CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2020-2021 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/23/2020 6-8-1 43.33% -1400 Detail
12/22/2020 22-16-1 57.89% +2200 Detail
12/21/2020 10-11-0 47.62% -1050 Detail
12/20/2020 12-14-0 46.15% -1700 Detail
12/19/2020 15-16-1 48.44% -1300 Detail
12/18/2020 10-7-1 58.33% +1150 Detail
12/17/2020 8-9-0 47.06% -950 Detail
12/16/2020 13-10-0 56.52% +1000 Detail
12/15/2020 12-6-0 66.66% +2700 Detail
12/14/2020 8-4-0 66.67% +1800 Detail
12/13/2020 6-10-0 37.50% -2500 Detail
12/12/2020 12-15-0 44.44% -2250 Detail
12/11/2020 10-3-2 73.33% +3350 Detail
12/10/2020 7-7-0 50.00% -350 Detail
12/09/2020 12-12-2 50.00% -600 Detail
12/08/202010-11-0 44.44% -1050 Detail
12/07/2020 6-4-0 60.00% +800 Detail
12/06/2020 10-9-1 52.50% +50 Detail
12/05/2020 16-18-1 47.14% -1900 Detail
12/04/2020 11-13-0 45.83% -1650 Detail
12/03/2020 14-13-0 48.00% -150 Detail
12/02/2020 13-15-0 46.43% -1750 Detail
12/01/2020 13-14-0 48.15% -1200 Detail

Totals..............256-245-9.....51.09%.....-67.50
 

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Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Some interesting college football bowl spreads:
? Iowa (-14.5) vs Missouri
? Florida (-3) vs Oklahoma
? West Virginia (-7) vs Army
? Tulsa (-2.5) vs Mississippi State
? San Jose State (-8.5) vs Ball State
? TCU (-5.5) vs Arkansas

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 328,481
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Friday's Den: Merry Christmas, everyone??.

13) NFL playoffs were expanded to 14 teams this year, so only the #1 seed in each conference gets a bye; over the last seven years, of the 14 teams to make the Super Bowl, 10 were one-seeds and four were 2-seeds. Having the bye has obviously been an advantage.

12) Last five years, teams that had the first round by e were 12-7-1 ATS on the second weekend, which was their first playoff game that year.

11) Over last three years, underdogs are 8-2-1 ATS on first weekend of the playoffs; one game was pick ?em.

10) 2012 Ravens are last Super Bowl champ that didn?t have a first round bye.

9) Underdogs are 12-7 ATS in last 19 Super Bowls, though favorites covered the last two.

8) Baseball doings:
? Pirates traded 1B Josh Bell to Washington, for two young pitchers.
? Detroit signed free agent pitcher Jose Urena.

7) Atlanta Hawks led Chicago 83-59 at halftime Wednesday; are the Hawks that good, or are the Bulls terrible? (With Billy Donovan coaching, they won?t be bad for very long).

6) Charlotte Hornets C Cody Zeller broke his left hand Thursday, is out 4-6 weeks.

5) Pitt Panthers? best player, Justin Champagnie, is out 6-8 weeks hurting his knee in practice this week. Pitt is off to 5-2 start, 1-1 in ACC games.

4) Hawai?i 28, Houston 14:
? Rainbows picked off three passes, jumped out to a 21-0 lead.
? After Houston but the lead to 21-14, Rainbows ran a kick back for a TD, sealing the deal.
? This was Hawai?i?s first bowl on the mainland since the Sugar Bowl after the ?08 season.

3) Wednesday?s UCLA-Oregon basketball game was postponed, not because any players or coaches had COVID, but because of COVID-19 testing protocols for the refs.

2) Tampa Bay Buccaneers haven?t scored a first quarter point in their last four games; they signed QB Drew Stanton to their practice squad, replacing the departed Josh Rosen. Stanton was with Bruce Arians in Arizona; he knows the offense.

1) Way back when, when Steve Alford was a great college player at Indiana, I was convinced that someday, he would be coach of the Hoosiers. His dad was a high school coach in Indiana, it just made sense that someday, Steve Alford would run the Hoosiers, but it hasn?t happened.

This is a goofy idea, but Indiana/Nevada should trade coaches; Indiana is 26-33 under Archie Miller in conference games, not very good. Alford has gone from Missouri State to Iowa to New Mexico to UCLA to Nevada- he?s made four Sweet 16?s, but no Elite 8?s.

Alford is 25-15 at Nevada, while totally remaking the roster after Eric Musselman left; it would be good theater if got to come home and coach Indiana.
 
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Dunkel

Friday, December 25


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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, December 25


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WISCONSIN (7 - 1) at MICHIGAN ST (6 - 1) - 12/25/2020, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 113-76 ATS (+29.4 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 186-145 ATS (+26.5 Units) in all home games since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 186-145 ATS (+26.5 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 115-81 ATS (+25.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 3-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 3-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARYLAND (5 - 2) at PURDUE (6 - 3) - 12/25/2020, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 3-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 2-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (6 - 0) at NEBRASKA (4 - 4) - 12/25/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 3-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IOWA (7 - 1) at MINNESOTA (7 - 1) - 12/25/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 2-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 25


Wisconsin @ Michigan State
Wisconsin (7-1, 1-0)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #329
? Experience: #27
? Continuity: #19
? Badgers? only loss was by a hoop at Marquette.
? Wisconsin won its last four games, giving up 56.5 ppg.
? Wisconsin has made 41.8% of its 3?s (#9).

Michigan State (6-1, 0-1)
? ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #49
? Experience: #172
? Continuity: #62
? Spartans lost their Big 14 opener 79-65 at Northwestern.
? State has top 100 wins, over Duke/Notre Dame.
? Spartans are playing lot of guys (#17 bench minutes)

? Michigan State won 8 of last 9 series games.
? Badgers lost their last 12 visits to East Lansing, last six by 10+ points.

Maryland @ Purdue
Maryland (5-2, 0-1)
? ranked #47 by KenPom
? Tempo: #304
? Experience: #139
? Continuity: #92
? Maryland lost its Big 14 opener 74-60 to Rutgers.
? Best teams Terps have beaten so far is #119 Old Dominion.
? Maryland is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Rutgers/Clemson.

Purdue (6-3, 1-1)
? ranked #33 by KenPom
? Tempo: #292
? Experience: #309
? Continuity: #132
? Boilers lost three of five top 100 games, beating Ohio St/Notre Dame
? Purdue split its two Big 14 games, losing by 15 at Iowa.
? Purdue is turning ball over 21.0% of time (#218)

? Purdue is 5-4 vs Maryland in conference games.
? Terps lost last three games in Mackey Arena, by 4-8-2 points.

Michigan @ Nebraska
Michigan (6-0, 1-0)
? ranked #16 by KenPom
? Tempo: #239
? Experience: #65
? Continuity: #130
? Michigan hasn?t played in 12 days.
? Wolverines are 3-0 in top 100 games, winning by 22-20-4 points.
? Michigan won its conference opener 62-58 over Penn State.

Nebraska (4-4, 0-1)
? ranked #116 by KenPom
? Tempo: #34
? Experience: #88
? Continuity: #296
? Nebraska lost its last three D-I games.
? Cornhuskers lost their Big 14 opener 67-53 at Wisconsin.
? Nebraska is shooting 31.5% on arc (#213), 47.8% inside arc (#207)

? Michigan won 12 of last 13 series games.
? Wolverines won four of last five visits to Lincoln.

Iowa @ Minnesota
Iowa (7-1, 1-0)
? ranked #5 by KenPom
? Tempo: #32
? Experience: #230
? Continuity: #48
? Iowa?s only loss was by 11 to Gonzaga on a neutral floor.
? Hawkeyes have three top 100 wins.
? Iowa?s eFG% is #16 in country.

Minnesota (7-1, 0-1)
? ranked #50 by KenPom
? Tempo: #16
? Experience: #125
? Continuity: #166
? Gophers lost Big 14 opener 92-65 at Illinois.
? Minnesota?s only top 100 win was by 8 over Saint Louis.
? Gophers are getting 28.3% of their points on foul line (#6)

? Teams split last ten series games.
? Hawkeyes lost three of last four visits to Minnesota.
 

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Friday, December 25


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Trend Report
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Wisconsin @ Michigan State
Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 6 games when playing Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Wisconsin's last 16 games on the road
Michigan State
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wisconsin
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Maryland @ Purdue
Maryland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Maryland's last 6 games when playing Purdue
Maryland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Purdue
Purdue
Purdue is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Purdue's last 6 games when playing Maryland

Michigan @ Nebraska
Michigan
Michigan is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Nebraska
Michigan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Nebraska
Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nebraska's last 6 games when playing at home against Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nebraska's last 8 games when playing Michigan

Iowa @ Minnesota
Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Iowa


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751WISCONSIN -752 MICHIGAN ST
WISCONSIN is 22-9 ATS (12.1 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite in the last 3 seasons.

753MARYLAND -754 PURDUE
PURDUE is 93-63 ATS (23.7 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread since 1997.

755MICHIGAN -756 NEBRASKA
NEBRASKA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after scoring 60 points or less in the last 3 seasons.
 

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FRIDAY, DECEMBER 25
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


WIS at MSU 12:30 PM
MSU -2.5
O 139.0


MD at PUR 02:30 PM
PUR -6.0
U 135.0


MICH at NEB 06:00 PM
NEB +8.0
O 149.5


IOWA at MINN 08:00 PM
MINN +6.5
O 164.5
 

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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/25/2020 3-5-0 37.50% -1250 Detail
12/23/2020 6-8-1 43.33% -1400 Detail
12/22/2020 22-16-1 57.89% +2200 Detail
12/21/2020 10-11-0 47.62% -1050 Detail
12/20/2020 12-14-0 46.15% -1700 Detail
12/19/2020 15-16-1 48.44% -1300 Detail
12/18/2020 10-7-1 58.33% +1150 Detail
12/17/2020 8-9-0 47.06% -950 Detail
12/16/2020 13-10-0 56.52% +1000 Detail
12/15/2020 12-6-0 66.66% +2700 Detail
12/14/2020 8-4-0 66.67% +1800 Detail
12/13/2020 6-10-0 37.50% -2500 Detail
12/12/2020 12-15-0 44.44% -2250 Detail
12/11/2020 10-3-2 73.33% +3350 Detail
12/10/2020 7-7-0 50.00% -350 Detail
12/09/2020 12-12-2 50.00% -600 Detail
12/08/202010-11-0 44.44% -1050 Detail
12/07/2020 6-4-0 60.00% +800 Detail
12/06/2020 10-9-1 52.50% +50 Detail
12/05/2020 16-18-1 47.14% -1900 Detail
12/04/2020 11-13-0 45.83% -1650 Detail
12/03/2020 14-13-0 48.00% -150 Detail
12/02/2020 13-15-0 46.43% -1750 Detail
12/01/2020 13-14-0 48.15% -1200 Detail

Totals..............259-250-9.....50.88%.....-80.00
 

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Saturday?s 6-pack
Six most experienced teams in college basketball this year:

6) Georgia Tech
5) Nicholls State
4) North Carolina Central
3) Detroit Mercy
2) Cal-Bakersfield
1) Eastern Illinois

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 329,792
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?This is a bad defense. The worst one I?ve ever had.?
Vikings? coach Mike Zimmer

Saturday?s quiz
Stan Kroenke owns the Los Angeles Rams; which NBA team does he own?

Friday?s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, where Kevin Costner is GM of the Cleveland Browns, Denis Leary plays the coach of the Browns.

Thursday?s quiz
Coming into this season, Stephen Curry had the all-time career-best free-throw %age in the NBA (90.6%)

****************************

Saturday?s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here??.

13) New Orleans 52, Minnesota 33
? Vikings lost four of last six games; they?ve been eliminated.
? Minnesota is 0-6 ATS in their last six games.
? Minnesota allowed 32.2 ppg in its last six games.
? Minnesota is 9-14-1 ATS in last 24 games as a road dog.

? New Orleans had 36 first downs, ran ball for 264 yards.
? Kamara is first player since 1929 to rush for six TD?s in a game.
? Saints are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games.
? New Orleans clinched NFC South title for 4th year in a row.

12) Troy Aikman was saying on TV how tackling in the NFL has gotten a lot worse, because teams don?t practice much in pads anymore, because of the collective bargaining agreement. Like any other skill, tackling takes practice.

11) Friday was the 50th anniversary of the Miami-Kansas City playoff game that went to double OT, the longest game in NFL history. Dolphins won 27-24; there were 16 future Hall of Famers in that game.

There were a total of 149 plays in that game; 61 passes, 87 runs, one sack. The game has changed a lot over the last fifty years.

10) Favorites covered five of the first seven college bowl games this fall; five of the seven games stayed under the total.

9) There are four unbeaten hoop teams in the SEC:
? Arkansas is 8-0, all home games, vs schedule #296.
? Missouri is 6-0, with 4 home games, vs schedule #54
? Tennessee is 6-0, all home games, vs schedule #244.
? Georgia is is 7-0, all home games, vs schedule #282.

Tough to project which of these teams will wind up the best, but Tennessee/Missouri would appear to be the favorites there- they?ve been tested more so far.

8) Wisconsin 85, Michigan State 76:
? Badgers start five seniors, only play eight guys. Their future is now.
? Wisconsin was 23-30 on line in this game, Spartans 14-16.

7) Western Carolina is off to a 7-2 start in basketball; coached my Mark Prosser, son of the late Wake Forest coach Skip Prosser, the Catamounts have already won four overtime games- their last three wins have all come in OT.

6) Purdue 73, Maryland 70:
? Terps never led in a game that was tied in last minute.
? Purdue was 10-22 on the arc; Maryland had only five turnovers.

5) it is a pleasure to listen to NBA games with Mark Jackson/Jeff Van Gundy as analysts; it is like eavesdropping on two friends talking ball. To me, that is the ultimate compliment when you?re talking about game analysts.

4) Nets 123, Celtics 95:
? Brooklyn won its first two games by 26-28 points.
? Steve Nash is going to think this coaching stuff is easy.

3) Golden State Warriors lost their first two games this season by 26-39 points, not a good sign that they?re any better than last year?s 15-50 disaster.

From 2013-19, Golden State averaged 62.2 wins a year. Now? Not so much.

2) Warriors have a player named Marquese Chriss; at age 23, he?s done a lot of moving:
2014-15: Pleasant Grove HS, Elk Grove, CA
2015-16: U of Washington, scored 13.7 ppg in 24.9 mpg.
2016-17: scored 9.2 ppg in all 82 games for the Phoenix Suns.
2017-18: scored 7.7 ppg in 77 games for the Suns.
2018-19: split season between Houston/Cleveland, scored 4.3 ppg in 11.6 mpg
2019-20: scored 9.3 ppg in 59 games for Golden State

At 6-foot-9, Chriss has a chance to eventually make himself a lot of money, but he needs to lock himself inside a gym and become a shooting threat. He has the ability; will he do the work?

1) Miami 111, New Orleans 98:
? Miami G Duncan Robinson scored 23 points in this game, made 7-13 3-pointers.

? Robinson started his college career a D-III Williams, before transferring to Michigan. The odds of a D-III player making it to the NBA are very, very long. He has an interesting story.

If Duncan Robinson can make a living in the NBA, Marquese Chriss should also be able to.
 

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761KENTUCKY -762 LOUISVILLE
LOUISVILLE is 48-73 ATS (-32.3 Units) in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game since 1997.

763YOUNGSTOWN ST -764 CLEVELAND ST
CLEVELAND ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=42% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

763YOUNGSTOWN ST -764 CLEVELAND ST
Dennis Gates is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=42% of their shots (Coach of CLEVELAND ST)

765OHIO ST -766 NORTHWESTERN
NORTHWESTERN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds in the last 3 seasons.

767HOUSTON -768 UCF
UCF is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

769WI-GREEN BAY -770 WRIGHT ST
WRIGHT ST is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% in the last 3 seasons.

771INDIANA -772 ILLINOIS
ILLINOIS are 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

773VIRGINIA -774 GONZAGA
GONZAGA is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

777ROBERT MORRIS -778 IUPU-FT WAYNE
ROBERT MORRIS are 22-8 ATS (13.2 Units) after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

779OAKLAND -780 DETROIT
OAKLAND is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.
 

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Long Sheet

Saturday, December 26


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KENTUCKY (1 - 5) at LOUISVILLE (5 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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YOUNGSTOWN ST (4 - 1) at CLEVELAND ST (2 - 3) - 12/26/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND ST is 3-1 against the spread versus YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND ST is 3-1 straight up against YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OHIO ST (7 - 1) at NORTHWESTERN (5 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (6 - 0) at UCF (3 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-1 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WI-GREEN BAY (0 - 6) at WRIGHT ST (4 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WRIGHT ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
WRIGHT ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WI-GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
WRIGHT ST is 3-2 straight up against WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (5 - 3) at ILLINOIS (6 - 3) - 12/26/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 122-164 ATS (-58.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ILLINOIS is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
INDIANA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA (4 - 1) vs. GONZAGA (6 - 0) - 12/26/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ROBERT MORRIS (1 - 2) at IUPU-FT WAYNE (1 - 2) - 12/26/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
ROBERT MORRIS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (0 - 9) at DETROIT (1 - 5) - 12/26/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
OAKLAND is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
OAKLAND is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
DETROIT is 70-96 ATS (-35.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
DETROIT is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COPPIN ST (1 - 7) at TOWSON ST (0 - 4) - 12/26/2020, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COPPIN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORFOLK ST (3 - 3) at GEORGE MASON (3 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NICHOLLS ST (2 - 3) at LSU (4 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NICHOLLS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-0 straight up against NICHOLLS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, December 26


Kentucky @ Louisville
Kentucky (1-5)
? ranked #48 by KenPom
? Tempo: #166
? Experience: #327
? Continuity: #327
? Kentucky is 1-5 for first time since 1926.
? Wildcats? one win was over #291 Morehead State.
? Kentucky lost to Kansas/Notre Dame by a combined four points.
? All five of their losses are to top 90 teams (two top 25 losses)

Louisville (5-1)
? ranked #28 by KenPom
? Tempo: #320
? Experience: #325
? Continuity: #313
? Louisville?s only loss was by 37 at a veteran Wisconsin team.
? Cardinals have three top 100 wins (Seton Hall, WKU, Pitt)
? Louisville is shooting 56.1% inside arc (#39)

? Kentucky won last three games in this rivalry, by 13-8-29 points; last year?s loss was in OT.

Youngstown State @ Cleveland State
Youngstown State (4-1, 1-1)
? ranked #187 by KenPom
? Tempo: #297
? Experience: #134
? Continuity: #59
? Penguins split pair of league games with Northern Kentucky.
? Youngstown beat #342 Binghamton, its only other D-I game.
? Penguins are shooting only 28.6% on arc (#274).

Cleveland State (2-3, 2-0)
? ranked #210 by KenPom
? Tempo: #208
? Experience: #147
? Continuity: #155
? Vikings scored only 56 ppg in its losses (Ohio St, 2 MAC teams)
? Cleveland State swept a pair from Horizon rival Fort Wayne LW.
? Vikings are turning ball over 22.7% of time (#263)

? Cleveland State won five of last six series games.
? Penguins lost last two visits to Cleveland, by 10-8 points.

Ohio State @ Northwestern
Ohio State (7-1, 1-1)
? ranked #17 by KenPom
? Tempo: #317
? Experience: #90
? Continuity: #147
? Buckeyes? only loss was by 7 at Purdue.
? Ohio State have three top 100 wins (Notre Dame, UCLA, Rutgers)
? Buckeyes split two true road games (Notre Dame/Purdue).

Northwestern (5-1, 2-0)
? ranked #53 by KenPom
? Tempo: #137
? Experience: #249
? Continuity: #55
? Wildcats upset Michigan St/Indiana to start conference play.
? Northwestern?s only loss was by a point to Pittsburgh.
? Wildcats are shooting 41.3% on arc (#11).

? Ohio State won 15 of last 17 series games.
? Buckeyes won their last seven visits to Evanston.

Houston @ Central Florida
Houston (6-0, 1-0)
? ranked #10 by KenPom
? Tempo: #299
? Experience: #196
? Continuity: #124
? Houston beat Temple by 26 in its AAC opener.
? Cougars are forcing turnovers 25.9% of time (#15)
? Houston has top 100 wins over Boise State/Texas Tech.

Central Florida (3-1, 1-0)
? ranked #94 by KenPom
? Tempo: #210
? Experience: #255
? Continuity: #252
? UCF beat Florida St/Cincinnati in its last two games.
? Knights are forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#48)
? To this point, UCF has played #5 schedule- no stiffs.

? Houston won four of last five series games.
? Cougars won three of last four visits to Orlando.

Green Bay @ Wright State
Green Bay (0-6, 0-2)
? ranked #288 by KenPom
? Tempo: #156
? Experience: #274
? Continuity: #283
? Green Bay lost pair of Horizon games to Milwaukee.
? Green Bay?s top 100 losses are by 30-40-14 points.
? Green Bay?s eFG% is #276; they?re shooting 43.7% inside arc.

Wright State (4-1, 2-0)
? ranked #92 by KenPom
? Tempo: #71
? Experience: #269
? Continuity: #68
? Wright scored 89 ppg in sweeping pair from Detroit LW.
? Raiders? only loss was 80-64 to #82 Marshall.
? Wright State is shooting 58.2% inside arc (#19)

? Wright State won seven of last nine series games.
? Green Bay lost its last five visits to Dayton.

Indiana @ Illinois
Indiana (5-3, 0-1)
? ranked #21 by KenPom
? Tempo: #267
? Experience: #280
? Continuity: #74
? Hoosiers lost Big 14 opener 74-67 at Northwestern.
? Indiana split its six top 100 games.
? Hoosiers lost only true road game by hoop at Florida State.

Illinois (6-3, 2-1)
? ranked #7 by KenPom
? Tempo: #37
? Experience: #214
? Continuity: #41
? Illini split its last six games.
? To this point, Illinois has played schedule #15.
? Illini is shooting 43.6% on the arc (#5).

? Indiana won seven of last nine series games.
? Teams split last six meetings played here.

Virginia vs Gonzaga (@ Fort Worth, TX)
Virginia (4-1)
? ranked #14 by KenPom
? Tempo: #357
? Experience: #136
? Continuity: #150
? Virginia has only one top 200 win (Kent St); that was in OT.
? Cavaliers? only loss was by a point to San Francisco.
? Virginia?s foes are shooting 38.6% inside arc (#6)

Gonzaga (6-0)
? ranked #2 by KenPom
? Tempo: #5
? Experience: #242
? Continuity: #178
? Gonzaga already has three top 15 wins (Kansas/Iowa/West Va).
? Zags are shooting 64.1% inside arc (#4).
? Gonzaga is getting 62.8% of its points inside arc (#8).

Robert Morris @ IUPUI
Robert Morris (1-2)
? ranked #253 by KenPom
? Tempo: #217
? Experience: #135
? Continuity: #108
? This is Colonials? first-ever game in Horizon League.
? Robert Morris lost its first two D-I games, by 20-14 points.
? Colonials are turning ball over 25.7% of time (#315)

IUPUI (1-0)
? ranked #263 by KenPom
? Tempo: #38
? Experience: #108
? Continuity: #188
? IUPUI?s only game was a 69-66 win over Tennessee St, on December 12.
? Jaguars start two juniors, two seniors (#108 experience)
? IUPUI won its opener despite shooting 37.5% inside arc.

Oakland @ Detroit Mercy
Oakland (0-9, 0-2)
? ranked #289 by KenPom
? Tempo: #52
? Experience: #283
? Continuity: #240
? Oakland lost Horizon openers by 2-17 points to UIC last week.
? Oakland allowed 80+ points in 7 of their 9 games.
? Oakland has played schedule #13; they over-scheduled.

Detroit Mercy (1-5, 0-2)
? ranked #221 by KenPom
? Tempo: #109
? Experience: #3
? Continuity: #230
? Detroit lost its Horizon openers to Wright State, by 23-13 points.
? Titans? only win is over #252 Western Michigan.
? Detroit is shooting only 28.9% on arc (#269).

? Oakland won 7 in a row, 12 of last 14 series games.
? Grizzlies won last three visits to Detroit.
 

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Saturday, December 26


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Youngstown State @ Cleveland State
Youngstown State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Youngstown State's last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland State
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Youngstown State's last 19 games when playing Cleveland State
Cleveland State
Cleveland State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Youngstown State
Cleveland State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Youngstown State

Kentucky @ Louisville
Kentucky
Kentucky is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Louisville
Kentucky is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Louisville
Louisville
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Louisville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Houston @ Central Florida
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Central Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Central Florida
Central Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Central Florida's last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Florida's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

Ohio State @ Northwestern
Ohio State
Ohio State is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing Northwestern
Ohio State is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Northwestern
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern's last 6 games when playing at home against Ohio State
Northwestern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Coppin State @ Towson
Coppin State
No trends to report
Towson
Towson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Coppin State
Towson is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Coppin State

Nicholls State @ LSU
Nicholls State
No trends to report
LSU
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LSU is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Nicholls State

Wisconsin-Green Bay @ Wright State
Wisconsin-Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Wright State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 6 games when playing Wright State
Wright State
Wright State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wisconsin-Green Bay
Wright State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

Indiana @ Illinois
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Illinois
Illinois
Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games at home

Norfolk State @ George Mason
Norfolk State
No trends to report
George Mason
George Mason is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Gonzaga @ Virginia
Gonzaga
No trends to report
Virginia
No trends to report

Oakland @ Detroit
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Oakland

Robert Morris @ IPFW
Robert Morris
No trends to report
IPFW
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of IPFW's last 8 games at home
IPFW is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
 

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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 26
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


UK at LOU 01:00 PM
LOU -4.0

YSU at CLEVST 01:00 PM
CLEVST +2.0
U 138.5


HOU at UCF 01:00 PM
O 134.5

COPP at TOWS 02:00 PM
TOWS -11.5

OSU at NW 02:00 PM
OSU -3.0
U 135.0


NICH at LSU 02:00 PM
LSU -21.5

GONZ at UVA 04:00 PM
GONZ -7.5
O 136.5


IND at ILL 04:00 PM
ILL -6.5
O 148.0


WIGB at WRST 04:00 PM
WRST -14.5
U 146.5


OAK at DETU 04:00 PM
OAK +3.5
O 154.0
 

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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/26/2020 6-10-0 37.50% -2500 Detail
12/25/2020 3-5-0 37.50% -1250 Detail
12/23/2020 6-8-1 43.33% -1400 Detail
12/22/2020 22-16-1 57.89% +2200 Detail
12/21/2020 10-11-0 47.62% -1050 Detail
12/20/2020 12-14-0 46.15% -1700 Detail
12/19/2020 15-16-1 48.44% -1300 Detail
12/18/2020 10-7-1 58.33% +1150 Detail
12/17/2020 8-9-0 47.06% -950 Detail
12/16/2020 13-10-0 56.52% +1000 Detail
12/15/2020 12-6-0 66.66% +2700 Detail
12/14/2020 8-4-0 66.67% +1800 Detail
12/13/2020 6-10-0 37.50% -2500 Detail
12/12/2020 12-15-0 44.44% -2250 Detail
12/11/2020 10-3-2 73.33% +3350 Detail
12/10/2020 7-7-0 50.00% -350 Detail
12/09/2020 12-12-2 50.00% -600 Detail
12/08/202010-11-0 44.44% -1050 Detail
12/07/2020 6-4-0 60.00% +800 Detail
12/06/2020 10-9-1 52.50% +50 Detail
12/05/2020 16-18-1 47.14% -1900 Detail
12/04/2020 11-13-0 45.83% -1650 Detail
12/03/2020 14-13-0 48.00% -150 Detail
12/02/2020 13-15-0 46.43% -1750 Detail
12/01/2020 13-14-0 48.15% -1200 Detail

Totals..............265-260-9.....50.47%.....-105.00
 

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Sunday?s 6-pack
Six of the least-experienced teams in college basketball this year:

329) Auburn
327) Kentucky
326) Duke
324) Louisville
323) UMass
322) Cal-Irvine

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 331,732
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?Winning helps, and losing doesn?t.?
Bill Parcells

Sunday?s quiz
What veteran actor played the pitching coach in the baseball movie, Bull Durham?

Saturday?s quiz
Stan Kroenke owns the Los Angeles Rams; he also owns the NBA?s Denver Nuggets and the NHL?s Colorado Avalanche.

Friday?s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, where Kevin Costner is GM of the Cleveland Browns, Denis Leary plays the coach of the Browns.

*****************************

Sunday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) 49ers 20, @ Arizona 12:
? Chicago now holds its own playoff fate in its hands.
? Wilson ran for 183 yards for the 49ers, who averaged 7.6 yards/rush.
? Kittle caught four passes for 92 yards in his return from injury.
? Just third win in last dozen series games for San Francisco.

? Cardinals were 5-2 before their bye, are 3-5 since the bye.
? Arizona converted 4-16 third down plays, 4-6 fourth down plays.
? Redbirds are 7-13 ATS in last 20 games as home favorites, 2-4 TY.
? Arizona trailed at halftime in 10 of its 15 games.

12) Buccaneers 47, Lions 7
? Detroit didn?t have most of its coaches; this was an embarrassment to the NFL, a totally non-competitive game.
? Plus, Detroit QB Stafford (ankle) went out in first quarter.
? Tampa Bay is in playoffs for first time since 2007.
? Detroit is 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight games.

11) Dolphins 26, Las Vegas 25:
? Fitzpatrick came off bench, was 9-13/182 passing to save their butts.
? There were five scores (22 points) in last 4:13 of this game.
? Dolphins won nine of their last 11 games.
? Dolphins covered nine of their last ten games.

? Raiders kicked FG with 0:19 left to take 25-23 lead.
? Las Vegas lost five of their last six games overall.
? Raiders lost six of their last eight home games this year.
? Over is 12-3 in Raider games this season.

10) All three of the Cleveland Browns? top WR?s ? Jarvis Landry, Rashard Higgins, Donovan Peoples-Jones ? are out of Sunday?s game with the Jets, due to contact tracing.

9) Louisville 62, Kentucky 59:
? Kentucky lost its last six games for first time since 1911.
? Wildcats were held to 64 or fewer points in six consecutive games, for first time since 1946.

8) Last week, John Calipari asked freshman Cam?Ron Fletcher to ?take some time away from the team? after Fletcher pouted about his lack of playing time during a loss to North Carolina.

This is what is called a euphemism, which is defined as: ?amild or indirect word or expression substituted for one considered to be too harsh or blunt when referring to something unpleasant or embarrassing.?

Truth is, they suspended the kid, but didn?t want to announce that.

7) Northwestern 71, Ohio State 70:
? Wildcats are 3-0 in the Big 14 for first time since 1968.
? Northwestern already has three top 40 wins.

6) Was looking thru some old stuff the other day: after the 1981 college football season, there were only 15 bowl games- the last ones were on January 1st. Times have changed.

5) Liberty 37, Coastal Carolina 34 OT:
? Coastal Carolina, Liberty have only been I-A programs for a combined seven years; they met here as ranked teams with a combined 20-1 record. Things change fast these days.
? Liberty led 31-19 in 4th quarter; Coastal tied it with 3:01 left.

4) Sunday is December 27, and the favorite in the MAAC, the Siena Saints, haven?t played a game yet. They?re supposed to play Monmouth January 3-4; we?ll see how that goes.

Lets look at how some teams are doing as far as team over/unders; these stats are prior to the games played Friday/Saturday:
3) Buffalo/Arizona went over their team total in 10 of their first 14 games this season; Cardinals weren?t so lucky Saturday, so now they?re 10-5 to the over.

2) Texans, Patriots, Giants, Eagles have been held under their total in nine of 14 games.

1) Steelers were 7-1-1 to the over in their first nine games, but stayed under their total in their last five, losing the last three.

Likewise, Seattle went over in seven of first eight games, but was held under their total in five of their last six games.
 

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Long Sheet

Sunday, December 27


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

YOUNGSTOWN ST (4 - 1) at CLEVELAND ST (2 - 3) - 12/27/2020, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND ST is 3-1 against the spread versus YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND ST is 3-1 straight up against YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DRAKE (9 - 0) at INDIANA ST (3 - 2) - 12/27/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DRAKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
DRAKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
DRAKE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
DRAKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
DRAKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DRAKE is 4-0 against the spread versus INDIANA ST over the last 3 seasons
DRAKE is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CANISIUS (1 - 1) at MONMOUTH (1 - 2) - 12/27/2020, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CANISIUS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a road game where the total is 155 to 159.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONMOUTH is 3-2 against the spread versus CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
MONMOUTH is 3-2 straight up against CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WI-GREEN BAY (0 - 6) at WRIGHT ST (4 - 1) - 12/27/2020, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WI-GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
WRIGHT ST is 3-2 straight up against WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSOURI ST (3 - 0) at N IOWA (1 - 4) - 12/27/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N IOWA is 4-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
N IOWA is 4-0 straight up against MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EVANSVILLE (2 - 4) at S ILLINOIS (6 - 0) - 12/27/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EVANSVILLE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ILLINOIS is 2-2 against the spread versus EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
S ILLINOIS is 4-0 straight up against EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ILLINOIS ST (3 - 3) at LOYOLA-IL (4 - 2) - 12/27/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOYOLA-IL is 2-2 against the spread versus ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons
LOYOLA-IL is 3-1 straight up against ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (0 - 9) at DETROIT (1 - 5) - 12/27/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DEPAUL (1 - 0) at PROVIDENCE (5 - 3) - 12/27/2020, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PROVIDENCE is 44-68 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PROVIDENCE is 2-2 against the spread versus DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
PROVIDENCE is 3-1 straight up against DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ROBERT MORRIS (1 - 2) at IUPU-FT WAYNE (1 - 2) - 12/27/2020, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UC-SANTA BARBARA (3 - 1) at UC-IRVINE (2 - 4) - 12/27/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-IRVINE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
UC-IRVINE is 3-1 against the spread versus UC-SANTA BARBARA over the last 3 seasons
UC-IRVINE is 3-1 straight up against UC-SANTA BARBARA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BINGHAMTON (0 - 5) at MD-BALT COUNTY (6 - 1) - 12/27/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BINGHAMTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MD-BALT COUNTY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MD-BALT COUNTY is 2-2 against the spread versus BINGHAMTON over the last 3 seasons
MD-BALT COUNTY is 2-2 straight up against BINGHAMTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HARTFORD (5 - 2) at NEW HAMPSHIRE (1 - 2) - 12/27/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HARTFORD is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HARTFORD is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HARTFORD is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
HARTFORD is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HARTFORD is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HARTFORD is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW HAMPSHIRE over the last 3 seasons
HARTFORD is 3-1 straight up against NEW HAMPSHIRE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW JERSEY TECH (1 - 1) at VERMONT (1 - 1) - 12/27/2020, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY TECH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALCORN ST (0 - 3) at VANDERBILT (3 - 2) - 12/27/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALCORN ST is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
ALCORN ST is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road lined games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALCORN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 1-0 straight up against ALCORN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UMASS-LOWELL (2 - 4) at STONY BROOK (4 - 4) - 12/27/2020, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
STONY BROOK is 3-1 against the spread versus UMASS-LOWELL over the last 3 seasons
STONY BROOK is 4-0 straight up against UMASS-LOWELL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, December 27


Drake @ Indiana State
Drake (9-0)
? ranked #95 by KenPom
? Tempo: #178
? Experience: #97
? Continuity: #163
? Unbeaten Bulldogs have played schedule #311 so far.
? Kansas State is only top 200 team they?ve played.
? Drake is forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#72)

Indiana State (3-2)
? ranked #145 by KenPom
? Tempo: #118
? Experience: #159
? Continuity: #70
? Sycamores lost by 12 to Purdue, by 19 to Saint Louis.
? ISU is forcing turnovers 24.5% of the time (#29)
? Indiana State is shooting 26.6% on the arc (#298)

? Drake won three of last four series games.
? Bulldogs lost six of last seven visits to Terre Haute.

Youngstown State @ Cleveland State
Youngstown State (4-2, 1-2)
? ranked #203 by KenPom
? Tempo: #309
? Experience: #161
? Continuity: #67
? Penguins lost 87-69 here yesterday.
? Youngstown split its four D-I games.
? Penguins are shooting only 26.9% on arc (#291).

Cleveland State (3-3, 3-0)
? ranked #197 by KenPom
? Tempo: #224
? Experience: #149
? Continuity: #153
? Vikings won first three Horizon games, by 2-9-18 points.
? Cleveland State?s three losses are to teams ranked #120 or better.
? Vikings shot 64% inside arc in yesterday?s win over Youngstown.

? Cleveland State won six of last seven series games.
? Penguins lost last three visits to Cleveland, by 10-8-18 points.

Canisius @ Monmouth
Canisius (1-1, 1-1)
? ranked #225 by KenPom
? Tempo: #101
? Experience: #208
? Continuity: #128
? Canisius split pair with Marist to start its season.
? Griffins forced turnovers 26.5% of time so far (#12).
? Canisius starts two sophs, two juniors.

Monmouth (1-2, 1-1)
? ranked #195 by KenPom
? Tempo: #8
? Experience: #49
? Continuity: #35
? Monmouth split pair of 2-point games with Saint Peter?s.
? Hawks? three games were decided by total of 12 points.
? Monmouth is forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#32).

? Monmouth won last three series games, by 14-19-14 points.
? Canisius lost five of last seven visits here.

Missouri State @ Northern Iowa
Missouri State (3-0)
? ranked #156 by KenPom
? Tempo: #144
? Experience: #247
? Continuity: #274
? This is Missouri State?s first road game.
? Bears beat teams ranked #293/#147 to open season.
? Missouri State is shooting 67.3% inside arc (#1).

Northern Iowa (1-4)
? ranked #90 by KenPom
? Tempo: #136
? Experience: #269
? Continuity: #152
? UNI is 0-4 vs D-I teams, but they?ve played schedule #24.
? Panthers have made 39.6% of their 3?s (#20)
? UNI?s defensive eFG% is #229.

? Northern Iowa won last five series games, four of them by 15+ points.
? Bears lost last three visits to UNI, by 15-5-29 points.

Green Bay @ Wright State
Green Bay (0-7, 0-3)
? ranked #289 by KenPom
? Tempo: #180
? Experience: #283
? Continuity: #283
? Green Bay lost its first three Horizon games, by 3-12-14 points.
? Green Bay?s top 100 losses are by 30-40-14-14 points.
? Green Bay?s eFG% is #283; they?re shooting 43.2% inside arc.

Wright State (5-1, 3-0)
? ranked #92 by KenPom
? Tempo: #76
? Experience: #268
? Continuity: #68
? Wright won its first three Horizon games, by 23-13-14 points.
? Raiders? only loss was 80-64 to #82 Marshall.
? Wright State has #12 defensive eFG% in country.

? Wright State won eight of last ten series games.
? Green Bay lost its last six visits to Dayton.

Evansville @ Southern Illinois
Evansville (2-4)
? ranked #312 by KenPom
? Tempo: #353
? Experience: #72
? Continuity: #226
? Evansville lost road games by 35 at Louisville, in 2 OTs at Tenn-Martin.
? Four of their last five games were decided by 3 or less points, or OT.
? Opponents have made 44% of their 3?s (#322).

Southern Illinois (6-0)
? ranked #154 by KenPom
? Tempo: #228
? Experience: #320
? Continuity: #205
? Salukis have wins over Murray State, Butler.
? SIU is making 44.3% of its 3-pointers (#4)
? Salukis have #16 eFG% in country.

? SIU won last four series games, three by 7 or fewer points.
? Purple Aces lost last three visits to Carbondale, by 2-5-17 points.

Illinois State @ Loyola Chi
Illinois State (3-3)
? ranked #226 by KenPom
? Tempo: #57
? Experience: #318
? Continuity: #249
? Redbirds are 0-3 on the road, scoring 66 ppg.
? Illinois State lost by 27 at Ohio State, its only top 100 game.
? Redbirds haven?t played in 12 days.

Loyola Chi (4-2)
? ranked #55 by KenPom
? Tempo: #262
? Experience: #42
? Continuity: #14
? Both Loyola losses are to top 60 teams (Wisconsin/Richmond)
? Ramblers? two D-I wins are by 37-11 points.
? Loyola is shooting 37.8% on the arc (#48).

? Loyola won six of last seven series games.
? Illinois State lost last three visits to Loyola, by 7-3-15 points.

DePaul @ Providence
DePaul (1-0)
? ranked #86 by KenPom
? Tempo: #49
? Experience: #104
? Continuity: #292
? DePaul won season opener 91-72 over Western Illinois Wednesday.
? Blue Demons start two seniors, two sophs.
? DePaul made 10-20 3-pointers Wednesday.

Providence (5-3, 1-1)
? ranked #63 by KenPom
? Tempo: #302
? Experience: #141
? Continuity: #206
? Friars won three of last four games overall.
? Providence split its Big East games, both on road.
? Friars are 3-3 vs top 100 teams (schedule #42).

? Providence won six of last seven series games.
? Blue Demons lost last seven visits to Providence.

Oakland @ Detroit Mercy
Oakland (1-9, 1-2)
? ranked #281 by KenPom
? Tempo: #64
? Experience: #279
? Continuity: #244
? Oakland got its first win of season in OT yesterday.
? Oakland allowed 80+ points in 7 of their 10 games.
? Oakland has played schedule #28; they over-scheduled.

Detroit Mercy (1-6, 0-3)
? ranked #232 by KenPom
? Tempo: #128
? Experience: #3
? Continuity: #227
? Detroit lost its first three Horizon games, by 23-13-2 points.
? Titans? only win is over #252 Western Michigan.
? Detroit is shooting only 30.1% on arc (#248).

? Oakland won 8 in a row, 13 of last 15 series games.
? Grizzlies won last four visits to Detroit.

UCSB @ Cal-Irvine
UCSB (4-1)
? ranked #115 by KenPom
? Tempo: #275
? Experience: #22
? Continuity: #60
? Gauchos won two of three games vs WCC teams.
? Santa Barbara hasn?t played in eight days.
? UCSB has made 42.2% of its 3?s (#9).

Cal-Irvine (3-4)
? ranked #143 by KenPom
? Tempo: #205
? Experience: #322
? Continuity: #171
? Irvine lost four of its five D-I games, beating #194 San Diego.
? Anteaters have played schedule #50, turning ball over 21.7% of time (#241).
? Irvine?s eFG% is #264; they?re shooting 45.3% inside arc (#251)

? Irvine won four of last five series games.
? Gauchos lost three of last four games in the Bren Center.
 
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