Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, APRIL 27
TB at TOR07:00 PMTB +140
O 6.5
+500 +500
NYR at NJ07:30 PMNYR +100
U 5.5
+500 +500
WIN at VEG10:00 PMVEG -200
O 5.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Completed Picks


Past Completed Picks
04/27/20233-3-050.00%+100Detail
04/26/20231-3-025.00%-2175Detail
04/25/20233-3-050.00%-400Detail
04/24/20235-2-071.43%+1600Detail
04/23/20233-5-037.50%-1175Detail
04/22/20233-5-037.50%-1300Detail
04/21/20236-2-075.00%+2100Detail
04/20/20238-0-0100.00%+4050Detail
04/19/20235-3-062.50%+300Detail
04/18/20234-4-050.00%-725Detail
04/17/20234-4-050.00%-510Detail
04/14/20233-0-187.50%+1500Detail
04/13/202314-13-351.67%-650Detail
04/12/20234-2-066.67%+950Detail
04/11/20239-11-045.00%-4000Detail
04/10/20237-12-137.50%-4245Detail
04/09/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
04/08/202320-11-164.06%+3375Detail
04/06/202316-12-057.14%+1900Detail
04/05/20235-1-083.33%+2000Detail
04/04/202313-9-059.09%+25Detail
04/03/20232-3-141.67%-675Detail
04/02/202311-6-163.89%+2750Detail
04/01/202313-13-050.00%-375Detail
 

Cnotes53

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NHL PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

04/27/2023..............................1 - 3......................25.00%..................... .....- 11.00
04/26/2023..............................1 - 2......................33.33%..................... ....- 16.25
04/25/2023..............................2 - 2......................50.00%..................... .....- 3.50
04/24/2023..............................5 - 1......................83.33%..................... .....+ 21.25
04/23/2023..............................1 - 5......................16.66%..................... .....- 22.00
04/22/2023..............................3 - 2......................60.00%..................... ....+ 5.00
04/21/2023..............................3 - 1......................75.00%..................... ....+ 11.00
04/20/2023..............................6 - 0....................100.00%...................... ...+ 30.50
04/19/2023..............................4 - 2......................66.66%..................... .....+ 9.00
04/18/2023..............................4 - 2......................66.66%..................... .....+ 5.50
04/17/2023..............................1 - 4......................20.00%..................... .....- 20.10

TOTALS...............................32 - 24......................57.14%.................... ......+ 9.90
 

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Friday’s 6-pack
Single-season NFL record for receiving yards:
1,964— Calvin Johnson, Det 2012
1,947— Cooper Kupp, Rams 2021
1,871— Julio Jones, Atl 2015
1,848— Jerry Rice, SF 1995
1,834— Antonio Brown, Pitt 2015
1,809— Justin Jefferson, Minn 2022

Quote of the Day
“Pittsburgh got a plug-and-play starter at tackle. He didn’t allow a single sack on 446 pass-block snaps for the national champs last season. The Steelers moved up three spots with the Patriots, trading away #120 overall to do it, and these are the types of trades up the board I like. Giving up a 4th-round pick won’t hurt the rest of this team’s haul, which includes two 2nd-round picks. I expect Jones to start in Week 1.”
Mel Kiper Jr, talking about the Steelers taking Broderick Jones with the 14th pick

Friday’s quiz
Jerry Rice holds the all-time NFL record, with 197 receiving TD’s; who is #2 on the list, with 156 receiving TD’s?

Thursday’s quiz
Of the 16 NFC teams, three current starting quarterbacks have started a Super Bowl; Matthew Stafford, Jared Goff, Jalen Hurts.

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Any Given Sunday, Al Pacino plays the coach of the Miami Sharks; Dennis Quaid and Jamie Foxx are two of his quarterbacks. Cameron Diaz plays the owner of the Sharks.

************************************************** *******

Friday’s Den: Thoughts after the first round of the NFL Draft

— NFL had big news hours before the draft started; Baltimore Ravens finally signed QB Lamar Jackson, giving him a 5-year, $260M contract, with $185M of it guaranteed.

Not sure what took so long, but now the Ravens can focus on the 2023 season- they even picked a WR with their first draft pick, Zay Flowers from Boston College.

— Last fall during college football season, I don’t remember any analysts praising QB’s and their chances of being NFL stars, other than USC’s Caleb Williams; I’m pretty sure everyone is already touting Williams as an NFL star— he’ll most likely be the first pick in next year’s draft.

But here we are, the first round is over and three of the first four picks in the 2023 draft were quarterbacks. Go figure.

— Carolina has a new coach (Frank Reich) who started a different QB every year when he was coach of the Colts. They have the wealthiest owner in the league (which means he ain’t patient) and now they have a new QB, Bryce Young from Alabama.

Young is the first Alabama player ever to be the first pick of an NFL draft.

Andy Dalton figures to start the season at QB for Carolina, but Young will be the starter before long, because that is what #1 picks do these days. They learn by doing.

— Houston Texans have a new coach, and now CJ Stroud is their new QB; the history of Ohio State quarterbacks in the NFL isn’t great. Stroud threw 85 TD’s, 12 INT’s in college, starting for two years in Columbus.

Texans traded up with Arizona and got the #3 pick too, taking LB Will Anderson from Alabama. Houston is 11-38 the last three seasons; they were bold Thursday night, but they paid a big price.

Arizona got the #12 pick, the #33 pick, and Houston’s 1st/3rd round picks next year.

— Mel Kiper Jr has Kentucky QB Will Levis ranked ahead of Stroud in his ratings, but Levis was surprisingly not taken at all in the first round. Tough night for the young man; ESPN’s cameras kept showing him sitting there, waiting to hear his name called. It wasn’t.

Levis will have a huge chip on his shoulder when he finally is drafted; once upon a time, Miami Dolphins drafted a quarterback after five other QB’s had been taken that year. Guy turned out to be a pretty good player………Dan Marino.

— Indianapolis Colts, Reich’s old team, drafted QB Anthony Richardson from Florida; they have Gardner Minshew to be Richardson’s veteran mentor, but Minshew has started only 24 games in four NFL seasons (8-16 W-L record). Can they afford to let Minshew play the whole year?

Richardson started only 13 college games at Florida; he completed 9-27 passes in his last game and is only 20 years old. QB’s who complete only 53.8% of their passes are usually more suspect than prospect, but he is mobile and new Colts’ coach Shane Steichen worked wonders with Jalen Hurts in Philadelphia, also a mobile QB, albeit a more experienced one.

— Arizona traded out of the #3 pick to the #12 pick, then traded up to the #6 pick, taking OT Paris Johnson from Ohio State, which should make Kyler Murray happy. One of the guys on NFL Network said “……right now, I think they have the worst roster in the league” referring to the Cardinals.

— Since they blew a 28-3 lead and lost the Super Bowl to New England six years ago, the Atlanta Falcons are 42-56; they took RB Bijan Robinson from Texas with the #8 pick, to try and spruce up their offense, with a young QB (Desmond Ridder) already in place.

— Philadelphia spent a 4th-round pick to move up from the 10th pick to the 9th pick, then they took Georgia DL Jalen Carter, who had slipped because of off-field concerns. He gained nine pounds in two weeks after the NFL Combine, and word was the Georgia coaches didn’t give him much of an endorsement to scouts, which is why he slipped.

Eagles have some other Georgia alums on their squad; they think Carter will be just fine.

— Of the top 10 players in the draft, five played for SEC schools.

— NFL commissioner Roger Goodell makes around $40M a year; he is very good at his job, seems like a good guy. Not wearing a tie at the draft gives everything a more casual air. I’m surprised that Goodell isn’t a lawyer, thought that was part of the deal.

Goodell is terrific at the draft; when the Make-a-Wish kids come out to announce a team’s pick, he is a gracious host.

— I’m off to Las Vegas in ten days, am hoping the NFL will announce the 2023 schedule while I’m there. Want to watch the betting activity in the casino when the first games are posted, think it’ll be fun.

Here’s the thing: they haven’t announced when they’re releasing this year’s schedule. Last year they released the schedule May 12th; I’m hoping for May 11th (or 18th) this year. We’ll see if I’m a good travel planner. If not, I’ll still be in Las Vegas, which is always fun.

— Four of the first 14 players drafted Thursday were offensive tackles; quarterbacks are really expensive, so they have to be protected.

— There wasn’t a wide receiver taken until the 20th pick, but then four in a row were picked.

— Tennessee Titans took OT Peter Skoronski from Northwestern with the #11 pick; the young man has good blood lines, his grandfather is Bob Skoronski, who was a linemen for Green Bay in Super Bowls I, II— he played 11 years in the NFL.

— They had 125,000 people in Kansas City to watch all this Thursday night; rounds 2-3 are tonight, with the rest of the draft on Saturday.

The draft is a fascinating process; not everyone is good at it, which is why it is so interesting.
 

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CAROLINA is 13-22 ATS (-16 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd h...

BOSTON is 8-0 Under (8 Units) after losing their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) in home games off a road loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

SEATTLE is 20-7 ATS (12.3 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Friday, April 28


bg2406v.png





NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, April 28


BOSTON (68-14-0-5, 141 pts.) at FLORIDA (44-36-0-7, 95 pts.) - 4/28/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 68-19 ATS (+28.4 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 40-11 ATS (+15.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 20-4 ATS (+12.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
BOSTON is 32-8 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 17-5 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
FLORIDA is 44-43 ATS (-23.0 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 290-280 ATS (-106.3 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
FLORIDA is 16-27 ATS (+62.8 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
FLORIDA is 21-30 ATS (-23.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FLORIDA is 23-29 ATS (-15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-5-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.4 Units)


CAROLINA (54-23-3-7, 118 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (44-34-1-8, 97 pts.) - 4/28/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 25-26 ATS (-16.0 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 42-20 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 11-2 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after a division game this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 81-88 ATS (-41.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 8-4 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 8-4-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)


DALLAS (49-23-1-14, 113 pts.) at MINNESOTA (48-29-1-9, 106 pts.) - 4/28/2023, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 22-38 ATS (-19.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 1-5 ATS (-7.8 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-6 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-6-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.0 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)


COLORADO (53-26-1-7, 114 pts.) at SEATTLE (49-30-0-8, 106 pts.) - 4/28/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 49-38 ATS (-5.9 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 20-6 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
COLORADO is 23-9 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 6-16 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEATTLE is 7-18 ATS (+29.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 6-5 (+5.5 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 6-5-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.0 Units)




NHL

Friday, April 28


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Carolina @ NY Islanders
Carolina
Carolina is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
Carolina is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
NY Islanders is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Boston @ Florida
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games on the road
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida's last 9 games when playing Boston
Florida is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

Dallas @ Minnesota
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Minnesota's last 25 games at home

Colorado @ Seattle
Colorado
Colorado is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 9 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 8 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, APRIL 28
CAR at NYI07:00 PMCAR +100
U 5.5
+500 +500
BOS at FLA07:30 PMBOS -192
U 6.0
+500 +500
DAL at MIN09:30 PMMIN -110
U 5.5
+500 +500
COL at SEA10:00 PMCOL -155
U 6.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks
04/28/20235-3-062.50%+440Detail
04/27/20232-2-050.00%+150Detail
04/26/20231-3-025.00%-2175Detail
04/25/20233-3-050.00%-400Detail
04/24/20235-2-071.43%+1600Detail
04/23/20233-5-037.50%-1175Detail
04/22/20233-5-037.50%-1300Detail
04/21/20236-2-075.00%+2100Detail
04/20/20238-0-0100.00%+4050Detail
04/19/20235-3-062.50%+300Detail
04/18/20234-4-050.00%-725Detail
04/17/20234-4-050.00%-510Detail
04/14/20233-0-187.50%+1500Detail
04/13/202314-13-351.67%-650Detail
04/12/20234-2-066.67%+950Detail
04/11/20239-11-045.00%-4000Detail
04/10/20237-12-137.50%-4245Detail
04/09/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
04/08/202320-11-164.06%+3375Detail
04/06/202316-12-057.14%+1900Detail
04/05/20235-1-083.33%+2000Detail
04/04/202313-9-059.09%+25Detail
04/03/20232-3-141.67%-675Detail
04/02/202311-6-163.89%+2750Detail
04/01/202313-13-050.00%-375Detail
 

Cnotes53

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NHL PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

04/28/2023..............................3 - 2......................60.00%...........................+ 4.00
04/27/2023..............................1 - 3......................25.00%..................... .....- 11.00
04/26/2023..............................1 - 2......................33.33%..................... ....- 16.25
04/25/2023..............................2 - 2......................50.00%..................... .....- 3.50
04/24/2023..............................5 - 1......................83.33%..................... .....+ 21.25
04/23/2023..............................1 - 5......................16.66%..................... .....- 22.00
04/22/2023..............................3 - 2......................60.00%..................... ....+ 5.00
04/21/2023..............................3 - 1......................75.00%..................... ....+ 11.00
04/20/2023..............................6 - 0....................100.00%...................... ...+ 30.50
04/19/2023..............................4 - 2......................66.66%..................... .....+ 9.00
04/18/2023..............................4 - 2......................66.66%..................... .....+ 5.50
04/17/2023..............................1 - 4......................20.00%..................... .....- 20.10

TOTALS..............................35 - 26......................57.37%.................... ......+ 13.90
 

Udog

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Saturday’s 6-pack
Single-season NFL record for rushing yards:
2,105— Eric Dickerson, Rams 1984
2,097— Adrian Peterson, Minn 2012
2,066— Jamal Lewis 2003
2,053— Barry Sanders, Det 1997
2,027— Derrick Henry, Tenn 2020
2,008— Terrell Davis, Den 1998

Quote of the Day
“Goaltending is a normal job, sure. How would you like it in your job if every time you made a small mistake, a red light went on over your desk, and 15,000 people stood up and yelled at you?”
Former NHL goalie Jacques Plante

Saturday’s quiz
The ABA folded after the 1975-76 season; which team won the last ABA championship?
(Hint: they beat the Denver Nuggets in six games in the finals)

Friday’s quiz
Jerry Rice holds the all-time NFL record, with 197 receiving TD’s; Randy Moss is #2 on the list, with 156 receiving TD’s.

Thursday’s quiz
Of the 16 NFC teams, three current starting quarterbacks have started a Super Bowl; Matthew Stafford, Jared Goff, Jalen Hurts.

******************************************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday…….

— Rounds 2-3 of the NFL Draft happened Friday; Kentucky QB Will Levis had a much better night Friday than he did Thursday. Tennessee Titans took him with the 33rd pick, the second pick in the second round- they even traded up to get him.

Titans’ other QB’s are Ryan Tannehill, Malik Willis; one of them figures to go now.

— Tannehill has been in the NFL for 11 years, is 78-65 as an NFL starter, 38-22 in four years with Tennessee, but only 2-3 in playoff games.

If it is Tannehill who moves on, Cincinnati would be a logical destination; he could back up Joe Burrow. Bengals’ coach is Zac Taylor, whose father-in-law is Mike Sherman, Tannehill’s coach at Texas A&M, the guy who switched him from wide receiver to QB.

— In case you were wondering, next year’s draft is in Detroit.

— Speaking of Detroit, the Lions traded up to draft Tennessee QB Hendon Hooker, who is recovering from a torn ACL. Hooker completed 69.6% of his passes for 3,135 yards with 27 TD’s and two interceptions in 11 games last year. He also rushed for 430 yards and five TDs.

Tennessee was 11-2 last year, 6-2 in the SEC, but Hooker is also 25 years old, little more than a year younger than Joe Burrow, who has already played three years in the NFL.

— Detroit already has a very good QB, Jared Goff, who has a 56-48 career record and an NFC title to his credit. Goff is a free agent after the 2024 season; if they let him walk, it would be a colossal mistake.

— 49ers were the last team to make a selection; they wound up making three picks in the third round, including taking a kicker from Michigan. Not often a kicker gets drafted in the 3rd round.

— Indianapolis Colts traded down twice in the second round, to acquire more draft picks for Saturday’s session, which begins in about nine hours. I need to go to sleep soon.

Kings 118, Warriors 99
Monk scored 28 points, was +21 in 32:00 off the bench.
Series is 3-3; Game 7 is Sunday afternoon in Sacramento.

Lakers 125, Grizzlies 85
Lakers advance to second round; they outscored Memphis 66-43 in second half.
Not a stellar effort by the Grizzlies, who went 51-31 this season.

Braves 4, Mets 0— Game was called after five innings; Mets haven’t scored a first-inning run in their last 18 games.

— Atlanta lost 5-4 to the Marlins Thursday, blowing a 4-0 9th inning lead; the Braves had won 648 consecutive games when they led by 4+ runs in the last inning. Last time they lost a home games they led by 4+ runs in the 9th inning? October 2, 1986 against Cincinnati.

Blue Jays 3, Mariners 2— Seattle hasn’t scored a first inning run in its last 14 games; they’re 3-8 in one-run games this season, after going 67-41 in one-run games the last two years.

Rays 3, White Sox 2— Tampa Bay did something unusual Thursday; they used a position player to pitch the 9th inning, when they were WINNING 14-3. Luke Raley pitched the last inning, giving up two runs. You don’t see that every day.

Rangers 5, New York 2— Jacob deGrom tossed 3.2 scoreless innings, but left in the fourth inning because of forearm tightness.

— RIP to Jerry Springer, who passed away this week at age 79; he had pancreatic cancer.

“The Jerry Springer Show” was a big deal in daytime TV; it ran from 1991-2018 and was known for its profanity-prone guests who often had were restrained by security guards as audience members wildly cheered.

Springer was once the mayor of Cincinnati; as a kid, he was a ballboy at the US Tennis Open.

Maybe 10 or so years ago, I was staying at Planet Hollywood in Las Vegas; went downstairs to get some food, and on my way back to my room, I crossed paths with Mr Springer, who was interviewing casino guests, with an assistant and his hand-held camera.

I waited until he was done, then I approached him, introduced myself and we talked for a few minutes. He didn’t have to be, but he was polite/nice to me, a good guy. His show was a less athletic version of pro wrestling, but a lot of people liked it.

Jerry Springer was a good guy, at least with me he was. RIP, sir.
 

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TORONTO is 13-2 ATS (11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the current season.

NY RANGERS are 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games after 3 consecutive division games over the last 2 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored in the current season.




NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 29


TORONTO (53-23-1-10, 117 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (47-31-1-8, 103 pts.) - 4/29/2023, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 10-24 ATS (-14.1 Units) when leading in a playoff series since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 36-19 ATS (+12.9 Units) when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.
TORONTO is 6-1 ATS (+7.1 Units) in road games in April games this season.
TORONTO is 20-5 ATS (+11.1 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 27-15 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 17-8 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 47-39 ATS (-1.3 Units) in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 25-27 ATS (-6.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 14-17 ATS (-17.1 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
TAMPA BAY is 12-17 ATS (-14.9 Units) after a division game this season.
TAMPA BAY is 20-24 ATS (-21.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 10-9-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
14 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.8 Units)


NEW JERSEY (54-24-2-7, 117 pts.) at NY RANGERS (48-25-2-12, 110 pts.) - 4/29/2023, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 23-32 ATS (+57.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 117-87 ATS (+19.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 55-45 ATS (+104.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 22-10 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 14-5 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
NEW JERSEY is 14-7 ATS (+21.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY RANGERS are 313-298 ATS (-168.1 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 207-196 ATS (-79.0 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 149-173 ATS (-89.5 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 12-9 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 12-9-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
13 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.2 Units)


EDMONTON (53-24-0-10, 116 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (48-27-1-11, 108 pts.) - 4/29/2023, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 4-11 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 95-80 ATS (-2.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 60-44 ATS (+13.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 37-24 ATS (+65.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 25-17 ATS (+43.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 264-315 ATS (+677.2 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.
EDMONTON is 13-2 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games vs. division opponents this season.
EDMONTON is 40-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 12-8-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
9 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.3 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)




NHL

Saturday, April 29


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

New Jersey @ NY Rangers
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
New Jersey is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Rangers's last 9 games

Edmonton @ Los Angeles
Edmonton
Edmonton is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Edmonton is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SATURDAY, APRIL 29
TOR at TB07:00 PMTB -105
O 6.5
+500 +500
NJ at NYR08:00 PMNJ +115
U 5.5
+500 +500
EDM at LA10:00 PMEDM -170
U 6.5
+500 +500
 

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NHL PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

04/29/2023..............................0 - 4......................00.00%..................... ......- 20.75
04/28/2023..............................3 - 2......................60.00%..................... ......+ 4.00
04/27/2023..............................1 - 3......................25.00%..................... .....- 11.00
04/26/2023..............................1 - 2......................33.33%..................... ....- 16.25
04/25/2023..............................2 - 2......................50.00%..................... .....- 3.50
04/24/2023..............................5 - 1......................83.33%..................... .....+ 21.25
04/23/2023..............................1 - 5......................16.66%..................... .....- 22.00
04/22/2023..............................3 - 2......................60.00%..................... ....+ 5.00
04/21/2023..............................3 - 1......................75.00%..................... ....+ 11.00
04/20/2023..............................6 - 0....................100.00%...................... ...+ 30.50
04/19/2023..............................4 - 2......................66.66%..................... .....+ 9.00
04/18/2023..............................4 - 2......................66.66%..................... .....+ 5.50
04/17/2023..............................1 - 4......................20.00%..................... .....- 20.10

TOTALS..............................35 - 30......................53.84%.................... .......- 6.85
 

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04/29/20231-5-016.66%-2175Detail
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04/25/20233-3-050.00%-400Detail
04/24/20235-2-071.43%+1600Detail
04/23/20233-5-037.50%-1175Detail
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04/21/20236-2-075.00%+2100Detail
04/20/20238-0-0100.00%+4050Detail
04/19/20235-3-062.50%+300Detail
04/18/20234-4-050.00%-725Detail
04/17/20234-4-050.00%-510Detail
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04/13/202314-13-351.67%-650Detail
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04/08/202320-11-164.06%+3375Detail
04/06/202316-12-057.14%+1900Detail
04/05/20235-1-083.33%+2000Detail
04/04/202313-9-059.09%+25Detail
04/03/20232-3-141.67%-675Detail
04/02/202311-6-163.89%+2750Detail
04/01/202313-13-050.00%-375Detail
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack

Single-season NFL record for field goals made:

44— David Akers, SF 2011

40— Daniel Carlson, LV 2021

40— Neil Rackers, Ariz 2005

39— Jeff Wilkins, Rams 2003

39— Olindo Mare, Mia 1999

39— Robbie Gould, SF 2017




Quote of the Day

“When we’re talking about chemistry, when you have guys who are new and coming in and they’re coming into a new environment, a new city, a new football team, now they know people. They’re not uncertain, they can go to each other and say ‘tell me how this works, tell me about the city, where should I live, where should I go,’ a lot of the things that maybe we take for granted when we’re talking about the draft process. … That enhances the chemistry and the culture of our football team, maybe even gives you a head start on that process a little bit.

Philadelphia Eagles’ GM Howie Roseman




Sunday’s quiz

Who was the Houston Astros’ manager, the first time they won a World Series?




Saturday’s quiz

The ABA folded after the 1975-76 season; the New York Nets won the last ABA championship, beating the Denver Nuggets in six games in the finals.




Friday’s quiz

Jerry Rice holds the all-time NFL record, with 197 receiving TD’s; Randy Moss is #2 on the list, with 156 receiving TD’s.


*********************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

— There were 43 trades during the NFL Draft, the most ever during a draft; six of them were during Thursday’s first round.

— There were 11 quarterbacks drafted in the first 150 picks, first time since 1995 there were that many QB’s taken that early.

Last year, there was only one QB drafted in the first 73 picks (Kenny Pickett)

— NFC South starting quarterbacks, last year and this year:
Atlanta: Marcus Mariota last year, Desmond Ridder this year
Carolina: Baker Mayfield, Bryce Young
New Orleans: Jameis Winston, Derek Carr
Tampa Bay: Tom Brady, Baker Mayfield

— Eagles drafted three more defensive players from Georgia; over the last two years, they’ve drafted five Dawg defenders.

Ironically, Eagles’ GM Howie Roseman is a Florida Gators’ alum.

— Rams took Georgia QB Stetson Bennett in the 4th round; lot of people didn’t think Bennett would get drafted at all.

— Philadelphia acquired RB D’Andre Swift from Detroit for a 4th-round pick.

— QB Sam Hartman transferred from Wake Forest to Notre Dame, so the previous Notre Dame QB, Tyler Buchner, transferred to Alabama.

This is how weird college sports is now; Hartman started for FIVE YEARS at Wake Forest, but all of a sudden it wasn’t good enough for him, so instead of jumping to the NFL, now he is at Notre Dame. Because of that, Alabama gets a new QB— they’ve got five under scholarship now.

Would be fitting if one of Alabama’s QB’s transferred to Wake Forest, to take Hartman’s place.

— Padres 16, Giants 11— Total on this game in Mexico City was 15.5, the highest total for a big league game in at least 20 years. Elevation at Mexico City is 7,349 feet, 1.39 miles high. Most of the fly balls in this game went over the fence.

— Rays 12, White Sox 3— Lance Lynn no-hit Tampa Bay for six innings, then the Rays scored ten runs in the 7th inning; they’re 23-5, leading the AL East by 4.5 games.

— Pirates 6-16, Nationals 3-1— Last day of April and Pittsburgh is 20-8, in first place in the NL Central. Pirates visit Tampa Bay this week; a World Series preview?

— Arizona 11, Colorado 4— Last day of April and Arizona is in first place in the NL West; it says more about how underachieving the Dodgers/Padres have been so far, but Arizona has gotten better. As for Colorado, they’re awful, not much better than the A’s, who are terrible.

— Dodgers 1, Cardinals 0— Last day of April and St Louis is already ten games out of first place; you read between the lines with their personnel moves and they seem to have internal issues. Cardinals are 1-5 in one-run games; would a quick managerial change help?

— Toronto 1, Seattle 0 (10)— Easton McGee made his first MLB start for Seattle; he didn’t allow a hit until the 7th inning, but the Mariners still lost- they’re 3-9 in one-run games.

— Reds 3, A’s 2— Cincinnati came into this weekend 1-9 on the road, but they were favored in Oakland the last two days and won both games. Reds scored twice in 9th inning to win this game, because the guy the A’s paid $7M to be their closer this year is away from the team, dealing with anxiety issues.

I’m an A’s fan; I have anxiety issues too.

— Denver 125, Phoenix 107 (Nuggets lead series, 1-0)
Nuggets outscored Phoenix 37-19 in second quarter.
Denver was +7 in turnovers.

— Toronto 2, Tampa Bay 1 (OT)— Maple Leafs won a playoff series for the first time since 2004, winning three road games in overtime- this win snapped an 11-game losing streak in elimination games. Lightning was in the Stanley Cup finals the last three years; not this year.

— Arlington 26, Houston 11— Upset in the XFL semi-finals; Renegades’ QB Luis Perez threw for 289 yards, three TD’s. Arlington was a 7.5-point underdog; they outgained Houston 419-225.
 

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FLORIDA is 9-0 Over (9 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in 2 straight games in the current season.

SEATTLE is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more in the current season.




NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, April 30


FLORIDA (45-36-0-7, 97 pts.) at BOSTON (68-15-0-5, 141 pts.) - 4/30/2023, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 45-43 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 5-11 ATS (-13.2 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 6-12 ATS (-10.7 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 12-17 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
FLORIDA is 17-27 ATS (-22.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
FLORIDA is 22-30 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FLORIDA is 24-29 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 68-20 ATS (+89.0 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 33-8 ATS (+16.3 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
BOSTON is 40-12 ATS (+15.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 26-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-5 ATS (+12.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
BOSTON is 32-9 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 6-7 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-6-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.4 Units)


SEATTLE (49-31-0-8, 106 pts.) at COLORADO (54-26-1-7, 116 pts.) - 4/30/2023, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 7-19 ATS (+30.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
SEATTLE is 49-39 ATS (+3.6 Units) in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 26-13 ATS (+39.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
SEATTLE is 19-10 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
SEATTLE is 14-8 ATS (+22.1 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
SEATTLE is 24-17 ATS (+6.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
SEATTLE is 12-5 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
COLORADO is 19-18 ATS (-12.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
COLORADO is 65-70 ATS (-54.7 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 6-6 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 6-6-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.0 Units)




NHL

Sunday, April 30


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Florida @ Boston
Florida
Florida is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Florida

Seattle @ Colorado
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 10 games when playing Seattle

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SUNDAY, APRIL 30
FLA at BOS06:30 PMBOS -240
O 6.5
+500 +500
SEA at COL09:30 PMCOL -220
U 5.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Completed Picks

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04/30/20232-2-050.00%-1300Detail
04/29/20231-5-016.67%-2175Detail
04/28/20235-3-062.50%+440Detail
04/27/20233-3-050.00%+100Detail
04/26/20231-3-025.00%-2175Detail
04/25/20233-3-050.00%-400Detail
04/24/20235-2-071.43%+1600Detail
04/23/20233-5-037.50%-1175Detail
04/22/20233-5-037.50%-1300Detail
04/21/20236-2-075.00%+2100Detail
04/20/20238-0-0100.00%+4050Detail
04/19/20235-3-062.50%+300Detail
04/18/20234-4-050.00%-725Detail
04/17/20234-4-050.00%-510Detail
04/14/20233-0-187.50%+1500Detail
04/13/202314-13-351.67%-650Detail
04/12/20234-2-066.67%+950Detail
04/11/20239-11-045.00%-4000Detail
04/10/20237-12-137.50%-4245Detail
04/09/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
04/08/202320-11-164.06%+3375Detail
04/06/202316-12-057.14%+1900Detail
04/05/20235-1-083.33%+2000Detail
04/04/202313-9-059.09%+25Detail
04/03/20232-3-141.67%-675Detail
04/02/202311-6-163.89%+2750Detail
04/01/202313-13-050.00%-375Detail
 

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NHL PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

04/30/2023..............................2 - 2......................50.00%..................... .......- 13.00
04/29/2023..............................0 - 4......................00.00%..................... ......- 20.75
04/28/2023..............................3 - 2......................60.00%..................... ......+ 4.00
04/27/2023..............................1 - 3......................25.00%..................... .....- 11.00
04/26/2023..............................1 - 2......................33.33%..................... ....- 16.25
04/25/2023..............................2 - 2......................50.00%..................... .....- 3.50
04/24/2023..............................5 - 1......................83.33%..................... .....+ 21.25
04/23/2023..............................1 - 5......................16.66%..................... .....- 22.00
04/22/2023..............................3 - 2......................60.00%..................... ....+ 5.00
04/21/2023..............................3 - 1......................75.00%..................... ....+ 11.00
04/20/2023..............................6 - 0....................100.00%...................... ...+ 30.50
04/19/2023..............................4 - 2......................66.66%..................... .....+ 9.00
04/18/2023..............................4 - 2......................66.66%..................... .....+ 5.50
04/17/2023..............................1 - 4......................20.00%..................... .....- 20.10

TOTALS..............................37 - 32......................53.62%.................... .......- 19.85
 
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