Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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PHILADELPHIA is 8-28 ATS (-22.8 Units) revenging a road loss versus opponent by 2 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 2-24 ATS (-24.4 Units) revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Sunday, April 9

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Trend Report
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Boston @ Philadelphia
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Colorado @ Anaheim
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 6 games at home


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Dunkel

Sunday, April 9

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SUNDAY, APRIL 9
BOS at PHI06:00 PMBOS -260
U 6.5		+500 +500
COL at ANA08:30 PMCOL -310
O 6.5		+500 +500
 
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APRIL'S NHL BEST BETS !

04/09/2023..........................1 - 0........................100.00%.................. .............+ 5.00
04/08/2023..........................4 - 6...........................40.00%................ ...............- 12.00
06/06/2023..........................3 - 4..........................42.85%................. ...............- 2.25
04/05/2023..........................1 - 1..........................50.00%................. ...............- 0.50
04/04/2023..........................2 - 1..........................66.66%................. .............+ 4.50
04/03/2023..........................2 - 2 .........................50.00%................... ..........+ 00.00
04/02/2023..........................6 - 2.........................75.00%.................. ............+ 27.50
04/01/2023..........................2 - 5.........................14.00%.................. . ..........- 16.00

TOTALS...........................21- 21.........................50.00%................. . ............+ 6.25
 
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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack
Major League leaders in OPS:
.967— Tampa Bay Rays
.867— Los Angeles Dodgers
.814— Boston Red Sox
.808— Milwaukee Brewers
.802— San Francisco Giants
.793— St Louis Cardinals

Quote of the Day
“I’m happy here. So there’s nothing to worry [about]. Something’s got to change, for sure. I mean, last year we went to Western Conference finals. We were having fun. I always talk about the chemistry we had. It was great. But something’s got to change for sure.”
Luka Doncic, not sounding very happy

Monday’s quiz
Which NBA team won the most regular season games in one season?

Sunday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football for the Cal Bears.

Saturday’s quiz
From 1967-73, UCLA won seven consecutive national titles in college basketball; NC State beat UCLA at the 1974 Final Four and ended their streak.

*****************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

— Minnesota Timberwolves beat New Orleans 113-108, clinched the #8-seed in the West, but they had a bad day. T’wolves lost F Jaden McDaniels for the season when he punched a wall in frustration, then later on, Rudy Gobert punched one of his teammates during a timeout, and could be facing a team suspension.

Not the kind of stuff you want to happen a couple days before the playoffs start.

— Baltimore Ravens signed WR Odell Beckham to a one-year, $15M deal that could get to $18M if he hits all his incentives. Is this sending a message to holdout QB Lamar Jackson?

— NFL schedule comes out in a month; lot of unsettled QB situations. Ravens. Packers. Jets. Colts. 49ers. Carolina. It is April 10; the draft is 17 days away.

You would think the league wants to know who is going to be playing where then they release the 2023 schedule, since TV ratings are important to the whole “we make a lot of money” thing that the league enjoys.

Last year the schedule was released May 12; I’m hoping it is that same week this year, because I’m going to be in Las Vegas that week. Think it’ll be fun to see the betting activity when the schedule is first released.

— Pirates 1, White Sox 0— Pittsburgh is off to a surprising 6-3 start, but they lost SS O’Neil Cruz Sunday, when he broke his ankle in a home plate collision with Chicago C Seby Zavala.

— Rays 11, A’s 0— I’ve been an A’s fan since I was 5 years old back in 1965; this is going to be a long freakin’ summer. Tampa Bay swept this series, outscoring Oakland 31-5; they beat them 11-0 both Saturday and Sunday. Rays are 9-0, with all nine wins by 4+ runs.

— Guardians 7, Mariners 6 (12)— If you bet the under in this game, skip ahead to the next item; Seattle led 2-1 after eight innings, but both bullpens imploded and the game wound up 7-6, with Cleveland winning its fourth extra inning game over the last eight days.

— Blue Jays 12, Angels 11 (10)
Angels led 6-0 after five innings.
Toronto led 10-6 after seven innings.
Chapman/Kiermaier both knocked in five runs for Toronto.
Blue Jays finally go home for their home opener Tuesday against Detroit.

— Brewers 6, Cardinals 1— Freddy Peralta allowed one run in 6 IP as Milwaukee improved to 7-2. Four Brewer relievers combined to get the last nine outs.

— New York 5, Baltimore 3— Aaron Judge hit two homers; New York won two out of three for the third series in a row.

— Padres 10, Braves 2— Nelson Cruz went 3-4 with a homer and six RBI; Padres went to Atlanta and won three of four games. Now they head to New York to play the Mets. San Diego is going to get a boost when Fernando Tatis joins the lineup in a couple weeks.

— Giants 3, Royals 1— Kansas City led 1-0 in 8th inning, but Michael Conforto hit a 2-run homer in the bottom of the 8th inning for the win. Giants’ first nine games were all against American League teams; they play their first NL game tonight against the Dodgers.

— Boston Bruins beat Philadelphia 5-3, setting a new NHL record with their 63rd win of the season. Impressive feat, but all that gets them is an extra home game in every round of the playoffs. Now the real work begins, and expectations are high.

— NBA play-in games:
Tuesday: Hawks @ Miami, Timberwolves @ Lakers
Wednesday: Bulls @ Toronto, Thunder @ New Orleans
 
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WINNIPEG is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games revenging a road loss versus opponent by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

OTTAWA is 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) after 2 consecutive division games in the current season.

TORONTO is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in road games off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 64-40 Over (20 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

BUFFALO is 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) in road games off a home win in the current season.

DALLAS are 65-75 ATS (-17.5 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 35-16 Over (17.4 Units) after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 23-14 ATS (7.6 Units) off a road loss by 2 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games in the current season.

LOS ANGELES are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games in the current season.
 
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NHL

Monday, April 10

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Trend Report
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San Jose @ Winnipeg
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Jose's last 8 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing at home against San Jose

Toronto @ Florida
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Buffalo @ NY Rangers
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
NY Rangers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo

Carolina @ Ottawa
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Ottawa's last 14 games at home
Ottawa is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home

NY Islanders @ Washington
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 13 games

Dallas @ Detroit
Dallas
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Detroit
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

Minnesota @ Chicago
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

Nashville @ Calgary
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Nashville
Calgary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Seattle @ Arizona
Seattle
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games

Vancouver @ Los Angeles
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Los Angeles is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home


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MONDAY, APRIL 10
BUF at NYR07:00 PMNYR -192
O 6.5		+500 +500
DAL at DET07:00 PMDET +160
O 6.0		+500 +500
SJ at WIN07:00 PMSJ +250
O 6.5		+500 +500
CAR at OTT07:00 PMCAR -180
O 6.5		+500 +500
TOR at FLA07:00 PMTOR +120
O 7.0		+500 +500
NYI at WAS07:00 PMNYI -155
O 5.5		+500 +500
MIN at CHI09:00 PMMIN -310
O 6.0		+500 +500
NAS at CAL09:30 PMCAL -192
O 6.0		+500 +500
SEA at ARI10:00 PMARI +200
O 6.5		+500 +500
VAN at LA10:30 PMLA -192
U 6.5		+500 +500
 
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APRIL'S NHL BEST BETS !

04/10/2023......................1 - 4 -1..........................20.00%................................- 16.00
04/09/2023..........................1 - 0........................100.00%.................. .............+ 5.00
04/08/2023..........................4 - 6...........................40.00%................ ..............- 12.00
06/06/2023..........................3 - 4..........................42.85%................. ..............- 2.25
04/05/2023..........................1 - 1..........................50.00%................. ..............- 0.50
04/04/2023..........................2 - 1..........................66.66%................. .............+ 4.50
04/03/2023..........................2 - 2 .........................50.00%................... ..........+ 00.00
04/02/2023..........................6 - 2.........................75.00%.................. ............+ 27.50
04/01/2023..........................2 - 5.........................14.00%.................. . ..........- 16.00

TOTALS......................22- 25 - 1.........................50.00%................. . ............- 9.75
 
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Tuesday’s 6-pack
NBA’s best teams against the spread this year:
47-33-2— Utah Jazz
47-34-1— Philadelphia 76ers
46-35-1— Oklahoma City Thunder
44-34-4— New York Knicks
45-36-1— Sacramento Kings, Boston Celtics, Orlando Magic
43-35-4— Milwaukee Bucks

Movie Quote of the Day
Julia Roberts: “You’re a thief and a liar.”
George Clooney: “I only lied about being a thief.”

Tuesday’s quiz
Which NBA team lost the most games ever in one season?

Monday’s quiz
2015-16 Golden State Warriors went 73-9, the most regular season wins in one season.

Sunday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football for the Cal Bears.



**************************************************


Tuesday’s Den: XFL trends, and other random stuff……..

— Mets-Marlins played seven of their first ten games against each other; because of the new, more balanced schedule, they don’t meet again until September 18.

Sunday, Mets’ TV guy Gary Cohen was outspoken against the new schedule; he thinks division rivals should play each other more than 13 times a year.

One thing the Mets’ TV guys said that I think is 100% true; MLB is on a path towards total geographic realignment, ditching the American/National Leagues. I think that would be a smart thing to do, but no one asked me.

— Six teams who have never won a World Series:
Colorado, Milwaukee, San Diego, Seattle, Tampa Bay, Texas

— Two teams who have never won a division title:

Marlins, who despite that have won two World Series
Rockies, who have played in a World Series

— Rays 1, Red Sox 0— Brandon Lowe homered in 8th inning, Tampa Bay improved to 10-0; they haven’t allowed a run in their last three games.

This was first game they won by less than four runs. It is April 11 and Tampa Bay already leads the AL East by four games.

— In case you were wondering, 2003 Royals were the last team to start a season 9-0.

— Phillies 15, Marlins 3— Rough night for Marlins’ ace Sandy Alcantara; he gave up nine runs in 4+ IP, a rare terrible game.

Last year, Alcantara threw 228.2 innings last year; Jacob Stallings was the catcher for all of those innings. He can’t hit, but he’s a damn good catcher.

— Braves 5, Reds 4 (10)— Cincinnati tied game with two runs in 9th, took 5-4 lead in 10th, but Sean Murphy’s first home run for Atlanta was a walk-off winner. Reds are already 1-5 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Arizona 3, Brewers 0— Zac Gallen tossed seven shutout innings, Arizona improved to 7-4, good for first place in the NL West.

College basketball transfer notes:
— 7-foot-1 Micah Handlogten, Sun Belt Freshman of the Year at Marshall, bolted to Florida

— Jackson Paveletzke, a 6-3 guard who scored 15.1 ppg at Wofford this past year, bolted to Iowa State. He shot 39% on the arc; shooting s marketable.

— Ben Krikke scored 19.4 ppg for Valparaiso this past year; he bolted to Iowa. He is a 6-9 graduate student.

Can’t be lot of fun to be a mid-major basketball coach these days.

— Jon Rahm won the Masters Sunday; he double-bogeyed the first hole on Thursday. Last time a guy won the Masters after bogeying the first hole of the tournament: Sam Snead, in 1952.

— Here are trends for all eight XFL teams, eight weeks into a 10-game regular season.

Arlington Renegades (4-4)
Their four wins were all by 1 or 2 points.
Losses were all by 6+ points.
Six of their last seven games stayed under the total.
Last seven games, scored 12.7 ppg.
2-6 ATS this season, 0-3 ATS as a favorite.

DC Defenders (7-1)
Won/covered seven of first eight games.
Seven of their eight games went over the total.
Last six games, Defenders scored 33.5 ppg.
Last three weeks, they allowed 26-37-33 points.
3-0 ATS as an underdog.

Houston Renegades (5-3)
Lost three of last four games, after a 4-0 start.
Scored 30.5 ppg in first four games, 18.3 ppg in last four.
3-1 SU/ATS at home, 1-3 on the road.
4-0 ATS first four games, 0-4 last four games.
Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Las Vegas Vipers (2-6)
Split last four games, after an 0-4 start.
Vipers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
Last Las Vegas games stayed under the total.
1-3 in games decided by 4 or less points.
Vipers are 0-5 when they score less than 26 points.

Orlando Guardians (1-7)
Orlando beat spread in four of last six games.
Their only win was against 7-1 Defenders.
Six of their eight games went over total.
Guardians covered three of last four games.

St Louis Battlehawks (6-2)
Both their losses are to 7-1 Defenders (34-28/28-20)
St Louis allowed 18 or less points in its wins.
Battlehawks are 3-0 in games decided by 4 or less points.
St Louis is 3-2 ATS as an underdog.
Four of their last five games stayed under the total.

San Antonio Brahmas (2-6)
Brahmas were held to 15 or less points in seven of eight games.
Seven of their eight games stayed under the total.
Average total in their last four games: 27.0.
Brahmas are 0-5 if they allow more than 12 points.
Their last three games are all at home.

Seattle Sea Dragons (5-3)
Seattle won five of its last six games, after an 0-2 start.
Sea Dragons covered four of their last six games.
Six of their eight games went over the total.
Their four road games all went over the total.
Seattle’s losses were by 1-2-4 points.
 
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COLUMBUS are 15-7 ATS (7.3 Units) off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

BUFFALO is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

TAMPA BAY is 13-17 ATS (-14.3 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the 2nd half of the ye...

DETROIT is 10-10 ATS (-1 Units) in road games in April games in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 65-48 ATS (12.2 Units) in road games in April games since 1996.

CHICAGO is 9-2 Over (6.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 5 or more goals in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 9-0 Under (9 Units) on Tuesday nights in the current season.

EDMONTON is 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.

VEGAS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off a close road loss by 1 goal in the current season.

ANAHEIM is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals in the last 3 seasons.
 
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NHL

Tuesday, April 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Washington @ Boston
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 14 games
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home

Detroit @ Carolina
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games on the road
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Carolina's last 14 games at home

Buffalo @ New Jersey
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
New Jersey
New Jersey is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Columbus @ Philadelphia
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Columbus's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Columbus's last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games at home

Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Chicago @ Pittsburgh
Chicago
Chicago is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games

Winnipeg @ Minnesota
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

Edmonton @ Colorado
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton

Vancouver @ Anaheim
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games on the road
Vancouver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Anaheim is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Vancouver

Seattle @ Vegas
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vegas's last 7 games at home
Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
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TUESDAY, APRIL 11
WAS at BOS07:00 PMBOS -330
O 6.0		+500 +500
DET at CAR07:00 PMCAR -310
O 6.0		+500 +500
CLB at PHI07:00 PMCLB +165
O 6.5		+500 +500
BUF at NJ07:00 PMBUF +205
O 7.0		+500 +500
TOR at TB07:00 PMTB -185
O 6.5		+500 +500
CHI at PIT07:30 PMPIT -550
O 6.5		+500 +500
WIN at MIN08:00 PMMIN -115
O 5.5		+500 +500
EDM at COL09:30 PMEDM -110
O 6.5		+500 +500
VAN at ANA10:00 PMANA +130
O 6.5		+500 +500
SEA at VEG10:00 PMVEG -160
O 6.0		+500 +500
 
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APRIL'S NHL BEST BETS !

04/11/2023..........................2 - 4..........................33.33%................. ...............- 11.50
04/10/2023.....................1 - 4 -1..........................20.00%................. ...............- 16.00
04/09/2023..........................1 - 0........................100.00%.................. .............+ 5.00
04/08/2023..........................4 - 6...........................40.00%................ ..............- 12.00
06/06/2023..........................3 - 4..........................42.85%................. ..............- 2.25
04/05/2023..........................1 - 1..........................50.00%................. ..............- 0.50
04/04/2023..........................2 - 1..........................66.66%................. .............+ 4.50
04/03/2023..........................2 - 2 .........................50.00%................... ..........+ 00.00
04/02/2023..........................6 - 2.........................75.00%.................. ............+ 27.50
04/01/2023..........................2 - 5.........................14.00%.................. . ..........- 16.00

TOTALS......................24- 29 - 1.........................45.28%................. . ............- 21.25
 
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