NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 12
Friday’s games
South Florida @ Texas-San Antonio
South Florida (5-5, 3-3)
— USF gave up 41+ points in four of its five losses.
— Bulls are 7-3 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog.
— new HC Golesh was OC at Tennessee last two years.
— USF gave up 587+ TY in three of its last five games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 40 starts back on offensive line.
— freshman QB has completed 63.9% of passes (18 TD’s, 8 INT)
— Four of USF’s five losses were by 14+ points.
— Bulls are 12-10 ATS in last 22 conference games (3-3 TY).
— over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— USF hasn’t been to a bowl since 2018.
Texas-San Antonio (7-3, 6-0)
— UTSA won its last six games, after a 1-3 start.
— Roadrunners scored 34+ points in last six games (19.3 ppg/first four)
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has started 42 games.
— under Traylor, UTSA is 9-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Traylor, UTSA is 19-12-1 ATS in conference games.
— UTSA is minus-1 in turnovers (+22 from 2020-22)
— under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Roadrunners went 0-3 in bowls the last three years.
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— AAC home favorites are 7-16 ATS.
Colorado @ Washington State
Colorado (4-6, 1-6)
— Colorado lost six of last seven games, after 3-0 start.
— Buffs gave up 42-48-46-28-26-34 points in their losses.
— Colorado scored 34.4 ppg first seven games, 20.3 ppg in last three.
— Buffs lost last four games, despite being +6 in turnovers.
— Buffs were held under 300 TY in four of last seven games.
— Colorado is 5-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Buffs are 2-10 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Deion Sanders is the new coach (27-6 at I-AA Jackson State)
— 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 44 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB Sanders started 26 games at Jackson State
— Buffs are 6-10-1 ATS in last 17 Pac-12 games.
— under is 3-2 in Colorado’s last five games.
— Colorado changed play callers two weeks ago; it hasn’t helped.
— Colorado hasn’t gone bowling since 2020; their last bowl win, 2004.
Washington State (4-6, 1-6)
— Wazzu lost last six games, after a 4-0 start.
— Coogs lost their last two games, 10-7/42-39.
— Coogs scored 50-31-38 points in their I-A wins.
— under Dickert, Wazzu is 4-3 ATS as a home favorite (0-2 TY).
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 13 games LY; he’s thrown 20 TD’s, 5 INTs TY.
— Wazzu is 14-10-1 ATS in last 25 conference games (2-5 TY).
— Last six games, Coogs are minus-7 in turnovers.
— Wazzu went bowling five of last six years (1-4 SU/0-5 ATS)
— Teams haven’t met since 2019.
— Wazzu won last three series games, by a combined 100-17
— Favorites covered last five meetings.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
— Pac-12 home favorites are 11-13 ATS.
Saturday’s top 13 games
Louisville @ Miami
Louisville (9-1, 6-1)
— Cardinals won last three games by a combined 88-27.
— Louisville has four wins by 7 or fewer points.
— Louisville’s only loss (38-21 (-7.5) at Pitt)
— Cardinals are 1-1 SU/0-2 ATS in true road games TY.
— Louisville is 1-6 ATS in its last seven road games.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 150 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 12 games at Cal last year.
— In his career, Brohm is 25-22-1 ATS on the road.
— under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Cardinals went bowling five of last seven years (2-3).
Miami FL (6-3, 2-3)
— Miami lost four of last six games, after a 4-0 start.
— ‘canes are 6-1 when they score 28+, 0-3 if they don’t.
— Last 2+ years, Miami is 18-16 SU, 13-20 ATS.
— Last three games, Miami averaged 301 TY/game.
— 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 18 career starts.
— under Cristobal, Miami is 4-8 ATS at home.
— In his career, Cristobal is 27-37-2 ATS at home.
— under Cristobal, Hurricanes are 3-11 ATS in ACC games.
— over is 3-2 in their last five games.
— Miami hasn’t been to a bowl since 2020; last bowl win? 2016.
— These teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Miami won last two meetings, 47-34/52-27
— Louisville lost last two visits here, 52-27/41-38.
— ACC home teams are 25-21 ATS
SMU @ Memphis
SMU (8-2, 6-0)
— SMU won its last six games (4-2 ATS), scoring 45 ppg.
— Mustangs scored 38-34-31-69-36-45 points in its I-A wins.
— SMU’s losses are to Big X teams: 28-11 at Oklahoma, 34-17 at TCU.
— Mustangs are 6-0 in AAC, winning by 24-18-21-59-5-24 points.
— last 4+ years, SMU is 39-18 SU/28-28 ATS.
— under Lashlee, Mustangs are 5-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 123 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB Stone has competed 58.6% of passes, with 23 TD’s, 6 INT.
— since 2017, Mustangs are 23-29 ATS in AAC (3-3 TY)
— Three of SMU’s last four games went over total.
— SMU qualified for a bowl 4 of last 5 years; last bowl win, 2012.
Memphis (8-2, 5-1)
— Tigers won last four games, scoring 47.3 ppg.
— Tigers scored 28+ points in wins (scored 27-21 in losses)
— Two Memphis losses this year were by 7-10 points.
— Memphis allowed 31+ points in six of last seven games.
— Last eight games, Memphis allowed 480.3 yards/game.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line- 3 starters are back.
— junior QB has 24 career starts
— Memphis is 8-4 ATS last 12 games as home underdogs.
— Tigers are 10-20 ATS in last 30 AAC games.
— Seven of their last eight games went over the total.
— Tigers have been bowl eligible nine years in row (’21 bowl cancelled)
— Home side won last four series games.
— SMU is 0-4 SU/ATS in last four visits to Memphis.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
— AAC home underdogs are 10-9 ATS.
Utah @ Arizona
Utah (7-3, 4-3)
— Utah split its last six games, after a 4-0 start.
— Utes are 2-2 SU on road, beating Baylor (20-13)/USC (34-32)
— Utah allowed 32+ points in three of last four games.
— Utah is 6-10 ATS in its last 16 road games (2-2 TY).
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; high expectations
— soph QB Barnes is completing 58.5% of passes (10 TD/7 INT)
— last 4+ years, Utes are 41-16 SU.
— Since 2016, Utah is 46-24 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Four of their last five games went over.
— Utah lost last four bowls, after Whittingham started out 11-1 in bowls.
Arizona (7-3, 5-2)
— Arizona won its last four games, scoring 33 ppg.
— Five of their last seven games were decided by 7 or less points.
— Wildcats are 6-0 when they give up less than 31 points.
— last 3+ years, Arizona is minus-36 in turnovers (minus-4 TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— frosh QB has completed 73.7% of passes (16 TD’s, 4 INTs)
— under Fisch, Arizona is 10-8 ATS at home (4-0 TY)
— under Fisch, Arizona is 14-11 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— under is 7-2 in last nine Arizona games.
— Arizona hasn’t played in a bowl game since 2017.
— From 2018-22, Wildcats were 15-38 SU.
— Utah won last six series games (5-1 ATS)
— Utes won last three visits to Tucson, scoring 38-35-30 points.
— Four of last five meetings stayed under the total.
— Pac-12 home teams are 23-17 ATS.
Georgia @ Tennessee
Georgia (10-0, 7-0)
— Georgia won first 7 SEC games by 10-7-38-17-23-9-35 points (3-4 ATS)
— Georgia is 3-5-1 against spread this season.
— Dawgs allowed 20+ points in five of last seven games.
— In Dawgs’ only one possession game, Auburn ran ball for 219 yards.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— Last seven games, Georgia threw for 326.1 yards/game.
— New QB for Georgia; he is completing 72.2%, with 18 TD’s, 5 INTs.
— Last 2+ years, Georgia is 15-12 ATS in SEC games (3-4 TY).
— six of Georgia’s last seven games went over the total.
— Dawgs won their last six bowl games (4-2 ATS)
Tennessee (7-3, 3-3)
— Tennessee is 4-0 at home vs I-A teams, scoring 41.3 ppg.
— Vols split their last four games, after a 5-1 start.
— Vols are 6-0 when they score 30+ points, 1-3 if they don’t.
— Vols ran for 232+ yards in all of its I-A wins.
— Vols ran ball for 100-133-83 yards in their losses.
— Tennessee scored 16-20-7 points in its losses.
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 93 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB has nine starts.
— Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in last seven games as a home underdog.
— Tennessee is 9-6 ATS in last 15 SEC games.
— three of their last four games went over the total.
— Vols are 4-1 SU/ATS in their last five bowls.
— Georgia won last six series games (5-1 ATS)
— Dawgs won/covered last three visits to Knoxville.
— Over is 8-3 in last eleven meetings.
— SEC home underdogs are 5-13 ATS
North Carolina @ Clemson
North Carolina (8-2, 4-2)
— UNC scored 31+ points in nine of ten games.
— Last three I-A games, UNC threw for 347-310-342 yards.
— Carolina gave up 31-46 points in its two losses.
— Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS last seven games as a road dog.
— Last seven games, UNC is +12 in turnovers.
— in 4+ years under Brown, UNC is 19-22 ATS in ACC games.
— 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 137 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has 14 starts; he threw 38 TD’s last year.
— over is 3-1-1 in their last five games
— Carolina went bowling last four years, lost last three.
Clemson (6-4, 3-4)
— Tigers are 6-0 giving up 23 or less points, 0-4 if they allow 24+
— Clemson is 7-6 SU in last 13 games overall.
— Last two games, Tigers are +4 in turnovers.
— Clemson is 1-3 if they allow 300+ total yards.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 99 starts back on OL, with four returning starters.
— soph QB threw 100 passes LY, but started only once.
— Tigers are 12-9 ATS last 21 games as a home favorite.
— Clemson is 33-16-1 ATS in last 50 ACC games (3-4 TY).
— Tigers are 10-17-1 ATS last 28 games coming off a win.
— Three of Clemson’s last four games went over the total.
— Clemson lost three of its last four bowls SU.
— This is first regular season meeting since 2019.
— Clemson won five in row, 8 of last 9 series games.
— Tigers whacked UNC 39-10 in LY’s ACC title game.
— Tar Heels lost last three visits to Clemson, by 15-21-45 points.
— Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.
— ACC home favorites are 12-15 ATS
Illinois @ Iowa
Illinois (5-5, 3-4)
— Illini won its last two games, 27-26/48-45.
— Illinois is 4-0 when it scores 27+ points, 1-5 when it doesn’t.
— Illini is 2-8 against spread this season.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— new QB started one game at Ole Miss.
— under Bielema, Illinois is 8-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— in his career, Bielema is 23-16-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Bielema, Illinois is 15-11 ATS in conference games.
— their last three games went over the total.
— Last year was Illinois’ first winning season since 2011.
— Illinois is 3-2 in last five bowls; they were underdog in 4 of the 5 games.
Iowa (8-2, 5-2)
— Of all the 8-2 teams in world history, Iowa has the worst offense.
— Iowa has gained 300+ yards in two games this year.
— Hawkeyes gained 291 or less TY in eight of ten games.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 114 starts back on offensive line
— Iowa QB McNamara tore his ACL, is out for year.
— soph backup QB is completing 46.5% of passes (4 TD, 5 INTs)
— Iowa is 9-8-1 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.
— Hawkeyes are 29-16-1 ATS in last 46 games coming off a win.
— Iowa is 19-14-1 ATS in last 34 conference games.
— under is 8-2 in their games this season
— Iowa won four of its last five bowl games (5-0 ATS)
— Iowa won eight of last nine series games.
— Illini covered three of last four visits to Iowa.
— over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
— Big 14 home favorites are 12-14 ATS
UCLA @ USC
UCLA (6-4, 3-4)
— UCLA lost last two games, scoring 10-7 points.
— UCLA is 6-0 scoring 25+ points, 0-4 if they score less.
— Bruins held 7 of last 9 opponents under 300 TY.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 126 starts back on offensive line; high expectations.
— UCLA has been juggling three QB’s; not ideal.
— under Kelly, Bruins are 10-9 ATS as road underdogs (0-2 TY).
— Since 2019, UCLA is 22-19 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— UCLA is 8-5 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
— under is 8-1 in their I-A games this season.
— UCLA lost its last three bowls, giving up 37-35-37 points.
— Bruins’ last bowl win was 40-35 over K-State in 2014 Alamo Bowl.
USC (7-4, 5-3)
— USC lost four of last five games, giving up 43 ppg in last seven.
— Trojans scored 32+ points in nine of their 11 games.
— USC is 0-4 ATS TY in games with spread of 10 or less points.
— under Riley, Trojans are 7-6 ATS at home (2-4 TY).
— Last four games, USC allowed 553.3 yards/game.
— They’ve already fired the defensive coordinator
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 95 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has started 21 games, was favored to win Heisman Trophy.
— USC is 1-7 against spread in its last eight games.
— in his career, Riley is 25-18 ATS as a home favorite (2-3 TY).
— over is 7-1 in their last eight games.
— USC is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 3 of 5 games)
— USC won six of last eight series games.
— Last four years: 48-45/33-62/43-48/52-35; lot of points.
— Last five meetings went over the total.
— Pac-12 home favorites are 11-13 ATS
UNLV @ Air Force
UNLV (8-2, 5-1)
— UNLV won seven of its last eight games, scoring 39.1 ppg.
— Rebels’ losses: 7-35 (+37) at Michigan/24-31 (+10) @ Fresno.
— UNLV has gained 397+ yards in every game but Michigan game.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line, but there isn’t much depth.
— frosh QB has completed 65.5% of passes (11 TD’s, 4 INT)
— In his career, coach Odom is 6-7 ATS as a road dog (3-0 TY).
— Rebels are 10-3 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog (3-0 TY).
— UNLV is 13-9 ATS in its last 21 Mountain West games.
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
— Rebels haven’t been to a bowl game since 2013.
— UNLV’s last bowl win was in 2000.
Air Force (8-2, 5-1)
— Air Force lost last two games, scoring 3-13 points.
— Six of Air Force’s seven I-A wins are by 10+ points.
— first five I-A games, AF gained 400.8 yards/game
— last four games, Falcons gained 288.8 yards/game.
— 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has thrown 62 passes, run ball 133 times.
— Air Force is 14-10 ATS last 24 games as a home favorite.
— since 2019, Flyboys are 21-14 ATS in Mountain West games.
— their last four games stayed under the total.
— Air Force won its last four bowl games, scoring 34.3 ppg.
— Air Force won five in row, 10 of last 12 series games.
— Rebels are 2-6 ATS in last eight visits to Air Force.
— over is 6-1-1 in last eight meetings.
— Mountain West home favorites are 11-10 ATS
Oklahoma State @ Houston
Oklahoma State (7-3, 5-2)
— Okla State had won five in row, before LW’s 45-3 loss at UCF.
— OSU allowed 33-34-45 points in its three losses.
— Okla State is 5-2 in Big X games (average total, 60.1).
— Cowboys are minus-5 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He comes to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— Cowboys are 8-4 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
— In his career, Gundy is 31-21-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— OSU is 18-8 ATS in its last 26 Big X games.
— Over is 3-2 in their five games.
— Cowboys were 7-6 LY, their worst season since 2018.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.
Houston (4-6, 2-5)
— Cougars lost three of their last four games.
— Houston is 3-1 in games decided by 3 or less points.
— Houston is 3-1 giving up 24 or less points, 1-5 giving up 31+.
— last four games, Cougars have minus-5 turnover ratio.
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 140 starts back on offensive line- should be improved.
— junior QB Smith started 8 games at Texas Tech
— in his career, Holgorsen is 31-44-1 ATS in home games.
— Houston is 3-1 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— their last four games stayed under the total.
— Cougars are 3-2 SU/2-2-1 ATS in last five bowl games.
— These teams haven’t met since 2009.
— Big X home underdogs are 13-5 ATS.
Central Florida @ Texas Tech
UCF (5-5, 2-5)
— UCF won its last two games, after an 0-5 skid.
— UCF is giving up 33.1 ppg in Big X play.
— LW was first time in 7 games Knights allowed less than 442 yards
— Big X opponents have run ball for 229.7 yards/game.
— UCF allowed 31+ points in I-A losses, 6-16-26-3 in wins.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 126 starts back on offensive line- good depth
— senior QB Plumlee has 22 starts between UCF/Ole Miss.
— under Malzahn, Knights are 9-12 ATS coming off a win.
— under Malzahn, Knights are 2-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— in his career, Malzahn is 10-15 ATS as a road underdog.
— under is 3-1 in UCF’s last four games.
— Central Florida is 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.
Texas Tech (5-5, 4-3)
— Tech won four of last six games, after a 1-3 start.
— Red Raiders scored 49-39-35-16 points in their I-A wins.
— Tech is 1-5 if they score less than 35 points.
— Last five games, Red Raiders are minus-7 in turnovers.
— 11 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 142 starts back on offensive line.
— freshman QB is completing 63.9% of passes (10 TD’s, 3 INTs)
— under McGuire, Tech is 5-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Red Raiders are 6-11 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
— over is 3-1 in their home games.
— Tech won last two bowls as an underdog; scored 34-34-42 in last three.
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— Big X home favorites are 16-14 ATS.
Kansas State @ Kansas
Kansas State (7-3, 5-2)
— K-State won four of last five games (lost 33-30 at Texas).
— Last five games, K-State has a +10 turnover ratio.
— Wildcats are 6-0 when they allow less the 29 points.
— Wildcats are 1-3 on road (won 38-21 @ Texas Tech)
— K-State is 7-0 scoring 38+ points (27-21-30 in losses)
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; all five starters are back
— junior QB started 15 games last two years.
— under Klieman, K-State is 4-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 19-9 ATS as a favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 30-14 ATS in Big X games.
— under Klieman, K-State is 22-13 ATS coming off a win.
— over is 6-3 in their last nine games
— Wildcats went to a bowl games three of last four years.
Kansas (7-3, 4-3)
— Jayhawks split last six games, after a 4-0 start.
— Kansas gave up 40-39-16 points in its three losses.
— Jayhawks are 7-1 when they give up 33 or less points.
— Kansas gave up 200+ rushing yards in four of last five games.
— Jayhawks gained 400+ total yards in five of eight I-A games.
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line; four starters are back
— junior QB has started 13 games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 5-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— in his career, Leipold is 15-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 11-13-1 ATS in Big X games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 7-10 ATS coming off a loss.
— three of their last five games went over the total.
— Kansas was 6-7 LY, going to their first bowl since 2008.
— Jayhawks won three of their last four bowl games.
— K-State won last 14 series games, covered last four.
— Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Lawrence.
— under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
— Big X home underdogs are 13-5 ATS.
Washington @ Oregon State
Washington (10-0, 7-0)
— Washington is 7-0 SU/2-4-1 ATS in first seven Pac-12 games.
— Huskies allowed 499+ TY in three of last five games.
— In its last five games, Washington is minus-5 in turnovers.
— last three games, Huskies allowed 33-42-28 points.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 36 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 30 starts; 17 here, 13 at Indiana.
— since 2016, Huskies are 3-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, DeBoer is 3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Washington is 16-31-1 ATS in last 48 Pac-12 tilts.
— over is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Last year was Washington’s first bowl since 2019.
Oregon State (8-2, 5-2)
— 7 of Oregon State’s 8 wins TY are by 12+ points.
— Last five games, OSU has a +7 turnover ratio
— Beavers’ losses: 38-35 at Wazzu/27-24 at Arizona.
— Beavers are 11-1 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
— OSU is 19-5 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 28 games at Clemson.
— Oregon State is 26-14-1 ATS in its last 41 Pac-12 games.
— Beavers are 2-3 SU in last five bowls (were favored in all five).
— Washington won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Huskies are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Corvallis.
— Last four meetings stayed under the total.
— Pac-12 home favorites are 11-13 ATS.
Texas @ Iowa State
Texas (9-1, 6-1)
— Last two games, Longhorns won, 33-30/29-26.
— Texas scored 29+ points in every game this year.
— Longhorns’ only loss: 34-30 (-4) vs Oklahoma.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 4-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— Texas gave up 300+ PY three of last four games.
— 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line
— starting QB Ewers is back in lineup
— In his career, Sarkisian is 9-11 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 11-14 ATS in Big X games.
— under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.
— Texas is 4-1 in last five bowls; they were underdog is 3 of the 4 wins.
Iowa State (6-4, 5-2)
— Cyclones won 4 of last 5 games, giving up 16.6 ppg.
— ISU scored 24-27-30-30-45 points in I-A wins, 13-7-20-21 in losses.
— Cyclones are 6-4, have a +9 turnover ratio.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line
— LY’s starting QB Dekkers withdrew from school (gambling charges)
— freshman QB is completing 62.1% of passes (15 TD’s/7 INTs).
— under Campbell, ISU is 11-5-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— This year, Iowa State is 5-2 ATS in conference games.
— under is 3-1 in their home games.
— ISU is 5-11 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
— Cyclones lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).
— Iowa State won/covered three of last four series games.
— Longhorns lost three of last four visits to Ames.
— Last eight meetings stayed under the total.
— Big X home underdogs are 13-5 ATS.
