron Monday, get solid road win here.

Providence 66, Rider 65 (Tuesday)
Rider led this game 32-17 with 5:51 left in first half.
Broncs shot 34.1% inside arc, made 9-14 outside arc.
Friars were 26-43 on foul line, Rider 8-10, in a one-point game.

Georgetown 99, Coppin State 89 OT
Hoyas lost their last 21 games LY; they escape here with a narrow win.
Coppin State hit a late 3-pointer to force overtime.

— There are reports that “……..Gonzaga has been exploring its conference options” as in switching from the WCC to the Big X, a much bigger league.

This would be a terrible mistake.

Right now, the Gonzaga program is a big fish in a very small pond; they dominate the WCC, they get lot of national attention in March, and they get lot of high profile recruits because they win so much. If they go to the Big X, they’re a smaller fish in a deeper pond; mediocrity will set in, and they’ll be flying from Spokane to Lubbock, Morgantown or Kansas to get their butts kicked.

Gonzaga today is where UNLV was in the late 80’s, and that is a very good place to be. UNLV was in a cruddy league, the Big West. Cal-Santa Barbara, New Mexico State gave them enough competition to get their games on ESPN at midnight, but those UNLV teams were built to win in March, and they won a lot.

Gonzaga’s administration needs to be happy pummeling the WCC; they’ve been a 1-seed in four of last five NCAA tournaments. That should be good enough.

— Brooklyn Nets named interim coach Jacque Vaughn their new head coach, replacing the fired Steve Nash. It was a rumored that the Nets were going to hire former Celtics coach Ime Udoka, but that didn’t happen.

Orlando 94, Dallas 87— Magic held Luka Doncic to 24 points on 9-29 shooting, first time in 10 games this season he scored less than 30 points.

Wilt Chamberlain holds all-time record, scoring 30+ points in his first 23 games of the 1962-63 season.

Warriors 116, Kings 113— Golden State snapped its 5-game losing skid Monday night, with Steph Curry scoring 47 points in an impressive display— he shot 17-24 from floor, 7-12 on the arc. Kings led this game by nine points after the third quarter.

30 or so years ago, when we first started going out on Sundays to watch NFL games on a satellite dish, I remember saying one day that the whole thing was worth it, just to watch Barry Sanders run with the football every week— he was that good.

Thats how I feel about Steph Curry; it is freakin’ awesome to watch him pass/shoot and make his teammates better. He and Klay Thompson have made shooting cool to a whole generation of young ballplayers. He really has elevated the game.

— So far this NFL season, under is 79-55-2, as lot of offenses seem stuck in the mud.

— Matthew Stafford is in concussion protocol, Kyler Murray tweaked his hamstring last week, making this week’s Cardinal-Ram game a mystery between two struggling teams.

— 1B Anthony Rizzo apparently has turned down his $16M option for next season, making him a free agent. Rizzo hit 32 homers, knocked in 75 runs, but hit .224— he is 33 years old.

— Atlanta Braves traded P Jake Odorizzi to Texas for lefty P Kolby Allard, who the Braves took in the first round of the 2015 draft. Odorizzi has a $6.5M deal for next year, with a $3.25M buyout.

— California voted against legalizing sports betting this week; the election wasn’t close, which I’m assuming is good news for Las Vegas casinos.

— Coastal Carolina QB Grayson McCall is out 3-6 weeks; he’s thrown 21 TD’s with only one INT this season for the 8-1 Chanticleers.

— Surprising stat; Tulane Green Wave is 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite.

— Indianapolis Colts now have a head coach (Jeff Saturday) who has never coached in college or the NFL. He played a long time in the NFL, was a high school coach for three years, but Sunday is going to be very different for him.

Not only that, but 30-year old Parks Frazier, the assistant quarterbacks coach, is going to call plays this week. Colts don’t have any coaches who have ever called plays in an NFL game. Frazier played quarterback at Murray State.
 

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DALLAS are 60-33 Over (23.7 Units) in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games since 1996.

PHILADELPHIA is 25-12 ATS (11.8 Units) when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.




NBA

Thursday, November 10


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas @ Washington
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Washington
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Dallas

Charlotte @ Miami
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Miami is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home

Portland @ New Orleans
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Portland's last 10 games on the road
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Portland


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 10
DAL at WAS07:00 PMWAS +5.0
O 209.0
+500 +500
CHA at MIA07:30 PMCHA +10.5
U 214.5
+500 +500
PHI at ATL07:30 PMPHI +1.0
O 222.0
+500 +500
POR at NO08:00 PMPOR +9.5
O 223.0
+500 +500
 

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NBA NOVEMBER'S OPINION'S AND BEST BETS !




11/10/2022.............4-4-0.....................50.00%...................- 2.00
11/09/2022.............9-17-0...................34.61%..................- 48.50
11/07/2022...........15-15-0...................50.00%..................- 7.50
11/06/2022...............2-4-0...................33.33%..................- 12.00
11/05/2022...............8-8-0...................50.00%..................- 4.00
11/04/2022.............14-10-0................58.33%...................+ 15.00
11/02/2022...............11-8-1................57.89%...................+ 11.00
11/01/2022................5-3-0.................62.50%...................+ 8.50

TOTALS...................68-69-1.................49.63%..................... -39.50


*********************************************

BEST BETS



11/10/2022................2-4-0.................33.33%................- 11.00
11/09/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%.................+ 3.00
11/07/2022................7-9-0.................43.75%................- 14.50
11/06/2022................3-3-0.................50.00%..................- 1.50
11/05/2022................5-7-0.................41.66%................- 13.50
11/04/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%..................+ 3.00
11/02/3033................6-4-1.................60.00%..................+ 8.00
11/01/2022................4-2-0.................66.66%..................+ 9.00

TOTALS...................37-37-1.................50.00%..................- 17.50

*************************************************

OCT'S RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
TOTALS............95-102-0..................48.22%................-85.50
BEST BETS !
TOTALS..............55-59-2...................48.24%...............- 49.50
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in passing yards:
2,605— Patrick Mahomes, KC
2,547— Tom Brady, TB
2,535— Joe Burrow, Cin
2,403— Josh Allen, Buff
2,254— Justin Herbert, LAC
2,199— Geno Smith, Sea

Quote of the Day
“Success is getting what you want.
Happiness is wanting what you get.”
WP Kinsella

Friday’s quiz
Where did Jacob deGrom play his college baseball?

Thursday’s quiz
In 1972, Robert Irsay briefly owned the LA Rams before he dealt them to Carroll Rosenbloom for the Baltimore Colts, in an unusual trade.

Wednesday’s quiz
Rams drafted QB Sam Bradford with the 1st pick of the 2010 NFL Draft; Tim Tebow was the only other QB taken in the first round that year.

*****************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

Panthers 25, Falcons 15
— Carolina led 13-3 at halftime on a rainy night in Charlotte.
— Piniero kicked four FG’s, two of them 46-49 yards.
— Foreman ran ball 31 times for 130 yards and a TD.
— Four of last five Panther home games stayed under the total.

— Falcons have now lost four of five road games SU.
— Atlanta averaged only 4.4 yards/pass attempt.
— Koo missed two PAT’s; he had made 71 in a row before that.
— Underdogs covered eight of their first ten games.

Some college football trends that were posted by ESPN’s Chris Fallica:
— 6-3 Texas is favored by 7 points over 9-0 TCU this week; since 1979, there have been six games where a team with 3+ losses was favored over a team 9-0 or better in the regular season. None of the six favorites were favored by more than a FG, so in the last 42 years, Texas is the biggest favorite a 3+ loss team has been over a 9-0 team.

Not a lot of respect for TCU there.

— Last four years, LSU is 0-3-1 ATS the week after playing Alabama.

— Since 2004, Oregon is 13-0 ATS when they’re favored against Washington.

— UConn Huskies are 8-2 ATS this season, Jim Mora Jr’s first season as HC.

— Since 2016, in games with a spread of 3.5 or fewer points, either favored/underdog:
Iowa State’s Matt Campbell 5-16 ATS
Oklahoma State’s Mike Gundy 14-5 ATS

Elsewhere in the world……..
— There are 30 quarterbacks in the NFL right now who were first round draft picks; the 12 guys who were drafted since 2019 are still on the team that drafted them.

Of the other 18 QB’s who were first round picks, only four are on the team that drafted them.

— Las Vegas Raiders are having a tough season:
They led Arizona 20-0, lost in overtime.
They led Kansas City 17-0, lost 30-29.
They led Jacksonville 17-0, lost 27-20.

Raiders put TE Darren Waller, WR Hunter Renfrow on the IL this week.

— Pittsburgh Steelers are first team in the last 20 years that doesn’t have a touchdown play of 15+ yards in its first nine games.

— Bengals’ RB Joe Mixon scored four TD’s in the first half last week, first time since 2013 that an NFL player scored four TD’s in a half (Jamaal Charles).

— Geno Smith is having a great season; Seahawks are 6-3, Smith has completed 73% of his passes, with 15 TD passes, only four INT’s.

This is Smith’s 9th year in the NFL (he didn’t play at all in 2019). Seattle is his 4th NFL team.

Jets went 8-8 in Smith’s rookie year, 2013; from 2014-21, Smith was 5-13 in NFL starts, as he changed from prospect to suspect. Letting Russell Wilson walk last spring seemed like an odd decision for Seattle, but Smith has bounced back and is a lock for Comeback Player of the Year.

— Falcons’ loss Thursday night puts 4-5 Tampa Bay into first place in the NFC South; 5-4 New England is in last place in the AFC East.

— Florida QB Anthony Richardson has signed more than $1M worth of NIL deals this college football season. Gators are 5-4 heading into this week’s game vs South Carolina.

— The slot machines at the airport in Las Vegas earn an average of $39.8M a year, or $11,000 a day, if you’re scoring at home. 86.5% of that $$$ is retained by the airport; the rest ($5.4M or so) goes to an operating company owned by Michael Gaughan, who owns South Point Casino.

— Justin Verlander turned down his $25M option for next season, is now a free agent; the 39-year old Verlander (he’ll turn 40 in February) was 18-4, 1.75 in 28 starts for the Astros this season, winning another World Series ring.

— Dodgers turned down Justin Turner’s $16M option for next year; he is also a free agent. Turner hit .278 with 81 RBI this year, playing in only 128 games.

— Mets picked up P Carlos Carrasco’s $14M option for next year; he was 15-7, 3.97 in 29 starts this year. Carrasco will turn 36 next March.

— Conference USA agreed to a 5-year deal with ESPN and CBS; all their October football games will be played mid-week, much like the MAC does with its November games now.

Southern Illinois 61, Oklahoma State 60— Salukis trailed by 12 with 9:26 left in game. SIU starts four seniors; is that going to be a good indicator for early season success?

Marquette 97, Central Michigan 73— Marquette made 13-38 on the arc, only 14-27 on foul line; they don’t have any seniors in their rotation.

Notre Dame 79, Radford 76— Radford led 57-48 with 10:23 left in game. Notre Dame scored the last four points of the game.

— Michigan State-Gonzaga play Friday night on a battleship in San Diego, on Veterans’ Day; there are finally some good college basketball games Friday, so tonight is going to be fun.
 

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ORLANDO is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

DENVER is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 28-14 ATS (12.6 Units) when playing 6 or more games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 47-25 Under (19.5 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% since 1996.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 8-0 Over (8 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 25-11 Under (12.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Friday, November 11


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Denver @ Boston
Denver
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Denver

Phoenix @ Orlando
Phoenix
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
Orlando
Orlando is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games

Detroit @ New York
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Detroit's last 16 games
New York
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
New York is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Detroit

Toronto @ Oklahoma City
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home

Milwaukee @ San Antonio
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
San Antonio is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee

Minnesota @ Memphis
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Memphis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Cleveland @ Golden State
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Cleveland is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

Sacramento @ LA Lakers
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 13 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 6 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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PHOENIX (8 - 3) at ORLANDO (3 - 9) - 11/11/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 113-84 ATS (+20.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 94-70 ATS (+17.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 2-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


DENVER (8 - 3) at BOSTON (8 - 3) - 11/11/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 49-70 ATS (-28.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


DETROIT (3 - 9) at NEW YORK (5 - 6) - 11/11/2022, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 7-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


MILWAUKEE (10 - 1) at SAN ANTONIO (5 - 7) - 11/11/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 327-391 ATS (-103.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 1211-1075 ATS (+28.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 901-785 ATS (+37.5 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 612-527 ATS (+32.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 397-329 ATS (+35.1 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 204-159 ATS (+29.1 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 411-345 ATS (+31.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 340-281 ATS (+30.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 1012-904 ATS (+17.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


TORONTO (7 - 5) at OKLAHOMA CITY (4 - 7) - 11/11/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


MINNESOTA (5 - 7) at MEMPHIS (8 - 4) - 11/11/2022, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 62-40 ATS (+18.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 8-5 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 9-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


CLEVELAND (8 - 3) at GOLDEN STATE (4 - 7) - 11/11/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 33-49 ATS (-20.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 331-394 ATS (-102.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


SACRAMENTO (4 - 6) at LA LAKERS (2 - 9) - 11/11/2022, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 39-54 ATS (-20.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 34-52 ATS (-23.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 235-284 ATS (-77.4 Units) after a division game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 194-247 ATS (-77.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 4-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 11
DEN at BOS07:00 PMBOS -4.5
U 230.0
+500 +500
PHO at ORL07:00 PMORL +7.5
O 215.0
+500 +500
DET at NY07:30 PMDET +9.5
O 224.5
+500 +500
TOR at OKC08:00 PMOKC +5.5
O 219.5
+500 +500
MIL at SA08:00 PMSA -1.5
U 219.0
+500 +500
MIN at MEM09:30 PMMIN +4.0
O 233.5
+500 +500
CLE at GS10:00 PMGS -3.0
O 232.0
+500 +500
SAC at LAL10:30 PMSAC -4.5
O 231.0
+500 +500
 
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