Armadillo Sports
Monday’s 6-pack
Interesting Week 11 NFL spreads
— Titans @ Green Bay (-2.5)
— Lions @ NJ Giants (-3.5)
— Jets @ New England (-4)
— Bears @ Atlanta (-3)
— Eagles (-8.5) @ Indianapolis
— Browns @ Buffalo (-8.5)
Quote of the Day
”In truth, I felt very at peace. I felt like we had a very good plan in place. I felt like all the men who I had talked about empowering and giving them the ability to do what they could do exceptionally well, they all stepped up.”
Colts coach Jeff Saturday
Monday’s quiz
Who coached the Browns during that 0-16 season? He didn’t get fired until the next year.
Sunday’s quiz
Cleveland Browns went 0-16 five years ago, the NFL’s last winless team.
Saturday’s quiz
Klay Thompson played his college basketball at Washington State.
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Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday, on Felix Unger Day
Anyone remember the old TV show The Odd Couple? It always began this way:
“On November 13, Felix Unger was asked to leave his place of residence. That request came from his wife……”
Great TV show, very funny. Hope you had a good Felix Unger Day.
Vikings 33, Bills 30 OT
— Up 27-23, Bills stopped Minnesota on 1-yard line with 0:49 left.
— Allen fumbled snap on next play, Vikings recovered for go-ahead TD.
— Bills then drove 69 yards for tying FG that forced OT.
— Buffalo turned ball over four times (minus-2)
— Vikings have 11 takeaways in last four games (+7)
— Vikings won their last seven games (5-1-1 ATS).
— Jefferson caught 10 passes for 193 yards and a TD.
— Diggs caught 12 passes for 128 yards against his old team.
— Both teams had eight plays of 20+ yards.
— First Buffalo game this season that went over the total.
Lions 31, Bears 30
— Chicago led 24-10 with 12:00 left in the game.
— Detroit scored two TD’s in 1:08 to tie game, the second one a pick-6.
— Fields ran 67 yards for a TD to put Bears ahead; they missed the PAT.
— Detroit drove 91 yards, scored game-winning TD with 2:21 left.
— HC Campbell is now 1-11-1 SU on the road (7-6 ATS)
— Chicago lost last three games, despite scoring 29-32-30 points.
— Last five games, Bears ran ball for 238-243-240-252-258 yards.
— Chicago opponents scored TD’s on 13 of last 25 drives.
— Bears have led at halftime once this season (1-8-1).
— Five of their last six games went over the total.
Buccaneers 21, Seahawks 16
— Seahawks in first half: 20 plays, 29 yards, no points.
— Seahawks in 2nd half: 31 plays, 231 yards, 16 points.
— Seattle lost fumble in red zone when they trailed 14-3.
— Last four weeks, Seattle is 14-54 (25.9%) on 3rd down conversions.
— Seahawks are 8-14-1 ATS last 23 games coming off a win.
— Bucs converted 10-15 on third down, Seattle 1-9.
— Tampa Bay outrushed Seahawks 161-39.
— Bucs won despite Seattle’s 12-yard edge in field position.
— Tampa Bay’s TD drives were 88-86-87 yards.
— This is Tampa Bay’s first cover in eight games (1-6-1 ATS)
Chiefs 27, Jaguars 17
— Jaguars started game with a successful onside kick.
— Jaguars won field position by 13 yards, were +3 in turnovers, still lost by 10.
— Jacksonville lost six its last seven games (1-6 ATS)
— Jaguars are 10-21-1 ATS last 32 games as a road underdog.
— In his career, Pederson is 10-17 ATS as a road underdog.
— Chiefs won five of their last six games SU.
— Last five weeks, Chiefs converted 44-68 (64.7) third down plays.
— Chiefs have 23 TD’s on their last 59 drives.
— Kansas City led this game 20-0 late in 2nd quarter.
— Chiefs have 50 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 34.
Giants 24, Texans 16
— Houston was in red zone six times, scored only 16 points.
— Texans lost seven of their last eight games SU (2-5 ATS last six).
— Giants converted 7-14 on third down, Houston 3-10
— Texans outgained Giants 387-367, were minus-2 in turnovers (0-2).
— Texans are 10-18-1 ATS last 29 games coming off a loss.
— Barkley carried ball 35 times for 152 yards and a TD.
— Giants were in red zone twice, scored TD both times.
— Giants won/covered seven of first nine games.
— Giants are 7-0 if they score more than 16 points.
— Under is 7-1-1 in Giant games this season.
Steelers 20, Saints 10
— Pittsburgh outgained the Saints, 374-186.
— New Orleans in 2nd half: 19 plays, 24 yards, one first down.
— New Orleans ran ball 15 times for 29 yards.
— Saints are 1-6 when they score less than 27 points.
— Saints lost 7 of last 9 games; their turnover ratio is minus-13.
— Steelers converted 9-17 on third down, Saints 3-12.
— Pittsburgh ran ball 43 times for 217 yards.
— Steelers have no turnovers (+11) in their wins, 14 (-9) in losses.
— Under is 7-2 in their games this season.
— Pittsburgh has been outscored 43-13 in last 2:00 of each half.
Dolphins 39, Browns 17
— Dolphins won last four games, scoring 31-35-39 points in last three.
— Miami had eight drives, scored five TD’s, kicked two FG’s.
— Miami is 12-4-1 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite (3-1 TY).
— Dolphins converted 19 of last 33 third down plays.
— Dolphins are 6-0 if they score more than 17 points.
— Dolphins outgained Cleveland, 491-297.
— Browns turned ball over 12 times in last five games (minus-7)
— Browns are 0-4 scoring less than 26 points.
— Cleveland lost five of their last five games SU.
— Six of their nine games went over the total.
Titans 17, Broncos 10
— Denver lost five of last six games, losing by 1-9-3-7-7 points.
— Broncos in 2nd half: 36 plays, 106 yards, no points.
— Denver scored 16 or fewer points in seven of nine games.
— Last seven games, Broncos are 29-115 (25.2%) on third down.
— Eight of nine Denver games stayed under the total.
— Tennessee won six of last seven games (7-0 ATS), allowing 15.1 ppg.
— Titans’ first six drives: 22 plays, 51 yards, 2 first downs.
— Titans’ last six drives: 38 plays, 245 yards, 17 points.
— Opponents have converted only 34-122 (27.9%) third down plays.
— Tennessee held last seven opponents under their team total.
Colts 25, Raiders 20
— Matt Ryan returned to the lineup, was 21-28/222 with a passing TD; he ran for 38 yards.
— Colts drove 82 yards, scored game-winning TD with 5:07 left to play.
— Jeff Saturday wins his first game as a head coach.
— Underdogs covered seven of their ten games.
— Indy is 11-5-1 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.
— Las Vegas lost last three games, outscored 36-13 in second half.
— Raiders’ first four drives: 17 plays, 18 yards, no points.
— Raiders are 0-5 SU in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.
— Last eight games, Las Vegas’ opponent is 7-0-1 against its team total.
— Last five games, opponents converted 38-65 on third down.
Cardinals 27, Rams 17
— Neither starting QB played in this game.
— Cardinals scored two TD’s in 1:32 span late in 2nd quarter.
— Arizona had an 11-yard edge in field position.
— Arizona is 15-4-1 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.
— This was Arizona’s 2nd win in last 14 games against the Rams.
— Rams lost five of their last six games.
— Rams were held to 17 or less points in their losses.
— LA has one takeaway in its last seven games (minus-8).
— Last six games, Rams ran ball for only 69.3 yards/game.
— WR Kupp got hurt, is going to miss some time.
Packers 31, Cowboys 28 OT
— Dallas led 28-14 after three quarters.
— Green Bay drove 89 yards, tied game 28-28 with 2:29 left.
— Cowboys’ last four drives: 23 plays, 87 yards, no points.
— Last three games, Dallas scored 13 TD’s on 31 drives.
— NFC East teams are 18-8-2 ATS outside the division
— Watson caught four passes for 107 yards, three TD’s.
— Jones ran ball 24 times for 138 yards and a TD.
— Green Bay ran for 207 yards, averaged 9.5 yards/pass attempt.
— Packers converted 20 of last 40 third down plays.
— Since 2018, Packers are 3-0 ATS as a home underdog.
49ers 22, Chargers 16
— Chargers drove 75 yards in 7 plays for a TD on their first drive.
— Chargers rest of game: 52 plays, 195 yards, 3 field goals.
— Chargers in second half: 19 plays, 57 yards, 2 first downs.
— Bolts ran ball 16 times for only 51 yards.
— Chargers have been outscored 117-68 in second half.
— 49ers outscored Chargers 12-0 in second half.
— 49ers’ last six drives: 51 plays, 274 yards, 19 points.
— Last three games, 49ers converted 22-40 on third down.
— SF is 15-9 ATS in last 24 games vs AFC teams
— 49ers trailed their last four games at halftime.
