CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Cnotes53

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MONDAY, NOVEMBER 14
CHA at ORL07:00 PMORL +1.0
O 224.5
+500 +500
TOR at DET07:00 PMDET +4.5
O 219.5
+500 +500
OKC at BOS07:30 PMOKC +11.5
O 228.5
+500 +500
PHO at MIA07:30 PMMIA -2.0
U 215.0
+500 +500
LAC at HOU08:00 PMLAC -5.5
O 219.5
+500 +500
ATL at MIL08:00 PMMIL -4.0
U 225.5
+500 +500
SA at GS10:00 PMGS -7.5
O 233.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NBA NOVEMBER'S OPINION'S AND BEST BETS !

11/14/2022..............7-7-0.....................50.00%.................- 3.50
11/13/2022..............3-9-0.....................25.00%.................-34.50
11/12/2022..............7-9-0.....................43.75%.................- 14.50
11/11/2022............11-5-0....................68.75%.................+ 27.50
11/10/2022.............4-4-0.....................50.00%...................- 2.00
11/09/2022.............9-17-0...................34.61%.................- 48.50
11/07/2022...........15-15-0...................50.00%..................- 7.50
11/06/2022...............2-4-0...................33.33%..................- 12.00
11/05/2022...............8-8-0...................50.00%..................- 4.00
11/04/2022.............14-10-0................58.33%.................+ 15.00
11/02/2022...............11-8-1................57.89%..................+ 11.00
11/01/2022................5-3-0.................62.50%...................+ 8.50

TOTALS................96-99-1.................49.23%................. - 64.50


*********************************************

BEST BETS


11/14/2022................4-4-0.................50.00%.................- 2.00
11/13/2022................2-7-0.................22.22%.................- 28.00
11/12/2022................3-4-0.................42.85%.................- 7.00
11/11/2022................6-4-0.................60.00%.................+ 8.00
11/10/2022................2-4-0.................33.33%................- 11.00
11/09/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%.................+ 3.00
11/07/2022................7-9-0.................43.75%................- 14.50
11/06/2022................3-3-0.................50.00%..................- 1.50
11/05/2022................5-7-0.................41.66%................- 13.50
11/04/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%..................+ 3.00
11/02/3033................6-4-1.................60.00%..................+ 8.00
11/01/2022................4-2-0.................66.66%..................+ 9.00

TOTALS...............52-56-1.................48.14%..................- 46.50

*************************************************

OCT'S RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
TOTALS............95-102-0..................48.22%................-85.50
BEST BETS !
TOTALS..............55-59-2...................48.24%...............- 49.50
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Interesting Week 11 NFL spreads
— Commanders (-2.5) @ Houston
— Raiders @ Denver (-2.5)
— Cowboys (-1.5) @ Minnesota
— Bengals (-4.5) @ Pittsburgh
— Chiefs (-7) @ LA Chargers
— 49ers (-8) vs Arizona (@ Mexico City)

Quote of the Day
“People in today’s world want instant gratification. The guy’s coached nine games. We’re 2-7, not the results we’re looking for but at the same time we’ve lost six one-score games with the ball and a chance to win at the end. I gave him my vote of confidence when I signed him to a contract to be coach of the Raiders. That’s when I gave it to him. Rome was not built in a day.”
Raiders’ owner Mark Davis

Tuesday’s quiz
Butler Bulldogs played in the national title game in both 2010, 2011, when Brad Stevens was their coach. What league was Butler in back then?

Monday’s quiz
Hue Jackson coached the Browns during their 0-16 season in 2017.

Sunday’s quiz
Cleveland Browns went 0-16 five years ago, the NFL’s last winless team.

************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

Commanders 32, Eagles 21
— Washington converted 12-21 third down plays.
— Robinson ran for 86 yards and a TD.
— McLaurin caught eight passes for 128 yards.
— Joey Slye kicked four FG’s, three of them from 44, 58, 55 yards out.
— Only 2nd win for Washington in their last 11 games against the Eagles.

— This was first time all season Eagles trailed in the second half.
— Eagles had 4 turnovers; they had total of 3 in first eight games.
— Commanders ran 81 plays, Eagles 47.
— Philly scored TD’s on first two drives, only one on last eight.
— Philly has converted 55-107 3rd down plays this year.

— Washington ran 51 plays in the first half Monday night; by contrast, Saints ran 45 plays the whole game in Pittsburgh Sunday. Seattle ran only 50 plays the whole game against Tampa Bay.

— In their three post-bye games, Buffalo Bills have been outscored 33-12 in the second half, scoring no TD’s on 15 drives, with six turnovers.

— Baker Mayfield will start at QB for Carolina this week; PJ Walker has a sprained ankle. Sam Darnold will be the backup.

— Player of the Week in Mountain West football this week is San Diego State QB Jalen Mayden, who was 17-22/268 passing, with 2 TD’s vs San Jose State. He also ran the ball 13 times for 78 yards.

What makes this more interesting is that this summer, Mayden wasn’t listed in the top 5 of QB’s on the Aztecs’ roster, but he’s the man now for a team that has won four of its last five games. He threw six passes for San Diego State last year; good for him for hanging in there, instead of just transferring somewhere else.

— Ohio State WR Kamryn Babb caught a TD pass at the end of their game with Indiana last week; normally wouldn’t be a big deal, since it made the score 56-14, but this kid has endured four ACL operations, is a senior and has overcome a lot just to be out on the field.

His teammates elected him a captain; they went nuts when he scored the TD. A good moment.

— Texas Longhorns are 6-4 this year, 11-11 in two years under Steve Sarkisian. Longhorns fired the previous coach, Tom Herman, after he went 32-18 as head coach. Awkward.

— West Virginia fired their athletic director, which could be bad news for their football coach. Mountaineers are 4-6 this year, 21-24 in four years under Neal Brown, The natives are restless.

— Football fans at Mississippi State ring cowbells during home games, for whatever reason; the school bookstore sells cowbells- they sell an average of 200 a day on football weekends.

— Houston Astros just won the World Series, with the #9 payroll in baseball; they manage their payroll by signing lot of international players, whose bonuses are generally lower than players taken in the amateur draft in this country.

Framber Valdez made $3M this year.
Luis Garcia made $1,251,500
Cristian Javier made $749,100

Curious to see if they re-sign Justin Verlander this winter. They did give reliever Rafael Montero a 3-year deal for $34.5M this week.

— There is another Matt Ryan (not the Colts’ QB) in pro sports; Lakers have a Matt Ryan, who is averaging 4.7 points/game in 10 games, playing 12.2 minutes/game.

He played ball at three colleges- Notre Dame, Vanderbilt, Chattanooga, shooting 36.3% on the arc over four seasons.

Ryan gets his first NBA paycheck today; he is making $1.64M this year, but has to stick on the roster until January 10 to have the contract fully guaranteed. Not bad for a guy who recently worked as a delivery driver for DoorDash and worked at his grandfather’s business run out of a graveyard in White Plains, NY.

Shooting is marketable in the NBA; Ryan is 13-31 on the arc (41.9%) this year. He keeps that up, and he won’t be driving DoorDash anymore.

— Joel Embiid had a HUGE game Sunday; he scored 57 points, had 11 rebounds, 8 assists, 7 blocked shots as the 76ers beat Utah 105-98. He scored over half their points. 76ers were +25 while Embiid was on the court.

— Big East is playing Big 14 this week, in series of games:
DePaul 69, Minnesota 53— Blue Demons had 20 offensive rebounds.

Penn State 68, Butler 62— Nittany Lions made 11-24 on the arc, took only five foul shots the whole game (4-5). Jalen Pickett scored 15 points, had 9 rebounds, 11 assists.

Northwestern State 64, TCU 63— Pretty big upset here; Horned Frogs led by 12 with 12:54 left in the game. TCU was a preseason top 25 team, but they beat Ark-Pine Bluff 73-72, are off to a slow start.

Stetson 68, South Florida 67— Hatters have wins over Florida State, USF; solid start to the season for the Hatters, who play in the Atlantic Sun, which has 14 teams in it this year.

Florida Atlantic 76, Florida 74— Another upset in the Sunshine State. Owls shot 21-45 on the arc in splitting a pair of games against SEC opponents Ole Miss/Florida.

— Big-time recruit DJ Wagner signed on to play basketball at Kentucky next year; his father Dujuan Wagner played for John Calipari at Memphis; his grandfather Milt Wagner was just hired as an assistant coach by Louisville.

— RIP to Leo Anthony Gallagher, 74, a comedian who passed away last week. His stage name was simply Gallagher; back in the 80’s, he was a regular on talk shows, with an act that usually included smashing a watermelon with a sledgehammer. People in the first couple rows at this shows would often wear ponchos, so the spray from the ill-fated watermelon wouldn’t get on their clothes.

Oddly, he graduated from college with a chemical engineering degree; you wouldn’t think that would lead to a career in comedy.

Back in my high school/college days, I was a big fan of stand-up comedy; Gallagher was one of the better ones. He was freakin’ funny. RIP, sir.
 

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MEMPHIS are 12-0 ATS (12 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 27-13 ATS (12.7 Units) in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 in the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 9-1 Under (7.9 Units) in road games in November games over the last 2 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 12-3 Under (8.7 Units) in home games when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, November 15


iTTvQoc.png





MEMPHIS (9 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 6) - 11/15/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


LA CLIPPERS (8 - 6) at DALLAS (7 - 5) - 11/15/2022, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 638-545 ATS (+38.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-7 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-7 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK (6 - 7) at UTAH (10 - 5) - 11/15/2022, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


SAN ANTONIO (6 - 8) at PORTLAND (9 - 4) - 11/15/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 1212-1076 ATS (+28.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 398-330 ATS (+35.0 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 169-130 ATS (+26.0 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 186-142 ATS (+29.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 622-525 ATS (+44.5 Units) after scoring 100 points or less since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 1013-904 ATS (+18.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


BROOKLYN (6 - 8) at SACRAMENTO (6 - 6) - 11/15/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 39-59 ATS (-25.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 66-41 ATS (+20.9 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 64-35 ATS (+25.5 Units) against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 72-106 ATS (-44.6 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NBA

Tuesday, November 15


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Memphis @ New Orleans
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

LA Clippers @ Dallas
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Clippers's last 16 games
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

New York @ Utah
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Utah
New York is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing New York

Brooklyn @ Sacramento
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Sacramento
Brooklyn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
Sacramento is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

San Antonio @ Portland
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
Portland
Portland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing San Antonio


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Udog

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Hoop Trends for Tuesday, November 15
Kevin Rogers

ATS Trend of the Day
Matchup: Memphis Grizzlies at New Orleans Pelicans (TNT, 7:30 p.m. ET)

The Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS since November 28, 2021 when they lost by 7+ points last game and their opponent has no more than 2 days rest.


OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: New York Knicks at Utah Jazz (NBA League Pass, 9:00 p.m. ET)

The Knicks are 12-0 OU as a dog of at least 3 points when they failed to cover by at least 4 points last game.


Choice Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Antonio Spurs at Portland Trail Blazers (NBA League Pass, 10:00 p.m. ET)

The Spurs are 13-0 ATS since April 22, 2021 when they lost by 16-42 points last game.
 

Cnotes53

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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 15
MEM at NO07:30 PMNO -1.5
U 224.0
+500 +500
LAC at DAL08:30 PMDAL -6.5
U 211.5
+500 +500
NY at UTA09:00 PMUTA -5.0
O 232.0
+500 +500
BK at SAC10:00 PMBK +2.0
O 226.0
+500 +500
SA at POR10:00 PMPOR -8.5
U 226.0
+500 +500
 

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NBA NOVEMBER'S OPINION'S AND BEST BETS !

11/15/2022..............4-6-0.....................40.00%.................-13.00
11/14/2022..............7-7-0.....................50.00%.................- 3.50
11/13/2022..............3-9-0.....................25.00%.................-34.50
11/12/2022..............7-9-0.....................43.75%.................- 14.50
11/11/2022............11-5-0....................68.75%.................+ 27.50
11/10/2022.............4-4-0.....................50.00%...................- 2.00
11/09/2022.............9-17-0...................34.61%.................- 48.50
11/07/2022...........15-15-0...................50.00%..................- 7.50
11/06/2022...............2-4-0...................33.33%..................- 12.00
11/05/2022...............8-8-0...................50.00%..................- 4.00
11/04/2022.............14-10-0................58.33%.................+ 15.00
11/02/2022...............11-8-1................57.89%..................+ 11.00
11/01/2022................5-3-0.................62.50%...................+ 8.50

TOTALS............100-105-1.................48.78%................. - 77.50


*********************************************

BEST BETS


11/15/2022................3-4-0.................42.85%.................- 7.00
11/14/2022................4-4-0.................50.00%.................- 2.00
11/13/2022................2-7-0.................22.22%.................- 28.00
11/12/2022................3-4-0.................42.85%.................- 7.00
11/11/2022................6-4-0.................60.00%.................+ 8.00
11/10/2022................2-4-0.................33.33%................- 11.00
11/09/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%.................+ 3.00
11/07/2022................7-9-0.................43.75%................- 14.50
11/06/2022................3-3-0.................50.00%..................- 1.50
11/05/2022................5-7-0.................41.66%................- 13.50
11/04/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%..................+ 3.00
11/02/3033................6-4-1.................60.00%..................+ 8.00
11/01/2022................4-2-0.................66.66%..................+ 9.00

TOTALS...............55-60-1.................47.82%..................- 53.50

*************************************************

OCT'S RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
TOTALS............95-102-0..................48.22%................-85.50
BEST BETS !
TOTALS..............55-59-2...................48.24%...............- 49.50
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Interesting Week 11 college spreads
— Texas Tech @ Iowa State (-3.5)
— Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma (-7.5)
— Ole Miss (-2.5) @ Arkansas
— USC (-1.5) @ UCLA (total, 75.5)
— Syracuse @ Wake Forest (-10)
— Utah @ Oregon (-3)

Quote of the Day
“I don’t have to defend myself. I am absolutely comfortable in who I am. I respect all those guys. Whoever has whatever negative opinion, I can assure you, it’s not gonna change who I am or what I believe I’m called to do. I have no idea, and I still don’t, how successful I’ll be, but we’re gonna work hard at it and I believe I can lead men and lead the staff. I’m excited about the opportunity.”
Colts coach Jeff Saturday, responding to criticism of his being hired by the Colts

Wednesday’s quiz
When UNLV won the national title in 1990, who did they beat in the final?

Tuesday’s quiz
Butler Bulldogs played in the national title game in both 2010, 2011, when Brad Stevens was their coach. Butler was in the Horizon League back then.

Monday’s quiz
Hue Jackson coached the Browns during their 0-16 season in 2017.

*********************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

College basketball notes from Tuesday:
— Michigan State 86, Kentucky 77, 2OT
Spartans made 23-27 on foul line.
Oscar Tshiebwe had 22 points, 12 rebounds off the bench.
Kentucky was +10 in 34:eek:o Tshiebwe played, -19 in 16:00 he sat out.

— Early season college basketball needs more games like this one.

Was excellent to hear Dick Vitale on the mike; glad his medical issues seem to have gone away. I admire his enthusiasm and energy.

Kansas 69, Duke 64
Teams combined to shoot 6-40 on the arc.
Duke shot 35.8% from floor.
Duke had 8 assists on 24 baskets; Kansas had 21 assists on 31 hoops.

Vanderbilt 89, Temple 87— Commodores win despite going 4-13 on foul line; Temple made 14-29 on the arc, but Vandy shot 55.6% inside the arc.

Saint Louis 90, Memphis 84— Solid win for the Billikens, who were 27-36 on foul line.

Appalachian State 61, Louisville 60— Cardinals are off to an 0-3 start, the only team in the last 40 years to start out 0-3, with three 1-point losses.
L66-67 vs Bellarmine
L72-73 vs Wright State
L60-61 vs Appalachian State

Colgate 80, Syracuse 68— Colgate made 19-38 on the arc.

Purdue 75, Marquette 70
Marquette led 58-49 with 9:54 left to play.
Purdue shot 62% inside the arc.

— Not a great night for the Pac-12:
Cal-San Diego 64, Cal 62
Prairie View 70, Washington State 59
San Diego State 74, Stanford 62
USC did beat Vermont……..by 2
.

— If you like college basketball, I highly recommend getting ESPN+; it only costs a few bucks a month- they show lot of games.

While you were sleeping Monday night, I was watching the Yale-Hawai’i game on my phone, which ended after 2am. Good game; Yale won in overtime.

— Last five years, Xavier is 2-5 in the Big East basketball tournament; four of the five losses came in overtime, the fifth loss was by 4 points. Xavier is 2-0 this year under its new coach Sean Miller, who is also their old coach (120-47 from 2004-09).

— 10 years ago, Missouri jumped from the Big X to the SEC; I’m guessing they made a boatload of money on the move, but has it helped them on the field/court?

Their last four years in the Big X, Mizzou was 107-34 in basketball, 44-22 in conference games, making the NCAA tournament all four years. Since then, Tigers are 154-168, 69-115 in SEC games, making the NCAAs three times in 10 years. Not great.

In football, Missouri was 48-19 their last five years in the Big X, going 3-2 in bowl games. Since joining the SEC, Mizzou is 69-56 in football, 38-44 in league games- they’re 2-3 in bowls since joining the SEC.

Again, not great. Wonder what the boosters think of all this.

— With Loyola-Chicago moving in from the MVC, Atlantic 10 now has 15 teams, which is a bad number. Makes the conference tournament a little awkward.

— ACC has had 3+ players taken in the first round of the NBA Draft every year for the last 13 drafts.

— Five players who spent time in the G-League, before becoming NBA All-Stars:
Rudy Gobert
Khris Middleton
Dejounte Murray
Pascal Siakam
Fred VanVleet

Baseball stuff:
— Tyler Anderson gets a 3-year, $39M deal from the Angels.
— Anthony Rizzo gets a 2-year, $40M deal from Bronx.
— Joc Pederson (Giants), Martin Perez (Rangers) each took the $19.65M qualifying offer to stay with their current team.

— Word of the Day: Shenanigans— a mischievous or deceitful trick.
Synonyms: mischief, horseplay, nonsense

— The classic TV show M*A*S*H was based on a book written by Richard Hornberger, who was an Army surgeon during the Korean War. It took Dr Hornberger 12 years to write his book, another five years for someone to buy the rights to it.

Eventually, Dr Hornberger sold the TV rights for $500 an episode, $125,500 in all. Pretty good deal for CBS; M*A*S*H is one of the best TV shows of all time.

— Last three weeks, Chicago Bears have allowed either a defensive TD or a special teams TD; they’ve scored 29-30-32 points in the three games, but giving away points is a big reason why they lost all three of those games.

— Colorado State’s QB is Clay Millen, whose dad Hugh played nine years in the NFL, for four teams. Hugh Millen started 25 games in the NFL.

One of the cool things I’ve gotten to see in my life was July 1986, a free scrimmage in Anaheim with the Rams and Chargers. The starters played 7-on-7, then the rookies had a full contact scrimmage. There were about 25,000 people there.

Watching Dan Fouts throw a football was awesome, especially with no pass rush. Rams won their division the year before; this was just before they traded for Jim Everett, so things were generally positive with the fans, except the Rams seemed to have a different QB every year.

Rams had drafted Hugh Millen in the 3rd round that year, but that night in Anaheim, he broke his ankle during the scrimmage, which may have accelerated the Everett trade talks.

That was a fun week back in 1986; the scrimmage and also my first trip to Las Vegas. Deson’t seem like 36 years ago.

— Charlotte 49ers hired a new football coach Tuesday; 62-year old Biff Poggi, the associate head coach at Michigan. Poggi was a successful high school coach in Maryland for a long time before going to Michigan.

A graduate of Duke, Poggi began his career as a teacher before managing a successful hedge fund. He led Gilman School to 13 Maryland Interscholastic Athletic Association conference championships.

I’ll admit that I’m biased, but I’ll say this; if you’re in your early 60’s and your name is Biff, you must be really, really smart. You think?!?!?!
 

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INDIANA is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 109-77 Under (24.3 Units) in road games as a road underdog of 6 points or less since 1996.

MINNESOTA is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) in road games off a road win over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 136-100 Under (26 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

CLEVELAND is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher in the last 3 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 106-66 Over (33.4 Units) in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games since 1996.

HOUSTON is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

DENVER is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) in home games when the total >=220 in the last 3 seasons.

PHOENIX is 38-21 Over (14.9 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Wednesday, November 16


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Indiana @ Charlotte
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana

Minnesota @ Orlando
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
Orlando is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Orlando is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota

Oklahoma City @ Washington
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City

Miami @ Toronto
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami

Boston @ Atlanta
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Boston

Chicago @ New Orleans
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago

Cleveland @ Milwaukee
Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Cleveland's last 23 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Houston @ Dallas
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston

New York @ Denver
New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Golden State @ Phoenix
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Golden State's last 14 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Udog

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Wednesday's Hoop Trends
Vince Akins

ATS Trend of the Day
Matchup: Indiana Pacers at Charlotte Hornets (NBA League Pass, 7:00 p.m. ET)

The Pacers are 9-0 ATS since March 30 when they had at least 29 assists last game.


OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns (ESPN, 10:00 p.m. ET)

The Warriors are 0-8 ATS since January 1 when they had at least 34 assists last game.


Choice Trend of the Day
Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder at Washington Wizards (NBA League Pass, 7:00 p.m. ET)

The Thunder are 9-0 ATS since March 18 when they covered by at least 5 points last game.
 

Cnotes53

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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 16
OKC at WAS07:00 PMOKC +4.5
O 226.0
+500 +500
IND at CHA07:00 PMCHA -2.5
O 231.0
+500 +500
MIN at ORL07:00 PMORL +6.0
O 224.0
+500 +500
MIA at TOR07:30 PMTOR -2.5
O 216.0
+500 +500
BOS at ATL07:30 PMBOS -2.0
U 232.5
+500 +500
CHI at NO08:00 PMCHI +2.0
O 226.5
+500 +500
CLE at MIL08:00 PMCLE +3.5
O 217.5
+500 +500
HOU at DAL08:30 PMHOU +10.0
U 221.0
+500 +500
NY at DEN10:00 PMDEN -9.0
O 233.0
+500 +500
GS at PHO10:00 PMPHO +2.0
U 228.0
+500 +500
 

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NBA NOVEMBER'S OPINION'S AND BEST BETS !

11/16/2022............10-9-0.....................52.63%.................+ 0.50
11/15/2022..............4-6-0.....................40.00%.................-13.00
11/14/2022..............7-7-0.....................50.00%.................- 3.50
11/13/2022..............3-9-0.....................25.00%.................-34.50
11/12/2022..............7-9-0.....................43.75%.................- 14.50
11/11/2022............11-5-0....................68.75%.................+ 27.50
11/10/2022.............4-4-0.....................50.00%...................- 2.00
11/09/2022.............9-17-0...................34.61%.................- 48.50
11/07/2022...........15-15-0...................50.00%..................- 7.50
11/06/2022...............2-4-0...................33.33%..................- 12.00
11/05/2022...............8-8-0...................50.00%..................- 4.00
11/04/2022.............14-10-0................58.33%.................+ 15.00
11/02/2022...............11-8-1................57.89%..................+ 11.00
11/01/2022................5-3-0.................62.50%...................+ 8.50

TOTALS............110-114-1.................49.10%................. - 77.50


*********************************************

BEST BETS
11/15/2022................6-4-0.................60.00%.................+ 8.00
11/14/2022................4-4-0.................50.00%.................- 2.00
11/13/2022................2-7-0.................22.22%.................- 28.00
11/12/2022................3-4-0.................42.85%.................- 7.00
11/11/2022................6-4-0.................60.00%.................+ 8.00
11/10/2022................2-4-0.................33.33%................- 11.00
11/09/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%.................+ 3.00
11/07/2022................7-9-0.................43.75%................- 14.50
11/06/2022................3-3-0.................50.00%..................- 1.50
11/05/2022................5-7-0.................41.66%................- 13.50
11/04/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%..................+ 3.00
11/02/3033................6-4-1.................60.00%..................+ 8.00
11/01/2022................4-2-0.................66.66%..................+ 9.00

TOTALS...............61-64-1.................48.80%..................- 45.00

*************************************************

OCT'S RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
TOTALS............95-102-0..................48.22%................-85.50
BEST BETS !
TOTALS..............55-59-2...................48.24%...............- 49.50
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in net punting average:
46.4— Tommy Townsend, KC
45.6— AJ Cole, LV
45.3— Ryan Stonehouse, Tenn
45.2— Michael Dickson, Sea
44.4— Tress Way, Wash
43.8— Jake Camarda, TB

Quote of the Day
“I think he is a good coach. All ‘the greatest’ and ‘we’ve never seen anything like him,’ that’s bullcrap. He’s had Tom Brady. If you take away Tom Brady, you know what he is? He’s under .500.”
Former NFL RB LeSean McCoy, talking about Bill Belichick

Thursday’s quiz
When was the last time the defending Super Bowl champ didn’t make the playoffs?

Wednesday’s quiz
When UNLV won the national title in 1990, they beat Duke 103-73 in the final.

Tuesday’s quiz
Butler Bulldogs played in the national title game in both 2010, 2011, when Brad Stevens was their coach. Butler was in the Horizon League back then.

****************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— Buck Showalter has now won Manager of the Year four times, in four different decades, for four different teams:

1994 New York (A)
2004 Texas
2014 Baltimore
2022 New York (N)

Showalter has a 10-16 record in playoff games, making the playoffs six times in 21 seasons.

Texas 93, Gonzaga 74— This is what Bob Huggins was talking about couple weeks ago, when he said that Gonzaga wouldn’t fare as well if they move from the WCC to the Big X. It is good to be a big fish in a small pond; the Big X is a very big pond, no easy wins there.

Northern Kentucky 64, Cincinnati 51— Norse held Cincinnati to 11 second half points; great win for the Horizon League. Bearcats shot 6-21 on the arc.

Iowa 83, Seton Hall 67— Pirates shot 35.6% inside arc, were 11-13 on foul line, Iowa was 28-33 on line; after falling behind 10-2, Hawkeyes dominated this game. Kris Murray scored 29 points for Iowa.

Arizona State 63, VCU 59— VCU led 56-48 with 6:20 left in the game, got outscored 15-3 the rest of the way. Rams’ PG Baldwin didn’t play in this game, which obviously hurt them. /

Watched this game on my laptop with ESPN+; I’ll say it again, if you like college basketball, ESPN+ is worth the investment, which isn’t very much anyway.

BYU 66. Missouri State 64— Cougars scored a hoop with 0:02 left as they survived 11-20 shooting on the charity stripe. BYU played 10 guys 10+ minutes; they have good depth.

UNLV 60, Dayton 52— Good win Tuesday night for Kevin Kruger’s Rebels, who have a chronologically-old team, but one with players who played on six teams other than UNLV last season. Kruger has utilized the transfer portal very wisely. Dayton didn’t score a basket in the last 6:46 of this game.

UNLV ranks #60 in country in experience, but #252 in continuity, which suggests that they should get stronger as the season progresses, as they get more used to each other. Rebels have forced turnovers on 34.9% of possessions this season, #1 in the country

— Early season rankings of college basketball conferences, by KenPom.com:
1) Big X
2) SEC
3) Big 14
4) Big East
5) ACC
6) Pac-12

— How favorites/underdogs are faring in college football conference games:
AAC— road teams are 20-10-1 ATS
ACC— home underdogs are 11-9 ATS
Big 14— underdogs are 22-18-2 ATS
Big X— home teams are 20-13-2 ATS
C-USA— home favorites are 11-9 ATS
Mountain West— home favorites 7-7 ATS, home dogs 9-9
Pac-12— home favorites are 15-8 ATS
SEC— home favorites are 14-15 ATS
Sun Belt— home favorites are 10-15 ATS

— Alabama is playing Austin Peay in football this weekend; why????

Austin Peay is a I-AA team; this might be an interesting basketball game, because Austin Peay is D-1 in hoops, but it is ludicrous for the best football program in the country to be playing a I-AA team. Plus, it cheats the fans of seeing a more competitive game.

Play a Sun Belt team.
Play a MAC team
Play a team from Conference USA
Play an SEC team in a non-conference game.

Alabama isn’t the only team that does it, but it is more obvious when it happens in November. Mississippi State is doing same thing this week, playing East Tennessee State. No bueno.

— Bryce Harper is having elbow surgery Thursday; the timeframe for his recovery is unclear, since they don’t know if he needs Tommy John surgery.

— Read an interesting article about Astros’ owner Jim Crane, how he has become more involved in the decision making process with his team. Crane also solicits advice from ex-players (Jeff Bagwell, Reggie Jackson, as well as others) to balance the analytics-based info they use.

Looking forward to see who Crane picks for his next GM, seeing how he just canned a guy who won him a World Series.

— In the NBA, Oklahoma City Thunder should be good going forward; they have FOUR first round draft picks in 2024, then THREE more in 2025.

Only 15 guys on a roster; unsure if the Thunder will package those picks for a star player, but it’ll be interesting to find out.
 

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BROOKLYN is 103-72 Over (23.8 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season since 1996.

Mike Brown is 55-24 ATS (28.6 Units) in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games (All game...

DETROIT is 35-19 ATS (14.1 Units) off a home loss in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, November 17


7j0i6Je.png





NBA

Thursday, November 17


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Antonio @ Sacramento
San Antonio
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Brooklyn @ Portland
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Detroit @ LA Clippers
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 8 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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BROOKLYN (6 - 9) at PORTLAND (10 - 4) - 11/17/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 2-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


SAN ANTONIO (6 - 9) at SACRAMENTO (7 - 6) - 11/17/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1213-1076 ATS (+29.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 399-330 ATS (+36.0 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


DETROIT (3 - 12) at LA CLIPPERS (8 - 7) - 11/17/2022, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 17
BK at POR10:00 PMPOR -2.5
U 222.5
+500 +500
SA at SAC10:00 PMSAC -7.5
O 236.5
+500 +500
DET at LAC10:30 PMLAC -9.5
U 217.0
+500 +500
 

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Hoop Trends for Thursday, November 17
Vince Akins


ATS Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings (NBA League Pass, 10:00 p.m. ET)
The Kings are 0-13 ATS since March 28, 2016 with less than 2 days rest when they are not at 9+ point favorite and won by 20+ points last game.


OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Brooklyn Nets vs. Portland Trail Blazers (NBA League Pass, 10:00 p.m. ET)
The Nets are 0-6-1 OU since February 2021 when they allowed at least 130 points last game.


Choice Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings (NBA League Pass, 10:00 p.m. ET)
The Kings are 0-8 ATS since March 2019 when they scored 133+ points last game.
 
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