Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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Wednesday’s 6-pack
NBA’s worst teams against the spread this year:
30-49-3— Dallas, Miami
32-46-4— San Antonio
36-45-1— Atlanta, Houston
37-42-3— Detroit, Memphis, Washington
39-43— Golden State
38-42-2— Charlotte

Quote of the Day
“You’re a goddamn quarterback!!! You know what that means? It’s the top spot, kid. It’s the guy who takes the fall. It’s the guy everybody’s looking at first – the leader of a team – who will support you when they understand you. Who will break their ribs and their noses and their necks for you, because they believe. ‘Cause you make them believe. That’s a quarterback.”
Al Pacino, from Any Given Sunday

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, what semi-famous actress plays the salary cap manager for the Cleveland Browns?

Tuesday’s quiz
Philadelphia 76ers lost the most NBA games ever in one season, going 9-73 in 1972-73.

Monday’s quiz
2015-16 Golden State Warriors went 73-9, the most regular season wins in one season.

************************************************** ************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings………

— We were talking about Ted Williams at lunch Tuesday; the guy’s record was amazing. He had a career on-base %age of .482, a tremendous number.
From 1941-49, Williams led the league in walks six times; in the other three years, he didn’t play, he was flying combat missions in World War II. In his career, Williams had 2,654 hits and walked 2,021 times. His last year in the majors, at age 41, he hit .316. Excellent.

Tampa Bay 5, Boston 2
Rays are 11-0, best start by a big league team since the ’87 Brewers started out 13-0. Those Brewers wound up 91-71 and finished third in their division.

— I switched my TV system from DirecTV to YouTube TV because YouTube has the NFL Sunday Ticket now. Tuesday, they announced what it will cost me.
Last year, the Sunday Ticket was $290; this year………
If you subscribe to YouTube TV, it’ll be $349, but only $249 if you pay by June 6.
$289 if you bundle with RedZone and buy it by June 6
If you don’t subscribe to YouTube TV, it’ll be $449, but $349 if you pay by June 6.
$389 if you bundle with RedZone and buy it by June 6
So I will actually save $41 this year. Good for me.

Marlins 8, Phillies 4— Luis Arraez is the first Marlins player to hit for the cycle; I’d be more enthusiastic about it if he wasn’t playing against my fantasy team this week.

— Padres’ reliever Brent Honeywell is the nephew of Mike Marshall, who was a really good reliever for the Dodgers in the early 70’s. Marshall appeared in 263 games from 1972-74; he threw 208 innings in 1974, and he didn’t start any games.

Cardinals 9, Rockies 6— Colorado led 6-2 after six innings, but St Louis scored seven runs in three innings against the Rockies’ bullpen. Nolan Arenado knocked in three runs against his old team.

Orioles 12, A’s 8— Ryan Mountcastle went 3-4, knocked in nine runs; Orioles rallied from a 7-2 deficit against woeful Oakland, which has lost six games in a row.

Brewers 7, Arizona 1— Game was scoreless after six innings; Burnes threw 8 shutout innings, allowing only three baserunners.

Giants 5, Dodgers 0— Season is 12 days old; Mets and Dodgers are both 6-6, Cardinals are in last place. Small sample size, but a slow start for some of the league’s favorites.

Rangers 8, Royals 5 (10)— Jonah Heim hit a walk-off homer in the 10th inning; Texas lost Corey Seager to a hamstring injury, but they won this game and lead the AL West at 7-4.

Angels 2, Washington 0— Ohtani threw seven shutout innings, allowing one hit.

Cubs 14, Mariners 9— Seattle is off to a slow 4-8 start, 1-4 in one-run games; the last two years combined, Mariners were 67-41 in one-run games.

— Baseball injury stuff:
Milwaukee P Brandon Woodruff goes on the IL with shoulder inflammation
Texas SS Corey Seager left Tuesday’s game with a hamstring injury.
White Sox SS Tim Anderson is out 2-4 weeks with a sprained knee.

— In the NHL, the team with the best regular season record wins the President’s Cup; over the last 35 years, only 8 of 35 President’s Cup winners have also won the Stanley Cup— last team that did it was the 2013 Chicago Blackhawks.

— Los Angeles Kings, Arizona Coyotes are bringing the NHL to Australia next fall; they’re going to play a couple of preseason games there.

Hawks 116, Heat 105— Atlanta led 65-50 at halftime, gets a road play-in win, after a 41-41 regular season. Hawks’ four subs who played were a combined +28.
Hawks move on to a first round series with Boston; the Heat will play winner of the Toronto-Chicago game Friday for the #8 spot in the East.

Lakers 108, Minnesota 102 OT— Minnesota led 60-49 at halftime, then they scored a combined 16 points in the 4th quarter/overtime. Lakers advance to play Memphis in a series that starts on Sunday.
Timberwolves will play the Pelicans-Thunder winner on Friday night; winner of that game will play #1-seed Denver in the first round of the playoffs.
 

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NY ISLANDERS are 7-0 Under (7 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more in the current season.

DALLAS are 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games after a blowout win by 3 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

SAN JOSE is 9-4 ATS (4.6 Units) after 2 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.




NHL


Wednesday, April 12


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Trend Report

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Montreal @ NY Islanders
Montreal
  • Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
  • Montreal is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Islanders
  • NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • NY Islanders is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Dallas @ St. Louis
Dallas
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
  • Dallas is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Dallas
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas

San Jose @ Calgary
San Jose
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games
Calgary
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing San Jose
  • Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose

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Udog

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NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, April 12


mVvzzCH.png
 

Cnotes53

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WEDNESDAY, APRIL 12
MON at NYI07:00 PMMON +300
O 5.5
+500 +500
DAL at STL07:30 PMDAL -160
O 6.5
+500 +500
SJ at CAL10:00 PMCAL -230
O 6.5
+500 +500
 

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APRIL'S NHL BEST BETS !

04/12/2023..........................2 - 2..........................50.00%................. .................- 0.50
04/11/2023..........................2 - 4..........................33.33%................. ...............- 11.50
04/10/2023.....................1 - 4 -1..........................20.00%................. ...............- 16.00
04/09/2023..........................1 - 0........................100.00%.................. .............+ 5.00
04/08/2023..........................4 - 6...........................40.00%................ ..............- 12.00
06/06/2023..........................3 - 4..........................42.85%................. ..............- 2.25
04/05/2023..........................1 - 1..........................50.00%................. ..............- 0.50
04/04/2023..........................2 - 1..........................66.66%................. .............+ 4.50
04/03/2023..........................2 - 2 .........................50.00%................... ..........+ 00.00
04/02/2023..........................6 - 2.........................75.00%.................. ............+ 27.50
04/01/2023..........................2 - 5.........................14.00%.................. . ..........- 16.00

TOTALS......................26- 31 - 1.........................45.61%................. . ............- 21.75
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack
Favorites to win the Stanley Cup playoffs:
3-1— Boston Bruins
13-2— Colorado Avalanche
8-1— Edmonton Oilers
10-1— Carolina Hurricanes, Vegas Golden Knights
12-1— New Jersey Devils, New York Rangers, Toronto Maple Leafs
14-1— Dallas Stars

Quote of the Day
“This week, the Phillies initiated the plan. They are preparing Harper to play first base later this season. This does not affect his timetable to return to the Phillies’ lineup — he will still return as the designated hitter because he will be cleared to hit in games before he is cleared to throw. But if Harper takes to the new position, the Phillies think it could allow him to return to the field sooner than if he played right field.”
Matt Gelb, from The Athletic

Thursday’s quiz
In the movie Blue Chips, what real-life basketball Hall of Famer plays the athletic director at Western U, where Nick Nolte’s character is the coach?

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, Jennifer Garner plays the salary cap manager for the Cleveland Browns.

Tuesday’s quiz
Philadelphia 76ers lost the most NBA games ever in one season, going 9-73 in 1972-73.



*******************************************


Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

— Tampa Bay 9, Boston 7
Rays are 12-0, baseball’s best start since 1987.
Taj Bradley allowed three runs in 5 IP in his MLB debut.
Tampa Bay’s magic number to clinch the AL East: 147.

— Dodgers 10, Giants 5
Max Muncy hit two homers; he is 5-9 with four homers, 11 RBI the last three games.
Giants lost four of their first six home games.

— Arizona 7, Brewers 3
Rookie Jameson tossed four scoreless IP (54 PT) in his first ’23 start.
Diamondbacks are in first place in the NL West.

— Marlins 3, Phillies 2 (10)
Banged-up Phillies are 4-8, 4.5 games behind the first place Braves.

— A’s 8, Baltimore 4
Brent Rooker homered, knocked in three runs.
Carlos Perez went 3-4, with a homer and two RBI.
$59M A’s host the $375M Mets this weekend; should be a lot of fun.

— Toronto 4, Detroit 3 (10)
Tigers led 3-1 after eight innings.
Toronto tied game in 9th on two sac flies.
George Springer had a walk-off single in the 10th.
Detroit has lost six in a row, is 2-9 this season.

— Braves 5, Reds 4— Both starting pitchers (Greene/Strider) got 20+ whiffs; that doesn’t happen a lot. Greene got 21 whiffs on 54 swings, Strider 22 whiffs on 56 swings.

— Twins 3, White Sox 1— Not sure why Sonny Gray came out after throwing five scoreless IP and only 78 pitches, but Minnesota is 8-4 and leads the AL Central by 1.5 games.

— Highest-paid major leaguers in 1985:
$2.13M— Mike Schmidt, Phillies
$2.09M— Jim Rice, Red Sox
$1.95M— George Foster, NYM
$1.745M— Dave Winfield, NYY
$1.728M— Gary Carter, NYM
$1.6M— Dale Murphy, Atl

— White Sox reliever Joe Kelly got hurt Sunday, pulling a leg muscle while running in from the bullpen to join a benches’ clearing fracas in a game at Pittsburgh. Only in baseball does a guy get hurt running to a fight, especially a fight that never happened.

— Chicago Cubs signed 2B/OF Ian Happ to a 3-year, $61M contract extension. Cubs are off to a 6-5 start this season.

— Texas Rangers SS Corey Seager hurt his hamstring, is out a minimum of four weeks; this all happened because the Royals shifted against Seager- they put their LF in short RF, leaving left field wide open. Seager dumped a ball into the left field corner, was looking down there as he turned first base, trying to decide if he would go for a triple, when his hamstring went. Not good.

— Former Arizona Cardinals’ coach Kliff Kingsbury will be an offensive analyst at USC this year, where he will work with Caleb Williams, the favorite to win the Heisman Trophy this year.

— Iona’s Nelly Junior Joseph transfers from Iona to New Mexico; he was a back-to-back MAAC first-team player who played the past three years for Rick Pitino. Now he will play next season for Richard Pitino with the Lobos.

— Bulls 109, Raptors 105— Toronto led by 19 in the third quarter; they made only 18-36 foul shots. Chicago visits Miami Friday; winner plays a first round series against the Bucks.

— Thunder 123, Pelicans 118— OKC outscored the Pelicans 39-24 in third quarter; Josh Giddey scored 31 points, dished out 10 assists and grabbed nine rebounds. Thunder visits Minnesota Friday night; winner of that game plays Denver in a first round series.
 

Udog

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MONTREAL is 9-0 Over (9 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 15-9 ATS (5.1 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in the last 3 sea...

OTTAWA is 56-61 ATS (-11.1 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

FLORIDA is 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) in home games revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more in the current season.

DETROIT is 27-20 ATS (5 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

NY RANGERS are 152-166 ATS (-30.6 Units) at home when the total is >=6 since 1996.

WASHINGTON is 22-9 Over (12.1 Units) in April games in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off a home loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 35-23 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games after a division game in the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

SAN JOSE is 9-36 ATS (-30.6 Units) playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 2-25 ATS (-25.5 Units) revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 32-37 ATS (-8.7 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) in home games off a road loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NHL

Thursday, April 13


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Trend Report
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1sPbKYd.png



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Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, APRIL 13
PIT at CLB07:00 PMPIT -235
O 6.5
+500 +500
TOR at NYR07:00 PMNYR -135
U 6.5
+500 +500
BOS at MON07:00 PMMON +260
O 6.5
+500 +500
DET at TB07:00 PMTB -235
O 6.5
+500 +500
OTT at BUF07:00 PMBUF -135
O 7.0
+500 +500
CAR at FLA07:00 PMCAR -110
O 6.5
+500 +500
NJ at WAS07:00 PMNJ -180
O 6.5
+500 +500
MIN at NAS08:00 PMMIN -105
O 5.5
+500 +500
STL at DAL08:00 PMSTL +220
O 6.0
+500 +500
WIN at COL08:00 PMCOL -225
O 6.0
+500 +500
PHI at CHI08:30 PMCHI -105
O 6.0
+500 +500
SJ at EDM09:00 PMEDM -500
O 7.0
+500 +500
LA at ANA10:00 PMLA -240
U 6.5
+500 +500
VAN at ARI10:00 PMARI +130
O 6.5
+500 +500
VEG at SEA10:30 PMSEA +100
O 6.0
+500 +500
 

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APRIL'S NHL BEST BETS !

04/13/2023.....................8 - 3 -2..........................72.72%................. ................+ 24.25
04/12/2023..........................2 - 2..........................50.00%................. .................- 0.50
04/11/2023..........................2 - 4..........................33.33%................. ...............- 11.50
04/10/2023.....................1 - 4 -1..........................20.00%................. ...............- 16.00
04/09/2023..........................1 - 0........................100.00%.................. .............+ 5.00
04/08/2023..........................4 - 6...........................40.00%................ ..............- 12.00
06/06/2023..........................3 - 4..........................42.85%................. ..............- 2.25
04/05/2023..........................1 - 1..........................50.00%................. ..............- 0.50
04/04/2023..........................2 - 1..........................66.66%................. .............+ 4.50
04/03/2023..........................2 - 2 .........................50.00%................... ..........+ 00.00
04/02/2023..........................6 - 2.........................75.00%.................. ............+ 27.50
04/01/2023..........................2 - 5.........................14.00%.................. . ..........- 16.00

TOTALS.........................34- 34 - 3.........................50.00%%................. ............+ 2.50
 

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Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack
Last six years, the #1 pick in the NFL Draft:
2022— DE Travon Walker, Georgia— Jaguars
2021— QB Trevor Lawrence, Clemson— Jaguars
2020— QB Joe Burrow, LSU— Bengals
2019— QB Kyler Murray, Oklahoma— Cardinals
2018— QB Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma— Browns
2017— DE Myles Garrett, Texas A&M— Browns

Quote of the Day
“With Lamar, you want to bring safeties down to help stop the run. You don’t really fear Lamar’s accuracy all the time. He’s got a huge arm, he can make things happen when he scrambles, but you don’t fear him just sitting in the pocket and picking you apart.”
Ben Roethlisberger, talking about Lamar Jackson

Friday’s quiz
Hakeem Olajuwon was the #1 pick in the 1984 NBA Draft; Michael Jordan was the #3 pick. Who was the #2 pick?

Thursday’s quiz
In the movie Blue Chips, Hall of Famer Bob Cousy plays the athletic director at fictional Western U, where Nick Nolte’s character is the coach.

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, Jennifer Garner plays the salary cap manager for the Cleveland Browns.




***********************************************


Friday’s Den: Early season trends for NFC teams…….

Cardinals
2-5 ATS last seven home openers (1-5-1 SU)
three of last four home openers went over total
covered last four road openers (won last three SU)
four of last five road openers stayed under

Falcons
15-4 ATS last 19 home openers (lost last three SU)
over 5-2 last seven home openers
6-13 ATS in last 19 road openers.
1-4 ATS last five years in Week 1

Panthers
opened at home the last five years
1-3 SU last four home openers.
over 3-1 in last four home openers
5-7 ATS last 12 road openers.

Bears
4-2 ATS last six home openers (won 4 of last 5 SU)
2-6 SU/ATS last eight road openers
under 6-0-1 last seven home openers
Under 17-5 last 22 road openers
Started out 0-1 SU seven of last nine years

Cowboys
Started last three seasons 0-1 SU
5-1 SU/4-2 ATS last six home openers
three of last four home openers went over
Covered three of last four road openers

Lions
Underdogs covered their last five home openers
2-6 SU/4-2 ATS in home openers
Over 10-3 in last 13 home openers
5-16-1 SU/4-3 ATS in road openers
Over 7-1 in last eight road openers

Packers
10-0 SU/8-2 ATS last ten home openers
Under 4-2 last six home openers
Lost 23-7/38-3 in last two road openers
Under 3-1 last four road openers
Opened on the road the last four years

Rams
Covered seven of last eight home openers
Under 4-1 last five home openers
6-0 SU/4-2 ATS in road openers under McVay
Four of last six road openers went over total.

Vikings
Covered seven of last eight home openers
under 8-1 last nine home openers
0-5-1 SU/0-6 ATS last six road openers
Under 4-2 last six road openers

Giants
2-9 SU/1-10 ATS last 11 home openers
Last nine home openers stayed under the total
1-5 SU last six road openers, but covered last three
Under 5-2 last seven road openers

Saints
2-6 SU/1-7 ATS last eight home openers
over 6-1 last seven home openers
2-4 SU/1-5 ATS last six road openers
started out 1-0 SU three of last four years

Eagles
5-2 SU/3-4 ATS last seven home openers
under 6-3 last nine home openers
1-4 ATS last five road openers
started season 1-0 six of last seven years

49ers
3-3 SU/1-5 ATS last six home openers
Under 7-2 last nine home openers
Four of last six road openers stayed under total
started season 0-1 four of last six years

Seahawks
18-2 SU/15-5 ATS last 20 home openers
Under 17-4-1 last 22 home openers
covered three of last four road openers
started last four seasons 1-0 SU

Buccaneers
4-5 SU/3-6 ATS last nine home openers
Over 5-3 last eight home openers
5-3 ATS last eight road openers
Over 5-2 last seven road openers

Commanders
3-8 SU/ATS last 11 home openers
three of last four home openers went over
0-4 SU/1-3 ATS last four road openers, giving up 34.5 ppg
Over 10-4 last 14 road openers
 

Udog

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BUFFALO is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more in the current season.

COLORADO is 15-1 ATS (13.9 Units) in road games when playing their 4th game in 7 days in the current season.




NHL

Friday, April 14


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Trend Report
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Buffalo @ Columbus
Buffalo
⦁ The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Columbus
⦁ The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus
⦁ The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
⦁ The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo


Colorado @ Nashville
Colorado
⦁ Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
⦁ Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
Nashville
⦁ Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
⦁ The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games


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Pending Picks

FRIDAY, APRIL 14

BUF at CLB07:30 PMBUF -170
O 7.0
+500 +500
COL at NAS08:00 PMCOL -235
O 6.0
+500 +500
 

Plegacy

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Nice job on a final night of games UDOG .. almost a full sweep with that push on the over
 
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