CNOTES 2023-2024 COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS + NEWS AND NOTES
- Thread starter Cnotes53
- Start date
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 16
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU at MSST | 12:00 PM | MSST +9.5 | +500 |
| ISU at OHIO | 12:00 PM | OHIO +2.5 | +500 |
| WAKE at ODU | 12:00 PM | WAKE -13.0 | +500 |
| LIU at BAY | 12:00 PM | O 54.0 | +500 |
| FSU at BC | 12:00 PM | FSU -27.5 | +500 |
| PSU at ILL | 12:00 PM | PSU -14.0 | +500 |
| LIB at BUFF | 12:00 PM | BUFF +3.0 O 53.5 | +500 +500 |
| GASO at WIS | 12:00 PM | GASO +19.0 | +500 |
| KSU at MIZZ | 12:00 PM | KSU -4.5 | +500 |
| LOU at IU | 12:00 PM | O 50.0 | +500 |
| UND at BSU | 12:00 PM | BSU -15.0 | +500 |
| VMI at NCST | 02:00 PM | U 50.0 | +500 |
| NORF at TEM | 02:00 PM | TEM -30.5 U 56.0 | +500 +500 |
| WEB at UTAH | 02:00 PM | UTAH -27.0 | +500 |
| MASS at EMU | 02:00 PM | MASS +7.0 | +500 |
| CMU at ND | 02:30 PM | ND -34.5 | +500 |
| SOCAR at UGA | 03:30 PM | SOCAR +27.0 | +500 |
| ALA at USF | 03:30 PM | USF +34.0 | +500 |
| ECU at APP | 03:30 PM | APP -7.5 O 47.5 | +500 +500 |
| WMU at IOWA | 03:30 PM | IOWA -28.0 | +500 |
| SDSU at ORST | 03:30 PM | ORST -24.0 | +500 |
| OKLA at TLSA | 03:30 PM | OKLA -27.5 | +500 |
| FIU at CONN | 03:30 PM | O 42.5 | +500 |
| VT at RUTG | 03:30 PM | RUTG -7.0 | +500 |
| NW at DUKE | 03:30 PM | DUKE -18.5 | +500 |
| MINN at UNC | 03:30 PM | UNC -7.0 U 50.5 | +500 +500 |
| ULM at TAM | 04:00 PM | ULM +35.5 | +500 |
| TULN at USM | 04:00 PM | U 49.0 | +500 |
| WKU at OSU | 04:00 PM | WKU +30.0 | +500 |
| IDHO at CAL | 04:00 PM | CAL -12.0 | +500 |
| WASH at MSU | 05:00 PM | WASH -16.5 | +500 |
| GSU at CHAR | 06:00 PM | CHAR +6.5 | +500 |
| TENN at FLA | 07:00 PM | FLA +5.5 | +500 |
| NIU at NEB | 07:00 PM | NEB -13.5 | +500 |
| SJSU at TOL | 07:00 PM | TOL -8.0 O 59.0 | +500 +500 |
| USA at OKST | 07:00 PM | USA +7.5 | +500 |
| UNT at LT | 07:00 PM | LT -4.0 | +500 |
| JMU at TROY | 07:00 PM | TROY -2.5 | +500 |
| ULL at UAB | 07:00 PM | UAB -2.5 | +500 |
| M-OH at CIN | 07:00 PM | M-OH +14.5 | +500 |
| VAN at UNLV | 07:00 PM | UNLV +4.0 | +500 |
| AKR at UK | 07:30 PM | AKR +25.5 | +500 |
| BYU at ARK | 07:30 PM | ARK -9.0 | +500 |
| PITT at WVU | 07:30 PM | WVU +1.0 | +500 |
| GT at MISS | 07:30 PM | MISS -16.5 | +500 |
| BGSU at MICH | 07:30 PM | BGSU +40.0 | +500 |
| SYR at PUR | 07:30 PM | SYR -3.0 | +500 |
| FAU at CLEM | 08:00 PM | CLEM -24.5 | +500 |
| HAW at ORE | 08:00 PM | ORE -37.0 | +500 |
| NMSU at UNM | 08:00 PM | NMSU +1.0 | +500 |
| WYO at TEX | 08:00 PM | TEX -28.0 | +500 |
| TCU at HOU | 08:00 PM | TCU -7.5 | +500 |
| CSU at COLO | 10:00 PM | COLO -23.0 | +500 |
| KU at NEV | 10:30 PM | KU -28.0 | +500 |
| FRES at ASU | 10:30 PM | FRES -3.0 | +500 |
| UTEP at ARIZ | 11:00 PM | ARIZ -17.0 | +500 |
Completed Picks
Past Completed Picks| Date | W-L-T | % | Units | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/16/2023 | 35-26-0 | 57.73% | +3200 | Detail |
| 09/15/2023 | 4-2-0 | 66.67% | +900 | Detail |
| 09/14/2023 | 1-3-0 | 25.00% | -1150 | Detail |
| 09/09/2023 | 28-34-1 | 45.24% | -4700 | Detail |
| 09/08/2023 | 3-1-0 | 75.00% | +950 | Detail |
| 09/04/2023 | 2-0-0 | 100.00% | +1000 | Detail |
| 09/03/2023 | 3-3-0 | 50.00% | -150 | Detail |
| 09/02/2023 | 53-42-1 | 55.73% | +3400 | Detail |
| 09/01/2023 | 6-6-0 | 50.00% | -300 | Detail |
BEST BETS AUGUST THRU SEPT.
09/16/2023..............................17 - 13......................56.66%..................................+ 13.50
09/15/2023..............................4 - 1..........................80.00%..................................+ 14.50
09/14/2023..............................0 - 3.........................00.00%...................................- 16.50
09/09/2023............................18 - 15 -1.....................54.54%..................................+ 8.50
09/08/2023.............................2 - 1...........................66.66%..................................+ 4.50
09/04/2023.............................2 - 0..........................100.00%..................................+ 10.00
09/03/2023.............................2 - 2............................50.00%...................................- 1.00
09/02/2023...........................25 - 20...........................55.55%...................................+ 15.00
09/01/2023.............................5 - 2............................71.42%...................................+ 14.00
08/26/2023.............................6 - 4............................60.00%...................................+ 8.00
TOTALS..................................81 - 61 - 1.......................57.04%..................................+ 70.50
09/16/2023..............................17 - 13......................56.66%..................................+ 13.50
09/15/2023..............................4 - 1..........................80.00%..................................+ 14.50
09/14/2023..............................0 - 3.........................00.00%...................................- 16.50
09/09/2023............................18 - 15 -1.....................54.54%..................................+ 8.50
09/08/2023.............................2 - 1...........................66.66%..................................+ 4.50
09/04/2023.............................2 - 0..........................100.00%..................................+ 10.00
09/03/2023.............................2 - 2............................50.00%...................................- 1.00
09/02/2023...........................25 - 20...........................55.55%...................................+ 15.00
09/01/2023.............................5 - 2............................71.42%...................................+ 14.00
08/26/2023.............................6 - 4............................60.00%...................................+ 8.00
TOTALS..................................81 - 61 - 1.......................57.04%..................................+ 70.50
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,774
- 20
- 38
Armadillo Sports
— Missouri 30, Kansas State 27
Mizzou kicked a 61-yard FG at the gun, longest FG in SEC history
K-State was 8-17 on third down, Mizzou 3-13
Luther Burden III caught 7 passes for 114 yards and 2 TD’s.
— Colorado 43, Colorado State 35 OT
This game ended at 2:25am here in the East.
Colorado (-23) drove 98 yards for game-tying TD with 0:36 left.
Colorado QB Sanders threw for 348 yards and four TD’s.
Colorado State QB Fowler-Nicolosi threw for 367 yards and three TD’s.
Rams had 16 penalties for 176 yards; Colorado 10 for 86.
— UNLV 40, Vanderbilt 37
Vandy led this game 17-0 early in second quarter.
UNLV then scored the next 30 points.
Freshman QB Maiava came off bench, threw for 261 yards.
Rebels kicked game-winning 36-yard FG with 0:05 left.
— So far this season, SEC teams are 2-7 ATS away from home in non-conference games.
— Alabama 17, South Florida 3
This game was 3-3 at halftime; there was also a weather delay.
Alabama has used three different QB’s this season, a red flag.
Total yardage was 310-264; Bama completed only 10-23 passes for 107 yards.
— Florida State 31, Boston College 29
Seminoles led 31-10 with 2:00 left in 3rd quarter, held on for dear life.
BC was 8-19 on third down, Florida State 1-9. Eagles were 4-5 on 4th down.
— Upsets of the Week:
Miami OH (+14). 31, Cincinnati 24 OT
BYU (+8) 38, Arkansas 31
South Alabama (+7) 33, Oklahoma State 7
Army (+7) 37, Texas-San Antonio 29
FIU (+7) 24, UConn 17
I-AA Sacramento State (+7) 30, Stanford 23
Florida (+5.5) 28, Tennessee 16
— Louisville 21, Indiana 14
Cardinals stopped Indiana at the 1-yard line with 4:38 left to preserve their win.
Louisville led this game 21-0 at halftime.
ACC non-conference home favorites are 8-4 ATS so far this season.
— Georgia 24, South Carolina 14
Gamecocks led 14-3 at halftime.
Georgia outgained South Carolina 458-309.
Gamecocks were minus-2 in turnovers, had 11 penalties for 73 yards.
— Florida 29, Tennessee 16
Volunteers lost their 10th straight visit to Gainesville.
Tennessee had five false start penalties.
— Washington 41, Michigan State 7— If you’re betting games, read the papers; Spartans and Northwestern have programs in chaos, because their coaches got caught up in off-the-field stuff. Wager against these teams.
— Pac-12 non-conference favorites are 13-6 ATS this season.
— South Alabama 33, Oklahoma State 7— Red flag for a Big X team to lose by 26 points at home to a Sun Belt team. Jaguars outgained Oklahoma State 395-208.
— Missouri 30, Kansas State 27
Mizzou kicked a 61-yard FG at the gun, longest FG in SEC history
K-State was 8-17 on third down, Mizzou 3-13
Luther Burden III caught 7 passes for 114 yards and 2 TD’s.
— Colorado 43, Colorado State 35 OT
This game ended at 2:25am here in the East.
Colorado (-23) drove 98 yards for game-tying TD with 0:36 left.
Colorado QB Sanders threw for 348 yards and four TD’s.
Colorado State QB Fowler-Nicolosi threw for 367 yards and three TD’s.
Rams had 16 penalties for 176 yards; Colorado 10 for 86.
— UNLV 40, Vanderbilt 37
Vandy led this game 17-0 early in second quarter.
UNLV then scored the next 30 points.
Freshman QB Maiava came off bench, threw for 261 yards.
Rebels kicked game-winning 36-yard FG with 0:05 left.
— So far this season, SEC teams are 2-7 ATS away from home in non-conference games.
— Alabama 17, South Florida 3
This game was 3-3 at halftime; there was also a weather delay.
Alabama has used three different QB’s this season, a red flag.
Total yardage was 310-264; Bama completed only 10-23 passes for 107 yards.
— Florida State 31, Boston College 29
Seminoles led 31-10 with 2:00 left in 3rd quarter, held on for dear life.
BC was 8-19 on third down, Florida State 1-9. Eagles were 4-5 on 4th down.
— Upsets of the Week:
Miami OH (+14). 31, Cincinnati 24 OT
BYU (+8) 38, Arkansas 31
South Alabama (+7) 33, Oklahoma State 7
Army (+7) 37, Texas-San Antonio 29
FIU (+7) 24, UConn 17
I-AA Sacramento State (+7) 30, Stanford 23
Florida (+5.5) 28, Tennessee 16
— Louisville 21, Indiana 14
Cardinals stopped Indiana at the 1-yard line with 4:38 left to preserve their win.
Louisville led this game 21-0 at halftime.
ACC non-conference home favorites are 8-4 ATS so far this season.
— Georgia 24, South Carolina 14
Gamecocks led 14-3 at halftime.
Georgia outgained South Carolina 458-309.
Gamecocks were minus-2 in turnovers, had 11 penalties for 73 yards.
— Florida 29, Tennessee 16
Volunteers lost their 10th straight visit to Gainesville.
Tennessee had five false start penalties.
— Washington 41, Michigan State 7— If you’re betting games, read the papers; Spartans and Northwestern have programs in chaos, because their coaches got caught up in off-the-field stuff. Wager against these teams.
— Pac-12 non-conference favorites are 13-6 ATS this season.
— South Alabama 33, Oklahoma State 7— Red flag for a Big X team to lose by 26 points at home to a Sun Belt team. Jaguars outgained Oklahoma State 395-208.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,774
- 20
- 38
NCAAF
Week 4
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Trend Report
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Week 4
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Trend Report
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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
College football spreads for this week:
— Wisconsin (-4) @ Purdue
— Boise State (-8) @ San Diego State
— Army @ Syracuse (-9)
— Mississippi State @ South Carolina (-4)
— Oklahoma State @ Iowa State (-3)
— BYU @ Kansas (-7)
Quote of the Day
“The Orioles have a 70-year partnership with the city and the state, and Camden Yards more than 30. And we’re going to have 30 more. That’s a given.”
Baltimore Orioles owner John Angelos
Tuesday’s quiz
Carolina Panthers have played in/lost two Super Bowls; who were their QB’s in those two games?
Monday’s quiz
Denzel Washington got his big break as a regular in the old TV show St Elsewhere; Timothy Robbins was also in several episodes of that show the first year, but only as a guest star.
Sunday’s quiz
Lee Corso is famous for his work on ESPN, but he was also a pretty good coach. He spent 10 years as head coach of the Indiana Hoosiers.
***************************************************
— Saints’ defense has allowed one TD on 22 drives this season.
— New Orleans outgained the Panthers, 341-239
— Mobile backup QB Hill ran ball nine times for 75 yards.
— Last 2+ years, under is 11-6 in Saints’ road games.
— Carolina scored 8 points with 1:16 left to cover/push spread, depending on your number.
— Panthers averaged only 3.9 yards/pass attempt.
— In two games, Carolina has scored only 2 TD’s on 22 drives.
— Panthers are 9-28 on third down in their first two games.
Steelers 26, Browns 22
— Pittsburgh scored two defensive TD’s as they even their record at 1-1.
— Cleveland outgained the Steelers, 408-255
— Pickens caught a 71-yard TD pass that put Steelers ahead 16-11.
— Steelers won five of last six series games.
— Watson threw a pick-6 on the first play of the game.
— His fumble was returned for game-winning TD with 6:58 left.
— Browns lost star RB Chubb with a knee injury.
— Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in last seven visits to Pittsburgh.
— Browns are 4-4 in Deshaun Watson’s starts; they were 30-31 in Baker Mayfield’s starts. Why didn’t they keep Mayfield? He makes hell of a lot less $$$ than Watson.
— Mayfield has played for seven offensive coordinators the last six seasons, which is a lot.
— So far this NFL season, road teams are 19-13 SU.
— In his brief NFL career, Bengals’ QB Joe Burrow is 1-7 in Weeks 1-2, 23-12-1 in all the other games.
— Odd Stat: Denver Broncos lost the last nine games when they led at halftime.
— Cardinals 1, Brewers 0
Adam Wainwright gets his 200th career win.
Willson Contreras homered, for the game’s only run.
— Orioles 8, Astros 7
Baltimore scored three runs in top of the ninth.
Ryan O’Hearn went 5-5, with two RBI.
Orioles clinched their playoff spot Sunday, their first playoff bid since 2016
— Word of the Day: Kerfuffle— a disturbance or commotion caused by a dispute/conflict.
— Football Trend of the Day: Baltimore Ravens are 4-10 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
— Vanderbilt is the only college football team that is 0-4 against the spread this year.
— Most people agree that Angel Hernandez is a bad umpire; he sued MLB because they didn’t make him a crew chief, when he should be thanking them for not firing him.
Last week in Pittsburgh, Hernandez called 34 pitches strikes in a Nationals-Pirates game; 12 of those pitches were actually balls. A 65% accuracy rate on called strikes? Freakin’ Helen Keller could come close to that.
— Tampa Bay Rays are going to announce plans for a new stadium that will seat around 30,000 and cost over $1.2B to build— it is expected to open in 2028.
— This past weekend, Cincinnati Reds played the Mets in New York; Reds’ manager David Bell is the grandson of Gus Bell, who played in 30 games for the original New York Mets in 1962.
— Speaking of the Reds, their CF TJ Friedl is cousins with Kentucky basketball coach John Calipari.
— Minnesota Twins’ IF Royce Lewis has hit 16 home runs in his first 69 major league games; five of those home runs were grand slams.
— Maui Classic basketball tournament in November will be played in Honolulu this year, at the Stan Sheriff Center; the arena where it is usually played in Lahaina is being used as a center to help Maui’s recovery from the terrible damage they have from the wildfires this summer.
— Alabama started Jalen Milroe at QB in their first game; they started Tyler Buchner in their second game, then replaced him with 3rd-stringer Ty Simpson.
This week, Alabama is going back to Milroe at QB for their game with Ole Miss.
College football spreads for this week:
— Wisconsin (-4) @ Purdue
— Boise State (-8) @ San Diego State
— Army @ Syracuse (-9)
— Mississippi State @ South Carolina (-4)
— Oklahoma State @ Iowa State (-3)
— BYU @ Kansas (-7)
Quote of the Day
“The Orioles have a 70-year partnership with the city and the state, and Camden Yards more than 30. And we’re going to have 30 more. That’s a given.”
Baltimore Orioles owner John Angelos
Tuesday’s quiz
Carolina Panthers have played in/lost two Super Bowls; who were their QB’s in those two games?
Monday’s quiz
Denzel Washington got his big break as a regular in the old TV show St Elsewhere; Timothy Robbins was also in several episodes of that show the first year, but only as a guest star.
Sunday’s quiz
Lee Corso is famous for his work on ESPN, but he was also a pretty good coach. He spent 10 years as head coach of the Indiana Hoosiers.
***************************************************
Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….
Saints 20, Panthers 17— Saints’ defense has allowed one TD on 22 drives this season.
— New Orleans outgained the Panthers, 341-239
— Mobile backup QB Hill ran ball nine times for 75 yards.
— Last 2+ years, under is 11-6 in Saints’ road games.
— Carolina scored 8 points with 1:16 left to cover/push spread, depending on your number.
— Panthers averaged only 3.9 yards/pass attempt.
— In two games, Carolina has scored only 2 TD’s on 22 drives.
— Panthers are 9-28 on third down in their first two games.
Steelers 26, Browns 22
— Pittsburgh scored two defensive TD’s as they even their record at 1-1.
— Cleveland outgained the Steelers, 408-255
— Pickens caught a 71-yard TD pass that put Steelers ahead 16-11.
— Steelers won five of last six series games.
— Watson threw a pick-6 on the first play of the game.
— His fumble was returned for game-winning TD with 6:58 left.
— Browns lost star RB Chubb with a knee injury.
— Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in last seven visits to Pittsburgh.
— Browns are 4-4 in Deshaun Watson’s starts; they were 30-31 in Baker Mayfield’s starts. Why didn’t they keep Mayfield? He makes hell of a lot less $$$ than Watson.
— Mayfield has played for seven offensive coordinators the last six seasons, which is a lot.
— So far this NFL season, road teams are 19-13 SU.
— In his brief NFL career, Bengals’ QB Joe Burrow is 1-7 in Weeks 1-2, 23-12-1 in all the other games.
— Odd Stat: Denver Broncos lost the last nine games when they led at halftime.
— Cardinals 1, Brewers 0
Adam Wainwright gets his 200th career win.
Willson Contreras homered, for the game’s only run.
— Orioles 8, Astros 7
Baltimore scored three runs in top of the ninth.
Ryan O’Hearn went 5-5, with two RBI.
Orioles clinched their playoff spot Sunday, their first playoff bid since 2016
— Word of the Day: Kerfuffle— a disturbance or commotion caused by a dispute/conflict.
— Football Trend of the Day: Baltimore Ravens are 4-10 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
— Vanderbilt is the only college football team that is 0-4 against the spread this year.
— Most people agree that Angel Hernandez is a bad umpire; he sued MLB because they didn’t make him a crew chief, when he should be thanking them for not firing him.
Last week in Pittsburgh, Hernandez called 34 pitches strikes in a Nationals-Pirates game; 12 of those pitches were actually balls. A 65% accuracy rate on called strikes? Freakin’ Helen Keller could come close to that.
— Tampa Bay Rays are going to announce plans for a new stadium that will seat around 30,000 and cost over $1.2B to build— it is expected to open in 2028.
— This past weekend, Cincinnati Reds played the Mets in New York; Reds’ manager David Bell is the grandson of Gus Bell, who played in 30 games for the original New York Mets in 1962.
— Speaking of the Reds, their CF TJ Friedl is cousins with Kentucky basketball coach John Calipari.
— Minnesota Twins’ IF Royce Lewis has hit 16 home runs in his first 69 major league games; five of those home runs were grand slams.
— Maui Classic basketball tournament in November will be played in Honolulu this year, at the Stan Sheriff Center; the arena where it is usually played in Lahaina is being used as a center to help Maui’s recovery from the terrible damage they have from the wildfires this summer.
— Alabama started Jalen Milroe at QB in their first game; they started Tyler Buchner in their second game, then replaced him with 3rd-stringer Ty Simpson.
This week, Alabama is going back to Milroe at QB for their game with Ole Miss.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,774
- 20
- 38
NCAAF
Weather Report
Week 4
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 4
Thursday’s game
Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina
Georgia State (3-0)
— Georgia State won its first two I-A games, scoring 41-35 points.
— Panthers gave up 408 passing yards to a I-AA team in 42-35 opener.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 23 starts.
— Georgia State is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 Sun Belt games.
— Last three years, Panthers were 9-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— Panthers won three of last four bowls (didn’t go bowling LY)
Coastal Carolina (2-1)
— Coastal was outgained only 417-345 in 27-13 (+15) loss at UCLA
— Chanticleers then beat a I-A newbie 30-16, waxed a I-AA stiff LW.
— 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 39 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 34 career starts.
— Last 4+ years, Chanticleers are 9-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last two years, Coastal was 6-11 ATS in Sun Belt games.
— Coastal has played in bowls the last three years, their first three bowls.
— Road team won last six series games.
— All six games had at least 48 points scored in them (over 3-3)
— Georgia State won its last three visits to Coastal.
Weather Report
Week 4
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 4
Thursday’s game
Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina
Georgia State (3-0)
— Georgia State won its first two I-A games, scoring 41-35 points.
— Panthers gave up 408 passing yards to a I-AA team in 42-35 opener.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 23 starts.
— Georgia State is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 Sun Belt games.
— Last three years, Panthers were 9-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— Panthers won three of last four bowls (didn’t go bowling LY)
Coastal Carolina (2-1)
— Coastal was outgained only 417-345 in 27-13 (+15) loss at UCLA
— Chanticleers then beat a I-A newbie 30-16, waxed a I-AA stiff LW.
— 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 39 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 34 career starts.
— Last 4+ years, Chanticleers are 9-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last two years, Coastal was 6-11 ATS in Sun Belt games.
— Coastal has played in bowls the last three years, their first three bowls.
— Road team won last six series games.
— All six games had at least 48 points scored in them (over 3-3)
— Georgia State won its last three visits to Coastal.
Completed Picks
Past Completed Picks| Date | W-L-T | % | Units | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/21/2023 | 1-1-0 | 50.00% | -50 | Detail |
| 09/16/2023 | 35-26-0 | 57.38% | +3200 | Detail |
| 09/15/2023 | 4-2-0 | 66.67% | +900 | Detail |
| 09/14/2023 | 1-3-0 | 25.00% | -1150 | Detail |
| 09/09/2023 | 28-34-1 | 45.24% | -4700 | Detail |
| 09/08/2023 | 3-1-0 | 75.00% | +950 | Detail |
| 09/04/2023 | 2-0-0 | 100.00% | +1000 | Detail |
| 09/03/2023 | 3-3-0 | 50.00% | -150 | Detail |
| 09/02/2023 | 53-42-1 | 55.73% | +3400 | Detail |
| 09/01/2023 | 6-6-0 | 50.00% | -300 | Detail |
BEST BETS AUGUST THRU SEPT.
09/21/2023................................1 - 1........................... 50.00%.................................- 0.50
09/16/2023..............................17 - 13........................56.66%..................................+ 13.50
09/15/2023..............................4 - 1............................80.00%..................................+ 14.50
09/14/2023..............................0 - 3............................00.00%...................................- 16.50
09/09/2023............................18 - 15 -1....................54.54%..................................+ 8.50
09/08/2023.............................2 - 1.............................66.66%..................................+ 4.50
09/04/2023.............................2 - 0...........................100.00%..................................+ 10.00
09/03/2023.............................2 - 2............................50.00%...................................- 1.00
09/02/2023...........................25 - 20.........................55.55%...................................+ 15.00
09/01/2023.............................5 - 2............................71.42%...................................+ 14.00
08/26/2023.............................6 - 4............................60.00%...................................+ 8.00
TOTALS..................................82 - 62 - 1.......................56.94%..................................+ 70.00
09/21/2023................................1 - 1........................... 50.00%.................................- 0.50
09/16/2023..............................17 - 13........................56.66%..................................+ 13.50
09/15/2023..............................4 - 1............................80.00%..................................+ 14.50
09/14/2023..............................0 - 3............................00.00%...................................- 16.50
09/09/2023............................18 - 15 -1....................54.54%..................................+ 8.50
09/08/2023.............................2 - 1.............................66.66%..................................+ 4.50
09/04/2023.............................2 - 0...........................100.00%..................................+ 10.00
09/03/2023.............................2 - 2............................50.00%...................................- 1.00
09/02/2023...........................25 - 20.........................55.55%...................................+ 15.00
09/01/2023.............................5 - 2............................71.42%...................................+ 14.00
08/26/2023.............................6 - 4............................60.00%...................................+ 8.00
TOTALS..................................82 - 62 - 1.......................56.94%..................................+ 70.00
Friday’s 6-pack:
NFL spreads for this week:
— Colts @ Baltimore (-8.5)
— Panthers @ Seattle (-6)
— Cowboys (-12.5) @ Arizona
— Bears @ Kansas City (-12.5)
— Steelers @ Las Vegas (-3)
— Eagles (-4.5) @ Tampa Bay
Quote of the Day
“I’m honestly just kind of speechless right now. He gave all of us brand-new cleats. Most of us really needed it too because I was giving out some of my (old) cleats to the boys, but Marcus Mariota pulled through and gave us some cleats and we just wanted to thank him for all he’s done for us and everything he’s accomplished.”
Kuola Watson, a high school football player in Hawai’i
Friday’s quiz
Where did 49ers QB Brock Purdy play his college football?
Thursday’s quiz
El Paso, TX hosts the Sun Bowl every December.
Wednesday’s quiz
The TV show Frasier was set in Seattle.
********************************************
— Giants have been outscored 63-6 in first half of their three games.
— Big Blue averaged only 3.5 yards/pass attempt.
— Under is 17-9 in their last 26 road games.
— Daniel Jones is 23-34-1 as an NFL starter.
— San Francisco scored 30-30-30 points in winning first three games
— SF is 8-1 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite.
— 49ers outgained Giants 441-150.
— Giants were 3-12 on third down, 49ers were 9-16.
Georgia State 30, Coastal Carolina 17
— Georgia State won first three I-A games, scoring 41-35-30 points.
— Last 3+ years, Panthers are 10-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last 4+ years, Chanticleers are 9-13 ATS as a home favorite.
— Georgia State ran ball for 182 yards, converted 9-15 on third down.
— Broncos visit Miami Sunday; Dolphins’ new defensive coordinator is Vic Fangio, who was Denver’s head coach from 2019-21, going 19-30 in three seasons, when he didn’t have Elway, Manning or even Russell Wilson as his QB.
— Which reminds me, NFL coordinators make a boatload of $$$, don’t deal with the media much, their job is just football. I’m wonderful if coordinators are ever happy just to do that job, as opposed to becoming a head coach, where the job is more diverse, the $$$ is bigger, but maybe the job isn’t as much fun and is more aggravating.
Probably not often, but I’m guessing it has happened once or twice.
— Looks like the qualifying offer for potential free agents in baseball will be around $20.5M this winter; teams offer the potential free agent $20.5M and if he turns it down, that team gets a compensatory draft pick when he signs with a different team.
Of the last 124 players in this situation, only 13 took the qualifying offer.
— Summer flew by; NHL training camps opened this week.
— Word of the Day: Oblivion— A state of unawareness of what’s going on around you.
— Football Trend of the Day: Last 5+ years, Clemson is 30-13-1 ATS in ACC games.
— First two weeks in the NFL, new head coaches have lost nine of ten games.
— Carolina Panthers’ QB Bryce Young hasn’t practiced the last couple days, looks like Andy Dalton will get the start Sunday in Seattle.
— NC State plays at Virginia Friday, where Wolfpack QB Brennan Armstrong will see a lot of old friends; Armstrong played for Virginia the last three years, starting 30 games.
— Mets’ OF Tim Locastro has an unusual stat line; in his career, Locastro has been hit by 42 pitches, but he’s only walked 36 times.
NFL spreads for this week:
— Colts @ Baltimore (-8.5)
— Panthers @ Seattle (-6)
— Cowboys (-12.5) @ Arizona
— Bears @ Kansas City (-12.5)
— Steelers @ Las Vegas (-3)
— Eagles (-4.5) @ Tampa Bay
Quote of the Day
“I’m honestly just kind of speechless right now. He gave all of us brand-new cleats. Most of us really needed it too because I was giving out some of my (old) cleats to the boys, but Marcus Mariota pulled through and gave us some cleats and we just wanted to thank him for all he’s done for us and everything he’s accomplished.”
Kuola Watson, a high school football player in Hawai’i
Friday’s quiz
Where did 49ers QB Brock Purdy play his college football?
Thursday’s quiz
El Paso, TX hosts the Sun Bowl every December.
Wednesday’s quiz
The TV show Frasier was set in Seattle.
********************************************
Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….
49ers 30, Giants 12— Giants have been outscored 63-6 in first half of their three games.
— Big Blue averaged only 3.5 yards/pass attempt.
— Under is 17-9 in their last 26 road games.
— Daniel Jones is 23-34-1 as an NFL starter.
— San Francisco scored 30-30-30 points in winning first three games
— SF is 8-1 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite.
— 49ers outgained Giants 441-150.
— Giants were 3-12 on third down, 49ers were 9-16.
Georgia State 30, Coastal Carolina 17
— Georgia State won first three I-A games, scoring 41-35-30 points.
— Last 3+ years, Panthers are 10-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last 4+ years, Chanticleers are 9-13 ATS as a home favorite.
— Georgia State ran ball for 182 yards, converted 9-15 on third down.
— Broncos visit Miami Sunday; Dolphins’ new defensive coordinator is Vic Fangio, who was Denver’s head coach from 2019-21, going 19-30 in three seasons, when he didn’t have Elway, Manning or even Russell Wilson as his QB.
— Which reminds me, NFL coordinators make a boatload of $$$, don’t deal with the media much, their job is just football. I’m wonderful if coordinators are ever happy just to do that job, as opposed to becoming a head coach, where the job is more diverse, the $$$ is bigger, but maybe the job isn’t as much fun and is more aggravating.
Probably not often, but I’m guessing it has happened once or twice.
— Looks like the qualifying offer for potential free agents in baseball will be around $20.5M this winter; teams offer the potential free agent $20.5M and if he turns it down, that team gets a compensatory draft pick when he signs with a different team.
Of the last 124 players in this situation, only 13 took the qualifying offer.
— Summer flew by; NHL training camps opened this week.
— Word of the Day: Oblivion— A state of unawareness of what’s going on around you.
— Football Trend of the Day: Last 5+ years, Clemson is 30-13-1 ATS in ACC games.
— First two weeks in the NFL, new head coaches have lost nine of ten games.
— Carolina Panthers’ QB Bryce Young hasn’t practiced the last couple days, looks like Andy Dalton will get the start Sunday in Seattle.
— NC State plays at Virginia Friday, where Wolfpack QB Brennan Armstrong will see a lot of old friends; Armstrong played for Virginia the last three years, starting 30 games.
— Mets’ OF Tim Locastro has an unusual stat line; in his career, Locastro has been hit by 42 pitches, but he’s only walked 36 times.
- Sep 10, 2018
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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 4
Friday’s games
Wisconsin @ Purdue
Wisconsin (2-1)
— Badgers lost their only road game, 31-22 (-5.5) @ Wazzu.
— Wisconsin scored 35-38 points in its wins, both by 21 points.
— 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 97 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 24 games at SMU.
— last 10+ years, Badgers are 23-13 ATS as a road favorite.
— last three years, Badgers awere 10-14 ATS in the Big 14.
— Wisconsin’s 7-6 record LY was their worst since 2008.
— Wisconsin won/covered its last three bowls.
Purdue (1-2)
— Purdue is 0-2 at home; 39-35 to Fresno State, 35-20 to Virginia Tech.
— Boilers gave up 487-455 total yards in the two losses.
— Purdue’s one win: 24-17 at 0-3 Virginia.
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started five games at Texas.
— Purdue is 5-13 ATS in its last 17 home games.
— Boilers are 10-15 ATS in last 25 conference games.
— Purdue are -2 in turnovers; they hasn’t finished year with +TO ratio since 2017.
— Wisconsin won last 16 series games.
— Badgers won/covered their last eight visits to Purdue.
— Last four series games went over the total.
NC State @ Virginia
NC State (2-1)
— senior QB Armstrong started 30 games at Virginia.
— Wolfpack is 2-1 SU/0-2 ATS so far this season.
— State outgained the Huskies 364-320.
— State won only road game, 24-14 (-14) @ UConn.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— since 2019, State is 2-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last five years, Wolfpack is 18-23-1 ATS in ACC games.
— State’s only loss: 45-24 (+7.5) at home to Notre Dame.
Virginia (0-3)
— Virginia lost its first three games, giving up 49-36-42 points.
— Cavaliers have been outgained by 132 yards/game.
— All three of their games went over the total.
— 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 17 starts back on offensive line.
— true frosh QB is 45-72/652 passing, with 3 TD’s, 4 INT’s
— previous QB started 30 games, transferred to NC State.
— since 2018, Virginia is 6-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— since 2020, Cavaliers are 15-9 ATS in the ACC.
— Virginia has a minus-4 turnover ratio.
— NC State won four of last five series games.
— Wolfpack covered four of last five visits to Charlottesville.
— Over is 3-2 in last five series games.
Boise State @ San Diego State
Boise State (1-2)
— Boise State is 0-2 vs I-A teams, scoring 19-16 points.
— Boise gave up 568-530 TY in those two games.
— Broncos’ only win was 42-18 over a I-AA team.
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 80 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started 10 games.
— Last four years, Boise is 6-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Since 2018, Broncos are 28-14-1 ATS in conference games.
— Last 6+ years, Boise is +29 in turnovers (-2 TY).
San Diego State (2-2)
— Aztecs lost last two games, scoring 10-9 points vs Pac-12 teams.
— Aztecs’ only I-A win: 20-13 (-2.5) over Ohio U.
— Ohio U outgained the Aztecs, 380-309.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 53 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 8 career starts.
— since 2013, Aztecs are 10-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last three years, San Diego State was 10-11-1 ATS in conference games.
— San Diego State is 2-3 SU in last five bowls (favored in 4 of 5)
— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Boise was 0-3 in those games when they scored less than 31 points.
— Broncos covered once in their last four visits to San Diego.
— Under is 3-1 in last four series games.
Air Force @ San Jose State
Air Force (3-0)
— Air Force’s I-A wins: 13-3 (-13) at Sam Houston/39-21 (-9) over Utah State.
— last 4+ years, Air Force is 37-11 SU, 3-0 in bowls.
— 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has thrown 10 passes, run ball 43 times so far.
— Air Force has been favored in 36 of its last 47 games.
— Last 2+ years, Air Force is 5-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— since 2019, Flyboys are 18-11 ATS in Mountain West games.
— Air Force won its last four bowl games, scoring 34.3 ppg.
San Jose State (1-3)
— Spartans are 0-3 vs I-A teams, losing by 28-25-4 points.
— San Jose scored 28-17-17 points in the three losses.
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has started 35 games, 23 at Hawai’i.
— under Brennan, Spartans are 9-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Brennan, San Jose is 26-20-1 ATS in conference tilts.
— San Jose ran for 198 yards at USC, was outgained 501-396.
— Spartans gave up 197-229 rushing yards in losses to Oregon State/Toledo
— These teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Air Force won three of last four meetings.
— San Jose State covered four of last five meetings.
Saturday’s top 13 games
Texas Tech @ West Virginia
Texas Tech (1-2)
— Tech is 0-2 vs I-A teams: 35-33 (OT) at Wyoming/38-30 at home to Oregon.
— Red Raiders gained 431/456 TY in the two losses.
— Tech won its last game 41-3 over a I-AA team.
— 11 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 142 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 16 games
— since 2014, Tech is 3-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— last two years, Red Raiders are 4-9 ATS coming off a win.
— Tech won last two bowls as an underdog; scored 34-34-42 in last three.
West Virginia (2-1)
— WVU split its two I-A games, scoring 15-17 points.
— WVU gained 308-211 total yards in those games.
— WVU is 24-26 SU/23-26 ATS in 4+ years under Brown.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started two games last year.
— Under Brown, WVU is 5-7 ATS as a home underdog.
— Under Brown, WVU is 15-20 ATS in the Big X.
— since 2016, West Virginia is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in bowl games
— Texas Tech won/covered last four meetings.
— Red Raiders are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Morgantown.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Mississippi State @ South Carolina
Mississippi State (2-1)
— New coach TY after Mike Leach passed away last year.
— Miss State beat Arizona 31-24 (-9)/lost 41-14 to LSU.
— Last three years, Bulldogs were 7-3 ATS as a road dog.
— 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 113 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has started 32 games.
— Bulldogs are 14-21 ATS in last 35 SEC games.
— Miss State gave up 707 passing yards in its two I-A games.
— Bulldogs are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.
South Carolina (1-2)
— South Carolina is 0-2 vs I-A teams, losing 31-17/24-14.
— Gamecocks beat a I-AA team 47-21 for its one win.
— 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line; they added two I-AA transfers, too.
— Junior QB has 30 starts, 13 of them at Oklahoma.
— Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 7-9 ATS in the SEC.
— Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 4-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— SC’s new offensive coordinator has been an OC in the NFL.
— Carolina is 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS in last five bowls.
— South Carolina won seven of last eight series games.
— Bulldogs are 0-3 ATS in last three visits to Columbia.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Florida State @ Clemson
Florida State (3-0)
— Seminoles scored 45-66-31 points in their three wins.
— FSU was outgained 457-340 in 31-29 win at BC last week.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 206 starts back on offensive line; ton of experience.
— senior QB has 26 starts; he threw for 3,214 yards LY.
— since 2017, Seminoles are 4-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Norvell, FSU is 12-13 ATS in the ACC.
— Seminoles went bowling LY for first time since 2019
— Over is 3-0 in their games this season.
Clemson (2-1)
— Tigers lost 28-7 at Duke, beat FAU 48-14 in its I-A games.
— Clemson has been favored in its last 46 home games, until now.
— Last 10+ years, Clemson is 123-19 SU.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 99 starts back on OL, with four returning starters.
— soph QB threw 100 passes LY, but started only once.
— since 2013, Tigers are 2-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— last 5+ years, Clemson is 30-13-1 ATS in ACC games.
— last two years, Clemson is 9-12 ATS coming off a win.
— Clemson lost three of its last four bowls SU.
— Clemson won last seven meetings, covered last five.
— FSU is 2-8 ATS in last ten visits to Clemson.
— Over is 5-1 in last six series games.
North Carolina @ Pittsburgh
North Carolina (3-0)
— in 4+ years under Brown, UNC is 33-22 SU/26-28-1 ATS.
— Tar Heels covered two of three games TY.
— in those games, UNC gained 437-527-519 total yards.
— 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 137 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has 14 starts; he threw 38 TD’s last year.
— last three years, Tar Heels were 1-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— last two years, UNC was 7-10 ATS in the ACC.
— Carolina went bowling last four years, lost last three.
Pittsburgh (1-2)
— Pitt lost 27-21 (-6) to Cincinnati. 17-6 (+2.5) at home to WVU.
— Pitt beat up a I-AA stiff 45-7 for its only win.
— Panthers gained 262-211 total yards in its two I-A games.
— Last 2+ years, Panthers are 21-9 SU/16-13 ATS.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; 3 starters are back.
— senior QB Jurkovec started 24 games at Boston College
— since 2018, Panthers are 6-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 21-30-2 ATS at home.
— Pitt split its last four bowls; 3 of the 4 were decided by 4 or less points.
— North Carolina won seven of last nine meetings.
— Tar Heels lost 30-23/34-27 in last two visits to Pittsburgh.
— Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State
Oklahoma State (2-1)
— OSU got whacked 33-7 LW by South Alabama of Sun Belt.
— Cowboys won their only road game, 27-15 (-2.5) at Arizona State.
— Cowboys were 7-6 LY, their worst season since 2018.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He comes to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— Under Gundy, Cowboys are 20-16 ATS as a road underdog.
— OSU is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 Big X games.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.
Iowa State (1-1)
— LY’s starting QB Dekkers withdrew from school (gambling charges)
— freshman QB is 50-81/549 in first three games.
— Cyclones lost 20-13 to Iowa, 10-7 at Ohio U in I-A tilts.
— Iowa State gained 290-271 yards in those two losses.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line
— under Campbell, ISU is 14-17 ATS as a home favorite.
— last 2 years, Iowa State is 7-11 ATS in conference games.
— Cyclones lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).
— under Campbell, ISU is 23-14-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Oklahoma State won nine of last 11 meetings.
— Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Ames.
— Last four series games stayed under the total.
UCLA @ Utah
UCLA (3-0)
— UCLA won its I-A games 27-13 (-15), 35-10 (-13.5)
— Bruins outrushed Coastal Carolina/San Diego State 407-119
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 126 starts back on offensive line; high expectations.
— freshman QB Moore started last two games.
— Under Kelly, Bruins are 18-13 ATS as underdogs, 10-7 on road.
— Since 2019, UCLA is 20-14 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— UCLA lost its last three bowls, giving up 37-35-37 points.
— Bruins’ last bowl win was 40-35 over K-State in 2014 Alamo Bowl.
Utah (3-0)
— Utes (-5) beat Florida 24-11, Baylor 20-13 (-7.5)
— Utah QB Rising (knee) missed first three games (check status)
— Utes played two QBs so far; one is more of a runner.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; high expectations
— senior QB (Rising) has started 24 games, none this year.
— Last 4+ years, Utes are 37-13 SU.
— since 2017, Utah is 22-9 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2016, Utah is 41-22 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Utah lost last four bowls, after Whittingham started out 11-1 in bowls.
— Utah won five of last six series games.
— Bruins are 2-5 ATS in last seven games at Utah.
— Over is 4-1-1 in last six meetings.
Arizona @ Stanford
Arizona (2-1)
— Arizona lost 31-24 at Miss State/beat UTEP 31-10 and a I-AA team
— Wildcats gained 431-544 TY in their two I-A games.
— last 3+ years, Arizona is 8-24 SU (minus-37 in turnovers)
— 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 27 starts, 15 of them at Washington State.
— Arizona is a road favorite for first time since 2019.
— last 4+ years, Arizona is 2-7 ATS as a favorite.
— Arizona hasn’t played in a bowl game since 2017.
Stanford (1-2)
— Cardinal lost last two games, giving up 573-448 TY
— Stanford’s loss LW was to I-AA Sac State, coach Taylor’s old school.
— Stanford (-2) won its opener, 37-24 at Hawai’i.
— Rainbows passed for 355 yards in that game.
— last two years, Cardinal went 3-9/3-9; TY they’ve got new coach.
— last 27 games, Stanford is -23 in turnovers.
— 3 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 15 starts back on offensive line.
— New coach, soph QB, only 6 of 22 starters back.
— last two years, Stanford is 2-7 ATS as a home underdog.
— Cardinal is 9-24-1 ATS in last 34 conference games.
— Stanford hasn’t gone bowling since 2018.
— Stanford won last six series games (5-1 ATS)
— Arizona is 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Palo Alto.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.
Oregon State @ Washington State
Oregon State (3-0)
— Beavers scored 42-26 points in first two I-A wins.
— OSU won only road game, 42-17 at San Jose State (-14)
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 28 games at Clemson.
— Under Smith, OSU is 2-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— Under Smith, Beavers are 18-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Under Smith, underdogs are 19-7 ATS in OSU road games.
— Beavers are 2-3 SU in last five bowls (were favored in all five).
Washington State (3-0)
— Wazzu won 50-24 at Colorado State, 31-22 over Wisconsin.
— Coogs ran for only 171 yards, threw for 717 in those two games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 13 games LY, threw for 3,231 yards, 23 TD’s.
— Coogs are 6-2 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
— Wazzu is 13-4-1 ATS in last 18 conference games.
— under Dickert, Coogs are 17-12 SU, +16 in turnovers.
— Wazzu went bowling five of last six years (1-4 SU/0-5 ATS)
— Wazzu won eight of last nine meetings.
— Beavers are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to the Paloose.
— Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.
SMU @ TCU
SMU (2-1)
— SMU (-21) beat La Tech 38-14, lost 28-11 (+16) at Oklahoma.
— SMU outgained the Sooners, 267-265.
— last 4+ years, SMU is 34-17 SU/24-26 ATS.
— last three years, Mustangs are 1-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 123 starts back on offensive line.
— LY’s QB bolted to Wisconsin; soph QB has 2 starts.
— new QB Preston is 64-102/798 passing, with 9 TD’s, 2 INT.
— Last 4+ years, SMU is 11-8 ATS outside the AAC
— SMU qualified for a bowl 4 of last 5 years; last bowl win, 2012.
TCU (2-1)
— TCU (-21) lost 45-42 to Colorado, won 36-13 (-7) at Houston.
— Horned Frogs gave up 510 passing yards to Colorado.
— TCU ran ball for 262-250 yards in their two I-A tilts.
— 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started three games.
— in his career, coach Dykes is 25-18 ATS as a home favorite.
— TCU is 5-2 ATS in last seven non-conference games.
— TCU went 13-2 LY, but lost national title game 65-7 to Georgia.
— Four years before LY, Horned Frogs were 22-23 SU.
— TCU qualified for a bowl in four of last six seasons.
— TCU is 18-4 in last 22 series games, 1-2 in last three.
— Mustangs are 6-2-1 ATS in last nine visits to their local rivals.
— Over is 11-3 in last 14 meetings.
— AAC teams are 11-6 ATS in last 17 games vs Big X opponents.
Ole Miss @ Alabama
Ole Miss (3-0)
— Ole Miss won its two I-A games, 37-20 vs Tulane, 48-23 vs Ga Tech.
— Rebels gave up 307 PY in its win over Georgia Tech LW.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 131 starts back on offensive line; good offensive line
— junior QB started 12 games last year.
— they added transfer QB with 41 starts at Oklahoma State
— In his college career, Kiffin is 30-24-1 ATS on road.
— In his college career, Kiffin is 14-8-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Under Kiffin, Rebels are 11-14 ATS in the SEC.
— Ole Miss is 2-3 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.
Alabama (2-1)
— Alabama has played three QB’s already; original starter Milroe starts here.
— Crimson Tide scored 24-17 points in its last two games.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line.
— Crimson Tide gave up 349 PY in the 34-24 loss to Texas.
— Alabama is +1 in turnovers since start of LY (+76 from 2015-21)
— Last 3+ years, Alabama is 14-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Alabama is 7-10-1 ATS in its last 18 SEC games.
— Crimson Tide won six of its last eight bowls.
— Alabama won last seven meetings; Ole Miss is 3-1 ATS in last four.
— Rebels are 6-3 ATS in last nine visits to Tuscaloosa.
— Under is 9-6 in last 15 series games.
Texas @ Baylor
Texas (3-0)
— Texas won its first three games, scoring 37-34-31 points.
— Texas covered only one of the three games.
— Texas is 16-12 last 2+ years, after going 25-12 from 2018-20.
— 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line
— soph QB started 10 games last year.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 9-6 ATS at home, 4-6 on road.
— In his career, Sarkisian is 8-8 ATS as road favorite.
— since 2018, Texas is 6-9 ATS as a road favorite.
— Since 2018, Texas is 19-26 ATS in Big X games.
— Texas is 4-1 in last five bowls; they were underdog is 3 of the 4 wins.
Baylor (1-2)
— Baylor (-27) lost 42-31 to Texas State, lost 20-13 (+7.5) to Utah.
— Bears completed less than half their passes the last two games.
— Baylor QB Shapen has been hurt; check status.
— last 4+ years, Baylor is 32-21 SU (+32 in turnovers)
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 54 starts back on offensive line; 2 of 3 starters will be transfers.
— soph backup QB is making his first start.
— since 2018, Bears are 7-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Aranda, Baylor is 15-13 ATS in Big X games.
— Bears are 3-2 SU in last five bowls; they were underdog in 4 of 5 games.
— Home team won last five meetings.
— Texas lost 31-24/24-10 in last two visits to Waco.
— Overall, Longhorns are 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS in last eight meetings.
— Under is 9-1 in last ten series games.
Auburn @ Texas A&M
Auburn (3-0)
— Tigers beat UMass 59-14/Cal Bears 14-10 in their I-A games.
— Last three years, Auburn was 17-19 SU.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line
— sophomore QB started 9 games last year.
— In his career, Freeze is 25-10 ATS as an underdog.
— In his career, Freeze is 29-22 ATS in road games.
— Auburn is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 4 of 5)
— Freeze is Auburn’s third coach in 4 years.
Texas A&M (2-1)
— Aggies scored 52-33-47 points in its first three games.
— A&M lost 48-33 at Miami, giving up 374 PY
— A&M won its home games over stiffs, 52-10/47-3
— 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 91 starts back on offensive line.
— Soph QB Weigman started 4 games last year.
— under Fisher, Aggies are 24-8 ATS as a favorite.
— in his career, Fisher is 44-33-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— last two years, A&M was 7-9-1 ATS in SEC games.
— A&M won its last three bowls, scoring 52-24-41 points.
— Auburn won four of last six meetings.
— Tigers are 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits to College Station.
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games.
Ohio State @ Notre Dame
Ohio State (3-0)
— Ohio State won its first road game, 23-3 at Indiana (-30)
— Buckeyes allowed 3-10 points in winning its two I-A games.
— Last ten years, Buckeyes are 119-15 SU/69-63-1 ATS.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line; had 3 starters drafted last spring.
— junior QB McCord is 53-76/815 passing, with 6 TD’s, one INT.
— Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in last five games as a road favorite.
— Under Day, Ohio State is 8-10 ATS outside the Big 14
— Ohio State split last six bowls, giving up 52-45-42 points in last three.
Notre Dame (4-0)
— Notre Dame scored 42-45-41 points in its three I-A wins.
— LY’s offensive coordinator bolted to Alabama; new OC was TE coach.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 69 starts back on offensive line- new OL coach was at Wisconsin for 7 years.
— Senior QB Hartman started 45 games at Wake Forest.
— Irish are 4-1 ATS last five games as an underdog
— Since start of ’22, ND is even in turnovers (+32 from 2019-21)
— Irish lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).
— Ohio State beat Notre Dame 21-10 (-16.5) LY, outgaining them 395-253.
— Before that previous series game was in 2015.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 4
Friday’s games
Wisconsin @ Purdue
Wisconsin (2-1)
— Badgers lost their only road game, 31-22 (-5.5) @ Wazzu.
— Wisconsin scored 35-38 points in its wins, both by 21 points.
— 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 97 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 24 games at SMU.
— last 10+ years, Badgers are 23-13 ATS as a road favorite.
— last three years, Badgers awere 10-14 ATS in the Big 14.
— Wisconsin’s 7-6 record LY was their worst since 2008.
— Wisconsin won/covered its last three bowls.
Purdue (1-2)
— Purdue is 0-2 at home; 39-35 to Fresno State, 35-20 to Virginia Tech.
— Boilers gave up 487-455 total yards in the two losses.
— Purdue’s one win: 24-17 at 0-3 Virginia.
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started five games at Texas.
— Purdue is 5-13 ATS in its last 17 home games.
— Boilers are 10-15 ATS in last 25 conference games.
— Purdue are -2 in turnovers; they hasn’t finished year with +TO ratio since 2017.
— Wisconsin won last 16 series games.
— Badgers won/covered their last eight visits to Purdue.
— Last four series games went over the total.
NC State @ Virginia
NC State (2-1)
— senior QB Armstrong started 30 games at Virginia.
— Wolfpack is 2-1 SU/0-2 ATS so far this season.
— State outgained the Huskies 364-320.
— State won only road game, 24-14 (-14) @ UConn.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— since 2019, State is 2-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last five years, Wolfpack is 18-23-1 ATS in ACC games.
— State’s only loss: 45-24 (+7.5) at home to Notre Dame.
Virginia (0-3)
— Virginia lost its first three games, giving up 49-36-42 points.
— Cavaliers have been outgained by 132 yards/game.
— All three of their games went over the total.
— 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 17 starts back on offensive line.
— true frosh QB is 45-72/652 passing, with 3 TD’s, 4 INT’s
— previous QB started 30 games, transferred to NC State.
— since 2018, Virginia is 6-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— since 2020, Cavaliers are 15-9 ATS in the ACC.
— Virginia has a minus-4 turnover ratio.
— NC State won four of last five series games.
— Wolfpack covered four of last five visits to Charlottesville.
— Over is 3-2 in last five series games.
Boise State @ San Diego State
Boise State (1-2)
— Boise State is 0-2 vs I-A teams, scoring 19-16 points.
— Boise gave up 568-530 TY in those two games.
— Broncos’ only win was 42-18 over a I-AA team.
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 80 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started 10 games.
— Last four years, Boise is 6-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Since 2018, Broncos are 28-14-1 ATS in conference games.
— Last 6+ years, Boise is +29 in turnovers (-2 TY).
San Diego State (2-2)
— Aztecs lost last two games, scoring 10-9 points vs Pac-12 teams.
— Aztecs’ only I-A win: 20-13 (-2.5) over Ohio U.
— Ohio U outgained the Aztecs, 380-309.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 53 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 8 career starts.
— since 2013, Aztecs are 10-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last three years, San Diego State was 10-11-1 ATS in conference games.
— San Diego State is 2-3 SU in last five bowls (favored in 4 of 5)
— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Boise was 0-3 in those games when they scored less than 31 points.
— Broncos covered once in their last four visits to San Diego.
— Under is 3-1 in last four series games.
Air Force @ San Jose State
Air Force (3-0)
— Air Force’s I-A wins: 13-3 (-13) at Sam Houston/39-21 (-9) over Utah State.
— last 4+ years, Air Force is 37-11 SU, 3-0 in bowls.
— 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has thrown 10 passes, run ball 43 times so far.
— Air Force has been favored in 36 of its last 47 games.
— Last 2+ years, Air Force is 5-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— since 2019, Flyboys are 18-11 ATS in Mountain West games.
— Air Force won its last four bowl games, scoring 34.3 ppg.
San Jose State (1-3)
— Spartans are 0-3 vs I-A teams, losing by 28-25-4 points.
— San Jose scored 28-17-17 points in the three losses.
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has started 35 games, 23 at Hawai’i.
— under Brennan, Spartans are 9-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Brennan, San Jose is 26-20-1 ATS in conference tilts.
— San Jose ran for 198 yards at USC, was outgained 501-396.
— Spartans gave up 197-229 rushing yards in losses to Oregon State/Toledo
— These teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Air Force won three of last four meetings.
— San Jose State covered four of last five meetings.
Saturday’s top 13 games
Texas Tech @ West Virginia
Texas Tech (1-2)
— Tech is 0-2 vs I-A teams: 35-33 (OT) at Wyoming/38-30 at home to Oregon.
— Red Raiders gained 431/456 TY in the two losses.
— Tech won its last game 41-3 over a I-AA team.
— 11 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 142 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 16 games
— since 2014, Tech is 3-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— last two years, Red Raiders are 4-9 ATS coming off a win.
— Tech won last two bowls as an underdog; scored 34-34-42 in last three.
West Virginia (2-1)
— WVU split its two I-A games, scoring 15-17 points.
— WVU gained 308-211 total yards in those games.
— WVU is 24-26 SU/23-26 ATS in 4+ years under Brown.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started two games last year.
— Under Brown, WVU is 5-7 ATS as a home underdog.
— Under Brown, WVU is 15-20 ATS in the Big X.
— since 2016, West Virginia is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in bowl games
— Texas Tech won/covered last four meetings.
— Red Raiders are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Morgantown.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Mississippi State @ South Carolina
Mississippi State (2-1)
— New coach TY after Mike Leach passed away last year.
— Miss State beat Arizona 31-24 (-9)/lost 41-14 to LSU.
— Last three years, Bulldogs were 7-3 ATS as a road dog.
— 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 113 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has started 32 games.
— Bulldogs are 14-21 ATS in last 35 SEC games.
— Miss State gave up 707 passing yards in its two I-A games.
— Bulldogs are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.
South Carolina (1-2)
— South Carolina is 0-2 vs I-A teams, losing 31-17/24-14.
— Gamecocks beat a I-AA team 47-21 for its one win.
— 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line; they added two I-AA transfers, too.
— Junior QB has 30 starts, 13 of them at Oklahoma.
— Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 7-9 ATS in the SEC.
— Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 4-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— SC’s new offensive coordinator has been an OC in the NFL.
— Carolina is 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS in last five bowls.
— South Carolina won seven of last eight series games.
— Bulldogs are 0-3 ATS in last three visits to Columbia.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Florida State @ Clemson
Florida State (3-0)
— Seminoles scored 45-66-31 points in their three wins.
— FSU was outgained 457-340 in 31-29 win at BC last week.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 206 starts back on offensive line; ton of experience.
— senior QB has 26 starts; he threw for 3,214 yards LY.
— since 2017, Seminoles are 4-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Norvell, FSU is 12-13 ATS in the ACC.
— Seminoles went bowling LY for first time since 2019
— Over is 3-0 in their games this season.
Clemson (2-1)
— Tigers lost 28-7 at Duke, beat FAU 48-14 in its I-A games.
— Clemson has been favored in its last 46 home games, until now.
— Last 10+ years, Clemson is 123-19 SU.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 99 starts back on OL, with four returning starters.
— soph QB threw 100 passes LY, but started only once.
— since 2013, Tigers are 2-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— last 5+ years, Clemson is 30-13-1 ATS in ACC games.
— last two years, Clemson is 9-12 ATS coming off a win.
— Clemson lost three of its last four bowls SU.
— Clemson won last seven meetings, covered last five.
— FSU is 2-8 ATS in last ten visits to Clemson.
— Over is 5-1 in last six series games.
North Carolina @ Pittsburgh
North Carolina (3-0)
— in 4+ years under Brown, UNC is 33-22 SU/26-28-1 ATS.
— Tar Heels covered two of three games TY.
— in those games, UNC gained 437-527-519 total yards.
— 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 137 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has 14 starts; he threw 38 TD’s last year.
— last three years, Tar Heels were 1-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— last two years, UNC was 7-10 ATS in the ACC.
— Carolina went bowling last four years, lost last three.
Pittsburgh (1-2)
— Pitt lost 27-21 (-6) to Cincinnati. 17-6 (+2.5) at home to WVU.
— Pitt beat up a I-AA stiff 45-7 for its only win.
— Panthers gained 262-211 total yards in its two I-A games.
— Last 2+ years, Panthers are 21-9 SU/16-13 ATS.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; 3 starters are back.
— senior QB Jurkovec started 24 games at Boston College
— since 2018, Panthers are 6-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 21-30-2 ATS at home.
— Pitt split its last four bowls; 3 of the 4 were decided by 4 or less points.
— North Carolina won seven of last nine meetings.
— Tar Heels lost 30-23/34-27 in last two visits to Pittsburgh.
— Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State
Oklahoma State (2-1)
— OSU got whacked 33-7 LW by South Alabama of Sun Belt.
— Cowboys won their only road game, 27-15 (-2.5) at Arizona State.
— Cowboys were 7-6 LY, their worst season since 2018.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He comes to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— Under Gundy, Cowboys are 20-16 ATS as a road underdog.
— OSU is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 Big X games.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.
Iowa State (1-1)
— LY’s starting QB Dekkers withdrew from school (gambling charges)
— freshman QB is 50-81/549 in first three games.
— Cyclones lost 20-13 to Iowa, 10-7 at Ohio U in I-A tilts.
— Iowa State gained 290-271 yards in those two losses.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line
— under Campbell, ISU is 14-17 ATS as a home favorite.
— last 2 years, Iowa State is 7-11 ATS in conference games.
— Cyclones lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).
— under Campbell, ISU is 23-14-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Oklahoma State won nine of last 11 meetings.
— Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Ames.
— Last four series games stayed under the total.
UCLA @ Utah
UCLA (3-0)
— UCLA won its I-A games 27-13 (-15), 35-10 (-13.5)
— Bruins outrushed Coastal Carolina/San Diego State 407-119
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 126 starts back on offensive line; high expectations.
— freshman QB Moore started last two games.
— Under Kelly, Bruins are 18-13 ATS as underdogs, 10-7 on road.
— Since 2019, UCLA is 20-14 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— UCLA lost its last three bowls, giving up 37-35-37 points.
— Bruins’ last bowl win was 40-35 over K-State in 2014 Alamo Bowl.
Utah (3-0)
— Utes (-5) beat Florida 24-11, Baylor 20-13 (-7.5)
— Utah QB Rising (knee) missed first three games (check status)
— Utes played two QBs so far; one is more of a runner.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; high expectations
— senior QB (Rising) has started 24 games, none this year.
— Last 4+ years, Utes are 37-13 SU.
— since 2017, Utah is 22-9 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2016, Utah is 41-22 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Utah lost last four bowls, after Whittingham started out 11-1 in bowls.
— Utah won five of last six series games.
— Bruins are 2-5 ATS in last seven games at Utah.
— Over is 4-1-1 in last six meetings.
Arizona @ Stanford
Arizona (2-1)
— Arizona lost 31-24 at Miss State/beat UTEP 31-10 and a I-AA team
— Wildcats gained 431-544 TY in their two I-A games.
— last 3+ years, Arizona is 8-24 SU (minus-37 in turnovers)
— 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 27 starts, 15 of them at Washington State.
— Arizona is a road favorite for first time since 2019.
— last 4+ years, Arizona is 2-7 ATS as a favorite.
— Arizona hasn’t played in a bowl game since 2017.
Stanford (1-2)
— Cardinal lost last two games, giving up 573-448 TY
— Stanford’s loss LW was to I-AA Sac State, coach Taylor’s old school.
— Stanford (-2) won its opener, 37-24 at Hawai’i.
— Rainbows passed for 355 yards in that game.
— last two years, Cardinal went 3-9/3-9; TY they’ve got new coach.
— last 27 games, Stanford is -23 in turnovers.
— 3 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 15 starts back on offensive line.
— New coach, soph QB, only 6 of 22 starters back.
— last two years, Stanford is 2-7 ATS as a home underdog.
— Cardinal is 9-24-1 ATS in last 34 conference games.
— Stanford hasn’t gone bowling since 2018.
— Stanford won last six series games (5-1 ATS)
— Arizona is 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Palo Alto.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.
Oregon State @ Washington State
Oregon State (3-0)
— Beavers scored 42-26 points in first two I-A wins.
— OSU won only road game, 42-17 at San Jose State (-14)
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 28 games at Clemson.
— Under Smith, OSU is 2-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— Under Smith, Beavers are 18-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Under Smith, underdogs are 19-7 ATS in OSU road games.
— Beavers are 2-3 SU in last five bowls (were favored in all five).
Washington State (3-0)
— Wazzu won 50-24 at Colorado State, 31-22 over Wisconsin.
— Coogs ran for only 171 yards, threw for 717 in those two games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 13 games LY, threw for 3,231 yards, 23 TD’s.
— Coogs are 6-2 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
— Wazzu is 13-4-1 ATS in last 18 conference games.
— under Dickert, Coogs are 17-12 SU, +16 in turnovers.
— Wazzu went bowling five of last six years (1-4 SU/0-5 ATS)
— Wazzu won eight of last nine meetings.
— Beavers are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to the Paloose.
— Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.
SMU @ TCU
SMU (2-1)
— SMU (-21) beat La Tech 38-14, lost 28-11 (+16) at Oklahoma.
— SMU outgained the Sooners, 267-265.
— last 4+ years, SMU is 34-17 SU/24-26 ATS.
— last three years, Mustangs are 1-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 123 starts back on offensive line.
— LY’s QB bolted to Wisconsin; soph QB has 2 starts.
— new QB Preston is 64-102/798 passing, with 9 TD’s, 2 INT.
— Last 4+ years, SMU is 11-8 ATS outside the AAC
— SMU qualified for a bowl 4 of last 5 years; last bowl win, 2012.
TCU (2-1)
— TCU (-21) lost 45-42 to Colorado, won 36-13 (-7) at Houston.
— Horned Frogs gave up 510 passing yards to Colorado.
— TCU ran ball for 262-250 yards in their two I-A tilts.
— 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started three games.
— in his career, coach Dykes is 25-18 ATS as a home favorite.
— TCU is 5-2 ATS in last seven non-conference games.
— TCU went 13-2 LY, but lost national title game 65-7 to Georgia.
— Four years before LY, Horned Frogs were 22-23 SU.
— TCU qualified for a bowl in four of last six seasons.
— TCU is 18-4 in last 22 series games, 1-2 in last three.
— Mustangs are 6-2-1 ATS in last nine visits to their local rivals.
— Over is 11-3 in last 14 meetings.
— AAC teams are 11-6 ATS in last 17 games vs Big X opponents.
Ole Miss @ Alabama
Ole Miss (3-0)
— Ole Miss won its two I-A games, 37-20 vs Tulane, 48-23 vs Ga Tech.
— Rebels gave up 307 PY in its win over Georgia Tech LW.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 131 starts back on offensive line; good offensive line
— junior QB started 12 games last year.
— they added transfer QB with 41 starts at Oklahoma State
— In his college career, Kiffin is 30-24-1 ATS on road.
— In his college career, Kiffin is 14-8-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Under Kiffin, Rebels are 11-14 ATS in the SEC.
— Ole Miss is 2-3 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.
Alabama (2-1)
— Alabama has played three QB’s already; original starter Milroe starts here.
— Crimson Tide scored 24-17 points in its last two games.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line.
— Crimson Tide gave up 349 PY in the 34-24 loss to Texas.
— Alabama is +1 in turnovers since start of LY (+76 from 2015-21)
— Last 3+ years, Alabama is 14-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Alabama is 7-10-1 ATS in its last 18 SEC games.
— Crimson Tide won six of its last eight bowls.
— Alabama won last seven meetings; Ole Miss is 3-1 ATS in last four.
— Rebels are 6-3 ATS in last nine visits to Tuscaloosa.
— Under is 9-6 in last 15 series games.
Texas @ Baylor
Texas (3-0)
— Texas won its first three games, scoring 37-34-31 points.
— Texas covered only one of the three games.
— Texas is 16-12 last 2+ years, after going 25-12 from 2018-20.
— 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line
— soph QB started 10 games last year.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 9-6 ATS at home, 4-6 on road.
— In his career, Sarkisian is 8-8 ATS as road favorite.
— since 2018, Texas is 6-9 ATS as a road favorite.
— Since 2018, Texas is 19-26 ATS in Big X games.
— Texas is 4-1 in last five bowls; they were underdog is 3 of the 4 wins.
Baylor (1-2)
— Baylor (-27) lost 42-31 to Texas State, lost 20-13 (+7.5) to Utah.
— Bears completed less than half their passes the last two games.
— Baylor QB Shapen has been hurt; check status.
— last 4+ years, Baylor is 32-21 SU (+32 in turnovers)
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 54 starts back on offensive line; 2 of 3 starters will be transfers.
— soph backup QB is making his first start.
— since 2018, Bears are 7-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Aranda, Baylor is 15-13 ATS in Big X games.
— Bears are 3-2 SU in last five bowls; they were underdog in 4 of 5 games.
— Home team won last five meetings.
— Texas lost 31-24/24-10 in last two visits to Waco.
— Overall, Longhorns are 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS in last eight meetings.
— Under is 9-1 in last ten series games.
Auburn @ Texas A&M
Auburn (3-0)
— Tigers beat UMass 59-14/Cal Bears 14-10 in their I-A games.
— Last three years, Auburn was 17-19 SU.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line
— sophomore QB started 9 games last year.
— In his career, Freeze is 25-10 ATS as an underdog.
— In his career, Freeze is 29-22 ATS in road games.
— Auburn is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 4 of 5)
— Freeze is Auburn’s third coach in 4 years.
Texas A&M (2-1)
— Aggies scored 52-33-47 points in its first three games.
— A&M lost 48-33 at Miami, giving up 374 PY
— A&M won its home games over stiffs, 52-10/47-3
— 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 91 starts back on offensive line.
— Soph QB Weigman started 4 games last year.
— under Fisher, Aggies are 24-8 ATS as a favorite.
— in his career, Fisher is 44-33-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— last two years, A&M was 7-9-1 ATS in SEC games.
— A&M won its last three bowls, scoring 52-24-41 points.
— Auburn won four of last six meetings.
— Tigers are 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits to College Station.
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games.
Ohio State @ Notre Dame
Ohio State (3-0)
— Ohio State won its first road game, 23-3 at Indiana (-30)
— Buckeyes allowed 3-10 points in winning its two I-A games.
— Last ten years, Buckeyes are 119-15 SU/69-63-1 ATS.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line; had 3 starters drafted last spring.
— junior QB McCord is 53-76/815 passing, with 6 TD’s, one INT.
— Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in last five games as a road favorite.
— Under Day, Ohio State is 8-10 ATS outside the Big 14
— Ohio State split last six bowls, giving up 52-45-42 points in last three.
Notre Dame (4-0)
— Notre Dame scored 42-45-41 points in its three I-A wins.
— LY’s offensive coordinator bolted to Alabama; new OC was TE coach.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 69 starts back on offensive line- new OL coach was at Wisconsin for 7 years.
— Senior QB Hartman started 45 games at Wake Forest.
— Irish are 4-1 ATS last five games as an underdog
— Since start of ’22, ND is even in turnovers (+32 from 2019-21)
— Irish lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).
— Ohio State beat Notre Dame 21-10 (-16.5) LY, outgaining them 395-253.
— Before that previous series game was in 2015.
FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 22
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS at PUR | 07:00 PM | WIS -6.0 O 54.5 | +500 +500 |
| NCST at UVA | 07:30 PM | UVA +9.0 O 48.0 | +500 +500 |
| AFA at SJSU | 10:30 PM | AFA -6.0 O 46.0 | +500 +500 |
| BSU at SDSU | 10:30 PM | SDSU +6.5 U 47.0 | +500 +500 |
Pending Picks
| Date | League | Game | Score | Status | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2023 | NCAAF | Boise State San Diego State | - - | 10:30 PM | SDSU +6.5 |
Completed Picks
| Date | League | Game | Score | Pick | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2023 | MLB | San Francisco Arizona | 1 7 | ARI +101 | Win |
| Sep 19, 2023 | WNBA | Atlanta Dallas | 74 101 | Over 170.5 | Win |
| Sep 15, 2023 | NCAAF | Army Texas-San Antonio | 37 29 | Over 42.0 | Win |
